메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 6, Issue 1-3, 2010, Pages 5-35

National technology foresight research: A literature review from 1984 to 2005

Author keywords

Benefits; Definition; Empirical cases; Implementation framework; Methodology; National technology foresight; Overview; Risk

Indexed keywords


EID: 77954020350     PISSN: 17402816     EISSN: 17402824     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1504/IJFIP.2010.032663     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (20)

References (122)
  • 1
    • 0035006447 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Austrian foresight programme: Organisation and expert profile
    • Aicholzer, G. (2001) 'The Austrian foresight programme: organisation and expert profile', Int. J. Technology Management, Vol.21, Nos. 7-8, pp.739-755.
    • (2001) Int. J. Technology Management , vol.21 , Issue.7-8 , pp. 739-755
    • Aicholzer, G.1
  • 2
    • 2942714819 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Comparison of national foresight studies by integrated foresight management model
    • DOI 10.1016/j.futures.2004.01.002, PII S0016328704000035
    • Alsan, A. and Oner, M.A. (2004) 'Comparison of national foresight studies by integrated foresight management model', Futures, Vol.36, No.8, pp.889-902. (Pubitemid 38791053)
    • (2004) Futures , vol.36 , Issue.8 , pp. 889-902
    • Alsan, A.1    Oner, M.A.2
  • 4
    • 0008191037 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Technology Foresight for competitive advantage
    • PII S0024630197000526
    • Anderson, J. (1997) 'Technology foresight for competitive advantage', Long Range Planning, Vol.30, No.5, pp.665-677. (Pubitemid 127704505)
    • (1997) Long Range Planning , vol.30 , Issue.5 , pp. 665-677
    • Anderson, J.1
  • 5
    • 0041491173 scopus 로고
    • Foresight studies: A new approach in anticipatory policy making in The Netherlands
    • Asje van Dijk, J.W. (1991) 'Foresight studies: a new approach in anticipatory policy making in The Netherlands', Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol.40, No.3, pp.223-234.
    • (1991) Technological Forecasting and Social Change , vol.40 , Issue.3 , pp. 223-234
    • Asje Van Dijk, J.W.1
  • 6
    • 0029846668 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Foresight as a survival characteristic: when (if ever) does the long view pay?
    • DOI 10.1016/0040-1625(95)00212-X
    • Ayres, R.U. and Axtell, R. (1996) 'Foresight as a survival characteristic: When (if ever) does the long view pay?', Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol.51, No.3, pp.209-235. (Pubitemid 26410905)
    • (1996) Technological Forecasting and Social Change , vol.51 , Issue.3 , pp. 209-235
    • Ayres, R.U.1    Axtell, R.2
  • 7
    • 0011838956 scopus 로고
    • Technology foresight using roadmaps
    • Barker, D. and Smith, D.J.H. (1995) 'Technology foresight using roadmaps', Long Range Planning, Vol.28, No.2, pp.21-28.
    • (1995) Long Range Planning , vol.28 , Issue.2 , pp. 21-28
    • Barker, D.1    Smith, D.J.H.2
  • 9
    • 0035004885 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Public foresight exercises at an intermediate level: The French national programs and the experience of Bordeaux
    • Belis-Bergouignan, M-C., Lung, Y. and Heraud, J-A. (2001) 'Public foresight exercises at an intermediate level: the French national programmes and the experience of Bordeaux', Int. J. Technology Management, Vol.21, Nos. 7-8, pp.726-738. (Pubitemid 32432751)
    • (2001) International Journal of Technology Management , vol.21 , Issue.7-8 , pp. 726-738
    • Belis-Bergouignan, M.-C.1    Lung, Y.2    Heraud, J.-A.3
  • 10
    • 33746514549 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecasting emerging technologies with the aid of science and technology databases
    • DOI 10.1016/j.techfore.2005.09.001, PII S0040162505001393
    • Bengisu, M. and Nekhili, R. (2005) 'Forecasting emerging technologies with the aid of science and technology databases', Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol.73, No.7, pp.835-844. (Pubitemid 44137082)
    • (2006) Technological Forecasting and Social Change , vol.73 , Issue.7 , pp. 835-844
    • Bengisu, M.1    Nekhili, R.2
  • 11
    • 0040799875 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Current foresight activities in Central Europe
    • DOI 10.1016/S0040-1625(98)00021-3, PII S0040162598000213
    • Blind, K., Cuhls, K. and Grupp, H. (1999) 'Current foresight activities in: Central Europe', Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol.60, No.1, pp.15-35. (Pubitemid 29407624)
    • (1999) Technological Forecasting and Social Change , vol.60 , Issue.1 , pp. 15-35
    • Blind, K.1    Cuhls, K.2    Grupp, H.3
  • 12
    • 0036836476 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Commercial use of GM crop technology: Identifying the drivers using life cycle methodology in a technology foresight framework
    • Borch, K. and Rasmussen, B. (2002) 'Commercial use of GM crop technology: identifying the drivers using life cycle methodology in a technology foresight framework', Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol.69, No.8, pp.765-780.
    • (2002) Technological Forecasting and Social Change , vol.69 , Issue.8 , pp. 765-780
    • Borch, K.1    Rasmussen, B.2
  • 13
    • 17644397354 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Refining the debate on GM crops using technological foresight - The Danish experience
    • DOI 10.1016/j.techfore.2004.05.003, PII S0040162504001234
    • Borch, K. and Rasmussen, B. (2005) 'Refining the debate on GM crops using technological foresight - the Danish experience', Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol.72, No.5, pp.549-566. (Pubitemid 40560053)
    • (2005) Technological Forecasting and Social Change , vol.72 , Issue.5 , pp. 549-566
    • Borch, K.1    Rasmussen, B.2
  • 14
    • 0346965502 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The role of hindsight in foresight: Refining strategic reasoning
    • DOI 10.1016/S0016-3287(03)00147-2
    • Bradley, R.M. and McKiernan, P. (2004) 'The role of hindsight in foresight: refining strategic reasoning', Futures, Vol.36, No.2, pp.161-179. (Pubitemid 38013069)
    • (2004) Futures , vol.36 , Issue.2 , pp. 161-179
    • MacKay, R.B.1    McKiernan, P.2
  • 16
    • 11044225559 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evolution in the rationales of foresight in Europe
    • DOI 10.1016/j.futures.2004.03.010, PII S0016328704000618
    • Cariola, M. and Rolfo, S. (2004) 'Evolution in the rationales of foresight in Europe', Futures, Vol.36, No.10, pp.1063-1075. (Pubitemid 40046836)
    • (2004) Futures , vol.36 , Issue.10 , pp. 1063-1075
    • Cariola, M.1    Rolfo, S.2
  • 18
    • 0035210147 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Regional innovation systems, clusters, and the knowledge economy
    • Cooke, P. (1999) 'Regional innovation systems, clusters, and the knowledge economy', Industrial and Corporate Change, Vol.10, No.4, pp.945-974. (Pubitemid 33146596)
    • (2001) Industrial and Corporate Change , vol.10 , Issue.4 , pp. 945-974
    • Cooke, P.1
  • 19
    • 0038819980 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Economic globalisation and its future challenges for regional development
    • Cooke, P. (2003) 'Economic globalisation and its future challenges for regional development', Int. J. Technology Management, Vol.26, Nos. 2-4, pp.401-420.
    • (2003) Int. J. Technology Management , vol.26 , Issue.2-4 , pp. 401-420
    • Cooke, P.1
  • 20
    • 0346335574 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Strategic foresight in a high-speed environment
    • March
    • Costanzo, L.A. (2004) 'Strategic foresight in a high-speed environment', Futures, Vol.36, No.2, March, pp.219-235.
    • (2004) Futures , vol.36 , Issue.2 , pp. 219-235
    • Costanzo, L.A.1
  • 21
    • 84886215929 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Futur - foresight for priority-setting in Germany
    • Cuhls, K. (2004) 'Futur - foresight for priority-setting in Germany', Int. J. Foresight and Innovation Policy, Vol.1, Nos. 3-4, pp.183-194.
    • (2004) Int. J. Foresight and Innovation Policy , vol.1 , Issue.3-4 , pp. 183-194
    • Cuhls, K.1
  • 23
    • 0037355014 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The suitability of technology forecasting/foresight methods for decision systems and strategy: A Japanese view
    • DOI 10.1016/S0040-1625(02)00194-4, PII S0040162502001944
    • Eto, H. (2003) 'The suitability of technology forecasting/foresight methods for decision systems and strategy: a Japanese view', Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol.70, No.3, pp.231-249. (Pubitemid 36141480)
    • (2003) Technological Forecasting and Social Change , vol.70 , Issue.3 , pp. 231-249
    • Eto, H.1
  • 24
    • 77953964138 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Obstacles to the acceptance of technology foresight for decision makers
    • Eto, H. (2004) 'Obstacles to the acceptance of technology foresight for decision makers', Int. J. Foresight and Innovation Policy, Vol.1, Nos. 3-4, pp.232-242.
    • (2004) Int. J. Foresight and Innovation Policy , vol.1 , Issue.3-4 , pp. 232-242
    • Eto, H.1
  • 26
    • 0030480815 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The UK technology foresight programme
    • PII S0016328796000134
    • Georghiou, L. (1996) 'The UK technology foresight programme', Futures, Vol.28, No.4, pp.359-377. (Pubitemid 27070606)
    • (1996) Futures , vol.28 , Issue.4 , pp. 359-377
    • Georghiou, L.1
  • 27
    • 33746357564 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluation of national foresight activities: Assessing rationale, process and impact
    • DOI 10.1016/j.techfore.2005.08.003, PII S004016250500137X
    • Georghiou, L. and Keenan, M. (2005) 'Evaluation of national foresight activities: assessing rationale, process and impact', Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol.73, pp.761-777. (Pubitemid 44111696)
    • (2006) Technological Forecasting and Social Change , vol.73 , Issue.7 , pp. 761-777
    • Georghiou, L.1    Keenan, M.2
  • 28
    • 0348218921 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Local social knowledge management: Community actors, institutions and multilevel governance in regional foresight exercises
    • Gertler, M.S. and Wolfe, D.A. (2004) 'Local social knowledge management: community actors, institutions and multilevel governance in regional foresight exercises', Futures, Vol.36, No.1, pp.45-65.
    • (2004) Futures , vol.36 , Issue.1 , pp. 45-65
    • Gertler, M.S.1    Wolfe, D.A.2
  • 29
    • 0042795938 scopus 로고
    • Technology and governance
    • Gibbons, J.H. and Gwin, H.L. (1985) 'Technology and governance', Technology in Society, Vol.7, No.4, pp.333-352.
    • (1985) Technology in Society , vol.7 , Issue.4 , pp. 333-352
    • Gibbons, J.H.1    Gwin, H.L.2
  • 30
    • 11344286603 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Future S&T management policy issues - 2025 global scenarios
    • DOI 10.1016/j.techfore.2003.12.005, PII S0040162504000113
    • Glenn, J. and Gordon, T. (2004) 'Future S&T management policy issues- 2025 global scenarios', Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol.71, pp.913-940. (Pubitemid 40077461)
    • (2004) Technological Forecasting and Social Change , vol.71 , Issue.9 , pp. 913-940
    • Glenn, J.1    Gordon, T.J.2
  • 31
    • 34248267929 scopus 로고
    • European network for training in strategic prospective
    • Godet, M. and Bonnaure, P. (1992) 'European network for training in strategic prospective', Futures, Vol.24, No.5, pp.511-514.
    • (1992) Futures , vol.24 , Issue.5 , pp. 511-514
    • Godet, M.1    Bonnaure, P.2
  • 33
    • 33645873882 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • RT Delphi: An efficient, 'round-less' almost real time Delphi method
    • Gordon, T. and Pease, A. (2005) 'RT Delphi: an efficient, 'round-less' almost real time Delphi method', Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol.73, No.4, pp.321-333.
    • (2005) Technological Forecasting and Social Change , vol.73 , Issue.4 , pp. 321-333
    • Gordon, T.1    Pease, A.2
  • 35
    • 29344436079 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Practices for reflexive design: Lessons from a Dutch programme on sustainable agriculture
    • Grin, J., Felix, F., Bos, B. and Spoelstra, S. (2002) 'Practices for reflexive design: lessons from a Dutch programme on sustainable agriculture', International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy, Vol.1, Nos. 1-2, pp.126-149.
    • (2002) International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy , vol.1 , Issue.1-2 , pp. 126-149
    • Grin, J.1    Felix, F.2    Bos, B.3    Spoelstra, S.4
  • 36
    • 78650107967 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Strategic knowledge for sustainable development: The need for reflexivity and learning at the interface between science and society
    • Grunwald, A. (2004) 'Strategic knowledge for sustainable development: the need for reflexivity and learning at the interface between science and society', Int. J. Foresight and Innovation Policy, Vol.1, pp.150-167.
    • (2004) Int. J. Foresight and Innovation Policy , vol.1 , pp. 150-167
    • Grunwald, A.1
  • 37
    • 0344117577 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • National technology foresight activities around the globe - an experimental study of group opinion
    • Grupp, H. and Linstone, H.A. (1999) 'National technology foresight activities around the globe - an experimental study of group opinion', Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol.60, No.1, pp.85-94.
    • (1999) Technological Forecasting and Social Change , vol.60 , Issue.1 , pp. 85-94
    • Grupp, H.1    Linstone, H.A.2
  • 38
    • 33847198614 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Foresight on biopharmaceuticals: Designing foresight methods for Spanish biopharmaceuticals
    • DOI 10.1016/j.techfore.2005.11.002, PII S0040162505001678
    • Gutierrez de Mesa, E. and Munoz, E. (2007) 'Foresight on biopharmaceuticals: designing foresight methods for Spanish biopharmaceuticals', Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol.74, No.3, pp.281-297. (Pubitemid 46299717)
    • (2007) Technological Forecasting and Social Change , vol.74 , Issue.3 , pp. 281-297
    • Gutierrez de Mesa, E.1    Munoz, E.2
  • 39
    • 0035478456 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Making and implementing foresight policy to engage the academic community: Health and life scientists' involvement in, and response to, development of the UK's technology foresight programme
    • DOI 10.1016/S0048-7333(00)00145-1, PII S0048733300001451
    • Hanney, S., Henkel, M. and von Walden Laing, D. (2001) 'Making and implementing foresight policy to engage the academic community: health and life scientists' involvement in, and response to, development of the UK's technology foresight programme', Research Policy, Vol.30, No.8, pp.1203-1219. (Pubitemid 33675455)
    • (2001) Research Policy , vol.30 , Issue.8 , pp. 1203-1219
    • Hanney, S.1    Henkel, M.2    Walden Laing, D.V.3
  • 40
    • 46749105409 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Developing light combat aircraft: Foresight as the guiding principle
    • Harinarayana, K. (2004) 'Developing light combat aircraft: foresight as the guiding principle', Int. J. Foresight and Innovation Policy, Vol.1, Nos. 3-4, pp.325-341.
    • (2004) Int. J. Foresight and Innovation Policy , vol.1 , Issue.3-4 , pp. 325-341
    • Harinarayana, K.1
  • 41
    • 42949084434 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The targeted and unforeseen impacts of foresight on innovation policy: The eFORESEE Malta case study
    • Harper, J.C. and Georghiou, L. (2005) 'The targeted and unforeseen impacts of foresight on innovation policy: the eFORESEE Malta case study', Int. J. Foresight and Innovation Policy, Vol.2, No.1, pp.84-103.
    • (2005) Int. J. Foresight and Innovation Policy , vol.2 , Issue.1 , pp. 84-103
    • Harper, J.C.1    Georghiou, L.2
  • 42
    • 0002834810 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Current foresight activities in France, Spain, and Italy
    • DOI 10.1016/S0040-1625(98)00020-1, PII S0040162598000201
    • Heraud, J.A. and Cuhls, K. (1999) 'Current foresight activities in France, Spain, and Italy', Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol.60, No.1, pp.55-70. (Pubitemid 29407626)
    • (1999) Technological Forecasting and Social Change , vol.60 , Issue.1 , pp. 55-70
    • Heraud, J.-A.1    Cuhls, K.2
  • 44
    • 0344061579 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A simple guide to successful foresight
    • Horton, A.M. (1999) 'A simple guide to successful foresight', Foresight, Vol.1, No.1, pp.6.
    • (1999) Foresight , vol.1 , Issue.1 , pp. 6
    • Horton, A.M.1
  • 45
    • 0034077758 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Science fiction and technology scenarios: Comparing Asimov's robots and Gibson's cyberspace
    • DOI 10.1016/S0160-791X(00)00004-X, PII S0160791X0000004X
    • Idier, D. (2000) 'Science fiction and technology scenarios: comparing Asimov's robots and Gibson's cyberspace', Technology in Society, Vol.22, No.2, pp.255-272. (Pubitemid 30318786)
    • (2000) Technology in Society , vol.22 , Issue.2 , pp. 255-272
    • Idier, D.1
  • 48
    • 0003154412 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A brief methodological guide to scenario building
    • Jouvenel, H.D. (2000) 'A brief methodological guide to scenario building', Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol.65, No.1, pp.37-48.
    • (2000) Technological Forecasting and Social Change , vol.65 , Issue.1 , pp. 37-48
    • Jouvenel, H.D.1
  • 49
    • 2442599997 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A challenge of integrating technology foresight and assessment in industrial strategy development and policymaking
    • DOI 10.1016/S0040-1625(02)00397-9, PII S0040162502003979
    • Kameoka, A., Yokoo, Y. and Kuwahara, T. (2004) 'A challenge of integrating technology foresight and assessment in industrial strategy development and policymaking', Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol.71, No.6, pp.579-598. (Pubitemid 38653465)
    • (2004) Technological Forecasting and Social Change , vol.71 , Issue.6 , pp. 579-598
    • Kameoka, A.1    Yokoo, Y.2    Kuwahara, T.3
  • 50
    • 34548362873 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Technology foresight in the Czech Republic
    • Klusacek, K. (2004) 'Technology foresight in the Czech Republic', Int. J. Foresight and Innovation Policy, Vol.1, Nos. 1-2, pp.89-105.
    • (2004) Int. J. Foresight and Innovation Policy , vol.1 , Issue.1-2 , pp. 89-105
    • Klusacek, K.1
  • 51
    • 5444238204 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Regional intelligence: Distributed localised information systems for innovation and development
    • Komninos, N. (2004) 'Regional intelligence: distributed localised information systems for innovation and development', Int. J. Technology Management, Vol.28, Nos. 3-6, pp.483-506.
    • (2004) Int. J. Technology Management , vol.28 , Issue.3-6 , pp. 483-506
    • Komninos, N.1
  • 52
    • 77953968037 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Foresight as a source of competitive advantage in the global polyolefin industry
    • Kulkarni, M.G. (2004) 'Foresight as a source of competitive advantage in the global polyolefin industry', Int. J. Foresight and Innovation Policy, Vol.1, Nos. 3-4, pp.277-317.
    • (2004) Int. J. Foresight and Innovation Policy , vol.1 , Issue.3-4 , pp. 277-317
    • Kulkarni, M.G.1
  • 53
    • 0036642099 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Technological generalizations and leitbilder-the anticipation of technological opportunities
    • DOI 10.1016/S0040-1625(02)00182-8, PII S0040162502001828
    • Kuusi, O. and Meyer, M. (2002) 'Technological generalizations and leitbilder - the anticipation of technological opportunities', Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol.69, No.6, pp.625-639. (Pubitemid 34792473)
    • (2002) Technological Forecasting and Social Change , vol.69 , Issue.6 , pp. 625-639
    • Kuusi, O.1    Meyer, M.2
  • 54
    • 0007524907 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Technology forecasting activities in Japan
    • DOI 10.1016/S0040-1625(98)00048-1, PII S0040162598000481
    • Kuwahara, T. (1999) 'Technology forecasting activities in Japan', Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol.60, No.1, pp.5-14. (Pubitemid 29407623)
    • (1999) Technological Forecasting and Social Change , vol.60 , Issue.1 , pp. 5-14
    • Kuwahara, T.1
  • 55
    • 77953997792 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Science, technology and governance beyond complacency: The road ahead
    • Kyriakou, D. (2004) 'Science, technology and governance beyond complacency: the road ahead', Int. J. Foresight and Innovation Policy, Vol.1, Nos. 3-4, pp.243-248.
    • (2004) Int. J. Foresight and Innovation Policy , vol.1 , Issue.3-4 , pp. 243-248
    • Kyriakou, D.1
  • 56
    • 48549111715 scopus 로고
    • Foresight activities in the USA: Time for a re-assessment?
    • Lederman, L.L. (1984) 'Foresight activities in the USA: time for a re-assessment?', Long Range Planning, Vol.17, No.3, pp.41-50.
    • (1984) Long Range Planning , vol.17 , Issue.3 , pp. 41-50
    • Lederman, L.L.1
  • 58
    • 34548616837 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On the future of technological forecasting and assessment
    • Linstone, H.A. (2004) 'On the future of technological forecasting and assessment', Int. J. Foresight and Innovation Policy, Vol.1, Nos. 3-4, pp.270-276.
    • (2004) Int. J. Foresight and Innovation Policy , vol.1 , Issue.3-4 , pp. 270-276
    • Linstone, H.A.1
  • 59
    • 34248440271 scopus 로고
    • On phoenix or foresight
    • Loveridge, D. (1984) 'On phoenix or foresight', Futures, Vol.16, No.2, pp.118-119.
    • (1984) Futures , vol.16 , Issue.2 , pp. 118-119
    • Loveridge, D.1
  • 61
    • 34248538977 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Experts and foresight: Review and experience
    • Loveridge, D. (2004) 'Experts and foresight: review and experience', Int. J. Foresight and Innovation Policy, Vol.1, Nos. 1-2, pp.33-69.
    • (2004) Int. J. Foresight and Innovation Policy , vol.1 , Issue.1-2 , pp. 33-69
    • Loveridge, D.1
  • 62
    • 0034311444 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Engaging the business support network to give SMEs the benefit of foresight
    • Major, E.J. and Cordey-Hayes, M. (2000) 'Engaging the business support network to give SMEs the benefit of foresight', Technovation, Vol.20, No.11, pp.589-602.
    • (2000) Technovation , vol.20 , Issue.11 , pp. 589-602
    • Major, E.J.1    Cordey-Hayes, M.2
  • 63
    • 0042423643 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Better technology forecasting using systematic innovation methods
    • Mann, D.L. (2003) 'Better technology forecasting using systematic innovation methods', Technology Forecasting and Social Change, Vol.70, No.8, pp.779-795.
    • (2003) Technology Forecasting and Social Change , vol.70 , Issue.8 , pp. 779-795
    • Mann, D.L.1
  • 65
    • 0344931919 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Technology foresight for wiring up the national innovation system: Experiences in Britain, Australia, and New Zealand
    • DOI 10.1016/S0040-1625(98)00022-5, PII S0040162598000225
    • Martin, B.R. and Johnston, R. (1999) 'Technology foresight for wiring up the national innovation system: experiences in Britain, Australia, and New Zealand', Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol.60, No.1, pp.37-54. (Pubitemid 29407625)
    • (1999) Technological Forecasting and Social Change , vol.60 , Issue.1 , pp. 37-54
    • Martin, B.R.1    Johnston, R.2
  • 66
  • 67
    • 77954006694 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Local innovation support in Scotland: Policy lessons from Glasgow
    • McPherson, A.H. and McDonald, S.M. (2005) 'Local innovation support in Scotland: policy lessons from Glasgow', Int. J. Foresight and Innovation Policy, Vol.2, No.1, pp.35-56.
    • (2005) Int. J. Foresight and Innovation Policy , vol.2 , Issue.1 , pp. 35-56
    • McPherson, A.H.1    McDonald, S.M.2
  • 68
    • 43249118153 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Advantages and disadvantages of scenario approaches for strategic foresight
    • Mietzner, D. and Reger, G. (2005) 'Advantages and disadvantages of scenario approaches for strategic foresight', Int. J. Technology Intelligence and Planning, Vol.1, No.2, pp.220-239.
    • (2005) Int. J. Technology Intelligence and Planning , vol.1 , Issue.2 , pp. 220-239
    • Mietzner, D.1    Reger, G.2
  • 69
    • 34548588216 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • UK foresight: Three cycles on a highway
    • Miles, I. (2005) 'UK foresight: three cycles on a highway', Int. J. Foresight and Innovation Policy, Vol.2, No.1, pp.1-34.
    • (2005) Int. J. Foresight and Innovation Policy , vol.2 , Issue.1 , pp. 1-34
    • Miles, I.1
  • 71
    • 1542281298 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The management of technological innovation: Lessons from case studies in the UK food and drink industry
    • Morgan, C.W., Blake, A. and Poyago-Theotoky, J.A. (2003) 'The management of technological innovation: lessons from case studies in the UK food and drink industry', Int. J. Biotechnology, Vol.5, Nos. 3-4, pp.334-353. (Pubitemid 38418427)
    • (2003) International Journal of Biotechnology , vol.5 , Issue.3-4 , pp. 334-353
    • Morgan, C.W.1    Blake, A.2    Poyago-Theotoky, J.A.3
  • 72
    • 0032631122 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Technology strategy in a borderless economy
    • Nakahara, T. (1999) 'Technology strategy in a borderless economy', Int. J. Technology Management, Vol.17, No.6, pp.711-724.
    • (1999) Int. J. Technology Management , vol.17 , Issue.6 , pp. 711-724
    • Nakahara, T.1
  • 73
    • 12144256704 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Participatory prognostics in Germany-Developing citizen scenarios for the relationship between biomedicine and the economy in 2014
    • DOI 10.1016/j.techfore.2004.01.006, PII S0040162504000150
    • Niewohner, J., Wiedemann, P., Karger, C., Schicktanz, S. and Tannert, C. (2005) 'Participatory prognostics in Germany - developing citizen scenarios for the relationship between biomedicine and the economy in 2014', Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol.72, No.2, pp.195-211. (Pubitemid 40106473)
    • (2005) Technological Forecasting and Social Change , vol.72 , Issue.2 , pp. 195-211
    • Niewohner, J.1    Wiedemann, P.2    Karger, C.3    Shicktanz, S.4    Tannert, C.5
  • 74
    • 22644435124 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A systems approach to policy analysis and development planning: Construction sector in the Turkish 5-year development plans
    • DOI 10.1016/j.techfore.2004.11.002, PII S0040162504001477
    • Oner, M.A. and Saritas, O. (2005) 'A systems approach to policy analysis and development planning: construction sector in the Turkish 5-year development plans', Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol.72, No.7, pp.886-911. (Pubitemid 41025062)
    • (2005) Technological Forecasting and Social Change , vol.72 , Issue.7 , pp. 886-911
    • Oner, M.A.1    Saritas, O.2
  • 75
    • 29444457842 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The role of scanning in open intelligence systems
    • Patton, K.M. (2005) 'The role of scanning in open intelligence systems', Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol.72, No.9, pp.1082-1093.
    • (2005) Technological Forecasting and Social Change , vol.72 , Issue.9 , pp. 1082-1093
    • Patton, K.M.1
  • 76
    • 0035006446 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Technology foresight - More than fashion?
    • Peissl, W. (2001) 'Technology foresight - more than fashion?', Int. J. Technology Management, Vol.21, Nos. 7-8, pp.653-660. (Pubitemid 32432746)
    • (2001) International Journal of Technology Management , vol.21 , Issue.7-8 , pp. 653-660
    • Peissl, W.1
  • 77
    • 0036612094 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Leveraging technology foresight to create temporal advantage
    • Peterson, J.W. (2002) 'Leveraging technology foresight to create temporal advantage', Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol.69, No.5, pp.485-494.
    • (2002) Technological Forecasting and Social Change , vol.69 , Issue.5 , pp. 485-494
    • Peterson, J.W.1
  • 78
    • 17644407656 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Collaborative technology roadmapping: Network development and research prioritization
    • Phaal, R., Farrukh, C.J.P. and Probert, D.R. (2004) 'Collaborative technology roadmapping: network development and research prioritization', Int. J. Technology Intelligence and Planning, Vol.1, No.1, pp.39-55.
    • (2004) Int. J. Technology Intelligence and Planning , vol.1 , Issue.1 , pp. 39-55
    • Phaal, R.1    Farrukh, C.J.P.2    Probert, D.R.3
  • 79
    • 0031852897 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Food security and sustainable use of natural resources: A 2020 vision
    • DOI 10.1016/S0921-8009(97)00067-0, PII S0921800997000670
    • Pinstrup-Andersen, P. and Pandya-Lorch, R. (1998) 'Food security and sustainable use of natural resources: a 2020 Vision', Ecological Economics, Vol.26, No.1, pp.1-10. (Pubitemid 28378629)
    • (1998) Ecological Economics , vol.26 , Issue.1 , pp. 1-10
    • Pinstrup-Andersen, P.1    Pandya-Lorch, R.2
  • 82
    • 29444435548 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • QTIP: Quick technology intelligence processes
    • Porter, A.L. (2005) 'QTIP: Quick technology intelligence processes', Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol.72, No.9, pp.1070-1081.
    • (2005) Technological Forecasting and Social Change , vol.72 , Issue.9 , pp. 1070-1081
    • Porter, A.L.1
  • 83
    • 0043015544 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Two Styles of Foresight: Are We Predicting the Future or Inventing It?
    • DOI 10.1016/0024-6301(96)00010-6
    • Raimond, P. (1996) 'Two styles of foresight: Are we predicting the future or inventing it?', Long Range Planning, Vol.29, No.2, pp.208-214. (Pubitemid 126403022)
    • (1996) Long Range Planning , vol.29 , Issue.2 , pp. 208-214
    • Raimond, P.1
  • 84
    • 0033179305 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Rationalising the future? Foresight in science and technology policy co-ordination
    • DOI 10.1016/S0016-3287(99)00012-9, PII S0016328799000129
    • Rappert, B. (1999) 'Rationalising the future? Foresight in science and technology policy co-ordination', Futures, Vol.31, No.6, pp.527-545. (Pubitemid 29351392)
    • (1999) Futures , vol.31 , Issue.6 , pp. 527-545
    • Rappert, B.1
  • 86
    • 0346965497 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Causes and consequences of the lack of strategic foresight in the decisions of multinational enterprises to enter China
    • Reid, D.M. and Zyglidopoulos, S.C. (2004) 'Causes and consequences of the lack of strategic foresight in the decisions of multinational enterprises to enter China', Futures, Vol.36, No.2, pp.237-252.
    • (2004) Futures , vol.36 , Issue.2 , pp. 237-252
    • Reid, D.M.1    Zyglidopoulos, S.C.2
  • 87
    • 0345354734 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Technology foresight - The future for IT
    • Robinson, G.W. (1996) 'Technology foresight - the future for IT', Long Range Planning, Vol.29, No.2, pp.232-238.
    • (1996) Long Range Planning , vol.29 , Issue.2 , pp. 232-238
    • Robinson, G.W.1
  • 88
    • 70449619618 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Foresight, vision and strategy in the management of fast breeder technology in India
    • Rodriguez, P. (2004) 'Foresight, vision and strategy in the management of fast breeder technology in India', Int. J. Foresight and Innovation Policy, Vol.1, Nos. 3-4, pp.342-368.
    • (2004) Int. J. Foresight and Innovation Policy , vol.1 , Issue.3-4 , pp. 342-368
    • Rodriguez, P.1
  • 89
    • 0035419914 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Technological clusters with a knowledge-based principle: Evidence from a Delphi investigation in the French case of the life sciences
    • DOI 10.1016/S0048-7333(00)00134-7, PII S0048733300001347
    • Ronde, P. (2001) 'Technological clusters with a knowledge-based principle: evidence from a Delphi investigation in the French case of the life sciences', Research Policy, Vol.30, No.7, pp.1041-1057. (Pubitemid 33678425)
    • (2001) Research Policy , vol.30 , Issue.7 , pp. 1041-1057
    • Ronde, P.1
  • 90
    • 0038814717 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Delphi analysis of national specificities in selected innovative areas in Germany and France
    • DOI 10.1016/S0040-1625(02)00305-0
    • Ronde, P. (2003) 'Delphi analysis of national specificities in selected innovative areas in Germany and France', Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol.70, No.5, pp.419-448. (Pubitemid 36524977)
    • (2003) Technological Forecasting and Social Change , vol.70 , Issue.5 , pp. 419-448
    • Ronde, P.1
  • 91
    • 77953968979 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Relationships between national and regional foresight: Lessons from experience
    • Roveda, C., Vecchiato, R. and Vercesi, P. (2004) 'Relationships between national and regional foresight: lessons from experience', Int. J. Foresight and Innovation Policy, Vol.1, Nos. 3-4, pp.318-324.
    • (2004) Int. J. Foresight and Innovation Policy , vol.1 , Issue.3-4 , pp. 318-324
    • Roveda, C.1    Vecchiato, R.2    Vercesi, P.3
  • 92
    • 11344264192 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Emergent foresight processes: Industrial activities in wireless communications
    • DOI 10.1016/j.techfore.2003.09.001, PII S0040162503001185
    • Salmenkaita, J.P. and Salo, A. (2004) 'Emerging foresight process: industrial activities in wireless communications', Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol.71, No.9, pp.897-912. (Pubitemid 40077460)
    • (2004) Technological Forecasting and Social Change , vol.71 , Issue.9 , pp. 897-912
    • Salmenkaita, J.-P.1    Salo, A.2
  • 95
    • 33645868569 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A group support system for foresight processes
    • Salo, A. and Gustafsson T. (2004) 'A group support system for foresight processes', Int. J. Foresight and Innovation Policy, Vol.1, Nos. 3-4, pp.249-269.
    • (2004) Int. J. Foresight and Innovation Policy , vol.1 , Issue.3-4 , pp. 249-269
    • Salo, A.1    Gustafsson, T.2
  • 97
    • 0035025534 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Understanding technology foresight: The relevance of its S&T policy context
    • Sanz-Menendez, L., Cabello, C. and Garcia, C.E. (2001) 'Understanding technology foresight: the relevance of its S&T policy context [1]', Int. J. Technology Management, Vol.21, Nos. 7-8, pp.661-679. (Pubitemid 32432747)
    • (2001) International Journal of Technology Management , vol.21 , Issue.7-8 , pp. 661-679
    • Sanz-Menendez, L.1    Cabello, C.2    Garcia, C.E.3
  • 98
    • 0345790329 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Systemic analysis of UK foresight results Joint application of integrated management model and roadmapping
    • DOI 10.1016/S0040-1625(03)00067-2
    • Saritas, O. and Oner, M.A. (2004) 'Systemic analysis of UK foresight results: joint application of integrated management model and roadmapping', Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol.71, Nos. 1-2, pp.27-65. (Pubitemid 38047684)
    • (2004) Technological Forecasting and Social Change , vol.71 , Issue.1-2 , pp. 27-65
    • Saritas, O.1    Oner, M.A.2
  • 99
    • 0028579543 scopus 로고
    • Research foresight activities and technological development in Korea: Science and technology policies in national R&D programs
    • Shin, T. and Kim, H. (1994) 'Research foresight activities and technological development in Korea: Science and technology policies in national R&D programs', Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol.45, No.1, pp.31-45.
    • (1994) Technological Forecasting and Social Change , vol.45 , Issue.1 , pp. 31-45
    • Shin, T.1    Kim, H.2
  • 100
    • 0344980149 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Technology foresight activities in Korea and in countries closing the technology gap
    • DOI 10.1016/S0040-1625(98)00038-9, PII S0040162598000389
    • Shin, T., Hong, S.K. and Grupp, H. (1999) 'Technology foresight activities in Korea and in countries closing the technology gap', Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol.60, Nos. 1-2, pp.71-84. (Pubitemid 29407627)
    • (1999) Technological Forecasting and Social Change , vol.60 , Issue.1 , pp. 71-84
    • Shin, T.1    Hong, S.-K.2    Grupp, H.3
  • 101
    • 0343900070 scopus 로고
    • The foresight principle
    • Slaughter, R.A. (1990) 'The foresight principle', Futures, Vol.22, No.8, pp.801-819.
    • (1990) Futures , vol.22 , Issue.8 , pp. 801-819
    • Slaughter, R.A.1
  • 102
    • 44049118814 scopus 로고
    • Australia's commission for the future: The first six years
    • Slaughter, R.A. (1992) 'Australia's commission for the future: the first six years', Futures, Vol.24, No.3, pp.268-276.
    • (1992) Futures , vol.24 , Issue.3 , pp. 268-276
    • Slaughter, R.A.1
  • 103
    • 0041538106 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Foresight beyond strategy: Social initiatives by business and government
    • Slaughter, R.A. (1996a) 'Foresight beyond strategy: social initiatives by business and government', Long Range Planning, Vol.29, No.2, pp.156-163.
    • (1996) Long Range Planning , vol.29 , Issue.2 , pp. 156-163
    • Slaughter, R.A.1
  • 104
    • 0010126862 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Long-term thinking and the politics of reconceptualization
    • Slaughter, R.A. (1996b) 'Long-term thinking and the politics of reconceptualization', Futures, Vol.28, No.1, pp.75-86.
    • (1996) Futures , vol.28 , Issue.1 , pp. 75-86
    • Slaughter, R.A.1
  • 105
    • 0034093367 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A personal agenda for the 21st century
    • Slaughter, R.A. (2000) 'A personal agenda for the 21st century', Futures, Vol.32, No.1, p.43.
    • (2000) Futures , vol.32 , Issue.1 , pp. 43
    • Slaughter, R.A.1
  • 106
    • 2942750011 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Road testing a new model at the Australian foresight institute
    • Slaughter, R.A. (2004) 'Road testing a new model at the Australian foresight institute', Futures, Vol.36, No.8, pp.837-852.
    • (2004) Futures , vol.36 , Issue.8 , pp. 837-852
    • Slaughter, R.A.1
  • 108
    • 0742302284 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Technology futures analysis: Toward integration of the field and new methods
    • Technology Futures Analysis Methods Working Group
    • Technology Futures Analysis Methods Working Group (2004) 'Technology futures analysis: toward integration of the field and new methods', Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol.71, No.3, pp.287-303.
    • (2004) Technological Forecasting and Social Change , vol.71 , Issue.3 , pp. 287-303
  • 109
    • 0035017834 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Decision Delphi as a tool of technology policy - The Austrian experience
    • Tichy, G. (2001) 'The decision Delphi as a tool of technology policy - the Austrian experience', Int. J. Technology Management, Vol.21, Nos. 7-8, pp.756-766. (Pubitemid 32432753)
    • (2001) International Journal of Technology Management , vol.21 , Issue.7-8 , pp. 756-766
    • Tichy, G.1
  • 110
    • 16544375650 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The over-optimism among experts in assessment and foresight
    • DOI 10.1016/j.techfore.2004.01.003, PII S0040162504000125
    • Tichy, G. (2004) 'The over-optimism among experts in assessment and foresight', Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol.71, No.4, pp.341-363. (Pubitemid 38498202)
    • (2004) Technological Forecasting and Social Change , vol.71 , Issue.4 , pp. 341-363
    • Tichy, G.1
  • 111
    • 77953555903 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Decision making in a fast speed world: An early warning system for avoiding crises
    • Toma, L. (2004) 'Decision making in a fast speed world: an early warning system for avoiding crises', Int. J. Foresight and Innovation Policy, Vol.1, Nos. 3-4, pp.218-231.
    • (2004) Int. J. Foresight and Innovation Policy , vol.1 , Issue.3-4 , pp. 218-231
    • Toma, L.1
  • 112
    • 34447293101 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Leapfrogging into the future: Developing for sustainability
    • Tukker, A. (2005) 'Leapfrogging into the future: developing for sustainability', Int. J. Innovation and Sustainable Development, Vol.1, Nos. 1-2, pp.65-84.
    • (2005) Int. J. Innovation and Sustainable Development , vol.1 , Issue.1-2 , pp. 65-84
    • Tukker, A.1
  • 113
    • 0347573149 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Science policies as principal-agent games Institutionalization and path dependency in the relation between government and science
    • PII S0048733398000493
    • van der Meulen, B. (1998) 'Science policies as principal-agent games: institutionalization and path dependency in the relation between government and science', Research Policy, Vol.27, No.4, pp.397-414. (Pubitemid 128419026)
    • (1998) Research Policy , vol.27 , Issue.4 , pp. 397-414
    • Van Der Meulen, B.1
  • 114
    • 0033020018 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The impact of foresight on environmental science and technology policy in the Netherlands
    • DOI 10.1016/S0016-3287(98)00107-4, PII S0016328798001074
    • van der Meulen, B. (1999) 'The impact of foresight on environmental science and technology policy in The Netherlands', Futures, Vol.31, No.1, pp.7-23. (Pubitemid 29261008)
    • (1999) Futures , vol.31 , Issue.1 , pp. 7-23
    • Van Der Meulen, B.1
  • 115
    • 0035004821 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The use of foresight: Institutional constraints and conditions
    • van der Meulen, B. and Lohnberg, A. (2001) 'The use of foresight: institutional constraints and conditions', Int. J. Technology Management, Vol.21, Nos. 7-8, pp.680-693. (Pubitemid 32432748)
    • (2001) International Journal of Technology Management , vol.21 , Issue.7-8 , pp. 680-693
    • Van Der Meulen, B.1    Lohnberg, A.2
  • 117
    • 79951875757 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Technology foresight for The Netherlands: Strategic technologies and the knowledge infrastructure to support them
    • Walker, W.E., Rahman, S.A. and van der Lande, M.P.R.W.I. (2001) 'Technology foresight for The Netherlands: strategic technologies and the knowledge infrastructure to support them', Int. J. Technology, Policy and Management, Vol.1, No.1, pp.9-28.
    • (2001) Int. J. Technology, Policy and Management , vol.1 , Issue.1 , pp. 9-28
    • Walker, W.E.1    Rahman, S.A.2    Van Der Lande, M.P.R.W.I.3
  • 118
    • 0032686033 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Technologies in transition, policies in transition: Foresight in the risk society
    • Webster, A. (1999) 'Technologies in transition, policies in transition: foresight in the risk society', Technovation, Vol.19, Nos. 6-7, pp.413-421.
    • (1999) Technovation , vol.19 , Issue.6-7 , pp. 413-421
    • Webster, A.1
  • 119
    • 34548647212 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Technology foresight in an age of uncertainty
    • Wilson, I. (2004) 'Technology foresight in an age of uncertainty', Int. J. Foresight and Innovation Policy, Vol.1, Nos. 3-4, pp.207-217.
    • (2004) Int. J. Foresight and Innovation Policy , vol.1 , Issue.3-4 , pp. 207-217
    • Wilson, I.1
  • 121


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.