The Decision Delphi as a tool of technology policy - The Austrian experience

International Journal of Technology Management

Volumn 21, Issue 7-8, 2001, Pages 756-766

  Tichy, Gunther ^a,b,c,d,e,f  

^a ERICH SCHMID INSTITUTE OF MATERIALS SCIENCE   (Austria)

^b UNIVERSITY OF VIENNA   (Austria)

^c Austrian Inst of Econ Resch   (Austria)

^d Howard Hughes Medical Institute   (United States)

^e Girozentrale   (Austria)

^f UNIVERSITY OF GRAZ   (Austria)

Author keywords

Austria; Decision Delphi; Delphi method; Innovations; Small countries; Social foresight; Technology foresight

Indexed keywords

DECISION MAKING; PUBLIC POLICY;

SOCIAL FORESIGHT;

TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING;

EID: 0035017834     PISSN: 02675730     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1504/ijtm.2001.002948     Document Type: Article

References (15)

1. Hutschenreiter, G. (1995) 'Intersektorale und internationale "F&E-Spill-Overs". Externe Effekte von Forschung und Entwicklung', Monatsberichte des Österreichischen Instituts für Wirtschaftsforschung, Vol. 68, No. 6, pp.419-427.
2. Vedin, B-A. (1995) Innovation Foresight at the Edge of Chaos. Report from the Six Countries Program Workshop Stockholm, TNO, Delft.
3. Freeman, C. (1987) 'National systems of innovation, the case of Japan', Technology Policy and Economic Performance: Lessons from Japan, Pinter, London.
4. Lundvall, B-A, (Ed.) (1992) National Systems of Innovation: Towards a Theory of Innovation and Interactive Learning, Pinter, London.
5. OECD (1967) Technological Forecasting in Perspective, OECD, Paris.
6. ITA (1998) TechnologiE-Delphi Band I: Konzept und Überblick; Band II. Ergebnisse und Maßnahmenvorschläge, Band III: Materialien, Wien.
7. WIFO et al. (1996) 'Technologiepolitisches Konzept 1996 der Bundesregierung', Mimeo, Wien.
8. It should be mentioned, however, that the British and the Dutch foresight exercises are important predecessors to the Austrian innovations in methodology. The Dutch scenario study explicitly renounced searching for emerging technologies for the same reasons as the Austrian one. As with the British Delphi study, it was decentralized, problem-oriented and part of a basic attempt at developing a new broadly based system of technology policy with 'Knowledge in action' (Netherlands) 'Winning through foresight' and 'Realizing our potential' (Great Britain) or 'Matching science and technology to future needs' (Australia) as the dominating slogans.
9. Rauch, W. (1979) The Decision Delphi', Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 15, pp.159-169.
10. Turoff, M. (1970) 'The design of a policy Delphi', Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 2, No. 2.
11. ITA (1997) Internationale Technologietrends. Eine Sekundäranalyse, Institut für Technikfolgen-Abschätzung, Wien.
12. Of which 17% were entrepreneurs, 23% physical scientists, 16% technicians, 13% social scientists, 19% administration.
13. ITA (1997) Expertenumfrage: Stärken und Schwächen des Österreichischen Technologiesektors, Institut für Technikfolgen-Abschätzung, Wien.
14. Rust, H. (1997) 'Inhaltsanalyse meinungsführender Medien', Mimeo, Wien.
15. The name of this field could be somewhat misleading, as it was not intended to concentrate on the pedagogical aspects; at the centre stands the utilization of new media and the Austrian chance to provide content.