The use of foresight: Institutional constraints and conditions

International Journal of Technology Management

Volumn 21, Issue 7-8, 2001, Pages 680-693

  Van Der Meulen, Barend ^a   Löhnberg, Anne ^a,b,c  

^a UNIVERSITY OF TWENTE   (Netherlands)

^b UNIVERSITY OF AMSTERDAM   (Netherlands)

^c Ctr Studs Sci Technol and Soc   (Netherlands)

Author keywords

Comparative studies; Foresight; Innovation policy; Institutional theory; Systems of innovation

Indexed keywords

ANALYSIS; COMPETITION; TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING;

INNOVATION POLICY;

PUBLIC POLICY;

EID: 0035004821     PISSN: 02675730     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1504/ijtm.2001.002943     Document Type: Article

References (28)

1. Martin, B. and Irvine, J. (1989) Research Foresight, Priority Setting in Science, Pinter Publishers Ltd., London.
2. Coates, J.F. (1985) 'Foresight in Federal Government policy making', Futures Research Quarterly, Vol. 1, pp.29-53.
3. Van Lente, H. (1993) Promising Technology, the Dynamics of Expectations in Technological Development, Eburon, Delft.
4. De Laat, B. (1996) 'Scripts for the future: technology foresight, strategic evaluation and socio-technical networks: the confrontation of script-based scenarios', PhD Thesis, University of Amsterdam.
5. Schaeffer, G.J. (1998) Fuel cells for the future: a contribution to technology forecasting from a technology dynamics perspective', PhD Thesis, University of Twente.
6. OECD (1992) Technology and Economy: the Key Relationships, OECD, Paris.
7. Edquist, Ch. (Ed.) (1997) Systems of Innovation: Technologies, Institutions and Organizations, Pinter Publishers, London and Washington.
8. Lundvall, B.E. (Ed.) National Systems of Innovation: Towards a Theory of Innovation and Interactive Learning, Pinter Publishers, London.
9. Foray, D. (1997) 'Generation and distribution of technological knowledge: incentives, norms and institutions', in Ch. Edquist, (Ed), Systems of Innovation: Technologies, Institutions and Organizations, Pinter Publishers, London and Washington, pp.64-85.
10. Smith, K. (1997) 'Economic infrastructure and innovation systems', in Ch. Edquist (Ed.), Systems of Innovation: Technologies, Institutions and Organizations, Pinter, London and Washington, pp.86-106.
11. Within studies on (national) systems of innovation, the concept is used for Organizations' like firms, universities, 'the government', for all 'contractual arrangements', including organizations, the market, the law, or even more loosely for all norms, values and rules, including standard approaches to technological innovation, to policy making and shared expectations. For an overview, see [12].
12. Edquist, Ch. and Johnson, B. (1997) 'Institutions and organizations in systems of innovation', in Ch. Edquist (Ed.) Systems of Innovation: Technologies, Institutions and Organizations, Pinter, London and Washington, pp.36-63.
13. North, D. (1991) Institutions, Institutional Change and Economic Performance, Cambridge MA, Cambridge University Press.
14. Scott, W.R. (1995) Institutions and Organizations, Sage Publ., London,.
15. Ostrom, E. (1986) 'A method of institutional analysis', in K.-X. Kaufmann, G.Majone and V. Ostrom (Eds.) Guidance and Control in the Public Sector: The Bielefeld Interdisciplinary Project, De Gruyter, Berlin, pp.459-475.
16. The implicit perspective on coordination deviates from the general view on coordination as an (ideal typical) optimal organization of interactions either through markets, hierarchies, or networks. Instead we perceive coordination as a result of the interplay between local and global levels of interactions. Coordination then might structure non-equilibrium interactions that typically occur around (radical) innovation processes.
17. Disco, C. and van der Meulen, B.J.R. (Eds.) (1998) Getting New Technologies Together, Studies in Making Sociotechnical Order, W. de Gruyter, Berlin.
18. Nelis, A. (1998) DNA Diagnostiek in Nederland, een Regime Analyse van het Ontstaan van Klinische Genetica en DNA Diagnostiche Tests 1970-1997, Twente University Press, Enschede.
19. Van Lente, H. and Rip, A. (1998) 'Expectations in technological developments: an example of prospective structures to be filled in by agency', in C. Disco and B. van der Meulen (Eds.), Getting New Technologies Together, Studies in Making Sociotechnical Order, W. de Gruyter, Berlin.
20. Roobeek, A.J.M. (1990) Beyond the Technology Race: an Analysis of Technology Policy in Seven Industrial Countries, Elsevier Science Publishers, Amsterdam.
21. Van Lente, H. and Rip, A. (1998) 'The rise of membrane technology: from rhetorics to social reality', Social Studies of Science, Vol. 28, No. 2, pp.221-254.
22. Van der Meulen, B. (1992) Evaluation Processes in Science: the Construction of Quality by Science, Government, and Industry, University of Twente, Enschede.
23. Braun, D. (1993) 'Who governs intermediate agencies? principal-agent relations in research policy-making', Journal of Public Policy, Vol. 13, No. 2, pp.135-162.
24. Guston, D. (1996) 'Principal agent theory and the structure of science police', Science and Public Policy, Vol. 23, No. 4, pp.229-240.
25. Van der Meulen, B. (1998) 'Science policies as principal agent games; institutionalization and path dependency in the relation between government and science', Research Policy, Vol. 27, pp.397-414.
26. Van der Meulen, B. and Rip, A. (1998) 'Mediation in the Dutch science system', Research Policy, Vol. 27, pp.757-769.
27. Den Hond, F. and Groenewegen, P. (1996) 'Environmental technology foresight: new horizons for Technology Management', Technology Analysis and Strategic Management, Vol. 8, No. 1, pp.33-46.
28. van der Meulen, B. (1999) The impact of foresight in environmental science and technology policy in the Netherlands', Futures, Vol. 31, pp.7-23.