The over-optimism among experts in assessment and foresight

Technological Forecasting and Social Change

Volumn 71, Issue 4, 2004, Pages 341-363

  Tichy, Gunther ^a  

^a ERICH SCHMID INSTITUTE OF MATERIALS SCIENCE   (Austria)

Author keywords

Delphi methods; Expert optimism; Foresight exercises; Self rating of experts

Indexed keywords

ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL EFFECTS; PARAMETER ESTIMATION; PROBLEM SOLVING;

DIFFUSION PROBLEMS; ECONOMIC EXPLOITATION; EXPERT ASSESSMENTS; ORGANIZATIONAL INNOVATIONS;

TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING;

DELPHI ANALYSIS;

EID: 16544375650     PISSN: 00401625     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2004.01.003     Document Type: Article

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