Foresight - Refining the process

International Journal of Technology Management

Volumn 21, Issue 7-8, 2001, Pages 711-725

  Johnston, Ron ^a,b,c  

^a UNIVERSITY OF SYDNEY   (Australia)

^b Australian Ctr Innov Intl C   (Australia)

^c Intl Advsy Bd APEC Technol F   (Thailand)

Author keywords

Delphi; Foresight; Innovation; Participatory policy analysis; Scenario planning

Indexed keywords

MANAGEMENT; PLANNING; PUBLIC POLICY;

SCENARIO PLANNING;

TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING;

EID: 0035003305     PISSN: 02675730     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1504/ijtm.2001.002945     Document Type: Article

References (30)

1. STI Review (1996) 'Special issue on government technology foresight exercises', No. 17, p.23, OECD, Paris.
2. Martin, B.R. (1996) Technology foresight: capturing the benefits from science-related technologies', Research Evaluation, Vol. 6, No. 2, pp.158-168.
3. APEC (1998) Technology Foresight, NSTDA, Thailand.
4. Shin, T. (1998) 'Application of technology foresight to the formulation of S&T policies', Application of Technology Foresight, NSTDA, Bangkok, pp.59-80.
5. Martin, B.R. and Johnston, R. (1999) Technology foresight for wiring up the national innovation system: experiences in Britain, Australia and New Zealand', Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 60, pp.37-54.
6. Gibbons, M. et al. (1994) The New Production of Knowledge: the Dynamics of Science and Research in Contemporary Societies, Sage, London.
7. Battelle Research Centre (1996) Foresighling Around the World: a Review of Seven Best-in-Kind Programs, Seattle.
8. Martin, B.R. and Irvine, J. (1989) Research Foresight, Pinter, London.
9. Johnston, R. (1998) 'Foresight: A new approach to strategic planning, a management tool, or a new social contract for research - Australian and international experience', presented to the institute for the Prospective Technological Studies, Seville, Spain.
10. Hesselbein, F., Goldsmith, M. and Beckhard, R. (Eds.) (1996) The Leader of the Future, Jossey Bass, San Francisco.
11. Wack, P. (1985) 'Scenarios: uncharted waters ahead', Harvard Business Review, Cambridge, September-October.
12. Wack, P. (1985) 'Scenarios: shooting the rapids', Harvard Business Review, Cambridge, November-December.
13. Price, G. (1997) 'Managing uncertainty and risk using scenarios', in J. Anderson, R. Fears, and B. Taylor (Eds.), Managing Technology for Competitive Advantage, Financial Times, London, pp.305-326.
14. ASAC (1997) Australia's Antarctic Program Beyond 2000: a Framework for the Future, AGPS, Hobart.
15. Johnston, R. and Chudleigh, P. (1998) Foresighting Sustainable Irrigation and River Health, LWRRDC, Canberra.
16. Johnston, R. (1998) Dry Knowledge Economies: Opportunities from Arid Zone Research, ACIIC, Sydney.
17. Office of Science and Technology (1995) Progress Through Partnership; Report of the Technology Foresight Steering Group, HMSO, London.
18. ASTEC (1996) Developing Long-Term Strategies for Science and Technology in Australia, AGPS, Canberra.
19. http://www.tfi.com/ResCon/forecasting.html
20. Courtney, H., Kirkland, J. and Viguerie, P. (1997) 'Strategy under uncertainty', Harvard Business Review, November-December, pp.67-79.
21. Office of Science and Technology (1998) Foresight for Trade Associations and Other Member-Based Organizations, a Guide for Running Effective Sectoral Foresight, London.
22. Grupp, H. (1994) 'Technology at the beginning of the 21st Century', Technology Analysis and Strategic Management, Vol. 6, pp.371-401.
23. APEC Centre for Technology Foresight (1999) Water Supply and Management in the APEC Region, NSTDA, Bangkok.
24. Kahn, H. (1977) Next 200 Years: a Scenario for America and the World, Associated Business Programs, London.
25. ASTEC (1996) Australian Maritime Industries: Priorities in Science and Technology, AGPS, Canberra, p.20.
26. Kahn, H. quoted in [18,p.310].
27. Schwartz, P. (1991) The Art of the Long View, Doubleday, New York.
28. Jewell, T. and Sripaipan, C. (1998) 'Multi-country foresight - issues and challenges: a paper based on a foresight study on the future for water supply and management in the APEC Region to 2010', presented to the Conference of the International Association of Technology Assessment and Forecasting, New Delhi, India.
29. Guerts, J. and Mayer, I. (1996) Methods for Participatory Policy Analysis, WORC Report 96.12.008/3, p.17, Tilburg University, Netherlands.
30. Duke, R.D. (1974) Gaming: the Future's Language, Sage, London.