메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 30, Issue 6, 2006, Pages 751-777

Methods and uncertainties in bioclimatic envelope modelling under climate change

Author keywords

Bioclimatic model; Climate change; Land cover; Model performance; Modelling methods; Niche properties; Scale; Species distribution model; Species geography; Uncertainty; Validation

Indexed keywords

BIOCLIMATOLOGY; BIODIVERSITY; CLIMATE CHANGE; MODEL VALIDATION;

EID: 33748537148     PISSN: 03091333     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1177/0309133306071957     Document Type: Review
Times cited : (797)

References (187)
  • 1
    • 17444376849 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Partitioning the variation among spatial, temporal and environmental components in a multivariate data set
    • Anderson, M.J. and Gribble, N.A. 1998: Partitioning the variation among spatial, temporal and environmental components in a multivariate data set. Australian Journal of Ecology 23, 158-67.
    • (1998) Australian Journal of Ecology , vol.23 , pp. 158-167
    • Anderson, M.J.1    Gribble, N.A.2
  • 2
    • 0036227839 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Geographical distributions of spiny pocket mice in South America: Insights from predictive models
    • Anderson, R.P., Gómez-Laverde, M. and Peterson, A.T. 2002a: Geographical distributions of spiny pocket mice in South America: insights from predictive models. Global Ecology and Biogeography 11, 131-41.
    • (2002) Global Ecology and Biogeography , vol.11 , pp. 131-141
    • Anderson, R.P.1    Gómez-Laverde, M.2    Peterson, A.T.3
  • 3
    • 0037446358 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluating predictive models of species' distributions: Criteria for selecting optimal models
    • Anderson, R.P., Lew, D. and Peterson, A.T. 2003: Evaluating predictive models of species' distributions: criteria for selecting optimal models. Ecological Modelling 162, 211-32.
    • (2003) Ecological Modelling , vol.162 , pp. 211-232
    • Anderson, R.P.1    Lew, D.2    Peterson, A.T.3
  • 4
    • 0036342869 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Using niche-based GIS modeling to test geographic predictions of competitive exclusion and competitive release in South American pocket mice
    • Anderson, R.P., Peterson, A.T. and Gómez-Laverde, M. 2002b: Using niche-based GIS modeling to test geographic predictions of competitive exclusion and competitive release in South American pocket mice. Oikos 98, 3-16.
    • (2002) Oikos , vol.98 , pp. 3-16
    • Anderson, R.P.1    Peterson, A.T.2    Gómez-Laverde, M.3
  • 5
    • 33846191886 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Anonymous Seattle, WA: Insightful Corporation
    • Anonymous 2001: S-PLUS 6 for Windows Guide to Statistics, Volume 1. Seattle, WA: Insightful Corporation.
    • (2001) S-PLUS 6 for Windows Guide to Statistics , vol.1
  • 6
    • 33845633261 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ensemble forecasting of species distributions
    • in press. DOI: 10.1016/j.tree.2006.09.010
    • Araújo, M.B. and New, M. 2006: Ensemble forecasting of species distributions. TREE, in press. DOI: 10.1016/j.tree.2006.09.010.
    • (2006) TREE
    • Araújo, M.B.1    New, M.2
  • 7
    • 24344439469 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Equilibrium of species' distributions with climate
    • Araújo, M.B. and Pearson, R.G. 2005: Equilibrium of species' distributions with climate. Ecography 28, 693-95.
    • (2005) Ecography , vol.28 , pp. 693-695
    • Araújo, M.B.1    Pearson, R.G.2
  • 8
    • 33748497089 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • How does climate change affect biodiversity?
    • Araújo, M. B. and Rahbek, C. 2006: How does climate change affect biodiversity? Science 313, 1396-97.
    • (2006) Science , vol.313 , pp. 1396-1397
    • Araújo, M.B.1    Rahbek, C.2
  • 9
    • 0033784575 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Selecting areas for species persistence using occurrence data
    • Araújo, M.B. and Williams, P.H. 2000: Selecting areas for species persistence using occurrence data. Biological Conservation 96, 331-45.
    • (2000) Biological Conservation , vol.96 , pp. 331-345
    • Araújo, M.B.1    Williams, P.H.2
  • 10
    • 4744370305 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Would climate change drive species out of reserves? An assessment of existing reserve-selection methods
    • Araújo, M.B., Cabeza, M., Thuiller, W., Hannah, L. and Williams, P.H. 2004: Would climate change drive species out of reserves? An assessment of existing reserve-selection methods. Global Change Biology 10, 1618-26.
    • (2004) Global Change Biology , vol.10 , pp. 1618-1626
    • Araújo, M.B.1    Cabeza, M.2    Thuiller, W.3    Hannah, L.4    Williams, P.H.5
  • 11
    • 24344464067 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Validation of species-climate impact models under climate change
    • Araújo, M.B., Pearson, R.G., Thuiller, W. and Erhard, M. 2005a: Validation of species-climate impact models under climate change. Global Change Biology 11, 1504-13.
    • (2005) Global Change Biology , vol.11 , pp. 1504-1513
    • Araújo, M.B.1    Pearson, R.G.2    Thuiller, W.3    Erhard, M.4
  • 12
    • 33748486098 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate warming and the decline of amphibians and reptiles in Europe
    • Araújo, M.B., Thuiller, W. and Pearson, R.G. 2006: Climate warming and the decline of amphibians and reptiles in Europe. Journal of Biogeography 33, 1712-28.
    • (2006) Journal of Biogeography , vol.33 , pp. 1712-1728
    • Araújo, M.B.1    Thuiller, W.2    Pearson, R.G.3
  • 15
    • 0036883801 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Species presence in fragmented landscapes: Modelling of species requirements at the national level
    • Bailey, S.-A., Haines-Young, R. H. and Watkins, C. 2002: Species presence in fragmented landscapes: modelling of species requirements at the national level. Biological Conservation 108, 307-16.
    • (2002) Biological Conservation , vol.108 , pp. 307-316
    • Bailey, S.-A.1    Haines-Young, R.H.2    Watkins, C.3
  • 16
    • 0033662477 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The role of climatic mapping in predicting the potential geographical distribution of non-indigenous pests under current and future climates
    • Baker, R.H.A., Sansford, C.E., Jarvis, C.H., Cannon, R.J.C., MacLeod, A. and Walters, K.F.A. 2000: The role of climatic mapping in predicting the potential geographical distribution of non-indigenous pests under current and future climates. Agriculture Ecosystems and Environment 82, 57-71.
    • (2000) Agriculture Ecosystems and Environment , vol.82 , pp. 57-71
    • Baker, R.H.A.1    Sansford, C.E.2    Jarvis, C.H.3    Cannon, R.J.C.4    MacLeod, A.5    Walters, K.F.A.6
  • 17
    • 0036250118 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessing the effects of forecasted climate change on the diversity and distribution of European higher plants for 2050
    • Bakkenes, M., Alkemade, J., Ihle, F., Leemans, R. and Latour, J. 2002: Assessing the effects of forecasted climate change on the diversity and distribution of European higher plants for 2050. Global Change Biology 8, 390-407.
    • (2002) Global Change Biology , vol.8 , pp. 390-407
    • Bakkenes, M.1    Alkemade, J.2    Ihle, F.3    Leemans, R.4    Latour, J.5
  • 18
    • 0036786996 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Potential changes in the distributions of latitudinally restricted Australian butterfly species in response to climate change
    • Beaumont, L.J. and Hughes, L. 2002: Potential changes in the distributions of latitudinally restricted Australian butterfly species in response to climate change. Global Change Biology 8, 954-71.
    • (2002) Global Change Biology , vol.8 , pp. 954-971
    • Beaumont, L.J.1    Hughes, L.2
  • 19
    • 21344447510 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting species distributions: Use of climatic parameters in BIOCLIM and its impact on predictions of species' current and future distributions
    • Beaumont, L.J., Hughes, L. and Poulsen, M. 2005: Predicting species distributions: use of climatic parameters in BIOCLIM and its impact on predictions of species' current and future distributions. Ecological Modelling 186, 250-69.
    • (2005) Ecological Modelling , vol.186 , pp. 250-269
    • Beaumont, L.J.1    Hughes, L.2    Poulsen, M.3
  • 20
    • 0028975683 scopus 로고
    • Climate and the distribution of Fallopia japonica: Use of an introduced species to test the predictive capacity of response surfaces
    • Beerling, D.J., Huntley, B. and Bailey, J.P. 1995: Climate and the distribution of Fallopia japonica: use of an introduced species to test the predictive capacity of response surfaces. Journal of Vegetation Science 6, 269-82.
    • (1995) Journal of Vegetation Science , vol.6 , pp. 269-282
    • Beerling, D.J.1    Huntley, B.2    Bailey, J.P.3
  • 21
    • 0036881561 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling potential impacts of climate change on the bioclimatic envelope of species in Britain and Ireland
    • Berry, P.M., Dawson, T.P., Harrison, P.A. and Pearson, R.G. 2002: Modelling potential impacts of climate change on the bioclimatic envelope of species in Britain and Ireland. Global Ecology and Biogeography 11, 453-62.
    • (2002) Global Ecology and Biogeography , vol.11 , pp. 453-462
    • Berry, P.M.1    Dawson, T.P.2    Harrison, P.A.3    Pearson, R.G.4
  • 22
    • 0036937201 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Prediction of plant species distribution in lowland river valleys in Belgium: Modelling species response to site conditions
    • Bio, A.M. F., De Becker, P., De Bie, E., Huybrechts, W. and Wassen, M. 2002: Prediction of plant species distribution in lowland river valleys in Belgium: modelling species response to site conditions. Biodiversity and Conservation 11, 2189-216.
    • (2002) Biodiversity and Conservation , vol.11 , pp. 2189-2216
    • Bio, A.M.F.1    De Becker, P.2    De Bie, E.3    Huybrechts, W.4    Wassen, M.5
  • 24
    • 0037099954 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • All-scale spatial analysis of ecological data by means of principal coordinates of neighbour matrices
    • Borcard, D. and Legendre, P. 2002: All-scale spatial analysis of ecological data by means of principal coordinates of neighbour matrices. Ecological Modelling 153, 51-68.
    • (2002) Ecological Modelling , vol.153 , pp. 51-68
    • Borcard, D.1    Legendre, P.2
  • 25
    • 4444374541 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dissecting the spatial structure of ecological data at multiple scales
    • Borcard, D., Legendre, P., Avois-Jacquet, C. and Tuomisto, H. 2004: Dissecting the spatial structure of ecological data at multiple scales. Ecology 85, 1826-32.
    • (2004) Ecology , vol.85 , pp. 1826-1832
    • Borcard, D.1    Legendre, P.2    Avois-Jacquet, C.3    Tuomisto, H.4
  • 26
    • 0026499092 scopus 로고
    • Partialling out the spatial component of ecological variation
    • Borcard, D., Legendre, P. and Drapeau, P. 1992: Partialling out the spatial component of ecological variation. Ecology 73, 1045-55.
    • (1992) Ecology , vol.73 , pp. 1045-1055
    • Borcard, D.1    Legendre, P.2    Drapeau, P.3
  • 27
    • 0027331903 scopus 로고
    • A climatic model for location of plant species in Florida, USA
    • Box, E.O., Crumpacker, D.W. and Hardin, E.D. 1993: A climatic model for location of plant species in Florida, USA. Journal of Biogeography 20, 629-44.
    • (1993) Journal of Biogeography , vol.20 , pp. 629-644
    • Box, E.O.1    Crumpacker, D.W.2    Hardin, E.D.3
  • 28
    • 0032974723 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicted effects of climatic change on distribution of ecologically important native tree and shrub species in Florida
    • Box, E.O., Crumpacker, D.W. and Hardin, E.D. - 1999: Predicted effects of climatic change on distribution of ecologically important native tree and shrub species in Florida. Climatic Change 41, 213-48.
    • (1999) Climatic Change , vol.41 , pp. 213-248
    • Box, E.O.1    Crumpacker, D.W.2    Hardin, E.D.3
  • 29
    • 0028974896 scopus 로고
    • Enhanced greenhouse climate change and its potential effect on selected fauna of south-eastern Australia: A trend analysis
    • Brereton, R., Bennett, S. and Mansergh, I. 1995: Enhanced greenhouse climate change and its potential effect on selected fauna of south-eastern Australia: a trend analysis. Biological Conservation 72, 339-54.
    • (1995) Biological Conservation , vol.72 , pp. 339-354
    • Brereton, R.1    Bennett, S.2    Mansergh, I.3
  • 30
    • 10944222464 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Presence-absence versus presence-only habitat suitability models: The role of species ecology and prevalence
    • Brotons, L., Thuiller, W., Araújo, M.B. and Hirzel, A. H. 2004: Presence-absence versus presence-only habitat suitability models: the role of species ecology and prevalence. Ecography 27, 165-72.
    • (2004) Ecography , vol.27 , pp. 165-172
    • Brotons, L.1    Thuiller, W.2    Araújo, M.B.3    Hirzel, A.H.4
  • 31
    • 0030613470 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Model selection: An integral part of inference
    • Buckland, S.T., Burnham, K.P. and Augustin, N.H. 1997: Model selection: an integral part of inference. Biometrics 53, 603-18.
    • (1997) Biometrics , vol.53 , pp. 603-618
    • Buckland, S.T.1    Burnham, K.P.2    Augustin, N.H.3
  • 33
    • 0026304090 scopus 로고
    • BIOCLIM - A bioclimate analysis and prediction system
    • In Margules, C.R. and Austin, M.P., editors, Australia: CSIRO
    • Busby, J.R. 1991: BIOCLIM - A bioclimate analysis and prediction system. In Margules, C.R. and Austin, M.P., editors, Nature conservation: Cost effective biological surveys and data analysis, Australia: CSIRO, 64-68.
    • (1991) Nature Conservation: Cost Effective Biological Surveys and Data Analysis , pp. 64-68
    • Busby, J.R.1
  • 34
    • 0027130075 scopus 로고
    • DOMAIN: A flexible modelling procedure for mapping potential distributions of plants and animals
    • Carpenter, G., Gillison, A. N. and Winter, J. 1993: DOMAIN: a flexible modelling procedure for mapping potential distributions of plants and animals. Biodiversity and Conservation 2, 667-80.
    • (1993) Biodiversity and Conservation , vol.2 , pp. 667-680
    • Carpenter, G.1    Gillison, A.N.2    Winter, J.3
  • 35
    • 0036937691 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Regional vegetation mapping in Australia: A case study in the practical use of statistical modelling
    • Cawsey, E.M., Austin, M.P. and Baker, B.L. 2002: Regional vegetation mapping in Australia: a case study in the practical use of statistical modelling. Biodiversity and Conservation 11, 2239-74.
    • (2002) Biodiversity and Conservation , vol.11 , pp. 2239-2274
    • Cawsey, E.M.1    Austin, M.P.2    Baker, B.L.3
  • 38
    • 84947318637 scopus 로고
    • Locally weighted regression: An approach to regression analysis by local fitting
    • Cleveland, W.S. and Devlin, S.J. 1988: Locally weighted regression: an approach to regression analysis by local fitting. Journal of American Statistical Association 83, 596-610.
    • (1988) Journal of American Statistical Association , vol.83 , pp. 596-610
    • Cleveland, W.S.1    Devlin, S.J.2
  • 39
    • 0026278621 scopus 로고
    • A review of assessing the accuracy of classifications of remotely sensed data
    • Congalton, R.G. 1991: A review of assessing the accuracy of classifications of remotely sensed data. Remote Sensing of Environment 37, 35-46.
    • (1991) Remote Sensing of Environment , vol.37 , pp. 35-46
    • Congalton, R.G.1
  • 40
    • 33748533911 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Soil nutritional factors improve models of plant species distribution: An illustration with Acer campestre L. in France
    • Coudun, C., Gegout, J.-C., Piedallu, C. and Rameau, J.-C. 2006: Soil nutritional factors improve models of plant species distribution: an illustration with Acer campestre L. in France. Journal of Biogeography 33, 1750-63.
    • (2006) Journal of Biogeography , vol.33 , pp. 1750-1763
    • Coudun, C.1    Gegout, J.-C.2    Piedallu, C.3    Rameau, J.-C.4
  • 42
    • 26644475023 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The impact of climate change on birds
    • Crick, H.Q.P. 2004: The impact of climate change on birds. Ibis 146 (Supplement 1), 48-56.
    • (2004) Ibis , vol.146 , Issue.SUPPL. 1 , pp. 48-56
    • Crick, H.Q.P.1
  • 43
    • 0034896099 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Implications of climatic warming for conservation of native trees and shrubs in Florida
    • Crumpacker, D.W., Box, E.O. and Hardin, E.D. 2001: Implications of climatic warming for conservation of native trees and shrubs in Florida. Conservation Biology 15, 1008-20.
    • (2001) Conservation Biology , vol.15 , pp. 1008-1020
    • Crumpacker, D.W.1    Box, E.O.2    Hardin, E.D.3
  • 44
    • 0033846923 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Using between-model comparisons to fine-tune linear models of species ranges
    • Cumming, G.S. 2000: Using between-model comparisons to fine-tune linear models of species ranges. Journal of Biogeography 27, 441-55.
    • (2000) Journal of Biogeography , vol.27 , pp. 441-455
    • Cumming, G.S.1
  • 45
    • 0026001780 scopus 로고
    • Energy and large-scale patterns of animal- and plant-species richness
    • Currie, D.J. 1991: Energy and large-scale patterns of animal- and plant-species richness. American Naturalist 137, 27-49.
    • (1991) American Naturalist , vol.137 , pp. 27-49
    • Currie, D.J.1
  • 46
    • 4444354565 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hierarchical analysis of forest bird species-environment relationships in the Oregon coast range
    • Cushman, S.A. and McGarigal, K. 2004: Hierarchical analysis of forest bird species-environment relationships in the Oregon coast range. Ecological Applications 14, 1090-105.
    • (2004) Ecological Applications , vol.14 , pp. 1090-1105
    • Cushman, S.A.1    McGarigal, K.2
  • 47
    • 0031855908 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Individualistic species responses invalidate simple physiological models of community dynamics under global environmental change
    • Davis, A.J., Lawton, J.H., Shorrocks, B. and Jenkinson, L.S. 1998: Individualistic species responses invalidate simple physiological models of community dynamics under global environmental change. Journal of Animal Ecology 67, 600-12.
    • (1998) Journal of Animal Ecology , vol.67 , pp. 600-612
    • Davis, A.J.1    Lawton, J.H.2    Shorrocks, B.3    Jenkinson, L.S.4
  • 48
    • 0033749212 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Classification and regression trees: A powerful yet simple technique for ecological data analysis
    • De'Ath, G. and Fabricius, K.E. 2000: Classification and regression trees: a powerful yet simple technique for ecological data analysis. Ecology 81, 3178-92.
    • (2000) Ecology , vol.81 , pp. 3178-3192
    • De'Ath, G.1    Fabricius, K.E.2
  • 49
    • 14844358016 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling geographical patterns in species richness using eigen-vector-based spatial filters
    • Diniz-Filho, J.A.F. and Bini, L.M. 2005: Modelling geographical patterns in species richness using eigen-vector-based spatial filters. Global Ecology and Biogeography 14, 177-85.
    • (2005) Global Ecology and Biogeography , vol.14 , pp. 177-185
    • Diniz-Filho, J.A.F.1    Bini, L.M.2
  • 51
    • 0037357479 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A regional impact assessment of climate and land-use change on alpine vegetation
    • Dirnböck, T, Dullinger, S. and Grabherr, G. 2003: A regional impact assessment of climate and land-use change on alpine vegetation. Journal of Biogeography 30, 401-17.
    • (2003) Journal of Biogeography , vol.30 , pp. 401-417
    • Dirnböck, T.1    Dullinger, S.2    Grabherr, G.3
  • 52
    • 0012769183 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predictions and their validation: Rare plants in the Central Highlands, Victoria, Australia
    • In Scott, J.M., Heglund, P.J., Morrison, M.L., Haufler, J.B., Raphael, M.G., Wall, W.A. and Samson, F.B., editors, Washington, DC: Island Press
    • Elith, J. and Burgman, M. 2002: Predictions and their validation: rare plants in the Central Highlands, Victoria, Australia. In Scott, J.M., Heglund, P.J., Morrison, M.L., Haufler, J.B., Raphael, M.G., Wall, W.A. and Samson, F.B., editors, Predicting species occurrences. Issues of accuracy and scale, Washington, DC: Island Press, 303-13.
    • (2002) Predicting Species Occurrences. Issues of Accuracy and Scale , pp. 303-313
    • Elith, J.1    Burgman, M.2
  • 53
    • 0037202443 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mapping epistemic uncertainties and vague concepts in predictions of species distributions
    • Elith, J., Burgman, M.A. and Regan, H.M. 2002: Mapping epistemic uncertainties and vague concepts in predictions of species distributions. Ecological Modelling 157, 313-29.
    • (2002) Ecological Modelling , vol.157 , pp. 313-329
    • Elith, J.1    Burgman, M.A.2    Regan, H.M.3
  • 56
    • 14844346219 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Pteridophyte richness, climate and topography in the Iberian Peninsula: Comparing spatial and nonspatial models of richness patterns
    • Ferrer-Castán, D. and Vetaas, O.R. 2005: Pteridophyte richness, climate and topography in the Iberian Peninsula: comparing spatial and nonspatial models of richness patterns. Global Ecology and Biogeography 14, 155-65.
    • (2005) Global Ecology and Biogeography , vol.14 , pp. 155-165
    • Ferrer-Castán, D.1    Vetaas, O.R.2
  • 57
    • 0030953391 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A review of methods for the assessment of prediction errors in conservation presence/absence models
    • Fielding, A. and Bell, J. 1997: A review of methods for the assessment of prediction errors in conservation presence/absence models. Environmental Conservation 24, 38-49.
    • (1997) Environmental Conservation , vol.24 , pp. 38-49
    • Fielding, A.1    Bell, J.2
  • 58
    • 0012830292 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • What are the appropriate characteristics of an accuracy measure?
    • In Scott, J.M., Heglund, P.J., Morrison, M.L., Haufler, J.B., Raphael, M.G., Wall, W.A. and Samson, F.B., editors, Washington, DC: Island Press
    • Fielding, A. H. 2002: What are the appropriate characteristics of an accuracy measure? In Scott, J.M., Heglund, P.J., Morrison, M.L., Haufler, J.B., Raphael, M.G., Wall, W.A. and Samson, F.B., editors, Predicting species occurrences. Issues of accuracy and scale, Washington, DC: Island Press, 271-80.
    • (2002) Predicting Species Occurrences. Issues of Accuracy and Scale , pp. 271-280
    • Fielding, A.H.1
  • 59
    • 0029478629 scopus 로고
    • Predictive vegetation mapping: Geographic modelling of biospatial patterns in relation to environmental gradients
    • Franklin, J. 1995: Predictive vegetation mapping: geographic modelling of biospatial patterns in relation to environmental gradients. Progress in Physical Geography 19, 474-99.
    • (1995) Progress in Physical Geography , vol.19 , pp. 474-499
    • Franklin, J.1
  • 60
    • 0034164230 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Additive logistic regression: A statistical view of boosting
    • Friedman, J., Hastie, T. and Tibshirani, R. 2000: Additive logistic regression: a statistical view of boosting. Annals of Statistics 28, 337-74.
    • (2000) Annals of Statistics , vol.28 , pp. 337-374
    • Friedman, J.1    Hastie, T.2    Tibshirani, R.3
  • 61
    • 0033672401 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Local extinction of British farmland birds and the prediction of further loss
    • Gates, S. and Donald, P.F. 2000: Local extinction of British farmland birds and the prediction of further loss. Journal of Applied Ecology 37, 806-20.
    • (2000) Journal of Applied Ecology , vol.37 , pp. 806-820
    • Gates, S.1    Donald, P.F.2
  • 62
    • 28244483348 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bioclimatic modelling using Gaussian mixture distributions and multiscale segmentation
    • Gavin, D.G. and Hu, F.S. 2005: Bioclimatic modelling using Gaussian mixture distributions and multiscale segmentation. Global Ecology and Biogeography 14, 491-501.
    • (2005) Global Ecology and Biogeography , vol.14 , pp. 491-501
    • Gavin, D.G.1    Hu, F.S.2
  • 63
    • 1942489330 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Spatial prediction of rufous bristlebird habitat in a coastal heathland: A GIS-based approach
    • Gibson, L.A., Wilson, B.A., Cahill, D.M. and Hill, J. 2004: Spatial prediction of rufous bristlebird habitat in a coastal heathland: a GIS-based approach. Journal of Applied Ecology 41, 213-23.
    • (2004) Journal of Applied Ecology , vol.41 , pp. 213-223
    • Gibson, L.A.1    Wilson, B.A.2    Cahill, D.M.3    Hill, J.4
  • 64
    • 1342330862 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Confronting multicollinearity in ecological multiple regression
    • Graham, M.H. 2003: Confronting multicollinearity in ecological multiple regression. Ecology 84, 2809-15.
    • (2003) Ecology , vol.84 , pp. 2809-2815
    • Graham, M.H.1
  • 66
    • 0009662566 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessing alpine plant vulnerability to climate change: A modeling perspective
    • Guisan, A. and Theurillat, J.-P. 2000: Assessing alpine plant vulnerability to climate change: a modeling perspective. Integrated Assessment 1, 307-20.
    • (2000) Integrated Assessment , vol.1 , pp. 307-320
    • Guisan, A.1    Theurillat, J.-P.2
  • 67
    • 24344493920 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting species distributions: Offering more than simple habitat models
    • Guisan, A. and Thuiller, W. 2005: Predicting species distributions: offering more than simple habitat models. Ecology Letters 8, 993-1009.
    • (2005) Ecology Letters , vol.8 , pp. 993-1009
    • Guisan, A.1    Thuiller, W.2
  • 68
    • 0034610199 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predictive habitat distribution models in ecology
    • Guisan, A. and Zimmermann, N.E. 2000: Predictive habitat distribution models in ecology. Ecological Modelling 135, 147-86.
    • (2000) Ecological Modelling , vol.135 , pp. 147-186
    • Guisan, A.1    Zimmermann, N.E.2
  • 69
    • 0242710791 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Does climate determine broad-scale patterns of species richness? A test of the causal link by natural experiment
    • H-Acevedo, D. and Currie, D.J. 2003: Does climate determine broad-scale patterns of species richness? A test of the causal link by natural experiment. Global Ecology and Biogeography 12, 461-73.
    • (2003) Global Ecology and Biogeography , vol.12 , pp. 461-473
    • H-Acevedo, D.1    Currie, D.J.2
  • 70
    • 24144434307 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bioclimate envelope models: What they detect and what they hide
    • Hampe, A. 2004: Bioclimate envelope models: what they detect and what they hide. Global Ecology and Biogeography 13, 469-76.
    • (2004) Global Ecology and Biogeography , vol.13 , pp. 469-476
    • Hampe, A.1
  • 71
    • 0030069896 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Multivariate prognostic models: Issues in developing models, evaluating assumptions and adequacy, and measuring and reducing errors
    • Harrell, F.E., Lee, K.L. and Mark, D.B. 1996: Multivariate prognostic models: issues in developing models, evaluating assumptions and adequacy, and measuring and reducing errors. Statistics in Medicine 15, 361-87.
    • (1996) Statistics in Medicine , vol.15 , pp. 361-387
    • Harrell, F.E.1    Lee, K.L.2    Mark, D.B.3
  • 72
    • 0141525908 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Productivity and history as predictors of the latitudinal diversity gradient of terrestrial birds
    • Hawkins, B.A., Porter, E.E. and Diniz-Filho, J.A.F. 2003: Productivity and history as predictors of the latitudinal diversity gradient of terrestrial birds. Ecology 84, 1608-23.
    • (2003) Ecology , vol.84 , pp. 1608-1623
    • Hawkins, B.A.1    Porter, E.E.2    Diniz-Filho, J.A.F.3
  • 73
    • 0030304355 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Spatial and environmental components of variation in the distribution patterns of subarctic plant species at Kevo, N Finland - A case study at the meso-scale level
    • Heikkinen, R.K. and Birks, H.J.B. 1996: Spatial and environmental components of variation in the distribution patterns of subarctic plant species at Kevo, N Finland - a case study at the meso-scale level. Ecography 19, 341-51.
    • (1996) Ecography , vol.19 , pp. 341-351
    • Heikkinen, R.K.1    Birks, H.J.B.2
  • 75
    • 5344262517 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effects of habitat cover, landscape structure and spatial variables on the abundance of birds in an agricultural-forest mosaic
    • Heikkinen, R.K., Luoto, M., Virkkala, R. and Rainio, K. 2004: Effects of habitat cover, landscape structure and spatial variables on the abundance of birds in an agricultural-forest mosaic. Journal of Applied Ecology 41, 824-35.
    • (2004) Journal of Applied Ecology , vol.41 , pp. 824-835
    • Heikkinen, R.K.1    Luoto, M.2    Virkkala, R.3    Rainio, K.4
  • 76
    • 0035669680 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The utility of artificial neural networks for modelling the distribution of vegetation in past, present and future climates
    • Hilbert, D.W. and Ostendorf, B. 2001: The utility of artificial neural networks for modelling the distribution of vegetation in past, present and future climates. Ecological Modelling 146, 311-27.
    • (2001) Ecological Modelling , vol.146 , pp. 311-327
    • Hilbert, D.W.1    Ostendorf, B.2
  • 80
    • 2542503644 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling present and potential future ranges of European butterflies using climate response surfaces
    • In Bogs, C., Watt, W. and Ehrlich, P., editors, Chicago, IL: The University of Chicago Press
    • Hill, J.K., Thomas, C.D. and Huntley, B. 2003: Modeling present and potential future ranges of European butterflies using climate response surfaces. In Bogs, C., Watt, W. and Ehrlich, P., editors, Butterflies. Ecology and evolution taking flight, Chicago, IL: The University of Chicago Press, 149-67.
    • (2003) Butterflies Ecology and Evolution Taking Flight , pp. 149-167
    • Hill, J.K.1    Thomas, C.D.2    Huntley, B.3
  • 81
    • 0037202454 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Which is the optimal sampling strategy for habitat suitability modelling
    • Hirzel, A. and Guisan, A. 2002: Which is the optimal sampling strategy for habitat suitability modelling. Ecological Modelling 157, 331-41.
    • (2002) Ecological Modelling , vol.157 , pp. 331-341
    • Hirzel, A.1    Guisan, A.2
  • 82
    • 0002587719 scopus 로고
    • How plants respond to climate change: Migration rates, individualism and the consequences for plant communities
    • Huntley, B. 1991: How plants respond to climate change: migration rates, individualism and the consequences for plant communities. Annals of Botany 67 (Supplement 1), 15-22.
    • (1991) Annals of Botany , vol.67 , Issue.SUPPL. 1 , pp. 15-22
    • Huntley, B.1
  • 83
    • 0028797562 scopus 로고
    • Plant species' response to climate change: Implications for the conservation of Europaean birds
    • Huntley, B. 1995: Plant species' response to climate change: implications for the conservation of Europaean birds. Ibis 137 (Supplement 1), 127-38.
    • (1995) Ibis , vol.137 , Issue.SUPPL. 1 , pp. 127-138
    • Huntley, B.1
  • 84
    • 0002200597 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The dynamic response of plants to environmental change and the resulting risks of extinction
    • In Mace, G.M., Balmford, A. and Ginsberg, J.R., editors, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press
    • Huntley, B. 1998: The dynamic response of plants to environmental change and the resulting risks of extinction. In Mace, G.M., Balmford, A. and Ginsberg, J.R., editors, Conservation in a changing world, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 69-85.
    • (1998) Conservation in a Changing World , pp. 69-85
    • Huntley, B.1
  • 85
    • 0024876237 scopus 로고
    • Climatic control on the distribution and abundance of beech in Europe and North America
    • Huntley, B., Bartlein, P.J. and Prentice, I.C. 1989: Climatic control on the distribution and abundance of beech in Europe and North America. Journal of Biogeography 16, 551-60.
    • (1989) Journal of Biogeography , vol.16 , pp. 551-560
    • Huntley, B.1    Bartlein, P.J.2    Prentice, I.C.3
  • 86
    • 0029519647 scopus 로고
    • Modelling present and potential future ranges of some European higher plants using climate response surfaces
    • Huntley, B., Berry, P.M., Cramer, W. and McDonald, A.P. 1995: Modelling present and potential future ranges of some European higher plants using climate response surfaces. Journal of Biogeography 22, 967-1001.
    • (1995) Journal of Biogeography , vol.22 , pp. 967-1001
    • Huntley, B.1    Berry, P.M.2    Cramer, W.3    McDonald, A.P.4
  • 88
    • 3643116698 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting abundance of 80 tree species following climate change in the eastern United States
    • Iverson, L.R. and Prasad, A.M. 1998: Predicting abundance of 80 tree species following climate change in the eastern United States. Ecological Monographs 68, 465-85.
    • (1998) Ecological Monographs , vol.68 , pp. 465-485
    • Iverson, L.R.1    Prasad, A.M.2
  • 89
    • 0034983749 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Potential changes in tree species richness and forest community types following climate change
    • Iverson, L.R. and Prasad, A.M. 2001: Potential changes in tree species richness and forest community types following climate change. Ecosystems 4, 186-99.
    • (2001) Ecosystems , vol.4 , pp. 186-199
    • Iverson, L.R.1    Prasad, A.M.2
  • 90
    • 0036164188 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Potential redistribution of tree species habitat under five climate change scenarios in the eastern US
    • Iverson, L.R. and Prasad, A.M. 2002: Potential redistribution of tree species habitat under five climate change scenarios in the eastern US. Forest Ecology and Management 155, 205-22.
    • (2002) Forest Ecology and Management , vol.155 , pp. 205-222
    • Iverson, L.R.1    Prasad, A.M.2
  • 91
    • 2642585624 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • How fast and far might tree species migrate in the eastern United States due to climate change?
    • Iverson, L.R., Schwartz, M.W. and Prasad, A.M. 2004: How fast and far might tree species migrate in the eastern United States due to climate change? Global Ecology and Biogeography 13, 209-19.
    • (2004) Global Ecology and Biogeography , vol.13 , pp. 209-219
    • Iverson, L.R.1    Schwartz, M.W.2    Prasad, A.M.3
  • 92
    • 0025526046 scopus 로고
    • Multivariate analysis in ecology and systematics: Panacea or Pandora's box?
    • James, F.C. and McCulloch, C.E. 1990: Multivariate analysis in ecology and systematics: panacea or Pandora's box? Annual Review of Ecology and Systematics 21, 129-66.
    • (1990) Annual Review of Ecology and Systematics , vol.21 , pp. 129-166
    • James, F.C.1    McCulloch, C.E.2
  • 94
    • 0346361819 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A systematic analysis of factors affecting the performance of climatic envelope models
    • Kadmon, R., Farber, O. and Danin, A. 2003: A systematic analysis of factors affecting the performance of climatic envelope models. Ecological Applications 13, 853-67.
    • (2003) Ecological Applications , vol.13 , pp. 853-867
    • Kadmon, R.1    Farber, O.2    Danin, A.3
  • 95
    • 0017360990 scopus 로고
    • The measurement of observer agreement for categorical data
    • Landis, J. and Koch, G. 1977: The measurement of observer agreement for categorical data. Biometrics 33, 159-74.
    • (1977) Biometrics , vol.33 , pp. 159-174
    • Landis, J.1    Koch, G.2
  • 96
    • 33745830853 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting climate-induced range shifts: Model differences and model reliability
    • Lawler, J.J., White, D., Neilson, R.P. and Blaustein, A.R. 2006: Predicting climate-induced range shifts: model differences and model reliability. Global Change Biology 12, 1568-84.
    • (2006) Global Change Biology , vol.12 , pp. 1568-1584
    • Lawler, J.J.1    White, D.2    Neilson, R.P.3    Blaustein, A.R.4
  • 97
    • 0034803153 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Competitive interactions between tree species in New Zealand's old-growth indigenous forests
    • Leathwick, J.R. and Austin, M.P. 2001: Competitive interactions between tree species in New Zealand's old-growth indigenous forests. Ecology 82, 2560-73.
    • (2001) Ecology , vol.82 , pp. 2560-2573
    • Leathwick, J.R.1    Austin, M.P.2
  • 98
    • 0030368244 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting changes in the composition of New Zealand's indigenous forests in response to global warming: A modelling approach
    • Leathwick, J.R., Whitehead, D. and McLeod, M. 1996: Predicting changes in the composition of New Zealand's indigenous forests in response to global warming: a modelling approach. Environmental Software 11, 81-90.
    • (1996) Environmental Software , vol.11 , pp. 81-90
    • Leathwick, J.R.1    Whitehead, D.2    McLeod, M.3
  • 99
    • 0027881344 scopus 로고
    • Spatial autocorrelation: Trouble or new paradigm?
    • Legendre, P. 1993: Spatial autocorrelation: trouble or new paradigm? Ecology 74, 1659-73.
    • (1993) Ecology , vol.74 , pp. 1659-1673
    • Legendre, P.1
  • 100
    • 0242276377 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • GRASP: Generalized regression analysis and spatial prediction
    • Lehmann, A., Overton, J.M. and Leathwick, J.R. 2003: GRASP: generalized regression analysis and spatial prediction. Ecological Modelling 160, 165-83.
    • (2003) Ecological Modelling , vol.160 , pp. 165-183
    • Lehmann, A.1    Overton, J.M.2    Leathwick, J.R.3
  • 102
    • 20444488428 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Selecting thresholds of occurrence in the prediction of species distributions
    • Liu, C., Berry, P.M., Dawson, T.P. and Pearson, R.G. 2005: Selecting thresholds of occurrence in the prediction of species distributions. Ecography 28, 385-93.
    • (2005) Ecography , vol.28 , pp. 385-393
    • Liu, C.1    Berry, P.M.2    Dawson, T.P.3    Pearson, R.G.4
  • 103
    • 33748545281 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Determinants of biogeographical distribution of butterflies in boreal regions
    • Luoto, M., Heikkinen, R.K., Pöyry, J. and Saarinen, K. 2006a: Determinants of biogeographical distribution of butterflies in boreal regions. Journal of Biogeography 33, 1764-78.
    • (2006) Journal of Biogeography , vol.33 , pp. 1764-1778
    • Luoto, M.1    Heikkinen, R.K.2    Pöyry, J.3    Saarinen, K.4
  • 104
    • 28244499981 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uncertainty of bioclimate envelope models based on geographical distribution of species
    • Luoto, M., Pöyry, J., Heikkinen, R.K. and Saarinen, K. 2005: Uncertainty of bioclimate envelope models based on geographical distribution of species. Global Ecology and Biogeography 14, 575-84.
    • (2005) Global Ecology and Biogeography , vol.14 , pp. 575-584
    • Luoto, M.1    Pöyry, J.2    Heikkinen, R.K.3    Saarinen, K.4
  • 105
    • 0036040106 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Prediction of total and rare plant species richness in agricultural landscapes from satellite images and topographic data
    • Luoto, M., Toivonen, T. and Heikkinen, R.K. 2002: Prediction of total and rare plant species richness in agricultural landscapes from satellite images and topographic data. Landscape Ecology 17, 195-217.
    • (2002) Landscape Ecology , vol.17 , pp. 195-217
    • Luoto, M.1    Toivonen, T.2    Heikkinen, R.K.3
  • 106
    • 33846259655 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The role of land cover in bioclimatic models depends on spatial resolution
    • in press. DOI:10.1111/j.1466-822X.2006.00262.x
    • Luoto, M., Virkkala, R. and Heikkinen, R. K. 2006b: The role of land cover in bioclimatic models depends on spatial resolution. Global Ecology and Biogeography, in press. DOI:10.1111/j.1466-822X.2006.00262.x.
    • (2006) Global Ecology and Biogeography
    • Luoto, M.1    Virkkala, R.2    Heikkinen, R.K.3
  • 107
    • 0034126611 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Regression and model-building in conservation biology, biogeography and ecology: The distinction between - And reconciliation of - 'Predictive' and explanatory models
    • Mac Nally, R. 2000: Regression and model-building in conservation biology, biogeography and ecology: the distinction between - and reconciliation of - 'predictive' and explanatory models. Biodiversity and Conservation 9, 655-71.
    • (2000) Biodiversity and Conservation , vol.9 , pp. 655-671
    • Mac Nally, R.1
  • 108
    • 33745719239 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Improving generalized regression analysis for spatial predictions of forest communities
    • Maggini, R., Lehmann, A., Zimmerman, N.E. and Guisan, A. 2006: Improving generalized regression analysis for spatial predictions of forest communities. Journal of Biogeography 33, 1729-49.
    • (2006) Journal of Biogeography , vol.33 , pp. 1729-1749
    • Maggini, R.1    Lehmann, A.2    Zimmerman, N.E.3    Guisan, A.4
  • 109
    • 0033578449 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Comparing discriminant analysis, neural networks and logistic regression for predicting species distribution: A case study with a Himalayan river bird
    • Manel, S., Dias, J.-M. and Ormerod, S. 1999: Comparing discriminant analysis, neural networks and logistic regression for predicting species distribution: a case study with a Himalayan river bird. Ecological Modelling 120, 337-47.
    • (1999) Ecological Modelling , vol.120 , pp. 337-347
    • Manel, S.1    Dias, J.-M.2    Ormerod, S.3
  • 110
    • 0034770214 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluating presence-absence models in ecology: The need to account for prevalence
    • Manel, S., Williams, H. C. and Ormerod, S.J. 2001: Evaluating presence-absence models in ecology: the need to account for prevalence. Journal of Applied Ecology 38, 921-31.
    • (2001) Journal of Applied Ecology , vol.38 , pp. 921-931
    • Manel, S.1    Williams, H.C.2    Ormerod, S.J.3
  • 111
    • 0027335969 scopus 로고
    • What do significance tests really tell us about the environment?
    • McBride, G. B., Loftis, J. C. and Adkins, N.C. 1993: What do significance tests really tell us about the environment? Environmental Management 17, 423-32.
    • (1993) Environmental Management , vol.17 , pp. 423-432
    • McBride, G.B.1    Loftis, J.C.2    Adkins, N.C.3
  • 112
    • 5344259743 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The effects of species' range sizes on the accuracy of distribution models: Ecological phenomenon or statistical artefact?
    • McPherson, J., Jetz, W. and Rogers, D. 2004: The effects of species' range sizes on the accuracy of distribution models: ecological phenomenon or statistical artefact? Journal of Applied Ecology 41, 811-23.
    • (2004) Journal of Applied Ecology , vol.41 , pp. 811-823
    • McPherson, J.1    Jetz, W.2    Rogers, D.3
  • 113
    • 1942473055 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effects of global climate change on geographic distributions of vertebrates in North Queensland
    • Meynecke, J.-O. 2004: Effects of global climate change on geographic distributions of vertebrates in North Queensland. Ecological Modelling 174, 347-57.
    • (2004) Ecological Modelling , vol.174 , pp. 347-357
    • Meynecke, J.-O.1
  • 114
    • 0036881087 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessing the vulnerability of species richness to anthropogenic climate change in a biodiversity hotspot
    • Midgley, G.F., Hannah, L., Millar, D., Rutherford, M. C. and Powries, L. W. 2002: Assessing the vulnerability of species richness to anthropogenic climate change in a biodiversity hotspot. Global Ecology and Biogeography 11, 445-51.
    • (2002) Global Ecology and Biogeography , vol.11 , pp. 445-451
    • Midgley, G.F.1    Hannah, L.2    Millar, D.3    Rutherford, M.C.4    Powries, L.W.5
  • 115
    • 0038062625 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Developing regional and species-level assessments of climate change impacts on biodiversity in the Cape Floristic Region
    • Midgley, G.F., Hannah, L., Millar, D., Thuiller, W. and Booth, A. 2003: Developing regional and species-level assessments of climate change impacts on biodiversity in the Cape Floristic Region. Biological Conservation 112, 87-97.
    • (2003) Biological Conservation , vol.112 , pp. 87-97
    • Midgley, G.F.1    Hannah, L.2    Millar, D.3    Thuiller, W.4    Booth, A.5
  • 116
    • 8644290900 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The impact of global climate change on tropical forest biodiversity in Amazonia
    • Miles, L., Grainger, A. and Phillips, O. 2004: The impact of global climate change on tropical forest biodiversity in Amazonia. Global Ecology and Biogeography 13, 553-65.
    • (2004) Global Ecology and Biogeography , vol.13 , pp. 553-565
    • Miles, L.1    Grainger, A.2    Phillips, O.3
  • 117
    • 0037202445 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Comparing five modelling techniques for predicting forest characteristics
    • Moisen, G. and Frescino, T. 2002: Comparing five modelling techniques for predicting forest characteristics. Ecological Modelling 157, 209-25.
    • (2002) Ecological Modelling , vol.157 , pp. 209-225
    • Moisen, G.1    Frescino, T.2
  • 118
    • 0037341019 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Back to the future: Biogeographical responses to climate change
    • Moore, P.D. 2003: Back to the future: biogeographical responses to climate change. Progress in Physical Geography 27, 122-29.
    • (2003) Progress in Physical Geography , vol.27 , pp. 122-129
    • Moore, P.D.1
  • 119
    • 2342614840 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Comparison of statistical methods commonly used in predictive modelling
    • Muñoz, J. and Felicísmo, Á.M. 2004: Comparison of statistical methods commonly used in predictive modelling. Journal of Vegetation Science 15, 285-92.
    • (2004) Journal of Vegetation Science , vol.15 , pp. 285-292
    • Muñoz, J.1    Felicísmo, Á.M.2
  • 120
    • 0024937078 scopus 로고
    • How to make biological surveys go further with generalised linear models
    • Nicholls, A.O. 1989: How to make biological surveys go further with generalised linear models. Biological Conservation 50, 51-75.
    • (1989) Biological Conservation , vol.50 , pp. 51-75
    • Nicholls, A.O.1
  • 121
    • 0036793562 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A comparison of statistical approaches for modelling fish species distributions
    • Olden, J.D. and Jackson, D.A. 2002a: A comparison of statistical approaches for modelling fish species distributions. Freshwater Biology 47, 1976-95.
    • (2002) Freshwater Biology , vol.47 , pp. 1976-1995
    • Olden, J.D.1    Jackson, D.A.2
  • 122
    • 0037102687 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Illuminating the 'black box': A randomization approach for understanding variable contributions in artificial neural networks
    • Olden, J.D. and Jackson, D.A. 2002b: Illuminating the 'black box': a randomization approach for understanding variable contributions in artificial neural networks. Ecological Modelling 154, 135-150.
    • (2002) Ecological Modelling , vol.154 , pp. 135-150
    • Olden, J.D.1    Jackson, D.A.2
  • 123
    • 0036221346 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predictive models of fish species distributions: A note on proper validation and chance predictions
    • Olden, J.D., Jackson, D.A. and Peres-Neto, P.R. 2002: Predictive models of fish species distributions: a note on proper validation and chance predictions. Transactions of the American Fisheries Society 131, 329-36.
    • (2002) Transactions of the American Fisheries Society , vol.131 , pp. 329-336
    • Olden, J.D.1    Jackson, D.A.2    Peres-Neto, P.R.3
  • 124
    • 0028763687 scopus 로고
    • Verification, validation, and confirmation of numerical models in the earth sciences
    • Oreskes, N., Shrader-Frechette, K. and Belitz, K. 1994: Verification, validation, and confirmation of numerical models in the earth sciences. Science 263, 641-46.
    • (1994) Science , vol.263 , pp. 641-646
    • Oreskes, N.1    Shrader-Frechette, K.2    Belitz, K.3
  • 125
    • 0037202442 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Should data be partitioned spatially before building largescale distribution models
    • Osborne, P. and Suárez-Seoane, S. 2002: Should data be partitioned spatially before building largescale distribution models. Ecological Modelling 157, 249-59.
    • (2002) Ecological Modelling , vol.157 , pp. 249-259
    • Osborne, P.1    Suárez-Seoane, S.2
  • 126
    • 0029738585 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate and species range
    • Parmesan, C. 1996: Climate and species range. Nature 382, 765-66.
    • (1996) Nature , vol.382 , pp. 765-766
    • Parmesan, C.1
  • 127
    • 0037413628 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems
    • Parmesan, C. and Yohe, G. 2003: A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems. Nature 421, 37-42.
    • (2003) Nature , vol.421 , pp. 37-42
    • Parmesan, C.1    Yohe, G.2
  • 128
    • 0242350449 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Coarse-scale plant species richness in relation to environmental heterogeneity
    • Pausas, J.G., Carreras, J., Ferre, A. and Font, X. 2003: Coarse-scale plant species richness in relation to environmental heterogeneity. Journal of Vegetation Science 14, 661-68.
    • (2003) Journal of Vegetation Science , vol.14 , pp. 661-668
    • Pausas, J.G.1    Carreras, J.2    Ferre, A.3    Font, X.4
  • 129
    • 0033831709 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluating the predictive performance of habitat models using logistic regression
    • Pearce, J. and Ferrier, S. 2000a: Evaluating the predictive performance of habitat models using logistic regression. Ecological Modelling 133, 225-45.
    • (2000) Ecological Modelling , vol.133 , pp. 225-245
    • Pearce, J.1    Ferrier, S.2
  • 130
    • 0034690221 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An evaluation of alternative algorithms for fitting species distribution models using logistic regression
    • Pearce, J. and Ferrier, S. 2000b: An evaluation of alternative algorithms for fitting species distribution models using logistic regression. Ecological Modelling 128, 127-47.
    • (2000) Ecological Modelling , vol.128 , pp. 127-147
    • Pearce, J.1    Ferrier, S.2
  • 131
    • 0141856572 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting the impacts of climate change on the distribution of species: Are bioclimate envelope models useful?
    • Pearson, R.G. and Dawson, T.P. 2003: Predicting the impacts of climate change on the distribution of species: are bioclimate envelope models useful? Global Ecology and Biogeography 12, 361-71.
    • (2003) Global Ecology and Biogeography , vol.12 , pp. 361-371
    • Pearson, R.G.1    Dawson, T.P.2
  • 132
    • 15944392510 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Long-distance plant dispersal and habitat fragmentation: Identifying conservation targets for spatial landscape planning under climate change
    • Pearson, R.G. and Dawson, T.P. 2005: Long-distance plant dispersal and habitat fragmentation: identifying conservation targets for spatial landscape planning under climate change. Biological Conservation 123, 389-401.
    • (2005) Biological Conservation , vol.123 , pp. 389-401
    • Pearson, R.G.1    Dawson, T.P.2
  • 133
    • 0036721959 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • SPECIES: A spatial evaluation of climate impact on the envelope of species
    • Pearson, R.G., Dawson, T.P., Berry, P.M. and Harrison, P.A. 2002: SPECIES: a spatial evaluation of climate impact on the envelope of species. Ecological Modelling 154, 289-300.
    • (2002) Ecological Modelling , vol.154 , pp. 289-300
    • Pearson, R.G.1    Dawson, T.P.2    Berry, P.M.3    Harrison, P.A.4
  • 134
    • 3042532648 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling species distributions in Britain: A hierarchical integration of climate and land-cover data
    • Pearson, R.G., Dawson, T.P. and Liu, C. 2004: Modelling species distributions in Britain: a hierarchical integration of climate and land-cover data. Ecography 27, 285-98.
    • (2004) Ecography , vol.27 , pp. 285-298
    • Pearson, R.G.1    Dawson, T.P.2    Liu, C.3
  • 136
    • 0034716037 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • From static biogeographical model to dynamic global vegetation model: A global perspective on modelling vegetation dynamics
    • Peng, C. 2000: From static biogeographical model to dynamic global vegetation model: a global perspective on modelling vegetation dynamics. Ecological Modelling 135, 33-54.
    • (2000) Ecological Modelling , vol.135 , pp. 33-54
    • Peng, C.1
  • 137
    • 0034864959 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting species' geographic distributions based on ecological niche modelling
    • Peterson, A. T. 2001: Predicting species' geographic distributions based on ecological niche modelling. The Condor 103, 599-605.
    • (2001) The Condor , vol.103 , pp. 599-605
    • Peterson, A.T.1
  • 138
    • 0037984541 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Projected climate change effects on Rocky Mountain and Great Plain birds: Generalities on biodiversity consequences
    • Peterson, A. T. 2003: Projected climate change effects on Rocky Mountain and Great Plain birds: generalities on biodiversity consequences. Global Change Biology 9, 647-55.
    • (2003) Global Change Biology , vol.9 , pp. 647-655
    • Peterson, A.T.1
  • 139
    • 0344780911 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sensitivity of distributional prediction algorithms to geographic data completeness
    • Peterson, A.T. and Cohoon, K.P. 1999: Sensitivity of distributional prediction algorithms to geographic data completeness. Ecological Modelling 117, 159-64.
    • (1999) Ecological Modelling , vol.117 , pp. 159-164
    • Peterson, A.T.1    Cohoon, K.P.2
  • 140
    • 0002371584 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting distributions of Mexican birds using ecological niche modelling methods
    • Peterson, A.T., Ball, L.G. and Cohoon, K.P. 2002a: Predicting distributions of Mexican birds using ecological niche modelling methods. Ibis 144, E27-32.
    • (2002) Ibis , vol.144
    • Peterson, A.T.1    Ball, L.G.2    Cohoon, K.P.3
  • 143
    • 0002869096 scopus 로고
    • Multiple regression: Herbivory
    • In Schneider, S.M. and Gurevitch, J., editors, New York: Chapman and Hall
    • Philippi, T.E. 1993: Multiple regression: herbivory. In Schneider, S.M. and Gurevitch, J., editors, Design and analysis of ecological experiments, New York: Chapman and Hall, 183-210.
    • (1993) Design and Analysis of Ecological Experiments , pp. 183-210
    • Philippi, T.E.1
  • 144
    • 27944446350 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Maximum entropy modeling of species geographic distributions
    • Phillips, S.J., Anderson, R.P. and Schapire, R.E. 2006: Maximum entropy modeling of species geographic distributions. Ecological Modelling 190, 231-59.
    • (2006) Ecological Modelling , vol.190 , pp. 231-259
    • Phillips, S.J.1    Anderson, R.P.2    Schapire, R.E.3
  • 145
    • 0347630157 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predictive vegetation mapping using a custom built model-chooser: Comparison of regression tree analysis and multivariate adaptive regression splines
    • CD-ROM, Banff, Alberta, Canada. Available from (last accessed 14 September 2006)
    • Prasad, A.M. and Iverson, L.R. 2000: Predictive vegetation mapping using a custom built model-chooser: comparison of regression tree analysis and multivariate adaptive regression splines. CD-ROM, International Conference on Integrating GIS and Environmental Modeling: Problems, Prospects and Research Needs, Banff, Alberta, Canada. Available from http://www.colorado.edu/research/cires/banff/pubpapers/102/ (last accessed 14 September 2006).
    • (2000) International Conference on Integrating GIS and Environmental Modeling: Problems, Prospects and Research Needs
    • Prasad, A.M.1    Iverson, L.R.2
  • 146
    • 33645330972 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Newer classification and regression tree techniques: Bagging and random forests for ecological prediction
    • Prasad, A.M, Iverson, L.R. and Liaw, A. 2006: Newer classification and regression tree techniques: bagging and random forests for ecological prediction. Ecosystems 9, 181-99.
    • (2006) Ecosystems , vol.9 , pp. 181-199
    • Prasad, A.M.1    Iverson, L.R.2    Liaw, A.3
  • 147
    • 0006264385 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling the potential impacts of climate change on the summer distributions of Massachusetts passerines
    • Price, J. 2000: Modeling the potential impacts of climate change on the summer distributions of Massachusetts passerines. Bird Observer 28, 224-30.
    • (2000) Bird Observer , vol.28 , pp. 224-230
    • Price, J.1
  • 148
    • 13544265532 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The role of spatial scale and the perception of large-scale species-richness patterns
    • Rahbek, C. 2005: The role of spatial scale and the perception of large-scale species-richness patterns. Ecology Letters 8, 224-39.
    • (2005) Ecology Letters , vol.8 , pp. 224-239
    • Rahbek, C.1
  • 151
    • 15944423629 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Factors affecting species distribution predictions: A simulation modeling experiment
    • Reese, G.C., Wilson, K.R., Hoeting, J.A. and Flather, C. H. 2005: Factors affecting species distribution predictions: a simulation modeling experiment. Ecological Applications 15, 554-64.
    • (2005) Ecological Applications , vol.15 , pp. 554-564
    • Reese, G.C.1    Wilson, K.R.2    Hoeting, J.A.3    Flather, C.H.4
  • 154
    • 0030274304 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Testing ecological models: The meaning of validation
    • Rykiel, E.J. 1996: Testing ecological models: the meaning of validation. Ecological Modelling 90, 229-44.
    • (1996) Ecological Modelling , vol.90 , pp. 229-244
    • Rykiel, E.J.1
  • 155
    • 0031967348 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting changes in Fennoscandian vascular-plant species richness as a result of future climatic change
    • Sætersdal, M., Birks, H.J.B. and Peglar, S.M. 1998: Predicting changes in Fennoscandian vascular-plant species richness as a result of future climatic change. Journal of Biogeography 25, 111-22.
    • (1998) Journal of Biogeography , vol.25 , pp. 111-122
    • Sætersdal, M.1    Birks, H.J.B.2    Peglar, S.M.3
  • 156
    • 4644223644 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An evaluation of methods for modelling species distributions
    • Segurado, P. and Araújo, M. 2004: An evaluation of methods for modelling species distributions. Journal of Biogeography 31, 1555-69.
    • (2004) Journal of Biogeography , vol.31 , pp. 1555-1569
    • Segurado, P.1    Araújo, M.2
  • 157
    • 33646543702 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Consequences of spatial autocorrelation fbr niche-based models
    • Segurado, P., Araújo, M.B. and Kunin, W.E. 2006: Consequences of spatial autocorrelation fbr niche-based models. Journal of Applied Ecology 43, 433-44.
    • (2006) Journal of Applied Ecology , vol.43 , pp. 433-444
    • Segurado, P.1    Araújo, M.B.2    Kunin, W.E.3
  • 158
    • 0034822733 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ecological biogeography of Southern Ocean islands: The importance of considering spatial issues
    • Selmi, S. and Boulinier, T. 2001: Ecological biogeography of Southern Ocean islands: the importance of considering spatial issues. American Naturalist 158, 426-37.
    • (2001) American Naturalist , vol.158 , pp. 426-437
    • Selmi, S.1    Boulinier, T.2
  • 159
    • 3042601152 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Potential impact of climatic change on the distribution of forest herbs in Europe
    • Skov, F. and Svenning, J.-C. 2004: Potential impact of climatic change on the distribution of forest herbs in Europe. Ecography 27, 366-80.
    • (2004) Ecography , vol.27 , pp. 366-380
    • Skov, F.1    Svenning, J.-C.2
  • 160
    • 2542500963 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Butterfly species richness in the north-west Mediterranean Basin: The role of natural and human-induced factors
    • Stefanescu, C., Herrando, S. and Paramo, F. 2004: Butterfly species richness in the north-west Mediterranean Basin: the role of natural and human-induced factors. Journal of Biogeography 31, 905-15.
    • (2004) Journal of Biogeography , vol.31 , pp. 905-915
    • Stefanescu, C.1    Herrando, S.2    Paramo, F.3
  • 161
    • 0036468622 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effects of sample size on accuracy of species distribution models
    • Stockwell, D. and Peterson, A. 2002: Effects of sample size on accuracy of species distribution models. Ecological Modelling 148, 1-13.
    • (2002) Ecological Modelling , vol.148 , pp. 1-13
    • Stockwell, D.1    Peterson, A.2
  • 162
    • 0036786240 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Large-scale habitat selection by agricultural steppe birds in Spain: Identifying species-habitat responses using generalized additive models
    • Suárez-Seoane, S., Osborne, P.E. and Allonso, J. C. 2002: Large-scale habitat selection by agricultural steppe birds in Spain: identifying species-habitat responses using generalized additive models. Journal of Applied Ecology 39, 755-71.
    • (2002) Journal of Applied Ecology , vol.39 , pp. 755-771
    • Suárez-Seoane, S.1    Osborne, P.E.2    Allonso, J.C.3
  • 163
    • 3042779077 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Limited filling of the potential range in European tree species
    • Svenning, J.-C. and Skov, F. 2004: Limited filling of the potential range in European tree species. Ecology Letters 7, 565-73.
    • (2004) Ecology Letters , vol.7 , pp. 565-573
    • Svenning, J.-C.1    Skov, F.2
  • 164
    • 0023890867 scopus 로고
    • Measuring the accuracy of diagnostic systems
    • Swets, K. 1988: Measuring the accuracy of diagnostic systems. Science 240, 1285-93.
    • (1988) Science , vol.240 , pp. 1285-1293
    • Swets, K.1
  • 165
    • 0030304341 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A bioclimatic model for the potential distributions of north European tree species under present and future climates
    • Sykes, M.T., Prentice, I.C. and Cramer, W. 1996: A bioclimatic model for the potential distributions of north European tree species under present and future climates. Journal of Biogeography 23, 203-33.
    • (1996) Journal of Biogeography , vol.23 , pp. 203-233
    • Sykes, M.T.1    Prentice, I.C.2    Cramer, W.3
  • 167
    • 0242275331 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • BIOMOD - Optimizing predictions of species distributions and projecting potential future shifts under global change
    • Thuiller, W. 2003: BIOMOD - optimizing predictions of species distributions and projecting potential future shifts under global change. Global Change Biology 9, 1353-62.
    • (2003) Global Change Biology , vol.9 , pp. 1353-1362
    • Thuiller, W.1
  • 168
    • 10944234906 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Patterns and uncertainties of species' range shifts under climate change
    • Thuiller, W. 2004: Patterns and uncertainties of species' range shifts under climate change. Global Change Biology 10, 2020-27.
    • (2004) Global Change Biology , vol.10 , pp. 2020-2027
    • Thuiller, W.1
  • 169
    • 0242319036 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Generalized models vs. classification tree analysis: Predicting spatial distributions of plant species at different scales
    • Thuiller, W., Araújo, M.B. and Lavorel, S. 2003a: Generalized models vs. classification tree analysis: predicting spatial distributions of plant species at different scales. Journal of Vegetation Science 14, 669-80.
    • (2003) Journal of Vegetation Science , vol.14 , pp. 669-680
    • Thuiller, W.1    Araújo, M.B.2    Lavorel, S.3
  • 170
    • 1542289824 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Do we need land-cover data to predict species distributions in Europe?
    • Thuiller, W., Araújo, M.B. and Lavorell, S. 2004a: Do we need land-cover data to predict species distributions in Europe? Journal of Biogeography 31, 353-61.
    • (2004) Journal of Biogeography , vol.31 , pp. 353-361
    • Thuiller, W.1    Araújo, M.B.2    Lavorel, S.3
  • 172
    • 4744352914 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effects of restricting environmental range of data to project current and future distributions
    • Thuiller, W., Brotons, L., Araájo, M.B. and Lavorel, S. 2004c: Effects of restricting environmental range of data to project current and future distributions. Ecography 27, 165-72.
    • (2004) Ecography , vol.27 , pp. 165-172
    • Thuiller, W.1    Brotons, L.2    Araújo, M.B.3    Lavorel, S.4
  • 173
    • 22144483511 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Niche properties and geographical extent as predictors of species sensitivity to climate change
    • Thuiller, W., Lavorel, S. and Araújo, M.B. 2005a: Niche properties and geographical extent as predictors of species sensitivity to climate change. Global Ecology and Biogeography 14, 347-57.
    • (2005) Global Ecology and Biogeography , vol.14 , pp. 347-357
    • Thuiller, W.1    Lavorel, S.2    Araújo, M.B.3
  • 177
    • 0346735386 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Improving the quality of distribution models for conservation by addressing shortcomings in the field collection of training data
    • Vaughan, I. P. and Ormerod, S.J. 2003: Improving the quality of distribution models for conservation by addressing shortcomings in the field collection of training data. Conservation Biology 17, 1601-11.
    • (2003) Conservation Biology , vol.17 , pp. 1601-1611
    • Vaughan, I.P.1    Ormerod, S.J.2
  • 179
    • 33745290206 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Distribution patterns of boreal marshland birds: Modelling the relationships to land cover and climate
    • Virkkala, R., Luoto, M., Heikkinen, R.K. and Leikola, N. 2005: Distribution patterns of boreal marshland birds: modelling the relationships to land cover and climate. Journal of Biogeography 32, 1957-70.
    • (2005) Journal of Biogeography , vol.32 , pp. 1957-1970
    • Virkkala, R.1    Luoto, M.2    Heikkinen, R.K.3    Leikola, N.4
  • 180
    • 0026293263 scopus 로고
    • HABITAT: A procedure for modelling a disjoint environmental envelope for a plant or animal species
    • Walker, P.A. and Cocks, K.D. 1991: HABITAT: a procedure for modelling a disjoint environmental envelope for a plant or animal species. Global Ecology and Biogeography Letters 1, 108-18.
    • (1991) Global Ecology and Biogeography Letters , vol.1 , pp. 108-118
    • Walker, P.A.1    Cocks, K.D.2
  • 183
    • 0032882753 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Determinants of diversity in a naturally fragmented landscape: Humid montane forest avifaunas of Mesoamerica
    • Watson, D.M. and Peterson, A.T. 1999: Determinants of diversity in a naturally fragmented landscape: humid montane forest avifaunas of Mesoamerica. Ecography 22, 582-89.
    • (1999) Ecography , vol.22 , pp. 582-589
    • Watson, D.M.1    Peterson, A.T.2
  • 185
    • 0024939275 scopus 로고
    • Spatial scaling in ecology
    • Wiens, J.A. 1989: Spatial scaling in ecology. Functional Ecology 3, 385-97.
    • (1989) Functional Ecology , vol.3 , pp. 385-397
    • Wiens, J.A.1
  • 186
    • 0037202456 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • GAMs with integrated model selection using penalized regression splines and applications to environmental modelling
    • Wood, S. and Augustin, N. 2002: GAMs with integrated model selection using penalized regression splines and applications to environmental modelling. Ecological Modelling 157, 157-77.
    • (2002) Ecological Modelling , vol.157 , pp. 157-177
    • Wood, S.1    Augustin, N.2
  • 187
    • 0000734949 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The dynamics of vegetation change: Heath warnings for equilibrium 'dodo' models
    • Woodward, F.I. and Beerling, D.J. 1997: The dynamics of vegetation change: heath warnings for equilibrium 'dodo' models. Global Ecology and Biogeography Letters 6, 413-18.
    • (1997) Global Ecology and Biogeography Letters , vol.6 , pp. 413-418
    • Woodward, F.I.1    Beerling, D.J.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.