메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 33, Issue 10, 2006, Pages 1704-1711

Model-based uncertainty in species range prediction

Author keywords

Bioclimate envelope modelling; Biodiversity; Cape Flora; Climate change; Conservation biogeography; Distribution modelling; Environmental niche modelling; Proteaceae; South Africa; Species biodiversity

Indexed keywords

CLUSTER ANALYSIS; DICOTYLEDON; ENVIRONMENTAL MODELING; MODEL; NICHE; PREDICTION; RANGE SIZE; SPECIES INVENTORY;

EID: 33748501576     PISSN: 03050270     EISSN: 13652699     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2699.2006.01460.x     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (714)

References (75)
  • 1
    • 0034609871 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Quantifying the uncertainty in forecasts of anthropogenic climate change
    • Allen, M.R., Stott, P.A., Mitchell, J.F.B., Schnur, R. & Delwort, D.L. (2000) Quantifying the uncertainty in forecasts of anthropogenic climate change. Nature, 407, 617-620.
    • (2000) Nature , vol.407 , pp. 617-620
    • Allen, M.R.1    Stott, P.A.2    Mitchell, J.F.B.3    Schnur, R.4    Delwort, D.L.5
  • 2
    • 0038025507 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Real vs. artefactual absences in species distributions: Tests for Oryzomys albigularis (Rodentia: Muridae) in Venezuela
    • Anderson, R.P. (2003) Real vs. artefactual absences in species distributions: tests for Oryzomys albigularis (Rodentia: Muridae) in Venezuela. Journal of Biogeography, 30, 591-605.
    • (2003) Journal of Biogeography , vol.30 , pp. 591-605
    • Anderson, R.P.1
  • 3
    • 0037446358 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluating predictive models of species' distributions: Criteria for selecting optimal models
    • Anderson, R.P., Lew, D. & Peterson, A.T. (2003) Evaluating predictive models of species' distributions: criteria for selecting optimal models. Ecological Modelling, 162, 211-232.
    • (2003) Ecological Modelling , vol.162 , pp. 211-232
    • Anderson, R.P.1    Lew, D.2    Peterson, A.T.3
  • 4
    • 24344439469 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Equilibrium of species' distributions with climate
    • Araújo, M.B. & Pearson, R.G. 2005. Equilibrium of species' distributions with climate. Ecography, 28, 693-695.
    • (2005) Ecography , vol.28 , pp. 693-695
    • Araújo, M.B.1    Pearson, R.G.2
  • 5
    • 0033784575 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Selecting areas for species persistence using occurrence data
    • Araújo, M.B. & Williams, P.H. (2000) Selecting areas for species persistence using occurrence data. Biological Conservation, 96, 331-345.
    • (2000) Biological Conservation , vol.96 , pp. 331-345
    • Araújo, M.B.1    Williams, P.H.2
  • 6
    • 24344464067 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Validation of species-climate impact models under climate change
    • Araújo, M.B., Pearson, R.G., Thuiller, W. & Erhard, M. (2005a) Validation of species-climate impact models under climate change. Global Change Biology, 11, 1504-1513.
    • (2005) Global Change Biology , vol.11 , pp. 1504-1513
    • Araújo, M.B.1    Pearson, R.G.2    Thuiller, W.3    Erhard, M.4
  • 8
    • 33748486098 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate warming and the decline of amphibians and reptiles in Europe
    • doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2699.2006.01482.x
    • Araújo, M.B., Thuiller, W. & Pearson, R.G. (2006) Climate warming and the decline of amphibians and reptiles in Europe. Journal of Biogeography, doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2699.2006.01482.x.
    • (2006) Journal of Biogeography
    • Araújo, M.B.1    Thuiller, W.2    Pearson, R.G.3
  • 9
    • 0033662477 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The role of climatic mapping in predicting the potential geographical distribution of non-indigenous pests under current and future climates
    • Baker, R.H.A., Sansford, C.E., Jarvis, C.H., Cannon, R.J.C., Macleod, A. & Walters, K.F.A. (2000) The role of climatic mapping in predicting the potential geographical distribution of non-indigenous pests under current and future climates. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 82, 51-71.
    • (2000) Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment , vol.82 , pp. 51-71
    • Baker, R.H.A.1    Sansford, C.E.2    Jarvis, C.H.3    Cannon, R.J.C.4    Macleod, A.5    Walters, K.F.A.6
  • 10
    • 3042679203 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Presence-absence versus presence-only modelling methods for predicting bird habitat suitability
    • Brotons, L., Thuiller, W., Araújo, M.B. & Hirzel, A.H. (2004) Presence-absence versus presence-only modelling methods for predicting bird habitat suitability. Ecography, 27, 437-448.
    • (2004) Ecography , vol.27 , pp. 437-448
    • Brotons, L.1    Thuiller, W.2    Araújo, M.B.3    Hirzel, A.H.4
  • 11
    • 0032857638 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Elevated CO2 influences the response of two birch species to soil moisture: Implications for forest community structure
    • Catovsky, S. & Bazzaz, F.A. (1999) Elevated CO2 influences the response of two birch species to soil moisture: implications for forest community structure. Global Change Biology, 5, 507-518.
    • (1999) Global Change Biology , vol.5 , pp. 507-518
    • Catovsky, S.1    Bazzaz, F.A.2
  • 13
    • 0000179967 scopus 로고
    • Statistical design analysis for a 'biological effects' study
    • Clarke, K.R. & Green, R.H. (1988) Statistical design analysis for a 'biological effects' study. Marine Ecology Progress Series, 46, 213-226.
    • (1988) Marine Ecology Progress Series , vol.46 , pp. 213-226
    • Clarke, K.R.1    Green, R.H.2
  • 14
    • 0036857859 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ecological niche modelling and differentiation of populations of Triatoma brasiliensis Neiva, 1911, the most important Chagas disease vector in northeastern Brazil (Hemiptera, Reduviidae, Triatominae)
    • Costa, J., Peterson, A.T. & Beard, C.B. (2002) Ecological niche modelling and differentiation of populations of Triatoma brasiliensis Neiva, 1911, the most important Chagas disease vector in northeastern Brazil (Hemiptera, Reduviidae, Triatominae). American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, 67, 516-520.
    • (2002) American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene , vol.67 , pp. 516-520
    • Costa, J.1    Peterson, A.T.2    Beard, C.B.3
  • 15
    • 33748533911 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Soil nutritional factors improve plant species distribution models: An illustration with Acer campestre (L.) in France
    • doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2699.2005.01443.x
    • Coudun, C. & Gégout, J.C. (2006) Soil nutritional factors improve plant species distribution models: an illustration with Acer campestre (L.) in France. Journal of Biogeography, doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2699.2005.01443.x.
    • (2006) Journal of Biogeography
    • Coudun, C.1    Gégout, J.C.2
  • 17
    • 0032546016 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Making mistakes when predicting shifts in species range in response to global warming
    • Davis, A.J., Jenkinson, L.S., Lawton, J.H., Shorrocks, B. & Wood, S. (1998) Making mistakes when predicting shifts in species range in response to global warming. Nature, 391, 783-786.
    • (1998) Nature , vol.391 , pp. 783-786
    • Davis, A.J.1    Jenkinson, L.S.2    Lawton, J.H.3    Shorrocks, B.4    Wood, S.5
  • 18
    • 0036934092 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Extended statistical approaches to modelling spatial pattern in biodiversity in northeast New South Wales. I. Species-level modelling
    • Ferrier, S., Watson, G., Pearce, J. & Drielsma, M. (2002) Extended statistical approaches to modelling spatial pattern in biodiversity in northeast New South Wales. I. Species-level modelling. Biodiversity and Conservation, 11, 2275-2307.
    • (2002) Biodiversity and Conservation , vol.11 , pp. 2275-2307
    • Ferrier, S.1    Watson, G.2    Pearce, J.3    Drielsma, M.4
  • 19
    • 0030953391 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A review of methods for the assessment of prediction errors in conservation presence/absence models
    • Fielding, A.H. & Bell, J.F. (1997) A review of methods for the assessment of prediction errors in conservation presence/absence models. Environmental Conservation, 24, 38-49.
    • (1997) Environmental Conservation , vol.24 , pp. 38-49
    • Fielding, A.H.1    Bell, J.F.2
  • 20
    • 4344644543 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Integrating phylogenetics and environmental niche models to explore speciation mechanisms in dendrobatid frogs
    • Graham, C.H., Ron, S.R., Santos, J.C., Schneider, C.J. & Moritz, C. (2004) Integrating phylogenetics and environmental niche models to explore speciation mechanisms in dendrobatid frogs. Evolution, 58, 1781-1793.
    • (2004) Evolution , vol.58 , pp. 1781-1793
    • Graham, C.H.1    Ron, S.R.2    Santos, J.C.3    Schneider, C.J.4    Moritz, C.5
  • 21
    • 0033495540 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Integrating species and habitat data for nature conservation in Great Britain: Data sources and methods
    • Griffiths, G.H., Eversham, B.C. & Roy, D.B. (1999) Integrating species and habitat data for nature conservation in Great Britain: data sources and methods. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 8, 329-345.
    • (1999) Global Ecology and Biogeography , vol.8 , pp. 329-345
    • Griffiths, G.H.1    Eversham, B.C.2    Roy, D.B.3
  • 22
    • 24144434307 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bioclimatic models: What they detect and what they hide
    • Hampe, A. (2004) Bioclimatic models: what they detect and what they hide. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 11, 469-471.
    • (2004) Global Ecology and Biogeography , vol.11 , pp. 469-471
    • Hampe, A.1
  • 23
    • 0020083498 scopus 로고
    • The meaning and use of the area under a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve
    • Hanley, J.A. & McNeil, B.J. (1982) The meaning and use of the area under a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Radiology, 143, 29-36.
    • (1982) Radiology , vol.143 , pp. 29-36
    • Hanley, J.A.1    McNeil, B.J.2
  • 25
    • 15244355669 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The view from the Cape: Extinction risk, protected areas, and climate change
    • Hannah, L., Midgley, G.F., Hughes, G. & Bomhard, B. (2005) The view from the Cape: extinction risk, protected areas, and climate change. Bioscience, 55, 231-242.
    • (2005) Bioscience , vol.55 , pp. 231-242
    • Hannah, L.1    Midgley, G.F.2    Hughes, G.3    Bomhard, B.4
  • 26
    • 20444376716 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change and extinction risk
    • doi:10.1038/nature02718
    • Harte, J., Ostling, A., Green, J.L. & Kinzig, A. (2004) Climate change and extinction risk. Nature, 430, 33. doi:10.1038/nature02718.
    • (2004) Nature , vol.430 , pp. 33
    • Harte, J.1    Ostling, A.2    Green, J.L.3    Kinzig, A.4
  • 27
    • 0032962211 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting the landscape-scale distribution of alien plants and their threat to plant diversity
    • Higgins, S.I., Richardson, D.M., Cowling, R.M. & Trinder-Smith, T.H. (1999) Predicting the landscape-scale distribution of alien plants and their threat to plant diversity. Conservation Biology, 13, 303-313.
    • (1999) Conservation Biology , vol.13 , pp. 303-313
    • Higgins, S.I.1    Richardson, D.M.2    Cowling, R.M.3    Trinder-Smith, T.H.4
  • 30
    • 0013388883 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Concluding remarks: A review of some open questions
    • ed. by M.J. Hutchings, E. John & A.J.A. Stewart, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
    • Lawton, J.H. (2000) Concluding remarks: a review of some open questions. Ecological consequences of heterogeneity (ed. by M.J. Hutchings, E. John & A.J.A. Stewart), pp. 401-424. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
    • (2000) Ecological Consequences of Heterogeneity , pp. 401-424
    • Lawton, J.H.1
  • 31
    • 20444488428 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Selecting thresholds of occurrence in the prediction of species distributions
    • Liu, C., Berry, P.M., Dawson, T.P. & Pearson, R.G. (2005) Selecting thresholds of occurrence in the prediction of species distributions. Ecography, 28, 385-393.
    • (2005) Ecography , vol.28 , pp. 385-393
    • Liu, C.1    Berry, P.M.2    Dawson, T.P.3    Pearson, R.G.4
  • 33
    • 33748545281 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Determinants of biogeographical distribution of butterflies in boreal regions
    • doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2699.2005.01395.x
    • Luoto, M., Heikkinen, R.K., Pöyry, J. & Saarinen, K. (2006) Determinants of biogeographical distribution of butterflies in boreal regions. Journal of Biogeography, doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2699.2005.01395.x.
    • (2006) Journal of Biogeography
    • Luoto, M.1    Heikkinen, R.K.2    Pöyry, J.3    Saarinen, K.4
  • 34
    • 33745719239 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Improving generalized regression analysis for spatial predictions of forest communities
    • doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2699.2006.01465.x
    • Maggini, R., Lehmann, A., Zimmerman, N. & Guisan, A. (2006). Improving generalized regression analysis for spatial predictions of forest communities. Journal of Biogeography, doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2699.2006.01465.x.
    • (2006) Journal of Biogeography
    • Maggini, R.1    Lehmann, A.2    Zimmerman, N.3    Guisan, A.4
  • 35
    • 0034770214 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluating presences-absence models in ecology: The need to account for prevalence
    • Manel, S., Williams, H.C. & Ormerod, S.J. (2001) Evaluating presences-absence models in ecology: the need to account for prevalence. Journal of Applied Ecology, 38, 921-931.
    • (2001) Journal of Applied Ecology , vol.38 , pp. 921-931
    • Manel, S.1    Williams, H.C.2    Ormerod, S.J.3
  • 36
    • 33748528104 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Conservatism of ecological niche characteristics in North American plant species over the Pleistocene-to-Recent transition
    • in press
    • Martínez-Meyer, E. & Peterson, A.T. (2006) Conservatism of ecological niche characteristics in North American plant species over the Pleistocene-to-Recent transition. Journal of Biogeography, in press.
    • (2006) Journal of Biogeography
    • Martínez-Meyer, E.1    Peterson, A.T.2
  • 38
    • 3042760102 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ecological niches as stable distributional constraints on mammal species, with implications for Pleistocene extinctions and climate change projections for biodiversity
    • Martinez-Meyer, E., Peterson, A.T. & Hargrove, W.W. (2004) Ecological niches as stable distributional constraints on mammal species, with implications for Pleistocene extinctions and climate change projections for biodiversity. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 13, 305-314.
    • (2004) Global Ecology and Biogeography , vol.13 , pp. 305-314
    • Martinez-Meyer, E.1    Peterson, A.T.2    Hargrove, W.W.3
  • 40
    • 5344259743 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The effects of species' range sizes on the accuracy of distribution models: Ecological phenomenon or statistical artefact?
    • McPherson, J.M., Jetz, W. & Rogers, D.J. (2004) The effects of species' range sizes on the accuracy of distribution models: ecological phenomenon or statistical artefact? Journal of Applied Ecology, 41, 811-823.
    • (2004) Journal of Applied Ecology , vol.41 , pp. 811-823
    • McPherson, J.M.1    Jetz, W.2    Rogers, D.J.3
  • 41
    • 0036881087 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessing the vulnerability of species richness to anthropogenic climate change in a biodiversity hotspot
    • Midgley, G.F., Hannah, L., Millar, D., Rutherford, M.C. & Powerie, L.W. (2002) Assessing the vulnerability of species richness to anthropogenic climate change in a biodiversity hotspot. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 11, 445-451.
    • (2002) Global Ecology and Biogeography , vol.11 , pp. 445-451
    • Midgley, G.F.1    Hannah, L.2    Millar, D.3    Rutherford, M.C.4    Powerie, L.W.5
  • 42
    • 0038062625 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Developing regional and species-level assessments of climate change impacts on biodiversity in the Cape Floristic Region
    • Midgley, G.F., Hannah, L., Millar, D., Thuiller, W. & Booth, A. (2003) Developing regional and species-level assessments of climate change impacts on biodiversity in the Cape Floristic Region. Biological Conservation, 112, 87-97.
    • (2003) Biological Conservation , vol.112 , pp. 87-97
    • Midgley, G.F.1    Hannah, L.2    Millar, D.3    Thuiller, W.4    Booth, A.5
  • 43
    • 8644290900 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The impact of global climate change on tropical forest biodiversity in Amazonia
    • Miles, L., Grainger, A. & Phillips, O. (2004) The impact of global climate change on tropical forest biodiversity in Amazonia. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 6, 553-565.
    • (2004) Global Ecology and Biogeography , vol.6 , pp. 553-565
    • Miles, L.1    Grainger, A.2    Phillips, O.3
  • 44
    • 0027091362 scopus 로고
    • Comparing global vegetation maps with the Kappa statistic
    • Monserud, R.A. & Leemans, R. (1992) Comparing global vegetation maps with the Kappa statistic. Ecological Modelling, 62, 275-293.
    • (1992) Ecological Modelling , vol.62 , pp. 275-293
    • Monserud, R.A.1    Leemans, R.2
  • 45
    • 0002965463 scopus 로고
    • A biogeographic analysis of Australian elapid snakes
    • ed. by R. Longmore, Australian Government Publishing Service, Canberra
    • Nix, H.A. (1986) A biogeographic analysis of Australian elapid snakes. Atlas of elapid snakes (ed. by R. Longmore), pp. 4-15. Australian Government Publishing Service, Canberra.
    • (1986) Atlas of Elapid Snakes , pp. 4-15
    • Nix, H.A.1
  • 46
    • 3042679179 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluating alternative data sets for ecological niche models of birds in the Andes
    • Parra, J.L., Graham, C.C. & Freile, J.F. (2004) Evaluating alternative data sets for ecological niche models of birds in the Andes. Ecography, 27, 350-360.
    • (2004) Ecography , vol.27 , pp. 350-360
    • Parra, J.L.1    Graham, C.C.2    Freile, J.F.3
  • 47
    • 0033831709 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluating the predictive performance of habitat models developed using logistic regression
    • Pearce, J. & Ferrier, S. (2000) Evaluating the predictive performance of habitat models developed using logistic regression. Ecological Modelling, 133, 225-245.
    • (2000) Ecological Modelling , vol.133 , pp. 225-245
    • Pearce, J.1    Ferrier, S.2
  • 48
    • 0141856572 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting the impacts of climate change on the distribution of species: Are bioclimate envelope models useful?
    • Pearson, R.G. & Dawson, T.P. (2003) Predicting the impacts of climate change on the distribution of species: are bioclimate envelope models useful? Global Ecology and Biogeography, 12, 361-371.
    • (2003) Global Ecology and Biogeography , vol.12 , pp. 361-371
    • Pearson, R.G.1    Dawson, T.P.2
  • 49
    • 24144434307 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bioclimate envelope models: What they detect and what they hide - Response to Hampe (2004)
    • Pearson, R.G. & Dawson, T.P. (2004) Bioclimate envelope models: what they detect and what they hide - response to Hampe (2004). Global Ecology and Biogeography, 13, 471-473.
    • (2004) Global Ecology and Biogeography , vol.13 , pp. 471-473
    • Pearson, R.G.1    Dawson, T.P.2
  • 50
    • 15944392510 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Long-distance plant dispersal and habitat fragmentation: Identifying conservation targets for spatial landscape planning under climate change
    • Pearson, R.G. & Dawson, T.P. (2005) Long-distance plant dispersal and habitat fragmentation: identifying conservation targets for spatial landscape planning under climate change. Biological Conservation, 123, 389-401.
    • (2005) Biological Conservation , vol.123 , pp. 389-401
    • Pearson, R.G.1    Dawson, T.P.2
  • 51
    • 0036721959 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • SPECIES: A spatial evaluation of climate impact on the envelope of species
    • Pearson, R.G., Dawson, T.P., Berry, P.M. & Harrison, P.A. (2002) SPECIES: a spatial evaluation of climate impact on the envelope of species. Ecological Modelling, 154, 289-300.
    • (2002) Ecological Modelling , vol.154 , pp. 289-300
    • Pearson, R.G.1    Dawson, T.P.2    Berry, P.M.3    Harrison, P.A.4
  • 52
    • 3042532648 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling species distributions in Britain: A hierarchical integration of climate and land-cover data
    • Pearson, R.G., Dawson, T.P. & Liu, C. (2004) Modelling species distributions in Britain: a hierarchical integration of climate and land-cover data. Ecography, 27, 285-298.
    • (2004) Ecography , vol.27 , pp. 285-298
    • Pearson, R.G.1    Dawson, T.P.2    Liu, C.3
  • 53
    • 0033588039 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Conservatism of ecological niches in evolutionary time
    • Peterson, A.T., Soberon, J. & Sanchez-Cordero, V. (1999) Conservatism of ecological niches in evolutionary time. Science, 285, 1265-1267.
    • (1999) Science , vol.285 , pp. 1265-1267
    • Peterson, A.T.1    Soberon, J.2    Sanchez-Cordero, V.3
  • 59
    • 0013383111 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • School of Bioresources Engineering and Environmental Hydrology, University of Natal, Pietermaritzburg
    • Schulze, R.E. & Perks, L.A. (1999) Assessment of the impact of climate. School of Bioresources Engineering and Environmental Hydrology, University of Natal, Pietermaritzburg.
    • (1999) Assessment of the Impact of Climate
    • Schulze, R.E.1    Perks, L.A.2
  • 60
    • 4644223644 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An evaluation of methods for modelling species distributions
    • Segurado, P. & Araújo, M.B. (2004) An evaluation of methods for modelling species distributions. Journal of Biogeography, 31, 1555-1568.
    • (2004) Journal of Biogeography , vol.31 , pp. 1555-1568
    • Segurado, P.1    Araújo, M.B.2
  • 63
    • 0036468622 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effects of sample size on accuracy of species distribution models
    • Stockwell, D.R.B. & Peterson, A.T. (2002) Effects of sample size on accuracy of species distribution models. Ecological Modelling, 148, 1-13.
    • (2002) Ecological Modelling , vol.148 , pp. 1-13
    • Stockwell, D.R.B.1    Peterson, A.T.2
  • 64
    • 3042779077 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Limited filling of the potential range in European tree species
    • Svenning, J.-C. & Skov, F. (2004) Limited filling of the potential range in European tree species. Ecology Letters, 7, 565-573.
    • (2004) Ecology Letters , vol.7 , pp. 565-573
    • Svenning, J.-C.1    Skov, F.2
  • 65
    • 0023890867 scopus 로고
    • Measuring the accuracy of diagnostic systems
    • Swets, J.A. (1988) Measuring the accuracy of diagnostic systems. Science, 240, 1285-1293.
    • (1988) Science , vol.240 , pp. 1285-1293
    • Swets, J.A.1
  • 68
    • 0242275331 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • BIOMOD - Optimizing predictions of species distributions and projecting potential future shifts under global change
    • Thuiller, W. (2003) BIOMOD - optimizing predictions of species distributions and projecting potential future shifts under global change. Global Change Biology, 9, 1353-1362.
    • (2003) Global Change Biology , vol.9 , pp. 1353-1362
    • Thuiller, W.1
  • 69
    • 10944234906 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Patterns and uncertainties of species' range shifts under climate change
    • Thuiller, W. (2004) Patterns and uncertainties of species' range shifts under climate change. Global Change Biology, 10, 1-8.
    • (2004) Global Change Biology , vol.10 , pp. 1-8
    • Thuiller, W.1
  • 72
    • 4744352914 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effects of restricting environmental range of data to project current and future species distributions
    • Thuiller, W., Brotons, L., Araújo, M.B. & Lavorel, S. (2004b) Effects of restricting environmental range of data to project current and future species distributions. Ecography, 31, 165-172.
    • (2004) Ecography , vol.31 , pp. 165-172
    • Thuiller, W.1    Brotons, L.2    Araújo, M.B.3    Lavorel, S.4
  • 75
    • 0000734949 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The dynamics of vegetation change: Health warnings for equilibrium 'dodo' models
    • Woodward, F.I. & Beerling, D.J. (1997) The dynamics of vegetation change: health warnings for equilibrium 'dodo' models. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 6, 413-418.
    • (1997) Global Ecology and Biogeography , vol.6 , pp. 413-418
    • Woodward, F.I.1    Beerling, D.J.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.