The role of climatic mapping in predicting the potential geographical distribution of non-indigenous pests under current and future climates

Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment

Volumn 82, Issue 1-3, 2000, Pages 57-71

  Baker, R H A ^a   Sansford, C E ^a   Jarvis, C H ^b   Cannon, R J C ^a   MacLeod, A ^a   Walters, K F A ^a  

^a CENTRAL SCIENCE LABORATORY   (United Kingdom)

^b UNIVERSITY OF EDINBURGH   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

Climate change; Climatic mapping; Pest risk analysis

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE; GEOGRAPHICAL DISTRIBUTION; MAPPING; PEST SPECIES;

EID: 0033662477     PISSN: 01678809     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/S0167-8809(00)00216-4     Document Type: Article

References (74)

1. An approach to determining potential pest distribution
2. Assessing the threat to British crops from alien diseases and pests
3. Further development of a computer model for simulating pest life cycles
4. An assessment of the risks posed by selected non-indigenous pests to UK crops under climate change
5. Predicting the impacts of a non-indigenous pest on the UK potato crop under global climate change: Reviewing the evidence for the Colorado beetle, Leptinotarsa decemlineata
6. Climate and the distribution of Fallopia japonica: Use of an introduced species to test the predictive capacity of response surfaces
7. Modelling climatic similarities in Mediterranean areas: A potential tool for plant genetic resources and breeding programmes
8. Assessment of the global potential distribution of the predatory land planarian Artioposthia triangulata (Dendy) (Tricladida: Tericola) from ecoclimatic data
9. Identifying climatically suitable areas for growing particular trees in Latin America
10. An environmentally defined biogeographical zonation of Scotland designed to reflect species distributions
11. DOMAIN: A flexible modelling procedure for mapping potential distributions of plants and animals
12. USDA plant hardiness zone map
13. Climate change and plant disease management
14. The distribution of the alfalfa weevil (Phytonomus posticus Gyll.). A study in physical ecology
15. Individualistic species responses invalidate simple physiological models of community dynamics under global environmental change
16. Making mistakes when predicting shifts in species range in response to global warming
17. Pest risk assessment scheme
18. Mediterranean region
19. Temperate Europe and West Asia
20. Species response to global environmental change or why ecophysiologicai models are important: A reply to Davis et al.
21. Construction of a 1961-90 European climatology for climate modelling and impacts applications
22. Concluding remarks
23. The application of thin plate smoothing splines to continent-wide data assimilation
24. The impact of parasitoids on natural populations of temperate woodland Drosophila
25. To interpolate and thence to model, or vice versa?
26. Redistribution of the potential geographical ranges of mistletoe and Colorado beetle in Europe in response to the temperature component of climate change
27. A biometeorological model for forecasting Karnal bunt disease of wheat
28. The second Hadley Centre coupled ocean-atmosphere GCM: Model description, spinup and validation
29. Impact of intraspecific variation on insect pest management
30. An assessment of a latitude-temperature index for predicting climate suitability for grapes in Europe
31. Environmental predictions and distributional limits of chromosomal taxa in the Australian grasshopper Caledia captiva (F.)
32. Small earthquakes in Chile and climate change
33. Are there general laws in ecology
34. The population and community ecology of invading insects
35. Overwintering potential of Liriomyza huidobrensis pupae in the UK
36. Bioclimatic potential
37. Bioclimatic studies with insects
38. Simulation of wheat ontogenesis. II. Predicting dates of ear emergence
39. Models for the development and survival of Hyphantria cunea in relation to temperature and humidity
40. The risk to Australia from Tilletia indica, the cause of Karnal bunt of wheat
41. Representing twentieth century space-time climate variability. Part 1: Development of a 1961-90 mean monthly terrestrial climatology
42. What changed the demography of an introduced population of a herbivorous lady beetle
43. Overwintering of the Mediterranean fruit fly (Diptera: Tephritidae) in Northern Greece
44. Biological invasions of plants and animals in agriculture and forestry
45. Habitat factors in new pest invasions
46. AFRCWHEAT2: A model of the growth and development of wheat incorporating responses to water and nitrogen
47. A global biome model based on plant physiology and dominance, soil properties and climate
48. Tsetse population dynamics and distribution: A new analytical approach
49. Karnal bunt (Tilletia indica): Detection of Tilletia indica Mitra in the US: Potential risk to the UK and the EU
50. Landscape framework to predict phenological events for gypsy moth (Lepidoptera: Lymantriidae) management problems
51. Reaction kinetics of poikilotherm development
52. The distribution and abundance of woodland species of Drosophila (Diptera: Drosophilidae)
53. Distribution and economic importance of Karnal bunt in Uttar Pradesh
54. CLIMEX for Windows 1.0. Users Guide
55. Climate change and invasive species - A conceptual framework
56. A computerised system for matching climates in ecology
57. Predicting insect distributions in a changed climate
58. GCTE activity 3.2 global change impacts on pests, diseases and weeds implementation plan
59. HABITAT: A procedure for modelling a disjoint environmental envelope for a plant and animal species
60. Invasions
61. The geographical distribution of the Queensland fruit fly, Bactrocera (Dacus) tryoni, in relation to climate