메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 272, Issue 1571, 2005, Pages 1427-1432

An ecological 'footprint' of climate change

Author keywords

Bioclimatic model; Bioindicator; Evergreen broad leaved species; Global warming; Ilex aquifolium; Range shift

Indexed keywords

BIOGEOGRAPHY; CLIMATE CHANGE; GEOGRAPHICAL DISTRIBUTION; GLOBAL WARMING;

EID: 25444441564     PISSN: 09628452     EISSN: 14712970     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2005.3119     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (290)

References (51)
  • 1
    • 0034701561 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Thermal tolerance, climatic variability and latitude
    • doi:10.1098/rspb.2000.1065
    • Addo-Bediako, A., Chown, S. L. & Gaston, K. J. 2000 Thermal tolerance, climatic variability and latitude. Proc. R. Soc. B 267, 739-745. (doi:10.1098/rspb.2000.1065.)
    • (2000) Proc. R. Soc. B , vol.267 , pp. 739-745
    • Addo-Bediako, A.1    Chown, S.L.2    Gaston, K.J.3
  • 2
    • 0036394876 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Frost hardiness in the juvenile and adult life phase of ivy (Hedera helix L.)
    • doi:10.1023/A:1020365422879
    • Andergassen, S. & Bauer, H. 2002 Frost hardiness in the juvenile and adult life phase of ivy (Hedera helix L.). Plant Ecol. 161, 207-213. (doi:10.1023/A:1020365422879.)
    • (2002) Plant Ecol. , vol.161 , pp. 207-213
    • Andergassen, S.1    Bauer, H.2
  • 3
    • 11244289383 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling the distribution of Ilex aquifolium at the north-eastern edge of its geographical range
    • Banuelos, M. J., Kollmann, J., Hartvig, P. & Quevedo, M. 2004 Modelling the distribution of Ilex aquifolium at the north-eastern edge of its geographical range. Nord. J. Bot. 23, 129-142.
    • (2004) Nord. J. Bot. , vol.23 , pp. 129-142
    • Banuelos, M.J.1    Kollmann, J.2    Hartvig, P.3    Quevedo, M.4
  • 6
    • 2342623254 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The range margins of northern birds shift polewards
    • Brommer, J. E. 2004 The range margins of northern birds shift polewards. Ann. Zool. Fenn. 41, 391-397.
    • (2004) Ann. Zool. Fenn. , vol.41 , pp. 391-397
    • Brommer, J.E.1
  • 8
    • 84973587732 scopus 로고
    • A coefficient of agreement for nominal scales
    • Cohen, J. 1960 A coefficient of agreement for nominal scales. Educ. Psychol. Meas. 20, 37-46.
    • (1960) Educ. Psychol. Meas. , vol.20 , pp. 37-46
    • Cohen, J.1
  • 9
    • 0038243032 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Winter warming facilitates range expansion: Cold tolerance of the butterfly Atalopedes campestris
    • doi:10.1007/s00442-003-1219-2
    • Crozier, L. 2003 Winter warming facilitates range expansion: cold tolerance of the butterfly Atalopedes campestris. Oecologia 135, 648-656. (doi:10.1007/s00442-003-1219-2.)
    • (2003) Oecologia , vol.135 , pp. 648-656
    • Crozier, L.1
  • 10
    • 26244451721 scopus 로고
    • Sambandet mellan klimat och växtgränser
    • Enquist, F. 1924 Sambandet mellan klimat och växtgränser. Geol. Fören. Förhandl. 46, 202-213.
    • (1924) Geol. Fören. Förhandl. , vol.46 , pp. 202-213
    • Enquist, F.1
  • 11
    • 0030953391 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A review of methods for the assessment of prediction errors in conservation presence/absence models
    • Fielding, A. H. & Bell, J. F. 1997 A review of methods for the assessment of prediction errors in conservation presence/absence models. Environ. Conserv. 24, 38-49.
    • (1997) Environ. Conserv. , vol.24 , pp. 38-49
    • Fielding, A.H.1    Bell, J.F.2
  • 13
    • 0001886562 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Observed climate variability and change
    • ed. J. T. Houghton, Y. Ding, D. J. Griggs, M. Noguer, P. J. van der Linden, X. Dai, K. Maskell & C. A. Johnson, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press
    • Folland, C. K. & Karl, T. R. 2001 Observed climate variability and change. In Climate change 2001: the scientific basis (ed. J. T. Houghton, Y. Ding, D. J. Griggs, M. Noguer, P. J. van der Linden, X. Dai, K. Maskell & C. A. Johnson), pp. 99-181. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
    • (2001) Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis , pp. 99-181
    • Folland, C.K.1    Karl, T.R.2
  • 14
    • 0037261870 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The role of climate in limiting European resident bird populations
    • doi:10.1046/j.1365-2699.2003.00812.x
    • Forsman, J. T. & Monkkonen, M. 2003 The role of climate in limiting European resident bird populations. J. Biogeogr. 30, 55-70. (doi:10.1046/j.1365- 2699.2003.00812.x.)
    • (2003) J. Biogeogr. , vol.30 , pp. 55-70
    • Forsman, J.T.1    Monkkonen, M.2
  • 15
    • 0028237912 scopus 로고
    • Climate effects on mountain plants
    • doi:10.1038/369448a0
    • Grabherr, G., Gottfried, M. & Pauli, H. 1994 Climate effects on mountain plants. Nature 369, 448. (doi:10.1038/369448a0.)
    • (1994) Nature , vol.369 , pp. 448
    • Grabherr, G.1    Gottfried, M.2    Pauli, H.3
  • 17
    • 0033594877 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate and habitat availability determine twentieth century changes in a butterfly's range margins
    • doi:10.1098/rspb.1999.0763
    • Hill, J. K., Thomas, C. D. & Huntley, B. 1999 Climate and habitat availability determine twentieth century changes in a butterfly's range margins. Proc. R. Soc. B 266, 1197-1206. (doi:10.1098/rspb.1999.0763.)
    • (1999) Proc. R. Soc. B , vol.266 , pp. 1197-1206
    • Hill, J.K.1    Thomas, C.D.2    Huntley, B.3
  • 18
    • 0037159385 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Responses of butterflies to twentieth century climate warming: Implications for future ranges
    • doi: 10.1098/rspb.2002.2134
    • Hill, J. K., Thomas, C. D., Fox, R., Telfer, M. G., Willis, S. G., Asher, J. & Huntley, B. 2002 Responses of butterflies to twentieth century climate warming: implications for future ranges. Proc. R. Soc. B 269, 2163-2171. (doi: 10.1098/rspb.2002.2134.)
    • (2002) Proc. R. Soc. B , vol.269 , pp. 2163-2171
    • Hill, J.K.1    Thomas, C.D.2    Fox, R.3    Telfer, M.G.4    Willis, S.G.5    Asher, J.6    Huntley, B.7
  • 20
    • 0034144294 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Biological consequences of global warming: Is the signal already apparent?
    • doi:10.1016/S0169-5347(99)01764-4
    • Hughes, L. 2000 Biological consequences of global warming: is the signal already apparent? Trends Ecol. Evol. 15, 56-61. (doi:10.1016/S0169-5347(99) 01764-4.)
    • (2000) Trends Ecol. Evol. , vol.15 , pp. 56-61
    • Hughes, L.1
  • 21
    • 0037130231 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate-mediated energetic constraints on the distribution of hibernating mammals
    • doi:10.1038/nature00828
    • Humphries, M. M., Thomas, D. W. & Speakman, J. R. 2002 Climate-mediated energetic constraints on the distribution of hibernating mammals. Nature 418, 313-316. (doi:10.1038/nature00828.)
    • (2002) Nature , vol.418 , pp. 313-316
    • Humphries, M.M.1    Thomas, D.W.2    Speakman, J.R.3
  • 22
    • 0000793881 scopus 로고
    • Viscum, Hedera and Ilex as climatic indicators. A contribution to the study of past-glacial temperature climate
    • Iversen, J. 1944 Viscum, Hedera and Ilex as climatic indicators. A contribution to the study of past-glacial temperature climate. Geol. Fören. Förhandl. 66, 463-483.
    • (1944) Geol. Fören. Förhandl. , vol.66 , pp. 463-483
    • Iversen, J.1
  • 23
    • 0037414849 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Consensus on ecological impacts remains elusive
    • doi:10.1126/science.299.5603.38
    • Jensen, M. N. 2003 Consensus on ecological impacts remains elusive. Science 299, 38. (doi:10.1126/science.299.5603.38.)
    • (2003) Science , vol.299 , pp. 38
    • Jensen, M.N.1
  • 24
    • 0017360990 scopus 로고
    • The measurement of observer agreement for categorical data
    • Landis, J. R. & Koch, G. C. 1977 The measurement of observer agreement for categorical data. Biometrics 33, 159-174.
    • (1977) Biometrics , vol.33 , pp. 159-174
    • Landis, J.R.1    Koch, G.C.2
  • 26
    • 0001695043 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Biodiversity and global change
    • (ed. K. J. Gaston), Oxford: Blackwell
    • Leemans, R. 1996 Biodiversity and global change. In Biodiversity-a biology of numbers and difference (ed. K. J. Gaston), pp. 367-387. Oxford: Blackwell.
    • (1996) Biodiversity - A Biology of Numbers and Difference , pp. 367-387
    • Leemans, R.1
  • 27
    • 26244432886 scopus 로고
    • Über die aquifoliaceen, besonders über Ilex
    • Loesener, T. 1919 Über die Aquifoliaceen, besonders über Ilex. Mitt. Dtsch. Dendrol. Ges. 28, 1-66.
    • (1919) Mitt. Dtsch. Dendrol. Ges. , vol.28 , pp. 1-66
    • Loesener, T.1
  • 29
    • 24744444695 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A comprehensive set of high-resolution grids of monthly climate for Europe and the globe: The observed record (1901-2000) and 16 scenarios (2001-2100)
    • July 2004.
    • Mitchell, T. D., Carter, T. R., Jones, P. D., Hulme, M. & New, M. 2004 A comprehensive set of high-resolution grids of monthly climate for Europe and the globe: the observed record (1901-2000) and 16 scenarios (2001-2100). Tyndall Centre Working Papers 55, July 2004. (Available at: http://www.tyndall. ac.uk/publications/working_papers/wp55.pdf.)
    • (2004) Tyndall Centre Working Papers , pp. 55
    • Mitchell, T.D.1    Carter, T.R.2    Jones, P.D.3    Hulme, M.4    New, M.5
  • 30
    • 0033102436 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Representing twentieth century space-time variability. Part I. Development of a 1961-90 mean monthly terrestrial climatology
    • New, M., Hulme, M. & Jones, P. D. 1999 Representing twentieth century space-time variability. Part I. Development of a 1961-90 mean monthly terrestrial climatology. J. Clim. 12, 829-856.
    • (1999) J. Clim. , vol.12 , pp. 829-856
    • New, M.1    Hulme, M.2    Jones, P.D.3
  • 31
    • 0034233140 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Representing twentieth century space-time variability. Part 2. Development of 1901-96 monthly grids of terrestrial surface climate
    • New, M., Hulme, M. & Jones, P. D. 2000 Representing twentieth century space-time variability. Part 2. Development of 1901-96 monthly grids of terrestrial surface climate. J. Clim. 13, 2217-2238.
    • (2000) J. Clim. , vol.13 , pp. 2217-2238
    • New, M.1    Hulme, M.2    Jones, P.D.3
  • 32
    • 0037413628 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems
    • doi:10.1038/nature01286
    • Parmesan, C. & Yohe, G. 2003 A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems. Nature 421, 37-42. (doi:10.1038/nature01286.)
    • (2003) Nature , vol.421 , pp. 37-42
    • Parmesan, C.1    Yohe, G.2
  • 33
    • 0033542411 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Poleward shifts in geographical ranges of butterfly species associated with regional warming
    • doi:10.1038/21181
    • Parmesan, C., et al. 1999 Poleward shifts in geographical ranges of butterfly species associated with regional warming. Nature 399, 579-583. (doi:10.1038/21181.)
    • (1999) Nature , vol.399 , pp. 579-583
    • Parmesan, C.1
  • 34
    • 0000743165 scopus 로고
    • Biological flora of the British Isles
    • Peterken, G. F. & Lloyd, P. S. 1967 Biological flora of the British Isles. J. Ecol. 55, 841-858.
    • (1967) J. Ecol. , vol.55 , pp. 841-858
    • Peterken, G.F.1    Lloyd, P.S.2
  • 35
    • 0008960867 scopus 로고
    • Die nacheiszeitliche ausbreitung und heutige pflanzensoziologische stellung von Ilex aquifolium L
    • Pott, R. 1990 Die nacheiszeitliche Ausbreitung und heutige pflanzensoziologische Stellung von Ilex aquifolium L. Tuexenia 10, 497-512.
    • (1990) Tuexenia , vol.10 , pp. 497-512
    • Pott, R.1
  • 36
    • 0027089143 scopus 로고
    • A global biome model based on plant physiology and dominance, soil properties and climate
    • Prentice, I. C., Cramer, W., Harrison, S., Leemans, R., Monserud, R. A. & Solomon, A. M. 1992 A global biome model based on plant physiology and dominance, soil properties and climate. J. Biogeogr. 19, 117-134.
    • (1992) J. Biogeogr. , vol.19 , pp. 117-134
    • Prentice, I.C.1    Cramer, W.2    Harrison, S.3    Leemans, R.4    Monserud, R.A.5    Solomon, A.M.6
  • 37
    • 0037413654 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Fingerprints of global warming on wild animals and plants
    • doi:10.1038/nature01333
    • Root, T. L., Price, J. T., Hall, K. R., Schneider, S. H., Rosenzweig, C. & Pounds, J. A. 2003 Fingerprints of global warming on wild animals and plants. Nature 421, 57-60. (doi:10.1038/nature01333.)
    • (2003) Nature , vol.421 , pp. 57-60
    • Root, T.L.1    Price, J.T.2    Hall, K.R.3    Schneider, S.H.4    Rosenzweig, C.5    Pounds, J.A.6
  • 38
    • 26244460090 scopus 로고
    • Die standorte der hülse (Ilex aquifolium L.) in der umgebung des naturschutzgebietes "Heiliges Meer" bei hopsten (Westf.)
    • Runge, F. 1950 Die Standorte der Hülse (Ilex aquifolium L.) in der Umgebung des Naturschutzgebietes "Heiliges Meer" bei Hopsten (Westf.). Natur und Heimat 10, 65-77.
    • (1950) Natur und Heimat , vol.10 , pp. 65-77
    • Runge, F.1
  • 39
    • 0006553058 scopus 로고
    • Freezing resistance of ornamental trees and shrubs
    • Sakai, A. 1982 Freezing resistance of ornamental trees and shrubs. J. Am. Soc. Hortic. Sci. 107, 572-581.
    • (1982) J. Am. Soc. Hortic. Sci. , vol.107 , pp. 572-581
    • Sakai, A.1
  • 41
    • 3042601152 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Potential impact of climatic change on the distribution of forest herbs in Europe
    • doi:10.1111/j.0906-7590.2004. 03823.x
    • Skov, F. & Svenning, J. C. 2004 Potential impact of climatic change on the distribution of forest herbs in Europe. Ecography 21, 366-380. (doi:10.1111/j.0906-7590.2004. 03823.x.)
    • (2004) Ecography , vol.21 , pp. 366-380
    • Skov, F.1    Svenning, J.C.2
  • 42
    • 3042779077 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Limited filling of the potential range in European tree species
    • doi:10.1111/j.1461-0248.2004.00614.x
    • Svenning, J.-C. & Skov, F. 2004 Limited filling of the potential range in European tree species. Ecol. Lett. 7, 565-573. (doi:10.1111/j.1461- 0248.2004.00614.x.)
    • (2004) Ecol. Lett. , vol.7 , pp. 565-573
    • Svenning, J.-C.1    Skov, F.2
  • 43
    • 0030304341 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A bioclimatic model for the potential distributions of north European tree species under present and future climates
    • Sykes, M. T., Prentice, I. C. & Cramer, W. 1996 A bioclimatic model for the potential distributions of north European tree species under present and future climates. J. Biogeogr. 23, 203-233.
    • (1996) J. Biogeogr. , vol.23 , pp. 203-233
    • Sykes, M.T.1    Prentice, I.C.2    Cramer, W.3
  • 44
    • 0033587045 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Birds extend their ranges northwards
    • doi:10.1038/20335
    • Thomas, C. D. & Lennon, J. J. 1999 Birds extend their ranges northwards. Nature 399, 213. (doi:10.1038/20335.)
    • (1999) Nature , vol.399 , pp. 213
    • Thomas, C.D.1    Lennon, J.J.2
  • 47
    • 1542758801 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Plants in a warmer world
    • doi:10.1078/1433-8319-00076
    • Walther, G.-R. 2004 Plants in a warmer world. Perspect. Plant Ecol. Evol. Syst. 6, 169-185. (doi:10.1078/1433-8319-00076.)
    • (2004) Perspect. Plant Ecol. Evol. Syst. , vol.6 , pp. 169-185
    • Walther, G.-R.1
  • 51
    • 8144228822 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global climate and the distribution of plant biomes
    • doi:10.1098/rstb.2004.1525
    • Woodward, F. I., Lomas, M. R. & Kelly, C. K. 2004 Global climate and the distribution of plant biomes. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. B 359, 1465-1476. (doi:10.1098/rstb.2004.1525.)
    • (2004) Phil. Trans. R. Soc. B , vol.359 , pp. 1465-1476
    • Woodward, F.I.1    Lomas, M.R.2    Kelly, C.K.3


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.