메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 48, Issue 9-10, 2017, Pages 3283-3307

MJO prediction using the sub-seasonal to seasonal forecast model of Beijing Climate Center

Author keywords

Improved initial condition; Indian Ocean Dipole; MJO forecast skill; Model deficiency

Indexed keywords

ANNUAL VARIATION; FORECASTING METHOD; HINDCASTING; INDIAN OCEAN DIPOLE; MADDEN-JULIAN OSCILLATION; OPTIMIZATION; SEASONAL VARIATION;

EID: 84983551832     PISSN: 09307575     EISSN: 14320894     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-016-3264-7     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (85)

References (72)
  • 1
    • 84899931926 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Prediction and monitoring of monsoon intraseasonal oscillations over Indian monsoon region in an ensemble prediction system using CFSv2
    • Abhilash S, Sahai AK, Borah N et al (2014) Prediction and monitoring of monsoon intraseasonal oscillations over Indian monsoon region in an ensemble prediction system using CFSv2. Clim Dyn 42:2801–2815
    • (2014) Clim Dyn , vol.42 , pp. 2801-2815
    • Abhilash, S.1    Sahai, A.K.2    Borah, N.3
  • 2
    • 0842334547 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The version-2 global precipitation climatology project (GPCP) monthly precipitation analysis (1979–present)
    • Adler RF, Huffman GJ, Chang A et al (2003) The version-2 global precipitation climatology project (GPCP) monthly precipitation analysis (1979–present). J Hydrometeorol 4(6):1147–1167
    • (2003) J Hydrometeorol , vol.4 , Issue.6 , pp. 1147-1167
    • Adler, R.F.1    Huffman, G.J.2    Chang, A.3
  • 3
    • 78649314548 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Collaboration of the weather and climate communities to advance subseasonal-to-seasonal prediction
    • Brunet G, Shapiro M, Hoskins B et al (2010) Collaboration of the weather and climate communities to advance subseasonal-to-seasonal prediction. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 91:1397–1406
    • (2010) Bull Am Meteorol Soc , vol.91 , pp. 1397-1406
    • Brunet, G.1    Shapiro, M.2    Hoskins, B.3
  • 4
    • 84924979828 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The skill of atmospheric linear inverse models in hindcasting the Madden–Julian Oscillation
    • Cavanaugh NR, Allen T, Subramanian A, Mapes B, Seo H, Miller AJ (2015) The skill of atmospheric linear inverse models in hindcasting the Madden–Julian Oscillation. Clim Dyn 44:897–906
    • (2015) Clim Dyn , vol.44 , pp. 897-906
    • Cavanaugh, N.R.1    Allen, T.2    Subramanian, A.3    Mapes, B.4    Seo, H.5    Miller, A.J.6
  • 5
    • 0019366650 scopus 로고
    • Predictability of monsoons
    • Lighthill J, Pearce RP, (eds), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
    • Charney JG, Shukla J (1981) Predictability of monsoons. In: Lighthill J, Pearce RP (eds) Monsoon dynamics. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp 99–109
    • (1981) Monsoon dynamics , pp. 99-109
    • Charney, J.G.1    Shukla, J.2
  • 6
    • 44449135978 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sea surface temperature feedback extends the predictability of tropical intraseasonal oscillation
    • Fu X, Yang B, Bao Q, Wang B (2008) Sea surface temperature feedback extends the predictability of tropical intraseasonal oscillation. Mon Weather Rev 136:577–597
    • (2008) Mon Weather Rev , vol.136 , pp. 577-597
    • Fu, X.1    Yang, B.2    Bao, Q.3    Wang, B.4
  • 7
    • 80051529398 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sensitivity of dynamical intraseasonal prediction skills to different initial conditions
    • Fu X, Wang B, Lee JY, Wang W, Gao L (2011) Sensitivity of dynamical intraseasonal prediction skills to different initial conditions. Mon Weather Rev 139:2572–2592
    • (2011) Mon Weather Rev , vol.139 , pp. 2572-2592
    • Fu, X.1    Wang, B.2    Lee, J.Y.3    Wang, W.4    Gao, L.5
  • 8
    • 84881025394 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Multi-model MJO forecasting during DYNAMO/CINDY period
    • Fu X, Lee JY, Hsu PC et al (2013) Multi-model MJO forecasting during DYNAMO/CINDY period. Clim Dyn 41:1067–1081
    • (2013) Clim Dyn , vol.41 , pp. 1067-1081
    • Fu, X.1    Lee, J.Y.2    Hsu, P.C.3
  • 9
    • 78049323513 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A framework for assessing operational Madden–Julian oscillation forecasts: a CLIVAR MJO working group project
    • Gottschalck J, Wheeler M, Weickmann K et al (2010) A framework for assessing operational Madden–Julian oscillation forecasts: a CLIVAR MJO working group project. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 91:1247–1258
    • (2010) Bull Am Meteorol Soc , vol.91 , pp. 1247-1258
    • Gottschalck, J.1    Wheeler, M.2    Weickmann, K.3
  • 10
    • 80051739643 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Formulation of an ocean model for global climate simulations
    • Griffies SM, Gnanadesikan A, Dixon KW et al (2005) Formulation of an ocean model for global climate simulations. Ocean Sci 1:45–79
    • (2005) Ocean Sci , vol.1 , pp. 45-79
    • Griffies, S.M.1    Gnanadesikan, A.2    Dixon, K.W.3
  • 11
    • 84865108980 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Role of the boundary layer moisture asymmetry in causing the eastward propagation of the Madden–Julian oscillation
    • Hsu PC, Li T (2012) Role of the boundary layer moisture asymmetry in causing the eastward propagation of the Madden–Julian oscillation. J Clim 25(14):4914–4931
    • (2012) J Clim , vol.25 , Issue.14 , pp. 4914-4931
    • Hsu, P.C.1    Li, T.2
  • 12
    • 84939878957 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A spatial–temporal projection model for 10–30 day rainfall forecast in South China
    • Hsu PC, Li T, You L, Gao J, Ren H (2015) A spatial–temporal projection model for 10–30 day rainfall forecast in South China. Clim Dyn 44:1227–1244
    • (2015) Clim Dyn , vol.44 , pp. 1227-1244
    • Hsu, P.C.1    Li, T.2    You, L.3    Gao, J.4    Ren, H.5
  • 13
    • 84878987485 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • MJO and convectively coupled equatorial waves simulated by CMIP5 climate models
    • Hung MP, Lin JL, Wang W et al (2013) MJO and convectively coupled equatorial waves simulated by CMIP5 climate models. J Clim 26:6185–6214
    • (2013) J Clim , vol.26 , pp. 6185-6214
    • Hung, M.P.1    Lin, J.L.2    Wang, W.3
  • 14
    • 70450170944 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A unified modelling approach to climate prediction
    • Hurrell J, Meehl G, Bader D et al (2009) A unified modelling approach to climate prediction. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 90:1819–1832
    • (2009) Bull Am Meteorol Soc , vol.90 , pp. 1819-1832
    • Hurrell, J.1    Meehl, G.2    Bader, D.3
  • 15
    • 84878966557 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Seasonal-to-interannual prediction of the Asian summer monsoon in the NCEP climate forecast system Version 2
    • Jiang X, Yang S, Li Y et al (2013) Seasonal-to-interannual prediction of the Asian summer monsoon in the NCEP climate forecast system Version 2. J Clim 26:3708–3727
    • (2012) J Clim , vol.26 , pp. 3708-3727
    • Jiang, X.1    Yang, S.2    Li, Y.3
  • 16
    • 84932193909 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Vertical structure and physical processes of the Madden–Julian oscillation: exploring key model physics in climate simulations
    • Jiang X, Waliser DE, Xavier PK et al (2015) Vertical structure and physical processes of the Madden–Julian oscillation: exploring key model physics in climate simulations. J Geophys Res Atmos 120:4718–4748
    • (2015) J Geophys Res Atmos , vol.120 , pp. 4718-4748
    • Jiang, X.1    Waliser, D.E.2    Xavier, P.K.3
  • 17
    • 84893612925 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Improvement of 6–15 day precipitation forecasts using a time-lagged ensemble method
    • Jie W, Wu T, Wang J, Li W, Liu X (2014) Improvement of 6–15 day precipitation forecasts using a time-lagged ensemble method. Adv Atmos Sci 31:293–304
    • (2014) Adv Atmos Sci , vol.31 , pp. 293-304
    • Jie, W.1    Wu, T.2    Wang, J.3    Li, W.4    Liu, X.5
  • 20
    • 77953727785 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessment of MJO predictability for boreal winter with various statistical and dynamical models
    • Kang IS, Kim HM (2010) Assessment of MJO predictability for boreal winter with various statistical and dynamical models. J Clim 23:2368–2378
    • (2010) J Clim , vol.23 , pp. 2368-2378
    • Kang, I.S.1    Kim, H.M.2
  • 21
    • 56349166167 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sensitivity of MJO simulation and predictability to sea surface temperature variability
    • Kim HM, Hoyos CD, Webster PJ, Kang IS (2008) Sensitivity of MJO simulation and predictability to sea surface temperature variability. J Clim 21:5304–5317
    • (2008) J Clim , vol.21 , pp. 5304-5317
    • Kim, H.M.1    Hoyos, C.D.2    Webster, P.J.3    Kang, I.S.4
  • 22
    • 77649307988 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Application of MJO simulation diagnostics to climate models
    • Kim D, Sperber K, Stern W et al (2009) Application of MJO simulation diagnostics to climate models. J Clim 22:6413–6436
    • (2009) J Clim , vol.22 , pp. 6413-6436
    • Kim, D.1    Sperber, K.2    Stern, W.3
  • 23
    • 84869509759 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Asian summer monsoon prediction in ECMWF system 4 and NCEP CFSv2 retrospective seasonal forecasts
    • Kim HM, Webster PJ, Curry JA, Toma VE (2012) Asian summer monsoon prediction in ECMWF system 4 and NCEP CFSv2 retrospective seasonal forecasts. Clim Dyn 39:2975–2991
    • (2012) Clim Dyn , vol.39 , pp. 2975-2991
    • Kim, H.M.1    Webster, P.J.2    Curry, J.A.3    Toma, V.E.4
  • 24
    • 84889861977 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Propagating versus nonpropagating Madden–Julian oscillation events
    • Kim D, Kug JS, Sobel AH (2014a) Propagating versus nonpropagating Madden–Julian oscillation events. J Clim 27:111–125
    • (2014) J Clim , vol.27 , pp. 111-125
    • Kim, D.1    Kug, J.S.2    Sobel, A.H.3
  • 25
    • 84904479641 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predictability and prediction skill of the MJO in two operational forecasting systems
    • Kim HM, Webster PJ, Toma VE, Kim D (2014b) Predictability and prediction skill of the MJO in two operational forecasting systems. J Clim 27:5364–5378
    • (2014) J Clim , vol.27 , pp. 5364-5378
    • Kim, H.M.1    Webster, P.J.2    Toma, V.E.3    Kim, D.4
  • 26
    • 84971435086 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • MJO propagation across the maritime continent in the ECMWF ensemble prediction system
    • Kim HM, Kim D, Vitart F, Toma VE, Kug JS, Webster PJ (2016) MJO propagation across the maritime continent in the ECMWF ensemble prediction system. J Clim 29:3973–3988
    • (2016) J Clim , vol.29 , pp. 3973-3988
    • Kim, H.M.1    Kim, D.2    Vitart, F.3    Toma, V.E.4    Kug, J.S.5    Webster, P.J.6
  • 27
    • 84885653293 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The North American multimodel ensemble: phase-1 seasonal-to-interannual prediction; phase-2 toward developing intraseasonal prediction
    • Kirtman B, Min D, Infanti J et al (2014) The North American multimodel ensemble: phase-1 seasonal-to-interannual prediction; phase-2 toward developing intraseasonal prediction. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 95:585–601
    • (2014) Bull Am Meteorol Soc , vol.95 , pp. 585-601
    • Kirtman, B.1    Min, D.2    Infanti, J.3
  • 28
    • 84885363005 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Low-order stochastic model and “past-noise forecasting” of the Madden–Julian oscillation
    • Kondrashov D, Chekroun MD, Robertson AW, Ghil M (2013) Low-order stochastic model and “past-noise forecasting” of the Madden–Julian oscillation. Geophys Res Lett 40:5305–5310
    • (2013) Geophys Res Lett , vol.40 , pp. 5305-5310
    • Kondrashov, D.1    Chekroun, M.D.2    Robertson, A.W.3    Ghil, M.4
  • 29
    • 44849086306 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Seasonal climate predictability with tier-one and tier-two prediction systems
    • Kug JS, Kang IS, Choi DH (2008) Seasonal climate predictability with tier-one and tier-two prediction systems. Clim Dyn 31:403–416
    • (2008) Clim Dyn , vol.31 , pp. 403-416
    • Kug, J.S.1    Kang, I.S.2    Choi, D.H.3
  • 30
    • 77954952964 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • How are seasonal prediction skills related to models’ performance on mean state and annual cycle?
    • Lee JY, Wang B, Kang IS et al (2010) How are seasonal prediction skills related to models’ performance on mean state and annual cycle? Clim Dyn 35:267–283
    • (2010) Clim Dyn , vol.35 , pp. 267-283
    • Lee, J.Y.1    Wang, B.2    Kang, I.S.3
  • 31
    • 79952251144 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Deficiencies and possibilities for long-lead coupled climate prediction of the Western North Pacific-East Asian summer monsoon
    • Lee SS, Lee JY, Ha KJ, Wang B, Schemm JKE (2011) Deficiencies and possibilities for long-lead coupled climate prediction of the Western North Pacific-East Asian summer monsoon. Clim Dyn 36:1173–1188
    • (2011) Clim Dyn , vol.36 , pp. 1173-1188
    • Lee, S.S.1    Lee, J.Y.2    Ha, K.J.3    Wang, B.4    Schemm, J.K.E.5
  • 32
    • 0001600664 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Description of a complete (interpolated) outgoing longwave radiation dataset
    • Liebmann B, Smith CA (1996) Description of a complete (interpolated) outgoing longwave radiation dataset. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 77:1275–1277
    • (1996) Bull Am Meteorol Soc , vol.77 , pp. 1275-1277
    • Liebmann, B.1    Smith, C.A.2
  • 33
    • 57149146470 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecast skill of the Madden–Julian oscillation in two Canadian atmospheric models
    • Lin H, Brunet G, Derome J (2008) Forecast skill of the Madden–Julian oscillation in two Canadian atmospheric models. Mon Weather Rev 136:4130–4149
    • (2008) Mon Weather Rev , vol.136 , pp. 4130-4149
    • Lin, H.1    Brunet, G.2    Derome, J.3
  • 34
    • 84878977966 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Diagnostics of subseasonal prediction biases of the Asian summer monsoon by the NCEP climate forecast system
    • Liu X, Yang S, Kumar A, Weaver S, Jiang X (2013) Diagnostics of subseasonal prediction biases of the Asian summer monsoon by the NCEP climate forecast system. Clim Dyn 41:1453–1474
    • (2013) Clim Dyn , vol.41 , pp. 1453-1474
    • Liu, X.1    Yang, S.2    Kumar, A.3    Weaver, S.4    Jiang, X.5
  • 35
    • 84904332895 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Relationships between interannual and intraseasonal variations of the Asian-western Pacific summer monsoon hindcasted by BCC_CSM1.1(m)
    • Liu X, Wu T, Yang S et al (2014a) Relationships between interannual and intraseasonal variations of the Asian-western Pacific summer monsoon hindcasted by BCC_CSM1.1(m). Adv Atmos Sci 31:1051–1064
    • (2014) Adv Atmos Sci , vol.31 , pp. 1051-1064
    • Liu, X.1    Wu, T.2    Yang, S.3
  • 36
    • 84894310485 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Subseasonal forecast skills and biases of global summer monsoons in the NCEP Climate Forecast System version 2
    • Liu X, Yang S, Li Q et al (2014b) Subseasonal forecast skills and biases of global summer monsoons in the NCEP Climate Forecast System version 2. Clim Dyn 42:1487–1508
    • (2014) Clim Dyn , vol.42 , pp. 1487-1508
    • Liu, X.1    Yang, S.2    Li, Q.3
  • 37
    • 84930634810 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Performance of the seasonal forecasting of the Asian summer monsoon by BCC_CSM1.1(m)
    • Liu X, Wu T, Yang S et al (2015a) Performance of the seasonal forecasting of the Asian summer monsoon by BCC_CSM1.1(m). Adv Atmos Sci 32:1156–1172
    • (2015) Adv Atmos Sci , vol.32 , pp. 1156-1172
    • Liu, X.1    Wu, T.2    Yang, S.3
  • 38
    • 84957613905 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Subseasonal predictions of regional summer monsoon rainfalls over tropical Asian oceans and land
    • Liu X, Yang S, Li J et al (2015b) Subseasonal predictions of regional summer monsoon rainfalls over tropical Asian oceans and land. J Clim 28:9583–9605
    • (2015) J Clim , vol.28 , pp. 9583-9605
    • Liu, X.1    Yang, S.2    Li, J.3
  • 39
    • 0000462522 scopus 로고
    • Detection of a 40–50 day oscillation in the zonal wind in the tropical Pacific
    • Madden RA, Julian PR (1971) Detection of a 40–50 day oscillation in the zonal wind in the tropical Pacific. J Atmos Sci 28:702–708
    • (1971) J Atmos Sci , vol.28 , pp. 702-708
    • Madden, R.A.1    Julian, P.R.2
  • 40
    • 84902106535 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predictability of the Madden–Julian oscillation in the intraseasonal variability hindcast experiment (ISVHE)
    • Neena JM, Lee JY, Waliser D, Wang B, Jiang X (2014) Predictability of the Madden–Julian oscillation in the intraseasonal variability hindcast experiment (ISVHE). J Clim 27:4531–4543
    • (2014) J Clim , vol.27 , pp. 4531-4543
    • Neena, J.M.1    Lee, J.Y.2    Waliser, D.3    Wang, B.4    Jiang, X.5
  • 41
    • 84943375107 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A merging scheme for constructing daily precipitation analyses based on objective bias-correction and error estimation techniques
    • Nie S, Luo Y, Wu T, Shi X, Wang Z (2015) A merging scheme for constructing daily precipitation analyses based on objective bias-correction and error estimation techniques. J Geophys Res Atmos 120:8671–8692
    • (2015) J Geophys Res Atmos , vol.120 , pp. 8671-8692
    • Nie, S.1    Luo, Y.2    Wu, T.3    Shi, X.4    Wang, Z.5
  • 42
    • 3543083343 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Development of a European multimodel ensemble system for seasonal-to-interannual prediction (DEMETER)
    • Palmer TN, Doblas-Reyes FJ, Hagedorn R et al (2004) Development of a European multimodel ensemble system for seasonal-to-interannual prediction (DEMETER). Bull Am Meteorol Soc 85:853–872
    • (2004) Bull Am Meteorol Soc , vol.85 , pp. 853-872
    • Palmer, T.N.1    Doblas-Reyes, F.J.2    Hagedorn, R.3
  • 43
    • 84855801251 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Prospects for improving subseasonal predictions
    • Pegion K, Sardeshmukh PD (2011) Prospects for improving subseasonal predictions. Mon Weather Rev 139:3648–3666
    • (2011) Mon Weather Rev , vol.139 , pp. 3648-3666
    • Pegion, K.1    Sardeshmukh, P.D.2
  • 44
    • 79551604637 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Prediction of the Madden–Julian oscillation with the POAMA dynamical prediction system
    • Rashid HA, Hendon HH, Wheeler MC, Alves O (2011) Prediction of the Madden–Julian oscillation with the POAMA dynamical prediction system. Clim Dyn 36:649–661
    • (2011) Clim Dyn , vol.36 , pp. 649-661
    • Rashid, H.A.1    Hendon, H.H.2    Wheeler, M.C.3    Alves, O.4
  • 45
    • 84880286833 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • OISST web page, NOAA/NCDC
    • Reynolds RW (2009) What’s new in version 2. OISST web page, NOAA/NCDC. www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sst/papers/oisst_daily_v02r00_version2-features.pdf
    • (2009) What’s new in version 2
    • Reynolds, R.W.1
  • 47
    • 36348948705 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Daily high-resolution blended analyses for sea surface temperature
    • Reynolds RW, Smith TM, Liu C et al (2007) Daily high-resolution blended analyses for sea surface temperature. J Clim 20:5473–5496
    • (2007) J Clim , vol.20 , pp. 5473-5496
    • Reynolds, R.W.1    Smith, T.M.2    Liu, C.3
  • 48
    • 66849119231 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluation of MJO forecast skill from several statistical and dynamical forecast models
    • Seo KH, Wang W, Gottschalck J et al (2009) Evaluation of MJO forecast skill from several statistical and dynamical forecast models. J Clim 22:2372–2388
    • (2009) J Clim , vol.22 , pp. 2372-2388
    • Seo, K.H.1    Wang, W.2    Gottschalck, J.3
  • 49
    • 84908886674 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evolution of ECMWF sub-seasonal forecast skill scores
    • Vitart F (2014) Evolution of ECMWF sub-seasonal forecast skill scores. Q J R Meteorol Soc 140:1889–1899
    • (2014) Q J R Meteorol Soc , vol.140 , pp. 1889-1899
    • Vitart, F.1
  • 50
    • 77954491947 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Simulation of the Madden–Julian oscillation and its teleconnections in the ECMWF forecast system
    • Vitart F, Molteni F (2010) Simulation of the Madden–Julian oscillation and its teleconnections in the ECMWF forecast system. Q J R Meteorol Soc 136:842–855
    • (2010) Q J R Meteorol Soc , vol.136 , pp. 842-855
    • Vitart, F.1    Molteni, F.2
  • 51
    • 33947264414 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Monthly forecast of the Madden–Julian oscillation using a coupled GCM
    • Vitart F, Woolnough S, Balmaseda MA, Tompkins AM (2007) Monthly forecast of the Madden–Julian oscillation using a coupled GCM. Mon Weather Rev 135:2700–2715
    • (2007) Mon Weather Rev , vol.135 , pp. 2700-2715
    • Vitart, F.1    Woolnough, S.2    Balmaseda, M.A.3    Tompkins, A.M.4
  • 52
    • 85011676258 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The sub-seasonal to seasonal prediction (S2S) project database
    • Vitart F, Ardilouze C, Bonet A et al (2016) The sub-seasonal to seasonal prediction (S2S) project database. Bull Am Meteorol Soc. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0017.1
    • (2016) Bull Am Meteorol Soc
    • Vitart, F.1    Ardilouze, C.2    Bonet, A.3
  • 53
  • 54
    • 25844494164 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Fundamental challenge in simulation and prediction of summer monsoon rainfall
    • Wang B, Ding Q, Fu X et al (2005) Fundamental challenge in simulation and prediction of summer monsoon rainfall. Geophys Res Lett 32:L15711. doi:10.1029/2005GL022734
    • (2005) Geophys Res Lett , vol.32 , pp. L15711
    • Wang, B.1    Ding, Q.2    Fu, X.3
  • 55
    • 41449088188 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • How accurately do coupled climate models predict the leading modes of Asian–Australian monsoon interannual variability?
    • Wang B, Lee JY, Kang IS et al (2008) How accurately do coupled climate models predict the leading modes of Asian–Australian monsoon interannual variability? Clim Dyn 30:605–619
    • (2008) Clim Dyn , vol.30 , pp. 605-619
    • Wang, B.1    Lee, J.Y.2    Kang, I.S.3
  • 56
    • 84899969952 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • MJO prediction in the NCEP climate forecast system version 2
    • Wang W, Hung MP, Weaver SJ, Kumar A, Fu X (2014) MJO prediction in the NCEP climate forecast system version 2. Clim Dyn 42:2509–2520
    • (2014) Clim Dyn , vol.42 , pp. 2509-2520
    • Wang, W.1    Hung, M.P.2    Weaver, S.J.3    Kumar, A.4    Fu, X.5
  • 57
    • 79960213626 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Representation of MJO variability in the NCEP climate forecast system
    • Weaver SJ, Wang W, Chen M, Kumar A (2011) Representation of MJO variability in the NCEP climate forecast system. J Clim 24:4676–4694
    • (2011) J Clim , vol.24 , pp. 4676-4694
    • Weaver, S.J.1    Wang, W.2    Chen, M.3    Kumar, A.4
  • 58
    • 72049088496 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • ENSEMBLES: a new multi-model ensemble for seasonal-to-annual predictions-skill and progress beyond DEMETER in forecasting tropical Pacific SSTs
    • Weisheimer A, Doblas-Reyes FJ, Palmer TN et al (2009) ENSEMBLES: a new multi-model ensemble for seasonal-to-annual predictions-skill and progress beyond DEMETER in forecasting tropical Pacific SSTs. Geophys Res Lett 36:L21711
    • (2009) Geophys Res Lett , vol.36 , pp. L21711
    • Weisheimer, A.1    Doblas-Reyes, F.J.2    Palmer, T.N.3
  • 59
    • 2942673326 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An all-season real-time multivariate MJO index: development of an index for monitoring and prediction
    • Wheeler MC, Hendon HH (2004) An all-season real-time multivariate MJO index: development of an index for monitoring and prediction. Mon Weather Rev 132:1917–1932
    • (2004) Mon Weather Rev , vol.132 , pp. 1917-1932
    • Wheeler, M.C.1    Hendon, H.H.2
  • 60
    • 0034038501 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A reformulated three-layer sea ice model
    • Winton M (2000) A reformulated three-layer sea ice model. J Atmos Ocean Technol 17:525–531
    • (2000) J Atmos Ocean Technol , vol.17 , pp. 525-531
    • Winton, M.1
  • 61
    • 84856240977 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A mass-flux cumulus parameterization scheme for large-scale models: description and test with observations
    • Wu T (2012) A mass-flux cumulus parameterization scheme for large-scale models: description and test with observations. Clim Dyn 38:725–744
    • (2012) Clim Dyn , vol.38 , pp. 725-744
    • Wu, T.1
  • 62
    • 52049121090 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A modified dynamic framework for the atmospheric spectral model and its application
    • Wu T, Yu R, Zhang F (2008) A modified dynamic framework for the atmospheric spectral model and its application. J Atmos Sci 65:2235–2253
    • (2008) J Atmos Sci , vol.65 , pp. 2235-2253
    • Wu, T.1    Yu, R.2    Zhang, F.3
  • 63
    • 72049105844 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Beijing Climate Center atmospheric general circulation model: description and its performance for the present-day climate
    • Wu T, Yu R, Zhang F et al (2010) The Beijing Climate Center atmospheric general circulation model: description and its performance for the present-day climate. Clim Dyn 34:123–147
    • (2010) Clim Dyn , vol.34 , pp. 123-147
    • Wu, T.1    Yu, R.2    Zhang, F.3
  • 64
    • 84881162241 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global carbon budgets simulated by the Beijing Climate Center climate system model for the last century
    • Wu T, Li W, Ji J et al (2013) Global carbon budgets simulated by the Beijing Climate Center climate system model for the last century. J Geophys Res Atmos 118:1–22
    • (2013) J Geophys Res Atmos , vol.118 , pp. 1-22
    • Wu, T.1    Li, W.2    Ji, J.3
  • 65
    • 84896089876 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An overview of BCC climate system model development and application for climate change studies
    • Wu T, Song L, Li W et al (2014) An overview of BCC climate system model development and application for climate change studies. J Meteorol Res 28:34–56
    • (2014) J Meteorol Res , vol.28 , pp. 34-56
    • Wu, T.1    Song, L.2    Li, W.3
  • 66
    • 84942025135 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The 3–4-week MJO prediction skill in a GFDL coupled model
    • Xiang B, Zhao M, Jiang X et al (2015) The 3–4-week MJO prediction skill in a GFDL coupled model. J Clim 28:5351–5364
    • (2015) J Clim , vol.28 , pp. 5351-5364
    • Xiang, B.1    Zhao, M.2    Jiang, X.3
  • 67
    • 53649102244 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Simulations and seasonal prediction of the Asian summer monsoon in the NCEP climate forecast system
    • Yang S, Zhang Z, Kousky VE et al (2008) Simulations and seasonal prediction of the Asian summer monsoon in the NCEP climate forecast system. J Clim 21:3755–3775
    • (2008) J Clim , vol.21 , pp. 3755-3775
    • Yang, S.1    Zhang, Z.2    Kousky, V.E.3
  • 68
    • 84867664458 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Relative merit of model improvement versus availability of retrospective forecasts: the case of climate forecast system MJO prediction
    • Zhang Q, van den Dool H (2012) Relative merit of model improvement versus availability of retrospective forecasts: the case of climate forecast system MJO prediction. Weather Forecast 27:1045–1051
    • (2012) Weather Forecast , vol.27 , pp. 1045-1051
    • Zhang, Q.1    van den Dool, H.2
  • 70
    • 84951913986 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluation of the tropical variability from the Beijing Climate Center’s real-time operational global ocean data assimilation system
    • Zhou W, Chen M, Zhuang W et al (2016) Evaluation of the tropical variability from the Beijing Climate Center’s real-time operational global ocean data assimilation system. Adv Atmos Sci 33:208–220
    • (2016) Adv Atmos Sci , vol.33 , pp. 208-220
    • Zhou, W.1    Chen, M.2    Zhuang, W.3
  • 71
    • 84881239210 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The role of air-sea coupling in seasonal prediction of Asia-Pacific summer monsoon rainfall
    • Zhu J, Shukla J (2013) The role of air-sea coupling in seasonal prediction of Asia-Pacific summer monsoon rainfall. J Clim 26:5689–5697
    • (2013) J Clim , vol.26 , pp. 5689-5697
    • Zhu, J.1    Shukla, J.2
  • 72
    • 84935024128 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A spatial–temporal projection model for extended-range forecast in the tropics
    • Zhu Z, Li T, Hsu PC, He J (2015) A spatial–temporal projection model for extended-range forecast in the tropics. Clim Dyn 45:1085–1098
    • (2015) Clim Dyn , vol.45 , pp. 1085-1098
    • Zhu, Z.1    Li, T.2    Hsu, P.C.3    He, J.4


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.