메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 17, Issue 6, 2017, Pages 1601-1621

Climate change impacts in Latin America and the Caribbean and their implications for development

(25)  Reyer, Christopher P O a   Adams, Sophie b,c   Albrecht, Torsten a   Baarsch, Florent b   Boit, Alice a   Canales Trujillo, Nella d   Cartsburg, Matti e   Coumou, Dim a   Eden, Alexander a   Fernandes, Erick f   Langerwisch, Fanny a   Marcus, Rachel d   Mengel, Matthias a   Mira Salama, Daniel f   Perette, Mahé a   Pereznieto, Paola d   Rammig, Anja a,g   Reinhardt, Julia a   Robinson, Alexander a,h,i   Rocha, Marcia b   more..


Author keywords

Development; Global change; Poverty; Projections; Scenarios; Sustainability

Indexed keywords


EID: 84945572030     PISSN: 14363798     EISSN: 1436378X     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s10113-015-0854-6     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (118)

References (248)
  • 1
    • 70449713369 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate volatility deepens poverty vulnerability in developing countries
    • Ahmed SA, Diffenbaugh NS, Hertel TW (2009) Climate volatility deepens poverty vulnerability in developing countries. Environ Res Lett 4:034004
    • (2009) Environ Res Lett , vol.4 , pp. 034004
    • Ahmed, S.A.1    Diffenbaugh, N.S.2    Hertel, T.W.3
  • 3
    • 79959339835 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Interannual-to-multidecadal variability of vertical shear and tropical cyclone activity
    • Aiyyer A, Thorncroft C (2011) Interannual-to-multidecadal variability of vertical shear and tropical cyclone activity. J Clim 24:2949–2962. doi:10.1175/2010JCLI3698.1
    • (2011) J Clim , vol.24 , pp. 2949-2962
    • Aiyyer, A.1    Thorncroft, C.2
  • 5
    • 84857408269 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ecological zoning of soybean rust, coffee rust and banana black sigatoka based on Brazilian climate changes
    • Alves MC, de Carvalho LG, Pozza EA, Sanches L, Maia JCS (2011) Ecological zoning of soybean rust, coffee rust and banana black sigatoka based on Brazilian climate changes. Proced Environ Sci 6:35–49. doi:10.1016/j.proenv.2011.05.005
    • (2011) Proced Environ Sci , vol.6 , pp. 35-49
    • Alves, M.C.1    de Carvalho, L.G.2    Pozza, E.A.3    Sanches, L.4    Maia, J.C.S.5
  • 6
    • 33845186800 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change effects on neotropical manakin diversity based on ecological niche modeling
    • Anciães M, Peterson A (2006) Climate change effects on neotropical manakin diversity based on ecological niche modeling. Condor 108:778–791
    • (2006) Condor , vol.108 , pp. 778-791
    • Anciães, M.1    Peterson, A.2
  • 8
    • 84875480986 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The impacts of climate change on river flow regimes at the global scale
    • Arnell NW, Gosling SN (2013) The impacts of climate change on river flow regimes at the global scale. J Hydrol 486:351–364. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2013.02.010
    • (2013) J Hydrol , vol.486 , pp. 351-364
    • Arnell, N.W.1    Gosling, S.N.2
  • 9
    • 79953052379 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global crop yield reductions due to surface ozone exposure: 2. Year 2030 potential crop production losses and economic damage under two scenarios of O3 pollution
    • COI: 1:CAS:528:DC%2BC3MXjvVWktb0%3D
    • Avnery S, Mauzerall DL, Liu J, Horowitz LW (2011) Global crop yield reductions due to surface ozone exposure: 2. Year 2030 potential crop production losses and economic damage under two scenarios of O3 pollution. Atmos Environ 45:2297–2309. doi:10.1016/j.atmosenv.2011.01.002
    • (2011) Atmos Environ , vol.45 , pp. 2297-2309
    • Avnery, S.1    Mauzerall, D.L.2    Liu, J.3    Horowitz, L.W.4
  • 11
    • 41449091873 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Is climate change affecting dengue in the Americas?
    • Barclay E (2008) Is climate change affecting dengue in the Americas? Lancet 371:973–974
    • (2008) Lancet , vol.371 , pp. 973-974
    • Barclay, E.1
  • 12
    • 79952305418 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Yoccoz NG: Impacts of climate change on the world’s most exceptional ecoregions
    • Beaumont LJ, Pitman A, Perkins S, Zimmermann NE, Yoccoz NG (2010) Impacts of climate change on the world’s most exceptional ecoregions. doi:10.1073/pnas.1007217108/-/DCSupplemental. www.pnas.org/cgi/doi/10.1073/pnas.1007217108
    • (2010) Zimmermann NE
    • Beaumont, L.J.1    Pitman, A.2    Perkins, S.3
  • 13
    • 83055188506 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change impacts on international seaports: knowledge, perceptions, and planning efforts among port administrators
    • Becker A, Inoue S, Fischer M, Schwegler B (2012) Climate change impacts on international seaports: knowledge, perceptions, and planning efforts among port administrators. Clim Change 110:5–29. doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0043-7
    • (2012) Clim Change , vol.110 , pp. 5-29
    • Becker, A.1    Inoue, S.2    Fischer, M.3    Schwegler, B.4
  • 14
    • 84891454726 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Impact of sea level rise on the 10 insular biodiversity hotspots
    • Bellard C, Leclerc C, Courchamp F (2014) Impact of sea level rise on the 10 insular biodiversity hotspots. Glob Ecol Biogeogr 23:203–212. doi:10.1111/geb.12093
    • (2014) Glob Ecol Biogeogr , vol.23 , pp. 203-212
    • Bellard, C.1    Leclerc, C.2    Courchamp, F.3
  • 15
    • 75749084428 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeled impact of anthropogenic warming on the frequency of intense Atlantic hurricanes
    • COI: 1:CAS:528:DC%2BC3cXnt1ahsA%3D%3D
    • Bender MA, Knutson TR, Tuleya RE, Sirutis JJ, Vecchi GA, Garner ST, Held IM (2010) Modeled impact of anthropogenic warming on the frequency of intense Atlantic hurricanes. Science 327:454–458. doi:10.1126/science.1180568
    • (2010) Science , vol.327 , pp. 454-458
    • Bender, M.A.1    Knutson, T.R.2    Tuleya, R.E.3    Sirutis, J.J.4    Vecchi, G.A.5    Garner, S.T.6    Held, I.M.7
  • 16
    • 3042824791 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The role of ecosystem-atmosphere interactions in simulated Amazonian precipitation decrease and forest dieback under global climate warming
    • Betts RA, Cox PM, Collins M, Harris PP, Huntingford C, Jones CD (2004) The role of ecosystem-atmosphere interactions in simulated Amazonian precipitation decrease and forest dieback under global climate warming. Theor Appl Climatol 78:157–175. doi:10.1007/s00704-004-0050-y
    • (2004) Theor Appl Climatol , vol.78 , pp. 157-175
    • Betts, R.A.1    Cox, P.M.2    Collins, M.3    Harris, P.P.4    Huntingford, C.5    Jones, C.D.6
  • 17
    • 80052892861 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The opposing effects of climate change and socioeconomic development on the global distribution of malaria
    • Béguin A, Hales S, Rocklöv J, Åström C, Louis VR, Sauerborn R (2011) The opposing effects of climate change and socioeconomic development on the global distribution of malaria. Glob Environ Chang 21:1209–1214. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.06.001
    • (2011) Glob Environ Chang , vol.21 , pp. 1209-1214
    • Béguin, A.1    Hales, S.2    Rocklöv, J.3    Åström, C.4    Louis, V.R.5    Sauerborn, R.6
  • 20
    • 41649107261 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Drought effects on litterfall, wood production and belowground carbon cycling in an Amazon forest: results of a throughfall reduction experiment
    • Brando PM, Nepstad DC, Davidson EA, Trumbore SE, Ray D, Camargo P (2008) Drought effects on litterfall, wood production and belowground carbon cycling in an Amazon forest: results of a throughfall reduction experiment. Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci 363:1839–1848. doi:10.1098/rstb.2007.0031
    • (2008) Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci , vol.363 , pp. 1839-1848
    • Brando, P.M.1    Nepstad, D.C.2    Davidson, E.A.3    Trumbore, S.E.4    Ray, D.5    Camargo, P.6
  • 22
    • 84912018586 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Impact of projected climate change on hydrologic regime of the Upper Paraguay River basin
    • Bravo JM, Collischonn W, Paz AR, Allasia D, Domecq F (2013) Impact of projected climate change on hydrologic regime of the Upper Paraguay River basin. Clim Change. doi:10.1007/s10584-013-0816-2
    • (2013) Clim Change
    • Bravo, J.M.1    Collischonn, W.2    Paz, A.R.3    Allasia, D.4    Domecq, F.5
  • 23
    • 81555216820 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling regional coral reef responses to global warming and changes in ocean chemistry: Caribbean case study
    • COI: 1:CAS:528:DC%2BC3MXhsV2msL%2FO
    • Buddemeier RW, Lane DR, Martinich JA (2011) Modeling regional coral reef responses to global warming and changes in ocean chemistry: Caribbean case study. Clim Change 109:375–397. doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0022-z
    • (2011) Clim Change , vol.109 , pp. 375-397
    • Buddemeier, R.W.1    Lane, D.R.2    Martinich, J.A.3
  • 25
    • 84864862789 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Water for cities: the impact of climate change and demographic growth in the tropical Andes
    • Buytaert W, De Bièvre B (2012) Water for cities: the impact of climate change and demographic growth in the tropical Andes. Water Resour Res. doi:10.1029/2011WR011755
    • (2012) Water Resour Res
    • Buytaert, W.1    De Bièvre, B.2
  • 26
    • 67449126560 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting climate change impacts on water resources in the tropical Andes: effects of GCM uncertainty
    • Buytaert W, Célleri R, Timbe L (2009) Predicting climate change impacts on water resources in the tropical Andes: effects of GCM uncertainty. Geophys Res Lett 36:1–5. doi:10.1029/2008GL037048
    • (2009) Geophys Res Lett , vol.36 , pp. 1-5
    • Buytaert, W.1    Célleri, R.2    Timbe, L.3
  • 28
    • 84877067356 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Coral Bleaching: coral “refugia” amid heating seas
    • COI: 1:CAS:528:DC%2BC3sXmsVantrk%3D
    • Caldeira K (2013) Coral Bleaching: coral “refugia” amid heating seas. Nat Clim Change 3:444–445. doi:10.1038/nclimate1888
    • (2013) Nat Clim Change , vol.3 , pp. 444-445
    • Caldeira, K.1
  • 29
    • 77953452967 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The impact of climatic variability and climate change on arabic coffee crop in Brazil
    • Camargo MBP (2010) The impact of climatic variability and climate change on arabic coffee crop in Brazil. Bragantia 69:239–247. doi:10.1590/S0006-87052010000100030
    • (2010) Bragantia , vol.69 , pp. 239-247
    • Camargo, M.B.P.1
  • 30
    • 84874318235 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Influence of local and remote SST on North Atlantic tropical cyclone potential intensity
    • Camargo SJ, Ting M, Kushnir Y (2012) Influence of local and remote SST on North Atlantic tropical cyclone potential intensity. Clim Dyn 40:1515–1529. doi:10.1007/s00382-012-1536-4
    • (2012) Clim Dyn , vol.40 , pp. 1515-1529
    • Camargo, S.J.1    Ting, M.2    Kushnir, Y.3
  • 31
    • 84896710860 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hydrological projections of fluvial floods in the Uruguay and Paraná basins under different climate change scenarios
    • Camilloni IA, Saurral RI, Montroull NB (2013) Hydrological projections of fluvial floods in the Uruguay and Paraná basins under different climate change scenarios. Int J River Basin Manag 11:389–399. doi:10.1080/15715124.2013.819006
    • (2013) Int J River Basin Manag , vol.11 , pp. 389-399
    • Camilloni, I.A.1    Saurral, R.I.2    Montroull, N.B.3
  • 33
    • 23844549013 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Living and dying with glaciers: people’s historical vulnerability to avalanches and outburst floods in Peru
    • Carey M (2005) Living and dying with glaciers: people’s historical vulnerability to avalanches and outburst floods in Peru. Glob Planet Change 47:122–134. doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2004.10.007
    • (2005) Glob Planet Change , vol.47 , pp. 122-134
    • Carey, M.1
  • 34
    • 84860916502 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An integrated socio-environmental framework for glacier hazard management and climate change adaptation: lessons from Lake 513, Cordillera Blanca, Peru
    • Carey M, Huggel C, Bury J, Portocarrero C, Haeberli W (2012) An integrated socio-environmental framework for glacier hazard management and climate change adaptation: lessons from Lake 513, Cordillera Blanca, Peru. Clim Change 112:733–767
    • (2012) Clim Change , vol.112 , pp. 733-767
    • Carey, M.1    Huggel, C.2    Bury, J.3    Portocarrero, C.4    Haeberli, W.5
  • 35
    • 84898487661 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Tropical cyclone cooling combats region-wide coral bleaching
    • Carrigan AD, Puotinen M (2014) Tropical cyclone cooling combats region-wide coral bleaching. Glob Chang Biol. doi:10.1111/gcb.12541
    • (2014) Glob Chang Biol
    • Carrigan, A.D.1    Puotinen, M.2
  • 36
    • 77949330913 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change in the Caribbean: the water management implications
    • Cashman A, Nurse L, John C (2010) Climate change in the Caribbean: the water management implications. J Environ Dev 19:42–67. doi:10.1177/1070496509347088
    • (2010) J Environ Dev , vol.19 , pp. 42-67
    • Cashman, A.1    Nurse, L.2    John, C.3
  • 37
    • 70450198127 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Large-scale redistribution of maximum fisheries catch potential in the global ocean under climate change
    • Cheung WWL, Lam VWY, Sarmiento JL, Kearney K, Watson R, Zeller D, Pauly D (2010) Large-scale redistribution of maximum fisheries catch potential in the global ocean under climate change. Glob Chang Biol 16:24–35. doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2009.01995.x
    • (2010) Glob Chang Biol , vol.16 , pp. 24-35
    • Cheung, W.W.L.1    Lam, V.W.Y.2    Sarmiento, J.L.3    Kearney, K.4    Watson, R.5    Zeller, D.6    Pauly, D.7
  • 38
    • 79959491868 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Integrating ecophysiology and plankton dynamics into projected maximum fisheries catch potential under climate change in the Northeast Atlantic
    • Cheung WWL, Dunne J, Sarmiento JL, Pauly D (2011) Integrating ecophysiology and plankton dynamics into projected maximum fisheries catch potential under climate change in the Northeast Atlantic. ICES J Mar Sci 68:1008–1018. doi:10.1093/icesjms/fsr012
    • (2011) ICES J Mar Sci , vol.68 , pp. 1008-1018
    • Cheung, W.W.L.1    Dunne, J.2    Sarmiento, J.L.3    Pauly, D.4
  • 39
    • 79952108056 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change threats to environment in the tropical Andes: glaciers and water resources
    • Chevallier P, Pouyaud B, Suarez W, Condom T (2011) Climate change threats to environment in the tropical Andes: glaciers and water resources. Reg Environ Change 11:179–187. doi:10.1007/s10113-010-0177-6
    • (2011) Reg Environ Change , vol.11 , pp. 179-187
    • Chevallier, P.1    Pouyaud, B.2    Suarez, W.3    Condom, T.4
  • 41
    • 85024362303 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • In: Center for international earth science information network. NASA Socioeconomic DataApplications Center (SEDAC
    • CIESIN (2011) Population, landscape, and climate estimates (PLACE), v3 (1990, 2000, 2010). In: Center for international earth science information network. NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC). doi:10.7927/H4F769GP. Accessed 12 Jun 2013
    • (2000) 2010)
  • 45
    • 79960026069 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climatic sensitivity of streamflow timing in the extratropical western Andes Cordillera
    • Cortés G, Vargas X, McPhee J (2011) Climatic sensitivity of streamflow timing in the extratropical western Andes Cordillera. J Hydrol 405:93–109. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2011.05.013
    • (2011) J Hydrol , vol.405 , pp. 93-109
    • Cortés, G.1    Vargas, X.2    McPhee, J.3
  • 46
    • 77958551856 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effects of Amazon and Central Brazil deforestation scenarios on the duration of the dry season in the arc of deforestation
    • Costa MH, Pires GF (2010) Effects of Amazon and Central Brazil deforestation scenarios on the duration of the dry season in the arc of deforestation. Int J Climatol 30:1970–1979. doi:10.1002/joc.2048
    • (2010) Int J Climatol , vol.30 , pp. 1970-1979
    • Costa, M.H.1    Pires, G.F.2
  • 48
    • 84885587851 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Historic and future increase in the global land area affected by monthly heat extremes
    • Coumou D, Robinson A (2013) Historic and future increase in the global land area affected by monthly heat extremes. Environ Res Lett 8:6
    • (2013) Environ Res Lett , vol.8 , pp. 6
    • Coumou, D.1    Robinson, A.2
  • 49
    • 3042739150 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Amazonian forest dieback under climate-carbon cycle projections for the 21st century
    • Cox PM, Betts RA, Collins M, Harris PP, Huntingford C, Jones CD (2004) Amazonian forest dieback under climate-carbon cycle projections for the 21st century. Theor Appl Climatol 78:137–156. doi:10.1007/s00704-004-0049-4
    • (2004) Theor Appl Climatol , vol.78 , pp. 137-156
    • Cox, P.M.1    Betts, R.A.2    Collins, M.3    Harris, P.P.4    Huntingford, C.5    Jones, C.D.6
  • 50
    • 84874191982 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sensitivity of tropical carbon to climate change constrained by carbon dioxide variability
    • COI: 1:CAS:528:DC%2BC3sXivVKnsLc%3D
    • Cox PM, Pearson D, Booth BB, Friedlingstein P, Huntingford C, Jones CD, Luke CM (2013) Sensitivity of tropical carbon to climate change constrained by carbon dioxide variability. Nature 494:341–344. doi:10.1038/nature11882
    • (2013) Nature , vol.494 , pp. 341-344
    • Cox, P.M.1    Pearson, D.2    Booth, B.B.3    Friedlingstein, P.4    Huntingford, C.5    Jones, C.D.6    Luke, C.M.7
  • 52
    • 84871840877 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Increasing drought under global warming in observations and models
    • Dai A (2012) Increasing drought under global warming in observations and models. Nat Clim Change 3:52–58. doi:10.1038/nclimate1633
    • (2012) Nat Clim Change , vol.3 , pp. 52-58
    • Dai, A.1
  • 55
    • 84868152767 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The 27-year decline of coral cover on the Great Barrier Reef and its causes
    • De’ath G, Fabricius KE, Sweatman H, M Puotinen (2012) The 27-year decline of coral cover on the Great Barrier Reef and its causes. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA. doi:10.1073/pnas.1208909109
    • (2012) Proc Natl Acad Sci USA
    • De’ath, G.1    Fabricius, K.E.2    Sweatman, H.3
  • 56
    • 84884166620 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change impacts on an alpine watershed in Chile: do new model projections change the story?
    • Demaria EMC, Maurer EP, Thrasher B, Vicuña S, Meza FJ (2013) Climate change impacts on an alpine watershed in Chile: do new model projections change the story? J Hydrol 502:128–138. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2013.08.027
    • (2013) J Hydrol , vol.502 , pp. 128-138
    • Demaria, E.M.C.1    Maurer, E.P.2    Thrasher, B.3    Vicuña, S.4    Meza, F.J.5
  • 59
    • 84859369782 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • How is the impact of climate change on river flow regimes related to the impact on mean annual runoff? A global-scale analysis
    • Döll P, Schmied HM (2012) How is the impact of climate change on river flow regimes related to the impact on mean annual runoff? A global-scale analysis. Environ Res Lett 7:1–11. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/7/1/014037
    • (2012) Environ Res Lett , vol.7 , pp. 1-11
    • Döll, P.1    Schmied, H.M.2
  • 60
  • 65
    • 85024361776 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The outlook for agriculture and rural development in the Americas: a perspective on latin America and the Caribbean. Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC), Food and Agriculture Organization of the UN (FAO)
    • Santiago, Chile
    • ECLAC, FAO, IICA (2012) The outlook for agriculture and rural development in the Americas: a perspective on latin America and the Caribbean. Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC), Food and Agriculture Organization of the UN (FAO), Inter-American Institute for Cooperation on Agriculture (IICA), Santiago, Chile
    • (2012) Inter-American Institute for Cooperation on Agriculture (IICA)
  • 66
    • 84888297086 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Examining rainfall and cholera dynamics in Haiti using statistical and dynamic modeling approaches
    • Eisenberg MC, Kujbida G, Tuite AR, Fisman DN, Tien JH (2013) Examining rainfall and cholera dynamics in Haiti using statistical and dynamic modeling approaches. Epidemics 5:197–207
    • (2013) Epidemics , vol.5 , pp. 197-207
    • Eisenberg, M.C.1    Kujbida, G.2    Tuite, A.R.3    Fisman, D.N.4    Tien, J.H.5
  • 67
    • 84880661460 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Downscaling CMIP5 climate models shows increased tropical cyclone activity over the 21st century
    • COI: 1:CAS:528:DC%2BC3sXht1emu7rI
    • Emanuel KA (2013) Downscaling CMIP5 climate models shows increased tropical cyclone activity over the 21st century. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 110:12219–12224. doi:10.1073/pnas.1301293110
    • (2013) Proc Natl Acad Sci USA , vol.110 , pp. 12219-12224
    • Emanuel, K.A.1
  • 68
    • 67749093516 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting insect pest status under climate change scenarios: combining experimental data and population dynamics modelling
    • Estay SA, Lima M, Labra FA (2009) Predicting insect pest status under climate change scenarios: combining experimental data and population dynamics modelling. J Appl Entomol 133:491–499. doi:10.1111/j.1439-0418.2008.01380.x
    • (2009) J Appl Entomol , vol.133 , pp. 491-499
    • Estay, S.A.1    Lima, M.2    Labra, F.A.3
  • 69
    • 84942905578 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Increase in port downtime and damage in Vietnam due to a potential increase in tropical cyclone intensity
    • Leal Filho W, (ed), Springer, Berlin
    • Esteban M, Thao ND, Takagi H (2012) Increase in port downtime and damage in Vietnam due to a potential increase in tropical cyclone intensity. In: Leal Filho W (ed) Climate change and the sustainable use of water resources. Springer, Berlin, pp 101–125
    • (2012) Climate change and the sustainable use of water resources , pp. 101-125
    • Esteban, M.1    Thao, N.D.2    Takagi, H.3
  • 70
    • 84945954973 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Addressing sources of uncertainty in runoff projections for a data scarce catchment in the Ecuadorian Andes
    • Exbrayat J-F, Buytaert W, Timbe E, Windhorst D, Breuer L (2014) Addressing sources of uncertainty in runoff projections for a data scarce catchment in the Ecuadorian Andes. Clim Change 125:221–235. doi:10.1007/s10584-014-1160-x
    • (2014) Clim Change , vol.125 , pp. 221-235
    • Exbrayat, J.-F.1    Buytaert, W.2    Timbe, E.3    Windhorst, D.4    Breuer, L.5
  • 71
    • 85024396247 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Review of world water resources by country. Water Reports No. 23, Food and Agriculture Organization
    • FAO (2003) Review of world water resources by country. Water Reports No. 23, Food and Agriculture Organization, Rome
    • (2003) Rome
  • 72
    • 84863608393 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The relative importance of deforestation, precipitation change, and temperature sensitivity in determining the future distributions and diversity of Amazonian plant species
    • Feeley KJ, Malhi Y, Zelazowski P, Silman MR (2012) The relative importance of deforestation, precipitation change, and temperature sensitivity in determining the future distributions and diversity of Amazonian plant species. Glob Change Biol 18:2636–2647. doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2012.02719.x
    • (2012) Glob Change Biol , vol.18 , pp. 2636-2647
    • Feeley, K.J.1    Malhi, Y.2    Zelazowski, P.3    Silman, M.R.4
  • 73
    • 85024379860 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Fortalecimiento de Organizaciones Indígenas en América Latina: Pueblos Indígenas y Cambio Climático. Relación entre cambio climático y pueblos indígenas y sus posiciones en el contexto de las negociaciones en la Convención Marco sobre el Cambio Climático
    • GIZ, Frankfurt
    • Feldt H (2011) Fortalecimiento de Organizaciones Indígenas en América Latina: Pueblos Indígenas y Cambio Climático. Relación entre cambio climático y pueblos indígenas y sus posiciones en el contexto de las negociaciones en la Convención Marco sobre el Cambio Climático. Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit (GIZ), Frankfurt
    • (2011) Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit
    • Feldt, H.1
  • 75
    • 84880132172 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling the effects of climate change on the distribution and production of marine fishes: accounting for trophic interactions in a dynamic bioclimate envelope model
    • Fernandes JA, Cheung WWL, Jennings S, Butenschön M, de Mora L, Frölicher TL, Barange M, Grant A (2013) Modelling the effects of climate change on the distribution and production of marine fishes: accounting for trophic interactions in a dynamic bioclimate envelope model. Glob Chang Biol 19:2596–2607. doi:10.1111/gcb.12231
    • (2013) Glob Chang Biol , vol.19 , pp. 2596-2607
    • Fernandes, J.A.1    Cheung, W.W.L.2    Jennings, S.3    Butenschön, M.4    de Mora, L.5    Frölicher, T.L.6    Barange, M.7    Grant, A.8
  • 76
    • 35848945479 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Potential impacts of global climate change on freshwater fisheries
    • Ficke AD, Myrick CA, Hansen LJ (2007) Potential impacts of global climate change on freshwater fisheries. Rev Fish Biol Fish 17:581–613. doi:10.1007/s11160-007-9059-5
    • (2007) Rev Fish Biol Fish , vol.17 , pp. 581-613
    • Ficke, A.D.1    Myrick, C.A.2    Hansen, L.J.3
  • 77
    • 16244376812 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting the impact of sea-level rise on Caribbean sea turtle nesting habitat
    • Fish MR, Cote IM, Gill JA, Jones AP, Renshoff S, Watkinson AR (2005) Predicting the impact of sea-level rise on Caribbean sea turtle nesting habitat. Conserv Biol 19:482–491. doi:10.1111/j.1523-1739.2005.00146.x
    • (2005) Conserv Biol , vol.19 , pp. 482-491
    • Fish, M.R.1    Cote, I.M.2    Gill, J.A.3    Jones, A.P.4    Renshoff, S.5    Watkinson, A.R.6
  • 80
    • 0031910452 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The temporal climatic variability in the Río de la Plata basin displayed by the river discharges
    • García NO, Vargas WM (1998) The temporal climatic variability in the Río de la Plata basin displayed by the river discharges. Clim Change 38:359–379
    • (1998) Clim Change , vol.38 , pp. 359-379
    • García, N.O.1    Vargas, W.M.2
  • 81
    • 84872376083 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling future no-analogue climate distributions: a world-wide phytoclimatic niche-based survey
    • García-López JM, Allué C (2013) Modelling future no-analogue climate distributions: a world-wide phytoclimatic niche-based survey. Glob Planet Change 101:1–11. doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2012.12.001
    • (2013) Glob Planet Change , vol.101 , pp. 1-11
    • García-López, J.M.1    Allué, C.2
  • 82
    • 13444311757 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hurricanes and Caribbean coral reefs: impacts, recovery patterns, and role in long-term decline
    • Gardner T, Cote I, Gill J, Grant A, Watkinson A (2005) Hurricanes and Caribbean coral reefs: impacts, recovery patterns, and role in long-term decline. Ecology 86:174–184
    • (2005) Ecology , vol.86 , pp. 174-184
    • Gardner, T.1    Cote, I.2    Gill, J.3    Grant, A.4    Watkinson, A.5
  • 84
    • 78651330101 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Diseases in tropical and plantation crops as affected by climate changes: current knowledge and perspectives
    • Ghini R, Bettiol W, Hamada E (2011) Diseases in tropical and plantation crops as affected by climate changes: current knowledge and perspectives. Plant Pathol 60:122–132. doi:10.1111/j.1365-3059.2010.02403.x
    • (2011) Plant Pathol , vol.60 , pp. 122-132
    • Ghini, R.1    Bettiol, W.2    Hamada, E.3
  • 85
    • 84888058019 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate-model induced differences in the 21st century global and regional glacier contributions to sea-level rise
    • Giesen RH, Oerlemans J (2013) Climate-model induced differences in the 21st century global and regional glacier contributions to sea-level rise. Clim Dyn. doi:10.1007/s00382-013-1743-7
    • (2013) Clim Dyn
    • Giesen, R.H.1    Oerlemans, J.2
  • 86
    • 84869218587 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Temporal analysis of the relationship between dengue and meteorological variable in the city of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, 2001–2009
    • Gomes AF, Nobre AA, Cruz OG (2012) Temporal analysis of the relationship between dengue and meteorological variable in the city of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, 2001–2009. Cad Saúde Pública 28:2189–2197
    • (2012) Cad Saúde Pública , vol.28 , pp. 2189-2197
    • Gomes, A.F.1    Nobre, A.A.2    Cruz, O.G.3
  • 87
    • 84872893351 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Comparing tropical forest projections from two generations of hadley centre earth system models, HadGEM2-ES and HadCM3LC
    • Good P, Jones C, Lowe J, Betts R, Gedney N (2013) Comparing tropical forest projections from two generations of hadley centre earth system models, HadGEM2-ES and HadCM3LC. J Clim 26:495–511. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00366.1
    • (2013) J Clim , vol.26 , pp. 495-511
    • Good, P.1    Jones, C.2    Lowe, J.3    Betts, R.4    Gedney, N.5
  • 89
  • 90
    • 33745195154 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change and human health: impacts, vulnerability and public health
    • COI: 1:STN:280:DC%2BD28vgsFKhsA%3D%3D
    • Haines A, Kovats RS, Campbell-Lendrum D, Corvalan C (2006) Climate change and human health: impacts, vulnerability and public health. Public Health 120:585–596. doi:10.1016/j.puhe.2006.01.002
    • (2006) Public Health , vol.120 , pp. 585-596
    • Haines, A.1    Kovats, R.S.2    Campbell-Lendrum, D.3    Corvalan, C.4
  • 91
    • 35548959310 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The use of synthetic hurricane tracks in risk analysis and climate change damage assessment
    • Hallegatte S (2007) The use of synthetic hurricane tracks in risk analysis and climate change damage assessment. J Appl Meteorol Climatol 46:1956–1966. doi:10.1175/2007JAMC1532.1
    • (2007) J Appl Meteorol Climatol , vol.46 , pp. 1956-1966
    • Hallegatte, S.1
  • 93
    • 84857757828 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessing climate change impacts on global hydropower
    • Hamududu B, Killingtveit A (2012) Assessing climate change impacts on global hydropower. Energies 5:305–322. doi:10.3390/en5020305
    • (2012) Energies , vol.5 , pp. 305-322
    • Hamududu, B.1    Killingtveit, A.2
  • 94
    • 84866306521 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Perception of climate change
    • COI: 1:CAS:528:DC%2BC38XhsVCnu7vE
    • Hansen J, Sato M, Ruedy R (2012) Perception of climate change. Proc Nat Acad Sci 109:E2415–E2423
    • (2012) Proc Nat Acad Sci , vol.109 , pp. E2415-E2423
    • Hansen, J.1    Sato, M.2    Ruedy, R.3
  • 95
    • 63049097841 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Urban poverty and vulnerability to climate change in Latin America
    • Hardoy J, Pandiella G (2009) Urban poverty and vulnerability to climate change in Latin America. Environ Urban 21:203
    • (2009) Environ Urban , vol.21 , pp. 203
    • Hardoy, J.1    Pandiella, G.2
  • 96
    • 78650168780 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The poverty implications of climate-induced crop yield changes by 2030
    • Hertel T, Burke M, Lobell D (2010) The poverty implications of climate-induced crop yield changes by 2030. Glob Environ Chang 20:577–585. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2010.07.001
    • (2010) Glob Environ Chang , vol.20 , pp. 577-585
    • Hertel, T.1    Burke, M.2    Lobell, D.3
  • 97
    • 80053472192 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Risk of severe climate change impact on the terrestrial biosphere
    • Heyder U, Schaphoff S, Gerten D, Lucht W (2011) Risk of severe climate change impact on the terrestrial biosphere. Environ Res Lett 6:034036. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/6/3/034036
    • (2011) Environ Res Lett , vol.6 , pp. 034036
    • Heyder, U.1    Schaphoff, S.2    Gerten, D.3    Lucht, W.4
  • 98
    • 84878362649 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hydrological climate change projections for Central America
    • Hidalgo HG, Amador JA, Alfaro EJ, Quesada B (2013) Hydrological climate change projections for Central America. J Hydrol 495:94–112. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2013.05.004
    • (2013) J Hydrol , vol.495 , pp. 94-112
    • Hidalgo, H.G.1    Amador, J.A.2    Alfaro, E.J.3    Quesada, B.4
  • 100
    • 84871692979 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Groundwater resources in Brazil: a review of possible impacts caused by climate change
    • Hirata R, Conicelli BP (2012) Groundwater resources in Brazil: a review of possible impacts caused by climate change. An Acad Bras Cienc 84:297–312
    • (2012) An Acad Bras Cienc , vol.84 , pp. 297-312
    • Hirata, R.1    Conicelli, B.P.2
  • 102
    • 79961011691 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Rethinking species’ ability to cope with rapid climate change
    • Hof C, Levinsky I, Araújo MB, Rahbek C (2011) Rethinking species’ ability to cope with rapid climate change. Glob Chang Biol 17:2987–2990. doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2011.02418.x
    • (2011) Glob Chang Biol , vol.17 , pp. 2987-2990
    • Hof, C.1    Levinsky, I.2    Araújo, M.B.3    Rahbek, C.4
  • 105
    • 84889561267 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessing the vulnerability of beach tourism and non-beach tourism to climate change: a case study from Jamaica
    • Hyman T-A (2013) Assessing the vulnerability of beach tourism and non-beach tourism to climate change: a case study from Jamaica. J Sustain Tour. doi:10.1080/09669582.2013.855220
    • (2013) J Sustain Tour
    • Hyman, T.-A.1
  • 106
    • 85024371203 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • International Fund for Agricultural Development, Rome
    • IFAD (2013) IFAD in Latin America and the Caribbean. In: International Fund for Agricultural Development, Rome. http://www.ifad.org/operations/projects/regions/PL/index.htm. Accessed 25 Mar 2014
    • (2013) IFAD in Latin America and the Caribbean
  • 107
    • 84864779943 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling potential equilibrium states of vegetation and terrestrial water cycle of Mesoamerica under climate change scenarios
    • Imbach P, Molina L, Locatelli B, Roupsard O, Mahé G, Neilson R, Corrales L, Scholze M, Ciais P (2012) Modeling potential equilibrium states of vegetation and terrestrial water cycle of Mesoamerica under climate change scenarios. J Hydrometeorol 13:665–680. doi:10.1175/JHM-D-11-023.1
    • (2012) J Hydrometeorol , vol.13 , pp. 665-680
    • Imbach, P.1    Molina, L.2    Locatelli, B.3    Roupsard, O.4    Mahé, G.5    Neilson, R.6    Corrales, L.7    Scholze, M.8    Ciais, P.9
  • 110
    • 79951505310 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On-land ice loss and glacial isostatic adjustment at the Drake passage: 2003–2009
    • Ivins ER, Watkins MM, Yuan D-N, Dietrich R, Casassa G, Rülke A (2011) On-land ice loss and glacial isostatic adjustment at the Drake passage: 2003–2009. J Geophys Res 116:B02403. doi:10.1029/2010JB007607
    • (2011) J Geophys Res , vol.116 , pp. B02403
    • Ivins, E.R.1    Watkins, M.M.2    Yuan, D.-N.3    Dietrich, R.4    Casassa, G.5    Rülke, A.6
  • 111
    • 84857459235 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Recent contributions of glaciers and ice caps to sea level rise
    • COI: 1:CAS:528:DC%2BC38XitVWku70%3D
    • Jacob T, Wahr J, Pfeffer WT, Swenson S (2012) Recent contributions of glaciers and ice caps to sea level rise. Nature 482:514–518. doi:10.1038/nature10847
    • (2012) Nature , vol.482 , pp. 514-518
    • Jacob, T.1    Wahr, J.2    Pfeffer, W.T.3    Swenson, S.4
  • 112
  • 114
    • 34250303966 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Projected impacts of climate and land-use change on the global diversity of birds
    • Jetz W, Wilcove DS, Dobson AP (2007) Projected impacts of climate and land-use change on the global diversity of birds. PLoS Biol 5:e157. doi:10.1371/journal.pbio.0050157
    • (2007) PLoS Biol , vol.5
    • Jetz, W.1    Wilcove, D.S.2    Dobson, A.P.3
  • 115
    • 65549154217 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Local and global effects of climate on dengue transmission in Puerto Rico
    • Johansson MA, Dominici F, Glass GE (2009) Local and global effects of climate on dengue transmission in Puerto Rico. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 3:e382
    • (2009) PLoS Negl Trop Dis , vol.3
    • Johansson, M.A.1    Dominici, F.2    Glass, G.E.3
  • 116
    • 84883149682 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change in the South American monsoon system: present climate and CMIP5 projections
    • Jones C, Carvalho LMV (2013) Climate change in the South American monsoon system: present climate and CMIP5 projections. J Clim 26:6660–6678. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00412.1
    • (2013) J Clim , vol.26 , pp. 6660-6678
    • Jones, C.1    Carvalho, L.M.V.2
  • 117
    • 35148862663 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling observed and future runoff from a glacierized tropical catchment (Cordillera Blanca, Perú)
    • Juen I, Kaser G, Georges C (2007) Modelling observed and future runoff from a glacierized tropical catchment (Cordillera Blanca, Perú). Glob Planet Change 59:37–48. doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2006.11.038
    • (2007) Glob Planet Change , vol.59 , pp. 37-48
    • Juen, I.1    Kaser, G.2    Georges, C.3
  • 118
    • 84879189415 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Changes in temperature and precipitation extremes in the CMIP5 ensemble
    • Kharin VV, Zwiers FW, Zhang X, Wehner M (2013) Changes in temperature and precipitation extremes in the CMIP5 ensemble. Clim Change 119:345–357. doi:10.1007/s10584-013-0705-8
    • (2013) Clim Change , vol.119 , pp. 345-357
    • Kharin, V.V.1    Zwiers, F.W.2    Zhang, X.3    Wehner, M.4
  • 119
    • 79955138645 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modulation of North Pacific tropical cyclone activity by three phases of ENSO
    • Kim H-M, Webster PJ, Curry JA (2011) Modulation of North Pacific tropical cyclone activity by three phases of ENSO. J Clim 24:1839–1849. doi:10.1175/2010JCLI3939.1
    • (2011) J Clim , vol.24 , pp. 1839-1849
    • Kim, H.-M.1    Webster, P.J.2    Curry, J.A.3
  • 120
    • 84922711415 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling glacier melt and runoff in a high-altitude headwater catchment in the Cordillera Real, Andes
    • Kinouchi T, Liu T, Mendoza J, Asaoka Y (2013) Modeling glacier melt and runoff in a high-altitude headwater catchment in the Cordillera Real, Andes. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci Discuss 10:13093–13144. doi:10.5194/hessd-10-13093-2013
    • (2013) Hydrol Earth Syst Sci Discuss , vol.10 , pp. 13093-13144
    • Kinouchi, T.1    Liu, T.2    Mendoza, J.3    Asaoka, Y.4
  • 123
    • 84878956247 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • dynamical downscaling projections of twenty-first-century Atlantic Hurricane activity: CMIP3 and CMIP5 model-based scenarios
    • Knutson TR, Sirutis JJ, Vecchi GA, Garner S, Zhao M, Kim H-S, Bender M, Tuleya RE, Held IM, Villarini G (2013) dynamical downscaling projections of twenty-first-century Atlantic Hurricane activity: CMIP3 and CMIP5 model-based scenarios. J Clim 26:6591–6617. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00539.1
    • (2013) J Clim , vol.26 , pp. 6591-6617
    • Knutson, T.R.1    Sirutis, J.J.2    Vecchi, G.A.3    Garner, S.4    Zhao, M.5    Kim, H.-S.6    Bender, M.7    Tuleya, R.E.8    Held, I.M.9    Villarini, G.10
  • 124
    • 59649097750 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The impact of climate on the disease dynamics of cholera
    • Koelle K (2009) The impact of climate on the disease dynamics of cholera. Clin Microb Infect 15:29–31
    • (2009) Clin Microb Infect , vol.15 , pp. 29-31
    • Koelle, K.1
  • 125
    • 79952349011 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uncertainties associated with quantifying climate change impacts on human health: a case study for diarrhea
    • Kolstad EW, Johansson KA (2011) Uncertainties associated with quantifying climate change impacts on human health: a case study for diarrhea. Environ Health Perspect 119:299–305. doi:10.1289/ehp.1002060
    • (2011) Environ Health Perspect , vol.119 , pp. 299-305
    • Kolstad, E.W.1    Johansson, K.A.2
  • 126
    • 84890234156 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Trend analysis with a new global record of tropical cyclone intensity
    • Kossin JP, Olander TL, Knapp KR (2013) Trend analysis with a new global record of tropical cyclone intensity. J Clim 26:9960–9976. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00262.1
    • (2013) J Clim , vol.26 , pp. 9960-9976
    • Kossin, J.P.1    Olander, T.L.2    Knapp, K.R.3
  • 127
    • 84900523173 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The poleward migration of the location of tropical cyclone maximum intensity
    • COI: 1:CAS:528:DC%2BC2cXotVyqtb0%3D
    • Kossin JP, Emanuel KA, Vecchi GA (2014) The poleward migration of the location of tropical cyclone maximum intensity. Nature 509:349–352. doi:10.1038/nature13278
    • (2014) Nature , vol.509 , pp. 349-352
    • Kossin, J.P.1    Emanuel, K.A.2    Vecchi, G.A.3
  • 128
    • 33749241653 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Regional integrated modelling of climate change impacts on natural resources and resource usage in semi-arid Northeast Brazil
    • Krol MS, Bronstert A (2007) Regional integrated modelling of climate change impacts on natural resources and resource usage in semi-arid Northeast Brazil. Environ Model Softw 22:259–268. doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2005.07.022
    • (2007) Environ Model Softw , vol.22 , pp. 259-268
    • Krol, M.S.1    Bronstert, A.2
  • 130
    • 84873185213 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Gendered Impacts of the 2007 – 08 food price crisis evidence using panel data from rural Ethiopia
    • IFPRI, Washington, DC
    • Kumar N, Quisumbing AR (2011) Gendered Impacts of the 2007 – 08 food price crisis evidence using panel data from rural Ethiopia. International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI), Washington, DC
    • (2011) International Food Policy Research Institute
    • Kumar, N.1    Quisumbing, A.R.2
  • 132
    • 84885005975 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Potential effects of climate change on inundation patterns in the Amazon Basin
    • Langerwisch F, Rost S, Gerten D, Poulter B, Rammig A, Cramer W (2013) Potential effects of climate change on inundation patterns in the Amazon Basin. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 17:2247–2262. doi:10.5194/hess-17-2247-2013
    • (2013) Hydrol Earth Syst Sci , vol.17 , pp. 2247-2262
    • Langerwisch, F.1    Rost, S.2    Gerten, D.3    Poulter, B.4    Rammig, A.5    Cramer, W.6
  • 135
    • 84892529262 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change threatens protected areas of the Atlantic Forest
    • Lemes P, Melo AS, Loyola RD (2014) Climate change threatens protected areas of the Atlantic Forest. Biodivers Conserv 23:357–368. doi:10.1007/s10531-013-0605-2
    • (2014) Biodivers Conserv , vol.23 , pp. 357-368
    • Lemes, P.1    Melo, A.S.2    Loyola, R.D.3
  • 139
  • 140
    • 84866997217 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Severe loss of suitable climatic conditions for marsupial species in Brazil: challenges and opportunities for conservation
    • COI: 1:CAS:528:DC%2BC38XhsFShsLzJ
    • Loyola RD, Lemes P, Faleiro FV, Trindade-Filho J, Machado RB (2012) Severe loss of suitable climatic conditions for marsupial species in Brazil: challenges and opportunities for conservation. PLoS ONE 7:e46257. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0046257
    • (2012) PLoS ONE , vol.7
    • Loyola, R.D.1    Lemes, P.2    Faleiro, F.V.3    Trindade-Filho, J.4    Machado, R.B.5
  • 146
    • 84880696057 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Atlantic Hurricanes and climate change. Part I: experimental design and isolation of thermodynamic effects
    • Mallard MS, Lackmann GM, Aiyyer A, Hill K (2013) Atlantic Hurricanes and climate change. Part I: experimental design and isolation of thermodynamic effects. J Clim 26:4876–4893. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00182.1
    • (2013) J Clim , vol.26 , pp. 4876-4893
    • Mallard, M.S.1    Lackmann, G.M.2    Aiyyer, A.3    Hill, K.4
  • 147
    • 71449109811 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Future change of temperature and precipitation extremes in South America as derived from the PRECIS regional climate modeling system
    • Marengo JA, Jones R, Alves LM, Valverde MC (2009) Future change of temperature and precipitation extremes in South America as derived from the PRECIS regional climate modeling system. Int J Climatol. doi:10.1002/joc
    • (2009) Int J Climatol
    • Marengo, J.A.1    Jones, R.2    Alves, L.M.3    Valverde, M.C.4
  • 149
    • 70450239707 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicted climate-driven bird distribution changes and forecasted conservation conflicts in a neotropical savanna
    • Marini MA, Barbet-Massin M, Lopes LE, Jiguet F (2009) Predicted climate-driven bird distribution changes and forecasted conservation conflicts in a neotropical savanna. Conserv Biol J Soc Conserv Biol 23:1558–1567. doi:10.1111/j.1523-1739.2009.01258.x
    • (2009) Conserv Biol J Soc Conserv Biol , vol.23 , pp. 1558-1567
    • Marini, M.A.1    Barbet-Massin, M.2    Lopes, L.E.3    Jiguet, F.4
  • 150
    • 84891921481 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Eastern Tropical Pacific hurricane variability and landfalls on Mexican coasts
    • Martinez-Sanchez J, Cavazos T (2014) Eastern Tropical Pacific hurricane variability and landfalls on Mexican coasts. Clim Res 58:221–234. doi:10.3354/cr01192
    • (2014) Clim Res , vol.58 , pp. 221-234
    • Martinez-Sanchez, J.1    Cavazos, T.2
  • 151
    • 84880395786 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Past and future sea-level change from the surface mass balance of glaciers
    • Marzeion B, Jarosch AH, Hofer M (2012) Past and future sea-level change from the surface mass balance of glaciers. Cryosph 6:1295–1322. doi:10.5194/tc-6-1295-2012
    • (2012) Cryosph , vol.6 , pp. 1295-1322
    • Marzeion, B.1    Jarosch, A.H.2    Hofer, M.3
  • 152
    • 33845711001 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Snowpack variations in the central Andes of Argentina and Chile, 1951–2005: large-scale atmospheric influences and implications for water resources in the region
    • Masiokas MH, Villalba R, Luckman BH, Le Quesne C, Aravena JC (2006) Snowpack variations in the central Andes of Argentina and Chile, 1951–2005: large-scale atmospheric influences and implications for water resources in the region. J Clim 19:6334–6352
    • (2006) J Clim , vol.19 , pp. 6334-6352
    • Masiokas, M.H.1    Villalba, R.2    Luckman, B.H.3    Le Quesne, C.4    Aravena, J.C.5
  • 153
    • 84858385570 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Snowpack variations since AD 1150 in the Andes of Chile and Argentina (30°–37°S) inferred from rainfall, tree-ring and documentary records
    • Masiokas MH, Villalba R, Christie DA, Betman E, Luckman BH, Le Quesne C, Prieto MR, Mauget S (2012) Snowpack variations since AD 1150 in the Andes of Chile and Argentina (30°–37°S) inferred from rainfall, tree-ring and documentary records. J Geophys Res 117:D05112. doi:10.1029/2011JD016748
    • (2012) J Geophys Res , vol.117 , pp. D05112
    • Masiokas, M.H.1    Villalba, R.2    Christie, D.A.3    Betman, E.4    Luckman, B.H.5    Le Quesne, C.6    Prieto, M.R.7    Mauget, S.8
  • 156
    • 60749106131 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate model based consensus on the hydrologic impacts of climate change to the Rio Lempa basin of Central America
    • Maurer EP, Adam JC, Wood AW (2009) Climate model based consensus on the hydrologic impacts of climate change to the Rio Lempa basin of Central America. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 13:183–194
    • (2009) Hydrol Earth Syst Sci , vol.13 , pp. 183-194
    • Maurer, E.P.1    Adam, J.C.2    Wood, A.W.3
  • 157
    • 80052367266 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mapping Vulnerability to disasters in Latin America and the Caribbean, 1900–2007
    • Geological Survey, Reston
    • Maynard-Ford BMC, Phillips EC, Chirico PG, Survey USG (2008) Mapping Vulnerability to disasters in Latin America and the Caribbean, 1900–2007. U.S. Geological Survey, Reston
    • (2008) U.S
    • Maynard-Ford, B.M.C.1    Phillips, E.C.2    Chirico, P.G.3    Survey, U.S.G.4
  • 158
    • 34247276126 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The rising tide: assessing the risks of climate change and human settlements in low elevation coastal zones
    • McGranahan G, Balk D, Anderson B (2007) The rising tide: assessing the risks of climate change and human settlements in low elevation coastal zones. Environ Urban 19:17–37. doi:10.1177/0956247807076960
    • (2007) Environ Urban , vol.19 , pp. 17-37
    • McGranahan, G.1    Balk, D.2    Anderson, B.3
  • 159
    • 33645371059 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Millenium ecosystem assessment
    • Island Press, Washington, DC
    • MEA (2005) Millenium ecosystem assessment. Ecosystems and human well-being: synthesis. Island Press, Washington, DC
    • (2005) Ecosystems and human well-being: synthesis
  • 160
    • 84860373597 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Large-scale stress factors affecting coral reefs: open ocean sea surface temperature and surface seawater aragonite saturation over the next 400 years
    • Meissner KJ, Lippmann T, Sen Gupta A (2012) Large-scale stress factors affecting coral reefs: open ocean sea surface temperature and surface seawater aragonite saturation over the next 400 years. Coral Reefs 31:309–319
    • (2012) Coral Reefs , vol.31 , pp. 309-319
    • Meissner, K.J.1    Lippmann, T.2    Sen Gupta, A.3
  • 163
    • 80052191500 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Regional sea level trends due to a Pacific trade wind intensification
    • Merrifield MA, Maltrud ME (2011) Regional sea level trends due to a Pacific trade wind intensification. Geophys Res Lett 38:L21605. doi:10.1029/2011GL049576
    • (2011) Geophys Res Lett , vol.38 , pp. L21605
    • Merrifield, M.A.1    Maltrud, M.E.2
  • 164
    • 84879429792 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Are common species endangered by climate change? Habitat suitability projections for the royal ground snake, Liophis reginae (Serpentes, Dipsadidae)
    • Mesquita PCMD, Pinheiro-Mesquita SF, Pietczak C (2013) Are common species endangered by climate change? Habitat suitability projections for the royal ground snake, Liophis reginae (Serpentes, Dipsadidae). North West J Zool 9:51–56
    • (2013) North West J Zool , vol.9 , pp. 51-56
    • Mesquita, P.C.M.D.1    Pinheiro-Mesquita, S.F.2    Pietczak, C.3
  • 165
    • 84886529697 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Changes in weather and climate extremes: phenomenology and empirical approaches
    • Mika J (2013) Changes in weather and climate extremes: phenomenology and empirical approaches. Clim Change 121:15–26. doi:10.1007/s10584-013-0914-1
    • (2013) Clim Change , vol.121 , pp. 15-26
    • Mika, J.1
  • 166
    • 27844519343 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global pattern of trends in streamflow and water availability in a changing climate
    • COI: 1:CAS:528:DC%2BD2MXht1WksbfJ
    • Milly PCD, Dunne KA, Vecchia AV (2005) Global pattern of trends in streamflow and water availability in a changing climate. Nature 438:347–350. doi:10.1038/nature04312
    • (2005) Nature , vol.438 , pp. 347-350
    • Milly, P.C.D.1    Dunne, K.A.2    Vecchia, A.V.3
  • 168
    • 77956462451 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hydrological response of a Brazilian semi-arid catchment to different land use and climate change scenarios: a modelling study
    • Montenegro A, Ragab R (2010) Hydrological response of a Brazilian semi-arid catchment to different land use and climate change scenarios: a modelling study. Hydrol Process 24:2705–2723. doi:10.1002/hyp.7825
    • (2010) Hydrol Process , vol.24 , pp. 2705-2723
    • Montenegro, A.1    Ragab, R.2
  • 170
    • 85024361754 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate changes of hydrometeorological and hydrological extremes in the Paute basin, Ecuadorean Andes
    • Mora DE, Campozano L, Cisneros F, Wyseure G, Willems P (2013b) Climate changes of hydrometeorological and hydrological extremes in the Paute basin, Ecuadorean Andes. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci Discuss 10:6445–6471. doi:10.5194/hessd-10-6445-2013
    • (2013) Hydrol Earth Syst Sci Discuss , vol.10 , pp. 6445-6471
    • Mora, D.E.1    Campozano, L.2    Cisneros, F.3    Wyseure, G.4    Willems, P.5
  • 171
    • 33646717090 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change and human health in Latin America: drivers, effects, and policies
    • Moreno AR (2006) Climate change and human health in Latin America: drivers, effects, and policies. Reg Environ Chang 6:157–164
    • (2006) Reg Environ Chang , vol.6 , pp. 157-164
    • Moreno, A.R.1
  • 172
    • 80053901123 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Pro-poor adaptation to climate change in Urban centers: case studies of vulnerability and resilience in Kenya and Nicaragua
    • Washington DC, Retrieved from
    • Moser C, Norton A, Stein A, Georgieva S (2010). Pro-poor adaptation to climate change in Urban centers: case studies of vulnerability and resilience in Kenya and Nicaragua. World Bank, Washington DC. Retrieved from http://siteresources.worldbank.org/EXTSOCIALDEVELOPMENT/Resources/244362-1232059926563/5747581-1239131985528/ESW_propoorurbanadaptationReport4947GLBweb2.pdf
    • (2010) World Bank
    • Moser, C.1    Norton, A.2    Stein, A.3    Georgieva, S.4
  • 173
    • 84868097828 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Future changes in tropical cyclone activity projected by multi-physics and multi-SST ensemble experiments using the 60-km-mesh MRI-AGCM
    • Murakami H, Mizuta R, Shindo E (2011) Future changes in tropical cyclone activity projected by multi-physics and multi-SST ensemble experiments using the 60-km-mesh MRI-AGCM. Clim Dyn 39:2569–2584. doi:10.1007/s00382-011-1223-x
    • (2011) Clim Dyn , vol.39 , pp. 2569-2584
    • Murakami, H.1    Mizuta, R.2    Shindo, E.3
  • 175
    • 0034708178 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Biodiversity hotspots for conservation priorities
    • COI: 1:CAS:528:DC%2BD3cXhs1Olsr4%3D
    • Myers N, Mittermeier RA, Mittermeier CG, da Fonseca GA, Kent J (2000) Biodiversity hotspots for conservation priorities. Nature 403:853–858. doi:10.1038/35002501
    • (2000) Nature , vol.403 , pp. 853-858
    • Myers, N.1    Mittermeier, R.A.2    Mittermeier, C.G.3    da Fonseca, G.A.4    Kent, J.5
  • 176
    • 84885388386 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Discharge of major global rivers in the late 21st century climate projected with the high horizontal resolution MRI-AGCMs
    • Nakaegawa T, Kitoh A, Hosaka M (2013) Discharge of major global rivers in the late 21st century climate projected with the high horizontal resolution MRI-AGCMs. Hydrol Process 27:3301–3318. doi:10.1002/hyp.9831
    • (2013) Hydrol Process , vol.27 , pp. 3301-3318
    • Nakaegawa, T.1    Kitoh, A.2    Hosaka, M.3
  • 177
    • 35548955108 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mortality of large trees and lianas following experimental drought in an Amazon forest
    • Nepstad DC, Tohver IM, Ray D, Moutinho P, Cardinot G (2007) Mortality of large trees and lianas following experimental drought in an Amazon forest. Ecology 88:2259–2269
    • (2007) Ecology , vol.88 , pp. 2259-2269
    • Nepstad, D.C.1    Tohver, I.M.2    Ray, D.3    Moutinho, P.4    Cardinot, G.5
  • 178
    • 79951937326 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uncertainty in climate change impacts on water resources in the Rio Grande Basin, Brazil
    • Nóbrega MT, Collischonn W, Tucci CEM, Paz AR (2011) Uncertainty in climate change impacts on water resources in the Rio Grande Basin, Brazil. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 15:585–595. doi:10.5194/hess-15-585-2011
    • (2011) Hydrol Earth Syst Sci , vol.15 , pp. 585-595
    • Nóbrega, M.T.1    Collischonn, W.2    Tucci, C.E.M.3    Paz, A.R.4
  • 180
    • 0036071341 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The global 200: priority ecoregions for global conservation
    • Olson DM, Dinerstein E (2002) The global 200: priority ecoregions for global conservation. Ann Missouri Bot Gard 89:199–224. doi:10.2307/3298564
    • (2002) Ann Missouri Bot Gard , vol.89 , pp. 199-224
    • Olson, D.M.1    Dinerstein, E.2
  • 181
    • 84879034118 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Elusive drought: uncertainty in observed trends and short- and long-term CMIP5 projections
    • Orlowsky B, Seneviratne SI (2013) Elusive drought: uncertainty in observed trends and short- and long-term CMIP5 projections. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 17:1765–1781. doi:10.5194/hess-17-1765-2013
    • (2013) Hydrol Earth Syst Sci , vol.17 , pp. 1765-1781
    • Orlowsky, B.1    Seneviratne, S.I.2
  • 182
    • 79954626157 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A model study of factors influencing projected changes in regional sea level over the twenty-first century
    • Pardaens AK, Gregory JM, Lowe JA (2011) A model study of factors influencing projected changes in regional sea level over the twenty-first century. Clim Dyn 36:2015–2033. doi:10.1007/s00382-009-0738-x
    • (2011) Clim Dyn , vol.36 , pp. 2015-2033
    • Pardaens, A.K.1    Gregory, J.M.2    Lowe, J.A.3
  • 183
    • 77954314318 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Copenhagen number crunch
    • Parry M (2010) Copenhagen number crunch. Nat Rep Clim Chang 4:18–19. doi:10.1038/climate.2010.01
    • (2010) Nat Rep Clim Chang , vol.4 , pp. 18-19
    • Parry, M.1
  • 184
    • 21344436590 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change and distribution shifts in marine fishes
    • COI: 1:CAS:528:DC%2BD2MXlsVWmtbg%3D
    • Perry AL, Low PJ, Ellis JR, Reynolds JD (2005) Climate change and distribution shifts in marine fishes. Science 308:1912–1915. doi:10.1126/science.1111322
    • (2005) Science , vol.308 , pp. 1912-1915
    • Perry, A.L.1    Low, P.J.2    Ellis, J.R.3    Reynolds, J.D.4
  • 186
    • 84918535139 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effects of climate change over energy production in La Plata Basin
    • Popescu I, Brandimarte L, Peviani M (2014) Effects of climate change over energy production in La Plata Basin. Int J River Basin Manag. doi:10.1080/15715124.2014.917317
    • (2014) Int J River Basin Manag
    • Popescu, I.1    Brandimarte, L.2    Peviani, M.3
  • 187
    • 85024407776 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Chapter 7: food security and food production systems. IPCC 2014: climate change 2014: impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability. Contribution of working group II to the fifth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. Final draft. IPCC AR5 WGII, Cambridge University Press
    • Porter JR, Liyong X, Challinor A, Cochrane K, Howden M, Iqbal MM, Lobell D, Travasso MI (2014) Chapter 7: food security and food production systems. IPCC 2014: climate change 2014: impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability. Contribution of working group II to the fifth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. Final draft. IPCC AR5 WGII, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp 1–82
    • (2014) Cambridge , pp. 1-82
    • Porter, J.R.1    Liyong, X.2    Challinor, A.3    Cochrane, K.4    Howden, M.5    Iqbal, M.M.6    Lobell, D.7    Travasso, M.I.8
  • 188
    • 84880873781 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Impact of climate change on renewable groundwater resources: assessing the benefits of avoided greenhouse gas emissions using selected CMIP5 climate projections
    • Portmann FT, Döll P, Eisner S, Flörke M (2013) Impact of climate change on renewable groundwater resources: assessing the benefits of avoided greenhouse gas emissions using selected CMIP5 climate projections. Environ Res Lett 8:1–14. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/8/2/024023
    • (2013) Environ Res Lett , vol.8 , pp. 1-14
    • Portmann, F.T.1    Döll, P.2    Eisner, S.3    Flörke, M.4
  • 191
    • 73449114972 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Advances in geosciences reassessment of Colombia’s tropical glaciers retreat rates: are they bound to disappear during the 2010–2020 decade?
    • Poveda G, Pineda K (2010) Advances in geosciences reassessment of Colombia’s tropical glaciers retreat rates: are they bound to disappear during the 2010–2020 decade? Adv Geosci 22:107–116
    • (2010) Adv Geosci , vol.22 , pp. 107-116
    • Poveda, G.1    Pineda, K.2
  • 192
    • 0034918594 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Seasonality in ENSO-related precipitation, river discharges, soil moisture, and vegetation index in Colombia
    • Poveda G, Jaramillo A, Gil MM, Quiceno N, Mantilla RI (2001) Seasonality in ENSO-related precipitation, river discharges, soil moisture, and vegetation index in Colombia. Water Resour Res 37:2169–2178
    • (2001) Water Resour Res , vol.37 , pp. 2169-2178
    • Poveda, G.1    Jaramillo, A.2    Gil, M.M.3    Quiceno, N.4    Mantilla, R.I.5
  • 193
    • 84886945913 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Robust twenty-first-century projections of El Niño and related precipitation variability
    • COI: 1:CAS:528:DC%2BC3sXhs1Kqs7jJ
    • Power S, Delage F, Chung C, Kociuba G, Keay K (2013) Robust twenty-first-century projections of El Niño and related precipitation variability. Nature 502:541–545. doi:10.1038/nature12580
    • (2013) Nature , vol.502 , pp. 541-545
    • Power, S.1    Delage, F.2    Chung, C.3    Kociuba, G.4    Keay, K.5
  • 196
    • 84891624546 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Regional and global projections of twenty-first century glacier mass changes in response to climate scenarios from global climate models
    • Radić V, Bliss A, Beedlow AC, Hock R, Miles E, Cogley JG (2013) Regional and global projections of twenty-first century glacier mass changes in response to climate scenarios from global climate models. Clim Dyn 142:37–58. doi:10.1007/s00382-013-1719-7
    • (2013) Clim Dyn , vol.142 , pp. 37-58
    • Radić, V.1    Bliss, A.2    Beedlow, A.C.3    Hock, R.4    Miles, E.5    Cogley, J.G.6
  • 198
    • 85024395595 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Poverty and inequality: Latin American report
    • RIMISP, Santiago
    • RIMISP (2011) Poverty and inequality: Latin American report. Latin American Center for Rural Development (RIMISP), Santiago
    • (2011) Latin American Center for Rural Development
  • 203
    • 35948957013 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Regional climate change over eastern Amazonia caused by pasture and soybean cropland expansion
    • Sampaio G, Nobre C, Costa MH, Satyamurty P, Soares-Filho BS, Cardoso M (2007) Regional climate change over eastern Amazonia caused by pasture and soybean cropland expansion. Geophys Res Lett 34:L17709. doi:10.1029/2007GL030612
    • (2007) Geophys Res Lett , vol.34 , pp. L17709
    • Sampaio, G.1    Nobre, C.2    Costa, M.H.3    Satyamurty, P.4    Soares-Filho, B.S.5    Cardoso, M.6
  • 204
    • 84880757963 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling past and future surface mass balance of the Northern Patagonia Icefield
    • Schaefer M, Machguth H, Falvey M, Casassa G (2013) Modeling past and future surface mass balance of the Northern Patagonia Icefield. J Geophys Res Earth Surf 118:571–588. doi:10.1002/jgrf.20038
    • (2013) J Geophys Res Earth Surf , vol.118 , pp. 571-588
    • Schaefer, M.1    Machguth, H.2    Falvey, M.3    Casassa, G.4
  • 207
    • 84861917557 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dispersal will limit ability of mammals to track climate change in the Western Hemisphere
    • COI: 1:CAS:528:DC%2BC38XoslKhuro%3D
    • Schloss CA, Nunez TA, Lawler JJ (2012) Dispersal will limit ability of mammals to track climate change in the Western Hemisphere. Proc Natl Acad Sci 109:8606–8611. doi:10.1073/pnas.1116791109
    • (2012) Proc Natl Acad Sci , vol.109 , pp. 8606-8611
    • Schloss, C.A.1    Nunez, T.A.2    Lawler, J.J.3
  • 208
    • 77957008370 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • From beef cattle to sheep under global warming? An analysis of adaptation by livestock species choice in South America
    • Seo SN, McCarl BA, Mendelsohn R (2010) From beef cattle to sheep under global warming? An analysis of adaptation by livestock species choice in South America. Ecol Econ 69:2486–2494. doi:10.1016/j.ecolecon.2010.07.025
    • (2010) Ecol Econ , vol.69 , pp. 2486-2494
    • Seo, S.N.1    McCarl, B.A.2    Mendelsohn, R.3
  • 209
    • 44249104703 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessing the effects of climate change on the hydrological regime of the Limay River basin
    • Seoane R, López P (2007) Assessing the effects of climate change on the hydrological regime of the Limay River basin. GeoJournal 70:251–256. doi:10.1007/s10708-008-9138-8
    • (2007) GeoJournal , vol.70 , pp. 251-256
    • Seoane, R.1    López, P.2
  • 210
    • 84886598073 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Impacts of, and adaptation options to, extreme weather events and climate change concerning thermal power plants
    • Sieber J (2013) Impacts of, and adaptation options to, extreme weather events and climate change concerning thermal power plants. Clim Change 121:55–66. doi:10.1007/s10584-013-0915-0
    • (2013) Clim Change , vol.121 , pp. 55-66
    • Sieber, J.1
  • 211
    • 84878120039 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate extremes indices in the CMIP5 multimodel ensemble: part 1. Model evaluation in the present climate
    • Sillmann J, Kharin VV, Zhang X, Zwiers FW, Bronaugh D (2013a) Climate extremes indices in the CMIP5 multimodel ensemble: part 1. Model evaluation in the present climate. J Geophys Res Atmos 118:1716–1733. doi:10.1002/jgrd.50203
    • (2013) J Geophys Res Atmos , vol.118 , pp. 1716-1733
    • Sillmann, J.1    Kharin, V.V.2    Zhang, X.3    Zwiers, F.W.4    Bronaugh, D.5
  • 212
    • 84879050363 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate extremes indices in the CMIP5 multimodel ensemble: part 2. Future climate projections
    • Sillmann J, Kharin VV, Zhang X, Zwiers FW, Bronaugh D (2013b) Climate extremes indices in the CMIP5 multimodel ensemble: part 2. Future climate projections. J Geophys Res Atmos 118:2473–2493. doi:10.1002/jgrd.50188
    • (2013) J Geophys Res Atmos , vol.118 , pp. 2473-2493
    • Sillmann, J.1    Kharin, V.V.2    Zhang, X.3    Zwiers, F.W.4    Bronaugh, D.5
  • 214
    • 84879487238 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effects of global climate changes on geographical distribution patterns of economically important plant species in Cerrado
    • Simon LM, Oliveira G, Barreto BS, Nabout JC, Rangel TFLVB, Diniz-Filho JAF (2013) Effects of global climate changes on geographical distribution patterns of economically important plant species in Cerrado. Viçosa-MG 37:267–274
    • (2013) Viçosa-MG , vol.37 , pp. 267-274
    • Simon, L.M.1    Oliveira, G.2    Barreto, B.S.3    Nabout, J.C.4    Rangel, T.F.L.V.B.5    Diniz-Filho, J.A.F.6
  • 215
    • 84905612698 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change’s impact on the Caribbean’s ability to sustain tourism, natural assets
    • Inter-American Development Bank, Washington, DC
    • Simpson M, Scott D, Trotz U (2011) Climate change’s impact on the Caribbean’s ability to sustain tourism, natural assets, and livelihoods. Inter-American Development Bank, Washington, DC
    • (2011) and livelihoods
    • Simpson, M.1    Scott, D.2    Trotz, U.3
  • 217
    • 84896793962 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Altitudinal changes in malaria incidence in highlands of Ethiopia and Colombia
    • COI: 1:CAS:528:DC%2BC2cXjsVegsL4%3D
    • Siraj AS, Santos-Vega M, Bouma MJ, Yadeta D, Carrascal DR, Pascual M (2014) Altitudinal changes in malaria incidence in highlands of Ethiopia and Colombia. Science 343:1154–1158
    • (2014) Science , vol.343 , pp. 1154-1158
    • Siraj, A.S.1    Santos-Vega, M.2    Bouma, M.J.3    Yadeta, D.4    Carrascal, D.R.5    Pascual, M.6
  • 220
    • 84864082534 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Redistribution of threatened and endemic atlantic forest birds under climate change
    • Souza TV, Lorini ML, Alves MAS, Cordeiro P, Vale MM (2011) Redistribution of threatened and endemic atlantic forest birds under climate change. Nat Conserv 9:214–218. doi:10.4322/natcon.2011.028
    • (2011) Nat Conserv , vol.9 , pp. 214-218
    • Souza, T.V.1    Lorini, M.L.2    Alves, M.A.S.3    Cordeiro, P.4    Vale, M.M.5
  • 222
    • 80054708450 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The economic growth impact of natural disasters in developing countries: evidence from hurricane strikes in the Central American and Caribbean regions
    • Strobl E (2012) The economic growth impact of natural disasters in developing countries: evidence from hurricane strikes in the Central American and Caribbean regions. J Dev Econ 97:130–141. doi:10.1016/j.jdeveco.2010.12.002
    • (2012) J Dev Econ , vol.97 , pp. 130-141
    • Strobl, E.1
  • 225
    • 77955189922 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Wind effects on past and future regional sea level trends in the Southern Indo-Pacific
    • Timmermann A, McGregor S, Jin F-F (2010) Wind effects on past and future regional sea level trends in the Southern Indo-Pacific. J Clim 23:4429–4437. doi:10.1175/2010JCLI3519.1
    • (2010) J Clim , vol.23 , pp. 4429-4437
    • Timmermann, A.1    McGregor, S.2    Jin, F.-F.3
  • 226
    • 84869886891 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling potential impacts of climate change on the bioclimatic envelope and conservation of the Maned Wolf (Chrysocyon brachyurus)
    • Torres R, Pablo Jayat J, Pacheco S (2012) Modelling potential impacts of climate change on the bioclimatic envelope and conservation of the Maned Wolf (Chrysocyon brachyurus). Mamm Biol - Zeitschrift für Säugetierkd 78:41–49. doi:10.1016/j.mambio.2012.04.008
    • (2012) Mamm Biol - Zeitschrift für Säugetierkd , vol.78 , pp. 41-49
    • Torres, R.1    Pablo Jayat, J.2    Pacheco, S.3
  • 227
    • 84890136036 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Projected changes in late-twenty-first-century tropical cyclone frequency in 13 coupled climate models from phase 5 of the coupled model intercomparison project
    • Tory KJ, Chand SS, McBride JL, Ye H, Dare RA (2013) Projected changes in late-twenty-first-century tropical cyclone frequency in 13 coupled climate models from phase 5 of the coupled model intercomparison project. J Clim 26:9946–9959. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00010.1
    • (2013) J Clim , vol.26 , pp. 9946-9959
    • Tory, K.J.1    Chand, S.S.2    McBride, J.L.3    Ye, H.4    Dare, R.A.5
  • 230
    • 84877046834 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Temporary refugia for coral reefs in a warming world
    • Van Hooidonk R, Maynard JA, Planes S (2013) Temporary refugia for coral reefs in a warming world. Nat Clim Chang 3:508–511. doi:10.1038/nclimate1829
    • (2013) Nat Clim Chang , vol.3 , pp. 508-511
    • Van Hooidonk, R.1    Maynard, J.A.2    Planes, S.3
  • 231
    • 1242344209 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change and malaria: analysis of the SRES climate and socio-economic scenarios
    • Van Lieshout M, Kovats RS, Livermore MTJ, Martens P (2004) Climate change and malaria: analysis of the SRES climate and socio-economic scenarios. Glob Environ Chang 14:87–99. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2003.10.009
    • (2004) Glob Environ Chang , vol.14 , pp. 87-99
    • Van Lieshout, M.1    Kovats, R.S.2    Livermore, M.T.J.3    Martens, P.4
  • 234
    • 84887126552 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Exploring possible connections between hydrological extreme events and climate change in central south Chile
    • Vicuña S, Gironás J, Meza FJ, Cruzat ML, Jelinek M, Bustos E, Poblete D, Bambach N (2013) Exploring possible connections between hydrological extreme events and climate change in central south Chile. Hydrol Sci J 58:1598–1619. doi:10.1080/02626667.2013.840380
    • (2013) Hydrol Sci J , vol.58 , pp. 1598-1619
    • Vicuña, S.1    Gironás, J.2    Meza, F.J.3    Cruzat, M.L.4    Jelinek, M.5    Bustos, E.6    Poblete, D.7    Bambach, N.8
  • 235
    • 84877673214 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Projected increases in North Atlantic tropical cyclone intensity from CMIP5 models
    • Villarini G, Vecchi GA (2013) Projected increases in North Atlantic tropical cyclone intensity from CMIP5 models. J Clim 26:3231–3240. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00441.1
    • (2013) J Clim , vol.26 , pp. 3231-3240
    • Villarini, G.1    Vecchi, G.A.2
  • 238
    • 33846036363 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The future of vascular plant diversity under four global scenarios
    • Vuuren DP, Sala OE, Pereira HM (2006) The future of vascular plant diversity under four global scenarios. Ecol Soc 11:25
    • (2006) Ecol Soc , vol.11 , pp. 25
    • Vuuren, D.P.1    Sala, O.E.2    Pereira, H.M.3
  • 239
    • 84888028325 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate changes of Atlantic tropical cyclone formation derived from twentieth-century reanalysis
    • Wang R, Wu L (2013) Climate changes of Atlantic tropical cyclone formation derived from twentieth-century reanalysis. J Clim 26:8995–9005. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00056.1
    • (2013) J Clim , vol.26 , pp. 8995-9005
    • Wang, R.1    Wu, L.2
  • 241
    • 84895814507 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISI-MIP): project framework
    • COI: 1:CAS:528:DC%2BC2cXjtl2gsbY%3D
    • Warszawski L, Frieler K, Huber V, Piontek F, Serdeczny O, Schewe J (2014) The Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISI-MIP): project framework. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 111:3228–3232. doi:10.1073/pnas.1312330110
    • (2014) Proc Natl Acad Sci USA , vol.111 , pp. 3228-3232
    • Warszawski, L.1    Frieler, K.2    Huber, V.3    Piontek, F.4    Serdeczny, O.5    Schewe, J.6
  • 242
    • 84889606711 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Coastal flooding by tropical cyclones and sea-level rise
    • COI: 1:CAS:528:DC%2BC3sXhvVyisb%2FJ
    • Woodruff JD, Irish JL, Camargo SJ (2013) Coastal flooding by tropical cyclones and sea-level rise. Nature 504:44–52. doi:10.1038/nature12855
    • (2013) Nature , vol.504 , pp. 44-52
    • Woodruff, J.D.1    Irish, J.L.2    Camargo, S.J.3
  • 243
    • 85024379475 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Population dynamics
    • World Bank (2014a) Population dynamics. World Development Indicators. http://wdi.worldbank.org/table/2. Accessed 05 Jan 2014
    • (2014) World Development Indicators
  • 244
    • 85024381805 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Structure of output
    • World Bank (2014b) Structure of output. World Development Indicators. http://wdi.worldbank.org/table/4.2. Accessed 05 Jan 2014
    • (2014) World Development Indicators
  • 245
    • 85024373331 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Size of the economy
    • World Bank (2014c) Size of the economy. World Development Indicators. http://wdi.worldbank.org/table/1.1. Accessed 05 Jan 2014
    • (2014) World Development Indicators
  • 246
    • 85024386156 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Social gains in the balance—a fiscal policy challenge for Latin America and the Caribbean. LAC Poverty and Labor Brief (February), World Bank, Washington, DC. doi: 10.1596/978-1-4648-0291-1
    • World Bank (2014d) Social gains in the balance—a fiscal policy challenge for Latin America and the Caribbean. LAC Poverty and Labor Brief (February), World Bank, Washington, DC. doi: 10.1596/978-1-4648-0291-1. License: Creative Commons Attribution CC BY 3.0 IGO
    • (2014) License: Creative Commons Attribution CC BY 3.0 IGO
  • 248
    • 81555195661 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Potential for growing Arabica coffee in the extreme south of Brazil in a warmer world
    • Zullo J, Pinto HS, Assad ED, Ávila AMH (2011) Potential for growing Arabica coffee in the extreme south of Brazil in a warmer world. Clim Change 109:535–548. doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0058-0
    • (2011) Clim Change , vol.109 , pp. 535-548
    • Zullo, J.1    Pinto, H.S.2    Assad, E.D.3    Ávila, A.M.H.4


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.