-
1
-
-
0008738183
-
Expert judgement and the Montserrat Volcano eruption
-
A. Mosleh, R.A. Bari (Eds.)
-
Aspinall W., Cooke R. Expert judgement and the Montserrat Volcano eruption. Proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management PSAM4, September 13th-18th. New York, USA 1998, 2113-2118. A. Mosleh, R.A. Bari (Eds.).
-
(1998)
Proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management PSAM4, September 13th-18th. New York, USA
, pp. 2113-2118
-
-
Aspinall, W.1
Cooke, R.2
-
2
-
-
80052865858
-
The Montserrat Volcano Observatory; its evolution, organization, role and activities
-
The Geological Society of London, London, UK, T.H. Druit, B.P. Kokelaar (Eds.)
-
Aspinall W., Loughlin S.C., Michael F.V., Miller A.D., Norton G.E., Rowley K.C., Sparks R.S.J., Young S.R. The Montserrat Volcano Observatory; its evolution, organization, role and activities. The Eruption of Soufriere Hills Volcano, Montserrat From 1995 to 1999 2002, 71-91. The Geological Society of London, London, UK. T.H. Druit, B.P. Kokelaar (Eds.).
-
(2002)
The Eruption of Soufriere Hills Volcano, Montserrat From 1995 to 1999
, pp. 71-91
-
-
Aspinall, W.1
Loughlin, S.C.2
Michael, F.V.3
Miller, A.D.4
Norton, G.E.5
Rowley, K.C.6
Sparks, R.S.J.7
Young, S.R.8
-
3
-
-
0028004107
-
Designing risk communications: completing and correcting mental models of hazardous processes, part I
-
Atman C.J., Bostrom A., Fischhoff B., Morgan M.G. Designing risk communications: completing and correcting mental models of hazardous processes, part I. Risk Anal. 1994, 14(5):779-788.
-
(1994)
Risk Anal.
, vol.14
, Issue.5
, pp. 779-788
-
-
Atman, C.J.1
Bostrom, A.2
Fischhoff, B.3
Morgan, M.G.4
-
4
-
-
57149099571
-
Emergency planning and mitigation at Vesuvius: a new evidence-based approach
-
Baxter P.J., Aspinall W.P., Neri A., Zuccaro G., Spence R.J.S., Cioni R., Woo G. Emergency planning and mitigation at Vesuvius: a new evidence-based approach. J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res. 2008, 178:454-473.
-
(2008)
J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res.
, vol.178
, pp. 454-473
-
-
Baxter, P.J.1
Aspinall, W.P.2
Neri, A.3
Zuccaro, G.4
Spence, R.J.S.5
Cioni, R.6
Woo, G.7
-
5
-
-
0030424051
-
Statistical analysis of New Zealand volcanic occurrence data
-
Bebbington M.S., Lai C.D. Statistical analysis of New Zealand volcanic occurrence data. J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res. 1996, 74:101-110.
-
(1996)
J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res.
, vol.74
, pp. 101-110
-
-
Bebbington, M.S.1
Lai, C.D.2
-
7
-
-
0036735970
-
Individual and group learning in crisis simulations
-
Borodzicz E., van Haperen K. Individual and group learning in crisis simulations. J. Conting. Crisis Manag. 2002, 10(3):139-147.
-
(2002)
J. Conting. Crisis Manag.
, vol.10
, Issue.3
, pp. 139-147
-
-
Borodzicz, E.1
van Haperen, K.2
-
8
-
-
84892638794
-
Putting seismic risk and uncertainty on the map, a response to Pang's paper "Visualising uncertainty in natural hazards"
-
Springer Verlag, Berlin, A. Bostrom, S. French, S. Gottlieb (Eds.) Risk Assessment, Modeling and Decision Support
-
Bostrom A. Putting seismic risk and uncertainty on the map, a response to Pang's paper "Visualising uncertainty in natural hazards". Volume 14 of Risk, Governance and Society 2008, 14:306-310. Springer Verlag, Berlin. A. Bostrom, S. French, S. Gottlieb (Eds.).
-
(2008)
Volume 14 of Risk, Governance and Society
, vol.14
, pp. 306-310
-
-
Bostrom, A.1
-
9
-
-
84979347301
-
Characterizing mental models of hazardous processes: a methodology and an application to radon
-
Bostrom A., Fischhoff B., Granger Morgan M. Characterizing mental models of hazardous processes: a methodology and an application to radon. J. Soc. Issues 1992, 48(4):85-100.
-
(1992)
J. Soc. Issues
, vol.48
, Issue.4
, pp. 85-100
-
-
Bostrom, A.1
Fischhoff, B.2
Granger Morgan, M.3
-
10
-
-
0000792169
-
Verbal and numerical expressions of probability: "It's a fifty-fifty chance."
-
Bruine De Bruin W.B., Fischhoff B., Millstein S.G., Halpern-Felsher B.L. Verbal and numerical expressions of probability: "It's a fifty-fifty chance.". Organ. Behav. Hum. Decis. Process. 2000, 81(1):115-131.
-
(2000)
Organ. Behav. Hum. Decis. Process.
, vol.81
, Issue.1
, pp. 115-131
-
-
Bruine De Bruin, W.B.1
Fischhoff, B.2
Millstein, S.G.3
Halpern-Felsher, B.L.4
-
11
-
-
38249029666
-
Verbal probabilities: ambiguous, context-dependent, or both?
-
Brun W., Teigen K.H. Verbal probabilities: ambiguous, context-dependent, or both?. Organ. Behav. Hum. Decis. Process. 1988, 41:390-404.
-
(1988)
Organ. Behav. Hum. Decis. Process.
, vol.41
, pp. 390-404
-
-
Brun, W.1
Teigen, K.H.2
-
12
-
-
0038458649
-
Predicting the directionality of probability words from their membership functions
-
Budescu D.V., Karelitz T.M., Wallsten T.S. Predicting the directionality of probability words from their membership functions. J. Behav. Decis. Mak. 2003, 16(3):159-180.
-
(2003)
J. Behav. Decis. Mak.
, vol.16
, Issue.3
, pp. 159-180
-
-
Budescu, D.V.1
Karelitz, T.M.2
Wallsten, T.S.3
-
13
-
-
62349083045
-
Improving communication of uncertainty in the reports of the intergovernmental panel on climate change
-
Budescu D.V., Broomell S., Por H.-H. Improving communication of uncertainty in the reports of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. Psychol. Sci. 2009, 20(3):299-308.
-
(2009)
Psychol. Sci.
, vol.20
, Issue.3
, pp. 299-308
-
-
Budescu, D.V.1
Broomell, S.2
Por, H.-H.3
-
14
-
-
0002729678
-
Training decision makers for complex environments: implications of the naturalistic decision making perspective
-
Lawrence Erlbaum Associates, Mahwah, NJ, C.E. Zsambok, G. Klein (Eds.)
-
Cannon-Bowers J.A., Bell H.E. Training decision makers for complex environments: implications of the naturalistic decision making perspective. Naturalistic Decision Making 1997, 99-110. Lawrence Erlbaum Associates, Mahwah, NJ. C.E. Zsambok, G. Klein (Eds.).
-
(1997)
Naturalistic Decision Making
, pp. 99-110
-
-
Cannon-Bowers, J.A.1
Bell, H.E.2
-
15
-
-
57149116626
-
What is the probability of explosive eruption at a long-dormant volcano?
-
Geological Society, London, H.M. Mader, S.G. Coles, C.B. Connor, L.J. Connor (Eds.) Statistics in Volcanology
-
Connor C.B., McBirney A.R., Furlan C. What is the probability of explosive eruption at a long-dormant volcano?. Special Publications of IAVCEI 2006, 1:39-46. Geological Society, London. H.M. Mader, S.G. Coles, C.B. Connor, L.J. Connor (Eds.).
-
(2006)
Special Publications of IAVCEI
, vol.1
, pp. 39-46
-
-
Connor, C.B.1
McBirney, A.R.2
Furlan, C.3
-
16
-
-
0042123195
-
Are humans good intuitive statisticians after all? Rethinking some conclusions from the literature on judgment under uncertainty
-
Cosmides L., Tooby J. Are humans good intuitive statisticians after all? Rethinking some conclusions from the literature on judgment under uncertainty. Cognition 1996, 58(1):1-73.
-
(1996)
Cognition
, vol.58
, Issue.1
, pp. 1-73
-
-
Cosmides, L.1
Tooby, J.2
-
17
-
-
77950030118
-
Critical incident management simulation
-
Ashgate Publishing Limited, Aldershot, England, R. Flin (Ed.)
-
Crego J., Spinks T. Critical incident management simulation. Decision Making Under Stress: Emerging Themes and Applications 1997, 85-94. Ashgate Publishing Limited, Aldershot, England. R. Flin (Ed.).
-
(1997)
Decision Making Under Stress: Emerging Themes and Applications
, pp. 85-94
-
-
Crego, J.1
Spinks, T.2
-
18
-
-
22044435824
-
Command decision making
-
Ashgate Publishing Limited, Aldershot, England, R. Flin, K. Arbuthnot (Eds.)
-
Crichton M., Flin R. Command decision making. Incident Command: Tales from the Hot Seat 2002, 201-238. Ashgate Publishing Limited, Aldershot, England. R. Flin, K. Arbuthnot (Eds.).
-
(2002)
Incident Command: Tales from the Hot Seat
, pp. 201-238
-
-
Crichton, M.1
Flin, R.2
-
19
-
-
77952879394
-
The Auckland Volcano Scientific Advisory Group during Exercise Ruaumoko: observations and recommendations
-
Auckland Regional Council, Auckland
-
Cronin S.J. The Auckland Volcano Scientific Advisory Group during Exercise Ruaumoko: observations and recommendations. Civil Defence Emergency Management: Exercise Ruaumoko 2008, Auckland Regional Council, Auckland.
-
(2008)
Civil Defence Emergency Management: Exercise Ruaumoko
-
-
Cronin, S.J.1
-
20
-
-
33645065899
-
Interpersonal comparison of subjective probabilities: toward translating linguistic probabilities
-
Dhami M.K., Wallsten T.S. Interpersonal comparison of subjective probabilities: toward translating linguistic probabilities. Mem. Cogn. 2005, 33(6):1057-1068.
-
(2005)
Mem. Cogn.
, vol.33
, Issue.6
, pp. 1057-1068
-
-
Dhami, M.K.1
Wallsten, T.S.2
-
21
-
-
77954093303
-
The effects of presenting imprecise probabilities in intelligence forecasts
-
Dieckmann N.F., Mauro R., Slovic P. The effects of presenting imprecise probabilities in intelligence forecasts. Risk Anal. 2010, 30(6):987-1001.
-
(2010)
Risk Anal.
, vol.30
, Issue.6
, pp. 987-1001
-
-
Dieckmann, N.F.1
Mauro, R.2
Slovic, P.3
-
22
-
-
84866489167
-
The use of belief-based probabilistic methods in volcanology: scientists' views and implications for risk assessments
-
Donovan A., Oppenheimer C., Bravo M. The use of belief-based probabilistic methods in volcanology: scientists' views and implications for risk assessments. J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res. 2012, 247-248:168-180.
-
(2012)
J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res.
, pp. 168-180
-
-
Donovan, A.1
Oppenheimer, C.2
Bravo, M.3
-
23
-
-
84857567778
-
Science advice for critical decision-making
-
Charles C Thomas, Springfield, Illinois, USA, D. Paton, J. Violanti (Eds.)
-
Doyle E.E., Johnston D.M. Science advice for critical decision-making. Working in High Risk Environments: Developing Sustained Resilience 2011, 69-92. Charles C Thomas, Springfield, Illinois, USA. D. Paton, J. Violanti (Eds.).
-
(2011)
Working in High Risk Environments: Developing Sustained Resilience
, pp. 69-92
-
-
Doyle, E.E.1
Johnston, D.M.2
-
24
-
-
84857582504
-
The communication of uncertain scientific advice during natural hazard events
-
Doyle E.E.H., Johnston D.M., McClure J., Paton M. The communication of uncertain scientific advice during natural hazard events. N. Z. J. Psychol. 2011, 40(4):39-50.
-
(2011)
N. Z. J. Psychol.
, vol.40
, Issue.4
, pp. 39-50
-
-
Doyle, E.E.H.1
Johnston, D.M.2
McClure, J.3
Paton, M.4
-
25
-
-
84872870604
-
Risk interpretation and action: a conceptual framework for responses to natural hazards
-
Eiser J.R., Bostrom A., Burton I., Johnston D.M., McClure J., Paton D., van der Pligt J., White M.P. Risk interpretation and action: a conceptual framework for responses to natural hazards. Int. J. Disaster Risk Reduct. 2012, 1:5-16.
-
(2012)
Int. J. Disaster Risk Reduct.
, vol.1
, pp. 5-16
-
-
Eiser, J.R.1
Bostrom, A.2
Burton, I.3
Johnston, D.M.4
McClure, J.5
Paton, D.6
van der Pligt, J.7
White, M.P.8
-
26
-
-
0002913377
-
The role of situation awareness in naturalistic decision making
-
Lawrence Erlbaum Associates, Mahwah, NJ, C.E. Zsambok, G. Klein (Eds.)
-
Endsley M.R. The role of situation awareness in naturalistic decision making. Naturalistic Decision Making 1997, 269-284. Lawrence Erlbaum Associates, Mahwah, NJ. C.E. Zsambok, G. Klein (Eds.).
-
(1997)
Naturalistic Decision Making
, pp. 269-284
-
-
Endsley, M.R.1
-
27
-
-
0000427307
-
Lay foibles and expert fables in judgements about risk
-
Fischhoff B., Slovic P., Lichtenstein S. Lay foibles and expert fables in judgements about risk. Am. Stat. 1982, 36(3):240-255.
-
(1982)
Am. Stat.
, vol.36
, Issue.3
, pp. 240-255
-
-
Fischhoff, B.1
Slovic, P.2
Lichtenstein, S.3
-
28
-
-
0141596114
-
Simple tools for understanding risks: from innumeracy to insight
-
Gigerenzer G., Edwards A. Simple tools for understanding risks: from innumeracy to insight. Br. Med. J. 2003, 327(7417):741.
-
(2003)
Br. Med. J.
, vol.327
, Issue.7417
, pp. 741
-
-
Gigerenzer, G.1
Edwards, A.2
-
29
-
-
11944267218
-
How to improve Bayesian reasoning without instruction: frequency formats
-
Gigerenzer G., Hoffrage U. How to improve Bayesian reasoning without instruction: frequency formats. Psychol. Rev. 1995, 102(4):684-704.
-
(1995)
Psychol. Rev.
, vol.102
, Issue.4
, pp. 684-704
-
-
Gigerenzer, G.1
Hoffrage, U.2
-
30
-
-
0006621844
-
Overcoming difficulties in Bayesian reasoning: a reply to Lewis and Keren (1999) and Mellers and McGraw (1999)
-
Gigerenzer G., Hoffrage U. Overcoming difficulties in Bayesian reasoning: a reply to Lewis and Keren (1999) and Mellers and McGraw (1999). Psychol. Rev. 1999, 106(2):425-430.
-
(1999)
Psychol. Rev.
, vol.106
, Issue.2
, pp. 425-430
-
-
Gigerenzer, G.1
Hoffrage, U.2
-
31
-
-
23644440946
-
"A 30 % chance of rain tomorrow": how does the public understand probabilistic weather forecasts?
-
Gigerenzer G., Hertwig R., van den Broek E., Fasolo B., Katsikopoulos K.V. "A 30 % chance of rain tomorrow": how does the public understand probabilistic weather forecasts?. Risk Anal. 2005, 25(3).
-
(2005)
Risk Anal.
, vol.25
, Issue.3
-
-
Gigerenzer, G.1
Hertwig, R.2
van den Broek, E.3
Fasolo, B.4
Katsikopoulos, K.V.5
-
33
-
-
43049102745
-
Whose reality counts? Factors affecting the perception of volcanic risk
-
Haynes K., Barclay J., Pidgeon N. Whose reality counts? Factors affecting the perception of volcanic risk. J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res. 2008, 172(3-4):259-272.
-
(2008)
J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res.
, vol.172
, Issue.3-4
, pp. 259-272
-
-
Haynes, K.1
Barclay, J.2
Pidgeon, N.3
-
34
-
-
73849085788
-
Crisis and risk approaches to emergency management planning and communication: the role of similarity and sensitivity
-
Heath R., Lee J., Ni L. Crisis and risk approaches to emergency management planning and communication: the role of similarity and sensitivity. J. Public Relat. Res. 2009, 21(2):123-141.
-
(2009)
J. Public Relat. Res.
, vol.21
, Issue.2
, pp. 123-141
-
-
Heath, R.1
Lee, J.2
Ni, L.3
-
35
-
-
33747816519
-
Directional verbal probabilities
-
Honda H., Yamagishi K. Directional verbal probabilities. Exp. Psychol. 2006, 53(3):161-170.
-
(2006)
Exp. Psychol.
, vol.53
, Issue.3
, pp. 161-170
-
-
Honda, H.1
Yamagishi, K.2
-
36
-
-
0038610460
-
-
Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, U.K.
-
Houghton J.T., Ding Y., Griggs D.J., Noguer M., van Der Linden P.J., Dai X., Maskell K., Johnson C.A. Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis - Cambridge University Press 2002, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, U.K.
-
(2002)
Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis - Cambridge University Press
-
-
Houghton, J.T.1
Ding, Y.2
Griggs, D.J.3
Noguer, M.4
van Der Linden, P.J.5
Dai, X.6
Maskell, K.7
Johnson, C.A.8
-
37
-
-
0032892540
-
Professional conduct of scientists during volcanic crises
-
IAVCEI Subcomittee for Crisis Protocols
-
IAVCEI Subcomittee for Crisis Protocols Professional conduct of scientists during volcanic crises. Bull. Volcanol. 1999, 60:323-334.
-
(1999)
Bull. Volcanol.
, vol.60
, pp. 323-334
-
-
-
38
-
-
84892651151
-
Random assignment
-
Sage Publications, Thousand Oaks, CA, M.S. Lewis-Beck, A. Bryman, T. Futing Liao (Eds.)
-
Iversen G., Brown S., Melamed L., Cobb G., Fisher R. Random assignment. The SAGE Encyclopedia of Social Science Research Methods 2004, 908-909. Sage Publications, Thousand Oaks, CA. M.S. Lewis-Beck, A. Bryman, T. Futing Liao (Eds.).
-
(2004)
The SAGE Encyclopedia of Social Science Research Methods
, pp. 908-909
-
-
Iversen, G.1
Brown, S.2
Melamed, L.3
Cobb, G.4
Fisher, R.5
-
40
-
-
70349430011
-
Probability or frequency? Expressing forecast uncertainty in public weather forecasts
-
Joslyn S.L., Nichols R.M. Probability or frequency? Expressing forecast uncertainty in public weather forecasts. Meteorol. Appl. 2009, 16(3):309-314.
-
(2009)
Meteorol. Appl.
, vol.16
, Issue.3
, pp. 309-314
-
-
Joslyn, S.L.1
Nichols, R.M.2
-
41
-
-
60149110324
-
The effects of wording on the understanding and use of uncertainty information in a threshold forecasting decision
-
Joslyn S.L., Nadav-Greenberg L., Taing M.U., Nichols R.M. The effects of wording on the understanding and use of uncertainty information in a threshold forecasting decision. Appl. Cogn. Psychol. 2009, 23(1):55-72.
-
(2009)
Appl. Cogn. Psychol.
, vol.23
, Issue.1
, pp. 55-72
-
-
Joslyn, S.L.1
Nadav-Greenberg, L.2
Taing, M.U.3
Nichols, R.M.4
-
42
-
-
1842477642
-
You say "probable" and I say "likely": improving interpersonal communication with verbal probability phrases
-
Karelitz T.M., Budescu D.V. You say "probable" and I say "likely": improving interpersonal communication with verbal probability phrases. J. Exp. Psychol. Appl. 2004, 10(1):25-41.
-
(2004)
J. Exp. Psychol. Appl.
, vol.10
, Issue.1
, pp. 25-41
-
-
Karelitz, T.M.1
Budescu, D.V.2
-
43
-
-
0041022383
-
The influence of framing on risky decisions: a meta-analysis
-
Kuhberger A. The influence of framing on risky decisions: a meta-analysis. Organ. Behav. Hum. Decis. Process. 1998, 75(1):23-55.
-
(1998)
Organ. Behav. Hum. Decis. Process.
, vol.75
, Issue.1
, pp. 23-55
-
-
Kuhberger, A.1
-
44
-
-
0000013312
-
All frames are not created equal: a typology and critical analysis of framing effects
-
Levin I.P., Schneider S.L., Gaeth G.J. All frames are not created equal: a typology and critical analysis of framing effects. Organ. Behav. Hum. Decis. Process. 1998, 76(2):149-188.
-
(1998)
Organ. Behav. Hum. Decis. Process.
, vol.76
, Issue.2
, pp. 149-188
-
-
Levin, I.P.1
Schneider, S.L.2
Gaeth, G.J.3
-
45
-
-
77952876482
-
Towards real-time eruption forecasting in the Auckland Volcanic Field: application of BET_EF during the New Zealand National Disaster Exercise "Ruaumoko."
-
Lindsay J., Marzocchi W., Jolly G., Constantinescu R., Selva J., Sandri L. Towards real-time eruption forecasting in the Auckland Volcanic Field: application of BET_EF during the New Zealand National Disaster Exercise "Ruaumoko.". Bull. Volcanol. 2009, 72(2):185-204.
-
(2009)
Bull. Volcanol.
, vol.72
, Issue.2
, pp. 185-204
-
-
Lindsay, J.1
Marzocchi, W.2
Jolly, G.3
Constantinescu, R.4
Selva, J.5
Sandri, L.6
-
46
-
-
35148880584
-
Numeric, verbal, and visual formats of conveying health risks: suggested best practices and future recommendations
-
Lipkus I.M. Numeric, verbal, and visual formats of conveying health risks: suggested best practices and future recommendations. Med. Decis. Making 2010, 27(5):696-713.
-
(2010)
Med. Decis. Making
, vol.27
, Issue.5
, pp. 696-713
-
-
Lipkus, I.M.1
-
47
-
-
23044528849
-
Focus article: taking stock of naturalistic decision making
-
Lipshitz R., Klein G., Orasanu J., Salas E. Focus article: taking stock of naturalistic decision making. J. Behav. Decis. Mak. 2001, 14(5):331-352.
-
(2001)
J. Behav. Decis. Mak.
, vol.14
, Issue.5
, pp. 331-352
-
-
Lipshitz, R.1
Klein, G.2
Orasanu, J.3
Salas, E.4
-
48
-
-
84892636997
-
Statistics in Volcanology
-
The Geological Society, London, England, H.M. Mader, S.G. Coles, C.B. Connor, L.J. Connor (Eds.)
-
Statistics in Volcanology. Special Publications of the International Association of Volcanology and Chemistry of the Earth's Interior 2006, 1. The Geological Society, London, England, (285 pp.). H.M. Mader, S.G. Coles, C.B. Connor, L.J. Connor (Eds.).
-
(2006)
Special Publications of the International Association of Volcanology and Chemistry of the Earth's Interior
, vol.1
, pp. 285
-
-
-
49
-
-
84859815249
-
Emergency decision making - a wider decision framework?
-
Ashgate Publishing Limited, Aldershot, England, R. Flin (Ed.)
-
Martin L., Flin R., Skriver J. Emergency decision making - a wider decision framework?. Decision Making Under Stress: Emerging Themes and Applications 1997, 280-290. Ashgate Publishing Limited, Aldershot, England. R. Flin (Ed.).
-
(1997)
Decision Making Under Stress: Emerging Themes and Applications
, pp. 280-290
-
-
Martin, L.1
Flin, R.2
Skriver, J.3
-
50
-
-
38949139805
-
Probabilistic eruption forecasting and the call for an evacuation
-
Marzocchi W., Woo G. Probabilistic eruption forecasting and the call for an evacuation. Geophys. Res. Lett. 2007, 34(22):1-4.
-
(2007)
Geophys. Res. Lett.
, vol.34
, Issue.22
, pp. 1-4
-
-
Marzocchi, W.1
Woo, G.2
-
51
-
-
67649875901
-
Principles of volcanic risk metrics: theory and the case study of Mt. Vesuvius and Campi Flegrei (Italy)
-
Marzocchi W., Woo G. Principles of volcanic risk metrics: theory and the case study of Mt. Vesuvius and Campi Flegrei (Italy). J. Geophys. Res. 2009, 114(B03213). 10.1029/2008JB005908.
-
(2009)
J. Geophys. Res.
, vol.114
, Issue.B03213
-
-
Marzocchi, W.1
Woo, G.2
-
52
-
-
14344250826
-
Quantifying probabilities of volcanic events: the example of volcanic hazard at Mount Vesuvius
-
Marzocchi W., Sandri L., Gasparinii P., Newhall C., Boschi E. Quantifying probabilities of volcanic events: the example of volcanic hazard at Mount Vesuvius. J. Geophys. Res. 2004, 109(B11201). 10.1029/2004JB003155.
-
(2004)
J. Geophys. Res.
, vol.109
, Issue.B11201
-
-
Marzocchi, W.1
Sandri, L.2
Gasparinii, P.3
Newhall, C.4
Boschi, E.5
-
53
-
-
57149085947
-
A quantitative model for volcanic hazard assessment
-
Geological Society, London, H.M. Mader, S.G. Coles, C.B. Connor, L.J. Connor (Eds.) Statistics in Volcanology
-
Marzocchi W., Sandri L., Furlan C. A quantitative model for volcanic hazard assessment. Special Publications of IAVCEI 2006, 1:31-38. Geological Society, London. H.M. Mader, S.G. Coles, C.B. Connor, L.J. Connor (Eds.).
-
(2006)
Special Publications of IAVCEI
, vol.1
, pp. 31-38
-
-
Marzocchi, W.1
Sandri, L.2
Furlan, C.3
-
55
-
-
80052139685
-
Framing effects on disaster preparation: is negative framing more effective?
-
McClure J., Sibley C.G. Framing effects on disaster preparation: is negative framing more effective?. Aust. J. Disaster Trauma Stud. 2011, 2011-1. (http://www.massey.ac.nz/trauma/issues/2011-1/mcclure.htm). 1174-4707.
-
(2011)
Aust. J. Disaster Trauma Stud.
-
-
McClure, J.1
Sibley, C.G.2
-
56
-
-
34548307399
-
Listening to reporters or engineers: how different messages about building design affect earthquake fatalism
-
McClure J., Sutton R.M., Sibley C.G. Listening to reporters or engineers: how different messages about building design affect earthquake fatalism. J. Appl. Psychol. 2007, 37:1956-1973.
-
(2007)
J. Appl. Psychol.
, vol.37
, pp. 1956-1973
-
-
McClure, J.1
Sutton, R.M.2
Sibley, C.G.3
-
57
-
-
67651006099
-
Framing effects on preparation intentions: distinguishing actions and outcomes
-
McClure J., White J., Sibley C.G. Framing effects on preparation intentions: distinguishing actions and outcomes. Disaster Prev. Manage. 2009, 18:187-199.
-
(2009)
Disaster Prev. Manage.
, vol.18
, pp. 187-199
-
-
McClure, J.1
White, J.2
Sibley, C.G.3
-
58
-
-
84857567782
-
-
MCDEM, Ministry of Civil Defence and Emergency Management, The Department of Internal Affairs, NZ, Wellington, NZ, (Accessed from
-
MCDEM Exercise Ruaumoko '08 Final Exercise Report 2008, Ministry of Civil Defence and Emergency Management, The Department of Internal Affairs, NZ, Wellington, NZ, (Accessed from http://www.civildefence.govt.nz/memwebsite.nsf/Files/National%20Exercise%20Programme/$file/ExRuaumoko-FINAL-REPORT-Aug08.pdf).
-
(2008)
Exercise Ruaumoko '08 Final Exercise Report
-
-
-
59
-
-
80051595209
-
Improving communication during volcanic crises on small, vulnerable islands
-
McGuire W.J., Solana M.C., Kilburn C.R.J., Sanderson D. Improving communication during volcanic crises on small, vulnerable islands. J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res. 2009, 183(1-2):63-75.
-
(2009)
J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res.
, vol.183
, Issue.1-2
, pp. 63-75
-
-
McGuire, W.J.1
Solana, M.C.2
Kilburn, C.R.J.3
Sanderson, D.4
-
60
-
-
0003750452
-
-
Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK
-
Morgan M.G., Fischhoff B., Bostrom A., Atman C.J. Risk Communication: A Mental Models Approach 2002, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, (351 pp.).
-
(2002)
Risk Communication: A Mental Models Approach
, pp. 351
-
-
Morgan, M.G.1
Fischhoff, B.2
Bostrom, A.3
Atman, C.J.4
-
61
-
-
65549088959
-
Communicating uncertainty in weather forecasts: a survey of the U.S. public
-
Morss R.E., Demuth J.L., Lazo J.K. Communicating uncertainty in weather forecasts: a survey of the U.S. public. Weather Forecast. 2008, 23(5):974.
-
(2008)
Weather Forecast.
, vol.23
, Issue.5
, pp. 974
-
-
Morss, R.E.1
Demuth, J.L.2
Lazo, J.K.3
-
62
-
-
0003163912
-
Uncertainties in the IPCC TAR: recommendations to lead authors for more consistent assessment and reporting
-
R. Pachauri, T. Taniguchi, K. Tanaka (Eds.)
-
Moss R.H., Schneider S.H. Uncertainties in the IPCC TAR: recommendations to lead authors for more consistent assessment and reporting. IPCC Supporting Material, Guidance Papers on the Cross Cutting Issues of the Third Assessment Report of the IPCC 2000, 33-51. R. Pachauri, T. Taniguchi, K. Tanaka (Eds.).
-
(2000)
IPCC Supporting Material, Guidance Papers on the Cross Cutting Issues of the Third Assessment Report of the IPCC
, pp. 33-51
-
-
Moss, R.H.1
Schneider, S.H.2
-
64
-
-
70349932309
-
Frequency formats, probability formats, or problem structure? A test of the nested-sets hypothesis in an extensional reasoning task
-
Neace W.P., Michaud S., Bolling L., Deer K., Zecevic L. Frequency formats, probability formats, or problem structure? A test of the nested-sets hypothesis in an extensional reasoning task. Judgm. Decis. Making 2008, 3(2):140-152.
-
(2008)
Judgm. Decis. Making
, vol.3
, Issue.2
, pp. 140-152
-
-
Neace, W.P.1
Michaud, S.2
Bolling, L.3
Deer, K.4
Zecevic, L.5
-
65
-
-
0036205817
-
Constructing event trees for volcanic crises
-
Newhall C.G., Hoblitt R.P. Constructing event trees for volcanic crises. Bull. Volcanol. 2002, 64:3-20. 10.1007/s004450100173.
-
(2002)
Bull. Volcanol.
, vol.64
, pp. 3-20
-
-
Newhall, C.G.1
Hoblitt, R.P.2
-
66
-
-
17744386611
-
Developing disaster management capability: an assessment centre approach
-
Paton D., Jackson D. Developing disaster management capability: an assessment centre approach. Disaster Prev. Manage. 2002, 11(2):115-122.
-
(2002)
Disaster Prev. Manage.
, vol.11
, Issue.2
, pp. 115-122
-
-
Paton, D.1
Jackson, D.2
-
68
-
-
0041065929
-
Disaster response: risk, vulnerability and resilience
-
Paton D., Smith L., Violanti J. Disaster response: risk, vulnerability and resilience. Disaster Prev. Manage. 2000, 9(3):173-180.
-
(2000)
Disaster Prev. Manage.
, vol.9
, Issue.3
, pp. 173-180
-
-
Paton, D.1
Smith, L.2
Violanti, J.3
-
69
-
-
14944382940
-
Communicating uncertainty: lessons learned and suggestions for climate change assessment
-
Patt A., Dessai S. Communicating uncertainty: lessons learned and suggestions for climate change assessment. C. R. Geosci. 2005, 337(4):425-441.
-
(2005)
C. R. Geosci.
, vol.337
, Issue.4
, pp. 425-441
-
-
Patt, A.1
Dessai, S.2
-
70
-
-
0344436677
-
Using specific language to describe risk and probability
-
Patt A., Schrag D.P. Using specific language to describe risk and probability. Clim. Chang. 2003, 61:17-30.
-
(2003)
Clim. Chang.
, vol.61
, pp. 17-30
-
-
Patt, A.1
Schrag, D.P.2
-
71
-
-
0442330577
-
Decision skills training: facilitating learning from experience
-
Lawrence Erlbaum Associates, Mahwah, NJ, E. Salas, G. Klein (Eds.)
-
Pliske R.M., McCloskey M.J., Klein G. Decision skills training: facilitating learning from experience. Linking Expertise and Naturalistic Decision Making 2001, 37-53. Lawrence Erlbaum Associates, Mahwah, NJ. E. Salas, G. Klein (Eds.).
-
(2001)
Linking Expertise and Naturalistic Decision Making
, pp. 37-53
-
-
Pliske, R.M.1
McCloskey, M.J.2
Klein, G.3
-
72
-
-
35148873675
-
Expressions of likelihood and confidence in the IPCC uncertainty assessment process
-
Risbey J.S., Kandlikar M. Expressions of likelihood and confidence in the IPCC uncertainty assessment process. Clim. Chang. 2007, 85(1-2):19-31.
-
(2007)
Clim. Chang.
, vol.85
, Issue.1-2
, pp. 19-31
-
-
Risbey, J.S.1
Kandlikar, M.2
-
74
-
-
84892653134
-
The role of shared mental models in developing shared situational awareness
-
Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University Press, Daytona Beach, FL, R.D. Gilson, D.J. Garland, J.M. Koonce (Eds.)
-
Salas E., Stout R.J., Cannon-Bowers J.A. The role of shared mental models in developing shared situational awareness. Situational Awareness in Complex Systems: Proceedings of a Cahfa Conference 1994, 298-304. Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University Press, Daytona Beach, FL. R.D. Gilson, D.J. Garland, J.M. Koonce (Eds.).
-
(1994)
Situational Awareness in Complex Systems: Proceedings of a Cahfa Conference
, pp. 298-304
-
-
Salas, E.1
Stout, R.J.2
Cannon-Bowers, J.A.3
-
75
-
-
0031213955
-
Communicating low risk magnitudes: incidence rates expressed as frequency versus rates expressed as probability
-
Siegrist M. Communicating low risk magnitudes: incidence rates expressed as frequency versus rates expressed as probability. Risk Anal. 1997, 17(4):8-11.
-
(1997)
Risk Anal.
, vol.17
, Issue.4
, pp. 8-11
-
-
Siegrist, M.1
-
76
-
-
77956173425
-
Research, science and emergency management: partnering for resilience
-
Ministry of Civil Defence & Emergency Management, Wellington, New Zealand
-
Smith R. Research, science and emergency management: partnering for resilience. Tephra, Community Resilience: Research, Planning and Civil Defence Emergency Management 2009, 71-78. Ministry of Civil Defence & Emergency Management, Wellington, New Zealand.
-
(2009)
Tephra, Community Resilience: Research, Planning and Civil Defence Emergency Management
, pp. 71-78
-
-
Smith, R.1
-
77
-
-
78049242114
-
Bayesian event tree for long-term volcanic hazard assessment: application to Teide-Pico Viejo stratovolcanoes, Tenerife, Canary Islands
-
Sobradelo R., Marti J. Bayesian event tree for long-term volcanic hazard assessment: application to Teide-Pico Viejo stratovolcanoes, Tenerife, Canary Islands. J. Geophys. Res. 2010, 115(B05206). 10.1029/2009JB006566.
-
(2010)
J. Geophys. Res.
, vol.115
, Issue.B05206
-
-
Sobradelo, R.1
Marti, J.2
-
78
-
-
0037677682
-
Forecasting volcanic eruptions
-
Sparks R.S.J. Forecasting volcanic eruptions. Earth Planet. Sci. Lett. 2003, 210(1-2):1-15.
-
(2003)
Earth Planet. Sci. Lett.
, vol.210
, Issue.1-2
, pp. 1-15
-
-
Sparks, R.S.J.1
-
79
-
-
0021087024
-
Predicting eruptions at Mount St. Helens, June 1980 through December 1982
-
Swanson D.A., Casadevall T.J., Dzurisin D., Malone S.D., Newhall C.G., Weaver C.S. Predicting eruptions at Mount St. Helens, June 1980 through December 1982. Science 1983, 221(4618):1369.
-
(1983)
Science
, vol.221
, Issue.4618
, pp. 1369
-
-
Swanson, D.A.1
Casadevall, T.J.2
Dzurisin, D.3
Malone, S.D.4
Newhall, C.G.5
Weaver, C.S.6
-
80
-
-
0006182767
-
The directionality of verbal probability expressions: effects on decisions, predictions, and probabilistic reasoning
-
Teigen K.H., Brun W. The directionality of verbal probability expressions: effects on decisions, predictions, and probabilistic reasoning. Organ. Behav. Hum. Decis. Process. 1999, 80(2):155-190.
-
(1999)
Organ. Behav. Hum. Decis. Process.
, vol.80
, Issue.2
, pp. 155-190
-
-
Teigen, K.H.1
Brun, W.2
-
81
-
-
39049126897
-
Developing a probabilistic eruption forecast for dormant volcanoes; a case study from Mt Taranaki, New Zealand
-
Turner M., Cronin S.J., Bebbington M., Platz T. Developing a probabilistic eruption forecast for dormant volcanoes; a case study from Mt Taranaki, New Zealand. Bull. Volcanol. 2008, 70:507-515.
-
(2008)
Bull. Volcanol.
, vol.70
, pp. 507-515
-
-
Turner, M.1
Cronin, S.J.2
Bebbington, M.3
Platz, T.4
-
82
-
-
84862998845
-
-
Oxford University Press, Oxford, UK, (ISBN: 9780191726866)
-
Upton G., Cook I. A Dictionary of Statistics (2 rev) 2008, Oxford University Press, Oxford, UK, (ISBN: 9780191726866).
-
(2008)
A Dictionary of Statistics (2 rev)
-
-
Upton, G.1
Cook, I.2
-
85
-
-
58849089025
-
Probability information in risk communication: a review of the research literature
-
Visschers V.H.M., Meertens R.M., Passchier W.W.F., de Vries N.N.K. Probability information in risk communication: a review of the research literature. Risk Anal. 2009, 29(2):267-287.
-
(2009)
Risk Anal.
, vol.29
, Issue.2
, pp. 267-287
-
-
Visschers, V.H.M.1
Meertens, R.M.2
Passchier, W.W.F.3
de Vries, N.N.K.4
-
87
-
-
0000324371
-
Base rate effects on the interpretations frequency expressions of probability
-
Wallsten T.S., Fillenbaum S., Cox J.A. Base rate effects on the interpretations frequency expressions of probability. J. Mem. Lang. 1986, 25:571-587.
-
(1986)
J. Mem. Lang.
, vol.25
, pp. 571-587
-
-
Wallsten, T.S.1
Fillenbaum, S.2
Cox, J.A.3
-
88
-
-
0036449277
-
Ambiguities in decision-oriented life cycle inventories: the role of mental models
-
Werner F., Scholz R.W. Ambiguities in decision-oriented life cycle inventories: the role of mental models. Int. J. Life Cycle Assess. 2002, 7(6):330-338.
-
(2002)
Int. J. Life Cycle Assess.
, vol.7
, Issue.6
, pp. 330-338
-
-
Werner, F.1
Scholz, R.W.2
-
89
-
-
84857620866
-
Lessons learned: recommendations for communicating conflicting evidence for risk characterization
-
Weinheim, Wiley-VCH Verlag GmbH & Co. KGaA, P.M. Wiedemann, H. Schultz (Eds.)
-
Wiedemann P., Borner F., Schultz H. Lessons learned: recommendations for communicating conflicting evidence for risk characterization. The Role of Evidence in Risk Characterisation: Making Sense of Conflicting Data 2008, 205-213. Weinheim, Wiley-VCH Verlag GmbH & Co. KGaA. P.M. Wiedemann, H. Schultz (Eds.).
-
(2008)
The Role of Evidence in Risk Characterisation: Making Sense of Conflicting Data
, pp. 205-213
-
-
Wiedemann, P.1
Borner, F.2
Schultz, H.3
-
90
-
-
0033233105
-
The interpretation of "likely" depends on the context, but "70%" is 70% - right? The influence of associative processes on perceived certainty
-
Windschitl P.D., Weber E.U. The interpretation of "likely" depends on the context, but "70%" is 70% - right? The influence of associative processes on perceived certainty. J. Exp. Psychol. Learn. Mem. Cogn. 1999, 25(6):1514-1533.
-
(1999)
J. Exp. Psychol. Learn. Mem. Cogn.
, vol.25
, Issue.6
, pp. 1514-1533
-
-
Windschitl, P.D.1
Weber, E.U.2
-
91
-
-
39849083173
-
Probabilistic criteria for volcano evacuation decisions
-
Woo G. Probabilistic criteria for volcano evacuation decisions. Nat. Hazards 2008, 45(1):87-97.
-
(2008)
Nat. Hazards
, vol.45
, Issue.1
, pp. 87-97
-
-
Woo, G.1
-
92
-
-
11344264356
-
Toward improved communication about wildfire: mental models research to identify information needs for natural resource management
-
Zaksek M., Arvai J.L. Toward improved communication about wildfire: mental models research to identify information needs for natural resource management. Risk Anal. 2004, 24(6):1503-1514.
-
(2004)
Risk Anal.
, vol.24
, Issue.6
, pp. 1503-1514
-
-
Zaksek, M.1
Arvai, J.L.2
|