-
1
-
-
0042698275
-
Riggins: Open for any deal; Riggin's door open to compromise; 50-50 chance of retirement
-
Attner P. Riggins: Open for any deal; Riggin's door open to compromise; 50-50 chance of retirement. The Washington Post. 1980, August 6;F1.
-
(1980)
The Washington Post
, pp. 1
-
-
Attner, P.1
-
5
-
-
0029023805
-
Perceptions of breast cancer risk and screening effectiveness in women younger than 50 years of age
-
Black W. C., Nease R. F., Tosteson A. N. A. Perceptions of breast cancer risk and screening effectiveness in women younger than 50 years of age. Journal of the National Cancer Institute. 8:1995;720-731.
-
(1995)
Journal of the National Cancer Institute
, vol.8
, pp. 720-731
-
-
Black, W.C.1
Nease, R.F.2
Tosteson, A.N.A.3
-
6
-
-
0003410886
-
-
San Francisco: Jossey-Bass
-
Bradburn N. M., Sudman S., Blair E., Locander W., Miles C., Singer E., Stocking C. Improving interview method and questionnaire design. Response effects to threatening questions in survey research. 1979;Jossey-Bass, San Francisco.
-
(1979)
Improving Interview Method and Questionnaire Design. Response Effects to Threatening Questions in Survey Research
-
-
Bradburn, N.M.1
Sudman, S.2
Blair, E.3
Locander, W.4
Miles, C.5
Singer, E.6
Stocking, C.7
-
7
-
-
0042197073
-
Prosecutor of Susan Smith offers a small compromise
-
Bragg R. Prosecutor of Susan Smith offers a small compromise. The New York Times. 1995, July 14;6.
-
(1995)
The New York Times
, pp. 6
-
-
Bragg, R.1
-
9
-
-
0010250262
-
People's understanding of probability: "it's a fifty-fifty chance."
-
Pittsburgh: Carnegie Mellon UniversityDepartment of Social and Decision Sciences
-
Bruine de Bruin W. People's understanding of probability: "It's a fifty-fifty chance." Doctoral dissertion. 1998;Carnegie Mellon UniversityDepartment of Social and Decision Sciences, Pittsburgh.
-
(1998)
Doctoral Dissertion
-
-
Bruine De Bruin, W.1
-
10
-
-
0041696435
-
-
Manuscript in preparation
-
Bruine de Bruin, W, Fischbeck, P. S, Stiber, N. A, &, Fischhoff, B. (, 1999, ), Redistributing "fifty-fifty" responses. Manuscript in preparation.
-
(1999)
Redistributing "fifty-fifty" Responses
-
-
Bruine De Bruin, W.1
Fischbeck, P.S.2
Stiber, N.A.3
Fischhoff, B.4
-
12
-
-
21844506517
-
The representativeness heuristic and conjunction fallacy effect in children's decision-making
-
Davidson D. The representativeness heuristic and conjunction fallacy effect in children's decision-making. Merrill-Palmer Quarterly. 41:1995;328-346.
-
(1995)
Merrill-Palmer Quarterly
, vol.41
, pp. 328-346
-
-
Davidson, D.1
-
13
-
-
0031483804
-
Perceptions of economic insecurity: Evidence from the Survey of Economic Expectations
-
Dominitz J., Manski C. F. Perceptions of economic insecurity: Evidence from the Survey of Economic Expectations. Public Opinion Quarterly. 61:1997;261-287.
-
(1997)
Public Opinion Quarterly
, vol.61
, pp. 261-287
-
-
Dominitz, J.1
Manski, C.F.2
-
14
-
-
0043199301
-
Travers entries reflect balance of nonpower
-
Durso J. Travers entries reflect balance of nonpower. The New York Times. 1993, August 19;12.
-
(1993)
The New York Times
, pp. 12
-
-
Durso, J.1
-
15
-
-
38249018727
-
Verbal versus numerical probabilities: Efficiency, biases, and the preference paradox
-
Erev I., Cohen B. L. Verbal versus numerical probabilities: Efficiency, biases, and the preference paradox. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes. 46:1990;102-117.
-
(1990)
Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes
, vol.46
, pp. 102-117
-
-
Erev, I.1
Cohen, B.L.2
-
16
-
-
0042698273
-
Maryland's Cole becomes a United Nations of track tonight: Cole meet has heavy foreign flavor
-
Fachet R. Maryland's Cole becomes a United Nations of track tonight: Cole meet has heavy foreign flavor. The Washington Post. 1977, January 14;D1.
-
(1977)
The Washington Post
, pp. 1
-
-
Fachet, R.1
-
17
-
-
0000281610
-
The dependence of the conjunction fallacy on subtle linguistic factors
-
Fiedler K. The dependence of the conjunction fallacy on subtle linguistic factors. Psychological Research. 50:1988;123-129.
-
(1988)
Psychological Research
, vol.50
, pp. 123-129
-
-
Fiedler, K.1
-
20
-
-
26344462132
-
Unreliable probabilities, risk taking and decision making
-
Gärdenfors P., Sahlin N. E. Unreliable probabilities, risk taking and decision making. Synthese. 53:1982;361-386.
-
(1982)
Synthese
, vol.53
, pp. 361-386
-
-
Gärdenfors, P.1
Sahlin, N.E.2
-
21
-
-
0002450105
-
First principles organize attention to and learning about relevant data: Number and animate-inanimate distinction as examples
-
Gelman R. First principles organize attention to and learning about relevant data: Number and animate-inanimate distinction as examples. Cognitive Science. 14:1990;79-106.
-
(1990)
Cognitive Science
, vol.14
, pp. 79-106
-
-
Gelman, R.1
-
23
-
-
84989422125
-
The use of judgment heuristics to make social and object decisions: A developmental perspective
-
Jacobs J. E., Potenza M. T. The use of judgment heuristics to make social and object decisions: A developmental perspective. Child Development. 62:1991;166-178.
-
(1991)
Child Development
, vol.62
, pp. 166-178
-
-
Jacobs, J.E.1
Potenza, M.T.2
-
24
-
-
0001902216
-
Intuitive prediction: Biases and corrective procedures
-
D. Kahneman, P. Slovic, Tversky A. New York: Cambridge Univ. Press
-
Kahneman D., Tversky A. Intuitive prediction: Biases and corrective procedures. Kahneman D., Slovic P., Tversky A. Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases. 1982a;414-421 Cambridge Univ. Press, New York.
-
(1982)
Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases
, pp. 414-421
-
-
Kahneman, D.1
Tversky, A.2
-
25
-
-
0001164025
-
Variants of uncertainty
-
D. Kahneman, P. Slovic, Tversky A. New York: Cambridge Univ. Press
-
Kahneman D., Tversky A. Variants of uncertainty. Kahneman D., Slovic P., Tversky A. Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases. 1982b;509-520 Cambridge Univ. Press, New York.
-
(1982)
Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases
, pp. 509-520
-
-
Kahneman, D.1
Tversky, A.2
-
28
-
-
0041696433
-
50-50 Chance of a 4th shot in Dallas, JFK panel is told
-
Lardner G. Jr. 50-50 Chance of a 4th shot in Dallas, JFK panel is told. The Washington Post. 1978, September 12;A2.
-
(1978)
The Washington Post
, pp. 2
-
-
Lardner G., Jr.1
-
29
-
-
0004312378
-
-
New York, McGraw-Hill
-
Law, A. M, &, Kelton, W. D. (, 1982, ), Simulation modeling and analysis, New York, McGraw-Hill.
-
(1982)
Simulation Modeling and Analysis
-
-
Law, A.M.1
Kelton, W.D.2
-
30
-
-
0042698274
-
Tulips, taxes and temblors of uncertainty
-
Mitchell H. Tulips, taxes and temblors of uncertainty. The Washington Post. 1990, November 30;F2.
-
(1990)
The Washington Post
, pp. 2
-
-
Mitchell, H.1
-
31
-
-
0003697829
-
-
New York, Cambridge Univ. Press
-
Morgan, M. G, &, Henrion, M. (, 1990, ), Uncertainty, New York, Cambridge Univ. Press.
-
(1990)
Uncertainty
-
-
Morgan, M.G.1
Henrion, M.2
-
32
-
-
0004239573
-
-
National Research Council Washington, DC, National Academy Press
-
National Research Council. (, 1989, ), Improving risk communication, Washington, DC, National Academy Press.
-
(1989)
Improving Risk Communication
-
-
-
33
-
-
0004207705
-
-
Washington: National Academy Press
-
Understanding risk. 1996;National Academy Press, Washington.
-
(1996)
Understanding Risk
-
-
-
34
-
-
0003463583
-
-
National Research Council Washington, DC, National Academy Press
-
National Research Council. (, 1999, ), Toward environmental justice, Washington, DC, National Academy Press.
-
(1999)
Toward Environmental Justice
-
-
-
35
-
-
0042698271
-
Research ship may have to halt effort to locate Titanic
-
Omang J. Research ship may have to halt effort to locate Titanic. The Washington Post. 1980, August 17;A20.
-
(1980)
The Washington Post
, pp. 20
-
-
Omang, J.1
-
36
-
-
0003584085
-
-
New York, Norton
-
Piaget, J, &, Inhelder, B. (, 1975, ), The origin of the idea of chance in children, New York, Norton.
-
(1975)
The Origin of the Idea of Chance in Children
-
-
Piaget, J.1
Inhelder, B.2
-
37
-
-
0004242877
-
-
Hillsdale, NJ, Erlbaum
-
Poulton, E. C. (, 1989, ), Bias in quantifying judgment, Hillsdale, NJ, Erlbaum.
-
(1989)
Bias in Quantifying Judgment
-
-
Poulton, E.C.1
-
38
-
-
21344456041
-
Distributional versus singular approaches to probability and errors in probabilistic reasoning
-
Reeves T., Lockhart R. S. Distributional versus singular approaches to probability and errors in probabilistic reasoning. Journal of Experimental Psychology: General. 122:1993;207-226.
-
(1993)
Journal of Experimental Psychology: General
, vol.122
, pp. 207-226
-
-
Reeves, T.1
Lockhart, R.S.2
-
41
-
-
0003581106
-
-
Mahwah, NJ, Erlbaum
-
Schwarz, N. (, 1996m, ), Cognition and communication: Judgmental biases, research methods, and the logic of conversation, Mahwah, NJ, Erlbaum.
-
(1996)
Cognition and Communication: Judgmental Biases, Research Methods, and the Logic of Conversation
-
-
Schwarz, N.1
-
42
-
-
0003284990
-
-
Chicago, Univ. of Chicago Press
-
Sharp, D, Cole, M, &, Lave, C. (, 1979, ), Education and cognitive development: The evidence from experimental research, Chicago, Univ. of Chicago Press.
-
(1979)
Education and Cognitive Development: The Evidence from Experimental Research
-
-
Sharp, D.1
Cole, M.2
Lave, C.3
-
43
-
-
77954557633
-
The empirical case for two systems of reasoning
-
Sloman S. A. The empirical case for two systems of reasoning. Psychological Bulletin. 119:1996;3-22.
-
(1996)
Psychological Bulletin
, vol.119
, pp. 3-22
-
-
Sloman, S.A.1
-
44
-
-
0010964257
-
The language of uncertainty
-
Teigen K. H. The language of uncertainty. Acta Psychologica. 68:1988;27-38.
-
(1988)
Acta Psychologica
, vol.68
, pp. 27-38
-
-
Teigen, K.H.1
-
45
-
-
0016264378
-
Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases
-
Tversky A., Kahneman D. Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases. Science. 185:1974;1124-1131.
-
(1974)
Science
, vol.185
, pp. 1124-1131
-
-
Tversky, A.1
Kahneman, D.2
-
46
-
-
12044256982
-
Support theory: A nonexistensional representation of subjective probability
-
Tversky A., Koehler D. J. Support theory: A nonexistensional representation of subjective probability. Psychological Review. 4:1994;547-567.
-
(1994)
Psychological Review
, vol.4
, pp. 547-567
-
-
Tversky, A.1
Koehler, D.J.2
-
47
-
-
0010248652
-
-
Cambridge, MA, Harvard Univ. Press
-
Viscusi, W. K. (, 1993, ), The risks of smoking, Cambridge, MA, Harvard Univ. Press.
-
(1993)
The Risks of Smoking
-
-
Viscusi, W.K.1
-
48
-
-
0012073258
-
Preferences and reasons for communicating probabilistic information in verbal or numerical terms
-
Wallsten T. S., Budescu D. B., Zwick R., Kemp S. M. Preferences and reasons for communicating probabilistic information in verbal or numerical terms. Bulletin of the Psychonomic Society. 31:1993;135-138.
-
(1993)
Bulletin of the Psychonomic Society
, vol.31
, pp. 135-138
-
-
Wallsten, T.S.1
Budescu, D.B.2
Zwick, R.3
Kemp, S.M.4
|