State building for future wars: Neoclassical realism and the resource-extractive state

Security Studies

Volumn 15, Issue 3, 2006, Pages 464-495

  Taliaferro, Jeffrey W ^a  

^a TUFTS UNIVERSITY   (United States)

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[No Author keywords available]

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EID: 33845666899     PISSN: 09636412     EISSN: 15561852     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1080/09636410601028370     Document Type: Conference Paper

References (189)

1. For an overview of the impact of military modernization in Meiji Japan and Qing China, see David B. Ralston, Importing the European Army: The Introduction of European Military Techniques and Institutions into the Extra-EuropeanWorld, 1600-1914 (Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1990), 107-41
2. Shin'ichi Kitaoka, "The Army as Bureaucracy: Japanese Militarism Revisited," Journal of Military History 57, no. 5 (October 1993): 67-86
3. Ernst Presseisen, Before Aggression: Europeans Prepare the Japanese Army (Tucson: University of Arizona Press, 1965)
4. S.C.M. Paine, The Sino-Japanese War of 1894-1895 (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2003).
5. See William H. McNeill, The Pursuit of Power: Technology, Armed Force, and Society since A.D. 1000 (Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1982), 185-215
6. Peter Paret, "Napoleon and the Revolution in War," in Makers of Modern Strategy: From Machiavelli to the Nuclear Age (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1986), 123-42
7. Barry R. Posen, "Nationalism, the Mass Army, and Military Power," International Security 18, no. 2 (fall 1993): 80-124
8. Geoffrey L. Herrera and Thomas G. Mahnken, "Military Diffusion in Nineteenth-Century Europe: The Napoleonic and Prussian Military Systems," in The Diffusion of Military Technology and Ideas, ed. Emily O. Goldman and Leslie C. Eliason (Stanford: Stanford University Press, 2003), 205-42.
9. See Kenneth N. Waltz, Theory of International Politics (New York: Random House, 1979). Throughout this paper, I use the terms "balance-of-power theory" and "neorealism" interchangeably to denote the theory Waltz developed in Theory of International Politics. The term "neorealism," however, also applies to several systemic realist theories that often make predictions that diverge sharply from Waltz's theory.
10. See Jeffrey W. Taliaferro, "Security Seeking under Anarchy: Defensive Realism Reconsidered," International Security 25, no. 3 (winter 2000-2001): 128-61
11. Colin Elman, "Horses for Courses: Why Not Neorealist Theories of Foreign Policy?" Security Studies 6, no. 2 (autumn 1996): 7-53.
12. The distinction between internal and external balancing originates in Waltz, Theory of International Politics, 168
13. Barry R. Posen, Sources of Military Doctrine: France, Britain, and Germany between the World Wars (Ithaca: Cornell University Press, 1984), 17-18.
14. For overviews of neoclassical realism, see Gideon Rose, "Neoclassical Realism and Theories of Foreign Policy,"World Politics 51, no. 1 (October 1998): 144-72
15. Randall L. Schweller, "The Progressiveness of Neoclassical Realism," in Progress in International Relations Theory: Appraising the Field, ed. Colin Elman and Miriam Fendius Elman (Cambridge: MIT Press, 2003), 311-48
16. Charles L. Glaser, "The Necessary and Natural Evolution of Structural Realism," in Realism and the Balancing of Power: A New Debate, ed. John A. Vasquez and Colin Elman (Upper Saddle River: Prentice Hall, 2003), 266-79.
17. Jennifer Sterling-Folker, "Realist Environment, Liberal Process, and Domestic-Level Variables," International Studies Quarterly 41, no. 1 (March 1997): 7.
18. See Richard W. Cox, "Social Forces, States, and World Order: Beyond International Relations Theory"
19. John Gerard Ruggie, "Continuity and Transformation in the World Polity," in Neorealism and Its Critics, ed. Robert O. Keohane (New York: Columbia University Press, 1986), 204-54, esp. 227-32, and 131-57
20. Alexander Wendt, "Anarchy Is What States Make of It," International Organization 42, no. 2 (spring 1992): 391-426
21. Alexander Wendt, "Collective Identity Formation and the International State," American Political Science Review 88, no. 2 (June 1994): 384-98
22. Hendrik Spruyt, The Sovereign State and Its Competitors (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1994), 11-21.
23. See Barry Buzan, Charles Jones, and Richard Little, The Logic of Anarchy: Neorealism to Structural Realism (New York: Columbia University Press, 1993), 116-21
24. Sterling-Folker, "Realist Environment," esp. 16-22
25. Stephen Hobden, International Relations and Historical Sociology (London: Routledge, 1998), 66-69
26. John M. Hobson, The State and International Relations (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2000), 24-30.
27. See Stephen M. Walt, "The Enduring Relevance of the Realist Tradition," in Political Science: State of the Discipline, ed. Ira Katznelson and Helen V. Milner (New York: W.W. Norton, 2002), 277.
28. See also Ashley J. Tellis, "Reconstructing Political Realism: The Long March to Scientific Theory," in Roots of Realism, ed. Benjamin Frankel (London: Frank Cass, 1996), 91-94.
29. For an attempt to develop such a realist theory of state formation (what he terms a "theory of negative association"), see Ioannis D. Evrigenis, "'Carthage Must Be Saved': Fear of Enemies and Collective Action," Ph.D. diss., Harvard University, 2005, esp. chap. 3.
30. Coercive theories of state formation include Otto Hinze, "Military Organization and the Organization of the State," in The Historical Essays of Otto Hinze, ed. Felix Gilbert (New York: Oxford University Press, 1975)
31. Charles Tilly, "Reflections on the History of European State Making," in Formation of the National States of Western Europe, ed. Charles Tilly (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1975)
32. Charles Tilly, Coercion, Capital, and European States, AD 900-1990 (Cambridge: Basil Blackwell, 1990)
33. Peter Gourevitch, "The Second Image Reversed: The International Sources of Domestic Politics," International Organization 32, no. 4 (autumn 1978): 881-912
34. Geoffrey Parker, The Military Revolution: Military Innovation and the Rise of the West, 2d ed. (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1996)
35. Karen A. Rasler and William R. Thompson, War and State Making: The Shaping of Global Powers (Boston: Unwin and Hyman, 1989)
36. Bruce D. Porter, War and the Rise of the State: The Military Foundations of Modern Politics (New York: Free Press, 1994)
37. Michael C. Desch, "War and Strong States, Peace and Weak States?" International Organization 50, no. 2 (spring 1996): 237-68. Economic theories of state formation include Perry Anderson, Lineages of the Absolutist State (London: NLB, 1974)
38. Douglass C. North, Structure and Change in Economic History (New York: W.W. Norton, 1981)
39. Douglass C. North and Robert Paul Thomas, The Rise of the Western World: A New Economic History (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1973)
40. Immanuel Wallerstein, The Modern World System, vol. 1 (Orlando: Academic Press, 1974). 11 For a discussion of what constitutes balancing and whether balances of power recurrently form, see Colin Elman, "Introduction: Appraising Balance-of-Power Theory"
41. Jack S. Levy, "Balances and Balancing: Concepts, Propositions, and Research Design"
42. Richard Rosecrance, "VIs There a Balance of Power?" in Vasquez and Elman, Realism and the Balancing of Power, 1-22, 128-53, and 154-65.
43. Stephen D. Krasner, Defending the National Interests: Raw Materials Investments and U.S. Foreign Policy (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1978), 10-11.
44. For similar definitions see Thomas J. Christensen, Useful Adversaries: Grand Strategy, Domestic Mobilization, and Sino-American Conflict, 1947-1958 (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1996), 14-16
45. Margaret Levi, "The State and the Study of the State," in Katznelson and Milner, Political Science: State of the Discipline, 39-42
46. Fareed Zakaria, From Wealth to Power: The Unusual Origins of America's World Role (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1997), 35-41.
47. See Aaron L. Friedberg, In the Shadow of the Garrison State: America's Anti-Statism and Its ColdWar Grand Strategy (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 2000), 9-10. For discussions of comparative state strength, see Krasner, Defending the National Interests, esp. 55-90
48. Peter B. Evans, Dietrich Rueschmeyer, and Theda Skocpol, eds., Bringing the State Back In (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1985)
49. G. John Ikenberry, David A. Lake, and Michael Mastanduno, eds., "The State and American Foreign Economy Policy," special issue, International Organization 32, no. 1 (winter 1988).
50. Jo∼ao Resende-Santos, "Anarchy and the Emulation of Military Systems: Military Organization and Technology in South America, 1870-1930," in Realism: Restatement and Renewal, ed. Benjamin Frankel (London: Frank Cass, 1996), 199.
51. See also Jo∼ao Resende-Santos, "Military Emulation in the International System (Chile, Argentina, and Brazil)," Ph.D. diss., Harvard University, 1997.
52. For example, Napoleon's imposition of the French military system on his protectorates - the kingdoms of Holland, Westphalia, Italy, and Naples, and the Grand Duchy of Warsaw - does not constitute emulation. See Herrera and Mahnken, "Military Diffusion in Nineteenth-Century Europe," 210-212. The selective adoption of Soviet military doctrine, weapons, and organization by Egypt, Syria, and Iraq after the 1967 Middle East war, however, do constitute emulation.
53. See Michael J. Eisenstadt and Kenneth M. Pollack, "Armies of Snow and Sand: The Impact of Soviet Military Doctrine on Arab Militaries," in Goldman and Eliason,The Diffusion of Military Technology and Ideas, 63-92.
54. Michael Mastanduno, David A. Lake, and G. John Ikenberry, "Toward a Realist Theory of State Action," International Studies Quarterly 33, no. 4 (December 1989): 460.
55. Hans J. Morgenthau, Politics among Nations: The Struggle for Power and Peace, 3d ed. (New York: Knopf, 1966), 102.
56. Henry A. Kissinger, A World Restored: Metternich, Castlereagh, and the Problems of Peace, 1812- 1822 (Boston: Houghton Mifflin, 1957), 326-28.
57. Arnold Wolfers, "The Actors in International Politics," in Discord and Collaboration: Essays on International Politics (Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press, 1962), 9.
58. Edward Vose Gulick, Europe's Classical Balance of Power (New York: W.W. Norton, 1967), 14.
59. Morgenthau, Politics among Nations, 154.
60. Wolfers, Discord and Collaboration, 112.
61. Morgenthau, Politics among Nations, 138.
62. Edward Hallett Carr, The Twenty Years' Crisis, 1919-1939: An Introduction to the Study of International Relations, 2d ed. (1945; New York: Harper and Row, 1964), 132.
63. Hobson, State and International Relations, 5-6 and 24-26. Hobson uses the term "domestic agential power," which he defines as "the power of the state to determine (foreign) policy and shape the domestic realm free of domestic structural constraints or non-state actor interference." I prefer the term "state power" because it is more consistent with current usage in the neoclassical realist literature.
64. For a definition of major war, see Dale Copeland, Origins of Major War (Ithaca: Cornell University Press, 2000), 3-4. By Copeland's criteria, there have been six major wars in the modern state system: The Thirty Years' War (1618-48), the wars of Louis XIV (1688-1714), the Seven Years' War (1756-63), the Napoleonic Wars (1803-15), the First World War (1914-18), and the Second World War (1939-45).
65. Hobson, State and International Relations, 51.
66. See Morgenthau, Politics among Nations, 205-6 and 218-19
67. Kissinger, AWorld Restored, 156-
68. See also Paul W. Schroeder, The Transformation of European Politics, 1763-1848 (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1996), 5-20.
69. For similar arguments see Alan C. Lamborn, "Power and the Politics of Extraction," International Studies Quarterly 27, no. 2 (June 1983): 125-46
70. Paul A. Papayoanou, "Interdependence, Institutions, and the Balance-of-Power: Britain, Germany, and World War I," International Security 20, no. 4 (spring 1996): 42-76.
71. Morgenthau, Politics among Nations, 256.
72. Ibid., 167.
73. For a recent discussion of the classical realist conception of the European balance of power as a type of "republic" or "society," see Marc Trachtenberg, "VThe Question of Realism: A Historian's View," Security Studies 13, no. 1 (autumn 2003): 26-27.
74. Nicholas John Spykman, America's Strategy inWorld Politics: The United States and the Balance-of- Power (New York: Harcourt, Brace, 1942), 25. Inis Claude, however, draws a distinction between manual balancing and automatic balancing.
75. See Inis L. Claude, Power and International Relations (New York: Random House, 1962).
76. See Ruggie, "Continuity and Transformation in the World Polity," 135-36.
77. Waltz, Theory of International Politics, 124.
78. For critiques of neorealism's "competition bias," see Charles L. Glaser, "Realists as Optimists: Cooperation as Self-Help," in Frankel, Realism: Restatement and Renewal, 122-63, esp. 128-29
79. Stephen G. Brooks, "VVDueling Realisms," International Organization 51, no. 3 (summer 1997): 445-77, esp. 447-50.
80. Buzan, Jones, and Little, The Logic of Anarchy, 117-19.
81. Waltz, Theory of International Politics, 124.
82. Ibid., 128. Despite Waltz's warnings about falling by the wayside, the death rate of great powers is quite low.
83. See Robert Jervis, System Effects: Complexity in Political and Social Life (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1996), 133-34.
84. Waltz, Theory of International Politics, 118.
85. Ibid., 95.
86. Waltz, "VVResponse to My Critics," 343 [emphasis added]
87. see also Waltz, Theory of International Politics, 69.
88. David Dessler, "What's at Stake in the Agent-Structure Debate?" International Organization 43, no. 3 (summer 1989): 466.
89. See also Dale Copeland, "The Constructivist Challenge to Structural Realism," International Security 25, no. 2 (fall 2000): 187-212, esp. 205-6
90. Sterling-Folker, "Realist Environment," 5.
91. Waltz's theory presents an extremely restrictive and static conception of structure and systems. For a discussion of this, see Tellis, "Reconstructing Political Realism," 80-84
92. Jervis, System Effects, 107-10
93. Buzan, Jones, and Little, Logic of Anarchy, esp. 29-80
94. Copeland, Origins of Major War, 12-13
95. Glenn H. Snyder, "Process Variables in Neorealist Theory" in Frankel, Realism: Restatement and Renewal, 167-92.
96. Tellis, "Reconstructing Political Realism," 75-82.
97. Waltz, Theory of International Politics, 127.
98. Resende-Santos, "Anarchy and the Emulation of Military Systems," 207-8 [emphasis added].
99. See also Buzan, Jones, and Little, Logic of Anarchy, 40-41.
100. Matthew Evangelista defines innovation in terms of "new weapons that portend major organizational changes, reallocation of resources, [or] the possibility of diminished organizational autonomy. ...The weapons innovations investigated ... entailed major restructuring of military organizations, significant changes in strategy, or both." Matthew Evangelista, Innovation and the Arms Race: How the United States and the Soviet Union Develop New Military Technologies (Ithaca: Cornell University Press, 1988), 12.
101. See Waltz, Theory of International Politics, 120. For a definition of potential power, see Copeland, Origins of Major War, 5-6.
102. See Buzan, Jones, and Little, Logic of Anarchy, 44.
103. See Resende-Santos, "Anarchy and the Emulation of Military Systems"
104. Colin Elman, "The Logic of Emulation: The Diffusion of Military Practices in the International System," Ph.D. diss., Columbia University, 1999
105. Emily O. Goldman and Richard B. Andres, "Systemic Effects of Military Innovation and Diffusion," Security Studies 8, no. 4 (summer 1999): 79-125.
106. The theories of Resende-Santos, Goldman and Andres, and Elman fall under the rubric of defensive realism because they attribute the rate, scope, and likelihood of emulation to both the relative distribution of power and to variables that affect the severity of the security dilemma. See Taliaferro, "Security Seeking under Anarchy," esp. 136-41
107. Robert Jervis, "Realism, Neoliberalism, and Cooperation: Understanding the Debate," International Security 24, no. 1 (summer 1999): 42-63, esp. 47-50
108. Robert Jervis, "Cooperation under the Security Dilemma," World Politics 30, no. 2 (January 1978): 168-214.
109. Sterling-Folker, "Realist Environment," 4-8.
110. See, for example, Jeffrey W. Legro and Andrew Moravcsik, "Is Anybody Still a Realist?" International Security 24, no. 2 (fall 1999): 5-55, esp. 27-32
111. Andrew Moravcsik, "Liberal International Relations Theory: A Scientific Assessment," in Elman and Elman, Progress in International Relations Theory, 189-96
112. John A. Vasquez, "The Realist Research Program and Degenerative versus Progressive Research Programs: An Appraisal of Neotraditional Research on Waltz's Balancing Proposition," American Political Science Review 91, no. 4 (December 1997): 899-912
113. John A. Vasquez, "The New Debate on the Balance-of- Power: A Reply to My Critics," in Vasquez and Elman, Realism and the Balancing of Power, 87-113.
114. The one exception is Randall Schweller's balance-of-interest theory, which purports to explain both the foreign policies of individual great powers and the likelihood of major war across different types of international systems (multipolar, tripolar, and bipolar). See Randall Schweller, Deadly Imbalances: Tripolarity and Hitler's Strategy for World Conquest (New York: Columbia University Press, 1998).
115. Schweller, unlike other neoclassical realists, maintains that a neat division between theories of foreign policy and theories of international politics is unsustainable on logical and methodological grounds. See Schweller, "Progressiveness of Neoclassical Realism" 321-22. I disagree with him on this point.
116. See Waltz, Theory of International Politics, 18-19 and 37
117. earlier, Kenneth N. Waltz, Man, the State, and War (New York: Columbia University Press, 1959).
118. I am grateful to one of the anonymous reviewers of this article for pointing this out.
119. Waltz, Theory of International Politics, 64. Waltz also notes that theories of foreign policy can and should include causal factors at the unit and systemic levels. He constructed such a foreign policy theory in his second book. See Kenneth N. Waltz, Foreign Policy and Domestic Politics: The American and British Experience (1967; Berkeley: University of California, Institute of Governmental Studies, 1992).
120. Waltz, Theory of International Politics, 35-37.
121. Ibid., chaps. 2 and 3.
122. Legro and Moravcsik, "Is Anybody Still a Realist?" 27-32
123. Moravcsik, "Liberal International Relations Theory," 189-96.
124. Contrary to Rose's original formulation, neoclassical realism is not a theoretical competitor to defensive realism and offensive realism. See Taliaferro, "Security Seeking under Anarchy," 132-34, esp. table 1. For two different discussions about the relationship between neoclassical realism and defensive realism, see Glaser, "The Necessary and Natural Evolution of Structural Realism," 271-72
125. Schweller, "Progressiveness of Neoclassical Realism," 344-47.
126. See Waltz, Theory of International Politics, 69.
127. Dessler, "What's at Stake in the Agent-Structure Debate?" 466.
128. Jennifer Sterling-Folker, Theories of International Cooperation and the Primacy of Anarchy: Explaining U.S. International Monetary Policy-Making after Bretton Woods (Albany: SUNY Press, 2002), 73.
129. For a detailed discussion of the "theory of negative association," from Thomas Hobbes in the seventeenth century to Carl Schmitt and Hans Morgenthau in the twentieth century, see Evrigenis, "'Carthage Must Be Saved,"' chaps. 3 and 4.
130. See Sterling-Folker, Theories of International Cooperation, 70-76
131. Jennifer Sterling-Folker, "Realism and the Constructivist Challenge: Rejecting, Reconstructing, or Rereading," International Studies Review 4, no. 1 (spring 2002): 73-97
132. Bradley A. Thayer, "Bringing in Darwin: Evolutionary Theory, Realism, and International Politics," International Security 25, no. 2 (fall 2000): 124-51
133. Jonathan Mercer, "Anarchy and Identity," International Organization 49, no. 2 (summer 1995): 229--52.
134. See Robert Gilpin, "The Richness of the Tradition of Political Realism," in Keohane, Neorealism and Its Critics, 305
135. Robert Gilpin, "No One Loves a Political Realist," in Frankel, Realism: Restatement and Renewal, 3-26.
136. See Randall L. Schweller, "Realism and the Present Great Power System: Growth and Positional Conflict over Scarce Resources," in Unipolar Politics: Realism and State Strategies after the Cold War, ed. Ethan B. Kapstein and Michael Mastanduno (New York: Columbia University Press, 1999), chap. 2
137. Daniel Markey, "Prestige and the Origins of War: Returning to Realism's Roots," Security Studies 8, no. 4 (summer 1999): 126-72.
138. Sterling-Folker, Theories of International Cooperation, 83.
139. Ibid., 83-84. Also see Porter, War and the Rise of the State, 64-105
140. Desch, "War and Strong States"
141. Ted Robert Gurr, "War, Revolution, and the Growth of the State," Comparative Political Studies 21, no. 1 (April 1988): 45-65.
142. Again, I thank one of the anonymous reviewers of this article for suggesting this point.
143. See Gourevitch, "Second Image Reversed," 896
144. Desch, "War and Strong States," 244-45
145. Porter, War and the Rise of the State, 113-21
146. Hinze, "Military Organization and the Organization of the State," 178-215.
147. Also see Gordon A. Craig, The Politics of the Prussian Army, 1640-1945 (New York: Oxford University Press, 1955), 1-22.
148. On the difficulties of assessing the actual balance of power on the European continent in the 1860s, see Thomas J. Christensen, "Perceptions and Alliances in Europe, 1860-1940," International Organization 51, no. 1 (winter 1997): 65-97.
149. See Richard J. Samuels, Machiavelli's Children: Leaders and Their Legacies in Italy and Japan (Ithaca: Cornell University Press, 2003), 53-62
150. W. G. Beasley, The Rise of Modern Japan (New York: St. Martin's, 1995), 152-53.
151. Janice E. Thompson, "State Sovereignty in International Relations: Bridging the Gap between Theory and Empirical Research," International Studies Quarterly 39, no. 2 (June 1995): 216.
152. Sterling-Folker, Theories of International Cooperation, 85.
153. See Rose, "Neoclassical Realism," 147.
154. Elite calculations and perceptions of relative power and other states' intentions are central themes in several neoclassical realist works, especially Aaron L. Friedberg, The Weary Titan: Britain and the Experience of Relative Decline, 1895-1905 (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1988)
155. William Curti Wohlforth, The Elusive Balance: Power and Perception during the Cold War (Ithaca: Cornell University Press 1993)
156. Victor D. Cha, "Abandonment, Entrapment, and Neoclassical Realism in East Asia: The United States, Japan, and Korea," International Studies Quarterly 44, no. 2 (June 2000): 261-91
157. Daniel L. Byman and Kenneth M. Pollack, "Let Us Now Praise Great Men: Bringing the Statesman Back In," International Security 25, no. 4 (spring 2001): 107-46
158. David M. Edelstein, "Managing Uncertainty: Beliefs about Intentions and Rise of Great Powers," Security Studies 12, no. 1 (autumn 2002): 1-40
159. Jeffrey W. Taliaferro, Balancing Risks: Great Power Intervention in the Periphery (Ithaca: Cornell University Press, 2004)
160. Jeffrey Taliaferro, "Power Politics and the Balance-of-Risk: Hypotheses on Great Power Intervention in the Periphery," Political Psychology 25, no. 2 (March 2004): 177-211.
161. On the components of threat, see Stephen M. Walt, Origins of Alliances (Ithaca: Cornell University Press, 1987), 22-26
162. Stephen M. Walt, Revolution and War (Ithaca: Cornell University Press, 1996), 18-45.
163. For a neoclassical realist theory of how government or regime vulnerability and social cohesion inhibit timely balancing behavior, see Randall L. Schweller, Unanswered Threats: Political Constraints on the Balance of Power (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 2006).
164. Mastanduno, Lake, and Ikenberry, "Toward a Realist Theory of State Action," 467.
165. Ibid., 463.
166. See Zakaria, From Wealth to Power, 33-39.
167. See Friedberg, In the Shadow of the Garrison State, chaps. 4-8.
168. Ibid., 75.
169. See Stephen G. Brooks and William C. Wohlforth, "Power, Globalization, and the End of the Cold War: Revisiting the Landmark Case for Ideas," International Security 25, no. 3 (winter 2000-2001): 5-53.
170. Christensen, Useful Adversaries, 11.
171. Ibid., 4.
172. Ibid., 17.
173. Ibid., 245.
174. Ibid., 3.
175. This definition of state-sponsored nationalism draws on Posen, "Nationalism, the Mass Army, and Military Power," 82-83
176. Stephen Van Evera, "Hypotheses on Nationalism and War," International Security 18, no. 4 (spring 1994): 6-7
177. Ernst B. Haas, "What Is Nationalism and Why Should We Study It?" International Organization 40, no. 3 (summer 1986): 709.
178. There is a voluminous literature on elite manipulation of ethnic or secessionist nationalism as a cause of ethnic civil war, genocide, and state failure. For an overview, see Michael E. Brown, "The Causes of Internal Conflict: An Overview," in Nationalism and Ethnic Conflict, rev. ed., ed. Michael E. Brown, Owen R. Coté, Jr., Sean M. Lynn-Jones, and Steven E. Miller, (Cambridge: MIT Press, 2001).
179. On the other hand, in instances where states lack domestic legitimacy or are vulnerable to overthrow, leaders will be wary of fomenting hyper-nationalism and mobilizing a mass army. See Schweller, Unanswered Threats, 49-50.
180. Posen, "Nationalism, the Mass Army, and Military Power," esp. 92-95.
181. See Samuels, Machiavelli's Children, 33-34. Also see Carol Gluck, Japan's Modern Myths: Ideology in the Late Meiji Period (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1985).
182. Ralston, Importing the European Army, 109.
183. Wohlforth, Elusive Balance, 51-53.
184. Friedberg, In the Shadow of the Garrison State, 22. At the same time, objective shifts in the relative distribution of power filter through the medium of Wilsonian or liberal internationalist beliefs shared by U.S. foreign-policy elites and the public to produce overly ambitious (and often self-defeating) foreign policies aimed at remaking the world in America's image. See Christopher Layne, Peace of Illusions: American Grand Strategy from 1940 to the Present (Ithaca: Cornell University Press, 2006), esp. chap. 6
185. Colin Dueck, Reluctant Crusaders: Power, Culture, and Change in American Grand Strategy (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 2006).
186. See Friedberg, In the Shadow of the Garrison State, 22.
187. On cultural theories of strategic adjustment, see Thomas Berger, Cultures of Antimilitarism: National Security in Germany and Japan (Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press, 1998)
188. Elizabeth Kier, Imagining War: French and British Military Doctrines between the Wars (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1997)
189. Alastair Iain Johnston, Cultural Realism: Strategic Culture and Grand Strategy in Chinese History (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1995).