-
1
-
-
0000017573
-
Costs and benefits of judgment errors: Implications for debiasing
-
Arkes, H. R. (1991) Costs and benefits of judgment errors: Implications for debiasing, Psychological Bulletin, 110, 486-98.
-
(1991)
Psychological Bulletin
, vol.110
, pp. 486-498
-
-
Arkes, H.R.1
-
2
-
-
0037268012
-
The nonuse of psychological research at two federal agencies
-
Arkes, H. R. (2003) The nonuse of psychological research at two federal agencies, Psychological Science, 14, 1-6.
-
(2003)
Psychological Science
, vol.14
, pp. 1-6
-
-
Arkes, H.R.1
-
3
-
-
0346212907
-
Factors influencing the use of a decision rule in a probabilistic task
-
Arkes, H. R., Dawes, R. M., & Christensen, C. (1986) Factors influencing the use of a decision rule in a probabilistic task, Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 37, 93-110.
-
(1986)
Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes
, vol.37
, pp. 93-110
-
-
Arkes, H.R.1
Dawes, R.M.2
Christensen, C.3
-
4
-
-
0033235404
-
"Do the right thing": Diverging effects of accountability in a managerial context
-
Brown, C. L. (1999) "Do the right thing": Diverging effects of accountability in a managerial context, Marketing Science, 18, 230-46.
-
(1999)
Marketing Science
, vol.18
, pp. 230-246
-
-
Brown, C.L.1
-
5
-
-
0011504951
-
General conditions for the success of bootstrapping models
-
Camerer, C. F. (1981) General conditions for the success of bootstrapping models, Organizational Behavior and Human Performance, 27, 411-22.
-
(1981)
Organizational Behavior and Human Performance
, vol.27
, pp. 411-422
-
-
Camerer, C.F.1
-
6
-
-
0033270827
-
The effects of financial incentives in experiments: A review and capital-labor-production framework
-
Camerer, C. F. & Hogarth, R. M. (1999) The effects of financial incentives in experiments: A review and capital-labor-production framework, Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 19, 7-42.
-
(1999)
Journal of Risk and Uncertainty
, vol.19
, pp. 7-42
-
-
Camerer, C.F.1
Hogarth, R.M.2
-
7
-
-
0022746163
-
Pragmatic versus syntactic approaches to training deductive reasoning
-
Cheng, P., Holyoak, K. J., Nisbett, R. E., & Oliver, L. (1986) Pragmatic versus syntactic approaches to training deductive reasoning, Cognitive Psychology, 18, 293-328.
-
(1986)
Cognitive Psychology
, vol.18
, pp. 293-328
-
-
Cheng, P.1
Holyoak, K.J.2
Nisbett, R.E.3
Oliver, L.4
-
8
-
-
45249128876
-
Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography
-
Clemen, R. T. (1989) Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography, International Journal of Forecasting, 4, 559-84.
-
(1989)
International Journal of Forecasting
, vol.4
, pp. 559-584
-
-
Clemen, R.T.1
-
9
-
-
0004200927
-
Making Hard Decisions: An Introduction to Decision Analysis
-
(2nd edn.). Pacific Grove: Duxbury Press
-
Clemen, R. T. (1996) Making Hard Decisions: An Introduction to Decision Analysis (2nd edn.). Pacific Grove: Duxbury Press.
-
(1996)
-
-
Clemen, R.T.1
-
10
-
-
84980138500
-
The impact of accuracy and effort feedback and goals on adaptive decision behavior
-
Creyer, E. H., Payne, J. W., & Bettman, J. R. (1990) The impact of accuracy and effort feedback and goals on adaptive decision behavior, Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 3, 1-16.
-
(1990)
Journal of Behavioral Decision Making
, vol.3
, pp. 1-16
-
-
Creyer, E.H.1
Payne, J.W.2
Bettman, J.R.3
-
12
-
-
0024981793
-
Clinical versus actuarial judgment
-
Dawes, R. M., Faust, D., & Meehl, P. E. (1989) Clinical versus actuarial judgment, Science, 243, 1668-74.
-
(1989)
Science
, vol.243
, pp. 1668-1674
-
-
Dawes, R.M.1
Faust, D.2
Meehl, P.E.3
-
14
-
-
0010149993
-
Anticipations of effort and accuracy in multiattribute choice
-
Fennema, M. G. & Kleinmuntz, D. N. (1995) Anticipations of effort and accuracy in multiattribute choice, Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 63 (1), 21-32.
-
(1995)
Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes
, vol.63
, Issue.1
, pp. 21-32
-
-
Fennema, M.G.1
Kleinmuntz, D.N.2
-
15
-
-
0002871842
-
Debiasing
-
D. Kahneman, P. Slovic, and A. Tversky (eds.), Cambridge: Cambridge University Press
-
Fischhoff, B. (1982) Debiasing. In D. Kahneman, P. Slovic, and A. Tversky (eds.), Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (pp. 422-44). Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
-
(1982)
Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases
, pp. 422-444
-
-
Fischhoff, B.1
-
16
-
-
0001967344
-
The effects of statistical training on thinking about everyday problems
-
Fong, G. T., Krantz, D. H., & Nisbett, R. E. (1986) The effects of statistical training on thinking about everyday problems, Cognitive Psychology, 18, 253-92.
-
(1986)
Cognitive Psychology
, vol.18
, pp. 253-292
-
-
Fong, G.T.1
Krantz, D.H.2
Nisbett, R.E.3
-
17
-
-
0026127152
-
Immediate and delayed transfer of training effects in statistical reasoning
-
Fong, G. T. & Nisbett, R. E. (1991) Immediate and delayed transfer of training effects in statistical reasoning, Journal of Experimental Psychology, 120, 34-5.
-
(1991)
Journal of Experimental Psychology
, vol.120
, pp. 34-35
-
-
Fong, G.T.1
Nisbett, R.E.2
-
18
-
-
11944267218
-
How to improve Bayesian reasoning without instruction: Frequency formats
-
Gigerenzer, G. & Hoffrage, U. (1995) How to improve Bayesian reasoning without instruction: Frequency formats, Psychological Review, 102, 684-704.
-
(1995)
Psychological Review
, vol.102
, pp. 684-704
-
-
Gigerenzer, G.1
Hoffrage, U.2
-
19
-
-
0001210347
-
The influence of decision aids on user behavior: Implications for knowledge acquisition and inappropriate reliance
-
Glover, S. M., Prawitt, D. F., & Spilker, B. C. (1997) The influence of decision aids on user behavior: Implications for knowledge acquisition and inappropriate reliance, Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 72, 232-55.
-
(1997)
Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes
, vol.72
, pp. 232-255
-
-
Glover, S.M.1
Prawitt, D.F.2
Spilker, B.C.3
-
20
-
-
0033070632
-
Frequency, probability, and prediction: Easy solutions to cognitive illusions
-
Griffin, D. & Buehler, R. (1999) Frequency, probability, and prediction: Easy solutions to cognitive illusions? Cognitive Psychology, 38, 48-78.
-
(1999)
Cognitive Psychology
, vol.38
, pp. 48-78
-
-
Griffin, D.1
Buehler, R.2
-
22
-
-
0003842901
-
Smart Choices: A Practical Guide to Making Better Life Decisions
-
New York: Broadway Books
-
Hammond, J. S., Keeney, R. L., & Raiffa, H. (1997) Smart Choices: A Practical Guide to Making Better Life Decisions. New York: Broadway Books.
-
(1997)
-
-
Hammond, J.S.1
Keeney, R.L.2
Raiffa, H.3
-
23
-
-
22044456954
-
Cognitive repairs: How organizations compensate for the shortcomings of individual learners
-
Heath, C., Larrick, R. P., & Klayman, J. (1998) Cognitive repairs: How organizations compensate for the shortcomings of individual learners, Research in Organizational Behavior, 20, 1-37.
-
(1998)
Research in Organizational Behavior
, vol.20
, pp. 1-37
-
-
Heath, C.1
Larrick, R.P.2
Klayman, J.3
-
25
-
-
0010838484
-
Educating Intuition
-
Chicago: University of Chicago
-
Hogarth, R. M. (2001) Educating Intuition. Chicago: University of Chicago.
-
(2001)
-
-
Hogarth, R.M.1
-
26
-
-
0026198232
-
Learning from feedback: Exactingness and incentives
-
Hogarth, R. M., Gibbs, B. J., McKenzie, C. R. M., & Marquis, M. A. (1991) Learning from feedback: Exactingness and incentives, Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 17, 734-52.
-
(1991)
Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition
, vol.17
, pp. 734-752
-
-
Hogarth, R.M.1
Gibbs, B.J.2
McKenzie, C.R.M.3
Marquis, M.A.4
-
27
-
-
23044523076
-
Accounting and convincing: The effects of two types of justification on the decision process
-
Huber, O. & Seiser, G. (2001) Accounting and convincing: The effects of two types of justification on the decision process, Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 14, 69-85.
-
(2001)
Journal of Behavioral Decision Making
, vol.14
, pp. 69-85
-
-
Huber, O.1
Seiser, G.2
-
28
-
-
84971137986
-
Inductive reasoning: Competence or skill
-
Jepson, D., Krantz, D. H., & Nisbett, R. E. (1983) Inductive reasoning: Competence or skill? Behavioral and Brain Sciences, 6, 494-501.
-
(1983)
Behavioral and Brain Sciences
, vol.6
, pp. 494-501
-
-
Jepson, D.1
Krantz, D.H.2
Nisbett, R.E.3
-
29
-
-
0242267471
-
A perspective on judgment and choice: Mapping bounded rationality
-
Kahneman, D. (2003). A perspective on judgment and choice: Mapping bounded rationality, American Psychologist, 58, 697-720.
-
(2003)
American Psychologist
, vol.58
, pp. 697-720
-
-
Kahneman, D.1
-
30
-
-
0013305901
-
Representativeness revisited: Attribute substitution in intuitive judgment
-
T. Gilovich, D. Griffin, & D. Kahneman (eds.), New York: Cambridge University Press
-
Kahneman, D. & Frederick, S. (2002) Representativeness revisited: Attribute substitution in intuitive judgment. In T. Gilovich, D. Griffin, & D. Kahneman (eds.), Heuristics and biases (pp. 49-81). New York: Cambridge University Press.
-
(2002)
Heuristics and biases
, pp. 49-81
-
-
Kahneman, D.1
Frederick, S.2
-
31
-
-
23044523699
-
The effects of predictive ability information, locus of control, and decision maker involvement on decision aid reliance
-
Kaplan, S. E., Reneau, J. H., & Whitecotton, S. (2001) The effects of predictive ability information, locus of control, and decision maker involvement on decision aid reliance, Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 14, 35-50.
-
(2001)
Journal of Behavioral Decision Making
, vol.14
, pp. 35-50
-
-
Kaplan, S.E.1
Reneau, J.H.2
Whitecotton, S.3
-
32
-
-
0004191345
-
Prophets in the Dark: How Xerox Reinvented Itself and Drove Back the Japanese
-
New York: Harper Business
-
Kearns, D. T. & Nadler, D. A. (1992) Prophets in the Dark: How Xerox Reinvented Itself and Drove Back the Japanese. New York: Harper Business.
-
(1992)
-
-
Kearns, D.T.1
Nadler, D.A.2
-
33
-
-
0036877242
-
Common mistakes in making value trade-offs
-
Keeney, R. L. (2002) Common mistakes in making value trade-offs, Operations Research, 50, 935-45.
-
(2002)
Operations Research
, vol.50
, pp. 935-945
-
-
Keeney, R.L.1
-
34
-
-
0025422983
-
Why we still use our heads instead of formulas: Toward an integrative approach
-
Kleinmuntz, B. (1990) Why we still use our heads instead of formulas: Toward an integrative approach, Psychological Bulletin, 107, 296-310.
-
(1990)
Psychological Bulletin
, vol.107
, pp. 296-310
-
-
Kleinmuntz, B.1
-
35
-
-
0002534736
-
Decomposition and the control of error in decision-analytic models
-
R. M. Hogarth (ed.), Chicago: University of Chicago Press
-
Kleinmuntz, D. N. (1990) Decomposition and the control of error in decision-analytic models. In R. M. Hogarth (ed.), Insights in Decision Making (pp. 107-26). Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
-
(1990)
Insights in Decision Making
, pp. 107-126
-
-
Kleinmuntz, D.N.1
-
36
-
-
12044259519
-
Self-protective processes in decision making
-
Larrick, R. P. (1993) Self-protective processes in decision making, Psychological Bulletin, 113, 440-50.
-
(1993)
Psychological Bulletin
, vol.113
, pp. 440-450
-
-
Larrick, R.P.1
-
37
-
-
84970103691
-
Teaching the use of cost-benefit reasoning in everyday life
-
Larrick, R. P., Morgan, J. N., & Nisbett, R. E. (1990) Teaching the use of cost-benefit reasoning in everyday life, Psychological Science, 1, 362-70.
-
(1990)
Psychological Science
, vol.1
, pp. 362-370
-
-
Larrick, R.P.1
Morgan, J.N.2
Nisbett, R.E.3
-
38
-
-
38249001176
-
Who uses the normative rules of choice? Implications for the normative status of microeconomic theory
-
Larrick, R. P., Nisbett, R. E., & Morgan, J. N. (1993) Who uses the normative rules of choice? Implications for the normative status of microeconomic theory, Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 56, 331-47.
-
(1993)
Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes
, vol.56
, pp. 331-347
-
-
Larrick, R.P.1
Nisbett, R.E.2
Morgan, J.N.3
-
39
-
-
0348078091
-
A longitudinal study of the effects of undergraduate education on reasoning
-
Lehman, D. R. & Nisbett, R. E. (1990). A longitudinal study of the effects of undergraduate education on reasoning, Developmental Psychology, 26, 952-60.
-
(1990)
Developmental Psychology
, vol.26
, pp. 952-960
-
-
Lehman, D.R.1
Nisbett, R.E.2
-
41
-
-
0033089176
-
Accounting for the effects of accountability
-
Lerner, J. S. & Tetlock, P. E. (1999) Accounting for the effects of accountability, Psychological Bulletin, 125, 225-75.
-
(1999)
Psychological Bulletin
, vol.125
, pp. 225-275
-
-
Lerner, J.S.1
Tetlock, P.E.2
-
42
-
-
0034346303
-
Overcoming the inevitable anchoring effect: Considering the opposite compensates for selective accessibility
-
Mussweiler, T., Strack, F., & Pfeiffer, T. (2000) Overcoming the inevitable anchoring effect: Considering the opposite compensates for selective accessibility, Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin, 26, 1142-50.
-
(2000)
Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin
, vol.26
, pp. 1142-1150
-
-
Mussweiler, T.1
Strack, F.2
Pfeiffer, T.3
-
43
-
-
0004248310
-
Rules for Reasoning
-
(ed.). Hillsdale, NJ: Erlbaum
-
Nisbett, R. E. (ed.) (1993) Rules for Reasoning. Hillsdale, NJ: Erlbaum.
-
(1993)
-
-
Nisbett, R.E.1
-
44
-
-
0011506513
-
The use of statistical heuristics in everyday reasoning
-
Nisbett, R. E., Krantz, D. H., Jepson, D., & Kunda, Z. (1983) The use of statistical heuristics in everyday reasoning, Psychological Review, 90, 339-63.
-
(1983)
Psychological Review
, vol.90
, pp. 339-363
-
-
Nisbett, R.E.1
Krantz, D.H.2
Jepson, D.3
Kunda, Z.4
-
45
-
-
0003736067
-
The Adaptive Decision Maker
-
Cambridge: Cambridge University Press
-
Payne, J. W., Bettman, J. R., & Johnson, E. J. (1993) The Adaptive Decision Maker. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
-
(1993)
-
-
Payne, J.W.1
Bettman, J.R.2
Johnson, E.J.3
-
46
-
-
0033264380
-
Measuring constructed preferences: Towards a building code
-
Payne, J. W., Bettman, J. R., & Schkade, D. A. (1999) Measuring constructed preferences: Towards a building code, Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 19, 243-70.
-
(1999)
Journal of Risk and Uncertainty
, vol.19
, pp. 243-270
-
-
Payne, J.W.1
Bettman, J.R.2
Schkade, D.A.3
-
47
-
-
0003998394
-
Decision Analysis
-
Reading, MA: Addison-Wesley
-
Raiffa, H. (1968) Decision Analysis. Reading, MA: Addison-Wesley.
-
(1968)
-
-
Raiffa, H.1
-
48
-
-
38149145036
-
Information displays and choice processes: Differential effects of organization, form, and sequence
-
Schkade, D. A. & Kleinmuntz, D. N. (1994) Information displays and choice processes: Differential effects of organization, form, and sequence, Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 57, 319-37.
-
(1994)
Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes
, vol.57
, pp. 319-337
-
-
Schkade, D.A.1
Kleinmuntz, D.N.2
-
49
-
-
0004160819
-
Improving Statistical Reasoning: Theoretical Models and Practical Implications
-
Mahwah, NJ: Erlbaum
-
Sedlmeier, P. (1999) Improving Statistical Reasoning: Theoretical Models and Practical Implications. Mahwah, NJ: Erlbaum.
-
(1999)
-
-
Sedlmeier, P.1
-
51
-
-
0000704093
-
Choice based on reasons: The case of attraction and compromise effects
-
Simonson, I. (1989) Choice based on reasons: The case of attraction and compromise effects, Journal of Consumer Research, 16, 158-74.
-
(1989)
Journal of Consumer Research
, vol.16
, pp. 158-174
-
-
Simonson, I.1
-
53
-
-
1542297789
-
Overconfidence in interval estimates
-
Soll, J. B. & Klayman, J. (2004) Overconfidence in interval estimates, Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 30, 299-314.
-
(2004)
Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition
, vol.30
, pp. 299-314
-
-
Soll, J.B.1
Klayman, J.2
-
54
-
-
32144457388
-
Strategies for revising judgment: How, and how well, do people use others' opinions
-
Unpublished manuscript
-
Soll, J. B. & Larrick, R. P. (2004) Strategies for revising judgment: How, and how well, do people use others' opinions? Unpublished manuscript.
-
(2004)
-
-
Soll, J.B.1
Larrick, R.P.2
-
56
-
-
0032135846
-
The smell of bias: What instigates correction processes in social judgments
-
Stapel, D. A., Martin, L. L., & Schwarz, N. (1998) The smell of bias: What instigates correction processes in social judgments? Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin, 24, 797-806.
-
(1998)
Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin
, vol.24
, pp. 797-806
-
-
Stapel, D.A.1
Martin, L.L.2
Schwarz, N.3
-
57
-
-
0010718115
-
Evaluating credit applications: A validation of multiattribute utility weight elicitation techniques
-
Stillwell, W. G., Barron, F. H., & Edwards, W. (1983) Evaluating credit applications: A validation of multiattribute utility weight elicitation techniques, Organizational Behavior and Human Performance, 32, 87-108.
-
(1983)
Organizational Behavior and Human Performance
, vol.32
, pp. 87-108
-
-
Stillwell, W.G.1
Barron, F.H.2
Edwards, W.3
-
60
-
-
0041981241
-
Save more tomorrow: Using behavioral economics to increase employee saving
-
Working paper, University of Chicago
-
Thaler, R. H. & Benartzi, S. (2001) Save more tomorrow: Using behavioral economics to increase employee saving. Working paper, University of Chicago.
-
(2001)
-
-
Thaler, R.H.1
Benartzi, S.2
-
61
-
-
22844456386
-
Inducing compensatory information processing through decision aids that facilitate effort reduction: An experimental assessment
-
Todd, P. & Benbasat, I. (2000) Inducing compensatory information processing through decision aids that facilitate effort reduction: An experimental assessment, Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 13, 91-106.
-
(2000)
Journal of Behavioral Decision Making
, vol.13
, pp. 91-106
-
-
Todd, P.1
Benbasat, I.2
-
62
-
-
43249084062
-
Extensional vs. intuitive reasoning: The conjunction fallacy in probability judgment
-
Tversky, A. & Kahneman, D. (1983) Extensional vs. intuitive reasoning: The conjunction fallacy in probability judgment, Psychological Review, 90, 293-315.
-
(1983)
Psychological Review
, vol.90
, pp. 293-315
-
-
Tversky, A.1
Kahneman, D.2
-
63
-
-
0029202759
-
Flexible correction processes in social judgment: The role of naïve theories in corrections for perceived bias
-
Wegener, D. T. & Petty, R. E. (1995) Flexible correction processes in social judgment: The role of naïve theories in corrections for perceived bias, Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 68, 36-51.
-
(1995)
Journal of Personality and Social Psychology
, vol.68
, pp. 36-51
-
-
Wegener, D.T.1
Petty, R.E.2
-
64
-
-
0028471543
-
Mental contamination and mental correction: Unwanted influences on judgments and evaluations
-
Wilson, T. D. & Brekke, N. (1994) Mental contamination and mental correction: Unwanted influences on judgments and evaluations, Psychological Bulletin, 116, 117-42.
-
(1994)
Psychological Bulletin
, vol.116
, pp. 117-142
-
-
Wilson, T.D.1
Brekke, N.2
-
65
-
-
0026110450
-
Thinking too much: Introspection can reduce the quality of preferences and decisions
-
Wilson, T. D. & Schooler, J. W. (1991) Thinking too much: Introspection can reduce the quality of preferences and decisions, Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 60, 181-92.
-
(1991)
Journal of Personality and Social Psychology
, vol.60
, pp. 181-192
-
-
Wilson, T.D.1
Schooler, J.W.2
-
66
-
-
0032220665
-
The rhetoric and reality of total quality management
-
Zbaracki, M. J. (1998) The rhetoric and reality of total quality management, Administrative Science Quarterly, 43, 602-36.
-
(1998)
Administrative Science Quarterly
, vol.43
, pp. 602-636
-
-
Zbaracki, M.J.1
|