-
1
-
-
68749087129
-
ENSO Modoki impact on the Southern Hemisphere storm track activity during extended austral winter
-
Ashok, K., Tam, C.Y., Lee, W.J., ENSO Modoki impact on the Southern Hemisphere storm track activity during extended austral winter. Geophysical Research Letters, 36, 2009, L12705.
-
(2009)
Geophysical Research Letters
, vol.36
, pp. L12705
-
-
Ashok, K.1
Tam, C.Y.2
Lee, W.J.3
-
2
-
-
84857296979
-
Tipping points in open systems: bifurcation, noise-induced and rate-dependent examples in the climate system
-
Ashwin, P., Wieczorek, S., Vitolo, R., Cox, P.M., Tipping points in open systems: bifurcation, noise-induced and rate-dependent examples in the climate system. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences 370 (2012), 1166–1184.
-
(2012)
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences
, vol.370
, pp. 1166-1184
-
-
Ashwin, P.1
Wieczorek, S.2
Vitolo, R.3
Cox, P.M.4
-
3
-
-
33845918063
-
Integrated model shows that atmospheric brown clouds and greenhouse gases have reduced rice harvests in India
-
Auffhammer, M., Ramanathan, V., Vincent, J.R., Integrated model shows that atmospheric brown clouds and greenhouse gases have reduced rice harvests in India. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 103 (2006), 19668–21967.
-
(2006)
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
, vol.103
, pp. 19668-21967
-
-
Auffhammer, M.1
Ramanathan, V.2
Vincent, J.R.3
-
4
-
-
79958247873
-
Spatial and temporal signatures of fragility and threshold proximity in modelled semi-arid vegetation
-
Bailey, R.M., Spatial and temporal signatures of fragility and threshold proximity in modelled semi-arid vegetation. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences 278 (2011), 1064–1107.
-
(2011)
Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences
, vol.278
, pp. 1064-1107
-
-
Bailey, R.M.1
-
5
-
-
34447279719
-
Evidence for a rapid global climate shift across the late 1960
-
Baines, P.G., Folland, C.K., Evidence for a rapid global climate shift across the late 1960. Journal of Climate 20 (2007), 2721–2744.
-
(2007)
Journal of Climate
, vol.20
, pp. 2721-2744
-
-
Baines, P.G.1
Folland, C.K.2
-
6
-
-
65349159792
-
Rapid oceanic and atmospheric changes during the Younger Dryas cold period
-
Bakke, J., Lie, O., Heegaard, E., Dokken, T., Haug, G.H., Birks, H.H., Dulski, P., Nilsen, T., Rapid oceanic and atmospheric changes during the Younger Dryas cold period. Nature Geoscience 2 (2009), 202–205.
-
(2009)
Nature Geoscience
, vol.2
, pp. 202-205
-
-
Bakke, J.1
Lie, O.2
Heegaard, E.3
Dokken, T.4
Haug, G.H.5
Birks, H.H.6
Dulski, P.7
Nilsen, T.8
-
8
-
-
84893425009
-
Alternative stable states in ecology
-
Beisner, B.E., Haydon, D.T., Cuddington, K., Alternative stable states in ecology. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 1 (2003), 376–382.
-
(2003)
Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment
, vol.1
, pp. 376-382
-
-
Beisner, B.E.1
Haydon, D.T.2
Cuddington, K.3
-
9
-
-
0041768074
-
Climatic change in mountainous regions: a review of possible impacts
-
Beniston, M., Climatic change in mountainous regions: a review of possible impacts. Climatic Change 59 (2003), 5–31.
-
(2003)
Climatic Change
, vol.59
, pp. 5-31
-
-
Beniston, M.1
-
10
-
-
58849120172
-
Turning back from the brink: detecting an impending regime shift in time to avert it
-
Biggs, R., Carpenter, S.R., Brock, W.A., Turning back from the brink: detecting an impending regime shift in time to avert it. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 106 (2009), 826–883.
-
(2009)
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
, vol.106
, pp. 826-883
-
-
Biggs, R.1
Carpenter, S.R.2
Brock, W.A.3
-
11
-
-
82255175694
-
The effect of environmental change on human migration
-
Black, R., Adger, W.N., Arnell, N.W., Dercon, S., Geddes, A., Thomas, D., The effect of environmental change on human migration. Global Environmental Change 21 (2011), S3–S11.
-
(2011)
Global Environmental Change
, vol.21
, pp. S3-S11
-
-
Black, R.1
Adger, W.N.2
Arnell, N.W.3
Dercon, S.4
Geddes, A.5
Thomas, D.6
-
12
-
-
84859615851
-
Aerosols implicated as a prime driver of twentieth-century North Atlantic climate variability
-
Booth, B.B.B., Dunstone, N.J., Halloran, P.R., Andrews, T., Bellouin, N., Aerosols implicated as a prime driver of twentieth-century North Atlantic climate variability. Nature 484 (2012), 228–232.
-
(2012)
Nature
, vol.484
, pp. 228-232
-
-
Booth, B.B.B.1
Dunstone, N.J.2
Halloran, P.R.3
Andrews, T.4
Bellouin, N.5
-
14
-
-
73949117483
-
Warming increases the risk of civil war in Africa
-
Burke, M.B., Miguel, E., Satyanath, S., Dykema, J.A., Lobell, D.B., Warming increases the risk of civil war in Africa. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 106 (2009), 20670–22067.
-
(2009)
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
, vol.106
, pp. 20670-22067
-
-
Burke, M.B.1
Miguel, E.2
Satyanath, S.3
Dykema, J.A.4
Lobell, D.B.5
-
15
-
-
0042471945
-
Indian Ocean climate and an absolute chronology over Dansgaard/Oeschger events 9 to 13
-
Burns, S.J., Fleitmann, D., Matter, A., Kramers, J., Al-Subbary, A.A., Indian Ocean climate and an absolute chronology over Dansgaard/Oeschger events 9 to 13. Science 301 (2003), 1365–1367.
-
(2003)
Science
, vol.301
, pp. 1365-1367
-
-
Burns, S.J.1
Fleitmann, D.2
Matter, A.3
Kramers, J.4
Al-Subbary, A.A.5
-
16
-
-
33644933342
-
Rising variance: a leading indicator of ecological transition
-
Carpenter, S.R., Brock, W.A., Rising variance: a leading indicator of ecological transition. Ecology Letters 9 (2006), 311–318.
-
(2006)
Ecology Letters
, vol.9
, pp. 311-318
-
-
Carpenter, S.R.1
Brock, W.A.2
-
17
-
-
37849026026
-
Leading indicators of trophic cascades
-
Carpenter, S.R., Brock, W.A., Cole, J.J., Kitchell, J.F., Pace, M.L., Leading indicators of trophic cascades. Ecology Letters 11 (2008), 128–138.
-
(2008)
Ecology Letters
, vol.11
, pp. 128-138
-
-
Carpenter, S.R.1
Brock, W.A.2
Cole, J.J.3
Kitchell, J.F.4
Pace, M.L.5
-
18
-
-
79957619918
-
Early warnings of regime shifts: a whole-ecosystem experiment
-
Carpenter, S.R., Cole, J.J., Pace, M.L., Batt, R., Brock, W.A., Cline, T., Coloso, J., Hodgson, J.R., Kitchell, J.F., Seekell, D.A., Smith, L., Weidel, B., Early warnings of regime shifts: a whole-ecosystem experiment. Science 332 (2011), 1079–1082.
-
(2011)
Science
, vol.332
, pp. 1079-1082
-
-
Carpenter, S.R.1
Cole, J.J.2
Pace, M.L.3
Batt, R.4
Brock, W.A.5
Cline, T.6
Coloso, J.7
Hodgson, J.R.8
Kitchell, J.F.9
Seekell, D.A.10
Smith, L.11
Weidel, B.12
-
19
-
-
55749092707
-
Oceanic link between abrupt change in the North Atlantic Ocean and the African monsoon
-
Chang, P., Zhang, R., Hazeleger, W., Wen, C., Wan, X., Ji, L., Haarsma, R.J., Breugem, W.-P., Seidel, H., Oceanic link between abrupt change in the North Atlantic Ocean and the African monsoon. Nature Geoscience 1 (2008), 444–448.
-
(2008)
Nature Geoscience
, vol.1
, pp. 444-448
-
-
Chang, P.1
Zhang, R.2
Hazeleger, W.3
Wen, C.4
Wan, X.5
Ji, L.6
Haarsma, R.J.7
Breugem, W.-P.8
Seidel, H.9
-
20
-
-
0035039892
-
Economic implications of potential ENSO frequency and strength shifts
-
Chen, C.-C., McCarl, B., Adams, R., Economic implications of potential ENSO frequency and strength shifts. Climatic Change 49 (2001), 147–159.
-
(2001)
Climatic Change
, vol.49
, pp. 147-159
-
-
Chen, C.-C.1
McCarl, B.2
Adams, R.3
-
21
-
-
59649106299
-
Critical slowing down as an indicator of transitions in two-species models
-
Chisholm, R.A., Filotas, E., Critical slowing down as an indicator of transitions in two-species models. Journal of Theoretical Biology 257 (2009), 142–149.
-
(2009)
Journal of Theoretical Biology
, vol.257
, pp. 142-149
-
-
Chisholm, R.A.1
Filotas, E.2
-
22
-
-
79952599340
-
Physical and economic consequences of climate change in Europe
-
Ciscar, J.-C., Iglesias, A., Feyen, L., Szabo, L., Van Regemorter, D., Amelung, B., Nicholls, R., Watkiss, P., Christensen, O.B., Dankers, R., Garrote, L., Goodess, C.M., Hunt, A., Moreno, A., Richards, J., Soria, A., Physical and economic consequences of climate change in Europe. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 108 (2011), 2678–3268.
-
(2011)
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
, vol.108
, pp. 2678-3268
-
-
Ciscar, J.-C.1
Iglesias, A.2
Feyen, L.3
Szabo, L.4
Van Regemorter, D.5
Amelung, B.6
Nicholls, R.7
Watkiss, P.8
Christensen, O.B.9
Dankers, R.10
Garrote, L.11
Goodess, C.M.12
Hunt, A.13
Moreno, A.14
Richards, J.15
Soria, A.16
-
23
-
-
77954851195
-
The impact of global warming on the tropical Pacific Ocean and El Nino
-
Collins, M., An, S.-I., Cai, W., Ganachaud, A., Guilyardi, E., Jin, F.-F., Jochum, M., Lengaigne, M., Power, S., Timmermann, A., Vecchi, G., Wittenberg, A., The impact of global warming on the tropical Pacific Ocean and El Nino. Nature Geoscience 3 (2010), 391–397.
-
(2010)
Nature Geoscience
, vol.3
, pp. 391-397
-
-
Collins, M.1
An, S.-I.2
Cai, W.3
Ganachaud, A.4
Guilyardi, E.5
Jin, F.-F.6
Jochum, M.7
Lengaigne, M.8
Power, S.9
Timmermann, A.10
Vecchi, G.11
Wittenberg, A.12
-
24
-
-
65349131829
-
Indicators of regime shifts in ecological systems: what do we need to know and when do we need to know it?
-
Contamin, R., Ellison, A.M., Indicators of regime shifts in ecological systems: what do we need to know and when do we need to know it?. Ecological Applications 19 (2009), 799–816.
-
(2009)
Ecological Applications
, vol.19
, pp. 799-816
-
-
Contamin, R.1
Ellison, A.M.2
-
25
-
-
33748324815
-
Coupled model simulations of the west African monsoon system: twentieth- and twenty-first-century simulations
-
Cook, K.H., Vizy, E.K., Coupled model simulations of the west African monsoon system: twentieth- and twenty-first-century simulations. Journal of Climate 19 (2006), 3681–3703.
-
(2006)
Journal of Climate
, vol.19
, pp. 3681-3703
-
-
Cook, K.H.1
Vizy, E.K.2
-
26
-
-
60749126336
-
Springtime intensification of the great plains low-level jet and midwest precipitation in GCM simulations of the twenty-first century
-
Cook, K.H., Vizy, E.K., Launer, Z.S., Patricola, C.M., Springtime intensification of the great plains low-level jet and midwest precipitation in GCM simulations of the twenty-first century. Journal of Climate 21 (2008), 6321–6340.
-
(2008)
Journal of Climate
, vol.21
, pp. 6321-6340
-
-
Cook, K.H.1
Vizy, E.K.2
Launer, Z.S.3
Patricola, C.M.4
-
27
-
-
67349203641
-
The story of phosphorus: global food security and food for thought
-
Cordell, D., Drangert, J.-O., White, S., The story of phosphorus: global food security and food for thought. Global Environmental Change 19 (2009), 292–305.
-
(2009)
Global Environmental Change
, vol.19
, pp. 292-305
-
-
Cordell, D.1
Drangert, J.-O.2
White, S.3
-
29
-
-
34248640148
-
Early warning systems for malaria in Africa: from blueprint to practice
-
Cox, J., Abeku, T.A., Early warning systems for malaria in Africa: from blueprint to practice. Trends in Parasitology 23 (2007), 243–246.
-
(2007)
Trends in Parasitology
, vol.23
, pp. 243-246
-
-
Cox, J.1
Abeku, T.A.2
-
30
-
-
55749083715
-
Slowing down as an early warning signal for abrupt climate change
-
Dakos, V., Scheffer, M., van Nes, E.H., Brovkin, V., Petoukhov, V., Held, H., Slowing down as an early warning signal for abrupt climate change. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 105 (2008), 14308–21431.
-
(2008)
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
, vol.105
, pp. 14308-21431
-
-
Dakos, V.1
Scheffer, M.2
van Nes, E.H.3
Brovkin, V.4
Petoukhov, V.5
Held, H.6
-
31
-
-
77954427364
-
Spatial correlation as leading indicator of catastrophic shifts
-
Dakos, V., van Nes, E., Donangelo, R., Fort, H., Scheffer, M., Spatial correlation as leading indicator of catastrophic shifts. Theoretical Ecology 3 (2010), 163–174.
-
(2010)
Theoretical Ecology
, vol.3
, pp. 163-174
-
-
Dakos, V.1
van Nes, E.2
Donangelo, R.3
Fort, H.4
Scheffer, M.5
-
32
-
-
84866342583
-
Revisiting the humid Roman hypothesis: novel analyses depict oscillating patterns
-
Dermody, B.J., de Boer, H.J., Bierkens, M.F.P., Weber, S.L., Wassen, M.J., Dekker, S.C., Revisiting the humid Roman hypothesis: novel analyses depict oscillating patterns. Climate of the Past Discussion 7 (2011), 2355–2389.
-
(2011)
Climate of the Past Discussion
, vol.7
, pp. 2355-2389
-
-
Dermody, B.J.1
de Boer, H.J.2
Bierkens, M.F.P.3
Weber, S.L.4
Wassen, M.J.5
Dekker, S.C.6
-
33
-
-
34547995185
-
Heat stress intensification in the Mediterranean climate change hotspot
-
Diffenbaugh, N.S., Pal, J.S., Giorgi, F., Gao, X., Heat stress intensification in the Mediterranean climate change hotspot. Geophysical Research Letters, 34, 2007, L11706.
-
(2007)
Geophysical Research Letters
, vol.34
, pp. L11706
-
-
Diffenbaugh, N.S.1
Pal, J.S.2
Giorgi, F.3
Gao, X.4
-
34
-
-
77957700169
-
Tipping points: early warning and wishful thinking
-
Ditlevsen, P.D., Johnsen, S.J., Tipping points: early warning and wishful thinking. Geophysical Research Letters, 37, 2010, L19703.
-
(2010)
Geophysical Research Letters
, vol.37
, pp. L19703
-
-
Ditlevsen, P.D.1
Johnsen, S.J.2
-
35
-
-
36148981855
-
Quantification of slope displacement rates using acoustic emission monitoring
-
Dixon, N., Spriggs, M., Quantification of slope displacement rates using acoustic emission monitoring. Canadian Geotechnical Journal 44 (2007), 966–976.
-
(2007)
Canadian Geotechnical Journal
, vol.44
, pp. 966-976
-
-
Dixon, N.1
Spriggs, M.2
-
36
-
-
77957147507
-
Early warning signals of extinction in deteriorating environments
-
Drake, J.M., Griffen, B.D., Early warning signals of extinction in deteriorating environments. Nature 467 (2010), 456–459.
-
(2010)
Nature
, vol.467
, pp. 456-459
-
-
Drake, J.M.1
Griffen, B.D.2
-
37
-
-
77954840261
-
Consistent geographical patterns of changes in high-impact European heatwaves
-
Fischer, E.M., Schär, C., Consistent geographical patterns of changes in high-impact European heatwaves. Nature Geoscience 3 (2010), 398–403.
-
(2010)
Nature Geoscience
, vol.3
, pp. 398-403
-
-
Fischer, E.M.1
Schär, C.2
-
38
-
-
85040788632
-
-
Foresight. Migration and Global Environmental Change: Future Challenges and Opportunities. Final Project Report. The Government Office for Science, London.
-
Foresight, 2011. Migration and Global Environmental Change: Future Challenges and Opportunities. Final Project Report. The Government Office for Science, London.
-
(2011)
-
-
-
39
-
-
33644772827
-
A physical mechanism for North Atlantic SST influence on the Indian summer monsoon
-
Goswami, B.N., Madhusoodanan, M.S., Neema, C.P., Sengupta, D., A physical mechanism for North Atlantic SST influence on the Indian summer monsoon. Geophysical Research Letters, 33, 2006, L02706.
-
(2006)
Geophysical Research Letters
, vol.33
, pp. L02706
-
-
Goswami, B.N.1
Madhusoodanan, M.S.2
Neema, C.P.3
Sengupta, D.4
-
40
-
-
85040787151
-
-
Time to Wake Up: Days of Abundant Resources and Falling Prices are Over Forever, GMO Quarterly Letter. GMO LLC.
-
Grantham, J., 2011. Time to Wake Up: Days of Abundant Resources and Falling Prices are Over Forever, GMO Quarterly Letter. GMO LLC.
-
(2011)
-
-
Grantham, J.1
-
41
-
-
32444442755
-
El Nino–mean state–seasonal cycle interactions in a multi-model ensemble
-
Guilyardi, E., El Nino–mean state–seasonal cycle interactions in a multi-model ensemble. Climate Dynamics 26 (2006), 329–348.
-
(2006)
Climate Dynamics
, vol.26
, pp. 329-348
-
-
Guilyardi, E.1
-
42
-
-
41849135754
-
Changing skewness: an early warning signal of regime shifts in ecosystems
-
Guttal, V., Jayaprakash, C., Changing skewness: an early warning signal of regime shifts in ecosystems. Ecology Letters 11 (2008), 450–460.
-
(2008)
Ecology Letters
, vol.11
, pp. 450-460
-
-
Guttal, V.1
Jayaprakash, C.2
-
43
-
-
62349131001
-
Spatial variance and spatial skewness: leading indicators of regime shifts in spatial ecological systems
-
Guttal, V., Jayaprakash, C., Spatial variance and spatial skewness: leading indicators of regime shifts in spatial ecological systems. Theoretical Ecology 2 (2009), 3–12.
-
(2009)
Theoretical Ecology
, vol.2
, pp. 3-12
-
-
Guttal, V.1
Jayaprakash, C.2
-
44
-
-
53649095202
-
Ocean warming and late-twentieth-century Sahel drought and recovery
-
Hagos, S.M., Cook, K.H., Ocean warming and late-twentieth-century Sahel drought and recovery. Journal of Climate 21 (2008), 3797–3814.
-
(2008)
Journal of Climate
, vol.21
, pp. 3797-3814
-
-
Hagos, S.M.1
Cook, K.H.2
-
45
-
-
77955212406
-
Patterns of Indian Ocean sea-level change in a warming climate
-
Han, W., Meehl, G.A., Rajagopalan, B., Fasullo, J.T., Hu, A., Lin, J., Large, W.G., Wang J.-w. Quan, X.-W., Trenary, L.L., Wallcraft, A., Shinoda, T., Yeager, S., Patterns of Indian Ocean sea-level change in a warming climate. Nature Geoscience 3 (2010), 546–550.
-
(2010)
Nature Geoscience
, vol.3
, pp. 546-550
-
-
Han, W.1
Meehl, G.A.2
Rajagopalan, B.3
Fasullo, J.T.4
Hu, A.5
Lin, J.6
Large, W.G.7
Wang J.-w. Quan, X.-W.8
Trenary, L.L.9
Wallcraft, A.10
Shinoda, T.11
Yeager, S.12
-
46
-
-
81555211106
-
Review of seasonal climate forecasting for agriculture in Sub-Saharan Africa
-
Hansen, J.W., Mason, S.J., Sun, L., Tall, A., Review of seasonal climate forecasting for agriculture in Sub-Saharan Africa. Experimental Agriculture 47 (2011), 205–240.
-
(2011)
Experimental Agriculture
, vol.47
, pp. 205-240
-
-
Hansen, J.W.1
Mason, S.J.2
Sun, L.3
Tall, A.4
-
47
-
-
0033744926
-
Empirical evidence for North Pacific regime shifts in 1977 and 1989
-
Hare, S.R., Mantua, N.J., Empirical evidence for North Pacific regime shifts in 1977 and 1989. Progress in Oceanography 47 (2000), 103–145.
-
(2000)
Progress in Oceanography
, vol.47
, pp. 103-145
-
-
Hare, S.R.1
Mantua, N.J.2
-
48
-
-
0000316389
-
Stochastic climate models. Part I. Theory
-
Hasselmann, K., Stochastic climate models. Part I. Theory. Tellus 28 (1976), 473–485.
-
(1976)
Tellus
, vol.28
, pp. 473-485
-
-
Hasselmann, K.1
-
49
-
-
16644399750
-
Detection of climate system bifurcations by degenerate fingerprinting
-
Held, H., Kleinen, T., Detection of climate system bifurcations by degenerate fingerprinting. Geophysical Research Letters, 31, 2004, L23207.
-
(2004)
Geophysical Research Letters
, vol.31
, pp. L23207
-
-
Held, H.1
Kleinen, T.2
-
50
-
-
29144435976
-
Simulation of Sahel drought in the 20th and 21st centuries
-
Held, I.M., Delworth, T.L., Lu, J., Findell, K.L., Knutson, T.R., Simulation of Sahel drought in the 20th and 21st centuries. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 102 (2005), 17891–21789.
-
(2005)
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
, vol.102
, pp. 17891-21789
-
-
Held, I.M.1
Delworth, T.L.2
Lu, J.3
Findell, K.L.4
Knutson, T.R.5
-
51
-
-
33750617761
-
Robust responses of the hydrological cycle to global warming
-
Held, I.M., Soden, B.J., Robust responses of the hydrological cycle to global warming. Journal of Climate 19 (2006), 5686–5699.
-
(2006)
Journal of Climate
, vol.19
, pp. 5686-5699
-
-
Held, I.M.1
Soden, B.J.2
-
52
-
-
80052049250
-
Civil conflicts are associated with the global climate
-
Hsiang, S.M., Meng, K.C., Cane, M.A., Civil conflicts are associated with the global climate. Nature 476 (2011), 438–441.
-
(2011)
Nature
, vol.476
, pp. 438-441
-
-
Hsiang, S.M.1
Meng, K.C.2
Cane, M.A.3
-
53
-
-
0026359994
-
Uses of satellite data for famine early warning in sub-Saharan Africa
-
Hutchinson, C.F., Uses of satellite data for famine early warning in sub-Saharan Africa. International Journal of Remote Sensing 12 (1991), 1405–1421.
-
(1991)
International Journal of Remote Sensing
, vol.12
, pp. 1405-1421
-
-
Hutchinson, C.F.1
-
54
-
-
34247370602
-
Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis
-
Cambridge University Press Cambridge
-
IPCC, Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. 2007, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
-
(2007)
-
-
IPCC1
-
55
-
-
77950522339
-
Influence of the state of the Indian Ocean Dipole on the following year's El Nino
-
Izumo, T., Vialard, J., Lengaigne, M., de Boyer Montegut, C., Behera, S.K., Luo, J.-J., Cravatte, S., Masson, S., Yamagata, T., Influence of the state of the Indian Ocean Dipole on the following year's El Nino. Nature Geoscience 3 (2010), 168–172.
-
(2010)
Nature Geoscience
, vol.3
, pp. 168-172
-
-
Izumo, T.1
Vialard, J.2
Lengaigne, M.3
de Boyer Montegut, C.4
Behera, S.K.5
Luo, J.-J.6
Cravatte, S.7
Masson, S.8
Yamagata, T.9
-
56
-
-
0029729415
-
Sahel droughts and ENSO dynamics
-
Janicot, S., Moron, V., Fontaine, B., Sahel droughts and ENSO dynamics. Geophysical Research Letters 23 (1996), 515–518.
-
(1996)
Geophysical Research Letters
, vol.23
, pp. 515-518
-
-
Janicot, S.1
Moron, V.2
Fontaine, B.3
-
57
-
-
0003946510
-
Principal Component Analysis
-
2nd ed. Springer
-
Jolliffe, I.T., Principal Component Analysis. 2nd ed., 2002, Springer.
-
(2002)
-
-
Jolliffe, I.T.1
-
58
-
-
68149168006
-
Committed ecosystem change due to climate change
-
Jones, C., Lowe, J., Liddicoat, S., Betts, R., Committed ecosystem change due to climate change. Nature Geoscience 2 (2009), 484–487.
-
(2009)
Nature Geoscience
, vol.2
, pp. 484-487
-
-
Jones, C.1
Lowe, J.2
Liddicoat, S.3
Betts, R.4
-
59
-
-
43049138035
-
Advancing decadal-scale climate prediction in the North Atlantic sector
-
Keenlyside, N.S., Latif, M., Jungclaus, J., Kornblueh, L., Roeckner, E., Advancing decadal-scale climate prediction in the North Atlantic sector. Nature 453 (2008), 84–88.
-
(2008)
Nature
, vol.453
, pp. 84-88
-
-
Keenlyside, N.S.1
Latif, M.2
Jungclaus, J.3
Kornblueh, L.4
Roeckner, E.5
-
60
-
-
34548615996
-
Spatial vegetation patterns and imminent desertification in Mediterranean arid ecosystems
-
Kefi, S., Rietkerk, M., Alados, C.L., Pueyo, Y., Papanastasis, V.P., ElAich, A., de Ruiter, P.C., Spatial vegetation patterns and imminent desertification in Mediterranean arid ecosystems. Nature 449 (2007), 213–217.
-
(2007)
Nature
, vol.449
, pp. 213-217
-
-
Kefi, S.1
Rietkerk, M.2
Alados, C.L.3
Pueyo, Y.4
Papanastasis, V.P.5
ElAich, A.6
de Ruiter, P.C.7
-
61
-
-
0242482780
-
The potential role of spectral properties in detecting thresholds in the Earth system: application to the thermohaline circulation
-
Kleinen, T., Held, H., Petschel-Held, G., The potential role of spectral properties in detecting thresholds in the Earth system: application to the thermohaline circulation. Ocean Dynamics 53 (2003), 53–63.
-
(2003)
Ocean Dynamics
, vol.53
, pp. 53-63
-
-
Kleinen, T.1
Held, H.2
Petschel-Held, G.3
-
62
-
-
23644441340
-
Refractory periods and climate forcing in cholera dynamics
-
Koelle, K., Rodo, X., Pascual, M., Yunus, M., Mostafa, G., Refractory periods and climate forcing in cholera dynamics. Nature 436 (2005), 696–700.
-
(2005)
Nature
, vol.436
, pp. 696-700
-
-
Koelle, K.1
Rodo, X.2
Pascual, M.3
Yunus, M.4
Mostafa, G.5
-
63
-
-
65249172610
-
Imprecise probability assessment of tipping points in the climate system
-
Kriegler, E., Hall, J.W., Held, H., Dawson, R., Schellnhuber, H.J., Imprecise probability assessment of tipping points in the climate system. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 106 (2009), 5041–5046.
-
(2009)
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
, vol.106
, pp. 5041-5046
-
-
Kriegler, E.1
Hall, J.W.2
Held, H.3
Dawson, R.4
Schellnhuber, H.J.5
-
64
-
-
77649116847
-
Heat wave changes in the eastern Mediterranean since 1960
-
Kuglitsch, F.G., Toreti, A., Xoplaki, E., Della-Marta, P.M., Zerefos, C.S., Türkeş M., Luterbacher, J., Heat wave changes in the eastern Mediterranean since 1960. Geophysical Research Letters, 37, 2010, L04802.
-
(2010)
Geophysical Research Letters
, vol.37
, pp. L04802
-
-
Kuglitsch, F.G.1
Toreti, A.2
Xoplaki, E.3
Della-Marta, P.M.4
Zerefos, C.S.5
Türkeş, M.6
Luterbacher, J.7
-
65
-
-
71449087410
-
Deriving dynamical models from paleoclimatic records: application to glacial millennial-scale climate variability
-
Kwasniok, F., Lohmann, G., Deriving dynamical models from paleoclimatic records: application to glacial millennial-scale climate variability. Physical Review E, 80, 2009, 066104.
-
(2009)
Physical Review E
, vol.80
, pp. 066104
-
-
Kwasniok, F.1
Lohmann, G.2
-
66
-
-
84864890710
-
A theory of migration
-
Lee, E.S., A theory of migration. Demography 3 (1966), 47–57.
-
(1966)
Demography
, vol.3
, pp. 47-57
-
-
Lee, E.S.1
-
67
-
-
80052248386
-
Early warning of climate tipping points
-
Lenton, T.M., Early warning of climate tipping points. Nature Climate Change 1 (2011), 201–209.
-
(2011)
Nature Climate Change
, vol.1
, pp. 201-209
-
-
Lenton, T.M.1
-
68
-
-
84874950664
-
Future climate surprises
-
A. Henderson-Sellers K. McGuffie Elsevier Oxford
-
Lenton, T.M., Future climate surprises. Henderson-Sellers, A., McGuffie, K., (eds.) The Future of the World's Climate, 2012, Elsevier, Oxford, 489–507.
-
(2012)
The Future of the World's Climate
, pp. 489-507
-
-
Lenton, T.M.1
-
69
-
-
84865085690
-
Major Tipping Points in the Earth's Climate System and Consequences for the Insurance Sector
-
Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research
-
Lenton, T.M., Footitt, A., Dlugolecki, A., Major Tipping Points in the Earth's Climate System and Consequences for the Insurance Sector. 2009, Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research.
-
(2009)
-
-
Lenton, T.M.1
Footitt, A.2
Dlugolecki, A.3
-
70
-
-
41149154410
-
Tipping elements in the Earth's climate system
-
Lenton, T.M., Held, H., Kriegler, E., Hall, J., Lucht, W., Rahmstorf, S., Schellnhuber, H.J., Tipping elements in the Earth's climate system. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 105 (2008), 1786–1793.
-
(2008)
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
, vol.105
, pp. 1786-1793
-
-
Lenton, T.M.1
Held, H.2
Kriegler, E.3
Hall, J.4
Lucht, W.5
Rahmstorf, S.6
Schellnhuber, H.J.7
-
71
-
-
84857328017
-
Early warning of climate tipping points from critical slowing down: comparing methods to improve robustness
-
Lenton, T.M., Livina, V.N., Dakos, V., van Nes, E.H., Scheffer, M., Early warning of climate tipping points from critical slowing down: comparing methods to improve robustness. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences 370 (2012), 1185–1204.
-
(2012)
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences
, vol.370
, pp. 1185-1204
-
-
Lenton, T.M.1
Livina, V.N.2
Dakos, V.3
van Nes, E.H.4
Scheffer, M.5
-
72
-
-
60349122520
-
Using GENIE to study a tipping point in the climate system
-
Lenton, T.M., Myerscough, R.J., Marsh, R., Livina, V.N., Price, A.R., Cox, S.J., GENIE team, Using GENIE to study a tipping point in the climate system. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences 367 (2009), 871–884.
-
(2009)
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences
, vol.367
, pp. 871-884
-
-
Lenton, T.M.1
Myerscough, R.J.2
Marsh, R.3
Livina, V.N.4
Price, A.R.5
Cox, S.J.6
GENIE team7
-
73
-
-
84856213781
-
Potential climatic transitions with profound impact on Europe: review of the current state of six ‘tipping elements of the climate system’
-
Levermann, A., Bamber, J., Drijfhout, S., Ganopolski, A., Haeberli, W., Harris, N.R.P., Huss, M., Krüger, K., Lenton, T.M., Lindsay, R.W., Notz, D., Wadhams, P., Weber, S., Potential climatic transitions with profound impact on Europe: review of the current state of six ‘tipping elements of the climate system’. Climatic Change 110 (2012), 845–878.
-
(2012)
Climatic Change
, vol.110
, pp. 845-878
-
-
Levermann, A.1
Bamber, J.2
Drijfhout, S.3
Ganopolski, A.4
Haeberli, W.5
Harris, N.R.P.6
Huss, M.7
Krüger, K.8
Lenton, T.M.9
Lindsay, R.W.10
Notz, D.11
Wadhams, P.12
Weber, S.13
-
74
-
-
73949092085
-
Basic mechanism for abrupt monsoon transitions
-
Levermann, A., Schewe, J., Petoukhov, V., Held, H., Basic mechanism for abrupt monsoon transitions. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 106 (2009), 20572–22057.
-
(2009)
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
, vol.106
, pp. 20572-22057
-
-
Levermann, A.1
Schewe, J.2
Petoukhov, V.3
Held, H.4
-
75
-
-
58149329030
-
Increased spatial variance accompanies reorganization of two continental shelf ecosystems
-
Litzow, M.A., Urban, J.D., Laurel, B.J., Increased spatial variance accompanies reorganization of two continental shelf ecosystems. Ecological Applications 18 (2008), 1331–1337.
-
(2008)
Ecological Applications
, vol.18
, pp. 1331-1337
-
-
Litzow, M.A.1
Urban, J.D.2
Laurel, B.J.3
-
76
-
-
77149154992
-
Potential analysis reveals changing number of climate states during the last 60 kyr
-
Livina, V.N., Kwasniok, F., Lenton, T.M., Potential analysis reveals changing number of climate states during the last 60 kyr. Climate of the Past 6 (2010), 77–82.
-
(2010)
Climate of the Past
, vol.6
, pp. 77-82
-
-
Livina, V.N.1
Kwasniok, F.2
Lenton, T.M.3
-
77
-
-
81455144581
-
Changing climate states and stability: from Pliocene to present
-
Livina, V.N., Kwasniok, F., Lohmann, G., Kantelhardt, J.W., Lenton, T.M., Changing climate states and stability: from Pliocene to present. Climate Dynamics 37 (2011), 2437–2453.
-
(2011)
Climate Dynamics
, vol.37
, pp. 2437-2453
-
-
Livina, V.N.1
Kwasniok, F.2
Lohmann, G.3
Kantelhardt, J.W.4
Lenton, T.M.5
-
78
-
-
34548036505
-
A modified method for detecting incipient bifurcations in a dynamical system
-
Livina, V.N., Lenton, T.M., A modified method for detecting incipient bifurcations in a dynamical system. Geophysical Research Letters, 34, 2007, L03712.
-
(2007)
Geophysical Research Letters
, vol.34
, pp. L03712
-
-
Livina, V.N.1
Lenton, T.M.2
-
79
-
-
84055193734
-
Heatwave early warning systems and adaptation advice to reduce human health consequences of heatwaves
-
Lowe, D., Ebi, K.L., Forsberg, B., Heatwave early warning systems and adaptation advice to reduce human health consequences of heatwaves. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 8 (2011), 4623–4648.
-
(2011)
International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health
, vol.8
, pp. 4623-4648
-
-
Lowe, D.1
Ebi, K.L.2
Forsberg, B.3
-
80
-
-
34249907055
-
Expansion of the Hadley cell under global warming
-
Lu, J., Vecchi, G.A., Reichler, T., Expansion of the Hadley cell under global warming. Geophysical Research Letters, 34, 2007, L06805.
-
(2007)
Geophysical Research Letters
, vol.34
, pp. L06805
-
-
Lu, J.1
Vecchi, G.A.2
Reichler, T.3
-
81
-
-
67650687064
-
Is the patch size distribution of vegetation a suitable indicator of desertification processes?
-
Maestre, F.T., Escudero, A.N., Is the patch size distribution of vegetation a suitable indicator of desertification processes?. Ecology 90 (2009), 1729–1735.
-
(2009)
Ecology
, vol.90
, pp. 1729-1735
-
-
Maestre, F.T.1
Escudero, A.N.2
-
82
-
-
79952922736
-
Opportunities and limitations to detect climate-related regime shifts in inland Arctic ecosystems through eco-hydrological monitoring
-
Mård Karlsson, J., Bring, A., Peterson, G.D., Gordon, L.J., Destouni, G., Opportunities and limitations to detect climate-related regime shifts in inland Arctic ecosystems through eco-hydrological monitoring. Environmental Research Letters, 6, 2011, 014015.
-
(2011)
Environmental Research Letters
, vol.6
, pp. 014015
-
-
Mård Karlsson, J.1
Bring, A.2
Peterson, G.D.3
Gordon, L.J.4
Destouni, G.5
-
83
-
-
44449104121
-
Effects of black carbon aerosols on the Indian monsoon
-
Meehl, G.A., Arblaster, J.M., Collins, W.D., Effects of black carbon aerosols on the Indian monsoon. Journal of Climate 21 (2008), 2869–2882.
-
(2008)
Journal of Climate
, vol.21
, pp. 2869-2882
-
-
Meehl, G.A.1
Arblaster, J.M.2
Collins, W.D.3
-
84
-
-
57649233077
-
Economic value of seasonal climate forecasts for agriculture: review of ex-ante assessments and recommendations for future research
-
Meza, F.J., Hansen, J.W., Osgood, D., Economic value of seasonal climate forecasts for agriculture: review of ex-ante assessments and recommendations for future research. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology 47 (2008), 1269–1286.
-
(2008)
Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology
, vol.47
, pp. 1269-1286
-
-
Meza, F.J.1
Hansen, J.W.2
Osgood, D.3
-
85
-
-
27844519343
-
Global pattern of trends in streamflow and water availability in a changing climate
-
Milly, P.C.D., Dunne, K.A., Vecchia, A.V., Global pattern of trends in streamflow and water availability in a changing climate. Nature 438 (2005), 347–350.
-
(2005)
Nature
, vol.438
, pp. 347-350
-
-
Milly, P.C.D.1
Dunne, K.A.2
Vecchia, A.V.3
-
86
-
-
0035931898
-
Recent mass balance of polar ice sheets inferred from patterns of sea-level change
-
Mitrovica, J.X., Tamislea, M.E., Davis, J.L., Milne, G.A., Recent mass balance of polar ice sheets inferred from patterns of sea-level change. Nature 409 (2001), 1026–1029.
-
(2001)
Nature
, vol.409
, pp. 1026-1029
-
-
Mitrovica, J.X.1
Tamislea, M.E.2
Davis, J.L.3
Milne, G.A.4
-
87
-
-
0021572098
-
The Southern Oscillation, sea-surface temperature, and interannual fluctuations in Australian tropical cyclone activity
-
Nicholls, N., The Southern Oscillation, sea-surface temperature, and interannual fluctuations in Australian tropical cyclone activity. Journal of Climatology 4 (1984), 661–670.
-
(1984)
Journal of Climatology
, vol.4
, pp. 661-670
-
-
Nicholls, N.1
-
88
-
-
0022167879
-
Impact of the Southern Oscillation on Australian crops
-
Nicholls, N., Impact of the Southern Oscillation on Australian crops. Journal of Climatology 5 (1985), 553–560.
-
(1985)
Journal of Climatology
, vol.5
, pp. 553-560
-
-
Nicholls, N.1
-
89
-
-
0034622971
-
Cholera dynamics and El Nino-Southern Oscillation
-
Pascual, M., Rodo, X., Ellner, S.P., Colwell, R., Bouma, M.J., Cholera dynamics and El Nino-Southern Oscillation. Science 289 (2000), 1766–1769.
-
(2000)
Science
, vol.289
, pp. 1766-1769
-
-
Pascual, M.1
Rodo, X.2
Ellner, S.P.3
Colwell, R.4
Bouma, M.J.5
-
90
-
-
0036772914
-
Effective seasonal climate forecast applications: examining constraints for subsistence farmers in Zimbabwe
-
Patt, A., Gwata, C., Effective seasonal climate forecast applications: examining constraints for subsistence farmers in Zimbabwe. Global Environmental Change 12 (2002), 185–195.
-
(2002)
Global Environmental Change
, vol.12
, pp. 185-195
-
-
Patt, A.1
Gwata, C.2
-
91
-
-
27844536963
-
Impact of regional climate change on human health
-
Patz, J.A., Campbell-Lendrum, D., Holloway, T., Foley, J.A., Impact of regional climate change on human health. Nature 438 (2005), 310–317.
-
(2005)
Nature
, vol.438
, pp. 310-317
-
-
Patz, J.A.1
Campbell-Lendrum, D.2
Holloway, T.3
Foley, J.A.4
-
92
-
-
60149099933
-
Multitemporal climate variability over the Atlantic Ocean and Eurasia: linkages with Mediterranean and West African climate
-
Paz, S., Tourre, Y.M., Brolley, J., Multitemporal climate variability over the Atlantic Ocean and Eurasia: linkages with Mediterranean and West African climate. Atmospheric Science Letters 9 (2008), 196–201.
-
(2008)
Atmospheric Science Letters
, vol.9
, pp. 196-201
-
-
Paz, S.1
Tourre, Y.M.2
Brolley, J.3
-
93
-
-
17744414626
-
North Africa-West Asia (NAWA) sea-level pressure patterns and their linkages with the Eastern Mediterranean (EM) climate
-
Paz, S., Tourre, Y.M., Planton, S., North Africa-West Asia (NAWA) sea-level pressure patterns and their linkages with the Eastern Mediterranean (EM) climate. Geophysical Research Letters, 30, 2003, 1999.
-
(2003)
Geophysical Research Letters
, vol.30
, pp. 1999
-
-
Paz, S.1
Tourre, Y.M.2
Planton, S.3
-
94
-
-
0029506155
-
The optimal growth of tropical sea surface temperature anomalies
-
Penland, C., Sardeshmukh, P.D., The optimal growth of tropical sea surface temperature anomalies. Journal of Climate 8 (1995), 1999–2024.
-
(1995)
Journal of Climate
, vol.8
, pp. 1999-2024
-
-
Penland, C.1
Sardeshmukh, P.D.2
-
95
-
-
20544449742
-
Three putative types of El Nino revealed by spatial variability in impact on Australian wheat yield
-
Potgieter, A.B., Hammer, G.L., Meinke, H., Stone, R.C., Goddard, L., Three putative types of El Nino revealed by spatial variability in impact on Australian wheat yield. Journal of Climate 18 (2005), 1566–1574.
-
(2005)
Journal of Climate
, vol.18
, pp. 1566-1574
-
-
Potgieter, A.B.1
Hammer, G.L.2
Meinke, H.3
Stone, R.C.4
Goddard, L.5
-
97
-
-
44349192869
-
Global and regional climate changes due to black carbon
-
Ramanathan, V., Carmichael, G., Global and regional climate changes due to black carbon. Nature Geoscience 1 (2008), 221–227.
-
(2008)
Nature Geoscience
, vol.1
, pp. 221-227
-
-
Ramanathan, V.1
Carmichael, G.2
-
98
-
-
20244373760
-
Atmospheric brown clouds: impacts on South Asian climate and hydrological cycle
-
Ramanathan, V., Chung, C., Kim, D., Bettge, T., Buja, L., Kiehl, J.T., Washington, W.M., Fu, Q., Sikka, D.R., Wild, M., Atmospheric brown clouds: impacts on South Asian climate and hydrological cycle. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 102 (2005), 5326–5533.
-
(2005)
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
, vol.102
, pp. 5326-5533
-
-
Ramanathan, V.1
Chung, C.2
Kim, D.3
Bettge, T.4
Buja, L.5
Kiehl, J.T.6
Washington, W.M.7
Fu, Q.8
Sikka, D.R.9
Wild, M.10
-
100
-
-
4644316410
-
Self-organized patchiness and catastrophic shifts in ecosystems
-
Rietkerk, M., Dekker, S.C., de Ruiter, P.C., van de Koppel, J., Self-organized patchiness and catastrophic shifts in ecosystems. Science 305 (2004), 1926–1929.
-
(2004)
Science
, vol.305
, pp. 1926-1929
-
-
Rietkerk, M.1
Dekker, S.C.2
de Ruiter, P.C.3
van de Koppel, J.4
-
101
-
-
0036792032
-
ENSO and cholera: a nonstationary link related to climate change?
-
Rodo, X., Pascual, M., Fuchs, G., Faruque, A.S.G., ENSO and cholera: a nonstationary link related to climate change?. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 99 (2002), 12901–12906.
-
(2002)
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
, vol.99
, pp. 12901-12906
-
-
Rodo, X.1
Pascual, M.2
Fuchs, G.3
Faruque, A.S.G.4
-
102
-
-
0036693782
-
Tropical rainfall trends and the indirect aerosol effect
-
Rotstatyn, L.D., Lohmann, U., Tropical rainfall trends and the indirect aerosol effect. Journal of Climate 15 (2002), 2103–2116.
-
(2002)
Journal of Climate
, vol.15
, pp. 2103-2116
-
-
Rotstatyn, L.D.1
Lohmann, U.2
-
103
-
-
69149110709
-
Critical Transitions in Nature and Society
-
Princeton University Press
-
Scheffer, M., Critical Transitions in Nature and Society. 2009, Princeton University Press.
-
(2009)
-
-
Scheffer, M.1
-
104
-
-
69949088984
-
Early warning signals for critical transitions
-
Scheffer, M., Bacompte, J., Brock, W.A., Brovkin, V., Carpenter, S.R., Dakos, V., Held, H., van Nes, E.H., Rietkerk, M., Sugihara, G., Early warning signals for critical transitions. Nature 461 (2009), 53–59.
-
(2009)
Nature
, vol.461
, pp. 53-59
-
-
Scheffer, M.1
Bacompte, J.2
Brock, W.A.3
Brovkin, V.4
Carpenter, S.R.5
Dakos, V.6
Held, H.7
van Nes, E.H.8
Rietkerk, M.9
Sugihara, G.10
-
105
-
-
34249947530
-
Model projections of an imminent transition to a more arid climate in southwestern North America
-
Seager, R., Ting, M., Held, I., Kushnir, Y., Lu, J., Vecchi, G., Huang, H.-P., Harnik, N., Leetmaa, A., Lau, N.-C., Li, C., Velez, J., Nail, N., Model projections of an imminent transition to a more arid climate in southwestern North America. Science 316 (2007), 1181–1184.
-
(2007)
Science
, vol.316
, pp. 1181-1184
-
-
Seager, R.1
Ting, M.2
Held, I.3
Kushnir, Y.4
Lu, J.5
Vecchi, G.6
Huang, H.-P.7
Harnik, N.8
Leetmaa, A.9
Lau, N.-C.10
Li, C.11
Velez, J.12
Nail, N.13
-
106
-
-
65249152410
-
Atlantic forcing of persistent drought in West Africa
-
Shanahan, T.M., Overpeck, J.T., Anchukaitis, K.J., Beck, J.W., Cole, J.E., Dettman, D.L., Peck, J.A., Scholz, C.A., King, J.W., Atlantic forcing of persistent drought in West Africa. Science 324 (2009), 377–380.
-
(2009)
Science
, vol.324
, pp. 377-380
-
-
Shanahan, T.M.1
Overpeck, J.T.2
Anchukaitis, K.J.3
Beck, J.W.4
Cole, J.E.5
Dettman, D.L.6
Peck, J.A.7
Scholz, C.A.8
King, J.W.9
-
107
-
-
0020921357
-
The Southern Oscillation and long-range forecasting of the summer monsoon rainfall over India
-
Shukla, J., Paolino, D.A., The Southern Oscillation and long-range forecasting of the summer monsoon rainfall over India. Monthly Weather Review 111 (1983), 1830–1837.
-
(1983)
Monthly Weather Review
, vol.111
, pp. 1830-1837
-
-
Shukla, J.1
Paolino, D.A.2
-
108
-
-
0031861658
-
The value of improved ENSO Prediction to U.S. agriculture
-
Solow, A.R., Adams, R.F., Bryant, K.J., Legler, D.M., O'Brien, J.J., McCarl, B.A., Nayda, W., Weiher, R., The value of improved ENSO Prediction to U.S. agriculture. Climatic Change 39 (1998), 47–60.
-
(1998)
Climatic Change
, vol.39
, pp. 47-60
-
-
Solow, A.R.1
Adams, R.F.2
Bryant, K.J.3
Legler, D.M.4
O'Brien, J.J.5
McCarl, B.A.6
Nayda, W.7
Weiher, R.8
-
109
-
-
0000755812
-
Hazard warning systems: review of 20 years of progress
-
Sorensen, J.H., Hazard warning systems: review of 20 years of progress. Natural Hazards Review 1 (2000), 119–125.
-
(2000)
Natural Hazards Review
, vol.1
, pp. 119-125
-
-
Sorensen, J.H.1
-
110
-
-
0037133145
-
Predictability of catastrophic events: material rupture, earthquakes, turbulence, financial crashes, and human birth
-
Sornette, D., Predictability of catastrophic events: material rupture, earthquakes, turbulence, financial crashes, and human birth. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 99 (2002), 2522–3252.
-
(2002)
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
, vol.99
, pp. 2522-3252
-
-
Sornette, D.1
-
111
-
-
14944355949
-
Prebifurcation noise amplification and noise-dependent hysteresis as indicators of bifurcations in nonlinear geophysical systems
-
Surovyatkina, E., Prebifurcation noise amplification and noise-dependent hysteresis as indicators of bifurcations in nonlinear geophysical systems. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics 12 (2005), 25–29.
-
(2005)
Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics
, vol.12
, pp. 25-29
-
-
Surovyatkina, E.1
-
112
-
-
0030755453
-
Decadal predictability of North Atlantic sea surface temperature and climate
-
Sutton, R.T., Allen, M.R., Decadal predictability of North Atlantic sea surface temperature and climate. Nature 388 (1997), 563–567.
-
(1997)
Nature
, vol.388
, pp. 563-567
-
-
Sutton, R.T.1
Allen, M.R.2
-
113
-
-
21644449084
-
Atlantic Ocean forcing of North American and European summer climate
-
Sutton, R.T., Hodson, D.L.R., Atlantic Ocean forcing of North American and European summer climate. Science 309 (2005), 115–118.
-
(2005)
Science
, vol.309
, pp. 115-118
-
-
Sutton, R.T.1
Hodson, D.L.R.2
-
114
-
-
67349154370
-
Early warning signals of demographic regime shifts in invading populations
-
Takimoto, G., Early warning signals of demographic regime shifts in invading populations. Population Ecology 51 (2009), 419–426.
-
(2009)
Population Ecology
, vol.51
, pp. 419-426
-
-
Takimoto, G.1
-
115
-
-
85008016574
-
The what, how, and why of wavelet shrinkage denoising
-
Taswell, C., The what, how, and why of wavelet shrinkage denoising. Computing in Science and Engineering 2 (2000), 12–19.
-
(2000)
Computing in Science and Engineering
, vol.2
, pp. 12-19
-
-
Taswell, C.1
-
116
-
-
79551564071
-
Climate tipping as a noisy bifurcation: a predictive technique
-
Thompson, J.M.T., Sieber, J., Climate tipping as a noisy bifurcation: a predictive technique. IMA Journal of Applied Mathematics 76 (2011), 27–46.
-
(2011)
IMA Journal of Applied Mathematics
, vol.76
, pp. 27-46
-
-
Thompson, J.M.T.1
Sieber, J.2
-
118
-
-
0035450706
-
The development of malaria early warning systems for Africa
-
Thomson, M.C., Connor, S.J., The development of malaria early warning systems for Africa. Trends in Parasitology 17 (2001), 438–445.
-
(2001)
Trends in Parasitology
, vol.17
, pp. 438-445
-
-
Thomson, M.C.1
Connor, S.J.2
-
119
-
-
31844441325
-
Malaria early warnings based on seasonal climate forecasts from multi-model ensembles
-
Thomson, M.C., Doblas-Reyes, F.J., Mason, S.J., Hagedorn, R., Connor, S.J., Phindela, T., Morse, A.P., Palmer, T.N., Malaria early warnings based on seasonal climate forecasts from multi-model ensembles. Nature 439 (2006), 576–579.
-
(2006)
Nature
, vol.439
, pp. 576-579
-
-
Thomson, M.C.1
Doblas-Reyes, F.J.2
Mason, S.J.3
Hagedorn, R.4
Connor, S.J.5
Phindela, T.6
Morse, A.P.7
Palmer, T.N.8
-
120
-
-
14944382684
-
Real-time tsunami forecasting: challenges and solutions
-
Titov, V.V., Gonzalez, F.I., Bernard, E.N., Eble, M.C., Mofjeld, H.O., Newman, J.C., Venturato, A.J., Real-time tsunami forecasting: challenges and solutions. Natural Hazards 35 (2005), 35–41.
-
(2005)
Natural Hazards
, vol.35
, pp. 35-41
-
-
Titov, V.V.1
Gonzalez, F.I.2
Bernard, E.N.3
Eble, M.C.4
Mofjeld, H.O.5
Newman, J.C.6
Venturato, A.J.7
-
121
-
-
34248398112
-
Slow recovery from perturbations as a generic indicator of a nearby catastrophic shift
-
van Nes, E.H., Scheffer, M., Slow recovery from perturbations as a generic indicator of a nearby catastrophic shift. American Naturalist 169 (2007), 738–747.
-
(2007)
American Naturalist
, vol.169
, pp. 738-747
-
-
van Nes, E.H.1
Scheffer, M.2
-
122
-
-
84855982622
-
Recovery rates reflect distance to a tipping point in a living system
-
Veraart, A.J., Faassen, E.J., Dakos, V., van Nes, E.H., Lurling, M., Scheffer, M., Recovery rates reflect distance to a tipping point in a living system. Nature 481 (2012), 357–359.
-
(2012)
Nature
, vol.481
, pp. 357-359
-
-
Veraart, A.J.1
Faassen, E.J.2
Dakos, V.3
van Nes, E.H.4
Lurling, M.5
Scheffer, M.6
-
123
-
-
33644763462
-
Climate science and famine early warning
-
Verdin, J., Funk, C., Senay, G., Choularton, R., Climate science and famine early warning. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences 360 (2005), 2155–2168.
-
(2005)
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences
, vol.360
, pp. 2155-2168
-
-
Verdin, J.1
Funk, C.2
Senay, G.3
Choularton, R.4
-
124
-
-
70449510558
-
In Search of Shelter: Mapping the Effects of Climate Change on Human Migration and Displacement
-
Cooperative for Assistance and Relief Everywhere Inc. (CARE)
-
Warner, K., Ehrhart, C., de Sherbinin, A., Adamo, S., Chai-Onn, T., In Search of Shelter: Mapping the Effects of Climate Change on Human Migration and Displacement. 2009, Cooperative for Assistance and Relief Everywhere Inc. (CARE).
-
(2009)
-
-
Warner, K.1
Ehrhart, C.2
de Sherbinin, A.3
Adamo, S.4
Chai-Onn, T.5
-
126
-
-
77955484380
-
Extended-range probabilistic forecasts of Ganges and Brahmaputra floods in Bangladesh
-
Webster, P.J., Jian, J., Hopson, T.M., Hoyos, C.D., Agudelo, P.A., Chang, H.-R., Curry, J.A., Grossman, R.L., Palmer, T.N., Subbiah, A.R., Extended-range probabilistic forecasts of Ganges and Brahmaputra floods in Bangladesh. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 91 (2010), 1493–1514.
-
(2010)
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
, vol.91
, pp. 1493-1514
-
-
Webster, P.J.1
Jian, J.2
Hopson, T.M.3
Hoyos, C.D.4
Agudelo, P.A.5
Chang, H.-R.6
Curry, J.A.7
Grossman, R.L.8
Palmer, T.N.9
Subbiah, A.R.10
-
127
-
-
0000747614
-
Small-signal amplification in bifurcating dynamical systems
-
Wiesenfeld, K., McNamara, B., Small-signal amplification in bifurcating dynamical systems. Physical Review A 33 (1986), 629–642.
-
(1986)
Physical Review A
, vol.33
, pp. 629-642
-
-
Wiesenfeld, K.1
McNamara, B.2
-
128
-
-
34547210698
-
Hurricane forecasting: the state of the art
-
Willoughby, H.E., Rappaport, E.N., Marks, F.D., Hurricane forecasting: the state of the art. Natural Hazards Review 8 (2007), 45–49.
-
(2007)
Natural Hazards Review
, vol.8
, pp. 45-49
-
-
Willoughby, H.E.1
Rappaport, E.N.2
Marks, F.D.3
-
129
-
-
0021565011
-
A universal law of the characteristic return time near thresholds
-
Wissel, C., A universal law of the characteristic return time near thresholds. Oecologia 65 (1984), 101–107.
-
(1984)
Oecologia
, vol.65
, pp. 101-107
-
-
Wissel, C.1
-
130
-
-
67649526449
-
Model projections of rapid sea-level rise on the northeast coast of the United States
-
Yin, J., Schlesinger, M.E., Stouffer, R.J., Model projections of rapid sea-level rise on the northeast coast of the United States. Nature Geoscience 2 (2009), 262–266.
-
(2009)
Nature Geoscience
, vol.2
, pp. 262-266
-
-
Yin, J.1
Schlesinger, M.E.2
Stouffer, R.J.3
-
131
-
-
37649024786
-
Global climate change, war, and population decline in recent human history
-
Zhang, D.D., Brecke, P., Lee, H.F., He, Y.-Q., Zhang, J., Global climate change, war, and population decline in recent human history. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 104 (2007), 19214–21921.
-
(2007)
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
, vol.104
, pp. 19214-21921
-
-
Zhang, D.D.1
Brecke, P.2
Lee, H.F.3
He, Y.-Q.4
Zhang, J.5
-
132
-
-
33845622400
-
Impact of Atlantic multidecadal oscillations on India/Sahel rainfall and Atlantic hurricanes
-
Zhang, R., Delworth, T.L., Impact of Atlantic multidecadal oscillations on India/Sahel rainfall and Atlantic hurricanes. Geophysical Research Letters, 33, 2006, L17712.
-
(2006)
Geophysical Research Letters
, vol.33
, pp. L17712
-
-
Zhang, R.1
Delworth, T.L.2
|