Climatic change in mountain regions: A review of possible impacts

Climatic Change

Volumn 59, Issue 1-2, 2003, Pages 5-31

  Beniston, Martin ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF FRIBOURG   (Switzerland)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

BIODIVERSITY; ECOSYSTEMS; ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT; ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION; HEALTH RISKS; WATER RESOURCES;

NATURAL HAZARDS;

CLIMATE CHANGE;

CLIMATE CHANGE; ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT; MOUNTAIN ENVIRONMENT; MOUNTAIN REGION; NATURE-SOCIETY RELATIONS;

EID: 0041768074     PISSN: 01650009     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1023/A:1024458411589     Document Type: Conference Paper

References (115)

1. Abegg, B. and Froesch, R.: 1994, 'Climate Change and Winter Tourism: Impact on Transport Companies in the Swiss Canton of Graubünden', in Beniston, M. (ed.), Mountain Environments in Changing Climates, Routledge Publishing Company, London and New York, pp. 328-340.
2. Abegg, B., Koenig, U., Burki, R., and Elsasser, H.: 1997, 'Climate Impact Assessment in Tourism', Die Erde 128, 105-116.
3. Arnell, N.: 1999, 'The Effect of Climate Change on Hydrological Regimes in Europe', Global Environ. Change 9, 5-23.
4. Becker, A. and Bugmann, H. (eds.): 1997, Predicting Global Change Impacts on Mountain Hydrology and Ecology: Integrated Catchment Hydrology/Altitudinal Gradient Studies, IGBP Report 43, Stockholm.
5. Becker, A. and Bugmann, H. (eds.): 2001, Global Change and Mountain, Regions. The Mountain Research Initiative, IGBP Report 49, Stockholm.
6. Beniston, M.: 1997, 'Variations of Snow Depth and Duration in the Swiss Alps over the Last 50 Years: Links to Changes in Large-Scale Forcings', Clim. Change 36, 281-300.
7. Beniston, M.: 2000, Environmental Change in Mountains and Uplands, Arnold Publishers, London, and Oxford University Press, New York, 172 pp.
8. Beniston, M. (ed.): 2002, Climatic Change. Implications for the Hydrological Cycle and for Water Management. Advances in Global Change Research, Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht and Boston, 503 pp.
9. Beniston, M., Diaz, H. F., and Bradley, R. S.: 1997, 'Climatic Change at High Elevation Sites; A Review', Clim. Change 36, 233-251.
10. Beniston, M. and Jungo, P.: 2001, 'Shifts in the Distributions of Pressure, Temperature and Moisture in the Alpine Region in Response to the Behavior of the North Atlantic Oscillation', Theor. Appl. Climatol. 71, 29-42.
11. Beniston, M. and Rebetez, M.: 1996, 'Regional Behavior of Minimum Temperatures in Switzerland for the Period 1979-1993', Theor. Appl. Climatol. 53, 231-243.
12. Bergström, S., Carlsson, B., Gardelin, M., Lindström, G., Pettersson, A., and Rummukainen, M.: 2001, 'Climate Change Impacts on Runoff in Sweden - Assessments by Global Climate Models, Dynamical Downscaling and Hydrological Modelling', Clim. Res. 16, 101-112.
13. Bortenschlager, S.: 1993, 'Das höchst gelegene Moor der Ostalpen "Moor am Rofenberg" 2760 m.', Festschrift Zoller, Diss. Bot. 196, 329-334.
14. Bugmann, H. and Fischlin, A.: 1994, 'Comparing the Behaviour of Mountainous Forest Succession Models in a Changing Climate', in Beniston, M. (ed.), Mountain Environments in Changing Climates, Routledge Publishing Company, London and New York, 204-219.
15. Bugmann, H. and Pfister, C.: 2000, 'Impacts of Interannual Climate Variability on Past and Future Forest Composition', Regional Environmental Change 3/4, 112-125.
16. Burrows, C. J.: 1990, Processes of Vegetation Change, Unwin Hyman Publishing, London, 551 pp.
17. Cayan, D. R.: 1996, 'Interannual Climate Variability and Snow Pack in the Western United States', J. Climate 9, 928-948.
18. Cayan, D. R., Kammerdierner, S. A., Dettinger, M. D., Caprio, J. M., and Peterson, D. H.: 2001, 'Changes in the Onset of Spring in the Western United States', Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc. 82, 399-415.
19. Chinn, T.: 1996, 'New Zealand Glacier Responses to Climate Change of the Past Century', New Zealand Journal of Geology and Geophysics 39, 415-428.
20. Craig, M. H., Snow, R. W., and LeSueur, D.: 1999, 'A Climate-Based Distribution Model of Malaria Transmission in Africa', Parasitology Today 15, 105-111.
21. Cumming, S. G. and Burton, P. J.: 1996, 'Phenology-Mediated Effects of Climatic Change on some Simulated British Columbia Forests', Clim. Change 34, 213-222.
22. Davis, M. B.: 1989, 'Lags in Vegetation Response to Greenhouse Warming', Clim. Change 15, 75-82.
23. Dettinger, M. D. and Cayan, D. R.: 1995, 'Large-scale Atmospheric Forcing of Recent Trends toward Early Snowmelt Runoff in California', J. Climate 8, 606-623.
24. Dukes, J. S. and Mooney, H. A.: 1999, 'Does Global Change Increase the Success of Biological Invaders?', Trends in Ecology and Evolution 14, 135-139.
25. Epstein, P. R., Diaz, H. F., and Elias, S.: 1998, 'Biological and Physical Signs of Climate Change. Focus on Mosquito-Borne Diseases', Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc. 78, 410-417.
26. Fitzharris, B. B., Allison, I., Braithwaite, R. J., Brown, J., Foehn, P., Haeberli, W., Higuchi, K., Kotlyakov, V. M., Prowse, T. D., Rinaldi, C. A., Wadhams, P., Woo, M. K., and Youyu Xie: 1996, 'The Cryosphere: Changes and their Impacts', in Second Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), Chapter 5, Cambridge University Press, pp. 241-265.
27. Fosberg, M. A.: 1990, 'Global Change - A Challenge to Modeling', in Dixon, R. K., Meldahl, R. S., Ruark, G. A., and Warren, W. G. (eds.), Process Modeling of Forest Growth Responses to Environmental Stress, Timber Press, Inc., Portland, OR, U.S.A., pp. 3-8.
28. Frei, C., Schär, C., Lüthi, D., and Davies, H. C.: 1998, 'Heavy Precipitation Processes in a Warmer Climate', Geophys. Res. Lett. 25, 1431-1434
29. Galloway, R. W.: 1988, The Potential Impact of Climate Changes on Australian Ski Fields, Greenhouse Planning for Climate Change, Pearman, G. I. (ed.), CSIRO, Aspendale, Australia, pp. 428-437
30. Giorgi, F., Hurrell, J., Marinucci, M., and Beniston, M.: 1997, 'Height Dependency of the North Atlantic Oscillation Index. Observational and Model Studies', J. Climate 10, 288-296.
31. Giorgi, F. and Mearns, L. O.: 1991, 'Approaches to the Simulation of Regional Climate Change', Rev. Geoph. 29, 191-216.
32. Giorgi, F. and Mearns, L. O.: 1999, 'Regional Climate Modeling Revisited', J. Geophys. Res. 104, 6335-6352.
33. Glantz, M. H. (ed.): 1988, Societal Responses to Regional Climatic Change, Westview Press, Boulder, Colorado.
34. Godde, P., Price, M. F., and Zimmermann, F. M. (eds.): 2000, Tourism and Development in Mountain Regions, CABI Publishing, Wallingford.
35. Goyette, S., Beniston, M., Jungo, P., Caya, D., and Laprise, R.: 2001, 'Numerical Investigation of an Extreme Storm with the Canadian Regional Climate Model: The Case Study of Windstorm Vivian, Switzerland, February 27, 1990', Clim. Dyn. 18, 145-168.
36. Grabherr, G., Gottfried, M., and Pauli, H.: 1994, 'Climate Effects on Mountain Plants', Nature 369, 448.
37. Guisan, A., Holten, J., Spichiger, R., and Tessier, L. (eds.): 1995, Potential Impacts of Climate Change on Ecosystems in the Alps and Fennoscandian Mountains. Annex Report to the IPCC Working Group II Second Assessment Report, Publication Series of the Geneva Conservatory and Botanical Gardens, University of Geneva, Switzerland, 194 pp.
38. Haeberli, W.: 1995, 'Glacier Fluctuations and Climate Change Detection - Operational Elements of a Worldwide Monitoring Strategy', WMO Bulletin 44, 23-31.
39. Haeberli, W. and Beniston, M.: 1998, 'Climate Change and its Impacts on Glaciers and Permafrost in the Alps', Ambio 27, 258-265.
40. Halpin, P. N.: 1994, 'Latitudinal Variation in Montane Ecosystem Response to Potential Climatic Change, in Beniston, M. (ed.), Mountain Ecosystems in Changing Climates, Routledge Publishing Company, London and New York, 180-203.
41. Hansen-Bristow, K. J., Ives, J. D., and Wilson, J. P.: 1988, 'Climatic Variability and Tree Response within the Forest-Alpine Tundra Ecotone', Annals of the Association of American Geographers 78, 505-519.
42. Hastenrath, S. and Greischar, L.: 1997, 'Glacier Recession on Kilimanjaro, East Africa, 1912-89', J. Glaciol. 43, 455-459.
43. Hay, S. I., Cox, J., Rogers, D. J., Randolph, S. E., Stern, D. I., Shanks, D. G., Myers, M. F., and Snow, R. W.: 2002, 'Climate Change and the Resurgence of Malaria in the East African Highlands', Nature 415, 905-909.
44. Hedberg, O.: 1964, 'The Phytogeographical Position of the Afroalpine Flora', Recent Adv. in Bot., 914-919.
45. Hodge, S. M., Trabant, D. C., Krimmel, R. M., Heinrichs, T. A., March, R. S., and Josberger, E. G.: 1998, 'Climate Variations and Changes in Mass of Three Glaciers in Western North America', J. Climate 11, 2161-2179.
46. Huntley, B.: 1991, 'How Plants Respond to Climate Change: Migration Rates, Individualism and the Consequences for Plant Communities', Ann. Botany 67, 15-22.
47. Hurrell, J. W. and van Loon, H.: 1997, 'Decadal Variations in Climate Associated with the North Atlantic Oscillation', Clim. Change 36, 301-326.
48. IPCC: 1996, Climate Change. The IPCC Second Assessment Report, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge and New York. Vols. I (Science), II (Impacts) and III (Socio-economic implications).
49. IPCC: 1998, The Regional Impacts of Climate Change, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge and New York, 517 pp.
50. IPCC: 2001, Climate Change. The IPCC Third Assessment Report, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge and New York. Vols. I (The Scientific Basis), II (Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability) and III (Mitigation).
51. Johnson, E. A.: 1992, Fire and Vegetation Dynamics. Studies from the North American Boreal Forest, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
52. Jones, P. D., Jónsson, T., and Wheeler, D.: 1997, 'Extension to the North Atlantic Oscillation using Early Instrumental Pressure Observations from Gibraltar and South-West Iceland', Int. J. Clim. 17, 1433-1450.
53. Kapos, V., Rhind, J., Edwards, M., Ravilious, C., and Price, M.: 2000, 'Developing a Map of the World's Mountain Forests', in Price, M. F. and Butt, N. (eds.), Forests in a Sustainable Mountain Environment, CAB International, Wallingford.
54. Kay, B. H. et al.: 1989, 'Rearing Temperature Influences Flavivirus Vector Competence of Mosquitoes', Med. Vet. Entomol. 3, 415-422.
55. Keller, F., Kienast, F., and Beniston, M.: 2000, 'Evidence of the Response of Vegetation to Environmental Change at High Elevation Sites in the Swiss Alps', Regional Env. Change 2, 70-77.
56. Kienast, F., Wildi, O., Brzeziecki, B., Zimmermann, N., and Lemm, R.: 1998, Klimaänderung und mögliche langfristige Auswirkungen auf die Vegetation der Schweiz, VdF Hochschulverlag, Zurich, 71 pp.
57. 2 to the Atmosphere', Water, Air and Soil Pollut. 64, 365-383.
58. Kitayama, K.: 1996, 'Climate of the Summit Region of Mount Kinabalu (Borneo) in 1992, an El Niño Year', Mount. Res. Dev. 16, 65-75.
59. Koenig, U. and Abegg, B.: 1997, 'Impacts of Climate Change on Winter Tourism in the Swiss Alps', J. Sustainable Tourism 5, 46-57.
60. Körner, C.: 1998, 'Worldwide Positions of Alpine Treelines and their Causes', in Beniston, M. and Innes, J. L. (eds.), The Impacts of Climate Variability on Forests. Lecture Notes in Earth Sciences, 74, Springer-Verlag, Heidelberg and New York, pp. 221-229.
61. Körner, C.: 1999, Alpine Plant Life, Springer-Verlag, Heidelberg and New York, 338 pp.
62. Körner, C. and Larcher, W.: 1988, 'Plant Life in Cold Climates', in Long, S. F. and Woodward, F. I. (eds.), Plants and Temperature, The Company of Biol Ltd, Cambridge, pp. 25-57.
63. Krippendorf, J.: 1984, The Capital of Tourism in Danger; The Transformation of Swiss Mountain Regions, Brugger, E. A. et al. (eds.), Haupt Publishers, Bern, pp. 427-450.
64. Kuhn, M.: 1993, 'Possible Future Contribution to Sea-Level Change from Small Glacier', in Warrick, R. A., Barrow, E. M., and Wigley, T. M. L. (eds.), Climate and Sea-Level Change: Observations, Projections and Implications, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, U.K., pp. 134-143.
65. Lamothe, M. and D. Périard: 1988, Implications of Climate Change for Downhill Skiing in Quebec, Climate Change Digest, Atmospheric Environment Service, Downsview, 88-103.
66. Lindsay, S. W. and Martens, W. J. M.: 1998, 'Malaria in the African Highlands, Past, Present and Future', WHO Bulletin 76, 33-45.
67. Loevinsohn, M.: 1994, 'Climatic Warming and Increased Malaria Incidence in Rwanda', The Lancet 343, 714-718.
68. Maisch, M.: 1992, Die Gletcher Graubündens - Rekonstruktion und Auswertung der Gletscher und deren Veränderungen seit dem Hochstand von 1850 im Gebiet der östlichen Schweizer Alpen (Bündnerland und angrenzende Regionen). Publication Series of the Department of Geography of the University of Zurich, Switzerland.
69. Marinucci, M. R., Giorgi, F., Beniston, M., Wild, M., Tschuck, P., and Bernasconi, A.: 1995, 'High Resolution Simulations of January and July Climate over the Western Alpine Region with a Nested Regional Modeling System', Theor. Appl. Climatol. 51, 119-138.
70. Martens, P., Kovats, R. S., and Nijhof, S.: 1999, 'Climate Change and Future Populations at Risk from Malaria', Global Environ. Change 9, 89-107.
71. Martin, E. and Durand, Y.: 1998, 'Precipitation and Snow Cover Variability in the French Alps', in Beniston, M. and Innes, J. L. (eds.), The Impacts of Climate Change on Forests, Springer-Verlag, Heidelberg/New York, pp. 81-92.
72. McArthur, R. H.: 1972, Geographical Ecology, Harper and Row, New York.
73. McMichael, A. J. and Haines, A.: 1997, 'Global Climate Change: The Potential Effects on Health', British Medical Journal 315, 805-809.
74. McMichaels, A. J. and Kovats, R. S.: 2000, 'Climate Change and Climate Variability. Adaptations to Reduce Adverse Climate change impacts', Environ. Monit. Assess. 61, 49-64.
75. McNeely, J. A.: 1990, 'Climate Change and Biological Diversity: Policy Implications, Landscape-ecological Impact of Climatic Change', in Boer, M. M. and de Groot, R. S. (eds.), IOS Press, Amsterdam.
76. Meier, M.: 1998, Land Ice on Earth: A Beginning of a Global Synthesis. Unpublished Transcript of the 1998 Walter B. Langbein Memorial Lecture, American Geophysical Union Spring Meeting, Boston, MA, 26 May 1998.
77. Meybeck, M., Green, P., and Vörösmarty, C.: 2001, 'A New Typology for Mountains and other Relief Classes: An Application to Global Continental Water Resources and Population Distribution', Mount. Res. Dev. 21, 34-45.
78. Mirza, M. Q.: 1997, 'The Runoff Sensitivity of the Ganges River Basin to Climate Change and its Implications', J. Environ. Hydrol. 5, 1-13.
79. Mountain Agenda: 2001, 'Mountains of the World-Mountains, Energy and Transport', in Price, M., Kohler, T., Wachs, T., and Zimmermann, A. (eds.), Mountain Agenda, Bern, 51 pp.
80. Myers, N.: 1993, 'Environmental Refugees in a Globally Warmed World', Bioscience 43, 752-761.
81. Myneni, R. B., Keeling, C. D., Tucker, C. J., and Asrar, G.: 1999, 'Increased Plant Growth in the Northern High Latitudes from 1981 to 1991', Nature 386, 698-702.
82. Noble, I. and Gitay, H.: IPCC 1998, 'Climate Change in Desert Regions', in Watson, R. T., Zinyowera, M., and Moss, R. (eds.), The Regional Impacts of Climate Change, Cambridge University Press, pp. 191-217.
83. Osborn, T. J., Briffa, K. R., Tett, S. F. B., Jones, P. D., and Trigo, R. M.: 1999, 'Evaluation of the North Atlantic Oscillation as Simulated by a Coupled Climate Model', Clim. Dyn. 15, 685-702.
84. Ozenda, P.: 1985, La Végétation de la Chaine Alpine darts l'Espace Montagnard Européen, Masson, Paris, 344 pp.
85. Ozenda, P. and J.-L. Borel: 1991, Les Conséquences Ecologiques Possibles des Changements Climatiques dans l'Arc Alpin, Rapport Futuralp No. 1, International Centre for Alpine Environment (ICALP), Le Bourget-du-lac, France.
86. Pauli, H., Gottfried, M., and Grabherr, G.: 1998, 'Effects of Climate Change on Mountain Ecosystems. Upward Shifting of Alpine Plants', World Resources Review 8, 382-390.
87. Pebley, A. R.: 1998, 'Demography and the Environment', Demography 35, 377-389.
88. Perry, A. H.: 2000, 'Impacts of Climate Change on Tourism', in Parry, M. L. (ed.), Assessment of Potential Effects and Adaptations for Climate Change in Europe, the ACACIA Report, Jackson Environment Institute, Norwich, and EU Publications, Brussels, pp. 217-226.
89. Perry, A. H. and Smith, K.: 1996, 'Recreation and Tourism', in Department of the Environment, Climate Change Report, London.
90. Peters, R. L. and Darling, J. D. S.: 1985, 'The Greenhouse Effect and Nature Reserves: Global Warming Would Diminish Biological Diversity by Causing Extinctions among Reserve Species', Bioscience 35, 707-717.
91. Poveda, G., Rojas, W., Quinones, M. L., Velez, I. D., Mantilla, R. I., Ruiz, D., Zuluaga, J. S., and Rua, G. I.: 2001, 'Coupling between Annual and ENSO Timescales in the Malaria-Climate Association in Colombia', Environ. Health Perspect. 109, 489-493.
92. Price, M. F.: 1990, 'Temperate Mountain Forests: Common-Pool Resources with Changing, Multiple Outputs for Changing Communities', Natural Resources Journal 30, 685-707.
93. Price, M., Kohler, T., and Wachs, T. (eds.): 2000, Mountains of the World: Mountain Forests and Sustainable Development, CDE, University of Bern, Switzerland, 42 pp.
94. 2 Experiment over the Alpine Region with a Nested GCM-LAM Modeling Approach', Theor. Appl. Climatol. 57, 209-227.
95. Schreier, H. and Shah, P. B.: 1996, 'Water Dynamics and Population Pressure in the Nepal Himalayas', Geojournal 40, 45-51.
96. Shiklomanov, I. A. (ed.): 2001, World Water Resources at the Beginning of the 21st Century. UNESCO Publications, Paris.
97. Shugart, H. H.: 1984, A Theory of Forest Dynamics. The Ecological Implications of Forest Succession Models, Springer-Verlag, New York, 278 pp.
98. Stephenson, D. B., Chauvin, F., and Royer, J.-F.: 1998, 'Simulation of the Asian Summer Monsoon and its Dependence on Model Horizontal Resolution', J. Met. Soc. Japan Vol. 76, 2, 237-265.
99. Stephenson, D. B., Rupa Kumar, K., Doblas-Reyes, F. J., Royer, J.-F., Chauvin, F., and Pezzulli, S.: 1999, 'Extreme Daily Rainfall Events and their Impact on Ensemble Forecasts of the Indian Monsoon', Mon. Wea. Rev. 127, 1954-1966.
100. Stevens, W.: 1989, Governments Start Preparing for Global Warming Disasters, New York Times (November 14, 1989), p. C1.
101. Stocks, B. J., Wotton, B. M., Flannigan, M. D., Fosberg, M. A., Cahoon, D. R., and Goldammer, J. G.: 2001, Boreal Forest Fire Regimes and Climate Change. Advances in Global Change Research, 7, Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht and Boston, pp. 233-246.
102. Street, R. B. and Semenov, S. M.: 1990, 'Natural Terrestrial Ecosystems', in Tegart, W. J. KcG., Sheldon, G. W., and Griffiths, D. C. (eds.), Climate Change: The First Impacts Assessment Report, Australian Government Publishing Service, Chapter 3.
103. Thompson, L. G., Mosley-Thompson, E., and Henderson, K. A.: 2000, 'Ice Core Paleoclimate Records in Tropical South America since the Last Glacial Maximum', J. Quaternary Sci. 15, 377-394.
104. UN: 1992, Earth Summit: Agenda 21. The United Nations Programme of Action from Rio, The Final Text of Agreements Negotiated by Governments at the United Nations Conference on Environment and Development (UNCED), 3-14 June 1992, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, 294 pp.
105. UN: 1998, Proclamation of the International Year of the Mountains, Report on the 1998 UN General Assembly Meeting, New York. Text and signatories can be accessed via Internet at URL: http://www.mtnforum.org/resources/library/uniym99a.htm
106. Vuille, M. and Bradley, R. S.: 2000, 'Mean Annual Temperature Trends and their Vertical Structure in the Tropical Andes', Geophys. Res. Lett. 27, 3885-3888.
107. WGMS: 2000, 'Glacier Mass Balance', Bulletin, in Haeberli, W. and Hoelzle, M. (eds.), World Glacier Monitoring Service, ETH Zurich, Switzerland.
108. Whiteman, D.: 2000, Mountain Meteorology, Oxford University Press, 355 pp.
109. WHO: 1990, Potential Health Effects of Climatic Change, Report of a WHO Task Group, World Health Organization, Geneva.
110. WHO: 1999, World Health Report 1999, World Health Organization, Geneva.
111. Wilson, M. L., Mahanty, B., Wannebo, A., MacDonald, P., Gleason, A., Smith, R., and Aksoy, S.: 2001, Vector-borne Disease Associated with Irrigation, Agriculture, and Environmental Change in Southeastern Turkey: Application of Satellite Image Analysis, Yale-New Haven Medical Center Report.
112. Woodward, F. I., Smith, T. M., and Emanuel W. R.: 1995, 'A Global Primary Productivity and Phytogeography Model', Global Biogeochem. Cycles 9, 471-490.
113. WTO: 2000, Compendium of Tourism Statistics, Year 2000 Edition, World Tourism Organization Publications, Madrid, 235 pp.
114. Zimmermann, N. and Kienast, F.: 1999, 'Predictive Mapping of Alpine Grasslands in Switzerland: Species Versus Community Approach', J. Vegetation Science 10, 469-482.
115. Zorita, E. and von Storch, H.: 1999, 'The Analog Method - A Simple Statistical Downscaling Technique: Comparison with more Complicated Methods', J. Climate 12, 2474-2489.