메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 77, Issue 4, 2018, Pages 857-933

Mathematical modeling of climate change and malaria transmission dynamics: a historical review

Author keywords

Climate change; Malaria; Ross Macdonald; Thermal response

Indexed keywords

AFRICA; ANIMAL; ANOPHELES; BIOLOGICAL MODEL; CLIMATE CHANGE; GROWTH, DEVELOPMENT AND AGING; HISTORY; HUMAN; MALARIA FALCIPARUM; MATHEMATICAL PHENOMENA; MOSQUITO VECTOR; NONLINEAR SYSTEM; PARASITOLOGY;

EID: 85045951065     PISSN: 03036812     EISSN: 14321416     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00285-018-1229-7     Document Type: Review
Times cited : (94)

References (228)
  • 1
    • 84988350479 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mathematical assessment of the role of temperature and rainfall on mosquito population dynamics
    • Abdelrazec A, Gumel AB (2017) Mathematical assessment of the role of temperature and rainfall on mosquito population dynamics. J Math Biol 74(6):1351–1395
    • (2017) J Math Biol , vol.74 , Issue.6 , pp. 1351-1395
    • Abdelrazec, A.1    Gumel, A.B.2
  • 2
    • 28244502359 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effects of microclimatic changes caused by land use and land cover on duration of gonotrophic cycles of Anopheles gambiae (Diptera: Culicidae) in western Kenya highlands
    • Afrane YA, Lawson BW, Githeko AK, Yan G (2005) Effects of microclimatic changes caused by land use and land cover on duration of gonotrophic cycles of Anopheles gambiae (Diptera: Culicidae) in western Kenya highlands. J Med Entomol 42(6):974–980
    • (2005) J Med Entomol , vol.42 , Issue.6 , pp. 974-980
    • Afrane, Y.A.1    Lawson, B.W.2    Githeko, A.K.3    Yan, G.4
  • 3
    • 38449119174 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Life-table analysis of Anopheles arabiensis in western Kenya highlands: effects of land covers on larval and adult survivorship
    • Afrane YA, Zhou G, Lawson BW, Githeko AK, Yan G (2007) Life-table analysis of Anopheles arabiensis in western Kenya highlands: effects of land covers on larval and adult survivorship. Am J Trop Med Hyg 77(4):660–666
    • (2007) Am J Trop Med Hyg , vol.77 , Issue.4 , pp. 660-666
    • Afrane, Y.A.1    Zhou, G.2    Lawson, B.W.3    Githeko, A.K.4    Yan, G.5
  • 4
    • 54249167452 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Deforestation and vectorial capacity of Anopheles gambiae Giles mosquitoes in malaria transmission, Kenya
    • Afrane YA, Little TJ, Lawson BW, Githeko AK, Yan G (2008) Deforestation and vectorial capacity of Anopheles gambiae Giles mosquitoes in malaria transmission, Kenya. Emerg Infect Dis 14(10):1533–1538
    • (2008) Emerg Infect Dis , vol.14 , Issue.10 , pp. 1533-1538
    • Afrane, Y.A.1    Little, T.J.2    Lawson, B.W.3    Githeko, A.K.4    Yan, G.5
  • 5
    • 84906944999 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Malaria drug resistance: the impact of human movement and spatial heterogeneity
    • Agusto FB (2014) Malaria drug resistance: the impact of human movement and spatial heterogeneity. Bull Math Biol 76(7):1607–1641
    • (2014) Bull Math Biol , vol.76 , Issue.7 , pp. 1607-1641
    • Agusto, F.B.1
  • 6
    • 84948717493 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Qualitative assessment of the role of temperature variations on malaria transmission dynamics
    • Agusto FB, Gumel AB, Parham PE (2015) Qualitative assessment of the role of temperature variations on malaria transmission dynamics. J Biol Syst 23(4):597–630
    • (2015) J Biol Syst , vol.23 , Issue.4 , pp. 597-630
    • Agusto, F.B.1    Gumel, A.B.2    Parham, P.E.3
  • 8
    • 79955404598 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Epidemic malaria and warmer temperatures in recent decades in an East African highland
    • Alonso D, Bouma MJ, Pascual M (2011) Epidemic malaria and warmer temperatures in recent decades in an East African highland. Proc R Soc B 278(1712):1661–1669
    • (2011) Proc R Soc B , vol.278 , Issue.1712 , pp. 1661-1669
    • Alonso, D.1    Bouma, M.J.2    Pascual, M.3
  • 10
    • 0020764383 scopus 로고
    • Dynamics of acquired immunity boosted by exposure to infection
    • Aron JL (1983) Dynamics of acquired immunity boosted by exposure to infection. Math Biosci 64(2):249–259
    • (1983) Math Biosci , vol.64 , Issue.2 , pp. 249-259
    • Aron, J.L.1
  • 11
    • 0023785350 scopus 로고
    • Mathematical modelling of immunity to malaria
    • Aron JL (1988) Mathematical modelling of immunity to malaria. Math Biosci 90(1):385–396
    • (1988) Math Biosci , vol.90 , Issue.1 , pp. 385-396
    • Aron, J.L.1
  • 12
    • 84962463449 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A breeding site model for regional, dynamical malaria simulations evaluated using in situ temporary ponds observations
    • Asare EO, Tompkins AM, Amekudzi LK, Ermert V (2016) A breeding site model for regional, dynamical malaria simulations evaluated using in situ temporary ponds observations. Geospat Health 11(1s):390
    • (2016) Geospat Health , vol.11 , Issue.1s , pp. 390
    • Asare, E.O.1    Tompkins, A.M.2    Amekudzi, L.K.3    Ermert, V.4
  • 13
    • 84962428074 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mosquito breeding site water temperature observations and simulations towards improved vector-borne disease models for Africa
    • Asare EO, Tompkins AM, Amekudzi LK, Ermert V, Redl R (2016) Mosquito breeding site water temperature observations and simulations towards improved vector-borne disease models for Africa. Geospat Health 11(s1):391
    • (2016) Geospat Health , vol.11 , Issue.s1 , pp. 391
    • Asare, E.O.1    Tompkins, A.M.2    Amekudzi, L.K.3    Ermert, V.4    Redl, R.5
  • 14
    • 84962377226 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A regional model for malaria vector developmental habitats evaluated using explicit, pond-resolving surface hydrology simulations
    • Asare EO, Tompkins AM, Bomblies A (2016) A regional model for malaria vector developmental habitats evaluated using explicit, pond-resolving surface hydrology simulations. PLoS ONE 11(3):e0150626
    • (2016) PLoS ONE , vol.11 , Issue.3
    • Asare, E.O.1    Tompkins, A.M.2    Bomblies, A.3
  • 16
    • 33947541669 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • 0 for vector-borne diseases with a periodic vector population
    • 0 for vector-borne diseases with a periodic vector population. Bull Math Biol 69(3):1067–1091
    • (2007) Bull Math Biol , vol.69 , Issue.3 , pp. 1067-1091
    • Bacaër, N.1
  • 18
    • 27644581320 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Spreading the seeds of million-murdering death: metamorphoses of malaria in the mosquito
    • Baton LA, Ranford-Cartwright LC (2005) Spreading the seeds of million-murdering death: metamorphoses of malaria in the mosquito. Trends Parasitol 21(12):573–580
    • (2005) Trends Parasitol , vol.21 , Issue.12 , pp. 573-580
    • Baton, L.A.1    Ranford-Cartwright, L.C.2
  • 20
    • 0242338617 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effect of temperature on the development of the aquatic stages of Anopheles gambiae sensu stricto (Diptera: Culicidae)
    • Bayoh MN, Lindsay SW (2003) Effect of temperature on the development of the aquatic stages of Anopheles gambiae sensu stricto (Diptera: Culicidae). Bull Entomol Res 93(05):375–381
    • (2003) Bull Entomol Res , vol.93 , Issue.5 , pp. 375-381
    • Bayoh, M.N.1    Lindsay, S.W.2
  • 21
    • 2942587009 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Temperaturerelated duration of aquatic stages of the Afrotropical malaria vector mosquito Anopheles gambiae in the laboratory
    • Bayoh MN, Lindsay SW (2004) Temperaturerelated duration of aquatic stages of the Afrotropical malaria vector mosquito Anopheles gambiae in the laboratory. Med Vet Entomol 18(2):174–179
    • (2004) Med Vet Entomol , vol.18 , Issue.2 , pp. 174-179
    • Bayoh, M.N.1    Lindsay, S.W.2
  • 22
    • 85023767443 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Impact of constant versus fluctuating temperatures on the development and life history parameters of Tetranychus urticae (Acari: Tetranychidae)
    • Bayu MS, Ullah MS, Takano Y, Gotoh T (2017) Impact of constant versus fluctuating temperatures on the development and life history parameters of Tetranychus urticae (Acari: Tetranychidae). Exp Appl Acarol 72(3):205–227
    • (2017) Exp Appl Acarol , vol.72 , Issue.3 , pp. 205-227
    • Bayu, M.S.1    Ullah, M.S.2    Takano, Y.3    Gotoh, T.4
  • 23
    • 84893671214 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The effect of temperature on Anopheles mosquito population dynamics and the potential for malaria transmission
    • Beck-Johnson LM, Nelson WA, Paaijmans KP, Read AF, Thomas MB, Bjørnstad ON (2013) The effect of temperature on Anopheles mosquito population dynamics and the potential for malaria transmission. PLoS ONE 8(11):e79276
    • (2013) PLoS ONE , vol.8 , Issue.11
    • Beck-Johnson, L.M.1    Nelson, W.A.2    Paaijmans, K.P.3    Read, A.F.4    Thomas, M.B.5    Bjørnstad, O.N.6
  • 25
    • 84944195470 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The effect of malaria control on Plasmodium falciparum in Africa between 2000 and 2015
    • Bhatt S, Weiss DJ, Cameron E, Bisanzio D, Mappin B, Dalrymple U et al (2015) The effect of malaria control on Plasmodium falciparum in Africa between 2000 and 2015. Nature 526(7572):207–211
    • (2015) Nature , vol.526 , Issue.7572 , pp. 207-211
    • Bhatt, S.1    Weiss, D.J.2    Cameron, E.3    Bisanzio, D.4    Mappin, B.5    Dalrymple, U.6
  • 27
    • 0032764354 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • It all began with Ronald Ross: 100 years of malaria research and control in Sierra Leone (1899–1999)
    • Bockarie MJ, Gbakima AA, Barnish G (1999) It all began with Ronald Ross: 100 years of malaria research and control in Sierra Leone (1899–1999). Ann Trop Med Parasitol 93(3):213–224
    • (1999) Ann Trop Med Parasitol , vol.93 , Issue.3 , pp. 213-224
    • Bockarie, M.J.1    Gbakima, A.A.2    Barnish, G.3
  • 28
    • 84860919648 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling the role of rainfall patterns in seasonal malaria transmission
    • Bomblies A (2012) Modeling the role of rainfall patterns in seasonal malaria transmission. Clim Change 112(3–4):673–685
    • (2012) Clim Change , vol.112 , Issue.3-4 , pp. 673-685
    • Bomblies, A.1
  • 29
    • 59649110643 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hydrology of malaria: model development and application to a Sahelian village
    • Bomblies A, Duchemin JB, Eltahir EA (2008) Hydrology of malaria: model development and application to a Sahelian village. Water Resour Res 44:W12445
    • (2008) Water Resour Res , vol.44 , pp. W12445
    • Bomblies, A.1    Duchemin, J.B.2    Eltahir, E.A.3
  • 30
    • 70350342287 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A mechanistic approach for accurate simulation of village scale malaria transmission
    • Bomblies A, Duchemin JB, Eltahir EA (2009) A mechanistic approach for accurate simulation of village scale malaria transmission. Malar J 8(1):223
    • (2009) Malar J , vol.8 , Issue.1 , pp. 223
    • Bomblies, A.1    Duchemin, J.B.2    Eltahir, E.A.3
  • 31
    • 0032907858 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A novel rate model of temperature-dependent development for arthropods
    • Briere JF, Pracros P, Le Roux AY, Pierre JS (1999) A novel rate model of temperature-dependent development for arthropods. Environ Entomol 28(1):22–29
    • (1999) Environ Entomol , vol.28 , Issue.1 , pp. 22-29
    • Briere, J.F.1    Pracros, P.2    Le Roux, A.Y.3    Pierre, J.S.4
  • 32
    • 0345024416 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Depth-area-volume and hydroperiod relationships of ephemeral (vernal) forest pools in southern New England
    • Brooks RT, Hayashi M (2002) Depth-area-volume and hydroperiod relationships of ephemeral (vernal) forest pools in southern New England. Wetlands 22(2):247–255
    • (2002) Wetlands , vol.22 , Issue.2 , pp. 247-255
    • Brooks, R.T.1    Hayashi, M.2
  • 35
    • 0036780907 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evolutionary and historical aspects of the burden of malaria
    • Carter R, Mendis KN (2002) Evolutionary and historical aspects of the burden of malaria. Clin Microbiol Rev 15(4):564–594
    • (2002) Clin Microbiol Rev , vol.15 , Issue.4 , pp. 564-594
    • Carter, R.1    Mendis, K.N.2
  • 36
    • 85006459262 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Perspectives on the role of mobility, behavior, and time scales in the spread of diseases
    • Castillo-Chavez C, Bichara D, Morin BR (2016) Perspectives on the role of mobility, behavior, and time scales in the spread of diseases. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 113(51):14582–14588
    • (2016) Proc Natl Acad Sci USA , vol.113 , Issue.51 , pp. 14582-14588
    • Castillo-Chavez, C.1    Bichara, D.2    Morin, B.R.3
  • 38
    • 84892423918 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • ‘Manipulation’ without the parasite: altered feeding behaviour of mosquitoes is not dependent on infection with malaria parasites
    • Cator LJ, George J, Blanford S, Murdock CC, Baker TC, Read AF, Thomas MB (2013) ‘Manipulation’ without the parasite: altered feeding behaviour of mosquitoes is not dependent on infection with malaria parasites. Proc R Soc B 280:20130711
    • (2013) Proc R Soc B , vol.280 , pp. 20130711
    • Cator, L.J.1    George, J.2    Blanford, S.3    Murdock, C.C.4    Baker, T.C.5    Read, A.F.6    Thomas, M.B.7
  • 39
    • 84900832424 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Alterations in mosquito behaviour by malaria parasites: potential impact on force of infection
    • Cator LJ, Lynch PA, Thomas MB, Read AF (2014) Alterations in mosquito behaviour by malaria parasites: potential impact on force of infection. Malar J 13(1):164
    • (2014) Malar J , vol.13 , Issue.1 , pp. 164
    • Cator, L.J.1    Lynch, P.A.2    Thomas, M.B.3    Read, A.F.4
  • 40
    • 77649202519 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change and highland malaria: fresh air for a hot debate
    • Chaves LF, Koenraadt CJ (2010) Climate change and highland malaria: fresh air for a hot debate. Q Rev Biol 85(1):27–55
    • (2010) Q Rev Biol , vol.85 , Issue.1 , pp. 27-55
    • Chaves, L.F.1    Koenraadt, C.J.2
  • 41
    • 84923252859 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dissecting the determinants of malaria chronicity: why within-host models struggle to reproduce infection dynamics
    • Childs LM, Buckee CO (2015) Dissecting the determinants of malaria chronicity: why within-host models struggle to reproduce infection dynamics. J R Soc Interface 12(104):20141379
    • (2015) J R Soc Interface , vol.12 , Issue.104 , pp. 20141379
    • Childs, L.M.1    Buckee, C.O.2
  • 42
    • 85019900290 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Simulating within-vector generation of the malaria parasite diversity
    • Childs LM, Prosper OF (2017) Simulating within-vector generation of the malaria parasite diversity. PLoS ONE 12(5):e0177941
    • (2017) PLoS ONE , vol.12 , Issue.5
    • Childs, L.M.1    Prosper, O.F.2
  • 43
    • 84964697778 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Temperature during larval development and adult maintenance influences the survival of Anopheles gambiae ss
    • Christiansen-Jucht C, Parham PE, Saddler A, Koella JC, Basez MG (2014) Temperature during larval development and adult maintenance influences the survival of Anopheles gambiae ss. Parasites Vectors 7:489
    • (2014) Parasites Vectors , vol.7 , pp. 489
    • Christiansen-Jucht, C.1    Parham, P.E.2    Saddler, A.3    Koella, J.C.4    Basez, M.G.5
  • 45
    • 0001491422 scopus 로고
    • The analysis of mortality and survival rates in wild populations of mosquitoes
    • Clements AN, Paterson GD (1981) The analysis of mortality and survival rates in wild populations of mosquitoes. J Appl Ecol 18(2):373–399
    • (1981) J Appl Ecol , vol.18 , Issue.2 , pp. 373-399
    • Clements, A.N.1    Paterson, G.D.2
  • 46
    • 77049109244 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evolutionary forces on Anopheles: what makes a malaria vector?
    • Cohuet A, Harris C, Robert V, Fontenille D (2010) Evolutionary forces on Anopheles: what makes a malaria vector? Trends Parasitol 26(3):130–136
    • (2010) Trends Parasitol , vol.26 , Issue.3 , pp. 130-136
    • Cohuet, A.1    Harris, C.2    Robert, V.3    Fontenille, D.4
  • 48
    • 77249141616 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • History of the discovery of the malaria parasites and their vectors
    • Cox FE (2010) History of the discovery of the malaria parasites and their vectors. Parasites Vectors 3:5
    • (2010) Parasites Vectors , vol.3 , pp. 5
    • Cox, F.E.1
  • 49
    • 0033102380 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A climate-based distribution model of malaria transmission in sub-Saharan Africa
    • Craig MH, Snow RW, Le Sueur D (1999) A climate-based distribution model of malaria transmission in sub-Saharan Africa. Parasitol Today 15(3):105–111
    • (1999) Parasitol Today , vol.15 , Issue.3 , pp. 105-111
    • Craig, M.H.1    Snow, R.W.2    Le Sueur, D.3
  • 50
    • 84896981318 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Malaria immunity in man and mosquito: insights into unsolved mysteries of a deadly infectious disease
    • Crompton PD, Moebius J, Portugal S, Waisberg M, Hart G, Garver LS et al (2014) Malaria immunity in man and mosquito: insights into unsolved mysteries of a deadly infectious disease. Annu Rev Immunol 32:157–187
    • (2014) Annu Rev Immunol , vol.32 , pp. 157-187
    • Crompton, P.D.1    Moebius, J.2    Portugal, S.3    Waisberg, M.4    Hart, G.5    Garver, L.S.6
  • 51
    • 84869877879 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • African Plasmodium vivax: distribution and origins
    • Culleton R, Carter R (2012) African Plasmodium vivax: distribution and origins. Int J Parasitol 42(12):1091–1097
    • (2012) Int J Parasitol , vol.42 , Issue.12 , pp. 1091-1097
    • Culleton, R.1    Carter, R.2
  • 52
    • 70450284505 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Anopheles mortality is both age-and Plasmodium-density dependent: implications for malaria transmission
    • Dawes EJ, Churcher TS, Zhuang S, Sinden RE, Basez MG (2009) Anopheles mortality is both age-and Plasmodium-density dependent: implications for malaria transmission. Malar J 8:228
    • (2009) Malar J , vol.8 , pp. 228
    • Dawes, E.J.1    Churcher, T.S.2    Zhuang, S.3    Sinden, R.E.4    Basez, M.G.5
  • 53
    • 59149088435 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Influence of temperature on immature development, survival, longevity, fecundity, and gonotrophic cycles of Aedes albopictus, vector of chikungunya and dengue in the Indian Ocean
    • Delatte H, Gimonneau G, Triboire A, Fontenille D (2009) Influence of temperature on immature development, survival, longevity, fecundity, and gonotrophic cycles of Aedes albopictus, vector of chikungunya and dengue in the Indian Ocean. J Med Entomol 46(1):33–41
    • (2009) J Med Entomol , vol.46 , Issue.1 , pp. 33-41
    • Delatte, H.1    Gimonneau, G.2    Triboire, A.3    Fontenille, D.4
  • 54
    • 84876221783 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An age-structured within-host model for multistrain malaria infections
    • Demasse RD, Ducrot A (2013) An age-structured within-host model for multistrain malaria infections. SIAM J Appl Math 73(1):572–593
    • (2013) SIAM J Appl Math , vol.73 , Issue.1 , pp. 572-593
    • Demasse, R.D.1    Ducrot, A.2
  • 55
    • 77952669714 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Malaria model with periodic mosquito birth and death rates
    • Dembele B, Friedman A, Yakubu AA (2009) Malaria model with periodic mosquito birth and death rates. J Biol Dyn 3(4):430–445
    • (2009) J Biol Dyn , vol.3 , Issue.4 , pp. 430-445
    • Dembele, B.1    Friedman, A.2    Yakubu, A.A.3
  • 56
    • 4844226571 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A simulation model of African Anopheles ecology and population dynamics for the analysis of malaria transmission
    • Depinay JMO, Mbogo CM, Killeen G, Knols B, Beier J, Carlson J et al (2004) A simulation model of African Anopheles ecology and population dynamics for the analysis of malaria transmission. Malar J 3:29
    • (2004) Malar J , vol.3 , pp. 29
    • Depinay, J.M.O.1    Mbogo, C.M.2    Killeen, G.3    Knols, B.4    Beier, J.5    Carlson, J.6
  • 57
    • 0030615680 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hydrology of the HAPEX-Sahel Central Super-Site: surface water drainage and aquifer recharge through the pool systems
    • Desconnets JC, Taupin JD, Lebel T, Leduc C (1997) Hydrology of the HAPEX-Sahel Central Super-Site: surface water drainage and aquifer recharge through the pool systems. J Hydrol 188:155–178
    • (1997) J Hydrol , vol.188 , pp. 155-178
    • Desconnets, J.C.1    Taupin, J.D.2    Lebel, T.3    Leduc, C.4
  • 60
    • 0025159677 scopus 로고
    • 0 in models for infectious diseases in heterogeneous populations
    • 0 in models for infectious diseases in heterogeneous populations. J Math Biol 28(4):365–382
    • (1990) J Math Biol , vol.28 , Issue.4 , pp. 365-382
    • Diekmann, O.1    Heesterbeek, J.A.P.2    Metz, J.A.3
  • 61
    • 0016313473 scopus 로고
    • A malaria model tested in the African savannah
    • Dietz K, Molineaux L, Thomas A (1974) A malaria model tested in the African savannah. Bull WHO 50:347–357
    • (1974) Bull WHO , vol.50 , pp. 347-357
    • Dietz, K.1    Molineaux, L.2    Thomas, A.3
  • 62
    • 33846833451 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Molecular identification of Palearctic members of Anopheles maculipennis in northern Iran
    • Djadid ND, Gholizadeh S, Tafsiri E, Romi R, Gordeev M, Zakeri S (2007) Molecular identification of Palearctic members of Anopheles maculipennis in northern Iran. Malar J 6:6
    • (2007) Malar J , vol.6 , pp. 6
    • Djadid, N.D.1    Gholizadeh, S.2    Tafsiri, E.3    Romi, R.4    Gordeev, M.5    Zakeri, S.6
  • 63
    • 80054053513 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A malaria transmission-directed model of mosquito life cycle and ecology
    • Eckhoff PA (2011) A malaria transmission-directed model of mosquito life cycle and ecology. Malar J 10:303
    • (2011) Malar J , vol.10 , pp. 303
    • Eckhoff, P.A.1
  • 64
    • 84866525030 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • P. falciparum infection durations and infectiousness are shaped by antigenic variation and innate and adaptive host immunity in a mathematical model
    • Eckhoff P (2012) P. falciparum infection durations and infectiousness are shaped by antigenic variation and innate and adaptive host immunity in a mathematical model. PLoS ONE 7(9):e44950
    • (2012) PLoS ONE , vol.7 , Issue.9
    • Eckhoff, P.1
  • 66
    • 84871614932 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Highresolution modelprojected changes in midtropospheric closedlows and extreme rainfall events over southern Africa
    • Engelbrecht CJ, Engelbrecht FA, Dyson LL (2013) Highresolution modelprojected changes in midtropospheric closedlows and extreme rainfall events over southern Africa. Int J Climatol 33(1):173–187
    • (2013) Int J Climatol , vol.33 , Issue.1 , pp. 173-187
    • Engelbrecht, C.J.1    Engelbrecht, F.A.2    Dyson, L.L.3
  • 67
    • 79751532633 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Development of a new version of the Liverpool Malaria Model. I. Refining the parameter settings and mathematical formulation of basic processes based on a literature review
    • Ermert V, Fink AH, Jones AE, Morse AP (2011) Development of a new version of the Liverpool Malaria Model. I. Refining the parameter settings and mathematical formulation of basic processes based on a literature review. Malar J 10:35
    • (2011) Malar J , vol.10 , pp. 35
    • Ermert, V.1    Fink, A.H.2    Jones, A.E.3    Morse, A.P.4
  • 68
    • 79952702787 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Development of a new version of the Liverpool Malaria Model. II. Calibration and validation for West Africa
    • Ermert V, Fink AH, Jones AE, Morse AP (2011) Development of a new version of the Liverpool Malaria Model. II. Calibration and validation for West Africa. Malar J 10:62
    • (2011) Malar J , vol.10 , pp. 62
    • Ermert, V.1    Fink, A.H.2    Jones, A.E.3    Morse, A.P.4
  • 69
    • 0036605951 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Why is the effect of malaria parasites on mosquito survival still unresolved?
    • Ferguson HM, Read AF (2002) Why is the effect of malaria parasites on mosquito survival still unresolved? Trends Parasitol 18(6):256–261
    • (2002) Trends Parasitol , vol.18 , Issue.6 , pp. 256-261
    • Ferguson, H.M.1    Read, A.F.2
  • 70
    • 37849004724 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Determination of the processes driving the acquisition of immunity to malaria using a mathematical transmission model
    • Filipe JA, Riley EM, Drakeley CJ, Sutherland CJ, Ghani AC (2007) Determination of the processes driving the acquisition of immunity to malaria using a mathematical transmission model. PLoS Comput Biol 3(12):e255
    • (2007) PLoS Comput Biol , vol.3 , Issue.12
    • Filipe, J.A.1    Riley, E.M.2    Drakeley, C.J.3    Sutherland, C.J.4    Ghani, A.C.5
  • 71
    • 85053644272 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Environmental Agency R&D Technical Report W6-043/TR: estimation of open water evaporation: a review of methods
    • Finch JW, Hall RL (2001) Environmental Agency R&D Technical Report W6-043/TR: estimation of open water evaporation: a review of methods
    • (2001)
    • Finch, J.W.1    Hall, R.L.2
  • 72
  • 73
    • 84912569548 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dynamics of an age-structured two-strain model for malaria transmission
    • Forouzannia F, Gumel A (2015) Dynamics of an age-structured two-strain model for malaria transmission. Appl Math Comput 250:860–886
    • (2015) Appl Math Comput , vol.250 , pp. 860-886
    • Forouzannia, F.1    Gumel, A.2
  • 74
    • 0000381936 scopus 로고
    • Prognosis for interruption of malaria transmission through assessment of the mosquito’s vectorial capacity
    • Garrett-Jones C (1964) Prognosis for interruption of malaria transmission through assessment of the mosquito’s vectorial capacity. Nature 204:1173–1175
    • (1964) Nature , vol.204 , pp. 1173-1175
    • Garrett-Jones, C.1
  • 75
    • 0014503492 scopus 로고
    • Malaria vectorial capacity of a population of Anopheles gambiae: an exercise in epidemiological entomology
    • Garrett-Jones C, Shidrawi GR (1969) Malaria vectorial capacity of a population of Anopheles gambiae: an exercise in epidemiological entomology. Bull WHO 40(4):531–545
    • (1969) Bull WHO , vol.40 , Issue.4 , pp. 531-545
    • Garrett-Jones, C.1    Shidrawi, G.R.2
  • 76
    • 84874274867 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimating air temperature and its influence on malaria transmission across Africa
    • Garske T, Ferguson NM, Ghani AC (2013) Estimating air temperature and its influence on malaria transmission across Africa. PLoS ONE 8(2):e56487
    • (2013) PLoS ONE , vol.8 , Issue.2
    • Garske, T.1    Ferguson, N.M.2    Ghani, A.C.3
  • 79
  • 80
    • 84887212440 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Loss of population levels of immunity to malaria as a result of exposure-reducing interventions: consequences for interpretation of disease trends
    • Ghani AC, Sutherland CJ, Riley EM, Drakeley CJ, Griffin JT, Gosling RD, Filipe JA (2009) Loss of population levels of immunity to malaria as a result of exposure-reducing interventions: consequences for interpretation of disease trends. PLoS ONE 4(2):e4383
    • (2009) PLoS ONE , vol.4 , Issue.2
    • Ghani, A.C.1    Sutherland, C.J.2    Riley, E.M.3    Drakeley, C.J.4    Griffin, J.T.5    Gosling, R.D.6    Filipe, J.A.7
  • 81
    • 0036364094 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Density-dependent development of Anopheles gambiae (Diptera: Culicidae) larvae in artificial habitats
    • Gimnig JE, Ombok M, Otieno S, Kaufman MG, Vulule JM, Walker ED (2002) Density-dependent development of Anopheles gambiae (Diptera: Culicidae) larvae in artificial habitats. J Med Entomol 39(1):162–172
    • (2002) J Med Entomol , vol.39 , Issue.1 , pp. 162-172
    • Gimnig, J.E.1    Ombok, M.2    Otieno, S.3    Kaufman, M.G.4    Vulule, J.M.5    Walker, E.D.6
  • 82
    • 0006192147 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting malaria epidemics in the Kenyan highlands using climate data: a tool for decision makers
    • Githeko AK, Ndegwa W (2001) Predicting malaria epidemics in the Kenyan highlands using climate data: a tool for decision makers. Glob Change Hum Health 2(1):54–63
    • (2001) Glob Change Hum Health , vol.2 , Issue.1 , pp. 54-63
    • Githeko, A.K.1    Ndegwa, W.2
  • 83
    • 77956831730 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Reducing Plasmodium falciparum malaria transmission in Africa: a model-based evaluation of intervention strategies
    • Griffin JT, Hollingsworth TD, Okell LC, Churcher TS, White M, Hinsley W et al (2010) Reducing Plasmodium falciparum malaria transmission in Africa: a model-based evaluation of intervention strategies. PLoS Med 7(8):e1000324
    • (2010) PLoS Med , vol.7 , Issue.8
    • Griffin, J.T.1    Hollingsworth, T.D.2    Okell, L.C.3    Churcher, T.S.4    White, M.5    Hinsley, W.6
  • 85
    • 84955242806 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Potential for reduction of burden and local elimination of malaria by reducing Plasmodium falciparum malaria transmission: a mathematical modelling study
    • Griffin JT, Bhatt S, Sinka ME, Gething PW, Lynch M, Patouillard E et al (2016) Potential for reduction of burden and local elimination of malaria by reducing Plasmodium falciparum malaria transmission: a mathematical modelling study. Lancet Infect Dis 16(4):465–472
    • (2016) Lancet Infect Dis , vol.16 , Issue.4 , pp. 465-472
    • Griffin, J.T.1    Bhatt, S.2    Sinka, M.E.3    Gething, P.W.4    Lynch, M.5    Patouillard, E.6
  • 86
    • 33751234528 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Source reduction of mosquito larval habitats has unexpected consequences on malaria transmission
    • Gu W, Regens JL, Beier JC, Novak RJ (2006) Source reduction of mosquito larval habitats has unexpected consequences on malaria transmission. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 103(46):17560–17563
    • (2006) Proc Natl Acad Sci USA , vol.103 , Issue.46 , pp. 17560-17563
    • Gu, W.1    Regens, J.L.2    Beier, J.C.3    Novak, R.J.4
  • 88
    • 0027977965 scopus 로고
    • A theoretical framework for the immunoepidemiology of Plasmodium falciparum malaria
    • Gupta S, Day KP (1994) A theoretical framework for the immunoepidemiology of Plasmodium falciparum malaria. Parasite Immunol 16(7):361–370
    • (1994) Parasite Immunol , vol.16 , Issue.7 , pp. 361-370
    • Gupta, S.1    Day, K.P.2
  • 89
    • 0033531126 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Acquired immunity and postnatal clinical protection in childhood cerebral malaria
    • Gupta S, Snow RW, Donnelly CA, Marsh K, Newbold C (1999) Acquired immunity and postnatal clinical protection in childhood cerebral malaria. Proc R Soc B 266(1414):33–38
    • (1999) Proc R Soc B , vol.266 , Issue.1414 , pp. 33-38
    • Gupta, S.1    Snow, R.W.2    Donnelly, C.A.3    Marsh, K.4    Newbold, C.5
  • 90
    • 0032977856 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Immunity to non-cerebral severe malaria is acquired after one or two infections
    • Gupta S, Snow RW, Donnelly CA, Marsh K, Newbold C (1999) Immunity to non-cerebral severe malaria is acquired after one or two infections. Nat Med 5(3):340–343
    • (1999) Nat Med , vol.5 , Issue.3 , pp. 340-343
    • Gupta, S.1    Snow, R.W.2    Donnelly, C.A.3    Marsh, K.4    Newbold, C.5
  • 91
    • 84859064878 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mathematical modeling of malaria infection with innate and adaptive immunity in individuals and agent-based communities
    • Gurarie D, Karl S, Zimmerman PA, King CH, Pierre TG, Davis TM (2012) Mathematical modeling of malaria infection with innate and adaptive immunity in individuals and agent-based communities. PLoS ONE 7(3):e34040
    • (2012) PLoS ONE , vol.7 , Issue.3
    • Gurarie, D.1    Karl, S.2    Zimmerman, P.A.3    King, C.H.4    Pierre, T.G.5    Davis, T.M.6
  • 92
    • 0033911892 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Detection of the signature of natural selection in humans: evidence from the Duffy blood group locus
    • Hamblin MT, Di Rienzo A (2000) Detection of the signature of natural selection in humans: evidence from the Duffy blood group locus. Am J Hum Genet 66(5):1669–1679
    • (2000) Am J Hum Genet , vol.66 , Issue.5 , pp. 1669-1679
    • Hamblin, M.T.1    Di Rienzo, A.2
  • 93
    • 0030771149 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A model for the origins and spread of drug-resistant malaria
    • Hastings IM (1997) A model for the origins and spread of drug-resistant malaria. Parasitology 115(2):133–141
    • (1997) Parasitology , vol.115 , Issue.2 , pp. 133-141
    • Hastings, I.M.1
  • 94
    • 0037316796 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Malaria control and the evolution of drug resistance: an intriguing link
    • Hastings IM (2003) Malaria control and the evolution of drug resistance: an intriguing link. Trends Parasitol 19(2):70–73
    • (2003) Trends Parasitol , vol.19 , Issue.2 , pp. 70-73
    • Hastings, I.M.1
  • 95
    • 19344365271 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Intensity of malaria transmission and the evolution of drug resistance
    • Hastings IM, Watkins WM (2005) Intensity of malaria transmission and the evolution of drug resistance. Acta Trop 94(3):218–229
    • (2005) Acta Trop , vol.94 , Issue.3 , pp. 218-229
    • Hastings, I.M.1    Watkins, W.M.2
  • 97
    • 43849090221 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Measuring malaria endemicity from intense to interrupted transmission
    • Hay SI, Smith DL, Snow RW (2008) Measuring malaria endemicity from intense to interrupted transmission. Lancet Infect Dis 8(6):369–378
    • (2008) Lancet Infect Dis , vol.8 , Issue.6 , pp. 369-378
    • Hay, S.I.1    Smith, D.L.2    Snow, R.W.3
  • 98
    • 0034715369 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Simple equations to represent the volumeareadepth relations of shallow wetlands in small topographic depressions
    • Hayashi M, Van der Kamp G (2000) Simple equations to represent the volumeareadepth relations of shallow wetlands in small topographic depressions. J Hydrol 237(1):74–85
    • (2000) J Hydrol , vol.237 , Issue.1 , pp. 74-85
    • Hayashi, M.1    Van der Kamp, G.2
  • 99
    • 84957682262 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Averting a malaria disaster: Will insecticide resistance derail malaria control?
    • Hemingway J, Ranson H, Magill A, Kolaczinski J, Fornadel C, Gimnig J et al (2016) Averting a malaria disaster: Will insecticide resistance derail malaria control? Lancet 387(10029):1785–1788
    • (2016) Lancet , vol.387 , Issue.10029 , pp. 1785-1788
    • Hemingway, J.1    Ranson, H.2    Magill, A.3    Kolaczinski, J.4    Fornadel, C.5    Gimnig, J.6
  • 100
    • 5544233810 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A weather-driven model of malaria transmission
    • Hoshen MB, Morse AP (2004) A weather-driven model of malaria transmission. Malar J 3:32
    • (2004) Malar J , vol.3 , pp. 32
    • Hoshen, M.B.1    Morse, A.P.2
  • 101
    • 85032895284 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Putting evolution in elimination: winning our ongoing battle with evolving malaria mosquitoes and parasites
    • Huijben S, Paaijmans KP (2017) Putting evolution in elimination: winning our ongoing battle with evolving malaria mosquitoes and parasites. Evol Appl 11(4):415–430
    • (2017) Evol Appl , vol.11 , Issue.4 , pp. 415-430
    • Huijben, S.1    Paaijmans, K.P.2
  • 104
    • 84878214547 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effects of larval density and feeding rates on larval life history traits in Anopheles gambiae ss (Diptera: Culicidae)
    • Jannat KNE, Roitberg BD (2013) Effects of larval density and feeding rates on larval life history traits in Anopheles gambiae ss (Diptera: Culicidae). J Vector Ecol 38(1):120–126
    • (2013) J Vector Ecol , vol.38 , Issue.1 , pp. 120-126
    • Jannat, K.N.E.1    Roitberg, B.D.2
  • 105
    • 0001198274 scopus 로고
    • The malaria problem in Mauritius: the bionomics of Mauritian anophelines
    • Jepson WF, Moutia A, Courtois C (1947) The malaria problem in Mauritius: the bionomics of Mauritian anophelines. Bull Entomol Res 38(01):177–208
    • (1947) Bull Entomol Res , vol.38 , Issue.1 , pp. 177-208
    • Jepson, W.F.1    Moutia, A.2    Courtois, C.3
  • 108
    • 0028465484 scopus 로고
    • Mosquito gonotrophic cycle and multiple feeding potential: contrasts between Anopheles and Aedes (Diptera: Culicidae)
    • Klowden MJ, Briegel H (1994) Mosquito gonotrophic cycle and multiple feeding potential: contrasts between Anopheles and Aedes (Diptera: Culicidae). J Med Entomol 31(4):618–622
    • (1994) J Med Entomol , vol.31 , Issue.4 , pp. 618-622
    • Klowden, M.J.1    Briegel, H.2
  • 109
    • 84871288440 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Anopheline larval habitats seasonality and species distribution: a prerequisite for effective targeted larval habitats control programmes
    • Kweka EJ, Zhou G, Munga S, Lee MC, Atieli HE, Nyindo M et al (2012) Anopheline larval habitats seasonality and species distribution: a prerequisite for effective targeted larval habitats control programmes. PLoS ONE 7(12):e52084
    • (2012) PLoS ONE , vol.7 , Issue.12
    • Kweka, E.J.1    Zhou, G.2    Munga, S.3    Lee, M.C.4    Atieli, H.E.5    Nyindo, M.6
  • 110
    • 0029473451 scopus 로고
    • Improved rate model of temperature-dependent development by arthropods
    • Lactin DJ, Holliday NJ, Johnson DL, Craigen R (1995) Improved rate model of temperature-dependent development by arthropods. Environ Entomol 24(1):68–75
    • (1995) Environ Entomol , vol.24 , Issue.1 , pp. 68-75
    • Lactin, D.J.1    Holliday, N.J.2    Johnson, D.L.3    Craigen, R.4
  • 111
    • 63849101815 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The ecology of climate change and infectious diseases
    • Lafferty KD (2009) The ecology of climate change and infectious diseases. Ecology 90(4):888–900
    • (2009) Ecology , vol.90 , Issue.4 , pp. 888-900
    • Lafferty, K.D.1
  • 112
    • 49549115751 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A physiological time analysis of the duration of the gonotrophic cycle of Anopheles pseudopunctipennis and its implications for malaria transmission in Bolivia
    • Lardeux FJ, Tejerina RH, Quispe V, Chavez TK (2008) A physiological time analysis of the duration of the gonotrophic cycle of Anopheles pseudopunctipennis and its implications for malaria transmission in Bolivia. Malar J 7:141
    • (2008) Malar J , vol.7 , pp. 141
    • Lardeux, F.J.1    Tejerina, R.H.2    Quispe, V.3    Chavez, T.K.4
  • 113
    • 80052446743 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The within-host dynamics of malaria infection with immune response
    • Li Y, Ruan S, Xiao D (2011) The within-host dynamics of malaria infection with immune response. Math Biosci Eng 8(4):999–1018
    • (2011) Math Biosci Eng , vol.8 , Issue.4 , pp. 999-1018
    • Li, Y.1    Ruan, S.2    Xiao, D.3
  • 114
    • 0030466019 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change and malaria transmission
    • Lindsay SW, Birley MH (1996) Climate change and malaria transmission. Ann Trop Med Parasitol 90(6):573–588
    • (1996) Ann Trop Med Parasitol , vol.90 , Issue.6 , pp. 573-588
    • Lindsay, S.W.1    Birley, M.H.2
  • 115
    • 0031801919 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Malaria in the African highlands: past, present and future
    • Lindsay SW, Martens WJ (1998) Malaria in the African highlands: past, present and future. Bull WHO 76(1):33–45
    • (1998) Bull WHO , vol.76 , Issue.1 , pp. 33-45
    • Lindsay, S.W.1    Martens, W.J.2
  • 117
    • 0001440503 scopus 로고
    • An analytic model for description of temperature dependent rate phenomena in arthropods
    • Logan JA, Wollkind DJ, Hoyt SC, Tanigoshi LK (1976) An analytic model for description of temperature dependent rate phenomena in arthropods. Environ Entomol 5(6):1133–1140
    • (1976) Environ Entomol , vol.5 , Issue.6 , pp. 1133-1140
    • Logan, J.A.1    Wollkind, D.J.2    Hoyt, S.C.3    Tanigoshi, L.K.4
  • 118
    • 77951198377 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A climate-based malaria transmission model with structured vector population
    • Lou Y, Zhao XQ (2010) A climate-based malaria transmission model with structured vector population. SIAM J Appl Math 70(6):2023–2044
    • (2010) SIAM J Appl Math , vol.70 , Issue.6 , pp. 2023-2044
    • Lou, Y.1    Zhao, X.Q.2
  • 120
    • 84872328929 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • How malaria models relate temperature to malaria transmission
    • Lunde TM, Bayoh MN, Lindtjørn B (2013) How malaria models relate temperature to malaria transmission. Parasites Vectors 6:20
    • (2013) Parasites Vectors , vol.6 , pp. 20
    • Lunde, T.M.1    Bayoh, M.N.2    Lindtjørn, B.3
  • 121
    • 84872568150 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A dynamic model of some malaria-transmitting anopheline mosquitoes of the Afrotropical region. I. Model description and sensitivity analysis
    • Lunde TM, Korecha D, Loha E, Sorteberg A, Lindtjørn B (2013) A dynamic model of some malaria-transmitting anopheline mosquitoes of the Afrotropical region. I. Model description and sensitivity analysis. Malar J 12:28
    • (2013) Malar J , vol.12 , pp. 28
    • Lunde, T.M.1    Korecha, D.2    Loha, E.3    Sorteberg, A.4    Lindtjørn, B.5
  • 122
    • 0027066225 scopus 로고
    • Effect of rearing temperature and larval density on larval survival, age at pupation and adult size of Anopheles gambiae
    • Lyimo EO, Takken W, Koella JC (1992) Effect of rearing temperature and larval density on larval survival, age at pupation and adult size of Anopheles gambiae. Entomol Exp Appl 63(3):265–271
    • (1992) Entomol Exp Appl , vol.63 , Issue.3 , pp. 265-271
    • Lyimo, E.O.1    Takken, W.2    Koella, J.C.3
  • 123
    • 84863465430 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Thermal limits of wild and laboratory strains of two African malaria vector species, Anopheles arabiensis and Anopheles funestus
    • Lyons CL, Coetzee M, Terblanche JS, Chown SL (2012) Thermal limits of wild and laboratory strains of two African malaria vector species, Anopheles arabiensis and Anopheles funestus. Malar J 11(1):226
    • (2012) Malar J , vol.11 , Issue.1 , pp. 226
    • Lyons, C.L.1    Coetzee, M.2    Terblanche, J.S.3    Chown, S.L.4
  • 124
    • 84876089084 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Stable and fluctuating temperature effects on the development rate and survival of two malaria vectors, Anopheles arabiensis and Anopheles funestus
    • Lyons CL, Coetzee M, Chown SL (2013) Stable and fluctuating temperature effects on the development rate and survival of two malaria vectors, Anopheles arabiensis and Anopheles funestus. Parasit Vectors 6(1):104
    • (2013) Parasit Vectors , vol.6 , Issue.1 , pp. 104
    • Lyons, C.L.1    Coetzee, M.2    Chown, S.L.3
  • 125
    • 84946510721 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Daily temperature extremes play an important role in predicting thermal effects
    • Ma G, Hoffmann AA, Ma CS (2015) Daily temperature extremes play an important role in predicting thermal effects. J Exp Biol 218(14):2289–2296
    • (2015) J Exp Biol , vol.218 , Issue.14 , pp. 2289-2296
    • Ma, G.1    Hoffmann, A.A.2    Ma, C.S.3
  • 126
    • 77049157094 scopus 로고
    • The analysis of equilibrium in malaria
    • Macdonald G (1952) The analysis of equilibrium in malaria. Trop Dis Bull 49(9):813–829
    • (1952) Trop Dis Bull , vol.49 , Issue.9 , pp. 813-829
    • Macdonald, G.1
  • 127
    • 0001074045 scopus 로고
    • Epidemiological basis of malaria control
    • Macdonald G (1956) Epidemiological basis of malaria control. Bull WHO 15:613–626
    • (1956) Bull WHO , vol.15 , pp. 613-626
    • Macdonald, G.1
  • 128
    • 0348123043 scopus 로고
    • Theory of the eradication of malaria
    • Macdonald G (1956) Theory of the eradication of malaria. Bull WHO 15:369–387
    • (1956) Bull WHO , vol.15 , pp. 369-387
    • Macdonald, G.1
  • 131
    • 85016419514 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Gonotrophic cycle duration, fecundity and parity of Anopheles gambiae complex mosquitoes during an extended period of dry weather in a semi arid area in Baringo County, Kenya
    • Mala AO, Irungu LW, Mitaki EK, Shililu JI, Mbogo CM, Njagi JK, Githure JI (2014) Gonotrophic cycle duration, fecundity and parity of Anopheles gambiae complex mosquitoes during an extended period of dry weather in a semi arid area in Baringo County, Kenya. Int J Mosq Res 1(2):28–34
    • (2014) Int J Mosq Res , vol.1 , Issue.2 , pp. 28-34
    • Mala, A.O.1    Irungu, L.W.2    Mitaki, E.K.3    Shililu, J.I.4    Mbogo, C.M.5    Njagi, J.K.6    Githure, J.I.7
  • 132
    • 79960556453 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mathematical models of malaria—a review
    • Mandal S, Sarkar RR, Sinha S (2011) Mathematical models of malaria—a review. Malar J 10:202
    • (2011) Malar J , vol.10 , pp. 202
    • Mandal, S.1    Sarkar, R.R.2    Sinha, S.3
  • 133
    • 0028982122 scopus 로고
    • Climate change and vector-borne diseases: a global modelling perspective
    • Martens WJM, Jetten TH, Rotmans J, Niessen LW (1995) Climate change and vector-borne diseases: a global modelling perspective. Glob Environ Change 5(3):195–209
    • (1995) Glob Environ Change , vol.5 , Issue.3 , pp. 195-209
    • Martens, W.J.M.1    Jetten, T.H.2    Rotmans, J.3    Niessen, L.W.4
  • 135
    • 0030618006 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sensitivity of malaria, schistosomiasis and dengue to global warming
    • Martens WJ, Jetten TH, Focks DA (1997) Sensitivity of malaria, schistosomiasis and dengue to global warming. Clim Change 35(2):145–156
    • (1997) Clim Change , vol.35 , Issue.2 , pp. 145-156
    • Martens, W.J.1    Jetten, T.H.2    Focks, D.A.3
  • 137
    • 80051976316 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A synthesis of current knowledge on forests and carbon storage in the United States
    • McKinley DC, Ryan MG, Birdsey RA, Giardina CP, Harmon ME, Heath LS et al (2011) A synthesis of current knowledge on forests and carbon storage in the United States. Ecol Appl 21(6):1902–1924
    • (2011) Ecol Appl , vol.21 , Issue.6 , pp. 1902-1924
    • McKinley, D.C.1    Ryan, M.G.2    Birdsey, R.A.3    Giardina, C.P.4    Harmon, M.E.5    Heath, L.S.6
  • 138
    • 36749006312 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimating dispersal and survival of Anopheles gambiae and Anopheles funestus along the Kenyan coast by using markreleaserecapture methods
    • Midega JT, Mbogo CM, Mwambi H, Wilson MD, Ojwang G, Mwangangi JM et al (2007) Estimating dispersal and survival of Anopheles gambiae and Anopheles funestus along the Kenyan coast by using markreleaserecapture methods. J Med Entomol 44(6):923–929
    • (2007) J Med Entomol , vol.44 , Issue.6 , pp. 923-929
    • Midega, J.T.1    Mbogo, C.M.2    Mwambi, H.3    Wilson, M.D.4    Ojwang, G.5    Mwangangi, J.M.6
  • 139
    • 0033396098 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Spatial distribution and habitat characterization of anopheline mosquito larvae in Western Kenya
    • Minakawa N, Mutero CM, Githure JI, Beier JC, Yan G (1999) Spatial distribution and habitat characterization of anopheline mosquito larvae in Western Kenya. Am J Trop Med Hyg 61(6):1010–1016
    • (1999) Am J Trop Med Hyg , vol.61 , Issue.6 , pp. 1010-1016
    • Minakawa, N.1    Mutero, C.M.2    Githure, J.I.3    Beier, J.C.4    Yan, G.5
  • 140
    • 4644241500 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Habitat characteristics of Anopheles gambiae ss larvae in a Kenyan highland
    • Minakawa N, Sonye G, Mogi M, Yan G (2004) Habitat characteristics of Anopheles gambiae ss larvae in a Kenyan highland. Med Vet Entomol 18(3):301–305
    • (2004) Med Vet Entomol , vol.18 , Issue.3 , pp. 301-305
    • Minakawa, N.1    Sonye, G.2    Mogi, M.3    Yan, G.4
  • 141
    • 24644438192 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Spatial distribution of anopheline larval habitats in Western Kenyan highlands: effects of land cover types and topography
    • Minakawa N, Munga S, Atieli F, Mushinzimana E, Zhou G, Githeko AK, Yan G (2005) Spatial distribution of anopheline larval habitats in Western Kenyan highlands: effects of land cover types and topography. Am J Trop Med Hyg 73(1):157–165
    • (2005) Am J Trop Med Hyg , vol.73 , Issue.1 , pp. 157-165
    • Minakawa, N.1    Munga, S.2    Atieli, F.3    Mushinzimana, E.4    Zhou, G.5    Githeko, A.K.6    Yan, G.7
  • 142
    • 0018085752 scopus 로고
    • Further epidemiological evaluation of a malaria model
    • Molineaux L, Dietz K, Thomas A (1978) Further epidemiological evaluation of a malaria model. Bull WHO 56(4):565–571
    • (1978) Bull WHO , vol.56 , Issue.4 , pp. 565-571
    • Molineaux, L.1    Dietz, K.2    Thomas, A.3
  • 143
    • 84870941946 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Optimal temperature for malaria transmission is dramatically lower than previously predicted
    • Mordecai EA, Paaijmans KP, Johnson LR, Balzer C, BenHorin T, Moor E et al (2013) Optimal temperature for malaria transmission is dramatically lower than previously predicted. Ecol Lett 16(1):22–30
    • (2013) Ecol Lett , vol.16 , Issue.1 , pp. 22-30
    • Mordecai, E.A.1    Paaijmans, K.P.2    Johnson, L.R.3    Balzer, C.4    BenHorin, T.5    Moor, E.6
  • 144
    • 84975807253 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Malaria transmission potential could be reduced with current and future climate change
    • Murdock CC, Sternberg ED, Thomas MB (2016) Malaria transmission potential could be reduced with current and future climate change. Sci Rep 6:27771
    • (2016) Sci Rep , vol.6 , pp. 27771
    • Murdock, C.C.1    Sternberg, E.D.2    Thomas, M.B.3
  • 145
    • 84872616651 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Larval density dependence in Anopheles gambiae ss, the major African vector of malaria
    • Muriu SM, Coulson T, Mbogo CM, Godfray HCJ (2013) Larval density dependence in Anopheles gambiae ss, the major African vector of malaria. J Anim Ecol 82(1):166–174
    • (2013) J Anim Ecol , vol.82 , Issue.1 , pp. 166-174
    • Muriu, S.M.1    Coulson, T.2    Mbogo, C.M.3    Godfray, H.C.J.4
  • 146
    • 79951649476 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Some lessons for the future from the Global Malaria Eradication Programme (1955–1969)
    • Nájera JA, González-Silva M, Alonso PL (2011) Some lessons for the future from the Global Malaria Eradication Programme (1955–1969). PLoS Med 8(1):e1000412
    • (2011) PLoS Med , vol.8 , Issue.1
    • Nájera, J.A.1    González-Silva, M.2    Alonso, P.L.3
  • 149
    • 80054854637 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mathematical analysis of the role of repeated exposure on malaria transmission dynamics
    • Niger AM, Gumel AB (2008) Mathematical analysis of the role of repeated exposure on malaria transmission dynamics. Differ Equ Dyn Syst 16(3):251–287
    • (2008) Differ Equ Dyn Syst , vol.16 , Issue.3 , pp. 251-287
    • Niger, A.M.1    Gumel, A.B.2
  • 150
    • 79952453332 scopus 로고
    • The influence of temperature on the development of the malaria parasite in the mosquito
    • Nikolaev BP (1935) The influence of temperature on the development of the malaria parasite in the mosquito. Tr Paster Inst Epidem Bakt (Leningr) 2:108
    • (1935) Tr Paster Inst Epidem Bakt (Leningr) , vol.2 , pp. 108
    • Nikolaev, B.P.1
  • 152
    • 0029621841 scopus 로고
    • The impact of variations in temperature on early Plasmodium falciparum development in Anopheles stephensi
    • Noden BH, Kent MD, Beier JC (1995) The impact of variations in temperature on early Plasmodium falciparum development in Anopheles stephensi. Parasitology 111(05):539–545
    • (1995) Parasitology , vol.111 , Issue.5 , pp. 539-545
    • Noden, B.H.1    Kent, M.D.2    Beier, J.C.3
  • 153
    • 84908306331 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Expansion of Anopheles maculipennis ss (Diptera: Culicidae) to northeastern Europe and northwestern Asia: causes and consequences
    • Novikov YM, Vaulin OV (2014) Expansion of Anopheles maculipennis ss (Diptera: Culicidae) to northeastern Europe and northwestern Asia: causes and consequences. Parasites Vectors 7:389
    • (2014) Parasites Vectors , vol.7 , pp. 389
    • Novikov, Y.M.1    Vaulin, O.V.2
  • 154
    • 33847653836 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sampling outdoor, resting Anopheles gambiae and other mosquitoes (Diptera: Culicidae) in western Kenya with clay pots
    • Odiere M, Bayoh MN, Gimnig J, Vulule J, Irungu L, Walker E (2007) Sampling outdoor, resting Anopheles gambiae and other mosquitoes (Diptera: Culicidae) in western Kenya with clay pots. J Med Entomol 44(1):14–22
    • (2007) J Med Entomol , vol.44 , Issue.1 , pp. 14-22
    • Odiere, M.1    Bayoh, M.N.2    Gimnig, J.3    Vulule, J.4    Irungu, L.5    Walker, E.6
  • 155
    • 0242409222 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Influence of sugar availability and indoor microclimate on survival of Anopheles gambiae (Diptera: Culicidae) under semifield conditions in western Kenya
    • Okech BA, Gouagna LC, Killeen GF, Knols BG, Kabiru EW, Beier JC et al (2003) Influence of sugar availability and indoor microclimate on survival of Anopheles gambiae (Diptera: Culicidae) under semifield conditions in western Kenya. J Med Entomol 40(5):657–663
    • (2003) J Med Entomol , vol.40 , Issue.5 , pp. 657-663
    • Okech, B.A.1    Gouagna, L.C.2    Killeen, G.F.3    Knols, B.G.4    Kabiru, E.W.5    Beier, J.C.6
  • 156
    • 4444230375 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The development of Plasmodium falciparum in experimentally infected Anopheles gambiae (Diptera: Culicidae) under ambient microhabitat temperature in western Kenya
    • Okech BA, Gouagna LC, Walczak E, Kabiru EW, Beier JC, Yan G, Githure JI (2004) The development of Plasmodium falciparum in experimentally infected Anopheles gambiae (Diptera: Culicidae) under ambient microhabitat temperature in western Kenya. Acta Trop 92(2):99–108
    • (2004) Acta Trop , vol.92 , Issue.2 , pp. 99-108
    • Okech, B.A.1    Gouagna, L.C.2    Walczak, E.3    Kabiru, E.W.4    Beier, J.C.5    Yan, G.6    Githure, J.I.7
  • 157
    • 4344559474 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Resistance of early midgut stages of natural Plasmodium falciparum parasites to high temperatures in experimentally infected Anopheles gambiae (Diptera: Culicidae)
    • Okech BA, Gouagna LC, Kabiru EW, Walczak E, Beier JC, Yan G, Githure JI (2004) Resistance of early midgut stages of natural Plasmodium falciparum parasites to high temperatures in experimentally infected Anopheles gambiae (Diptera: Culicidae). J Parasitol 90(4):764–768
    • (2004) J Parasitol , vol.90 , Issue.4 , pp. 764-768
    • Okech, B.A.1    Gouagna, L.C.2    Kabiru, E.W.3    Walczak, E.4    Beier, J.C.5    Yan, G.6    Githure, J.I.7
  • 158
    • 84964744540 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Analysis of a temperature-and rainfall-dependent model for malaria transmission dynamics
    • Okuneye K, Gumel AB (2017) Analysis of a temperature-and rainfall-dependent model for malaria transmission dynamics. Math Biosci 287:72–92
    • (2017) Math Biosci , vol.287 , pp. 72-92
    • Okuneye, K.1    Gumel, A.B.2
  • 159
    • 57849127943 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Survivorship of Anopheles gambiae in relation to malaria transmission in Ilorin, Nigeria
    • Olayemi IK, Ande AT (2008) Survivorship of Anopheles gambiae in relation to malaria transmission in Ilorin, Nigeria. Online J Health Allied Sci 7(3):1
    • (2008) Online J Health Allied Sci , vol.7 , Issue.3 , pp. 1
    • Olayemi, I.K.1    Ande, A.T.2
  • 160
    • 42649114117 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Unexpected high losses of Anopheles gambiae larvae due to rainfall
    • Paaijmans KP, Wandago MO, Githeko AK, Takken W (2007) Unexpected high losses of Anopheles gambiae larvae due to rainfall. PLoS ONE 2(11):e1146
    • (2007) PLoS ONE , vol.2 , Issue.11
    • Paaijmans, K.P.1    Wandago, M.O.2    Githeko, A.K.3    Takken, W.4
  • 161
    • 54349105106 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A simplified model to predict diurnal water temperature dynamics in a shallow tropical water pool
    • Paaijmans KP, Heusinkveld BG, Jacobs AF (2008) A simplified model to predict diurnal water temperature dynamics in a shallow tropical water pool. Int J Biometeorol 52(8):797–803
    • (2008) Int J Biometeorol , vol.52 , Issue.8 , pp. 797-803
    • Paaijmans, K.P.1    Heusinkveld, B.G.2    Jacobs, A.F.3
  • 163
    • 69549108750 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Understanding the link between malaria risk and climate
    • Paaijmans KP, Read AF, Thomas MB (2009) Understanding the link between malaria risk and climate. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 106(33):13844–13849
    • (2009) Proc Natl Acad Sci USA , vol.106 , Issue.33 , pp. 13844-13849
    • Paaijmans, K.P.1    Read, A.F.2    Thomas, M.B.3
  • 165
    • 84861516095 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Warmer temperatures reduce the vectorial capacity of malaria mosquitoes
    • Paaijmans KP, Blanford S, Chan BH, Thomas MB (2012) Warmer temperatures reduce the vectorial capacity of malaria mosquitoes. Biol Lett 8(3):465–468
    • (2012) Biol Lett , vol.8 , Issue.3 , pp. 465-468
    • Paaijmans, K.P.1    Blanford, S.2    Chan, B.H.3    Thomas, M.B.4
  • 166
    • 84873188335 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Temperature-dependent pre-bloodmeal period and temperature-driven asynchrony between parasite development and mosquito biting rate reduce malaria transmission intensity
    • Paaijmans KP, Cator LJ, Thomas MB (2013) Temperature-dependent pre-bloodmeal period and temperature-driven asynchrony between parasite development and mosquito biting rate reduce malaria transmission intensity. PLoS ONE 8(1):e55777
    • (2013) PLoS ONE , vol.8 , Issue.1
    • Paaijmans, K.P.1    Cator, L.J.2    Thomas, M.B.3
  • 169
    • 77951748094 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling the effects of weather and climate change on malaria transmission
    • Parham PE, Michael E (2010) Modeling the effects of weather and climate change on malaria transmission. Environ Health Perspect 118(5):620–626
    • (2010) Environ Health Perspect , vol.118 , Issue.5 , pp. 620-626
    • Parham, P.E.1    Michael, E.2
  • 170
    • 84864645378 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling the role of environmental variables on the population dynamics of the malaria vector Anopheles gambiae sensu stricto
    • Parham PE, Pople D, Christiansen-Jucht C, Lindsay S, Hinsley W, Michael E (2012) Modeling the role of environmental variables on the population dynamics of the malaria vector Anopheles gambiae sensu stricto. Malar J 11:271
    • (2012) Malar J , vol.11 , pp. 271
    • Parham, P.E.1    Pople, D.2    Christiansen-Jucht, C.3    Lindsay, S.4    Hinsley, W.5    Michael, E.6
  • 171
    • 63849232785 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Do rising temperatures matter
    • Pascual M, Bouma MJ (2009) Do rising temperatures matter. Ecology 90(4):906–912
    • (2009) Ecology , vol.90 , Issue.4 , pp. 906-912
    • Pascual, M.1    Bouma, M.J.2
  • 172
    • 33645813384 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Malaria resurgence in the East African highlands: temperature trends revisited
    • Pascual M, Ahumada JA, Chaves LF, Rodo X, Bouma M (2006) Malaria resurgence in the East African highlands: temperature trends revisited. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 103(15):5829–5834
    • (2006) Proc Natl Acad Sci USA , vol.103 , Issue.15 , pp. 5829-5834
    • Pascual, M.1    Ahumada, J.A.2    Chaves, L.F.3    Rodo, X.4    Bouma, M.5
  • 173
    • 36448977617 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Shifting patterns: malaria dynamics and rainfall variability in an African highland
    • Pascual M, Cazelles B, Bouma MJ, Chaves LF, Koelle K (2008) Shifting patterns: malaria dynamics and rainfall variability in an African highland. Proc R Soc B 275(1631):123–132
    • (2008) Proc R Soc B , vol.275 , Issue.1631 , pp. 123-132
    • Pascual, M.1    Cazelles, B.2    Bouma, M.J.3    Chaves, L.F.4    Koelle, K.5
  • 174
    • 0030033409 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global climate change and emerging infectious diseases
    • Patz JA, Epstein PR, Burke TA, Balbus JM (1996) Global climate change and emerging infectious diseases. JAMA 275(3):217–223
    • (1996) JAMA , vol.275 , Issue.3 , pp. 217-223
    • Patz, J.A.1    Epstein, P.R.2    Burke, T.A.3    Balbus, J.M.4
  • 177
    • 13844317083 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling the abundance of mosquito vectors versus flooding dynamics
    • Porphyre T, Bicout DJ, Sabatier P (2005) Modelling the abundance of mosquito vectors versus flooding dynamics. Ecol Model 183(2):173–181
    • (2005) Ecol Model , vol.183 , Issue.2 , pp. 173-181
    • Porphyre, T.1    Bicout, D.J.2    Sabatier, P.3
  • 178
    • 84858739229 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessing the role of spatial heterogeneity and human movement in malaria dynamics and control
    • Prosper O, Ruktanonchai N, Martcheva M (2012) Assessing the role of spatial heterogeneity and human movement in malaria dynamics and control. J Theor Biol 303:1–14
    • (2012) J Theor Biol , vol.303 , pp. 1-14
    • Prosper, O.1    Ruktanonchai, N.2    Martcheva, M.3
  • 179
    • 26444560141 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Laboratory estimation of the effects of increasing temperatures on the duration of gonotrophic cycle of Anopheles albimanus (Diptera: Culicidae)
    • Ra GL, Quiones ML, Vlez ID, Zuluaga JS, Rojas W, Poveda G, Ruiz D (2005) Laboratory estimation of the effects of increasing temperatures on the duration of gonotrophic cycle of Anopheles albimanus (Diptera: Culicidae). Mem Inst Oswaldo Cruz 100(5):515–520
    • (2005) Mem Inst Oswaldo Cruz , vol.100 , Issue.5 , pp. 515-520
    • Ra, G.L.1    Quiones, M.L.2    Vlez, I.D.3    Zuluaga, J.S.4    Rojas, W.5    Poveda, G.6    Ruiz, D.7
  • 180
    • 84875746806 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A systematic review of mathematical models of mosquito-borne pathogen transmission: 1970–2010
    • Reiner RC, Perkins TA, Barker CM, Niu T, Chaves LF, Ellis AM et al (2013) A systematic review of mathematical models of mosquito-borne pathogen transmission: 1970–2010. J R Soc Interface 10:20120921
    • (2013) J R Soc Interface , vol.10 , pp. 20120921
    • Reiner, R.C.1    Perkins, T.A.2    Barker, C.M.3    Niu, T.4    Chaves, L.F.5    Ellis, A.M.6
  • 181
    • 84994168607 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Quantifying heterogeneous malaria exposure and clinical protection in a cohort of Ugandan children
    • Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Arinaitwe E, Jagannathan P, Boyle MJ, Tappero J, Muhindo M et al (2016) Quantifying heterogeneous malaria exposure and clinical protection in a cohort of Ugandan children. J Infect Dis 214(7):1072–1080
    • (2016) J Infect Dis , vol.214 , Issue.7 , pp. 1072-1080
    • Rodriguez-Barraquer, I.1    Arinaitwe, E.2    Jagannathan, P.3    Boyle, M.J.4    Tappero, J.5    Muhindo, M.6
  • 182
    • 0034622928 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The global spread of malaria in a future, warmer world
    • Rogers DJ, Randolph SE (2000) The global spread of malaria in a future, warmer world. Science 289(5485):1763–1766
    • (2000) Science , vol.289 , Issue.5485 , pp. 1763-1766
    • Rogers, D.J.1    Randolph, S.E.2
  • 183
    • 70450235200 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Changing drivers of deforestation and new opportunities for conservation
    • Rudel TK, Defries R, Asner GP, Laurance WF (2009) Changing drivers of deforestation and new opportunities for conservation. Conserv Biol 23(6):1396–1405
    • (2009) Conserv Biol , vol.23 , Issue.6 , pp. 1396-1405
    • Rudel, T.K.1    Defries, R.2    Asner, G.P.3    Laurance, W.F.4
  • 184
    • 84979619142 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Parasite sources and sinks in a patched Ross–Macdonald malaria model with human and mosquito movement: implications for control
    • Ruktanonchai NW, Smith DL, De Leenheer P (2016) Parasite sources and sinks in a patched Ross–Macdonald malaria model with human and mosquito movement: implications for control. Math Biosci 279:90–101
    • (2016) Math Biosci , vol.279 , pp. 90-101
    • Ruktanonchai, N.W.1    Smith, D.L.2    De Leenheer, P.3
  • 185
    • 84942567803 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Malaria control and senescence: the importance of accounting for the pace and shape of aging in wild mosquitoes
    • Ryan SJ, Ben-Horin T, Johnson LR (2015) Malaria control and senescence: the importance of accounting for the pace and shape of aging in wild mosquitoes. Ecosphere 6(9):170
    • (2015) Ecosphere , vol.6 , Issue.9 , pp. 170
    • Ryan, S.J.1    Ben-Horin, T.2    Johnson, L.R.3
  • 188
    • 0034125814 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Interspecific competition between sibling species larvae of Anopheles arabiensis and A. gambiae
    • Schneider P, Takken W, McCall PJ (2000) Interspecific competition between sibling species larvae of Anopheles arabiensis and A. gambiae. Med Vet Entomol 14(2):165–170
    • (2000) Med Vet Entomol , vol.14 , Issue.2 , pp. 165-170
    • Schneider, P.1    Takken, W.2    McCall, P.J.3
  • 189
    • 84857232753 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Feeding strategies of anthropophilic mosquitoes result in increased risk of pathogen transmission
    • Scott TW, Takken W (2012) Feeding strategies of anthropophilic mosquitoes result in increased risk of pathogen transmission. Trends Parasitol 28(3):114–121
    • (2012) Trends Parasitol , vol.28 , Issue.3 , pp. 114-121
    • Scott, T.W.1    Takken, W.2
  • 190
    • 0026358947 scopus 로고
    • Evaporation from a tropical lake: comparison of theory with direct measurements
    • Sene KJ, Gash JH, McNeil DD (1991) Evaporation from a tropical lake: comparison of theory with direct measurements. J Hydrol 127(1–4):193–217
    • (1991) J Hydrol , vol.127 , Issue.1-4 , pp. 193-217
    • Sene, K.J.1    Gash, J.H.2    McNeil, D.D.3
  • 191
    • 0015181047 scopus 로고
    • Studies on sampling larval populations of the Anopheles gambiae complex
    • Service MW (1971) Studies on sampling larval populations of the Anopheles gambiae complex. Bull WHO 45(2):169–180
    • (1971) Bull WHO , vol.45 , Issue.2 , pp. 169-180
    • Service, M.W.1
  • 192
    • 84929623667 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A new method for estimating species age supports the co-existence of malaria parasites and their mammalian hosts
    • Silva JC, Egan A, Arze C, Spouge JL, Harris DG (2015) A new method for estimating species age supports the co-existence of malaria parasites and their mammalian hosts. Mol Biol Evol 32(5):1354–1364
    • (2015) Mol Biol Evol , vol.32 , Issue.5 , pp. 1354-1364
    • Silva, J.C.1    Egan, A.2    Arze, C.3    Spouge, J.L.4    Harris, D.G.5
  • 193
    • 84994559295 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Intricacies of using temperature of different niches for assessing impact on malaria transmission
    • Singh P, Yadav Y, Saraswat S, Dhiman RC (2016) Intricacies of using temperature of different niches for assessing impact on malaria transmission. Indian J Med Res 144(1):67–75
    • (2016) Indian J Med Res , vol.144 , Issue.1 , pp. 67-75
    • Singh, P.1    Yadav, Y.2    Saraswat, S.3    Dhiman, R.C.4
  • 194
    • 78649600756 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The dominant Anopheles vectors of human malaria in Africa, Europe and the Middle East: occurrence data, distribution maps and bionomic prcis
    • Sinka ME, Bangs MJ, Manguin S, Coetzee M, Mbogo CM, Hemingway J et al (2010) The dominant Anopheles vectors of human malaria in Africa, Europe and the Middle East: occurrence data, distribution maps and bionomic prcis. Parasites Vectors 3:117
    • (2010) Parasites Vectors , vol.3 , pp. 117
    • Sinka, M.E.1    Bangs, M.J.2    Manguin, S.3    Coetzee, M.4    Mbogo, C.M.5    Hemingway, J.6
  • 195
    • 0346734142 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climatic suitability for malaria transmission in Africa, 1911–1995
    • Small J, Goetz SJ, Hay SI (2003) Climatic suitability for malaria transmission in Africa, 1911–1995. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 100(26):15341–15345
    • (2003) Proc Natl Acad Sci USA , vol.100 , Issue.26 , pp. 15341-15345
    • Small, J.1    Goetz, S.J.2    Hay, S.I.3
  • 196
    • 70350093946 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting changing malaria risk after expanded insecticide-treated net coverage in Africa
    • Smith DL, Hay SI, Noor AM, Snow RW (2009) Predicting changing malaria risk after expanded insecticide-treated net coverage in Africa. Trends Parasitol 25(11):511–516
    • (2009) Trends Parasitol , vol.25 , Issue.11 , pp. 511-516
    • Smith, D.L.1    Hay, S.I.2    Noor, A.M.3    Snow, R.W.4
  • 197
    • 84861208630 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ross, Macdonald, and a theory for the dynamics and control of mosquito-transmitted pathogens
    • Smith DL, Battle KE, Hay SI, Barker CM, Scott TW, McKenzie FE (2012) Ross, Macdonald, and a theory for the dynamics and control of mosquito-transmitted pathogens. PLoS Pathog 8(4):e1002588
    • (2012) PLoS Pathog , vol.8 , Issue.4
    • Smith, D.L.1    Battle, K.E.2    Hay, S.I.3    Barker, C.M.4    Scott, T.W.5    McKenzie, F.E.6
  • 198
    • 84924034662 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global malaria eradication and the importance of Plasmodium falciparum epidemiology in Africa
    • Snow RW (2015) Global malaria eradication and the importance of Plasmodium falciparum epidemiology in Africa. BMC Med 13:23
    • (2015) BMC Med , vol.13 , pp. 23
    • Snow, R.W.1
  • 199
    • 0033102395 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A preliminary continental risk map for malaria mortality among African children
    • Snow RW, Craig MH, Deichmann U, Le Sueur D (1999) A preliminary continental risk map for malaria mortality among African children. Parasitol Today 15(3):99–104
    • (1999) Parasitol Today , vol.15 , Issue.3 , pp. 99-104
    • Snow, R.W.1    Craig, M.H.2    Deichmann, U.3    Le Sueur, D.4
  • 200
    • 84938607926 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Changing malaria prevalence on the Kenyan coast since 1974: climate, drugs and vector control
    • Snow RW, Kibuchi E, Karuri SW, Sang G, Gitonga CW, Mwandawiro C et al (2015) Changing malaria prevalence on the Kenyan coast since 1974: climate, drugs and vector control. PLoS ONE 10(6):e0128792
    • (2015) PLoS ONE , vol.10 , Issue.6
    • Snow, R.W.1    Kibuchi, E.2    Karuri, S.W.3    Sang, G.4    Gitonga, C.W.5    Mwandawiro, C.6
  • 201
    • 84894325226 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Local adaptation to temperature and the implications for vector-borne diseases
    • Sternberg ED, Thomas MB (2014) Local adaptation to temperature and the implications for vector-borne diseases. Trends Parasitol 30(3):115–122
    • (2014) Trends Parasitol , vol.30 , Issue.3 , pp. 115-122
    • Sternberg, E.D.1    Thomas, M.B.2
  • 202
    • 55549117106 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Regulation of oviposition in Anopheles gambiae ss: role of inter-and intra-specific signals
    • Sumba LA, Ogbunugafor CB, Deng AL, Hassanali A (2008) Regulation of oviposition in Anopheles gambiae ss: role of inter-and intra-specific signals. J Chem Ecol 34(11):1430–1436
    • (2008) J Chem Ecol , vol.34 , Issue.11 , pp. 1430-1436
    • Sumba, L.A.1    Ogbunugafor, C.B.2    Deng, A.L.3    Hassanali, A.4
  • 203
    • 33645465008 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global analyses of satellitederived vegetation index related to climatological wetness and warmth
    • Suzuki R, Xu J, Motoya K (2006) Global analyses of satellitederived vegetation index related to climatological wetness and warmth. Int J Climatol 26(4):425–438
    • (2006) Int J Climatol , vol.26 , Issue.4 , pp. 425-438
    • Suzuki, R.1    Xu, J.2    Motoya, K.3
  • 204
    • 85050201427 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mathematical modelling of the in-host dynamics of malaria and the effects of treatment
    • Tabo Z, Luboobi LS, Ssebuliba J (2017) Mathematical modelling of the in-host dynamics of malaria and the effects of treatment. J Math Comput Sci 17(1):1–21
    • (2017) J Math Comput Sci , vol.17 , Issue.1 , pp. 1-21
    • Tabo, Z.1    Luboobi, L.S.2    Ssebuliba, J.3
  • 205
    • 0032161741 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Articles: effect of body size on host seeking and blood meal utilization in Anopheles gambiae sensu stricto (Diptera: Culicidae): the disadvantage of being small
    • Takken W, Klowden MJ, Chambers GM (1998) Articles: effect of body size on host seeking and blood meal utilization in Anopheles gambiae sensu stricto (Diptera: Culicidae): the disadvantage of being small. J Med Entomol 35(5):639–645
    • (1998) J Med Entomol , vol.35 , Issue.5 , pp. 639-645
    • Takken, W.1    Klowden, M.J.2    Chambers, G.M.3
  • 206
    • 0035132503 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Inhibition of host-seeking response and olfactory responsiveness in Anopheles gambiae following blood feeding
    • Takken W, van Loon JJ, Adam W (2001) Inhibition of host-seeking response and olfactory responsiveness in Anopheles gambiae following blood feeding. J Insect Physiol 47(3):303–310
    • (2001) J Insect Physiol , vol.47 , Issue.3 , pp. 303-310
    • Takken, W.1    van Loon, J.J.2    Adam, W.3
  • 207
    • 0344688186 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Potential effect of climate change on malaria transmission in Africa
    • Tanser FC, Sharp B, le Sueur D (2003) Potential effect of climate change on malaria transmission in Africa. Lancet 362(9398):1792–1798
    • (2003) Lancet , vol.362 , Issue.9398 , pp. 1792-1798
    • Tanser, F.C.1    Sharp, B.2    le Sueur, D.3
  • 208
    • 73649114229 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mathematical study of the role of gametocytes and an imperfect vaccine on malaria transmission dynamics
    • Teboh-Ewungkem MI, Podder CN, Gumel AB (2010) Mathematical study of the role of gametocytes and an imperfect vaccine on malaria transmission dynamics. Bull Math Biol 72(1):63–93
    • (2010) Bull Math Biol , vol.72 , Issue.1 , pp. 63-93
    • Teboh-Ewungkem, M.I.1    Podder, C.N.2    Gumel, A.B.3
  • 209
    • 79955920768 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Plasmodium falciparum-infected red blood cell
    • Tilley L, Dixon MW, Kirk K (2011) The Plasmodium falciparum-infected red blood cell. Int J Biochem Cell Biol 43(6):839–842
    • (2011) Int J Biochem Cell Biol , vol.43 , Issue.6 , pp. 839-842
    • Tilley, L.1    Dixon, M.W.2    Kirk, K.3
  • 210
    • 84873939430 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A regional-scale, high resolution dynamical malaria model that accounts for population density, climate and surface hydrology
    • Tompkins AM, Ermert V (2013) A regional-scale, high resolution dynamical malaria model that accounts for population density, climate and surface hydrology. Malar J 12(1):65
    • (2013) Malar J , vol.12 , Issue.1 , pp. 65
    • Tompkins, A.M.1    Ermert, V.2
  • 211
    • 0344972789 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Models of spatio-temporal dynamics in malaria
    • Torres-Sorando L, Rodríguez DJ (1997) Models of spatio-temporal dynamics in malaria. Ecol Modell 104(2):231–240
    • (1997) Ecol Modell , vol.104 , Issue.2 , pp. 231-240
    • Torres-Sorando, L.1    Rodríguez, D.J.2
  • 212
    • 0028044104 scopus 로고
    • The Dielmo project: a longitudinal study of natural malaria infection and the mechanisms of protective immunity in a community living in a holoendemic area of Senegal
    • Trape JF, Rogier C, Konate L, Diagne N, Bouganali H, Canque B et al (1994) The Dielmo project: a longitudinal study of natural malaria infection and the mechanisms of protective immunity in a community living in a holoendemic area of Senegal. Am J Trop Med Hyg 51(2):123–137
    • (1994) Am J Trop Med Hyg , vol.51 , Issue.2 , pp. 123-137
    • Trape, J.F.1    Rogier, C.2    Konate, L.3    Diagne, N.4    Bouganali, H.5    Canque, B.6
  • 214
    • 0036845274 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Reproduction numbers and sub-threshold endemic equilibria for compartmental models of disease transmission
    • Van den Driessche P, Watmough J (2002) Reproduction numbers and sub-threshold endemic equilibria for compartmental models of disease transmission. Math Biosci 180(1):29–48
    • (2002) Math Biosci , vol.180 , Issue.1 , pp. 29-48
    • Van den Driessche, P.1    Watmough, J.2
  • 215
    • 84971262485 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Host-seeking behaviors of mosquitoes experimentally infected with sympatric field isolates of the human malaria parasite Plasmodium falciparum: no evidence for host manipulation
    • Vantaux A, de Sales Hien DF, Yameogo B, Dabiré KR, Thomas F, Cohuet A, Lefèvre T (2015) Host-seeking behaviors of mosquitoes experimentally infected with sympatric field isolates of the human malaria parasite Plasmodium falciparum: no evidence for host manipulation. Front Ecol Evol 3:86
    • (2015) Front Ecol Evol , vol.3 , pp. 86
    • Vantaux, A.1    de Sales Hien, D.F.2    Yameogo, B.3    Dabiré, K.R.4    Thomas, F.5    Cohuet, A.6    Lefèvre, T.7
  • 216
    • 34250407502 scopus 로고
    • PF Verhulsts notice sur la loi que la populations suit dans son accroissement from correspondence mathematique et physique. Ghent, vol. X, 1838
    • Vogels M, Zoeckler R, Stasiw DM, Cerny LC (1975) PF Verhulsts notice sur la loi que la populations suit dans son accroissement from correspondence mathematique et physique. Ghent, vol. X, 1838. J Biol Phys 3(4):183–192
    • (1975) J Biol Phys , vol.3 , Issue.4 , pp. 183-192
    • Vogels, M.1    Zoeckler, R.2    Stasiw, D.M.3    Cerny, L.C.4
  • 217
    • 34250407502 scopus 로고
    • PF Verhulsts notice sur la loi que la populations suit dans son accroissement from correspondence mathematique et physique. Ghent, vol. X, 1838
    • Vogels M, Zoeckler R, Stasiw DM, Cerny LC (1975) PF Verhulsts notice sur la loi que la populations suit dans son accroissement from correspondence mathematique et physique. Ghent, vol. X, 1838. J Biol Phys 3(4):183–192
    • (1975) J Biol Phys , vol.3 , Issue.4 , pp. 183-192
    • Vogels, M.1    Zoeckler, R.2    Stasiw, D.M.3    Cerny, L.C.4
  • 218
    • 33747589306 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Appropriate models for the management of infectious diseases
    • Wearing HJ, Rohani P, Keeling MJ (2005) Appropriate models for the management of infectious diseases. PLoS Med 2(7):e174
    • (2005) PLoS Med , vol.2 , Issue.7
    • Wearing, H.J.1    Rohani, P.2    Keeling, M.J.3
  • 222
    • 84881066260 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Linking environmental variability to village-scale malaria transmission using a simple immunity model
    • Yamana TK, Bomblies A, Laminou IM, Duchemin JB, Eltahir EA (2013) Linking environmental variability to village-scale malaria transmission using a simple immunity model. Parasit Vectors 6(1):226
    • (2013) Parasit Vectors , vol.6 , Issue.1 , pp. 226
    • Yamana, T.K.1    Bomblies, A.2    Laminou, I.M.3    Duchemin, J.B.4    Eltahir, E.A.5
  • 223
    • 84992549125 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change unlikely to increase malaria burden in West Africa
    • Yamana TK, Bomblies A, Eltahir EA (2016) Climate change unlikely to increase malaria burden in West Africa. Nat Clim Change 6(11):1009
    • (2016) Nat Clim Change , vol.6 , Issue.11 , pp. 1009
    • Yamana, T.K.1    Bomblies, A.2    Eltahir, E.A.3
  • 224
    • 85008642337 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hysteresis in simulations of malaria transmission
    • Yamana TK, Qiu X, Eltahir EA (2017) Hysteresis in simulations of malaria transmission. Adv Water Resour 108:416–422
    • (2017) Adv Water Resour , vol.108 , pp. 416-422
    • Yamana, T.K.1    Qiu, X.2    Eltahir, E.A.3
  • 226
    • 77956815023 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Local scale prediction of Plasmodium falciparum malaria transmission in an endemic region using temperature and rainfall
    • Yé Y, Hoshen M, Kyobutungi C, Louis VR, Sauerborn R (2009) Local scale prediction of Plasmodium falciparum malaria transmission in an endemic region using temperature and rainfall. Global Health Action 2(s1):1923
    • (2009) Global Health Action , vol.2 , Issue.s1 , pp. 1923
    • Yé, Y.1    Hoshen, M.2    Kyobutungi, C.3    Louis, V.R.4    Sauerborn, R.5
  • 227
    • 4344696649 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Antimalarial drug resistance, artemisinin-based combination therapy, and the contribution of modeling to elucidating policy choices
    • Yeung S, Pongtavornpinyo W, Hastings IM, Mills AJ, White NJ (2004) Antimalarial drug resistance, artemisinin-based combination therapy, and the contribution of modeling to elucidating policy choices. Am J Trop Med Hyg 71(2S):179–186
    • (2004) Am J Trop Med Hyg , vol.71 , Issue.2S , pp. 179-186
    • Yeung, S.1    Pongtavornpinyo, W.2    Hastings, I.M.3    Mills, A.J.4    White, N.J.5
  • 228
    • 1442354948 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Association between climate variability and malaria epidemics in the East African highlands
    • Zhou G, Minakawa N, Githeko AK, Yan G (2004) Association between climate variability and malaria epidemics in the East African highlands. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 101(8):2375–2380
    • (2004) Proc Natl Acad Sci USA , vol.101 , Issue.8 , pp. 2375-2380
    • Zhou, G.1    Minakawa, N.2    Githeko, A.K.3    Yan, G.4


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.