메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 37, Issue 10, 2017, Pages 1936-1957

An Evidential Reasoning-Based CREAM to Human Reliability Analysis in Maritime Accident Process

Author keywords

CREAM; evidential reasoning; human reliability analysis; maritime accident process; safety engineering

Indexed keywords

ACCIDENTS; RELIABILITY; SAFETY ENGINEERING; UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS;

EID: 85030646908     PISSN: 02724332     EISSN: 15396924     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/risa.12757     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (160)

References (58)
  • 1
    • 57849124041 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Analytical HFACS for investigating human errors in shipping accidents
    • Celik M, Cebi S. Analytical HFACS for investigating human errors in shipping accidents. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 2009; 41:66–75.
    • (2009) Accident Analysis & Prevention , vol.41 , pp. 66-75
    • Celik, M.1    Cebi, S.2
  • 3
    • 0002736577 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Accounting for human factors in the analysis of maritime accidents
    • in, Cottam M, Harvey D, Pape R, Tait J, (eds)., Rotterdam, Balkema
    • Guedes Soares C, Teixeira AP, Antao P. Accounting for human factors in the analysis of maritime accidents. Pp. 521–528 in Cottam M, Harvey D, Pape R, Tait J (eds). Foresight and Precaution. Rotterdam: Balkema, 2000.
    • (2000) Foresight and Precaution , pp. 521-528
    • Guedes Soares, C.1    Teixeira, A.P.2    Antao, P.3
  • 4
    • 42049091470 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Causal factors in accidents of high speed craft and conventional ocean going vessels
    • Antao P, Guedes Soares C. Causal factors in accidents of high speed craft and conventional ocean going vessels. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 2008; 93:1292–1304.
    • (2008) Reliability Engineering & System Safety , vol.93 , pp. 1292-1304
    • Antao, P.1    Guedes Soares, C.2
  • 5
    • 84960483779 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Classification of human errors in grounding and collision accidents using the TRACEr taxonomy
    • Graziano A, Teixeira AP, Guedes Soares C. Classification of human errors in grounding and collision accidents using the TRACEr taxonomy. Safety Science, 2016; 86:245–257.
    • (2016) Safety Science , vol.86 , pp. 245-257
    • Graziano, A.1    Teixeira, A.P.2    Guedes Soares, C.3
  • 7
    • 84901625988 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Utilisation of cognitive map in modelling human error in marine accident analysis and prevention
    • Akyuz E, Celik M. Utilisation of cognitive map in modelling human error in marine accident analysis and prevention. Safety Science, 2014; 70:19–28.
    • (2014) Safety Science , vol.70 , pp. 19-28
    • Akyuz, E.1    Celik, M.2
  • 8
    • 82555168492 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Human factors and maritime safety
    • Chauvin C. Human factors and maritime safety. Journal of Navigation, 2011; 64:625–632.
    • (2011) Journal of Navigation , vol.64 , pp. 625-632
    • Chauvin, C.1
  • 10
    • 33947221943 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Human reliability analysis by fuzzy "CREAM"
    • Marseguerra M, Zio E, Librizzi M. Human reliability analysis by fuzzy "CREAM". Risk Analysis, 2007; 27:137–154.
    • (2007) Risk Analysis , vol.27 , pp. 137-154
    • Marseguerra, M.1    Zio, E.2    Librizzi, M.3
  • 11
    • 84886257121 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Human fatigue's effect on the risk of maritime groundings—A Bayesian network modeling approach
    • Akhtar MJ, Utne IB. Human fatigue's effect on the risk of maritime groundings—A Bayesian network modeling approach. Safety Science, 2014; 62:427–440.
    • (2014) Safety Science , vol.62 , pp. 427-440
    • Akhtar, M.J.1    Utne, I.B.2
  • 12
    • 84924135042 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Common patterns in aggregated accident analysis charts from human fatigue-related groundings and collisions at sea
    • Akhtar MJ, Utne IB. Common patterns in aggregated accident analysis charts from human fatigue-related groundings and collisions at sea. Maritime Policy & Management, 2014; 42:1–21.
    • (2014) Maritime Policy & Management , vol.42 , pp. 1-21
    • Akhtar, M.J.1    Utne, I.B.2
  • 13
    • 84923912751 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A methodological extension to human reliability analysis for cargo tank cleaning operation on board chemical tanker ships
    • Akyuz E, Celik M. A methodological extension to human reliability analysis for cargo tank cleaning operation on board chemical tanker ships. Safety Science, 2015; 75:146–155.
    • (2015) Safety Science , vol.75 , pp. 146-155
    • Akyuz, E.1    Celik, M.2
  • 14
    • 34848876941 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A simplified CREAM prospective quantification process and its application
    • He X, Wang Y, Shen Z, Huang X. A simplified CREAM prospective quantification process and its application. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 2008; 93:298–306.
    • (2008) Reliability Engineering & System Safety , vol.93 , pp. 298-306
    • He, X.1    Wang, Y.2    Shen, Z.3    Huang, X.4
  • 16
    • 84873144608 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A modified CREAM to human reliability quantification in marine engineering
    • Yang ZL, Bonsall S, Wall A, Wang J, Usman M. A modified CREAM to human reliability quantification in marine engineering. Ocean Engineering, 2013; 58:293–303.
    • (2013) Ocean Engineering , vol.58 , pp. 293-303
    • Yang, Z.L.1    Bonsall, S.2    Wall, A.3    Wang, J.4    Usman, M.5
  • 18
    • 84921450079 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Application of CREAM human reliability model to cargo loading process of LPG tankers
    • Akyuz E, Celik M. Application of CREAM human reliability model to cargo loading process of LPG tankers. Journal of Loss Prevention in the Process Industries, 2015; 34:39–48.
    • (2015) Journal of Loss Prevention in the Process Industries , vol.34 , pp. 39-48
    • Akyuz, E.1    Celik, M.2
  • 20
    • 80052415708 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Quantitative evaluation of human-reliability based on fuzzy-clonal selection
    • Wang A, Luo Y, Tu G, Liu P. Quantitative evaluation of human-reliability based on fuzzy-clonal selection. IEEE Transactions on Reliability, 2011; 60:517–527.
    • (2011) IEEE Transactions on Reliability , vol.60 , pp. 517-527
    • Wang, A.1    Luo, Y.2    Tu, G.3    Liu, P.4
  • 21
    • 79956089034 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A novel human error probability assessment using fuzzy modeling
    • Ung ST, Shen WM. A novel human error probability assessment using fuzzy modeling. Risk Analysis, 2011; 31:745–757.
    • (2011) Risk Analysis , vol.31 , pp. 745-757
    • Ung, S.T.1    Shen, W.M.2
  • 22
    • 84924692500 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian belief networks for human reliability analysis: A review of applications and gaps
    • Mkrtchyan L, Podofillini L, Dang V. Bayesian belief networks for human reliability analysis: A review of applications and gaps. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 2015; 139:1–16.
    • (2015) Reliability Engineering & System Safety , vol.139 , pp. 1-16
    • Mkrtchyan, L.1    Podofillini, L.2    Dang, V.3
  • 25
    • 51449113428 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Fuzzy rule-based Bayesian reasoning approach for prioritization of failures in FMEA
    • Yang Z, Bonsall S, Wang J. Fuzzy rule-based Bayesian reasoning approach for prioritization of failures in FMEA. IEEE Transactions on Reliability, 2008; 57:517–528.
    • (2008) IEEE Transactions on Reliability , vol.57 , pp. 517-528
    • Yang, Z.1    Bonsall, S.2    Wang, J.3
  • 27
    • 84875718001 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Screening, sensitivity, and uncertainty for the CREAM method of Human Reliability Analysis
    • Bedford T, Bayley C, Revie M. Screening, sensitivity, and uncertainty for the CREAM method of Human Reliability Analysis. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 2013; 115:100–110.
    • (2013) Reliability Engineering & System Safety , vol.115 , pp. 100-110
    • Bedford, T.1    Bayley, C.2    Revie, M.3
  • 29
    • 84887002848 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evidential reasoning rule for evidence combination
    • Yang J-B, Xu D-L. Evidential reasoning rule for evidence combination. Artificial Intelligence, 2013; 205:1–29.
    • (2013) Artificial Intelligence , vol.205 , pp. 1-29
    • Yang, J.-B.1    Xu, D.-L.2
  • 30
    • 84938214454 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dependence assessment in human reliability analysis using evidence theory and AHP
    • Su X, Mahadevan S, Xu P, Deng Y. Dependence assessment in human reliability analysis using evidence theory and AHP. Risk Analysis, 2015; 35:1296–1316.
    • (2015) Risk Analysis , vol.35 , pp. 1296-1316
    • Su, X.1    Mahadevan, S.2    Xu, P.3    Deng, Y.4
  • 32
    • 0032294902 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Rough set approach to incomplete information systems
    • Kryszkiewicz M. Rough set approach to incomplete information systems. Information Sciences, 1998; 112:39–49.
    • (1998) Information Sciences , vol.112 , pp. 39-49
    • Kryszkiewicz, M.1
  • 33
    • 79955594318 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A grounded theory model for analysis of marine accidents
    • Mullai A, Paulsson U. A grounded theory model for analysis of marine accidents. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 2011; 43:1590–1603.
    • (2011) Accident Analysis & Prevention , vol.43 , pp. 1590-1603
    • Mullai, A.1    Paulsson, U.2
  • 34
  • 35
    • 84881089445 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A human and organisational factors (HOFs) analysis method for marine casualties using HFACS-Maritime Accidents (HFACS-MA)
    • Chen S-T, Wall A, Davies P, Yang Z, Wang J, Chou Y-H. A human and organisational factors (HOFs) analysis method for marine casualties using HFACS-Maritime Accidents (HFACS-MA). Safety Science, 2013; 60:105–114.
    • (2013) Safety Science , vol.60 , pp. 105-114
    • Chen, S.-T.1    Wall, A.2    Davies, P.3    Yang, Z.4    Wang, J.5    Chou, Y.-H.6
  • 36
    • 70350564286 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Development and evaluation of a computer-aided system for analyzing human error in railway operations
    • Kim DS, Baek DH, Yoon WC. Development and evaluation of a computer-aided system for analyzing human error in railway operations. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 2010; 95:87–98.
    • (2010) Reliability Engineering & System Safety , vol.95 , pp. 87-98
    • Kim, D.S.1    Baek, D.H.2    Yoon, W.C.3
  • 37
    • 84906672431 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling the risk of ship grounding—A literature review from a risk management perspective
    • Mazaheri A, Montewka J, Kujala P. Modeling the risk of ship grounding—A literature review from a risk management perspective. WMU Journal of Maritime Affairs, 2014; 13:269–297.
    • (2014) WMU Journal of Maritime Affairs , vol.13 , pp. 269-297
    • Mazaheri, A.1    Montewka, J.2    Kujala, P.3
  • 39
    • 68749098095 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Safety level of damaged RoPax ships: Risk modelling and cost-effectiveness analysis
    • Guarin L, Konovessis D, Vassalos D. Safety level of damaged RoPax ships: Risk modelling and cost-effectiveness analysis. Ocean Engineering, 2009; 36:941–951.
    • (2009) Ocean Engineering , vol.36 , pp. 941-951
    • Guarin, L.1    Konovessis, D.2    Vassalos, D.3
  • 40
    • 84860657460 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Influence of impact scenario models on collision risk analysis
    • Goerlandt F, Ståhlberg K, Kujala P. Influence of impact scenario models on collision risk analysis. Ocean Engineering, 2012; 47:74–87.
    • (2012) Ocean Engineering , vol.47 , pp. 74-87
    • Goerlandt, F.1    Ståhlberg, K.2    Kujala, P.3
  • 41
  • 45
    • 84858134422 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Influences of variables on ship collision probability in a Bayesian belief network model
    • Hänninen M, Kujala P. Influences of variables on ship collision probability in a Bayesian belief network model. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 2012; 102:27–40.
    • (2012) Reliability Engineering & System Safety , vol.102 , pp. 27-40
    • Hänninen, M.1    Kujala, P.2
  • 46
    • 79952768502 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Fuzzy logic based decision making system for collision avoidance of ocean navigation under critical collision conditions
    • Perera LP, Carvalho JP, Guedes Soares C. Fuzzy logic based decision making system for collision avoidance of ocean navigation under critical collision conditions. Journal of Marine Science and Technology, 2010; 16:84–99.
    • (2010) Journal of Marine Science and Technology , vol.16 , pp. 84-99
    • Perera, L.P.1    Carvalho, J.P.2    Guedes Soares, C.3
  • 48
    • 70349472835 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Risk analysis of the vessel traffic in the Strait of Istanbul
    • Uluscu OS, Ozbas B, Altiok T, Or I. Risk analysis of the vessel traffic in the Strait of Istanbul. Risk Analysis, 2009; 29:1454–1472.
    • (2009) Risk Analysis , vol.29 , pp. 1454-1472
    • Uluscu, O.S.1    Ozbas, B.2    Altiok, T.3    Or, I.4
  • 49
  • 51
    • 0035341839 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Rule and utility based evidential reasoning approach for multiattribute decision analysis under uncertainties
    • Yang JB. Rule and utility based evidential reasoning approach for multiattribute decision analysis under uncertainties. European Journal of Operational Research, 2001; 131:31–61.
    • (2001) European Journal of Operational Research , vol.131 , pp. 31-61
    • Yang, J.B.1
  • 53
    • 28044455255 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The evidential reasoning approach for MADA under both probabilistic and fuzzy uncertainties
    • Yang J-B, Wang Y-M, Xu D-L, Chin K-S. The evidential reasoning approach for MADA under both probabilistic and fuzzy uncertainties. European Journal of Operational Research, 2006; 171:309–343.
    • (2006) European Journal of Operational Research , vol.171 , pp. 309-343
    • Yang, J.-B.1    Wang, Y.-M.2    Xu, D.-L.3    Chin, K.-S.4
  • 54
    • 49449122896 scopus 로고
    • A scaling method for priorities in hierarchical structures
    • Saaty TL. A scaling method for priorities in hierarchical structures. Journal of Mathematical Psychology, 1977; 15:234–281.
    • (1977) Journal of Mathematical Psychology , vol.15 , pp. 234-281
    • Saaty, T.L.1
  • 55
    • 58149196641 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Use of fuzzy evidential reasoning in maritime security assessment
    • Yang ZL, Wang J, Bonsall S, Fang QG. Use of fuzzy evidential reasoning in maritime security assessment. Risk Analysis, 2009; 29:95–120.
    • (2009) Risk Analysis , vol.29 , pp. 95-120
    • Yang, Z.L.1    Wang, J.2    Bonsall, S.3    Fang, Q.G.4
  • 57
    • 63349086541 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Analysis of accidents in Greek shipping during the pre- and post-ISM period
    • Tzannatos E, Kokotos D. Analysis of accidents in Greek shipping during the pre- and post-ISM period. Marine Policy, 2009; 33:679–684.
    • (2009) Marine Policy , vol.33 , pp. 679-684
    • Tzannatos, E.1    Kokotos, D.2
  • 58
    • 84899796694 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Maritime safety and the ISM code: A study of investigated casualties and incidents
    • Batalden B-M, Sydnes AK. Maritime safety and the ISM code: A study of investigated casualties and incidents. WMU Journal of Maritime Affairs, 2013; 13:3–25.
    • (2013) WMU Journal of Maritime Affairs , vol.13 , pp. 3-25
    • Batalden, B.-M.1    Sydnes, A.K.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.