Seasonal changes in the human alteration of fire regimes beyond the climate forcing

Environmental Research Letters

Volumn 12, Issue 3, 2017, Pages

  Fréjaville, Thibaut ^a,b   Curt, Thomas ^a  

^a UR EMAX   (France)

^b UNIVERSITÉ DE BORDEAUX   (France)

Author keywords

antecedent climate; climate change; fire policy; land use change; Mediterranean; mountain ecosystems; pyroclimate

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE MODELS; FIRE HAZARDS; FIRES; FORESTRY; LAND USE; LANDFORMS;

ANTECEDENT CLIMATE; FIRE POLICY; LAND-USE CHANGE; MEDITERRANEAN; MOUNTAIN ECOSYSTEMS; PYROCLIMATE;

CLIMATE CHANGE;

ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS; CLIMATE FORCING; CLIMATE MODELING; FIRE; FIRE HISTORY; HUMAN ACTIVITY; LAND USE CHANGE; MOUNTAIN ENVIRONMENT; SEASONAL VARIATION; TREND ANALYSIS;

FRANCE;

EID: 85015157489     PISSN: 17489318     EISSN: 17489326     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aa5d23     Document Type: Article

References (72)

1. Archibald S, Lehmann C E R, Gómez-Dans J L and Bradstock R A 2013 Defining pyromes and global syndromes of fire regimes Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. 110 6442-7
2. Balch J K, Bradley B A, D'Antonio C M and Gómez-Dans J 2013 Introduced annual grass increases regional fire activity across the arid western USA (1980-2009) Glob. Change Biol. 19 173-83
3. Barbero R, Abatzoglou J T, Steel E A and Larkin N K 2014 Modeling very large-fire occurrences over the continental United States from weather and climate forcing Environ. Res. Lett. 9 124009
4. Batllori E, Parisien M-A, Krawchuk M A and Moritz M A 2013 Climate change-induced shifts in fire for Mediterranean ecosystems Glob. Ecol. Biogeogr. 22 1118-29
5. Bedia J, Herrera S, Camia A, Moreno J M and Gutiérrez J M 2014a Forest fire danger projections in the Mediterranean using ENSEMBLES regional climate change scenarios Clim. Change 122 185-99
6. Bedia J, Herrera S and Gutiérrez J M 2014b Assessing the predictability of fire occurrence and area burned across phytoclimatic regions in Spain Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. 14 53-66
7. Bedia J, Herrera S, Gutiérrez J M, Benali A, Brands S, Mota B and Moreno J M 2015 Global patterns in the sensitivity of burned area to fire-weather: Implications for climate change Agric. For. Meteorol. 214-215 369-79
8. Bird R B, Bird D W and Codding B F 2016 People, El Niño southern oscillation and fire in Australia: fire regimes and climate controls in hummock grasslands Phil. Trans. R. Soc. B 371 20150343
9. Bird R B, Codding B F, Kauhanen P G and Bird D W 2012 Aboriginal hunting buffers climate-driven fire-size variability in Australia's spinifex grasslands Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. 109 10287-92
10. Boer M M et al 2016 Future changes in climatic water balance determine potential for transformational shifts in Australian fire regimes Environ. Res. Lett. 11 065002
11. Boulanger Y, Gauthier S, Burton P J and Vaillancourt M-A 2012 An alternative fire regime zonation for Canada Int. J. Wildland Fire 21 1052-64
12. Bowman D M J S et al 2011 The human dimension of fire regimes on Earth J. Biogeogr. 38 2223-36
13. Bowman D M J S et al 2009 Fire in the Earth system Science 324 481-4
14. Brotons L, Aquilué N, de Cáceres M, Fortin M-J and Fall A 2013 How fire history, fire suppression practices and climate change affect wildfire regimes in Mediterranean landscapes PLoS ONE 8 e62392
15. Carcaillet C, Ali A A, Blarquez O, Genries A, Mourier B and Bremond L 2009 Spatial variability of fire history in subalpine forests: from natural to cultural regimes Ecoscience 16 1-12
16. Carvalho A, Flannigan M D, Logan K, Miranda A I and Borrego C 2008 Fire activity in Portugal and its relationship to weather and the Canadian Fire Weather Index System Int. J. Wildland Fire 17 328-38
17. Cleveland R B, Cleveland W S, McRae J E and Terpenning I 1990 STL: a seasonal-trend decomposition procedure based on loess J. Off. Stat. 6 3-73
18. Curt T, Fréjaville T and Lahaye S 2016 Modelling the spatial patterns of ignition causes and fire regime features in southern France: implications for fire prevention policy Int. J. Wildland Fire 25 785-96
19. Daniau A-L et al 2012 Predictability of biomass burning in response to climate changes Glob. Biogeochem. Cycles 26 GB4007
20. De Angelis A, Ricotta C, Conedera M and Pezzatti G B 2015 Modelling the meteorological forest fire niche in heterogeneous pyrologic conditions PLoS ONE 10 e0116875
21. Dennison P E, Brewer S C, Arnold J D and Moritz M A 2014 Large wildfire trends in the western United States, 1984-2011 Geophys. Res. Lett. 41 2928-33
22. Dimitrakopoulos A P, Bemmerzouk A M and Mitsopoulos I D 2011 Evaluation of the Canadian fire weather index system in an eastern Mediterranean environment Meteorol. Appl. 18 83-93
23. Fréjaville T and Curt T 2015 Spatiotemporal patterns of changes in fire regime and climate: defining the pyroclimates of south-eastern France (Mediterranean Basin) Clim. Change 129 239-51
24. Fréjaville T, Curt T and Carcaillet C 2016 Tree cover and seasonal precipitation drive understorey flammability in alpine mountain forests J. Biogeogr. 43 1869-80
25. Fulé P Z, Yocom L L, Montaño C C, Falk D A, Cerano J and Villanueva-Díaz J 2012 Testing a pyroclimatic hypothesis on the Mexico-United States border Ecology 93 1830-40
26. Ganteaume A and Jappiot M 2013 What causes large fires in Southern France For. Ecol. Manag. 294 76-85
27. Gill A M 1975 Fire and the Australian flora: a review Aust. For. 38 4-25
28. Gudmundsson L, Rego F C, Rocha M and Seneviratne S I 2014 Predicting above normal wildfire activity in southern Europe as a function of meteorological drought Environ. Res. Lett. 9 084008
29. Guyette R P, Muzika R M and Dey D C 2002 Dynamics of an anthropogenic fire regime Ecosystems 5 472-86
30. Higuera P E, Abatzoglou J T, Littell J S and Morgan P 2015 The changing strength and nature of fire-climate relationships in the Northern Rocky Mountains, USA, 1902-2008 PLoS ONE 10 e0127563
31. Keeley J E 2004 Impact of antecedent climate on fire regimes in coastal California Int. J. Wildland Fire 13 173-82
32. Keeley J E and Syphard A D 2015 Different fire-climate relationships on forested and non-forested landscapes in the Sierra Nevada ecoregion Int. J. Wildland Fire 24 27-36
33. Krawchuk M A and Moritz M A 2011 Constraints on global fire activity vary across a resource gradient Ecology 92 121-32
34. Krawchuk M A, Moritz M A, Parisien M-A, Van Dorn J and Hayhoe K 2009 Global pyrogeography: the current and future distribution of wildfire PLoS ONE 4 e5102
35. Lehmann C E et al 2014 Savanna vegetation-fire-climate relationships differ among continents Science 343 548-52
36. Leys B and Carcaillet C 2016 Subalpine fires: the roles of vegetation, climate and, ultimately, land uses Clim. Change 135 683-97
37. Liebmann M J, Farella J, Roos C I, Stack A, Martini S and Swetnam T W 2016 Native American depopulation, reforestation, and fire regimes in the Southwest United States, 1492-1900 CE Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. 113 E696-704
38. Littell J S, McKenzie D, Peterson D L and Westerling A L 2009 Climate and wildfire area burned in western US ecoprovinces, 1916-2003 Ecol. Appl. 19 1003-21
39. Liu Z and Wimberly M C 2016 Direct and indirect effects of climate change on projected future fire regimes in the western United States Sci. Total Environ. 542 65-75
40. Lobell D B, Schlenker W and Costa-Roberts J 2011 Climate trends and global crop production since 1980 Science 333 616-20
41. Marlon J R, Bartlein P J, Carcaillet C, Gavin D G, Harrison S P, Higuera P E, Joos F, Power M J and Prentice I C 2008 Climate and human influences on global biomass burning over the past two millennia Nat. Geosci. 1 697-702
42. McWethy D B et al 2013 A conceptual framework for predicting temperate ecosystem sensitivity to human impacts on fire regimes Glob. Ecol. Biogeogr. 22 900-12
43. Meyn A, White P S, Buhk C and Jentsch A 2007 Environmental drivers of large, infrequent wildfires: the emerging conceptual model Prog. Phys. Geogr. 31 287-312
44. Moreira F et al 2011 Landscape - wildfire interactions in southern Europe: implications for landscape management J. Environ. Manage. 92 2389-402
45. Moreno M V, Conedera M, Chuvieco E and Pezzatti G B 2014 Fire regime changes and major driving forces in Spain from 1968 to 2010 Environ. Sci. Policy 37 11-22
46. O'Donnell A J, Boer M M, McCaw W L and Grierson P F 2011 Vegetation and landscape connectivity control wildfire intervals in unmanaged semi-arid shrublands and woodlands in Australia J. Biogeogr. 38 112-24
47. Parisien M-A, Miller C, Parks S A, DeLancey E R, Robinne F-N and Flannigan M D 2016 The spatially varying influence of humans on fire probability in North America Environ. Res. Lett. 11 075005
48. Parks S A, Miller C, Parisien M-A, Holsinger L M, Dobrowski S Z and Abatzoglou J 2015 Wildland fire deficit and surplus in the western United States 1984-2012 Ecosphere 6 1-13
49. Parks S A, Parisien M-A, Miller C and Dobrowski S Z 2014 Fire activity and severity in the western US vary along proxy gradients representing fuel amount and fuel moisture PLoS ONE 9 e99699
50. Pausas J G 2004 Changes in fire and climate in the eastern Iberian peninsula (Mediterranean basin) Clim. Change 63 337-50
51. Pausas J G and Fernández-Muñoz S 2012 Fire regime changes in the Western Mediterranean Basin: from fuel-limited to drought-driven fire regime Clim. Change 110 215-26
52. Pausas J G and Keeley J E 2009 A burning story: the role of fire in the history of life BioScience 59 593-601
53. Pausas J G and Keeley J E 2014 Abrupt climate-independent fire regime changes Ecosystems 17 1109-20
54. Pausas J G and Ribeiro E 2013 The global fire-productivity relationship Glob. Ecol. Biogeogr. 22 728-36
55. Pereira M G, Trigo R M, da Camara C C, Pereira J M C and Leite S M 2005 Synoptic patterns associated with large summer forest fires in Portugal Agric. For. Meteorol. 129 11-25
56. Peres-Neto P R, Legendre P, Dray S and Borcard D 2006 Variation partitioning of species data matrices: estimation and comparison of fractions Ecology 87 2614-25
57. Pezzatti G B, Zumbrunnen T, Bürgi M, Ambrosetti P and Conedera M 2013 Fire regime shifts as a consequence of fire policy and socio-economic development: an analysis based on the change point approach For. Policy Econ. 29 7-18
58. Prior L D, Murphy B P, Williamson G J, Cochrane M A, Jolly W M and Bowman D M J S 2016 Does inherent flammability of grass and litter fuels contribute to continental patterns of landscape fire activity? J. Biogeogr.
59. Ruffault J, Moron V, Trigo R M and Curt T 2017 Daily synoptic conditions associated with large fire occurrence in Mediterranean France: evidence for a wind-driven fire regime Int. J. Climatol. 37 524-33
60. Ruffault J and Mouillot F 2015 How a new fire-suppression policy can abruptly reshape the fire-weather relationship Ecosphere 6 199
61. Salis M, Ager A A, Finney M A, Arca B and Spano D 2014 Analyzing spatiotemporal changes in wildfire regime and exposure across a Mediterranean fire-prone area Nat. Hazards 71 1389-418
62. Sousa P M, Trigo R M, Pereira M G, Bedia J and Gutiérrez J M 2015 Different approaches to model future burnt area in the Iberian Peninsula Agric. For. Meteorol. 202 11-25
63. Taylor A H, Trouet V, Skinner C N and Stephens S 2016 Socioecological transitions trigger fire regime shifts and modulate fire-climate interactions in the Sierra Nevada, USA 1600-2015 CE Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. 113 13684-9
64. Trigo R M, Sousa P M, Pereira M G, Rasilla D and Gouveia C M 2016 Modelling wildfire activity in Iberia with different atmospheric circulation weather types Int. J. Climatol. 36 2761-78
65. Turco M, Bedia J, Di Liberto F, Fiorucci P, von Hardenberg J, Koutsias N, Llasat M-C, Xystrakis F and Provenzale A 2016 Decreasing fires in Mediterranean Europe PLoS ONE 11 ed C Carcaillet e0150663
66. Turco M, Llasat M C, Tudela A, Castro X and Provenzale A 2013 Decreasing fires in a Mediterranean region (1970-2010, NE Spain) Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. 13 649-52
67. Turco M, Llasat M-C, von Hardenberg J and Provenzale A 2014 Climate change impacts on wildfires in a Mediterranean environment Clim. Change 125 369-80
68. Urbieta I R, Zavala G, Bedia J, Gutiérrez J M, Miguel-Ayanz J S, Andrea C, Keeley J E and Moreno J M 2015 Fire activity as a function of fire-weather seasonal severity and antecedent climate across spatial scales in southern Europe and Pacific western USA Environ. Res. Lett. 10 114013
69. Valese E, Conedera M, Held A C and Ascoli D 2014 Fire, humans and landscape in the European Alpine region during the Holocene Anthropocene 6 63-74
70. Venäläinen A, Korhonen N, Hyvärinen O, Koutsias N, Xystrakis F, Urbieta I R and Moreno J M 2014 Temporal variations and change in forest fire danger in Europe for 1960-2012 Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. 14 1477-90
71. van Wagner C E 1987 Development and Structure of the Canadian Forest Fire Weather Index System, Ottawa Technical Report 35
72. Zumbrunnen T, Bugmann H, Conedera M and Bürgi M 2009 Linking forest fire regimes and climate - a historical analysis in a dry inner Alpine valley Ecosystems 12 73-86