메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 9, Issue 12, 2014, Pages

Modeling very large-fire occurrences over the continental United States from weather and climate forcing

Author keywords

climate fire; timescales; United States; very large fires

Indexed keywords

AIR QUALITY; CLIMATE CHANGE; FORESTRY;

EID: 84919633078     PISSN: 17489318     EISSN: 17489326     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/9/12/124009     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (95)

References (63)
  • 1
    • 84871621906 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Development of gridded surface meteorological data for ecological applications and modeling
    • Abatzoglou J T 2013 Development of gridded surface meteorological data for ecological applications and modeling Int. J. Climatol. 33 121-31
    • (2013) Int. J. Climatol. , vol.33 , pp. 121-131
    • Abatzoglou, J.T.1
  • 2
    • 79959554079 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Relative importance of weather and climate on wildfire growth in interior Alaska
    • Abatzoglou J T and Kolden C A 2011a Relative importance of weather and climate on wildfire growth in interior Alaska Int. J. Wildland Fire 20 479-86
    • (2011) Int. J. Wildland Fire , vol.20 , pp. 479-486
    • Abatzoglou, J.T.1    Kolden, C.A.2
  • 3
    • 80052838283 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change in Western US deserts: Potential for increased wildfire and invasive annual grasses
    • Abatzoglou J T and Kolden C A 2011b Climate change in Western US deserts: potential for increased wildfire and invasive annual grasses Rangeland Ecol. Manage. 64 471-8
    • (2011) Rangeland Ecol. Manage. , vol.64 , pp. 471-478
    • Abatzoglou, J.T.1    Kolden, C.A.2
  • 4
    • 84886602778 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Relationships between climate and macroscale area burned in the western United States
    • Abatzoglou J T and Kolden C A 2013 Relationships between climate and macroscale area burned in the western United States Int. J. Wildland Fire 22 1003-20
    • (2013) Int. J. Wildland Fire , vol.22 , pp. 1003-1020
    • Abatzoglou, J.T.1    Kolden, C.A.2
  • 6
    • 0041704577 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluation of fire danger rating indexes using logistic regression and percentile analysis
    • Andrews P L, Loftsgaarden D O and Bradshaw L S 2003 Evaluation of fire danger rating indexes using logistic regression and percentile analysis Int. J. Wildland Fire 12 213-26
    • (2003) Int. J. Wildland Fire , vol.12 , pp. 213-226
    • Andrews, P.L.1    Loftsgaarden, D.O.2    Bradshaw, L.S.3
  • 7
    • 9644265270 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Automated variable selection methods for logistic regression produced unstable models for predicting acute myocardial infarction mortality
    • Austin P C and Tu J V 2004 Automated variable selection methods for logistic regression produced unstable models for predicting acute myocardial infarction mortality J. Clin. Epidemiology 57 1138-46
    • (2004) J. Clin. Epidemiology , vol.57 , pp. 1138-1146
    • Austin, P.C.1    Tu, J.V.2
  • 8
    • 84870679623 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Introduced annual grass increases regional fire activity across the arid western USA (1980-2009)
    • Balch J K, Bradley B A, D'Antonio C M and Gomez-Dans J 2013 Introduced annual grass increases regional fire activity across the arid western USA (1980-2009) Glob. Change Biol. 19 173-83
    • (2013) Glob. Change Biol. , vol.19 , pp. 173-183
    • Balch, J.K.1    Bradley, B.A.2    D'Antonio, C.M.3    Gomez-Dans, J.4
  • 10
    • 84855463340 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Relationships between MODIS and ATSR fires and atmospheric variability in new Caledonia (SW Pacific)
    • Barbero R, Moron V, Mangeas M, Despinoy M and Hély C 2011 Relationships between MODIS and ATSR fires and atmospheric variability in new Caledonia (SW Pacific) J. Geophys. Res. - Atmos. 116 D21110
    • (2011) J. Geophys. Res. - Atmos. , vol.116
    • Barbero, R.1    Moron, V.2    Mangeas, M.3    Despinoy, M.4    Hély, C.5
  • 11
    • 58149504636 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Regional analysis of the impacts of climate change on cheatgrass invasion shows potential risk and opportunity
    • Bradley B A 2009 Regional analysis of the impacts of climate change on cheatgrass invasion shows potential risk and opportunity Glob. Change Biol. 15 196-208
    • (2009) Glob. Change Biol. , vol.15 , pp. 196-208
    • Bradley, B.A.1
  • 12
    • 0032350727 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Fuel models and fire potential form satellite and surface observations
    • Burgan R E, Klaver R W and Klaver J M 1998 Fuel models and fire potential form satellite and surface observations Int. J. Wildland Fire 8 159-70
    • (1998) Int. J. Wildland Fire , vol.8 , pp. 159-170
    • Burgan, R.E.1    Klaver, R.W.2    Klaver, J.M.3
  • 13
    • 0033190381 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Objective quantification of drought severity and duration
    • Byun H R and Wilhite D A 1999 Objective quantification of drought severity and duration J. Clim. 12 2747-56
    • (1999) J. Clim. , vol.12 , pp. 2747-2756
    • Byun, H.R.1    Wilhite, D.A.2
  • 14
    • 33646850234 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Quantification of pollutants emitted from very large wildland fires in Southern California, USA
    • Clinton N E, Gong P and Scott K 2006 Quantification of pollutants emitted from very large wildland fires in Southern California, USA Atmos. Environ. 40 3686-95
    • (2006) Atmos. Environ. , vol.40 , pp. 3686-3695
    • Clinton, N.E.1    Gong, P.2    Scott, K.3
  • 16
    • 84881029514 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The influence of the inter-decadal Pacific oscillation on US precipitation during 1923-2010
    • Dai A 2013 The influence of the inter-decadal Pacific oscillation on US precipitation during 1923-2010 Clim. Dyn. 41 633-46
    • (2013) Clim. Dyn. , vol.41 , pp. 633-646
    • Dai, A.1
  • 19
    • 72149106443 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Critical live fuel moisture in chaparral ecosystems: A threshold for fire activity and its relationship to antecedent precipitation
    • Dennison P E and Moritz M A 2009 Critical live fuel moisture in chaparral ecosystems: a threshold for fire activity and its relationship to antecedent precipitation Int. J. Wildland Fire 18 1021-7
    • (2009) Int. J. Wildland Fire , vol.18 , pp. 1021-1027
    • Dennison, P.E.1    Moritz, M.A.2
  • 23
    • 57849092140 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Large-fires, fire effects and the fire-regime concept
    • Gill A M and Allan G 2008 Large-fires, fire effects and the fire-regime concept Int. J. Wildland Fire 17 688-95
    • (2008) Int. J. Wildland Fire , vol.17 , pp. 688-695
    • Gill, A.M.1    Allan, G.2
  • 26
    • 12144266865 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Use and interpretation of logistic regression in habitat-selection studies
    • Keating K A and Cherry S 2004 Use and interpretation of logistic regression in habitat-selection studies J. Wildlife Manage. 68 774 -789
    • (2004) J. Wildlife Manage. , vol.68 , pp. 774-789
    • Keating, K.A.1    Cherry, S.2
  • 27
    • 10244255160 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Lessons from the 2003 wildfires in southern California
    • Keeley J E, Fotheringham C J and Moritz M A 2004 Lessons from the 2003 wildfires in southern California J. Forestry 10 26-31
    • (2004) J. Forestry , vol.10 , pp. 26-31
    • Keeley, J.E.1    Fotheringham, C.J.2    Moritz, M.A.3
  • 28
  • 29
    • 26644449805 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The contemporary fire regime of the Central Appalachian Mountains and its relation to climate
    • Lafon C W, Hoss J A and Grissino-Mayer H D 2005 The contemporary fire regime of the Central Appalachian Mountains and its relation to climate Phys. Geogr. 26 126-46
    • (2005) Phys. Geogr. , vol.26 , pp. 126-146
    • Lafon, C.W.1    Hoss, J.A.2    Grissino-Mayer, H.D.3
  • 31
    • 66149164353 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate and wildfire area burned in western US ecoprovinces 1916-2003
    • Littell J S, McKenzie D, Peterson D L and Westerling A L 2009 Climate and wildfire area burned in western US ecoprovinces 1916-2003 Ecol. Appl. 19 1003-21
    • (2009) Ecol. Appl. , vol.19 , pp. 1003-1021
    • Littell, J.S.1    McKenzie, D.2    Peterson, D.L.3    Westerling, A.L.4
  • 32
    • 84874990353 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Future US wildfire potential trends projected using a dynamically downscaled climate change scenario
    • Liu Y Q, Goodrick S L and Stanturf J A 2012 Future US wildfire potential trends projected using a dynamically downscaled climate change scenario Forest Ecol. Manage. 294 120-35
    • (2012) Forest Ecol. Manage. , vol.294 , pp. 120-135
    • Liu, Y.Q.1    Goodrick, S.L.2    Stanturf, J.A.3
  • 33
    • 73449085115 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Trends in global wildfire potential in a changing climate
    • Liu Y Q, Stanturf J and Goodrick S 2010 Trends in global wildfire potential in a changing climate Forest Ecol. Manage. 259 378-1127
    • (2010) Forest Ecol. Manage. , vol.259 , pp. 378-1127
    • Liu, Y.Q.1    Stanturf, J.2    Goodrick, S.3
  • 34
    • 84888395852 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Will future climate favor more erratic wildfires in the western United States?
    • Luo L, Tang Y, Zhong S, Bian X and Heilman W E 2013 Will future climate favor more erratic wildfires in the western United States? J. Appl. Meteorol. Climatol. 52 2410-7
    • (2013) J. Appl. Meteorol. Climatol. , vol.52 , pp. 2410-2417
    • Luo, L.1    Tang, Y.2    Zhong, S.3    Bian, X.4    Heilman, W.E.5
  • 36
    • 84863407435 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Long-term perspective on wildfires in the western USA
    • Marlon J R et al 2012 Long-term perspective on wildfires in the western USA Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 109 E535-43
    • (2012) Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA , vol.109 , pp. 535-E543
    • Marlon, J.R.1
  • 38
    • 84880106566 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling burned area in Europe with the community land model
    • Migliavacca M et al 2013 Modeling burned area in Europe with the community land model J. Geophys. Res. Biogeosci. 118 265-79
    • (2013) J. Geophys. Res. Biogeosci. , vol.118 , pp. 265-279
    • Migliavacca, M.1
  • 39
    • 58849125704 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Quantitative evidence for increasing forest fire severity in the Sierra Nevada and southern Cascade Mountains, California and Nevada, USA
    • Miller J D, Safford H D, Crimmins M and Thode A E 2009 Quantitative evidence for increasing forest fire severity in the Sierra Nevada and southern Cascade Mountains, California and Nevada, USA Ecosystems 12 16-32
    • (2009) Ecosystems , vol.12 , pp. 16-32
    • Miller, J.D.1    Safford, H.D.2    Crimmins, M.3    Thode, A.E.4
  • 40
    • 77649177583 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Spatial variation in extreme winds predicts large wildfire locations in chaparral ecosystem
    • Moritz M A, Moody T J, Krawchuk M A, Hughes M and Hall A 2010 Spatial variation in extreme winds predicts large wildfire locations in chaparral ecosystem Geophys. Res. Lett. 37 L04801
    • (2010) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.37
    • Moritz, M.A.1    Moody, T.J.2    Krawchuk, M.A.3    Hughes, M.4    Hall, A.5
  • 42
    • 0023486061 scopus 로고
    • Ecoregions of the conterminous United States (map supplement)
    • Omernik J M 1987 Ecoregions of the conterminous United States (map supplement) Ann. Assoc. Am. Geogr. 77 118-25 scale 1:7500 000
    • (1987) Ann. Assoc. Am. Geogr. , vol.77 , pp. 118-125
    • Omernik, J.M.1
  • 44
    • 84903289146 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Fire activity and severity in the Western US vary along proxy gradients representing fuel amount and fuel moisture
    • Parks S A, Parisien M A, Miller C and Dobrowski S Z 2014 Fire activity and severity in the Western US vary along proxy gradients representing fuel amount and fuel moisture PLoS One 9 e99699
    • (2014) PLoS One , vol.9
    • Parks, S.A.1    Parisien, M.A.2    Miller, C.3    Dobrowski, S.Z.4
  • 45
    • 84906075862 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Abrupt climate-independent fire regime changes
    • Pausas J G and Keeley J E 2014 Abrupt climate-independent fire regime changes Ecosystems 17 1109-20
    • (2014) Ecosystems , vol.17 , pp. 1109-1120
    • Pausas, J.G.1    Keeley, J.E.2
  • 46
    • 79959539799 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Defining fire spread event days for fire-growth modelling
    • Podur J and Wotton M B 2011 Defining fire spread event days for fire-growth modelling Int. J. Wildland Fire 20 497-507
    • (2011) Int. J. Wildland Fire , vol.20 , pp. 497-507
    • Podur, J.1    Wotton, M.B.2
  • 47
    • 69249123230 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecasting distributions of large federal-lands fires utilizing satellite and gridded weather information
    • Preisler H K, Burgan R E, Eidenshink J C, Klaver J M and Klaver R W 2009 Forecasting distributions of large federal-lands fires utilizing satellite and gridded weather information Int. J. Wildland Fire 18 508-16
    • (2009) Int. J. Wildland Fire , vol.18 , pp. 508-516
    • Preisler, H.K.1    Burgan, R.E.2    Eidenshink, J.C.3    Klaver, J.M.4    Klaver, R.W.5
  • 48
    • 34548203181 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Statistical model for forecasting monthly large wildfire events in the western United States
    • Preisler H K and Westerling A L 2007 Statistical model for forecasting monthly large wildfire events in the western United States J. Appl. Meteorol. Climatol. 46 1020-30
    • (2007) J. Appl. Meteorol. Climatol. , vol.46 , pp. 1020-1030
    • Preisler, H.K.1    Westerling, A.L.2
  • 49
    • 84886627476 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The relationship of large-fires occurrence with drought and fire danger indices in the Western USA, 1984-2008: The role of temporal scale
    • Riley K L, Abatzoglou J T, Grenfell I C, Klene A E and Heinsch F A 2013 The relationship of large-fires occurrence with drought and fire danger indices in the Western USA, 1984-2008: the role of temporal scale Int. J. Wildland Fire 22 894-909
    • (2013) Int. J. Wildland Fire , vol.22 , pp. 894-909
    • Riley, K.L.1    Abatzoglou, J.T.2    Grenfell, I.C.3    Klene, A.E.4    Heinsch, F.A.5
  • 50
    • 0032864793 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The association between circulation anomalies in the mid-troposphere and area burned by wildland fire in Canada
    • Skinner W R, Stocks B J, Martell D L, Bonsal B and Shabbar A 1999 The association between circulation anomalies in the mid-troposphere and area burned by wildland fire in Canada Theory Appl. Climatol. 63 89-105
    • (1999) Theory Appl. Climatol. , vol.63 , pp. 89-105
    • Skinner, W.R.1    Stocks, B.J.2    Martell, D.L.3    Bonsal, B.4    Shabbar, A.5
  • 51
  • 53
    • 85027918337 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Regional projections of the likelihood of very large wildland fires under a changing climate in the contiguous western United States
    • Stavros E N, Abatzoglou J T, McKenzie D and Larkin N K 2014b Regional projections of the likelihood of very large wildland fires under a changing climate in the contiguous western United States Clim. Change 126 455-68
    • (2014) Clim. Change , vol.126 , pp. 455-468
    • Stavros, E.N.1    Abatzoglou, J.T.2    McKenzie, D.3    Larkin, N.K.4
  • 54
    • 34948855458 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Prehistoric fire area and emissions from California's forests, woodlands, shrublands, and grasslands
    • Stephens S L, Martin R E and Clinton N E 2007 Prehistoric fire area and emissions from California's forests, woodlands, shrublands, and grasslands Forest Ecol. Manage. 251 205-16
    • (2007) Forest Ecol. Manage. , vol.251 , pp. 205-216
    • Stephens, S.L.1    Martin, R.E.2    Clinton, N.E.3
  • 55
    • 0024880320 scopus 로고
    • Do one percent of forest fires cause ninety-nine percent of the damage?
    • Strauss D, Bednar L and Mees R 1989 Do one percent of forest fires cause ninety-nine percent of the damage? Forest Sci. 35 319-28
    • (1989) Forest Sci. , vol.35 , pp. 319-328
    • Strauss, D.1    Bednar, L.2    Mees, R.3
  • 56
    • 0025691799 scopus 로고
    • Fire-southern oscillation relations in the south western United States
    • Swetnam T W and Betancourt J L 1990 Fire-southern oscillation relations in the south western United States Science 249 1017-21
    • (1990) Science , vol.249 , pp. 1017-1021
    • Swetnam, T.W.1    Betancourt, J.L.2
  • 60
    • 70449762298 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Interannual to decadal drought and wildfire in the western United States
    • Westerling A L and Swetnam T W 2003 Interannual to decadal drought and wildfire in the western United States EOS 84 545-54
    • (2003) EOS , vol.84 , pp. 545-554
    • Westerling, A.L.1    Swetnam, T.W.2
  • 61
    • 33747586378 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Warming and earlier spring increase Western US forest wildfire activity
    • Westerling A L, Hidalgo H G, Cayan D R and Swetnam T W 2006 Warming and earlier spring increase Western US forest wildfire activity Science 313 940-3
    • (2006) Science , vol.313 , pp. 940-943
    • Westerling, A.L.1    Hidalgo, H.G.2    Cayan, D.R.3    Swetnam, T.W.4
  • 62
    • 84874998163 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Exploring the onset of high-impact mega-fires through a forest land management prism
    • Williams J 2012 Exploring the onset of high-impact mega-fires through a forest land management prism Forest Ecol. Manage. 294 4-10
    • (2012) Forest Ecol. Manage. , vol.294 , pp. 4-10
    • Williams, J.1
  • 63
    • 84879722025 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ensemble projections of wildfire activity and carbonaceous aerosol concentrations over the western United States in the mid-21st century
    • Yue X, Mickley L J, Logan J A and Kaplan J O 2013 Ensemble projections of wildfire activity and carbonaceous aerosol concentrations over the western United States in the mid-21st century Atmos. Environ. 77 767-80
    • (2013) Atmos. Environ. , vol.77 , pp. 767-780
    • Yue, X.1    Mickley, L.J.2    Logan, J.A.3    Kaplan, J.O.4


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.