Human influence on tropical cyclone intensity

Science

Volumn 353, Issue 6296, 2016, Pages 242-246

  Sobel, Adam H ^a,b   Camargo, Suzana J ^b   Hall, Timothy M ^c   Lee, Chia Ying ^d   Tippett, Michael K ^a,e   Wing, Allison A ^b  

^a Columbia University ^*  (United States)

^b Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences   (United States)

^c NASA GODDARD INSTITUTE FOR SPACE STUDIES   (United States)

^d Earth Institute   (United States)

^e KING ABDULAZIZ UNIVERSITY   (Saudi Arabia)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

AEROSOL; CLIMATE MODELING; GREENHOUSE GAS; HISTORICAL RECORD; HUMAN ACTIVITY; NATURE-SOCIETY RELATIONS; TROPICAL CYCLONE;

AEROSOL; CARBON FOOTPRINT; CLIMATE CHANGE; COOLING; FLOODING; GREENHOUSE GAS; HURRICANE; PRIORITY JOURNAL; REVIEW; SEA LEVEL RISE; SIMULATION; WARMING; GREENHOUSE EFFECT; HUMAN; HUMAN ACTIVITIES; SEASON; TEMPERATURE; THEORETICAL MODEL; TROPIC CLIMATE;

AEROSOL;

AEROSOLS; CYCLONIC STORMS; GLOBAL WARMING; GREENHOUSE EFFECT; HUMAN ACTIVITIES; HUMANS; MODELS, THEORETICAL; SEASONS; TEMPERATURE; TROPICAL CLIMATE;

EID: 84978436626     PISSN: 00368075     EISSN: 10959203     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1126/science.aaf6574     Document Type: Review

References (84)

1. S. B. Idso, R. C. Balling Jr., R. S. Cerveny, Meteorol. Atmos. Phys. 42, 259-263 (1990).
2. A. J. Broccoli, S. Manabe, Geophys. Res. Lett. 17, 1917-1920 (1990).
3. J. L. Evans, R. J. Allan, Int. J. Climatol. 12, 611-623 (1992).
4. J. Lighthill et al., Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 75, 2147-2157 (1994).
5. L. Bengtsson, M. Botzet, M. Esch, Tellus 48A, 57-73 (1996).
6. T. R. Knutson et al., Nat. Geosci. 3, 157-163 (2010).
7. S. I. Seneviratne, N. Nicholls, D. Easterling, C. M. Goodess, S. Kanae, J. Kossin, Y. Luo, J. Marengo, K. McInnes, M. Rahimi, M. Reichstein, A. Sorteberg, C. Vera, X. Zhang, "Changes in climate extremes and their impacts on the natural physical environment, " in Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation. A Special Report of Working Groups I and II of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, C. B. Field et al., Eds. (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2012), pp. 109-230.
8. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, T. F. Stocker et al., Eds. (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2013).
9. K. J. E. Walsh et al., WIREs Clim. Change 7, 65-89 (2016).
10. S. J. Camargo, A. A.Wing, WIREs Clim. Change 7, 211-237 (2016).
11. M. Bister, K. A. Emanuel, J. Geophys. Res. 107, 4801 (2002).
12. J. Persing, M. T. Montgomery, J. Atmos. Sci. 60, 2349-2371 (2003).
13. R. K. Smith, M. T. Montgomery, S. Vogl, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc.134, 551-561 (2008).
14. G. H. Bryan, R. Rotunno, Mon. Weather Rev. 137, 1770-1789 (2009).
15. G. A. Vecchi, B. J. Soden, Nature 450, 1066-1070 (2007).
16. J. Yu, Y. Wang, K. Hamilton, J. Clim. 23, 1354-1373 (2010).
17. S. J. Camargo, J. Clim. 26, 9880-9902 (2013).
18. K. Emanuel, A. Sobel, J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst. 5, 447-458 (2013).
19. L. M. Polvani, S. J. Camargo, R. R. Garcia, J. Clim. 29, 2275-2289 (2016).
20. B. Tang, K. Emanuel, J. Atmos. Sci. 67, 1817-1830 (2010).
21. I.-I. Lin et al., Geophys. Res. Lett. 40, 1878-1882 (2013).
22. P. Huang, I.-I. Lin, C.Chou, R.-H.Huang, Nat. Commun. 6, 7188 (2015).
23. K. Emanuel, J. Clim. 28, 8165-8170 (2015).
24. K. A. Emanuel, Mon. Weather Rev. 128, 1139-1152 (2000).
25. A. A. Wing, A. H. Sobel, S. J. Camargo, Geophys. Res. Lett. 34, L08810 (2007).
26. J. P. Kossin, S. J. Camargo, Clim. Change 97, 329-337 (2009).
27. S. Wang, S. J. Camargo, A. H. Sobel, L. M. Polvani, J. Atmos. Sci. 71, 4333-4348 (2014).
28. G. A. Vecchi, B. J. Soden, Geophys. Res. Lett. 34, L08702 (2007).
29. M. A. Bender et al., Science 327, 454-458 (2010).
30. H. Murakami et al., J. Clim. 25, 3237-3260 (2012).
31. T. R. Knutson et al., J. Clim. 28, 7203-7224 (2015).
32. J. V. Manganello et al., J. Clim. 27, 7622-7646 (2014).
33. W.M. Frank, G. S. Young, Mon.Weather Rev. 135, 3587-3598 (2007).
34. B. Wang, Y. Yang, Q.-H. Ding, H. Murakami, F. Huang, Geophys. Res. Lett. 37, L07704 (2010).
35. D. J. Raymond, S. L. Sessions, Ž. Fuchs, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 133, 1743-1754 (2007).
36. T. J. Dunkerton, M. T. Montgomery, Z. Wang, Atmos. Chem. Phys. 9, 5587-5646 (2009).
37. K. A. Emanuel, D. S. Nolan, in Proceedings of 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology (American Meteorological Society, 2004), pp. 240-241.
38. K. Emanuel, J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst. 2, 1 (2010).
39. M. K. Tippett, S. J. Camargo, A. H. Sobel, J. Clim. 24, 2335-2357 (2011).
40. C. L. Bruyère, G. J. Holland, E. Towler, J. Clim. 25, 8611-8626 (2012).
41. S. J. Camargo, A. H. Sobel, A. G. Barnston, K. A. Emanuel, Tellus 59A, 428-443 (2007).
42. S. J. Camargo, M. K. Tippett, A. H. Sobel, G. A. Vecchi, M. Zhao, J. Clim. 27, 9171-9196 (2014).
43. K. Emanuel, R. Sundararajan, J. Williams, Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 89, 347-367 (2008).
44. M. Wehner et al., J. Clim. 28, 3905-3925 (2015).
45. I. M. Held, B. J. Soden, J. Clim. 19, 5686-5699 (2006).
46. K. A. Emanuel, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A. 110, 12219-12224 (2013).
47. K. E. Trenberth, J. Fasullo, J. Geophys. Res. 112, D23107 (2007).
48. G. Villarini et al., J. Clim. 27, 4622-4641 (2014).
49. E. Scoccimarro et al., J. Clim. 27, 4642-4654 (2014).
50. H.-S. Kim et al., J. Clim. 27, 8034-8054 (2014).
51. J.D.Woodruff, J. L. Irish, S. J. Camargo, Nature 504, 44-52 (2013).
52. N. Lin, K. Emanuel, M. Oppenheimer, E. Vanmarcke, Nat. Clim. Change 2, 462-467 (2012).
53. N. Lin, K. Emanuel, Nat. Clim. Change 6, 106-111 (2015).
54. D. T. Resio, J. L. Irish, Curr. Clim. Change Rep. 1, 74-84 (2015).
55. C. W. Landsea, B. A. Harper, K. Hoarau, J. A. Knaff, Science 313, 452-454 (2006).
56. C. W. Landsea, G. A. Vecchi, L. Bengtsson, T. R. Knutson, J. Clim. 23, 2508-2519 (2010).
57. G. A. Vecchi, T. R. Knutson, J. Clim. 24, 1736-1746 (2011).
58. P. J. Klotzbach, C. W. Landsea, J. Clim. 28, 7621-7629 (2015).
59. N. L. Bindoff, P. A. Stott, K. M. AchutaRao, M. R. Allen, N. Gillett, D. Gutzler, K. Hansingo, G. Hegerl, Y. Hu, S. Jain, I. I. Mokhov, J. Overland, J. Perlwitz, R. Sebbari, X. Zhang, "Detection and attribution of climate change: From global to regional, " in Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, T. F. Stocker et al., Eds. (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2013), pp. 867-952.
60. P. J. Webster, G. J. Holland, J. A. Curry, H.-R. Chang, Science 309, 1844-1846 (2005).
61. J. B. Elsner, J. P. Kossin, T. H. Jagger, Nature 455, 92-95 (2008).
62. J.P. Kossin, T. L. Olander, K.R.Knapp, J. Clim. 26, 9960-9976 (2013).
63. K. Emanuel, Nature 436, 686-688 (2005).
64. K. Emanuel, J. Clim. 20, 5497-5509 (2007).
65. G. A. Vecchi, K. L. Swanson, B. J. Soden, Science 322, 687-689 (2008).
66. H. A. Ramsay, A. H. Sobel, J. Clim. 24, 183-193 (2011).
67. S. J. Camargo, M. Ting, Y. Kushnir, Clim. Dyn. 40, 1515-1529 (2013).
68. M. E. Mann, K. A. Emanuel, EOS 87, 233, 238-241 (2006).
69. B. B. B. Booth, N. J. Dunstone, P. R. Halloran, T. Andrews, N. Bellouin, Nature 484, 228-232 (2012).
70. K. Emanuel, S. Solomon, D. Folini, S. Davis, C. Cagnazzo, J. Clim. 26, 2288-2301 (2013).
71. G. A. Vecchi, S. Fueglistaler, I. M. Held, T. R. Knutson, M. Zhao, J. Clim. 26, 3877-3891 (2013).
72. M. Ting, S. J. Camargo, C. Li, Y. Kushnir, J. Clim. 28, 3926-3942 (2015).
73. G. Holland, C. Bruyère, Clim. Dyn. 42, 617-627 (2014).
74. Materials and methods are available as supplementary materials on Science Online.
75. A. A. Wing, K. Emanuel, S. Solomon, Geophys. Res. Lett. 42, 8669-8677 (2015).
76. M. Free, M. Bister, K. Emanuel, J. Clim. 17, 1722-1727 (2004).
77. J. P. Kossin, Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 96, 1089-1096 (2015).
78. S. J. Smith et al., Atmos. Chem. Phys. 11, 1101-1116 (2011).
79. D. T. Shindell et al., Atmos. Chem. Phys. 13, 2653-2689 (2013).
80. B. Stevens, J. Clim. 28, 4794-4819 (2015).
81. D. P. van Vuuren et al., Clim. Change 109, 5-31 (2011).
82. J. P. Kossin, K.A. Emanuel, G.A. Vecchi, Nature 509, 349-352 (2014).
83. J. P. Kossin, K. A. Emanuel, S. J. Camargo, J. Clim. (2016).
84. S. M. Uppala et al., Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 131, 2961-3012 (2005).