Climate change: Whither hurricane activity?

Science

Volumn 322, Issue 5902, 2008, Pages 687-689

  Vecchi, Gabriel A ^a   Swanson, Kyle L ^b   Soden, Brian J ^c  

^a NOAA EARTH SYSTEM RESEARCH LABORATORY   (United States)

^b UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN MILWAUKEE   (United States)

^c UNIVERSITY OF MIAMI   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE MODELING; CLIMATE VARIATION; EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS; HUMAN ACTIVITY; HURRICANE; HYPOTHESIS TESTING; REGRESSION ANALYSIS; SEA LEVEL CHANGE; SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE; TEMPORAL ANALYSIS; TREND ANALYSIS; TWENTY FIRST CENTURY;

ATLANTIC OCEAN; ATMOSPHERE; CLIMATE CHANGE; HURRICANE; PRIORITY JOURNAL; REVIEW; SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE; THEORETICAL MODEL;

ATLANTIC OCEAN;

EID: 55349124951     PISSN: 00368075     EISSN: 10959203     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1126/science.1164396     Document Type: Review

References (18)

1. C. D. Hoyos, P. A. Agudelo, P. J. Webster, J. A. Curry, Science 312, 94 (2006).
2. K. Emanuel, J. Climate 20, 5497 (2007).
3. U.S. Climate Change Science Program, Weather and Climate Extremes in a Changing Climate, T. R. Karl et al., Eds. (Department of Commerce, NOAA's National Climatic Data Center, Washington, DC, 2008).
4. K. L. Swanson, Geochem. Geophys. Geosys. 9, Q04V01; 10.1029/2007GC001844 (2008).
5. G. A. Vecchi, B. J. Soden, Nature 450, 1066 (2007).
6. PDI is the cube of the instantaneous tropical cyclone wind speed integrated over the life of all storms in a given season; more intense and frequent basinwide hurricane activity lead to higher PDI values.
7. We use 24 different global climate models run in support of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fourth Assessment Report (IPCC-AR4) (17). See Supporting Online Material for details.
8. T. R. Knutson et al., Nature Geosci. 1, 359 (2008).
9. R. Zhang, T. L. Delworth, Geophys. Res. Lett. 33, L17712 (2006).
10. D. J. Vimont, J. P. Kossin, Geophys. Res. Lett. 34, L07709 (2007).
11. M. Latif, N. Keenlyside, J. Bader, Geophys. Res. Lett. 34, L01710 (2007).
12. K. A. Emanuel, R. Sundararajan, J. Williams, Bull. Am. Met. Soc. 89, 347 (2008).
13. K. Oouchi et al., J. Met. Soc. Japan 84, 259 (2006).
14. L. Bengtsson et al., Tellus 59A, 539 (2007).
15. B. Santer et al., Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A.; 10.1073/pnas.0602861103 (2008).
16. T. R. Knutson et al., J. Climate 19, 1624 (2006).
17. G. A. Meehl et al., Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 88, 1549 (2007).
18. We are grateful for comments from T. Delworth, I. Held, S. Ilcane, A. Johansson, T. Knutson, D. E. Harrison, and M. Vecchi. This work was partly supported by NOAA/OGP.