메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 125, Issue 589, 2015, Pages 2116-2135

Belief Elicitation: A Horse Race among Truth Serums

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ACCURACY ASSESSMENT; GAME THEORY; INCENTIVE; RISK FACTOR;

EID: 84955210904     PISSN: 00130133     EISSN: 14680297     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/ecoj.12160     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (113)

References (65)
  • 1
    • 25844486659 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Choice-based elicitation and decomposition of decision weights for gains and losses under uncertainty
    • Abdellaoui, M., Vossmann, F. and Weber, M. (2005). 'Choice-based elicitation and decomposition of decision weights for gains and losses under uncertainty', Management Science, vol. 51(9), pp. 1384-99.
    • (2005) Management Science , vol.51 , Issue.9 , pp. 1384-1399
    • Abdellaoui, M.1    Vossmann, F.2    Weber, M.3
  • 2
    • 0006037755 scopus 로고
    • Discovering personal probabilities when utility functions are unknown
    • Allen, F. (1987). 'Discovering personal probabilities when utility functions are unknown', Management Science, vol. 33(4), pp. 542-4.
    • (1987) Management Science , vol.33 , Issue.4 , pp. 542-544
    • Allen, F.1
  • 3
    • 84856624020 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimating subjective probabilities
    • Working Paper, CEAR.
    • Andersen, S., Fountain, J., Harrison, G. W. and Rutstroem, E. (2010). 'Estimating subjective probabilities', Working Paper, CEAR.
    • (2010)
    • Andersen, S.1    Fountain, J.2    Harrison, G.W.3    Rutstroem, E.4
  • 4
    • 70350508534 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Subjective probabilities in games: an application to the overbidding puzzle
    • Armantier, O. and Treich, N. (2009). 'Subjective probabilities in games: an application to the overbidding puzzle', International Economic Review, vol. 50(4), pp. 1079-102.
    • (2009) International Economic Review , vol.50 , Issue.4 , pp. 1079-1102
    • Armantier, O.1    Treich, N.2
  • 5
    • 84878505207 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Eliciting beliefs: proper scoring rules, incentives, stakes, and hedging
    • Armantier, O. and Treich, N. (2013). 'Eliciting beliefs: proper scoring rules, incentives, stakes, and hedging', European Economic Review, vol. 62, pp. 17-40.
    • (2013) European Economic Review , vol.62 , pp. 17-40
    • Armantier, O.1    Treich, N.2
  • 6
    • 0000805064 scopus 로고
    • Alternative approaches to the theory of choice in risk-taking situations
    • Arrow, K. J. (1951). 'Alternative approaches to the theory of choice in risk-taking situations', Econometrica, vol. 19(4), pp. 404-37.
    • (1951) Econometrica , vol.19 , Issue.4 , pp. 404-437
    • Arrow, K.J.1
  • 7
    • 73849122766 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Expectations and perceptions in developing countries: their measurement and their use
    • Attanasio, O. (2009). 'Expectations and perceptions in developing countries: their measurement and their use', American Economic Review, vol. 99(2), pp. 87-92.
    • (2009) American Economic Review , vol.99 , Issue.2 , pp. 87-92
    • Attanasio, O.1
  • 8
    • 47249132961 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Measuring inequity aversion in a heterogeneous population using experimental decisions and subjective probabilities
    • Bellemare, C., Kroger, S. and van Soest, A. (2008), 'Measuring inequity aversion in a heterogeneous population using experimental decisions and subjective probabilities', Econometrica, vol. 76(4), pp. 815-39.
    • (2008) Econometrica , vol.76 , Issue.4 , pp. 815-839
    • Bellemare, C.1    Kroger, S.2    van Soest, A.3
  • 9
    • 78049441043 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Belief elicitation in experiments: is there a hedging problem?
    • Blanco, M., Engelmann, D., Koch, A. K. and Norman, H.-T. (2010). 'Belief elicitation in experiments: is there a hedging problem?', Experimental Economics, vol. 13(4), pp. 412-38.
    • (2010) Experimental Economics , vol.13 , Issue.4 , pp. 412-438
    • Blanco, M.1    Engelmann, D.2    Koch, A.K.3    Norman, H.-T.4
  • 10
    • 79956364035 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A within-subject analysis of other-regarding preferences
    • Blanco, M., Engelmann, D. and Norman, H.-T. (2011). 'A within-subject analysis of other-regarding preferences', Games and Economic Behavior, vol. 72(2), pp. 321-38.
    • (2011) Games and Economic Behavior , vol.72 , Issue.2 , pp. 321-338
    • Blanco, M.1    Engelmann, D.2    Norman, H.-T.3
  • 11
    • 0036148312 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Emotional hazard in a power-to-take experiment'
    • Bosman, R. and van Winden, F.S. (2002). 'Emotional hazard in a power-to-take experiment', Economic Journal, vol. 112(476), pp. 147-69.
    • (2002) Economic Journal , vol.112 , Issue.476 , pp. 147-169
    • Bosman, R.1    van Winden, F.S.2
  • 12
    • 3242880641 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The theory of rationally heterogeneous expectations: evidence from survey data on inflation expectations
    • Branch, W. A. (2004). 'The theory of rationally heterogeneous expectations: evidence from survey data on inflation expectations', Economic Journal, vol. 114(497), pp. 592-621.
    • (2004) Economic Journal , vol.114 , Issue.497 , pp. 592-621
    • Branch, W.A.1
  • 13
    • 0003010182 scopus 로고
    • Verification of forecasts expressed in terms of probability
    • Brier, G. W. (1950). 'Verification of forecasts expressed in terms of probability', Monthly Weather Review, vol. 78(1), pp. 1-3.
    • (1950) Monthly Weather Review , vol.78 , Issue.1 , pp. 1-3
    • Brier, G.W.1
  • 14
    • 78650441619 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • 'Social preferences and strategic uncertainty: an experiment on markets and contracts
    • Cabrales, A., Miniaci, R., Piovesan, M. and Ponti, G. (2010). 'Social preferences and strategic uncertainty: an experiment on markets and contracts', American Economic Review, vol. 100(5), pp. 2261-78.
    • (2010) American Economic Review , vol.100 , Issue.5 , pp. 2261-2278
    • Cabrales, A.1    Miniaci, R.2    Piovesan, M.3    Ponti, G.4
  • 15
    • 84892590353 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Risk-taking in the wake of natural disasters
    • Working Paper, Monash.
    • Cameron, L. and Shah, M. (2011). 'Risk-taking in the wake of natural disasters', Working Paper, Monash.
    • (2011)
    • Cameron, L.1    Shah, M.2
  • 17
    • 84881256980 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Beliefs and actions in the trust game: creating instrumental variables to estimate the causal effect',
    • Working Paper, DIW Berlin.
    • Costa-Gomes, M., Huck, S. and Weizsäcker, G. (2008). 'Beliefs and actions in the trust game: creating instrumental variables to estimate the causal effect', Working Paper, DIW Berlin.
    • (2008)
    • Costa-Gomes, M.1    Huck, S.2    Weizsäcker, G.3
  • 18
    • 45249124549 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Stated beliefs and play in normal-form games
    • Costa-Gomes, M. and Weizsäcker, G. (2008). 'Stated beliefs and play in normal-form games', Review of Economic Studies, vol. 75(3), pp. 729-62.
    • (2008) Review of Economic Studies , vol.75 , Issue.3 , pp. 729-762
    • Costa-Gomes, M.1    Weizsäcker, G.2
  • 19
    • 0010391830 scopus 로고
    • Does it make sense to speak of 'good probability appraisers'?
    • in (I. J. Good, ed.), London: William Heinemann Ltd.
    • de Finetti, B. (1962). 'Does it make sense to speak of 'good probability appraisers'?', in (I. J. Good, ed.), The Scientist Speculates: An Anthology of Partly-baked Ideas, pp. 357-64, London: William Heinemann Ltd.
    • (1962) The Scientist Speculates: An Anthology of Partly-baked Ideas , pp. 357-364
    • de Finetti, B.1
  • 20
    • 79953021603 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Eliciting probabilistic expectations with visual aids in developing countries: how sensitive are answers to variations in elicitation design?
    • Delavande, A., Gine, X. and McKenzie, D. (2011a). 'Eliciting probabilistic expectations with visual aids in developing countries: how sensitive are answers to variations in elicitation design?', Journal of Applied Econometrics, vol. 26(3), pp. 479-97.
    • (2011) Journal of Applied Econometrics , vol.26 , Issue.3 , pp. 479-497
    • Delavande, A.1    Gine, X.2    McKenzie, D.3
  • 21
    • 78149415044 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Measuring subjective expectations in developing countries: a critical review and new evidence
    • Delavande, A., Gine, X. and McKenzie, D. (2011b). 'Measuring subjective expectations in developing countries: a critical review and new evidence', Journal of Development Economics, vol. 94(2), pp. 151-63.
    • (2011) Journal of Development Economics , vol.94 , Issue.2 , pp. 151-163
    • Delavande, A.1    Gine, X.2    McKenzie, D.3
  • 22
    • 84970520825 scopus 로고
    • The use of confidence testing in objective tests
    • Echternacht, G. J. (1972). 'The use of confidence testing in objective tests', Review of Educational Research, vol. 42(2), pp. 217-36.
    • (1972) Review of Educational Research , vol.42 , Issue.2 , pp. 217-236
    • Echternacht, G.J.1
  • 23
    • 58149442649 scopus 로고
    • The theory of decision making
    • Edwards, W. (1954). 'The theory of decision making', Psychological Bulletin, vol. 51(4), pp. 380-417.
    • (1954) Psychological Bulletin , vol.51 , Issue.4 , pp. 380-417
    • Edwards, W.1
  • 24
    • 80055017452 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessing the temporal variation of macroeconomic forecasts by a panel of changing composition
    • Engelberg, J., Manski, C. F. and Williams, J. (2011). 'Assessing the temporal variation of macroeconomic forecasts by a panel of changing composition', Journal of Applied Econometrics, vol. 26(7), pp. 1059-78.
    • (2011) Journal of Applied Econometrics , vol.26 , Issue.7 , pp. 1059-1078
    • Engelberg, J.1    Manski, C.F.2    Williams, J.3
  • 25
    • 0000773694 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A theory of fairness, competition and cooperation
    • Fehr, E. and Schmidt, K. (1999). 'A theory of fairness, competition and cooperation', Quarterly Journal of Economics, vol. 114(3), pp. 817-68.
    • (1999) Quarterly Journal of Economics , vol.114 , Issue.3 , pp. 817-868
    • Fehr, E.1    Schmidt, K.2
  • 26
    • 84927955566 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Theories of fairness and reciprocity - evidence and economic applications
    • (M. Dewatripont, L. Hansen and S. Turnovsky, eds.), Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
    • Fehr, E. and Schmidt, K. (2003). 'Theories of fairness and reciprocity - evidence and economic applications', in (M. Dewatripont, L. Hansen and S. Turnovsky, eds.), Advances in Economics and Econometrics - 8th World Congress, Econometric Society Monographs, pp. 208-57, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
    • (2003) Advances in Economics and Econometrics - 8th World Congress, Econometric Society Monographs , pp. 208-257
    • Fehr, E.1    Schmidt, K.2
  • 27
    • 34248161108 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Z-Tree: Zurich toolbox for ready-made economic experiments
    • Fischbacher, U. (2007). 'Z-Tree: Zurich toolbox for ready-made economic experiments', Experimental Economics, vol. 10(2), pp. 171-8.
    • (2007) Experimental Economics , vol.10 , Issue.2 , pp. 171-178
    • Fischbacher, U.1
  • 28
    • 77952410111 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Social preferences, beliefs, and the dynamics of free riding in public goods experiments
    • Fischbacher, U. and Gächter, S. (2010). 'Social preferences, beliefs, and the dynamics of free riding in public goods experiments', American Economic Review, vol. 100(1), pp. 541-56.
    • (2010) American Economic Review , vol.100 , Issue.1 , pp. 541-556
    • Fischbacher, U.1    Gächter, S.2
  • 29
    • 0000432081 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Understanding variability in binary and continuous choice
    • Friedman, D. and Massaro, D. W. (1998). 'Understanding variability in binary and continuous choice', Psychonomic Bulletin & Review, vol. 5(3), pp. 370-89.
    • (1998) Psychonomic Bulletin & Review , vol.5 , Issue.3 , pp. 370-389
    • Friedman, D.1    Massaro, D.W.2
  • 30
    • 14944380588 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Moral property rights in bargaining with infeasible claims
    • Gächter, S. and Riedl, A. (2005). 'Moral property rights in bargaining with infeasible claims', Management Science, vol. 51(2), pp. 249-63.
    • (2005) Management Science , vol.51 , Issue.2 , pp. 249-263
    • Gächter, S.1    Riedl, A.2
  • 32
    • 0001566359 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Investment and demand uncertainty
    • Guiso, L. and Parigi, G. (1999). 'Investment and demand uncertainty', Quarterly Journal of Economics, vol. 114(1), pp. 185-227.
    • (1999) Quarterly Journal of Economics , vol.114 , Issue.1 , pp. 185-227
    • Guiso, L.1    Parigi, G.2
  • 33
    • 84858440943 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Belief elicitation in the presence of naive respondents: an experimental study
    • Hao, L. and Houser, D. (2012). 'Belief elicitation in the presence of naive respondents: an experimental study', Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, vol. 44(2), pp. 161-80.
    • (2012) Journal of Risk and Uncertainty , vol.44 , Issue.2 , pp. 161-180
    • Hao, L.1    Houser, D.2
  • 34
    • 38049178223 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Traders' expectations in asset markets: experimental evidence
    • Haruvy, E., Lahav, Y. and Noussair, C. N. (2007). 'Traders' expectations in asset markets: experimental evidence', American Economic Review, vol. 97(5), pp. 1901-20.
    • (2007) American Economic Review , vol.97 , Issue.5 , pp. 1901-1920
    • Haruvy, E.1    Lahav, Y.2    Noussair, C.N.3
  • 35
    • 58149279113 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Measuring strategic uncertainty in coordination games
    • Heinemann, F., Nagel, R. and Ockenfels, P. (2009). 'Measuring strategic uncertainty in coordination games', Review of Economic Studies, vol. 76(1), pp. 181-221.
    • (2009) Review of Economic Studies , vol.76 , Issue.1 , pp. 181-221
    • Heinemann, F.1    Nagel, R.2    Ockenfels, P.3
  • 36
    • 38049042390 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Why people reject advantageous offers: non-monotonic strategies in ultimatum bargaining
    • Hennig-Schmidt, H., Li, Z.-Y. and Yang, C. (2008). 'Why people reject advantageous offers: non-monotonic strategies in ultimatum bargaining' Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, vol. 65(2), pp. 373-84.
    • (2008) Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization , vol.65 , Issue.2 , pp. 373-384
    • Hennig-Schmidt, H.1    Li, Z.-Y.2    Yang, C.3
  • 37
    • 84858446047 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Subjective belief formation and elicitation rules: experimental evidence
    • Working Paper, CES Paris.
    • Hollard, G., Massoni, S. and Vergnaud, J.-C. (2010). 'Subjective belief formation and elicitation rules: experimental evidence', Working Paper, CES Paris.
    • (2010)
    • Hollard, G.1    Massoni, S.2    Vergnaud, J.-C.3
  • 39
    • 84880735637 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The binarized scoring rule
    • Hossain, T. and Okui, R. (2013). 'The binarized scoring rule', Review of Economic Studies, vol. 80(3), pp. 984-1001.
    • (2013) Review of Economic Studies , vol.80 , Issue.3 , pp. 984-1001
    • Hossain, T.1    Okui, R.2
  • 40
    • 0038789790 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Do players correctly estimate what others do? Evidence of conservatism in beliefs
    • Huck, S. and Weizsäcker, G. (2002). 'Do players correctly estimate what others do? Evidence of conservatism in beliefs', Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, vol. 47(1), pp. 71-85.
    • (2002) Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization , vol.47 , Issue.1 , pp. 71-85
    • Huck, S.1    Weizsäcker, G.2
  • 41
    • 77956296221 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Subjective probabilities in household surveys
    • Hurd, M. D. (2009). 'Subjective probabilities in household surveys', Annual Reviews of Economics, vol. 1, pp. 543-62.
    • (2009) Annual Reviews of Economics , vol.1 , pp. 543-562
    • Hurd, M.D.1
  • 42
    • 0002263372 scopus 로고
    • Optimality and informational efficiency in resource allocation
    • in (K. J. Arrow, S. Karlin and P. Suppes, eds.), Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press.
    • Hurwicz, L. (1960). 'Optimality and informational efficiency in resource allocation', in (K. J. Arrow, S. Karlin and P. Suppes, eds.), Mathematical Methods in the Social Sciences, pp. 17-46, Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press.
    • (1960) Mathematical Methods in the Social Sciences , pp. 17-46
    • Hurwicz, L.1
  • 44
    • 61849175194 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A mechanism for eliciting probabilities
    • Karni, E. (2009). 'A mechanism for eliciting probabilities', Econometrica, vol. 77(2), pp. 603-6.
    • (2009) Econometrica , vol.77 , Issue.2 , pp. 603-606
    • Karni, E.1
  • 45
    • 33744512328 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evidence on preferences and subjective beliefs of risk takers: the case of smokers
    • Khwaja, A., Sloan, F. and Salm, M. (2006). 'Evidence on preferences and subjective beliefs of risk takers: the case of smokers', International Journal of Industrial Organization, vol. 24(4), pp. 667-82.
    • (2006) International Journal of Industrial Organization , vol.24 , Issue.4 , pp. 667-682
    • Khwaja, A.1    Sloan, F.2    Salm, M.3
  • 46
    • 84878510799 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Comonotonic proper scoring rules to measure ambiguity and subjective beliefs
    • Kothiyal, A., Spinu, V. and Wakker, P. P. (2011). 'Comonotonic proper scoring rules to measure ambiguity and subjective beliefs', Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis, vol. 17(3-4), pp. 101-13.
    • (2011) Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis , vol.17 , Issue.3-4 , pp. 101-113
    • Kothiyal, A.1    Spinu, V.2    Wakker, P.P.3
  • 47
    • 34548528187 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Changing one's mind when the facts change: incentives of experts and the design of reporting protocols
    • Li, W. (2007). 'Changing one's mind when the facts change: incentives of experts and the design of reporting protocols', Review of Economic Studies, vol. 74(4), pp. 1175-94.
    • (2007) Review of Economic Studies , vol.74 , Issue.4 , pp. 1175-1194
    • Li, W.1
  • 48
    • 0001268165 scopus 로고
    • A more robust definition of subjective probability
    • Machina, M. J. and Schmeidler, D. (1992). 'A more robust definition of subjective probability', Econometrica, vol. 60(4), pp. 745-80.
    • (1992) Econometrica , vol.60 , Issue.4 , pp. 745-780
    • Machina, M.J.1    Schmeidler, D.2
  • 49
    • 4444333170 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Measuring expectations
    • Manski, C. F. (2004). 'Measuring expectations', Econometrica, vol. 72(5), pp. 1329-76.
    • (2004) Econometrica , vol.72 , Issue.5 , pp. 1329-1376
    • Manski, C.F.1
  • 50
    • 84879522288 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • First- and second-order subjective expectations in strategic decision-making
    • Manski, C. F. and Neri, C. (2012). 'First- and second-order subjective expectations in strategic decision-making', Games and Economic Behavior, vol. 81, pp. 232-54.
    • (2012) Games and Economic Behavior , vol.81 , pp. 232-254
    • Manski, C.F.1    Neri, C.2
  • 51
    • 0001052598 scopus 로고
    • Common knowledge, consensus, and aggregate information
    • McKelvey, R. and Page, T. (1986). 'Common knowledge, consensus, and aggregate information', Econometrica, vol. 54(1), pp. 109-27.
    • (1986) Econometrica , vol.54 , Issue.1 , pp. 109-127
    • McKelvey, R.1    Page, T.2
  • 52
    • 0036093467 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An experimental study of belief learning using elicited beliefs
    • Nyarko, Y. and Schotter, A. (2002). 'An experimental study of belief learning using elicited beliefs', Econometrica, vol. 70(3), pp. 971-1005.
    • (2002) Econometrica , vol.70 , Issue.3 , pp. 971-1005
    • Nyarko, Y.1    Schotter, A.2
  • 53
    • 70149124084 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A truth-serum for non-Bayesians: correcting proper scoring rules for risk attitudes
    • Offerman, T., Sonnemans, J., van de Kuilen, G. and Wakker, P. P. (2009). 'A truth-serum for non-Bayesians: correcting proper scoring rules for risk attitudes', Review of Economic Studies, vol. 76(4), pp. 1461-89.
    • (2009) Review of Economic Studies , vol.76 , Issue.4 , pp. 1461-1489
    • Offerman, T.1    Sonnemans, J.2    van de Kuilen, G.3    Wakker, P.P.4
  • 54
    • 3843081855 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Cultural differences in ultimatum game experiments: evidence from a meta-analysis
    • Oosterbeek, H., Sloof, R. and van de Kuilen, G. (2004). 'Cultural differences in ultimatum game experiments: evidence from a meta-analysis', Experimental Economics, vol. 7(2), pp. 171-88.
    • (2004) Experimental Economics , vol.7 , Issue.2 , pp. 171-188
    • Oosterbeek, H.1    Sloof, R.2    van de Kuilen, G.3
  • 55
    • 5644221311 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A bayesian truth serum for subjective data
    • Prelec, D. (2004). 'A bayesian truth serum for subjective data', Science, vol. 306(5695), pp. 462-6.
    • (2004) Science , vol.306 , Issue.5695 , pp. 462-466
    • Prelec, D.1
  • 56
    • 59249092257 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Equilibrium play and best response to (stated) beliefs in normal form games
    • Rey-Biel, P. (2009). 'Equilibrium play and best response to (stated) beliefs in normal form games', Games and Economic Behavior, vol. 65(2), pp. 572-85.
    • (2009) Games and Economic Behavior , vol.65 , Issue.2 , pp. 572-585
    • Rey-Biel, P.1
  • 57
    • 0001998145 scopus 로고
    • Bargaining experiments
    • in (J. Kagel and A. Roth, eds.), pp. -, Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
    • Roth, A. (1995). 'Bargaining experiments', in (J. Kagel and A. Roth, eds.), The Handbook of Experimental Economics. pp. 3-109, Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
    • (1995) The Handbook of Experimental Economics , pp. 3-109
    • Roth, A.1
  • 58
    • 70349303636 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Stated beliefs versus inferred beliefs: a methodological inquiry and experimental test
    • Ruthstrom, E. E. and Wilcox, N. T. (2009). 'Stated beliefs versus inferred beliefs: a methodological inquiry and experimental test', Games and Economic Behavior, vol. 67(1), pp. 616-32.
    • (2009) Games and Economic Behavior , vol.67 , Issue.1 , pp. 616-632
    • Ruthstrom, E.E.1    Wilcox, N.T.2
  • 60
    • 0030525471 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Why did the Nikkei crash? Expanding the scope of expectations data collection
    • Shiller, R. J., Kon-Ya, F. and Tsutsui, Y. (1996). 'Why did the Nikkei crash? Expanding the scope of expectations data collection', The Review of Economics and Statistics, vol. 78(1), pp. 156-64.
    • (1996) The Review of Economics and Statistics , vol.78 , Issue.1 , pp. 156-164
    • Shiller, R.J.1    Kon-Ya, F.2    Tsutsui, Y.3
  • 61
    • 0039987192 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Is the quadratic scoring rule really incentive compatible?', Working Paper
    • University of Amsterdam.
    • Sonnemans, J. and Offerman, T. (2001). 'Is the quadratic scoring rule really incentive compatible?', Working Paper, University of Amsterdam.
    • (2001)
    • Sonnemans, J.1    Offerman, T.2
  • 62
  • 63
    • 12044256982 scopus 로고
    • Support theory: a nonextensional representation of subjective probability
    • Tversky, A. and Koehler, D. J. (1994). 'Support theory: a nonextensional representation of subjective probability', Psychological Review, vol. 101(4), pp. 547-67.
    • (1994) Psychological Review , vol.101 , Issue.4 , pp. 547-567
    • Tversky, A.1    Koehler, D.J.2
  • 64
    • 0742323856 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On the composition of risk preference and belief
    • Wakker, P. P. (2004). 'On the composition of risk preference and belief', Psychological Review, vol. 111(1), pp. 236-41.
    • (2004) Psychological Review , vol.111 , Issue.1 , pp. 236-241
    • Wakker, P.P.1
  • 65
    • 77149132137 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Experimenter demand effects in economic experiments
    • Zizzo, D. J. (2010). 'Experimenter demand effects in economic experiments', Experimental Economics, vol. 13(1), pp. 75-98.
    • (2010) Experimental Economics , vol.13 , Issue.1 , pp. 75-98
    • Zizzo, D.J.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.