A mechanism for eliciting probabilities

Econometrica

Volumn 77, Issue 2, 2009, Pages 603-606

  Karni, Edi ^a  

^a JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

Direct revelation mechanism; Probability elicitation

Indexed keywords

EID: 61849175194     PISSN: 00129682     EISSN: 14680262     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.3982/ECTA7833     Document Type: Article

References (7)

1. De Finetti, B. (1974 Theory of Probability, Vol. 1. New York : Wiley.
2. Jaffray, J.-Y., and E. Karni (1999 Elicitation of Subjective Probabilities When the Initial Endowment Is Unobserved Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 18, 5 20.
3. Kadane, B. J., and R. L. Winkler (1988 Separating Probability Elicitation From Utility Journal of the American Statistical Association, 83, 357 363.
4. Karni, E. (1999 Elicitation of Subjective Probabilities When Preferences Are State-Dependent International Economic Review, 40, 479 486.
5. Karni, E. (2008 A Mechanism Design for Probability Elicitation Unpublished Manuscript, Johns Hopkins University.
6. Machina, M. J., and D. Schmeidler (1995 Bayes Without Bernoulli: Simple Conditions for Probabilistically Sophisticated Choice Journal of Economic Theory, 67, 106 128.
7. Savage, L. J. (1971 Elicitation of Personal Probabilities and Expectations Journal of the American Statistical Association, 66, 783 801.