-
1
-
-
70349335042
-
-
Center for the Economic Analysis of Risk (CEAR), Georgia State University, Atlanta, GA
-
Andersen, S., Fountain, J., Harrison, GW., Rutstöm, EE., 2009. Estimating Subjective Probabilities. Center for the Economic Analysis of Risk (CEAR), Georgia State University: Atlanta, GA.
-
(2009)
Estimating Subjective Probabilities
-
-
Andersen, S.1
Fountain, J.2
Harrison, G.W.3
Rutstöm, E.E.4
-
4
-
-
0003010182
-
Verification of forecasts expressed in terms of probability
-
Brier, GW., 1950. Verification of forecasts expressed in terms of probability. Monthly Weather Review 78: 1-3.
-
(1950)
Monthly Weather Review
, vol.78
, pp. 1-3
-
-
Brier, G.W.1
-
5
-
-
0001452463
-
On the use of capacities in modeling uncertainty aversion and risk aversion
-
Chateauneuf, A., 1991. On the use of capacities in modeling uncertainty aversion and risk aversion. Journal of Mathematical Economics 20: 343-369.
-
(1991)
Journal of Mathematical Economics
, vol.20
, pp. 343-369
-
-
Chateauneuf, A.1
-
6
-
-
38249022049
-
Some characterizations of lower probabilities and other monotone capacities through the use of Möbius inversion
-
Chateauneuf, A., Jaffray, J-Y., 1989. Some characterizations of lower probabilities and other monotone capacities through the use of Möbius inversion. Mathematical Social Sciences 17: 263-283.
-
(1989)
Mathematical Social Sciences
, vol.17
, pp. 263-283
-
-
Chateauneuf, A.1
Jaffray, J.-Y.2
-
7
-
-
85040434173
-
-
Fundamenta Mathematicae 17, 298-329. Translated into English as ‘On the subjective meaning of probability.' In Probabilità e Induzione, Monari P, Cocchi D (1993, eds), Clueb, Bologna
-
de Finetti, B., 1931. Sul Significato Soggettivo della Probabilità. Fundamenta Mathematicae 17, 298-329. Translated into English as ‘On the subjective meaning of probability.' In Probabilità e Induzione, Monari P, Cocchi D (1993, eds), Clueb, Bologna; 291-321.
-
(1931)
Sul Significato Soggettivo della Probabilità
, pp. 291-321
-
-
de Finetti, B.1
-
8
-
-
0042962186
-
La Prévision: Ses Lois Logiques, ses Sources Subjectives
-
Kyburg HE, Smokler HE, 1964, eds, Wiley, New York
-
de Finetti, B., 1937. La Prévision: Ses Lois Logiques, ses Sources Subjectives. Annales de l’Institut Henri Poincaré 7, 1-68. Translated into English by Henry E. Kyburg, ‘Foresight: its logical laws, its subjective sources.' In Studies in Subjective Probability, Kyburg HE, Smokler HE (1964, eds). Wiley: New York; 53-118; 2nd edition 1980, Krieger: New York.
-
(1937)
Studies in Subjective Probability
-
-
de Finetti, B.1
-
10
-
-
0010391830
-
Does it make sense to speak of ‘good probability appraisers’?
-
Isidore J. Good, Wiley, New York
-
de Finetti, B., 1962. Does it make sense to speak of ‘good probability appraisers’? In The Scientist Speculates: An Anthology of Partly-Baked Ideas, Isidore J. Good (ed.) William Heinemann Ltd., London. Reprinted as Ch. 3 in Bruno de Finetti (1972), ‘Probability, Induction and Statistics. ' Wiley: New York.
-
(1962)
The Scientist Speculates: An Anthology of Partly-Baked Ideas
-
-
de Finetti, B.1
-
11
-
-
0000516376
-
Upper and lower probabilities induced by a multivalued mapping
-
Dempster, AP., 1967. Upper and lower probabilities induced by a multivalued mapping. Annals of Mathematical Statistics 38: 325-339.
-
(1967)
Annals of Mathematical Statistics
, vol.38
, pp. 325-339
-
-
Dempster, A.P.1
-
13
-
-
37149055072
-
Conjunctive and disjunctive combination of belief functions induced by non distinct bodies of evidence
-
Denoeux, T., 2008. Conjunctive and disjunctive combination of belief functions induced by non distinct bodies of evidence. Artificial Intelligence 172: 234-264.
-
(2008)
Artificial Intelligence
, vol.172
, pp. 234-264
-
-
Denoeux, T.1
-
14
-
-
85040382992
-
The alpha-Meu model: A comment
-
forthcoming
-
Eichberger, J., Grant, S., Kelsey, D., Koshevoy, GA., 2010. The alpha-Meu model: a comment. Journal of Economic Theory, forthcoming.
-
(2010)
Journal of Economic Theory
-
-
Eichberger, J.1
Grant, S.2
Kelsey, D.3
Koshevoy, G.A.4
-
15
-
-
4243329450
-
Ambiguity and uncertainty in probabilistic inference
-
Einhorn, HJ., Hogarth, RM., 1985. Ambiguity and uncertainty in probabilistic inference. Psychological Review 92: 433-461.
-
(1985)
Psychological Review
, vol.92
, pp. 433-461
-
-
Einhorn, H.J.1
Hogarth, R.M.2
-
16
-
-
4444277242
-
Differentiating ambiguity and ambiguity attitude
-
Ghirardato, P., Maccheroni, F., Marinacci, M., 2004. Differentiating ambiguity and ambiguity attitude. Journal of Economic Theory 118: 133-173.
-
(2004)
Journal of Economic Theory
, vol.118
, pp. 133-173
-
-
Ghirardato, P.1
Maccheroni, F.2
Marinacci, M.3
-
17
-
-
0002560703
-
Expected utility with purely subjective non-additive probabilities
-
Gilboa, I., 1987. Expected utility with purely subjective non-additive probabilities. Journal of Mathematical Economics 16: 65-88.
-
(1987)
Journal of Mathematical Economics
, vol.16
, pp. 65-88
-
-
Gilboa, I.1
-
20
-
-
0034187499
-
Equivalent representations of set functions
-
Grabisch, M., Marichal, J-L., Roubens, M., 2001. Equivalent representations of set functions. Mathematics of Operations Research 25: 157-178.
-
(2001)
Mathematics of Operations Research
, vol.25
, pp. 157-178
-
-
Grabisch, M.1
Marichal, J.-L.2
Roubens, M.3
-
22
-
-
70149095131
-
Piece entitled Wanna Bet?
-
Hanson, R., 2002. Piece entitled ‘Wanna Bet?' Nature 420: 354-355.
-
(2002)
Nature
, vol.420
, pp. 354-355
-
-
Hanson, R.1
-
24
-
-
0041304726
-
Some specification problems and applications to econometric models (Abstract)
-
Hurwicz, L., 1951. Some specification problems and applications to econometric models (Abstract). Econometrica 19: 343-344.
-
(1951)
Econometrica
, vol.19
, pp. 343-344
-
-
Hurwicz, L.1
-
25
-
-
0002263372
-
Optimality and informational efficiency in resource allocation
-
Arrow KJ, Karlin S, Suppes P, Stanford University Press, Stanford, CA
-
Hurwicz, L., 1960. Optimality and informational efficiency in resource allocation. In Mathematical Methods in the Social Sciences, Arrow KJ, Karlin S, Suppes P (eds). Stanford University Press: Stanford, CA; 17-46.
-
(1960)
Mathematical Methods in the Social Sciences
, pp. 17-46
-
-
Hurwicz, L.1
-
26
-
-
0002177998
-
Dynamic decision making with belief functions
-
Ronald R, Yager MF, Kacprzyk J, Wiley, New York
-
Jaffray, J-Y., 1994. Dynamic decision making with belief functions. In Advances in the Dempster-Shafer Theory of Evidence, Ronald R, Yager MF, Kacprzyk J (eds). Wiley: New York; 331-352.
-
(1994)
Advances in the Dempster-Shafer Theory of Evidence
, pp. 331-352
-
-
Jaffray, J.-Y.1
-
27
-
-
0000125532
-
Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk
-
Kahneman, D., Tversky, A., 1979. Prospect theory: an analysis of decision under risk. Econometrica 47: 263-291.
-
(1979)
Econometrica
, vol.47
, pp. 263-291
-
-
Kahneman, D.1
Tversky, A.2
-
28
-
-
0041952450
-
-
University of Minnesota Press, Minneapolis, MN
-
Kyburg Jr HE. 1983. Epistemology and Inference. University of Minnesota Press: Minneapolis, MN.
-
(1983)
Epistemology and Inference
-
-
Kyburg, H.E.1
-
31
-
-
70149124084
-
A truth-serum for non-Bayesians: Correcting proper scoring rules for risk attitudes
-
(OSVW)
-
Offerman, T., Sonnemans, J., van de Kuilen, G., Wakker, PP., 2009. A truth-serum for non-Bayesians: correcting proper scoring rules for risk attitudes. Review of Economic Studies 76: 1461-1489 (OSVW).
-
(2009)
Review of Economic Studies
, vol.76
, pp. 1461-1489
-
-
Offerman, T.1
Sonnemans, J.2
van de Kuilen, G.3
Wakker, P.P.4
-
32
-
-
0001335648
-
A general theory of measurement-applications to utility
-
Pfanzagl, J., 1959. A general theory of measurement-applications to utility. Naval Research Logistics Quarterly 6: 283-294.
-
(1959)
Naval Research Logistics Quarterly
, vol.6
, pp. 283-294
-
-
Pfanzagl, J.1
-
34
-
-
0001579697
-
Risk aversion in the small and in the large
-
Pratt, JW., 1964. Risk aversion in the small and in the large. Econometrica 32: 122-136.
-
(1964)
Econometrica
, vol.32
, pp. 122-136
-
-
Pratt, J.W.1
-
36
-
-
0001006304
-
Risk aversion and expected-utility theory: A calibration theorem
-
Rabin, M., 2000. Risk aversion and expected-utility theory: a calibration theorem. Econometrica 68: 1281-1292.
-
(2000)
Econometrica
, vol.68
, pp. 1281-1292
-
-
Rabin, M.1
-
37
-
-
0001776741
-
Truth and probability
-
Routledge and Kegan Paul, London, 1964, eds, Wiley: New York
-
Ramsey, FP., 1931. Truth and probability. In The Foundations of Mathematics and Other Logical Essays. Routledge and Kegan Paul: London; 156-198. Reprinted in Studies in Subjective Probability, Kyburg HE, Smokler HE (1964, eds). Wiley: New York; 61-92.
-
(1931)
The Foundations of Mathematics and Other Logical Essays
-
-
Ramsey, F.P.1
-
39
-
-
0003984043
-
-
Wiley, New York, second edition 1972
-
Savage, LJ., 1954. The Foundations of Statistics. Wiley: New York (second edition 1972, Dover Publications: New York.)
-
(1954)
The Foundations of Statistics
-
-
Savage, L.J.1
-
41
-
-
0001333688
-
Subjective probability and expected utility without additivity
-
Schmeidler, D., 1989. Subjective probability and expected utility without additivity. Econometrica 57: 571-587.
-
(1989)
Econometrica
, vol.57
, pp. 571-587
-
-
Schmeidler, D.1
-
44
-
-
0000268935
-
Developments in non-expected utility theory: The hunt for a descriptive theory of choice under risk
-
Starmer, C., 2000. Developments in non-expected utility theory: the hunt for a descriptive theory of choice under risk. Journal of Economic Literature 38: 332-382.
-
(2000)
Journal of Economic Literature
, vol.38
, pp. 332-382
-
-
Starmer, C.1
-
46
-
-
31744450082
-
Advances in prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty
-
Tversky, A., Kahneman, D., 1992. Advances in prospect theory: cumulative representation of uncertainty. Journal of Risk and Uncertainty 5: 297-323.
-
(1992)
Journal of Risk and Uncertainty
, vol.5
, pp. 297-323
-
-
Tversky, A.1
Kahneman, D.2
-
47
-
-
12044256982
-
Support theory: A nonextensional representation of subjective probability
-
Tversky, A., Koehler, DJ., 1994. Support theory: a nonextensional representation of subjective probability. Psychological Review 101: 547-567.
-
(1994)
Psychological Review
, vol.101
, pp. 547-567
-
-
Tversky, A.1
Koehler, D.J.2
-
48
-
-
84884079276
-
-
Princeton University Press, Princeton NJ
-
von Neumann, J., Morgenstern, O., (1944, 1947, 1953), Theory of Games and Economic Behavior. Princeton University Press: Princeton NJ.
-
(1944)
Theory of Games and Economic Behavior
-
-
von Neumann, J.1
Morgenstern, O.2
|