-
1
-
-
45149107692
-
Introduction: Stochastic physics and climate modelling
-
Palmer TN, Williams PD. Introduction: Stochastic physics and climate modelling. Phil Trans R Soc A 2008, 366:2421-2427.
-
(2008)
Phil Trans R Soc A
, vol.366
, pp. 2421-2427
-
-
Palmer, T.N.1
Williams, P.D.2
-
2
-
-
29144498292
-
Modelling climate change: the role of unresolved processes
-
Williams PD. Modelling climate change: the role of unresolved processes. Phil Trans R Soc A 2005, 363:2931-2946.
-
(2005)
Phil Trans R Soc A
, vol.363
, pp. 2931-2946
-
-
Williams, P.D.1
-
3
-
-
84868629213
-
Simulating regime structures in weather and climate prediction models
-
Dawson A, Palmer TN, Corti S. Simulating regime structures in weather and climate prediction models. Geophys Res Lett 2012, 39:L21805.
-
(2012)
Geophys Res Lett
, vol.39
, pp. L21805
-
-
Dawson, A.1
Palmer, T.N.2
Corti, S.3
-
5
-
-
0014534148
-
Atmospheric predictability as revealed by naturally occcuring analogues
-
Lorenz EN. Atmospheric predictability as revealed by naturally occcuring analogues. J Atmos Sci 1969, 26:636-646.
-
(1969)
J Atmos Sci
, vol.26
, pp. 636-646
-
-
Lorenz, E.N.1
-
6
-
-
1842685707
-
Scale interactions and atmospheric predictability: an updated perspective
-
Tribbia JJ, Baumhefner DP. Scale interactions and atmospheric predictability: an updated perspective. Mon Weather Rev 2004, 132:703-713.
-
(2004)
Mon Weather Rev
, vol.132
, pp. 703-713
-
-
Tribbia, J.J.1
Baumhefner, D.P.2
-
7
-
-
51749115945
-
Subgrid-scale parameterization with conditional Markov chains
-
Crommelin D, Vanden-Eijnden E. Subgrid-scale parameterization with conditional Markov chains. J Atmos Sci 2008, 65:2661-2675.
-
(2008)
J Atmos Sci
, vol.65
, pp. 2661-2675
-
-
Crommelin, D.1
Vanden-Eijnden, E.2
-
8
-
-
33846917940
-
Convective forcing fluctuations in a cloud-resolving model: relevance to the stochastic parameterization problem
-
Shutts GJ, Palmer TN. Convective forcing fluctuations in a cloud-resolving model: relevance to the stochastic parameterization problem. J Climate 2007, 20:187-202.
-
(2007)
J Climate
, vol.20
, pp. 187-202
-
-
Shutts, G.J.1
Palmer, T.N.2
-
9
-
-
20544463416
-
Effects of stochastic parameterizations in the Lorenz'96 system
-
Wilks DS. Effects of stochastic parameterizations in the Lorenz'96 system. Q J Roy Meteorol Soc 2005, 131:389-407.
-
(2005)
Q J Roy Meteorol Soc
, vol.131
, pp. 389-407
-
-
Wilks, D.S.1
-
10
-
-
69849107882
-
A spectral stochastic kinetic energy backscatter scheme and its impact on flow-dependent predictability in the ECMWF ensemble prediction system
-
Berner J, Shutts G, Leutbecher M, Palmer T. A spectral stochastic kinetic energy backscatter scheme and its impact on flow-dependent predictability in the ECMWF ensemble prediction system. J Atmos Sci 2009, 66:603-626.
-
(2009)
J Atmos Sci
, vol.66
, pp. 603-626
-
-
Berner, J.1
Shutts, G.2
Leutbecher, M.3
Palmer, T.4
-
11
-
-
31544461628
-
A kinetic energy backscatter algorithm for use in ensemble prediction systems
-
Shutts GJ. A kinetic energy backscatter algorithm for use in ensemble prediction systems. Q J Roy Meteorol Soc 2005, 612:3079-3102.
-
(2005)
Q J Roy Meteorol Soc
, vol.612
, pp. 3079-3102
-
-
Shutts, G.J.1
-
13
-
-
18344372392
-
Nonlinear interactions of multi-level atoms with a near resonant standing wave
-
O'Kane TJ, Scholten RE, Walkiewwicz MR, Farrell PM. Nonlinear interactions of multi-level atoms with a near resonant standing wave. Phys Rev A 1999, 59:4485-4493.
-
(1999)
Phys Rev A
, vol.59
, pp. 4485-4493
-
-
O'Kane, T.J.1
Scholten, R.E.2
Walkiewwicz, M.R.3
Farrell, P.M.4
-
15
-
-
0000789936
-
Thermal convection in a rotating fluid subject to a horizontal temperature gradient: spatial and temporal characteristics of fully developed baroclinic waves
-
Hide R, Mason PJ, Plumb RA. Thermal convection in a rotating fluid subject to a horizontal temperature gradient: spatial and temporal characteristics of fully developed baroclinic waves. J Atmos Sci 1977, 34:930-950.
-
(1977)
J Atmos Sci
, vol.34
, pp. 930-950
-
-
Hide, R.1
Mason, P.J.2
Plumb, R.A.3
-
16
-
-
0034528393
-
Generation of inertia-gravity waves in a baroclinically unstable fluid
-
Lovegrove AF, Read PL, Richards CJ. Generation of inertia-gravity waves in a baroclinically unstable fluid. Q J Roy Meteorol Soc 2000, 126:3233-3254.
-
(2000)
Q J Roy Meteorol Soc
, vol.126
, pp. 3233-3254
-
-
Lovegrove, A.F.1
Read, P.L.2
Richards, C.J.3
-
17
-
-
18144365482
-
On the generation mechanisms of short-scale unbalanced modes in rotating two-layer flows with vertical shear
-
Williams PD, Haine TWN, Read PL. On the generation mechanisms of short-scale unbalanced modes in rotating two-layer flows with vertical shear. J Fluid Mech 2005, 528:1-22.
-
(2005)
J Fluid Mech
, vol.528
, pp. 1-22
-
-
Williams, P.D.1
Haine, T.W.N.2
Read, P.L.3
-
18
-
-
56849099554
-
Inertia-gravity waves emitted from balanced flow: observations, properties, and consequences
-
Williams PD, Haine TWN, Read PL. Inertia-gravity waves emitted from balanced flow: observations, properties, and consequences. J Atmos Sci 2008, 65:3543-3556.
-
(2008)
J Atmos Sci
, vol.65
, pp. 3543-3556
-
-
Williams, P.D.1
Haine, T.W.N.2
Read, P.L.3
-
19
-
-
0035838475
-
Experimental and numerical studies of an eastward jet over topography
-
Tian Y, Weeks ER, Ide K, Urbach JS, Baroud CN, Ghil M, Swinney HL. Experimental and numerical studies of an eastward jet over topography. J Fluid Mech 2001, 438:129-157.
-
(2001)
J Fluid Mech
, vol.438
, pp. 129-157
-
-
Tian, Y.1
Weeks, E.R.2
Ide, K.3
Urbach, J.S.4
Baroud, C.N.5
Ghil, M.6
Swinney, H.L.7
-
20
-
-
0030665951
-
Transitions between blocked and zonal flows in a rotating annulus with topography
-
Weeks ER, Tian Y, Urbach JS, Ide K, Swinney HL, Ghil M. Transitions between blocked and zonal flows in a rotating annulus with topography. Science 1997, 278:1598-1601.
-
(1997)
Science
, vol.278
, pp. 1598-1601
-
-
Weeks, E.R.1
Tian, Y.2
Urbach, J.S.3
Ide, K.4
Swinney, H.L.5
Ghil, M.6
-
21
-
-
1642602321
-
Spontaneous generation and impact of inertia-gravity waves in a stratified, two-layer shear flow
-
Williams PD, Read PL, Haine TWN. Spontaneous generation and impact of inertia-gravity waves in a stratified, two-layer shear flow. Geophys Res Lett 2003, 30:2255.
-
(2003)
Geophys Res Lett
, vol.30
, pp. 2255
-
-
Williams, P.D.1
Read, P.L.2
Haine, T.W.N.3
-
22
-
-
10244253885
-
A calibrated, non-invasive method for measuring the internal interface height field at high resolution in the rotating, two-layer annulus
-
Williams PD, Read PL, Haine TWN. A calibrated, non-invasive method for measuring the internal interface height field at high resolution in the rotating, two-layer annulus. Geophys Astrophys Fluid Dyn 2004b, 98:453-471.
-
(2004)
Geophys Astrophys Fluid Dyn
, vol.98
, pp. 453-471
-
-
Williams, P.D.1
Read, P.L.2
Haine, T.W.N.3
-
23
-
-
1842732688
-
Stochastic resonance in a nonlinear model of a rotating, stratified shear flow, with a simple stochastic inertia-gravity wave parameterization
-
Williams PD, Haine TWN, Read PL. Stochastic resonance in a nonlinear model of a rotating, stratified shear flow, with a simple stochastic inertia-gravity wave parameterization. Nonlin Proc Geophys 2004a, 11:127-135.
-
(2004)
Nonlin Proc Geophys
, vol.11
, pp. 127-135
-
-
Williams, P.D.1
Haine, T.W.N.2
Read, P.L.3
-
24
-
-
0023519792
-
Effect of stochastic perturbations on a low-order spectral model of the atmospheric circulation
-
De Swart HE, Grasman J. Effect of stochastic perturbations on a low-order spectral model of the atmospheric circulation. Tellus A 1987, 39:10-24.
-
(1987)
Tellus A
, vol.39
, pp. 10-24
-
-
De Swart, H.E.1
Grasman, J.2
-
25
-
-
84977774070
-
QUAGMIRE v1.3: a quasi-geostrophic model for investigating rotating fluids experiments
-
Williams PD, Haine TWN, Read PL, Lewis SR, Yamazaki YH. QUAGMIRE v1.3: a quasi-geostrophic model for investigating rotating fluids experiments. Geosci Model Dev 2009, 2:13-32.
-
(2009)
Geosci Model Dev
, vol.2
, pp. 13-32
-
-
Williams, P.D.1
Haine, T.W.N.2
Read, P.L.3
Lewis, S.R.4
Yamazaki, Y.H.5
-
26
-
-
56849086688
-
Sudden stratospheric warmings as noise-induced transitions
-
Birner T, Williams PD. Sudden stratospheric warmings as noise-induced transitions. J Atmos Sci 2008, 65:3337-3343.
-
(2008)
J Atmos Sci
, vol.65
, pp. 3337-3343
-
-
Birner, T.1
Williams, P.D.2
-
27
-
-
77952798535
-
Scale-dependent models for atmospheric flows
-
Klein R. Scale-dependent models for atmospheric flows. Annu Rev Fluid Mech 2010, 42:249-274.
-
(2010)
Annu Rev Fluid Mech
, vol.42
, pp. 249-274
-
-
Klein, R.1
-
28
-
-
0000316389
-
Stochastic climate models: part I, theory
-
Hasselmann K. Stochastic climate models: part I, theory. Tellus 1976, 28:473-484.
-
(1976)
Tellus
, vol.28
, pp. 473-484
-
-
Hasselmann, K.1
-
29
-
-
0000738609
-
Stochastic climate models, part II: application to sea-surface temperature anomalies and thermocline variability
-
Frankignoul C, Hasselmann K. Stochastic climate models, part II: application to sea-surface temperature anomalies and thermocline variability. Tellus 1977, 29:289-305.
-
(1977)
Tellus
, vol.29
, pp. 289-305
-
-
Frankignoul, C.1
Hasselmann, K.2
-
31
-
-
84880223564
-
Homogenization for deterministic maps and multiplicative noise
-
Gottwald G, Melbourne I. Homogenization for deterministic maps and multiplicative noise. Proc R Soc A 2013, 469:20130201.
-
(2013)
Proc R Soc A
, vol.469
, pp. 20130201
-
-
Gottwald, G.1
Melbourne, I.2
-
32
-
-
0040152018
-
Principle of averaging for parabolic and elliptic differential equations and for Markov processes with small diffusions
-
Khasminsky RZ. Principle of averaging for parabolic and elliptic differential equations and for Markov processes with small diffusions. Theory Probab Appl 1963, 8:1-21.
-
(1963)
Theory Probab Appl
, vol.8
, pp. 1-21
-
-
Khasminsky, R.Z.1
-
33
-
-
0002546882
-
A limit theorem for perturbed operator semi-groups with applications to random evolutions
-
Kurtz TG. A limit theorem for perturbed operator semi-groups with applications to random evolutions. J Funct Anal 1973, 12:55-67.
-
(1973)
J Funct Anal
, vol.12
, pp. 55-67
-
-
Kurtz, T.G.1
-
34
-
-
79952967698
-
A note on diffusion limits of chaotic skew-product flows
-
Melbourne I, Stuart AM. A note on diffusion limits of chaotic skew-product flows. Nonlinearity 2011, 24:1361-1367.
-
(2011)
Nonlinearity
, vol.24
, pp. 1361-1367
-
-
Melbourne, I.1
Stuart, A.M.2
-
35
-
-
0009996169
-
Some probabilistic problems and methods in singular perturbations
-
Papanicolaou GC. Some probabilistic problems and methods in singular perturbations. Rocky Mt J Math 1976, 6:653-674.
-
(1976)
Rocky Mt J Math
, vol.6
, pp. 653-674
-
-
Papanicolaou, G.C.1
-
37
-
-
3042793188
-
Extracting macroscopic dynamics: model problems and algorithms
-
Givon D, Kupferman P, Stuart A. Extracting macroscopic dynamics: model problems and algorithms. Nonlinearity 2004, 17:R55.
-
(2004)
Nonlinearity
, vol.17
, pp. R55
-
-
Givon, D.1
Kupferman, P.2
Stuart, A.3
-
38
-
-
84878332497
-
Stochastic closure for local averages in the finite-difference discretization of the forced Burgers equation
-
Dolaptchiev SI, Achatz U, Timofeyev I. Stochastic closure for local averages in the finite-difference discretization of the forced Burgers equation. Theor Comp Fluid Dyn 2013, 27:297-317.
-
(2013)
Theor Comp Fluid Dyn
, vol.27
, pp. 297-317
-
-
Dolaptchiev, S.I.1
Achatz, U.2
Timofeyev, I.3
-
39
-
-
13244266684
-
Low-order stochastic mode reduction for a realistic barotropic model climate
-
Franzke C, Majda AJ, Vanden-Eijnden E. Low-order stochastic mode reduction for a realistic barotropic model climate. J Atmos Sci 2005, 62:1722-1745.
-
(2005)
J Atmos Sci
, vol.62
, pp. 1722-1745
-
-
Franzke, C.1
Majda, A.J.2
Vanden-Eijnden, E.3
-
40
-
-
33645104155
-
Low-order stochastic mode reduction for a prototype atmospheric GCM
-
Franzke C, Majda AJ. Low-order stochastic mode reduction for a prototype atmospheric GCM. J Atmos Sci 2006, 63:457-479.
-
(2006)
J Atmos Sci
, vol.63
, pp. 457-479
-
-
Franzke, C.1
Majda, A.J.2
-
43
-
-
0037105977
-
A priori tests of a stochastic mode reduction strategy
-
Majda AJ, Timofeyev I, Vanden-Eijnden E. A priori tests of a stochastic mode reduction strategy. Phys D 2002, 170:206-252.
-
(2002)
Phys D
, vol.170
, pp. 206-252
-
-
Majda, A.J.1
Timofeyev, I.2
Vanden-Eijnden, E.3
-
44
-
-
0043127074
-
Systematic strategies for stochastic mode reduction in climate
-
Majda AJ, Timofeyev I, Vanden-Eijnden E. Systematic strategies for stochastic mode reduction in climate. J Atmos Sci 2003, 60:1705-1722.
-
(2003)
J Atmos Sci
, vol.60
, pp. 1705-1722
-
-
Majda, A.J.1
Timofeyev, I.2
Vanden-Eijnden, E.3
-
46
-
-
45149101451
-
An applied mathematics perspective on stochastic modelling for climate
-
Majda AJ, Franzke C, Khouider B. An applied mathematics perspective on stochastic modelling for climate. Phil Trans R Soc A 2008, 366:2429-2455.
-
(2008)
Phil Trans R Soc A
, vol.366
, pp. 2429-2455
-
-
Majda, A.J.1
Franzke, C.2
Khouider, B.3
-
47
-
-
62649123683
-
Normal forms for reduced stochastic climate models
-
Majda AJ, Franzke C, Crommelin D. Normal forms for reduced stochastic climate models. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 2009, 106:3649-3653. doi: 10.1073/pnas.0900173106.
-
(2009)
Proc Natl Acad Sci USA
, vol.106
, pp. 3649-3653
-
-
Majda, A.J.1
Franzke, C.2
Crommelin, D.3
-
50
-
-
23744459804
-
Linking nonlinearity and non-Gaussianity of planetary wave behavior by the Fokker-Planck equation
-
Berner J. Linking nonlinearity and non-Gaussianity of planetary wave behavior by the Fokker-Planck equation. J Atmos Sci 2005, 62:2098-2117.
-
(2005)
J Atmos Sci
, vol.62
, pp. 2098-2117
-
-
Berner, J.1
-
51
-
-
0042284246
-
Analysis of data sets of stochastic systems
-
Siegert S, Friedrich R, Peinke J. Analysis of data sets of stochastic systems. Phys Lett A 1998, 243:275-280.
-
(1998)
Phys Lett A
, vol.243
, pp. 275-280
-
-
Siegert, S.1
Friedrich, R.2
Peinke, J.3
-
52
-
-
0000321680
-
A balance condition for stochastic numerical models with application to the El Nino-Southern Oscillation
-
Penland C, Matrosova L. A balance condition for stochastic numerical models with application to the El Nino-Southern Oscillation. J Climate 1994, 7:1352-1372.
-
(1994)
J Climate
, vol.7
, pp. 1352-1372
-
-
Penland, C.1
Matrosova, L.2
-
53
-
-
0029506155
-
The optimal growth of tropical sea surface temperature anomalies
-
Penland C, Sardeshmukh PD. The optimal growth of tropical sea surface temperature anomalies. J Climate 1995, 8:1999-2014.
-
(1995)
J Climate
, vol.8
, pp. 1999-2014
-
-
Penland, C.1
Sardeshmukh, P.D.2
-
54
-
-
0031835110
-
A linear theory of extratropical synoptic eddy statistics
-
Whitaker JS, Sardeshmukh PD. A linear theory of extratropical synoptic eddy statistics. J Atmos Sci 1998, 55:237-258.
-
(1998)
J Atmos Sci
, vol.55
, pp. 237-258
-
-
Whitaker, J.S.1
Sardeshmukh, P.D.2
-
55
-
-
0035894793
-
A linear model of wintertime low-frequency variability, part I: formulation and forecast skill
-
Winkler CR, Newman M, Sardeshmukh PD. A linear model of wintertime low-frequency variability, part I: formulation and forecast skill. J Climate 2001, 14:4474-4494.
-
(2001)
J Climate
, vol.14
, pp. 4474-4494
-
-
Winkler, C.R.1
Newman, M.2
Sardeshmukh, P.D.3
-
56
-
-
0033208559
-
Empirical stochastic models for the dominant climate statistics of a General Circulation Model
-
DelSole T, Hou AY. Empirical stochastic models for the dominant climate statistics of a General Circulation Model. J Atmos Sci 1999, 56:3436-3456.
-
(1999)
J Atmos Sci
, vol.56
, pp. 3436-3456
-
-
DelSole, T.1
Hou, A.Y.2
-
57
-
-
2442433325
-
Stochastic models of quasigeostrophic turbulence
-
DelSole T. Stochastic models of quasigeostrophic turbulence. Surv Geophys 2004, 25:107-149.
-
(2004)
Surv Geophys
, vol.25
, pp. 107-149
-
-
DelSole, T.1
-
58
-
-
0000995252
-
Stochastic dynamics of baroclinic waves
-
Farrell BF, Ioannou PJ. Stochastic dynamics of baroclinic waves. J Atmos Sci 1993, 50:4044-4057.
-
(1993)
J Atmos Sci
, vol.50
, pp. 4044-4057
-
-
Farrell, B.F.1
Ioannou, P.J.2
-
59
-
-
0000103788
-
Stochastic dynamics of the midlatitude atmospheric jet
-
Farrell BF, Ioannou PJ. Stochastic dynamics of the midlatitude atmospheric jet. J Atmos Sci 1995, 52:1642-1656.
-
(1995)
J Atmos Sci
, vol.52
, pp. 1642-1656
-
-
Farrell, B.F.1
Ioannou, P.J.2
-
60
-
-
0033208555
-
A linear stochastic model of a GCM's midlatitude storm tracks
-
Zhang Y, Held IM. A linear stochastic model of a GCM's midlatitude storm tracks. J Atmos Sci 1999, 56:3416-3435.
-
(1999)
J Atmos Sci
, vol.56
, pp. 3416-3435
-
-
Zhang, Y.1
Held, I.M.2
-
61
-
-
33645103236
-
Empirical mode reduction in a model of extratropical low-frequency variability
-
Kondrashov D, Kravtsov S, Ghil M. Empirical mode reduction in a model of extratropical low-frequency variability. J Atmos Sci 2006, 63:1859-1877.
-
(2006)
J Atmos Sci
, vol.63
, pp. 1859-1877
-
-
Kondrashov, D.1
Kravtsov, S.2
Ghil, M.3
-
62
-
-
29144483333
-
Multilevel regression modeling of nonlinear processes: derivation and applications to climatic variability
-
Kravtsov S, Kondrashov D, Ghil M. Multilevel regression modeling of nonlinear processes: derivation and applications to climatic variability. J Climate 2005, 18:4404-4424.
-
(2005)
J Climate
, vol.18
, pp. 4404-4424
-
-
Kravtsov, S.1
Kondrashov, D.2
Ghil, M.3
-
63
-
-
79953170959
-
Stochastic parameterization schemes for use in realistic climate models
-
Culina J, Kravtsov S, Monahan AH. Stochastic parameterization schemes for use in realistic climate models. J Atmos Sci 2011, 68:284-299.
-
(2011)
J Atmos Sci
, vol.68
, pp. 284-299
-
-
Culina, J.1
Kravtsov, S.2
Monahan, A.H.3
-
64
-
-
79959326383
-
Stochastic averaging of idealized climate models
-
Monahan AH, Culina J. Stochastic averaging of idealized climate models. J Climate 2011, 24:3068-3088.
-
(2011)
J Climate
, vol.24
, pp. 3068-3088
-
-
Monahan, A.H.1
Culina, J.2
-
66
-
-
30144435647
-
A comparative study of two stochastic mode reduction methods
-
Stinis P. A comparative study of two stochastic mode reduction methods. Phys D 2006, 213:197-213.
-
(2006)
Phys D
, vol.213
, pp. 197-213
-
-
Stinis, P.1
-
67
-
-
34247333623
-
Reconstruction of diffusions using spectral data from timeseries
-
Crommelin D, Vanden-Eijnden E. Reconstruction of diffusions using spectral data from timeseries. Commun Math Sci 2006, 4:651-668.
-
(2006)
Commun Math Sci
, vol.4
, pp. 651-668
-
-
Crommelin, D.1
Vanden-Eijnden, E.2
-
68
-
-
0033372615
-
A two-layer model with empirical linear corrections and reduced order for studies of internal climate variability
-
Achatz U, Branstator G. A two-layer model with empirical linear corrections and reduced order for studies of internal climate variability. J Atmos Sci 1999, 56:3140-3160.
-
(1999)
J Atmos Sci
, vol.56
, pp. 3140-3160
-
-
Achatz, U.1
Branstator, G.2
-
69
-
-
0042130519
-
Primitive-equation-based low-order models with seasonal cycle, part I: model construction
-
Achatz U, Opsteegh JD. Primitive-equation-based low-order models with seasonal cycle, part I: model construction. J Atmos Sci 2003, 60:465-477.
-
(2003)
J Atmos Sci
, vol.60
, pp. 465-477
-
-
Achatz, U.1
Opsteegh, J.D.2
-
70
-
-
84886991631
-
An ensemble Kalman filter for statistical estimation of physics constrained nonlinear regression models
-
Harlim J, Mahdi A, Majda AJ. An ensemble Kalman filter for statistical estimation of physics constrained nonlinear regression models. J Comput Phys 2013, 257:782-812.
-
(2013)
J Comput Phys
, vol.257
, pp. 782-812
-
-
Harlim, J.1
Mahdi, A.2
Majda, A.J.3
-
71
-
-
84870475304
-
Physics constrained nonlinear regression models for time series
-
Majda AJ, Harlim J. Physics constrained nonlinear regression models for time series. Nonlinearity 2013, 26:201-217.
-
(2013)
Nonlinearity
, vol.26
, pp. 201-217
-
-
Majda, A.J.1
Harlim, J.2
-
72
-
-
84915765757
-
Systematic physics constrained parameter estimation of stochastic differential equations
-
arXiv:1312.1881.
-
Peavoy D, Franzke C and Roberts G : Systematic physics constrained parameter estimation of stochastic differential equations. Comp Stat Data Anal arXiv:1312.1881.
-
Comp Stat Data Anal
-
-
Peavoy, D.1
Franzke, C.2
Roberts, G.3
-
73
-
-
84858778413
-
Disentangling multi-level systems: averaging, correlations and memory
-
2011
-
Wouters J, Lucarini V. Disentangling multi-level systems: averaging, correlations and memory. J Stat Mech 2011, 2012:PO3003.
-
(2012)
J Stat Mech
, pp. PO3003
-
-
Wouters, J.1
Lucarini, V.2
-
74
-
-
0033246861
-
Smooth dynamics and new theoretical ideas from nonequilibrium statistical mechanics
-
Ruelle D. Smooth dynamics and new theoretical ideas from nonequilibrium statistical mechanics. J Stat Phys 1999, 95:393-468.
-
(1999)
J Stat Phys
, vol.95
, pp. 393-468
-
-
Ruelle, D.1
-
75
-
-
67650708843
-
A review of linear response theory for general differentiable dynamical systems
-
Ruelle D. A review of linear response theory for general differentiable dynamical systems. Nonlinearity 2009, 22:855.
-
(2009)
Nonlinearity
, vol.22
, pp. 855
-
-
Ruelle, D.1
-
76
-
-
60449099445
-
Evidence for dispersion relations for the nonlinear response of the Lorenz 1963 system
-
Lucarini V. Evidence for dispersion relations for the nonlinear response of the Lorenz 1963 system. J Stat Phys 2009, 134:381-400.
-
(2009)
J Stat Phys
, vol.134
, pp. 381-400
-
-
Lucarini, V.1
-
77
-
-
78651385707
-
A statistical mechanic approach for the computation of the climatic response to general forcings
-
Lucarini V, Sarno S. A statistical mechanic approach for the computation of the climatic response to general forcings. Nonlin Proc Geophys 2011, 18:7-28.
-
(2011)
Nonlin Proc Geophys
, vol.18
, pp. 7-28
-
-
Lucarini, V.1
Sarno, S.2
-
78
-
-
17044421499
-
Dynamical ensembles in stationary states
-
Gallavotti G, Cohen EGD. Dynamical ensembles in stationary states. J Stat Phys 1995, 80:931-970.
-
(1995)
J Stat Phys
, vol.80
, pp. 931-970
-
-
Gallavotti, G.1
Cohen, E.G.D.2
-
79
-
-
84915765756
-
On stochastic parameterizing manifolds: pullback characterization and non-Markovian reduced equations
-
arxiv:1310.3896.
-
Chekroun M, Liu H, Wang S, On stochastic parameterizing manifolds: pullback characterization and non-Markovian reduced equations. Mem Am Math Soc 2013, arxiv:1310.3896.
-
(2013)
Mem Am Math Soc
-
-
Chekroun, M.1
Liu, H.2
Wang, S.3
-
80
-
-
84877596510
-
Multi-level dynamical systems: connecting the Ruelle response theory and the Mori-Zwanzig approach
-
Wouters J, Lucarini V. Multi-level dynamical systems: connecting the Ruelle response theory and the Mori-Zwanzig approach. J Stat Phys 2013, 151:850-860.
-
(2013)
J Stat Phys
, vol.151
, pp. 850-860
-
-
Wouters, J.1
Lucarini, V.2
-
81
-
-
84859023507
-
Predictability of extreme events in a nonlinear stochastic-dynamical model
-
Franzke C. Predictability of extreme events in a nonlinear stochastic-dynamical model. Phys Rev E 2012, 85. doi: 10.1103/PhysRevE.85.031134.
-
(2012)
Phys Rev E
, vol.85
-
-
Franzke, C.1
-
82
-
-
84882443021
-
Predictions of critical transitions with non-stationary reduced order models
-
Franzke C. Predictions of critical transitions with non-stationary reduced order models. Phys D 2013, 262:35-47.
-
(2013)
Phys D
, vol.262
, pp. 35-47
-
-
Franzke, C.1
-
83
-
-
79957964011
-
A general perspective of extreme events in weather and climate
-
Sura P. A general perspective of extreme events in weather and climate. Atmos Res 2011, 101:1-21.
-
(2011)
Atmos Res
, vol.101
, pp. 1-21
-
-
Sura, P.1
-
84
-
-
84905219919
-
Stochastic models of climate extremes: theory and observations
-
In: AghaKouchak A, Easterling D, Hsu K, Schubert S, Sorooshian S, eds. . Berlin: Springer.
-
Sura P. Stochastic models of climate extremes: theory and observations. In: AghaKouchak A, Easterling D, Hsu K, Schubert S, Sorooshian S, eds. Extremes in a Changing World: Detection, Analysis and Uncertainty. Berlin: Springer; 2013, 432.
-
(2013)
Extremes in a Changing World: Detection, Analysis and Uncertainty
, pp. 432
-
-
Sura, P.1
-
86
-
-
84891211683
-
The structure of isotropic turbulence at very high reynolds number
-
Kraichnan RH. The structure of isotropic turbulence at very high reynolds number. J Fluid Mech 1959, 5:497.
-
(1959)
J Fluid Mech
, vol.5
, pp. 497
-
-
Kraichnan, R.H.1
-
87
-
-
0033150002
-
Subgrid-scale parameterizations of eddy-topographic force, eddy viscosity, and stochastic backscatter for flow over topography
-
Frederiksen JS. Subgrid-scale parameterizations of eddy-topographic force, eddy viscosity, and stochastic backscatter for flow over topography. J Atmos Sci 1999, 56:1481.
-
(1999)
J Atmos Sci
, vol.56
, pp. 1481
-
-
Frederiksen, J.S.1
-
89
-
-
0015035312
-
Atmospheric predictability and two-dimensional turbulence
-
Leith CE. Atmospheric predictability and two-dimensional turbulence. J Atmos Sci 1971, 28:145.
-
(1971)
J Atmos Sci
, vol.28
, pp. 145
-
-
Leith, C.E.1
-
90
-
-
0000282315
-
Predictability of turbulent flows
-
Leith CE, Kraichnan RH. Predictability of turbulent flows. J Atmos Sci 1972, 29:1041-1058.
-
(1972)
J Atmos Sci
, vol.29
, pp. 1041-1058
-
-
Leith, C.E.1
Kraichnan, R.H.2
-
91
-
-
0001036009
-
A study of the predictability of a 28-variable atmospheric model
-
Lorenz EN. A study of the predictability of a 28-variable atmospheric model. Tellus 1965, 17:321-333.
-
(1965)
Tellus
, vol.17
, pp. 321-333
-
-
Lorenz, E.N.1
-
92
-
-
33644596201
-
Inhomogeneous closure and statistical mechanics for Rossby wave turbulence over topography
-
Frederiksen JS, O'Kane TJ. Inhomogeneous closure and statistical mechanics for Rossby wave turbulence over topography. J Fluid Mech 2005, 539:137.
-
(2005)
J Fluid Mech
, vol.539
, pp. 137
-
-
Frederiksen, J.S.1
O'Kane, T.J.2
-
93
-
-
40949091545
-
A comparison of statistical dynamical and ensemble prediction methods during blocking
-
O'Kane TJ, Frederiksen JS. A comparison of statistical dynamical and ensemble prediction methods during blocking. J Atmos Sci 2008b, 65:426.
-
(2008)
J Atmos Sci
, vol.65
, pp. 426
-
-
O'Kane, T.J.1
Frederiksen, J.S.2
-
94
-
-
0001609731
-
Stochastic dynamic prediction
-
Epstein ES. Stochastic dynamic prediction. Tellus 1969, 21:739-759.
-
(1969)
Tellus
, vol.21
, pp. 739-759
-
-
Epstein, E.S.1
-
95
-
-
0010385470
-
Application of stochastic dynamic prediction to real data
-
Pitcher EJ. Application of stochastic dynamic prediction to real data. J Atmos Sci 1977, 34:3-21.
-
(1977)
J Atmos Sci
, vol.34
, pp. 3-21
-
-
Pitcher, E.J.1
-
96
-
-
0035397871
-
Conditional mode elimination and the subgrid-modelling problem for isotropic turbulence
-
Hunte MWDA, Johnson C. Conditional mode elimination and the subgrid-modelling problem for isotropic turbulence. Phys Fluids 2001a, 13:2030.
-
(2001)
Phys Fluids
, vol.13
, pp. 2030
-
-
Hunte, M.W.D.A.1
Johnson, C.2
-
97
-
-
0031395074
-
Eddy viscosity and stochastic backscatter parameterizations on the sphere for atmospheric circulation models
-
Frederiksen JS, Davies AG. Eddy viscosity and stochastic backscatter parameterizations on the sphere for atmospheric circulation models. J Atmos Sci 1997, 54:2475.
-
(1997)
J Atmos Sci
, vol.54
, pp. 2475
-
-
Frederiksen, J.S.1
Davies, A.G.2
-
98
-
-
0016984033
-
Eddy viscosity in two and three dimensions
-
Kraichnan RH. Eddy viscosity in two and three dimensions. J Atmos Sci 1976, 33:1521.
-
(1976)
J Atmos Sci
, vol.33
, pp. 1521
-
-
Kraichnan, R.H.1
-
99
-
-
0018785460
-
The application of turbulence theory to the formulation of subgrid modelling procedures
-
Leslie DC, Quarini GL. The application of turbulence theory to the formulation of subgrid modelling procedures. J Fluid Mech 1979, 91:65.
-
(1979)
J Fluid Mech
, vol.91
, pp. 65
-
-
Leslie, D.C.1
Quarini, G.L.2
-
100
-
-
57149122617
-
Statistical dynamical subgrid-scale parameterizations for geophysical flows
-
O'Kane TJ, Frederiksen JS. Statistical dynamical subgrid-scale parameterizations for geophysical flows. Phys Scr 2008a, T132:014033.
-
(2008)
Phys Scr
, vol.132 T
, pp. 014033
-
-
O'Kane, T.J.1
Frederiksen, J.S.2
-
101
-
-
0013728596
-
Eddy diffusivity, eddy noise and subgrid-scale modelling
-
Rose HA. Eddy diffusivity, eddy noise and subgrid-scale modelling. J Fluid Mech 1977, 81:719.
-
(1977)
J Fluid Mech
, vol.81
, pp. 719
-
-
Rose, H.A.1
-
103
-
-
0034351202
-
Dynamics and spectra of cumulant update closures for two-dimensional turbulence
-
Frederiksen JS, Davies AG. Dynamics and spectra of cumulant update closures for two-dimensional turbulence. Geophys Astrophys Fluid Dyn 2000, 92:197.
-
(2000)
Geophys Astrophys Fluid Dyn
, vol.92
, pp. 197
-
-
Frederiksen, J.S.1
Davies, A.G.2
-
104
-
-
2142811137
-
The QDIA and regularized QDIA closures for inhomogeneous turbulence over topography
-
O'Kane TJ, Frederiksen JS. The QDIA and regularized QDIA closures for inhomogeneous turbulence over topography. J Fluid Mech 2004, 504:133.
-
(2004)
J Fluid Mech
, vol.504
, pp. 133
-
-
O'Kane, T.J.1
Frederiksen, J.S.2
-
105
-
-
0000969333
-
Self-consistent-field approach to turbulence theory
-
Herring JR. Self-consistent-field approach to turbulence theory. Phys Fluids 1965, 8:2219.
-
(1965)
Phys Fluids
, vol.8
, pp. 2219
-
-
Herring, J.R.1
-
106
-
-
0012206981
-
A local energy-transfer theory of isotropic turbulence
-
McComb WD. A local energy-transfer theory of isotropic turbulence. J Phys A 1974, 7:632.
-
(1974)
J Phys A
, vol.7
, pp. 632
-
-
McComb, W.D.1
-
107
-
-
0020767165
-
Viscosity renormalization based on direct-interaction closure
-
Carnevale GF, Frederiksen JS. Viscosity renormalization based on direct-interaction closure. J Fluid Mech 1983, 131:289.
-
(1983)
J Fluid Mech
, vol.131
, pp. 289
-
-
Carnevale, G.F.1
Frederiksen, J.S.2
-
108
-
-
0001702607
-
Fluctuation-dissipation theorems for classical processes
-
Deker U, Haake F. Fluctuation-dissipation theorems for classical processes. Phys Rev A 1957, 6:2043.
-
(1957)
Phys Rev A
, vol.6
, pp. 2043
-
-
Deker, U.1
Haake, F.2
-
109
-
-
0027974861
-
Closure equations with non-Gaussian restarts for truncated two-dimensional turbulence
-
Frederiksen JS, Davies AG, Bell RC. Closure equations with non-Gaussian restarts for truncated two-dimensional turbulence. Phys Fluids 1994, 6:3153.
-
(1994)
Phys Fluids
, vol.6
, pp. 3153
-
-
Frederiksen, J.S.1
Davies, A.G.2
Bell, R.C.3
-
110
-
-
84958435592
-
A consequence of the zero fourth cumulant approximation in the decay of isotropic turbulence
-
Ogura Y. A consequence of the zero fourth cumulant approximation in the decay of isotropic turbulence. J Fluid Mech 1963, 16:33.
-
(1963)
J Fluid Mech
, vol.16
, pp. 33
-
-
Ogura, Y.1
-
111
-
-
0014765361
-
Analytical theories of turbulence
-
Orszag SA. Analytical theories of turbulence. J Fluid Mech 1970, 41:363.
-
(1970)
J Fluid Mech
, vol.41
, pp. 363
-
-
Orszag, S.A.1
-
112
-
-
0000630257
-
Theoretical skill of Monte Carlo forecasts
-
Leith CE. Theoretical skill of Monte Carlo forecasts. Mon Weather Rev 1974, 102:409.
-
(1974)
Mon Weather Rev
, vol.102
, pp. 409
-
-
Leith, C.E.1
-
113
-
-
0022843685
-
Statistical predictability of decaying turbulence
-
Métais O, Lesieur M. Statistical predictability of decaying turbulence. J Atmos Sci 1986, 43:857.
-
(1986)
J Atmos Sci
, vol.43
, pp. 857
-
-
Métais, O.1
Lesieur, M.2
-
114
-
-
57149126050
-
Comparison of statistical dynamical, square root and ensemble Kalman filters
-
O'Kane TJ, Frederiksen JS. Comparison of statistical dynamical, square root and ensemble Kalman filters. Entropy 2008c, 10:684-721. doi: 10.3390/e10040684.
-
(2008)
Entropy
, vol.10
, pp. 684-721
-
-
O'Kane, T.J.1
Frederiksen, J.S.2
-
115
-
-
79551608235
-
The application of statistical dynamical turbulence closures to data assimilation
-
O'Kane TJ, Frederiksen JS. The application of statistical dynamical turbulence closures to data assimilation. Phys Scr 2010, T142:014042.
-
(2010)
Phys Scr
, vol.142 T
, pp. 014042
-
-
O'Kane, T.J.1
Frederiksen, J.S.2
-
116
-
-
0021785265
-
An efficient non-Markovian theory of non-equilibrium dynamics
-
Rose HA. An efficient non-Markovian theory of non-equilibrium dynamics. Phys D 1985, 14:216.
-
(1985)
Phys D
, vol.14
, pp. 216
-
-
Rose, H.A.1
-
117
-
-
84902885610
-
Fluid flow dynamics under location uncertainty
-
Memin E. Fluid flow dynamics under location uncertainty. Geophys Astrophys Fluid Dyn 2014, 108:119-146.
-
(2014)
Geophys Astrophys Fluid Dyn
, vol.108
, pp. 119-146
-
-
Memin, E.1
-
118
-
-
0001957739
-
General circulation experiments with the primitive equations, I: the basic experiment
-
Smagorinsky J. General circulation experiments with the primitive equations, I: the basic experiment. Mon Weather Rev 1963, 91:99.
-
(1963)
Mon Weather Rev
, vol.91
, pp. 99
-
-
Smagorinsky, J.1
-
119
-
-
0027060010
-
Representing topographic stress for large-scale ocean models
-
Holloway G. Representing topographic stress for large-scale ocean models. J Phys Oceanogr 1992, 22:1033.
-
(1992)
J Phys Oceanogr
, vol.22
, pp. 1033
-
-
Holloway, G.1
-
120
-
-
73549089938
-
Stochastic subgrid parameterizations for simulations of atmospheric baroclinic flows
-
Zidikheri MJ, Frederiksen JS. Stochastic subgrid parameterizations for simulations of atmospheric baroclinic flows. J Atmos Sci 2009, 66:2844.
-
(2009)
J Atmos Sci
, vol.66
, pp. 2844
-
-
Zidikheri, M.J.1
Frederiksen, J.S.2
-
121
-
-
0035086606
-
A nonlinear dynamical perspective on model error: a proposal for non-local stochastic-dynamic parameterization in weather and climate prediction
-
Palmer TN. A nonlinear dynamical perspective on model error: a proposal for non-local stochastic-dynamic parameterization in weather and climate prediction. Q J Roy Meteorol Soc 2001, 127:279-304.
-
(2001)
Q J Roy Meteorol Soc
, vol.127
, pp. 279-304
-
-
Palmer, T.N.1
-
122
-
-
0042026394
-
Noise out of chaos and why it won't go away
-
Penland C. Noise out of chaos and why it won't go away. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 2003, 84:921-925.
-
(2003)
Bull Am Meteorol Soc
, vol.84
, pp. 921-925
-
-
Penland, C.1
-
123
-
-
0001693443
-
Rossby waves in a stochastically fluctuating medium
-
In: Imkeller P, von Storch J-S, eds. . Basel: Birkhäuser.
-
Sardeshmukh P, Penland C, Newman M. Rossby waves in a stochastically fluctuating medium. In: Imkeller P, von Storch J-S, eds. Stochastic Climate Models. Basel: Birkhäuser; 2001, 384-396.
-
(2001)
Stochastic Climate Models
, pp. 384-396
-
-
Sardeshmukh, P.1
Penland, C.2
Newman, M.3
-
124
-
-
84862195046
-
Systematic model error: the impact of increased horizontal resolution versus improved stochastic and deterministic parameterizations
-
Berner J, Jung T, Palmer TN. Systematic model error: the impact of increased horizontal resolution versus improved stochastic and deterministic parameterizations. J Climate 2012, 25:4946-4962.
-
(2012)
J Climate
, vol.25
, pp. 4946-4962
-
-
Berner, J.1
Jung, T.2
Palmer, T.N.3
-
125
-
-
33745038373
-
Fluctuations in a equilibrium convective ensemble, part II: numerical experiments
-
Cohen BG, Craig GC. Fluctuations in a equilibrium convective ensemble, part II: numerical experiments. J Atmos Sci 2005, 63:2005-2015.
-
(2005)
J Atmos Sci
, vol.63
, pp. 2005-2015
-
-
Cohen, B.G.1
Craig, G.C.2
-
126
-
-
38849155083
-
A stochastic parameterization for deep convection based on equillibrium statistics
-
Plant RS, Craig GC. A stochastic parameterization for deep convection based on equillibrium statistics. J Atmos Sci 2008, 65:87-105.
-
(2008)
J Atmos Sci
, vol.65
, pp. 87-105
-
-
Plant, R.S.1
Craig, G.C.2
-
127
-
-
18544371178
-
The rationale behind the success of multi-model ensembles in seasonal forecasting-i. basic concept
-
Hagedorn R, Doblas-Reyes FJ, Palmer TN. The rationale behind the success of multi-model ensembles in seasonal forecasting-i. basic concept. Tellus 2005, 57A:219-233.
-
(2005)
Tellus
, vol.57 A
, pp. 219-233
-
-
Hagedorn, R.1
Doblas-Reyes, F.J.2
Palmer, T.N.3
-
128
-
-
0001209566
-
A system simulation approach to ensemble prediction
-
Houtekamer PL, Lefaivre L, Derome J, Ritchie H, Mitchell HL. A system simulation approach to ensemble prediction. Mon Weather Rev 1996, 124:1225-1242.
-
(1996)
Mon Weather Rev
, vol.124
, pp. 1225-1242
-
-
Houtekamer, P.L.1
Lefaivre, L.2
Derome, J.3
Ritchie, H.4
Mitchell, H.L.5
-
129
-
-
0034351740
-
Multimodel ensemble forecasts for weather and seasonal climate
-
Krishnamurti TN, Kishtawal CM, Zhang Z, LaRow T, Bachiochi D, Williford E, Gadgil S, Surendran S. Multimodel ensemble forecasts for weather and seasonal climate. J Climate 2000, 13:4196-4216.
-
(2000)
J Climate
, vol.13
, pp. 4196-4216
-
-
Krishnamurti, T.N.1
Kishtawal, C.M.2
Zhang, Z.3
LaRow, T.4
Bachiochi, D.5
Williford, E.6
Gadgil, S.7
Surendran, S.8
-
130
-
-
13444269104
-
Uncertainty in predictions of the climate response to rising levels of greenhouse gases
-
Stainforth D, Aina T, Christensen C, Collins M, Faull N, Frame DJ, Kettleborough JA, Knight S, Martin A, Murphy JM, et al. Uncertainty in predictions of the climate response to rising levels of greenhouse gases. Nature 2005, 433:403-406.
-
(2005)
Nature
, vol.433
, pp. 403-406
-
-
Stainforth, D.1
Aina, T.2
Christensen, C.3
Collins, M.4
Faull, N.5
Frame, D.J.6
Kettleborough, J.A.7
Knight, S.8
Martin, A.9
Murphy, J.M.10
-
131
-
-
79954486545
-
Model uncertainty in a mesoscale ensemble prediction system: stochastic versus multi-physics representations
-
Berner J, Ha S-Y, Hacker JP, Fournier A, Snyder C. Model uncertainty in a mesoscale ensemble prediction system: stochastic versus multi-physics representations. Mon Weather Rev 2011, 139:1972-1995.
-
(2011)
Mon Weather Rev
, vol.139
, pp. 1972-1995
-
-
Berner, J.1
Ha, S.-Y.2
Hacker, J.P.3
Fournier, A.4
Snyder, C.5
-
132
-
-
23144455758
-
Aspects of effective mesoscale, short-range ensemble forecasting
-
Eckel FA, Mass CF. Aspects of effective mesoscale, short-range ensemble forecasting. Wea Forecasting 2005, 20:328-350.
-
(2005)
Wea Forecasting
, vol.20
, pp. 328-350
-
-
Eckel, F.A.1
Mass, C.F.2
-
133
-
-
4043124611
-
Quantification of modelling uncertainties in a large ensemble of climate change simulations
-
Murphy JM, Sexton DM, Barnett DN, Jones GS, Webb MJ, Collins M, Stainforth DA. Quantification of modelling uncertainties in a large ensemble of climate change simulations. Nature 2004, 430:768-772.
-
(2004)
Nature
, vol.430
, pp. 768-772
-
-
Murphy, J.M.1
Sexton, D.M.2
Barnett, D.N.3
Jones, G.S.4
Webb, M.J.5
Collins, M.6
Stainforth, D.A.7
-
134
-
-
0033825565
-
Using initial condition and model physics perturbations in short-range ensemble simulations of mesoscale convective systems
-
Stensrud DJ, Bao J-W, Warner TT. Using initial condition and model physics perturbations in short-range ensemble simulations of mesoscale convective systems. Mon Weather Rev 2000, 128:2077-2107.
-
(2000)
Mon Weather Rev
, vol.128
, pp. 2077-2107
-
-
Stensrud, D.J.1
Bao, J.-W.2
Warner, T.T.3
-
135
-
-
3543083343
-
Development of a European multi-model ensemble system for seasonal to inter-annual prediction (DEMETER)
-
Palmer T, Andersen U, Cantelaube P, Davey M, Deque M, Doblas-Reyes F, Feddersen H, Graham R, Gualdi S, Gueremy J-F, et al. Development of a European multi-model ensemble system for seasonal to inter-annual prediction (DEMETER). Bull Am Meteorol Soc 2004, 85:853-872.
-
(2004)
Bull Am Meteorol Soc
, vol.85
, pp. 853-872
-
-
Palmer, T.1
Andersen, U.2
Cantelaube, P.3
Davey, M.4
Deque, M.5
Doblas-Reyes, F.6
Feddersen, H.7
Graham, R.8
Gualdi, S.9
Gueremy, J.-F.10
-
136
-
-
84887921785
-
-
Cambridge, New York: Cambridge University Press; .
-
Stocker ETF, Qin D, Plattner G-K, Tignor M, Allen S, Boschung J, Nauels A, Xia Y, Bex V, Midgley P. Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Cambridge, New York: Cambridge University Press; 2013.
-
(2013)
Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis
-
-
Stocker, E.T.F.1
Qin, D.2
Plattner, G.-K.3
Tignor, M.4
Allen, S.5
Boschung, J.6
Nauels, A.7
Xia, Y.8
Bex, V.9
Midgley, P.10
-
137
-
-
69549083390
-
The local ETKF and SKEB: upgrades to the MOGREPS short-range ensemble prediction system
-
Bowler NE, Arribas A, Beare SE, Mylne KR, Shutts GJ. The local ETKF and SKEB: upgrades to the MOGREPS short-range ensemble prediction system. Q J Roy Meteorol Soc 2009, 135:767-776.
-
(2009)
Q J Roy Meteorol Soc
, vol.135
, pp. 767-776
-
-
Bowler, N.E.1
Arribas, A.2
Beare, S.E.3
Mylne, K.R.4
Shutts, G.J.5
-
138
-
-
77954489079
-
-
ECMWF Technical Memorandum No. 598.
-
Palmer, TN, Buizza R, Doblas-Reyes F, Jung T, Leutbecher M, Shutts G, Steinheimer M, Weisheimer A. Stochastic parametrization and model uncertainty. ECMWF Technical Memorandum No. 598, 2009. Available at: http://www.ecmwf.int/publications/.
-
(2009)
Stochastic parametrization and model uncertainty
-
-
Palmer, T.N.1
Buizza, R.2
Doblas-Reyes, F.3
Jung, T.4
Leutbecher, M.5
Shutts, G.6
Steinheimer, M.7
Weisheimer, A.8
-
139
-
-
45149100332
-
Impact of a quasi-stochastic cellular automaton backscatter scheme on the systematic error and seasonal prediction skill of a global climate model
-
Berner J, Doblas-Reyes FJ, Palmer TN, Shutts G, Weisheimer A. Impact of a quasi-stochastic cellular automaton backscatter scheme on the systematic error and seasonal prediction skill of a global climate model. Phil Trans R Soc A 2008, 366:2559-2577.
-
(2008)
Phil Trans R Soc A
, vol.366
, pp. 2559-2577
-
-
Berner, J.1
Doblas-Reyes, F.J.2
Palmer, T.N.3
Shutts, G.4
Weisheimer, A.5
-
140
-
-
70349607473
-
Addressing model uncertainty in seasonal and annual dynamical seasonal forecasts
-
Doblas-Reyes F, Weisheimer A, Déqué M, Keenlyside N, McVean M, Murphy JM, Rogel P, Smith D, Palmer TN. Addressing model uncertainty in seasonal and annual dynamical seasonal forecasts. Q J Roy Meteorol Soc 2009, 135:1538-1559.
-
(2009)
Q J Roy Meteorol Soc
, vol.135
, pp. 1538-1559
-
-
Doblas-Reyes, F.1
Weisheimer, A.2
Déqué, M.3
Keenlyside, N.4
McVean, M.5
Murphy, J.M.6
Rogel, P.7
Smith, D.8
Palmer, T.N.9
-
141
-
-
80051977694
-
Assessment of representations of model uncertainty in monthly and seasonal forecast ensembles
-
L16703
-
Weisheimer A, Palmer T, Doblas-Reyes F. Assessment of representations of model uncertainty in monthly and seasonal forecast ensembles. Geophys Res Lett 2011, 38:L16703. doi: 10.1029/2011GL048123.
-
(2011)
Geophys Res Lett
, vol.38
-
-
Weisheimer, A.1
Palmer, T.2
Doblas-Reyes, F.3
-
142
-
-
5244256654
-
Stochastic analysis of meteorological fields
-
Epstein ES, Pitcher EJ. Stochastic analysis of meteorological fields. J Atmos Sci 1972, 29:244-257.
-
(1972)
J Atmos Sci
, vol.29
, pp. 244-257
-
-
Epstein, E.S.1
Pitcher, E.J.2
-
143
-
-
0000241853
-
Deterministic nonperiodic flow
-
Lorenz EN. Deterministic nonperiodic flow. J Atmos Sci 1963, 20:130-141.
-
(1963)
J Atmos Sci
, vol.20
, pp. 130-141
-
-
Lorenz, E.N.1
-
144
-
-
0027388691
-
Predictability and finite-time instability of the Northern winter circulation
-
Molteni F, Palmer TN. Predictability and finite-time instability of the Northern winter circulation. Q J Roy Meteorol Soc 1993, 119:269-298.
-
(1993)
Q J Roy Meteorol Soc
, vol.119
, pp. 269-298
-
-
Molteni, F.1
Palmer, T.N.2
-
145
-
-
0001509508
-
Ensemble forecasting at NMC: the generation of perturbations
-
Toth Z, Kalnay E. Ensemble forecasting at NMC: the generation of perturbations. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 1993, 74:2317-2330.
-
(1993)
Bull Am Meteorol Soc
, vol.74
, pp. 2317-2330
-
-
Toth, Z.1
Kalnay, E.2
-
146
-
-
12944288520
-
A comparison of the ECMWF, MSC and NCEP global ensemble prediction systems
-
Buizza R, Houtekamer PL, Toth Z, Pellerini G, Wei M, Zhu Y. A comparison of the ECMWF, MSC and NCEP global ensemble prediction systems. Mon Weather Rev 2005, 133:1076-1097.
-
(2005)
Mon Weather Rev
, vol.133
, pp. 1076-1097
-
-
Buizza, R.1
Houtekamer, P.L.2
Toth, Z.3
Pellerini, G.4
Wei, M.5
Zhu, Y.6
-
147
-
-
0033080118
-
A nonlinear dynamical perspective on climate prediction
-
Palmer TN. A nonlinear dynamical perspective on climate prediction. J Climate 1999, 12:575-591.
-
(1999)
J Climate
, vol.12
, pp. 575-591
-
-
Palmer, T.N.1
-
149
-
-
0033403384
-
Stochastic representation of model uncertainties in the ECMWF ensemble prediction system
-
Buizza R, Miller M, Palmer TN. Stochastic representation of model uncertainties in the ECMWF ensemble prediction system. Q J Roy Meteorol Soc 1999, 125:2887-2908.
-
(1999)
Q J Roy Meteorol Soc
, vol.125
, pp. 2887-2908
-
-
Buizza, R.1
Miller, M.2
Palmer, T.N.3
-
150
-
-
85031862348
-
Increasing the skill of probabilistic forecasts: model-error representations versus calibration and debiasing
-
Submitted for publication.
-
Berner, J, Smith KR, Ha S-Y, Hacker JP, and Snyder C. Increasing the skill of probabilistic forecasts: model-error representations versus calibration and debiasing. Mon Weather Rev. Submitted for publication.
-
Mon Weather Rev
-
-
Berner, J.1
Smith, K.R.2
Ha, S.-Y.3
Hacker, J.P.4
Snyder, C.5
-
151
-
-
79960724128
-
Impact of resolution and design on the U.S. Navy global ensemble performance in the tropics
-
Reynolds CA, McLay JG, Goerss JS, Serra EA, Hodyss D, Sampson CR. Impact of resolution and design on the U.S. Navy global ensemble performance in the tropics. Mon Weather Rev 2011, 139:2145-2155.
-
(2011)
Mon Weather Rev
, vol.139
, pp. 2145-2155
-
-
Reynolds, C.A.1
McLay, J.G.2
Goerss, J.S.3
Serra, E.A.4
Hodyss, D.5
Sampson, C.R.6
-
152
-
-
38849167583
-
Stochastic nature of physical parameterization in ensemble prediction: a stochastic convection approach
-
Teixera J, Reynolds CA. Stochastic nature of physical parameterization in ensemble prediction: a stochastic convection approach. Mon Weather Rev 2008, 136:483-496.
-
(2008)
Mon Weather Rev
, vol.136
, pp. 483-496
-
-
Teixera, J.1
Reynolds, C.A.2
-
153
-
-
0027009801
-
Stochastic backscatter in large-eddy simulations of boundary layers
-
Mason P, Thomson D. Stochastic backscatter in large-eddy simulations of boundary layers. J Fluid Mech 1992, 242:51-78.
-
(1992)
J Fluid Mech
, vol.242
, pp. 51-78
-
-
Mason, P.1
Thomson, D.2
-
155
-
-
42549149903
-
The MOGREPS short-range ensemble prediction system
-
Bowler NE, Arribas A, Mylne KR, Robertson KB, Beare SE. The MOGREPS short-range ensemble prediction system. Q J Roy Meteorol Soc 2008, 134:703-722.
-
(2008)
Q J Roy Meteorol Soc
, vol.134
, pp. 703-722
-
-
Bowler, N.E.1
Arribas, A.2
Mylne, K.R.3
Robertson, K.B.4
Beare, S.E.5
-
156
-
-
77955575342
-
Toward random sampling of model error in the Canadian ensemble prediction system
-
Charron M, Pellerin G, Spacek L, Houtekamer PL, Gagnon N, Mitchell HL, Michelin L. Toward random sampling of model error in the Canadian ensemble prediction system. Mon Weather Rev 2010, 138:1877-1901.
-
(2010)
Mon Weather Rev
, vol.138
, pp. 1877-1901
-
-
Charron, M.1
Pellerin, G.2
Spacek, L.3
Houtekamer, P.L.4
Gagnon, N.5
Mitchell, H.L.6
Michelin, L.7
-
157
-
-
84922912313
-
Impact of a stochastic kinetic energy backscatter scheme across time-scales and resolutions
-
Sanchez, C, Williams KD, Shutts G, Collins M, Impact of a stochastic kinetic energy backscatter scheme across time-scales and resolutions. Q J Roy Meteorol Soc 2014, 140:577-599. doi:10.1002/qj.2328.
-
(2014)
Q J Roy Meteorol Soc
, vol.140
, pp. 577-599
-
-
Sanchez, C.1
Williams, K.D.2
Shutts, G.3
Collins, M.4
-
158
-
-
84865463957
-
Impact of stochastic physics in a convection-permitting ensemble
-
Bouttier F, Vié B, Nuissier O, Raynaud L. Impact of stochastic physics in a convection-permitting ensemble. Mon Weather Rev 2012, 140:3706-3721.
-
(2012)
Mon Weather Rev
, vol.140
, pp. 3706-3721
-
-
Bouttier, F.1
Vié, B.2
Nuissier, O.3
Raynaud, L.4
-
159
-
-
85031863291
-
Representing forecast error in a convection-permitting ensemble system
-
Submitted for publication.
-
Romine GS, Schwartz CS, Berner J, Smith KR, Snyder C, Anderson JL, and Weisman ML : Representing forecast error in a convection-permitting ensemble system. Mon Weather Rev. Submitted for publication.
-
Mon Weather Rev
-
-
Romine, G.S.1
Schwartz, C.S.2
Berner, J.3
Smith, K.R.4
Snyder, C.5
Anderson, J.L.6
Weisman, M.L.7
-
160
-
-
84887921785
-
-
Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
-
Stocker TF, Qin D, Plattner G-K, Tignor M, Allen SK, Boschung J, Nauels A, Xia Y, Bex V, Midgley PM. Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press; 2013, 1535.
-
(2013)
Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis
, pp. 1535
-
-
Stocker, T.F.1
Qin, D.2
Plattner, G.-K.3
Tignor, M.4
Allen, S.K.5
Boschung, J.6
Nauels, A.7
Xia, Y.8
Bex, V.9
Midgley, P.M.10
-
161
-
-
0034351920
-
Influence of a stochastic moist convective parameterization on tropical climate variability
-
Lin JWB, Neelin JD. Influence of a stochastic moist convective parameterization on tropical climate variability. Geophys Res Lett 2000, 27:3691-3694.
-
(2000)
Geophys Res Lett
, vol.27
, pp. 3691-3694
-
-
Lin, J.W.B.1
Neelin, J.D.2
-
162
-
-
84858255137
-
Using the stochastic multicloud model to improve tropical convective parameterizations: a paradigm example
-
Frenkel Y, Majda AJ, Khouider B. Using the stochastic multicloud model to improve tropical convective parameterizations: a paradigm example. J Atmos Sci 2011, 69:1080-1105.
-
(2011)
J Atmos Sci
, vol.69
, pp. 1080-1105
-
-
Frenkel, Y.1
Majda, A.J.2
Khouider, B.3
-
163
-
-
77954694843
-
A stochastic multicloud model for tropical convection
-
Khouider B, Biello J, Majda AJ. A stochastic multicloud model for tropical convection. Commun Math Sci 2010, 8:187-216.
-
(2010)
Commun Math Sci
, vol.8
, pp. 187-216
-
-
Khouider, B.1
Biello, J.2
Majda, A.J.3
-
164
-
-
56649094530
-
Stochastic models for convective momentum transport
-
Majda AJ, Stechmann S. Stochastic models for convective momentum transport. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 2008, 105:17614-17619.
-
(2008)
Proc Natl Acad Sci USA
, vol.105
, pp. 17614-17619
-
-
Majda, A.J.1
Stechmann, S.2
-
165
-
-
31544445484
-
Influence of a stochastic parameterization on the frequency of occurrence of north pacific weather regimes in the ECMWF model
-
Jung T, Palmer TN, Shutts GJ. Influence of a stochastic parameterization on the frequency of occurrence of north pacific weather regimes in the ECMWF model. Geophys Res Lett 2005, 32:L23811.
-
(2005)
Geophys Res Lett
, vol.32
, pp. L23811
-
-
Jung, T.1
Palmer, T.N.2
Shutts, G.J.3
-
166
-
-
79952971243
-
Diagnosing the causes of bias in climate models-why is it so hard?
-
Palmer TN, Weisheimer A. Diagnosing the causes of bias in climate models-why is it so hard? Geophys Astrophys Fluid Dyn 2011, 105:351-365.
-
(2011)
Geophys Astrophys Fluid Dyn
, vol.105
, pp. 351-365
-
-
Palmer, T.N.1
Weisheimer, A.2
-
167
-
-
84861710326
-
Climatic impacts of stochastic fluctuations in air-sea fluxes
-
L10705.
-
Williams PD. Climatic impacts of stochastic fluctuations in air-sea fluxes. Geophys Res Lett 2012, 39:L10705. doi: 10.1029/2012GL051813.
-
(2012)
Geophys Res Lett
, vol.39
-
-
Williams, P.D.1
-
168
-
-
84875830966
-
A statistically accurate modified quasilinear Gaussian closure for uncertainty quantification in turbulent dynamical systems
-
Sapsis T, Majda AJ. A statistically accurate modified quasilinear Gaussian closure for uncertainty quantification in turbulent dynamical systems. Phys D 2013a, 252:34-45.
-
(2013)
Phys D
, vol.252
, pp. 34-45
-
-
Sapsis, T.1
Majda, A.J.2
-
169
-
-
84882799333
-
Statistically accurate low-order models for uncertainty quantification in turbulent dynamical systems
-
Sapsis T, Majda AJ. Statistically accurate low-order models for uncertainty quantification in turbulent dynamical systems. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 2013b, 110:13705-13710.
-
(2013)
Proc Natl Acad Sci USA
, vol.110
, pp. 13705-13710
-
-
Sapsis, T.1
Majda, A.J.2
-
170
-
-
34247370602
-
-
New York: Cambridge University Press.
-
Solomon SE, Qin D, Manning M, Chen Z, Marquis M, Averyt K, Tignor M, Miller H. Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. New York: Cambridge University Press; 2007, 996.
-
(2007)
Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis
, pp. 996
-
-
Solomon, S.E.1
Qin, D.2
Manning, M.3
Chen, Z.4
Marquis, M.5
Averyt, K.6
Tignor, M.7
Miller, H.8
-
171
-
-
84901645729
-
More reliable forecasts with less precise computations: a fast-track route to cloud-resolved weather and climate simulators?
-
Palmer T. More reliable forecasts with less precise computations: a fast-track route to cloud-resolved weather and climate simulators? Phil Trans R Soc A 2014, 372:20130391.
-
(2014)
Phil Trans R Soc A
, vol.372
, pp. 20130391
-
-
Palmer, T.1
-
172
-
-
85128824735
-
Numerical techniques for multi-scale dynamical systems with stochastic effects
-
Vanden-Eijnden E. Numerical techniques for multi-scale dynamical systems with stochastic effects. Commun Math Sci 2003, 1:385-391.
-
(2003)
Commun Math Sci
, vol.1
, pp. 385-391
-
-
Vanden-Eijnden, E.1
-
173
-
-
84878968726
-
The role of additive and multiplicative moise in filtering complex dynamical systems
-
Gottwald G, Harlim J. The role of additive and multiplicative moise in filtering complex dynamical systems. Proc R Soc A 2013, 469:20130096.
-
(2013)
Proc R Soc A
, vol.469
, pp. 20130096
-
-
Gottwald, G.1
Harlim, J.2
-
174
-
-
85031857159
-
Model error representation in mesoscale wrf-dart cycling
-
Submitted for publication.
-
Ha, S-Y, J Berner, and C Snyder : Model error representation in mesoscale wrf-dart cycling. Mon Weather Rev. Submitted for publication.
-
Mon Weather Rev
-
-
Ha, S.-Y.1
Berner, J.2
Snyder, C.3
-
175
-
-
58049217667
-
Use of analysis ensembles in estimating flow-dependent background error variances
-
Reading, UK, 11-13 June.
-
Isaksen, L, Fisher M, Berner J. Use of analysis ensembles in estimating flow-dependent background error variances. In: Proceedings of ECMWF Workshop on Flow Dependent Background Errors ECMWF, Reading, UK, 11-13 June, 2007, 65-86.
-
(2007)
Proceedings of ECMWF Workshop on Flow Dependent Background Errors ECMWF
, pp. 65-86
-
-
Isaksen, L.1
Fisher, M.2
Berner, J.3
-
176
-
-
0032764305
-
Data assimilation into nonlinear stochastic models
-
Miller RN, Carter EF, Blue ST. Data assimilation into nonlinear stochastic models. Tellus 1999, 51A:167-194.
-
(1999)
Tellus
, vol.51 A
, pp. 167-194
-
-
Miller, R.N.1
Carter, E.F.2
Blue, S.T.3
-
177
-
-
84861472140
-
Data assimilation in slow-fast systems using homogenized climate models
-
Mitchell L, Gottwald GA. Data assimilation in slow-fast systems using homogenized climate models. J Atmos Sci 2012, 69:1359-1377.
-
(2012)
J Atmos Sci
, vol.69
, pp. 1359-1377
-
-
Mitchell, L.1
Gottwald, G.A.2
-
178
-
-
37349080522
-
The origin of nonlinear signatures of planetary wave dynamics: mean phase space tendencies and contributions from non-Gaussianity
-
Franzke C, Majda AJ, Branstator G. The origin of nonlinear signatures of planetary wave dynamics: mean phase space tendencies and contributions from non-Gaussianity. J Atmos Sci 2007, 64:3987-4003. doi: 10.1175/2006JAS2221.1.
-
(2007)
J Atmos Sci
, vol.64
, pp. 3987-4003
-
-
Franzke, C.1
Majda, A.J.2
Branstator, G.3
-
179
-
-
0015430969
-
Test-field model for inhomogeneous turbulence
-
Kraichnan RH. Test-field model for inhomogeneous turbulence. J Fluid Mech 1972, 56:287.
-
(1972)
J Fluid Mech
, vol.56
, pp. 287
-
-
Kraichnan, R.H.1
-
180
-
-
45149124470
-
Stochastic parametrization of multiscale processes using a dual-grid approach
-
Shutts G, Allen T, Berner J. Stochastic parametrization of multiscale processes using a dual-grid approach. Phil Trans R Soc A 2008, 366:2623-2639.
-
(2008)
Phil Trans R Soc A
, vol.366
, pp. 2623-2639
-
-
Shutts, G.1
Allen, T.2
Berner, J.3
|