메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 363, Issue 1837, 2005, Pages 2931-2946

Modelling climate change: The role of unresolved processes

Author keywords

Climate change; Global warming; Meteorology; Oceanography; Stochastic modelling

Indexed keywords


EID: 29144498292     PISSN: 1364503X     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2005.1676     Document Type: Review
Times cited : (65)

References (32)
  • 1
    • 18744405714 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Random-forcing model of the mesoscale oceanic eddies
    • doi:10.1017/S0022112005003393
    • Berloff, P. S. 2005 Random-forcing model of the mesoscale oceanic eddies. J. Fluid Mech. 529, 71-95. (doi:10.1017/S0022112005003393.)
    • (2005) J. Fluid Mech. , vol.529 , pp. 71-95
    • Berloff, P.S.1
  • 2
    • 0022214917 scopus 로고
    • Does the ocean-atmosphere system have more than one stable mode of operation?
    • doi:10.1038/315021a0
    • Broecker, W. S., Peteet, D. M. & Rind, D. 1985 Does the ocean-atmosphere system have more than one stable mode of operation? Nature 315, 21-26. (doi:10.1038/315021a0.)
    • (1985) Nature , vol.315 , pp. 21-26
    • Broecker, W.S.1    Peteet, D.M.2    Rind, D.3
  • 3
    • 0033403384 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Stochastic representation of model uncertainties in the ECMWF ensemble prediction scheme
    • doi:10.1256/ smsqj. 56005
    • Buizza, R., Miller, M. & Palmer, T. N. 1999 Stochastic representation of model uncertainties in the ECMWF ensemble prediction scheme. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 125, 2887-2908. (doi:10.1256/ smsqj. 56005.)
    • (1999) Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. , vol.125 , pp. 2887-2908
    • Buizza, R.1    Miller, M.2    Palmer, T.N.3
  • 4
    • 85040897227 scopus 로고
    • Cambridge Atmospheric and Space Science Series (ed. A. J. Dessler, J. T. Houghton & M. J. Rycroft). Cambridge: Cambridge University Press
    • Daley, R. 1993 Atmospheric data analysis. Cambridge Atmospheric and Space Science Series (ed. A. J. Dessler, J. T. Houghton & M. J. Rycroft). Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
    • (1993) Atmospheric Data Analysis
    • Daley, R.1
  • 6
    • 0030209423 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Impact of dynamical and stochastic processes on the predictability of ENSO
    • Flügel, M. & Chang, P. 1996 Impact of dynamical and stochastic processes on the predictability of ENSO. Geophys. Res. Lett. 23, 2089-2092.
    • (1996) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.23 , pp. 2089-2092
    • Flügel, M.1    Chang, P.2
  • 7
    • 0343484962 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Stochastically induced climate shift of El Niño-Southern Oscillation
    • Flügel, M. & Chang, P. 1999 Stochastically induced climate shift of El Niño-Southern Oscillation. Geophys. Res. Lett. 26, 2473-2476.
    • (1999) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.26 , pp. 2473-2476
    • Flügel, M.1    Chang, P.2
  • 8
    • 0022841259 scopus 로고
    • Theoretical interpretation of atmospheric wavenumber spectra of wind and temperature observed by commercial aircraft during GASP
    • doi:10.1175/1520-0469(1986)043〈0729:TIOAWS〉2.0.CO;2
    • Gage, K. S. & Nastrom, G. D. 1986 Theoretical interpretation of atmospheric wavenumber spectra of wind and temperature observed by commercial aircraft during GASP. J. Atmos. Sci. 43, 729-740. (doi:10.1175/1520-0469(1986) 043〈0729:TIOAWS〉2.0.CO;2.)
    • (1986) J. Atmos. Sci. , vol.43 , pp. 729-740
    • Gage, K.S.1    Nastrom, G.D.2
  • 9
    • 0000316389 scopus 로고
    • Stochastic climate models. Part I. Theory
    • Hasselmann, K. 1976 Stochastic climate models. Part I. Theory. Tellus 28, 473-485.
    • (1976) Tellus , vol.28 , pp. 473-485
    • Hasselmann, K.1
  • 11
    • 0036321237 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Considerations for stochastic convective parameterization
    • doi:10.1175/1520-0469(2002)059〈0959:CFSCP>2.0.CO;2.
    • Lin, J. W.-B. & Neelin, J. D. 2002 Considerations for stochastic convective parameterization. J. Atmos. Sci. 59, 959-975. (doi:10.1175/1520- 0469(2002)059〈0959:CFSCP>2.0.CO;2.)
    • (2002) J. Atmos. Sci. , vol.59 , pp. 959-975
    • Lin, J.W.-B.1    Neelin, J.D.2
  • 12
    • 0035963019 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Direct evidence of multifractal atmospheric cascades from planetary scales down to 1km
    • doi:10.1103/ PhysRevLett.86.5200.
    • Lovejoy, S., Schertzer, D. & Stanway, J. D. 2001 Direct evidence of multifractal atmospheric cascades from planetary scales down to 1km. Phys. Rev. Lett. 86, 5200-5203. (doi:10.1103/ PhysRevLett.86.5200.)
    • (2001) Phys. Rev. Lett. , vol.86 , pp. 5200-5203
    • Lovejoy, S.1    Schertzer, D.2    Stanway, J.D.3
  • 13
    • 0000284534 scopus 로고
    • Two stable equilibria of a coupled ocean-atmosphere model
    • doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1988)001〈0841:TSEOAC〉2.0.CO;2.
    • Manabe, S. & Stouffer, R. J. 1988 Two stable equilibria of a coupled ocean-atmosphere model. J. Clim. 1, 841-866. (doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1988) 001〈0841:TSEOAC〉2.0.CO;2.)
    • (1988) J. Clim. , vol.1 , pp. 841-866
    • Manabe, S.1    Stouffer, R.J.2
  • 14
    • 0347037877 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The motion of geophysical vortices
    • doi:10.1098/rsta. 1999.0501
    • McDonald, N. R. 1999 The motion of geophysical vortices. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A 357, 3427-3444. (doi:10.1098/rsta. 1999.0501.)
    • (1999) Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A , vol.357 , pp. 3427-3444
    • McDonald, N.R.1
  • 15
    • 0036635368 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Stabilization of climate regimes by noise in a simple model of the thermohaline circulation
    • doi:10.1175/1520-0485(2002)032〈2072:SOCRBN〉2.0.CO;2
    • Monahan, A. H. 2002 Stabilization of climate regimes by noise in a simple model of the thermohaline circulation. J. Phys. Oceanogr. 32, 2072-2085. (doi:10.1175/1520-0485(2002)032〈2072:SOCRBN〉2.0.CO;2.)
    • (2002) J. Phys. Oceanogr. , vol.32 , pp. 2072-2085
    • Monahan, A.H.1
  • 16
    • 21144472051 scopus 로고
    • Long-term climatic transitions and stochastic resonance
    • doi:10.1007/BF01053950
    • Nicolis, C. 1993 Long-term climatic transitions and stochastic resonance. J. Stat. Phys. 70, 3-14. (doi:10.1007/BF01053950.)
    • (1993) J. Stat. Phys. , vol.70 , pp. 3-14
    • Nicolis, C.1
  • 17
    • 4344605261 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dynamics of model error: The role of unresolved scales revisited
    • doi:10.1175/1520-0469(2004)06〈1740:DOMETR〉2.0.CO;2
    • Nicolis, C. 2004 Dynamics of model error: the role of unresolved scales revisited. J. Atmos. Sci. 61, 1740-1753. (doi:10.1175/1520-0469(2004) 06〈1740:DOMETR〉2.0.CO;2.)
    • (2004) J. Atmos. Sci. , vol.61 , pp. 1740-1753
    • Nicolis, C.1
  • 18
    • 0003500355 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Oceanography Series, (ed. G. Bearman), 2nd edn. Oxford: Butterworth-Heinemann
    • Open University 2001 Ocean circulation. The Oceanography Series, vol. 3 (ed. G. Bearman), 2nd edn. Oxford: Butterworth-Heinemann
    • (2001) Ocean Circulation , vol.3
    • University, O.1
  • 19
    • 0035086606 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A nonlinear dynamical perspective on model error: A proposal for non-local stochastic-dynamic parametrization in weather and climate prediction models
    • doi:10.1256/smsqj.57201
    • Palmer, T. N. 2001 A nonlinear dynamical perspective on model error: a proposal for non-local stochastic-dynamic parametrization in weather and climate prediction models. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 127, 279-304. (doi:10.1256/smsqj. 57201.)
    • (2001) Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. , vol.127 , pp. 279-304
    • Palmer, T.N.1
  • 21
    • 5444225511 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Equatorial stratospheric response to variations in deterministic and stochastic gravity wave parameterizations
    • doi:10.1029/2004JD004656
    • Piani, C., Norton, W. A. & Stainforth, D. A. 2004 Equatorial stratospheric response to variations in deterministic and stochastic gravity wave parameterizations. J. Geophys. Res. 109, D14 101. (doi:10.1029/ 2004JD004656.)
    • (2004) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.109
    • Piani, C.1    Norton, W.A.2    Stainforth, D.A.3
  • 22
    • 0029545057 scopus 로고
    • Bifurcations of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation in response to changes in the hydrological cycle
    • doi:10.1038/378145a0
    • Rahmstorf, S. 1995 Bifurcations of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation in response to changes in the hydrological cycle. Nature 378, 145-149. (doi:10.1038/378145a0.)
    • (1995) Nature , vol.378 , pp. 145-149
    • Rahmstorf, S.1
  • 23
    • 0001693443 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Rossby waves in a stochastically fluctuating medium
    • ed. P. Imkeller & J.-S. von Storch, Basel: Birkhäuser
    • Sardeshmukh, P., Penland, C. & Newman, M. 2001 Rossby waves in a stochastically fluctuating medium. In Stochastic climate models (ed. P. Imkeller & J.-S. von Storch), pp. 369-384. Basel: Birkhäuser.
    • (2001) Stochastic Climate Models , pp. 369-384
    • Sardeshmukh, P.1    Penland, C.2    Newman, M.3
  • 24
    • 0347668615 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Earth's future climate
    • doi:10.1098/ rsta. 1999.0503
    • Saunders, M. A. 1999 Earth's future climate. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A 357, 3459-3480. (doi:10.1098/ rsta. 1999.0503.)
    • (1999) Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A , vol.357 , pp. 3459-3480
    • Saunders, M.A.1
  • 25
    • 0141523009 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predictability of SST in an idealized, one-dimensional, coupled atmosphere-ocean climate model with stochastic forcing and advection
    • doi:10.1175/15200442(2003)016〈0323:POSIAI〉2.0.CO;2
    • Scott, R. B. 2003 Predictability of SST in an idealized, one-dimensional, coupled atmosphere-ocean climate model with stochastic forcing and advection. J. Clim. 18, 323-335. (doi:10.1175/15200442(2003)016〈0323:POSIAI〉2.0. CO;2.)
    • (2003) J. Clim. , vol.18 , pp. 323-335
    • Scott, R.B.1
  • 27
    • 0031646945 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • El Niño chaos: The role of noise and stochastic resonance on the ENSO cycle
    • doi:10.1029/ 97GL53639
    • Stone, L., Saparin, P. I., Huppert, A. & Price, C. 1998 El Niño chaos: the role of noise and stochastic resonance on the ENSO cycle. Geophys. Res. Lett. 25, 175-178. (doi:10.1029/ 97GL53639.)
    • (1998) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.25 , pp. 175-178
    • Stone, L.1    Saparin, P.I.2    Huppert, A.3    Price, C.4
  • 28
    • 0035245934 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Regime transitions in a stochastically forced doublegyre model
    • doi:10.1175/1520-0485(2001)031〈0411:RTIAS-F〉2.0.CO;2
    • Sura, P., Fraedrich, K. & Lunkeit, F. 2001 Regime transitions in a stochastically forced doublegyre model. J. Phys. Oceanogr. 31, 411-426. (doi:10.1175/1520-0485(2001)031〈0411:RTIAS-F〉2.0.CO;2.)
    • (2001) J. Phys. Oceanogr. , vol.31 , pp. 411-426
    • Sura, P.1    Fraedrich, K.2    Lunkeit, F.3
  • 29
    • 0036315114 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global climatic impacts of a collapse of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation
    • doi:10.1023/A:1016168827653
    • Vellinga, M. &: Wood, R. A. 2002 Global climatic impacts of a collapse of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation. Climatic Change 54, 251-267. (doi:10.1023/A:1016168827653.)
    • (2002) Climatic Change , vol.54 , pp. 251-267
    • Vellinga, M.1    Wood, R.A.2
  • 30
    • 1642602321 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Spontaneous generation and impact of inertiagravity waves in a stratified, two-layer shear flow
    • doi:10.1029/ 2003GL018498
    • Williams, P. D., Read, P. L. & Haine, T. W. N. 2003 Spontaneous generation and impact of inertiagravity waves in a stratified, two-layer shear flow. Geophys. Res. Lett. 30, 2255. (doi:10.1029/ 2003GL018498.)
    • (2003) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.30 , pp. 2255
    • Williams, P.D.1    Read, P.L.2    Haine, T.W.N.3
  • 31
    • 1842732688 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Stochastic resonance in a nonlinear model of a rotating, stratified shear flow, with a simple stochastic inertia-gravity wave parameterization
    • Williams, P. D., Haine, T. W. N. & Read, P. L. 2004 Stochastic resonance in a nonlinear model of a rotating, stratified shear flow, with a simple stochastic inertia-gravity wave parameterization. Nonlin. Proc. Geophys. 11, 127-135.
    • (2004) Nonlin. Proc. Geophys. , vol.11 , pp. 127-135
    • Williams, P.D.1    Haine, T.W.N.2    Read, P.L.3
  • 32
    • 0142010049 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The response of a coupled model of ENSO to observed estimates of stochastic forcing
    • doi:10.1175/15200442(2003)016〈2827:TROACM〉2.0.CO;2
    • Zavala-Garay, J., Moore, A. M. & Perez, C. L. 2003 The response of a coupled model of ENSO to observed estimates of stochastic forcing. J. Clim. 16, 2827-2842. (doi:10.1175/15200442(2003)016 〈2827:TROACM〉2.0.CO;2.)
    • (2003) J. Clim. , vol.16 , pp. 2827-2842
    • Zavala-Garay, J.1    Moore, A.M.2    Perez, C.L.3


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.