Stochastic Population Forecasting Based on Combinations of Expert Evaluations Within the Bayesian Paradigm

Demography

Volumn 51, Issue 5, 2014, Pages 1933-1954

  Billari, Francesco C ^a   Graziani, Rebecca ^b   Melilli, Eugenio ^b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF OXFORD   (United Kingdom)

^b BOCCONI UNIVERSITY   (Italy)

Author keywords

Conditional elicitation; Markov chain Monte Carlo; Mixture model; Random scenarios; Supra Bayesian

Indexed keywords

ALGORITHM; BAYES THEOREM; BIRTH RATE; FORECASTING; HUMAN; MIGRATION; MORTALITY; POPULATION DYNAMICS; PROBABILITY; PROCEDURES; STATISTICAL MODEL; TRENDS;

ALGORITHMS; BAYES THEOREM; BIRTH RATE; EMIGRATION AND IMMIGRATION; FORECASTING; HUMANS; MARKOV CHAINS; MODELS, STATISTICAL; MORTALITY; POPULATION DYNAMICS;

EID: 84910131442     PISSN: 00703370     EISSN: 15337790     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s13524-014-0318-5     Document Type: Article

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