-
1
-
-
0020190331
-
How accurate are the U.S. Bureau of the Census projections of total live births?
-
Ahlburg D.A. How accurate are the U.S. Bureau of the Census projections of total live births?. Journal of Forecasting 1 (1982) 365-374
-
(1982)
Journal of Forecasting
, vol.1
, pp. 365-374
-
-
Ahlburg, D.A.1
-
2
-
-
0020722942
-
Good times, bad times: A study of the future path of US fertility
-
Ahlburg D.A. Good times, bad times: A study of the future path of US fertility. Social Biology 30 (1983) 17-23
-
(1983)
Social Biology
, vol.30
, pp. 17-23
-
-
Ahlburg, D.A.1
-
3
-
-
0022680045
-
A relative cohort size forecasting model of Canadian total live births
-
Ahlburg D.A. A relative cohort size forecasting model of Canadian total live births. Social Biology 30 (1986) 51-56
-
(1986)
Social Biology
, vol.30
, pp. 51-56
-
-
Ahlburg, D.A.1
-
4
-
-
0023519022
-
Modeling macroeconomic-demographic linkages: A study of models of national and regional economies
-
Land K., and Schneider S. (Eds)
-
Ahlburg D.A. Modeling macroeconomic-demographic linkages: A study of models of national and regional economies. In: Land K., and Schneider S. (Eds). Forecasting in the natural and social sciences (1987) 287-336
-
(1987)
Forecasting in the natural and social sciences
, pp. 287-336
-
-
Ahlburg, D.A.1
-
5
-
-
0023455130
-
Population forecasts for South Pacific nations using autoregressive models
-
Ahlburg D.A. Population forecasts for South Pacific nations using autoregressive models. Journal of the Australian Population Association 4 (1987) 157-167
-
(1987)
Journal of the Australian Population Association
, vol.4
, pp. 157-167
-
-
Ahlburg, D.A.1
-
6
-
-
0029507126
-
Simple versus complex models: Evaluation, accuracy, and combining
-
Ahlburg D.A. Simple versus complex models: Evaluation, accuracy, and combining. Mathematical Population Studies 5 (1995) 281-290
-
(1995)
Mathematical Population Studies
, vol.5
, pp. 281-290
-
-
Ahlburg, D.A.1
-
7
-
-
0039200382
-
-
Ahlburg D.A., and Land K.C. (Eds)
-
In: Ahlburg D.A., and Land K.C. (Eds). International Journal of Forecasting 8, issue 3 (1992)
-
(1992)
International Journal of Forecasting
, vol.8 issue 3
-
-
-
9
-
-
33745956298
-
-
Ahlburg, D. A., & Lutz, W. (1999). Introduction: The need to rethink approaches to population forecasts. In W. Lutz & J. W. Vaupel (Eds.), Frontiers of population forecasting (pp. 1-14). New York: Population Council. A supplement to Population and Development Review, Volume 24, 1998.
-
-
-
-
10
-
-
33745956091
-
-
Ahlburg, D. A., Lutz, W., & Vaupel, J. W. (1999). Ways to improve population forecasting: What should be done differently in the future? In W. Lutz & J. W. Vaupel (Eds.), Frontiers of population forecasting (pp. 191-198). New York: Population Council. A supplement to Population and Development Review, Volume 24, 1998.
-
-
-
-
11
-
-
0025518637
-
Alternative projections of the U.S. population
-
Ahlburg D.A., and Vaupel J.W. Alternative projections of the U.S. population. Demography 27 (1990) 639-652
-
(1990)
Demography
, vol.27
, pp. 639-652
-
-
Ahlburg, D.A.1
Vaupel, J.W.2
-
12
-
-
3042540662
-
Assumptions on fertility in stochastic population forecasts
-
Alders M., and De Beer J. Assumptions on fertility in stochastic population forecasts. International Statistical Review 72 (2004) 65-79
-
(2004)
International Statistical Review
, vol.72
, pp. 65-79
-
-
Alders, M.1
De Beer, J.2
-
13
-
-
84870310501
-
An expert knowledge approach to stochastic mortality forecasting in the Netherlands
-
Perspectives on mortality forecasting. Keilman N. (Ed), Swedish Social Insurance Agency, Stockholm
-
Alders M., and De Beer J. An expert knowledge approach to stochastic mortality forecasting in the Netherlands. In: Keilman N. (Ed). Perspectives on mortality forecasting. Probabilistic models vol. II (2005), Swedish Social Insurance Agency, Stockholm 39-64
-
(2005)
Probabilistic models
, vol.II
, pp. 39-64
-
-
Alders, M.1
De Beer, J.2
-
14
-
-
0025528426
-
Stochastic methods in population forecasting
-
Alho J.M. Stochastic methods in population forecasting. International Journal of Forecasting 6 (1990) 521-530
-
(1990)
International Journal of Forecasting
, vol.6
, pp. 521-530
-
-
Alho, J.M.1
-
15
-
-
0026057565
-
Effect of aggregation on the estimation of trend mortality
-
Alho J.M. Effect of aggregation on the estimation of trend mortality. Mathematical Population Studies 2 (1991) 53-67
-
(1991)
Mathematical Population Studies
, vol.2
, pp. 53-67
-
-
Alho, J.M.1
-
16
-
-
0026951487
-
The magnitude of error due to different vital processes in population forecasts
-
Alho J.M. The magnitude of error due to different vital processes in population forecasts. International Journal of Forecasting 8 (1992) 301-314
-
(1992)
International Journal of Forecasting
, vol.8
, pp. 301-314
-
-
Alho, J.M.1
-
17
-
-
84979379576
-
Estimating the strength of expert judgement: The case of US mortality forecasts
-
Alho J.M. Estimating the strength of expert judgement: The case of US mortality forecasts. Journal of Forecasting 11 (1992) 157-167
-
(1992)
Journal of Forecasting
, vol.11
, pp. 157-167
-
-
Alho, J.M.1
-
18
-
-
0030642418
-
Scenarios, uncertainty and conditional forecasts of the world population
-
Alho J.M. Scenarios, uncertainty and conditional forecasts of the world population. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A 160 (1997) 71-85
-
(1997)
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A
, vol.160
, pp. 71-85
-
-
Alho, J.M.1
-
20
-
-
33745956847
-
Experiences from forecasting mortality in Finland
-
Bengtsson T., and Keilman N. (Eds), Swedish Social Insurance Agency, Stockholm
-
Alho J.M. Experiences from forecasting mortality in Finland. In: Bengtsson T., and Keilman N. (Eds). Perspectives on mortality forecasting. Current practice vol. I (2003), Swedish Social Insurance Agency, Stockholm 29-40
-
(2003)
Perspectives on mortality forecasting. Current practice
, vol.I
, pp. 29-40
-
-
Alho, J.M.1
-
21
-
-
67650689023
-
Remarks on the use of probabilities in demography and forecasting
-
Keilman N. (Ed), Swedish Social Insurance Agency, Stockholm
-
Alho J.M. Remarks on the use of probabilities in demography and forecasting. In: Keilman N. (Ed). Perspectives on mortality forecasting. Probabilistic models vol. II (2005), Swedish Social Insurance Agency, Stockholm 27-38
-
(2005)
Perspectives on mortality forecasting. Probabilistic models
, vol.II
, pp. 27-38
-
-
Alho, J.M.1
-
25
-
-
0025663231
-
Effects of targets and aggregation on the propagation of error in mortality forecasts
-
Alho J.M., and Spencer B.D. Effects of targets and aggregation on the propagation of error in mortality forecasts. Mathematical Population Studies 2 (1990) 209-227
-
(1990)
Mathematical Population Studies
, vol.2
, pp. 209-227
-
-
Alho, J.M.1
Spencer, B.D.2
-
26
-
-
0040486303
-
A population forecast as a database: Implementing the stochastic propagation of error
-
Alho J.M., and Spencer B.D. A population forecast as a database: Implementing the stochastic propagation of error. Journal of Official Statistics 7 (1991) 295-310
-
(1991)
Journal of Official Statistics
, vol.7
, pp. 295-310
-
-
Alho, J.M.1
Spencer, B.D.2
-
27
-
-
0011843436
-
The practical specification of the expected error of population forecasts
-
Alho J.M., and Spencer B.D. The practical specification of the expected error of population forecasts. Journal of Official Statistics 13 (1997) 203-225
-
(1997)
Journal of Official Statistics
, vol.13
, pp. 203-225
-
-
Alho, J.M.1
Spencer, B.D.2
-
29
-
-
84984427163
-
On the usefulness of macroeconomic forecasts as inputs to forecasting models
-
Ashley R. On the usefulness of macroeconomic forecasts as inputs to forecasting models. Journal of Forecasting 2 (1983) 211-223
-
(1983)
Journal of Forecasting
, vol.2
, pp. 211-223
-
-
Ashley, R.1
-
30
-
-
1842795970
-
The Auvert approach: A stochastic model for the heterosexual spread of the human immunodeficiency virus
-
United Nations/World Health Organization, New York and Geneva
-
Auvert B. The Auvert approach: A stochastic model for the heterosexual spread of the human immunodeficiency virus. The AIDS epidemic and its demographic consequences (1991), United Nations/World Health Organization, New York and Geneva 77-83
-
(1991)
The AIDS epidemic and its demographic consequences
, pp. 77-83
-
-
Auvert, B.1
-
31
-
-
0343741127
-
ARIMA and principal component models in forecasting age-specific fertility
-
Keilman N., and Cruijsen H. (Eds), Swets and Zeitlinger, Amsterdam
-
Bell W. ARIMA and principal component models in forecasting age-specific fertility. In: Keilman N., and Cruijsen H. (Eds). National population forecasting in industrialized countries (1992), Swets and Zeitlinger, Amsterdam 178-200
-
(1992)
National population forecasting in industrialized countries
, pp. 178-200
-
-
Bell, W.1
-
32
-
-
0000237682
-
Comparing and assessing time series methods for forecasting age-specific fertility and mortality rates
-
Bell W. Comparing and assessing time series methods for forecasting age-specific fertility and mortality rates. Journal of Official Statistics 13 (1997) 279-303
-
(1997)
Journal of Official Statistics
, vol.13
, pp. 279-303
-
-
Bell, W.1
-
33
-
-
33745967778
-
-
Bell, W.R., & Monsell, B.C. (1991). Using principal components in time series modeling and forecasting of age-specific mortality rates. Paper presented at the American Statistical Association 1991 Proceedings of the Social Statistics Section.
-
-
-
-
34
-
-
33745964193
-
-
Bengtsson T., and Keilman N. (Eds), Swedish National Social Insurance Board, Stockholm
-
In: Bengtsson T., and Keilman N. (Eds). Perspectives on mortality forecasting. Current practice vol. IX (2003), Swedish National Social Insurance Board, Stockholm
-
(2003)
Current practice
, vol.IX
-
-
-
35
-
-
33745960973
-
-
Bijak, J., Kupiszewski, M., & Kicinger, A. (2004). International migration scenarios for 27 European countries, 2002-2052 (Working Paper 4/2004). Warsaw: Central European Forum for Migration Research.
-
-
-
-
37
-
-
0020171689
-
What's happening to the age at first birth in the United States? A study of recent cohorts
-
Bloom D.E. What's happening to the age at first birth in the United States? A study of recent cohorts. Demography 19 (1982) 351-370
-
(1982)
Demography
, vol.19
, pp. 351-370
-
-
Bloom, D.E.1
-
38
-
-
0026951843
-
Projecting the number of new AIDS cases in the United States
-
Bloom D.E., and Glied S. Projecting the number of new AIDS cases in the United States. International Journal of Forecasting 8 (1992) 339-365
-
(1992)
International Journal of Forecasting
, vol.8
, pp. 339-365
-
-
Bloom, D.E.1
Glied, S.2
-
39
-
-
0021524417
-
What are the determinants of delayed childbearing and permanent childlessness in the United States?
-
Bloom D.E., and Trussell J. What are the determinants of delayed childbearing and permanent childlessness in the United States?. Demography 21 (1984) 591-611
-
(1984)
Demography
, vol.21
, pp. 591-611
-
-
Bloom, D.E.1
Trussell, J.2
-
40
-
-
33745933311
-
Comparing theoretical age patterns of mortality beyond the age of 80
-
Tabeau E., Van Den Berg Jeths A., and Heathcote C. (Eds), Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht
-
Boleslawski L., and Tabeau E. Comparing theoretical age patterns of mortality beyond the age of 80. In: Tabeau E., Van Den Berg Jeths A., and Heathcote C. (Eds). Forecasting mortality in developed countries: Insights from a statistical, demographic and epidemiological perspective (2001), Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht 127-155
-
(2001)
Forecasting mortality in developed countries: Insights from a statistical, demographic and epidemiological perspective
, pp. 127-155
-
-
Boleslawski, L.1
Tabeau, E.2
-
41
-
-
0024490396
-
A model of the spread of HIV infection and the demographic impact of AIDS
-
Bongaarts J. A model of the spread of HIV infection and the demographic impact of AIDS. Statistics in Medicine 8 (1989) 301-308
-
(1989)
Statistics in Medicine
, vol.8
, pp. 301-308
-
-
Bongaarts, J.1
-
42
-
-
16344395007
-
Long-range trends in adult mortality: Models and projection methods
-
Bongaarts J. Long-range trends in adult mortality: Models and projection methods. Demography 42 (2005) 23-49
-
(2005)
Demography
, vol.42
, pp. 23-49
-
-
Bongaarts, J.1
-
44
-
-
0004035035
-
-
Bongaarts J., and Bulatao R.A. (Eds), National Academy Press, Washington, DC
-
In: Bongaarts J., and Bulatao R.A. (Eds). Beyond six billion: Forecasting the world's population (2000), National Academy Press, Washington, DC
-
(2000)
Beyond six billion: Forecasting the world's population
-
-
-
48
-
-
33745963064
-
-
Bongaarts, J., & Feeney, G. (2005). The quantum and tempo of life-cycle events (Working Paper No. 207). New York: Population Council.
-
-
-
-
49
-
-
33745932121
-
-
Booth, H., Maindonald, J., & Smith, L. (2001). Age-time interactions in mortality projection: Applying Lee-Carter to Australia (Working Papers in Demography No. 85). Canberra: Australian National University.
-
-
-
-
50
-
-
0036868984
-
Applying Lee-Carter under conditions of variable mortality decline
-
Booth H., Maindonald J., and Smith L. Applying Lee-Carter under conditions of variable mortality decline. Population Studies 56 (2002) 325-336
-
(2002)
Population Studies
, vol.56
, pp. 325-336
-
-
Booth, H.1
Maindonald, J.2
Smith, L.3
-
51
-
-
33745959608
-
-
Booth, H., Tickle, L., & Smith, L. (2005). Evaluation of the variants of the Lee-Carter method of forecasting mortality: A multi-country comparison. New Zealand Population Review, Special Issue on Stochastic Population Projections (edited by A. Dharmalingam and I. Pool), 31, 13-37.
-
-
-
-
52
-
-
0026951863
-
The demographic impact of AIDS in sub-Saharan Africa: Short and long-term projections
-
Bos E., and Bulatao R. The demographic impact of AIDS in sub-Saharan Africa: Short and long-term projections. International Journal of Forecasting 8 (1992) 367-384
-
(1992)
International Journal of Forecasting
, vol.8
, pp. 367-384
-
-
Bos, E.1
Bulatao, R.2
-
54
-
-
33745948157
-
-
Bozik, J.E., & Bell, W.R. (1987). Forecasting age specific fertility using principal components. Paper presented at the Proceedings of the Social Statistics Section, American Statistical Association, San Francisco, California.
-
-
-
-
55
-
-
0006878795
-
On the scale of mortality
-
Brass W. (Ed), Taylor and Francis, London
-
Brass W. On the scale of mortality. In: Brass W. (Ed). Biological aspects of demography (1971), Taylor and Francis, London 69-110
-
(1971)
Biological aspects of demography
, pp. 69-110
-
-
Brass, W.1
-
56
-
-
0001567235
-
Perspectives in population prediction: Illustrated by the statistics of England and Wales
-
Brass W. Perspectives in population prediction: Illustrated by the statistics of England and Wales. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A 137 (1974) 532-583
-
(1974)
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A
, vol.137
, pp. 532-583
-
-
Brass, W.1
-
57
-
-
0004349389
-
The use of the Gompertz relational model to estimate fertility
-
Brass W. The use of the Gompertz relational model to estimate fertility. International Population Conference, Manila vol. 3 (1981) 345-362
-
(1981)
International Population Conference, Manila
, vol.3
, pp. 345-362
-
-
Brass, W.1
-
58
-
-
33745953799
-
A time series of smooth approximations for age, sex, and marital status specific death rates in Australia, 1950/1951 to 1975/1976, with projections to the year 2000
-
Brooks C., Sams D., and Williams P. A time series of smooth approximations for age, sex, and marital status specific death rates in Australia, 1950/1951 to 1975/1976, with projections to the year 2000. Melbourne, Australia: Research memorandum: Impact projection research centre (1980)
-
(1980)
Melbourne, Australia: Research memorandum: Impact projection research centre
-
-
Brooks, C.1
Sams, D.2
Williams, P.3
-
59
-
-
0037146860
-
A Poisson log-bilinear regression approach to the construction of projected life-tables
-
Brouhns N., Denuit M., and Vermunt J.K. A Poisson log-bilinear regression approach to the construction of projected life-tables. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics 31 (2002) 373-393
-
(2002)
Insurance: Mathematics and Economics
, vol.31
, pp. 373-393
-
-
Brouhns, N.1
Denuit, M.2
Vermunt, J.K.3
-
60
-
-
4644355621
-
Approaches and experiences in projecting mortality patterns for the oldest-old
-
Buettner T. Approaches and experiences in projecting mortality patterns for the oldest-old. North American Actuarial Journal 6 (2002) 14-29
-
(2002)
North American Actuarial Journal
, vol.6
, pp. 14-29
-
-
Buettner, T.1
-
61
-
-
33745956094
-
Prospects for increasing longevity as assessed by the United Nations
-
Buettner T., and Zlotnik H. Prospects for increasing longevity as assessed by the United Nations. Genus (2005) 213-233
-
(2005)
Genus
, pp. 213-233
-
-
Buettner, T.1
Zlotnik, H.2
-
62
-
-
2942555758
-
The Bulatao approach: Projecting the demographic impact of the HIV epidemic using standard parameters
-
United Nations/World Health Organization, New York and Geneva
-
Bulatao R.A. The Bulatao approach: Projecting the demographic impact of the HIV epidemic using standard parameters. The AIDS epidemic and its demographic consequences (1991), United Nations/World Health Organization, New York and Geneva 90-104
-
(1991)
The AIDS epidemic and its demographic consequences
, pp. 90-104
-
-
Bulatao, R.A.1
-
65
-
-
0030533381
-
Forecasting U.S. mortality: A comparison of Box-Jenkins ARIMA and structural time series models
-
Carter L.R. Forecasting U.S. mortality: A comparison of Box-Jenkins ARIMA and structural time series models. The Sociological Quarterly 37 (1996) 127-144
-
(1996)
The Sociological Quarterly
, vol.37
, pp. 127-144
-
-
Carter, L.R.1
-
66
-
-
0033671896
-
Imparting structural instability to mortality forecasts: Testing for sensitive dependence on initial conditions with innovations
-
Carter L.R. Imparting structural instability to mortality forecasts: Testing for sensitive dependence on initial conditions with innovations. Mathematical Population Studies 8 (2000) 31-54
-
(2000)
Mathematical Population Studies
, vol.8
, pp. 31-54
-
-
Carter, L.R.1
-
67
-
-
84950864351
-
Joint forecasts of U.S. marital fertility, nuptiality, births and marriages using time series models
-
Carter L.R., and Lee R.D. Joint forecasts of U.S. marital fertility, nuptiality, births and marriages using time series models. Journal of the American Statistical Association 81 (1986) 902-911
-
(1986)
Journal of the American Statistical Association
, vol.81
, pp. 902-911
-
-
Carter, L.R.1
Lee, R.D.2
-
68
-
-
0026952334
-
Modelling and forecasting US sex differentials in mortality
-
Carter L.R., and Lee R.D. Modelling and forecasting US sex differentials in mortality. International Journal of Forecasting 8 (1992) 393-411
-
(1992)
International Journal of Forecasting
, vol.8
, pp. 393-411
-
-
Carter, L.R.1
Lee, R.D.2
-
69
-
-
33745937732
-
-
Carter, L. R., & Prskawetz, A. (2001). Examining structural shifts in mortality using the Lee-Carter method (MPIDR Working Paper No. WP 2001-007): Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research.
-
-
-
-
70
-
-
0005183123
-
Future longevity among the elderly
-
Caselli G., and Lopez A. (Eds), Clarendon Press, Oxford
-
Caselli G. Future longevity among the elderly. In: Caselli G., and Lopez A. (Eds). Health and mortality among elderly populations (1996), Clarendon Press, Oxford
-
(1996)
Health and mortality among elderly populations
-
-
Caselli, G.1
-
71
-
-
33745957038
-
Age, period and cohort components in analysing past and projecting future mortality trends
-
Wunsch G., Mouchart M., and Duchene J. (Eds), Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht
-
Caselli G. Age, period and cohort components in analysing past and projecting future mortality trends. In: Wunsch G., Mouchart M., and Duchene J. (Eds). The life table: Modelling survival and death (2002), Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht 117-140
-
(2002)
The life table: Modelling survival and death
, pp. 117-140
-
-
Caselli, G.1
-
72
-
-
0033407538
-
Recent European fertility patterns: Fitting curves to 'distorted' distributions
-
Chandola T., Coleman D.A., and Hiorns R.W. Recent European fertility patterns: Fitting curves to 'distorted' distributions. Population Studies 53 (1999) 317-329
-
(1999)
Population Studies
, vol.53
, pp. 317-329
-
-
Chandola, T.1
Coleman, D.A.2
Hiorns, R.W.3
-
74
-
-
33745962871
-
Graduation of infant deaths by age
-
Chauhan R.K. Graduation of infant deaths by age. Demography India 26 (1997) 261-274
-
(1997)
Demography India
, vol.26
, pp. 261-274
-
-
Chauhan, R.K.1
-
75
-
-
0026246353
-
Recent trends in the timing of first births in the United States
-
Chen R., and Morgan S.P. Recent trends in the timing of first births in the United States. Demography 28 (1991) 513-533
-
(1991)
Demography
, vol.28
, pp. 513-533
-
-
Chen, R.1
Morgan, S.P.2
-
77
-
-
0024869333
-
Revised regional model life tables at very low levels of mortality
-
Coale A.J., and Guo G. Revised regional model life tables at very low levels of mortality. Population Index 55 (1989) 613-643
-
(1989)
Population Index
, vol.55
, pp. 613-643
-
-
Coale, A.J.1
Guo, G.2
-
78
-
-
0025587026
-
Defects in data on old-age mortality in the United States: New procedures for calculating schedules and life tables at the highest ages
-
Coale A.J., and Kisker E.E. Defects in data on old-age mortality in the United States: New procedures for calculating schedules and life tables at the highest ages. Asian and Pacific Population Forum 4 (1990) 1-31
-
(1990)
Asian and Pacific Population Forum
, vol.4
, pp. 1-31
-
-
Coale, A.J.1
Kisker, E.E.2
-
79
-
-
0015436355
-
The distribution by age of the frequency of first marriage in a female cohort
-
Coale A.J., and McNeil D.R. The distribution by age of the frequency of first marriage in a female cohort. Journal of the American Statistical Association 67 (1972) 743-749
-
(1972)
Journal of the American Statistical Association
, vol.67
, pp. 743-749
-
-
Coale, A.J.1
McNeil, D.R.2
-
80
-
-
0016045445
-
Model fertility schedules: Variations in the age structure of childbearing in human populations
-
Coale A.J., and Trussell T.J. Model fertility schedules: Variations in the age structure of childbearing in human populations. Population Index 40 (1974) 185-258
-
(1974)
Population Index
, vol.40
, pp. 185-258
-
-
Coale, A.J.1
Trussell, T.J.2
-
81
-
-
0022669556
-
Population forecasts and confidence intervals for Sweden: A comparison of model-based and empirical approaches
-
Cohen J.E. Population forecasts and confidence intervals for Sweden: A comparison of model-based and empirical approaches. Demography 23 (1986) 105-126
-
(1986)
Demography
, vol.23
, pp. 105-126
-
-
Cohen, J.E.1
-
82
-
-
33745960624
-
-
Cohen, J. E. (1999). Should population projections consider "limiting factors" - And if so how? In W. Lutz, J. W. Vaupel & D. A. Ahlburg (Eds.), Frontiers of population forecasting (pp. 118-138). New York: Population Council. A supplement to Population and Development Review vol. 24 (1998).
-
-
-
-
83
-
-
0019181555
-
Forecasting births in greater London: An application of the Easterlin hypothesis
-
Congdon P. Forecasting births in greater London: An application of the Easterlin hypothesis. Population Studies 34 (1980) 267-278
-
(1980)
Population Studies
, vol.34
, pp. 267-278
-
-
Congdon, P.1
-
84
-
-
0024824692
-
Fertility forecasts and structural interpretations: An application to London and England and Wales
-
Congdon P. Fertility forecasts and structural interpretations: An application to London and England and Wales. Espaces, Populations et Sociétés 1989-2 (1989) 177-188
-
(1989)
Espaces, Populations et Sociétés
, vol.1989-2
, pp. 177-188
-
-
Congdon, P.1
-
85
-
-
0025572373
-
Graduation of fertility schedules: An analysis of fertility patterns in London in the 1980s and an application to fertility forecasts
-
Congdon P. Graduation of fertility schedules: An analysis of fertility patterns in London in the 1980s and an application to fertility forecasts. Regional Studies 24 (1990) 311-326
-
(1990)
Regional Studies
, vol.24
, pp. 311-326
-
-
Congdon, P.1
-
86
-
-
0027351463
-
Statistical graduation in local demographic analysis and projection
-
Congdon P. Statistical graduation in local demographic analysis and projection. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society 156 (1993) 237-270
-
(1993)
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society
, vol.156
, pp. 237-270
-
-
Congdon, P.1
-
87
-
-
0019701239
-
The changing pattern of American mortality decline, 1947-1977, and its implication for the future
-
Crimmins E.M. The changing pattern of American mortality decline, 1947-1977, and its implication for the future. Population and Development Review 7 (1981) 229-254
-
(1981)
Population and Development Review
, vol.7
, pp. 229-254
-
-
Crimmins, E.M.1
-
88
-
-
29144482376
-
The latest mortality forecasts in the European Union
-
Tabeau E., Van Den Berg Jeths A., and Heathcote C. (Eds), Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht
-
Cruijsen H., and Eding H. The latest mortality forecasts in the European Union. In: Tabeau E., Van Den Berg Jeths A., and Heathcote C. (Eds). Forecasting mortality in developed countries: Insights from a statistical, demographic and epidemiological perspective (2001), Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht 227-258
-
(2001)
Forecasting mortality in developed countries: Insights from a statistical, demographic and epidemiological perspective
, pp. 227-258
-
-
Cruijsen, H.1
Eding, H.2
-
91
-
-
0024145650
-
Predictability of demographic variables in the short run
-
De Beer J. Predictability of demographic variables in the short run. European Journal of Population 4 (1988) 283-296
-
(1988)
European Journal of Population
, vol.4
, pp. 283-296
-
-
De Beer, J.1
-
92
-
-
0024830138
-
Projecting age-specific fertility rates by using time-series methods
-
De Beer J. Projecting age-specific fertility rates by using time-series methods. European Journal of Population 5 (1989) 315-346
-
(1989)
European Journal of Population
, vol.5
, pp. 315-346
-
-
De Beer, J.1
-
93
-
-
0026305923
-
From birth expectations to birth forecasts: A partial adjustment approach
-
De Beer J. From birth expectations to birth forecasts: A partial adjustment approach. Mathematical Population Studies 3 (1991) 1127-1144
-
(1991)
Mathematical Population Studies
, vol.3
, pp. 1127-1144
-
-
De Beer, J.1
-
94
-
-
3042582059
-
The effect of uncertainty of migration on national population forecasts: The case of the Netherlands
-
De Beer J. The effect of uncertainty of migration on national population forecasts: The case of the Netherlands. Journal of Official Statistics 13 (1997) 227-243
-
(1997)
Journal of Official Statistics
, vol.13
, pp. 227-243
-
-
De Beer, J.1
-
95
-
-
33745957427
-
-
De Beer, J. (2000). Dealing with uncertainty in population forecasting: Statistics Netherlands, Department of Population
-
-
-
-
96
-
-
33745932926
-
-
De Beer, J., & Alders, M. (1999). Probabilistic population and household forecasts for the Netherlands. Working Paper No. 45. Paper presented at the Joint ECE-Eurostat Work Session on Demographic Projections, 3-7 May 1999, Perugia, Italy.
-
-
-
-
98
-
-
84928454415
-
The next birth and the labour market: A dynamic model of births in England and Wales
-
De Cooman E., Ermisch J., and Joshi H. The next birth and the labour market: A dynamic model of births in England and Wales. Population Studies 41 (1987) 237-268
-
(1987)
Population Studies
, vol.41
, pp. 237-268
-
-
De Cooman, E.1
Ermisch, J.2
Joshi, H.3
-
101
-
-
33745964194
-
Population, labour force, and long swings in economic growth: The America experience
-
National Bureau of Economic Research, New York
-
Easterlin R.A. Population, labour force, and long swings in economic growth: The America experience. General series vol. 86 (1968), National Bureau of Economic Research, New York
-
(1968)
General series
, vol.86
-
-
Easterlin, R.A.1
-
102
-
-
33745246013
-
Inequality in life spans and a new perspective on mortality convergence across industrialized countries
-
Edwards R., and Tuljapurkar S. Inequality in life spans and a new perspective on mortality convergence across industrialized countries. Population and Development Review 31 (2005) 645-675
-
(2005)
Population and Development Review
, vol.31
, pp. 645-675
-
-
Edwards, R.1
Tuljapurkar, S.2
-
104
-
-
0001729464
-
Econometric analysis of birth rate dynamics in Britain
-
Ermisch J. Econometric analysis of birth rate dynamics in Britain. Journal of Human Resources 23 (1988) 563-576
-
(1988)
Journal of Human Resources
, vol.23
, pp. 563-576
-
-
Ermisch, J.1
-
105
-
-
84948039147
-
Explanatory models for fertility projections and forecasts
-
Keilman N., and Cruijsen H. (Eds), Swets and Zeitlinger, Amsterdam
-
Ermisch J. Explanatory models for fertility projections and forecasts. In: Keilman N., and Cruijsen H. (Eds). National population forecasting in industrialized countries (1992), Swets and Zeitlinger, Amsterdam 201-222
-
(1992)
National population forecasting in industrialized countries
, pp. 201-222
-
-
Ermisch, J.1
-
106
-
-
0022901325
-
American fertility patterns: A comparison of white and nonwhite cohorts born 1903-56
-
Evans M.D.R. American fertility patterns: A comparison of white and nonwhite cohorts born 1903-56. Population Development Review 12 (1986) 267-293
-
(1986)
Population Development Review
, vol.12
, pp. 267-293
-
-
Evans, M.D.R.1
-
110
-
-
0027618329
-
Some laws of mortality: How well do they fit?
-
Gage T.B., and Mode C.J. Some laws of mortality: How well do they fit?. Human Biology 65 (1993) 445-461
-
(1993)
Human Biology
, vol.65
, pp. 445-461
-
-
Gage, T.B.1
Mode, C.J.2
-
113
-
-
33745958047
-
Methods of external migration projections and forecasts
-
Keilman N., and Cruijsen H. (Eds), Swets and Zeitlinger, Amsterdam
-
George M.V., and Perreault J. Methods of external migration projections and forecasts. In: Keilman N., and Cruijsen H. (Eds). National population forecasting in industrialized countries (1992), Swets and Zeitlinger, Amsterdam 87-103
-
(1992)
National population forecasting in industrialized countries
, pp. 87-103
-
-
George, M.V.1
Perreault, J.2
-
115
-
-
3042642189
-
Simpler probabilistic population forecasts: Making scenarios work
-
Goldstein J.R. Simpler probabilistic population forecasts: Making scenarios work. International Statistical Review 72 (2004) 93-106
-
(2004)
International Statistical Review
, vol.72
, pp. 93-106
-
-
Goldstein, J.R.1
-
118
-
-
33745935825
-
-
Gómez de León, J. (1990). Empirical DEA models to fit and project time series of age-specific mortality rates Oslo, Norway: Central Bureau of Statistics. Unpublished manuscript.
-
-
-
-
119
-
-
85011183009
-
Historical and projected mortality for Mexico, Canada, and the United States
-
Goss S.C., Wade A., Bell F., and Dussault B. Historical and projected mortality for Mexico, Canada, and the United States. North American Actuarial Journal 2 (1998) 108-128
-
(1998)
North American Actuarial Journal
, vol.2
, pp. 108-128
-
-
Goss, S.C.1
Wade, A.2
Bell, F.3
Dussault, B.4
-
120
-
-
84984516669
-
Invited review: Combining forecasts - Twenty years later
-
Granger C.W. Invited review: Combining forecasts - Twenty years later. Journal of Forecasting 8 (1989) 167-173
-
(1989)
Journal of Forecasting
, vol.8
, pp. 167-173
-
-
Granger, C.W.1
-
121
-
-
33745949376
-
Invited review: Combining forecasts - Twenty years later
-
Ghysels E., Swanson N.R., and Watson M.W. (Eds), Cambridge University Press, New York
-
Granger C.W. Invited review: Combining forecasts - Twenty years later. In: Ghysels E., Swanson N.R., and Watson M.W. (Eds). Essays in econometrics: Spectral analysis, seasonality, nonlinearity, methodology, and forecasting (2001), Cambridge University Press, New York 411-419
-
(2001)
Essays in econometrics: Spectral analysis, seasonality, nonlinearity, methodology, and forecasting
, pp. 411-419
-
-
Granger, C.W.1
-
122
-
-
0038708374
-
The cross-sectional average length of life (CAL): A period mortality measure that reflects the experience of cohorts
-
Guillot M. The cross-sectional average length of life (CAL): A period mortality measure that reflects the experience of cohorts. Population Studies 57 (2003) 41-54
-
(2003)
Population Studies
, vol.57
, pp. 41-54
-
-
Guillot, M.1
-
123
-
-
85011128702
-
Forecasting changes in mortality: A search for a law of causes and effects
-
Gutterman S., and Vanderhoof I.T. Forecasting changes in mortality: A search for a law of causes and effects. North American Actuarial Journal 2 (1998) 135-138
-
(1998)
North American Actuarial Journal
, vol.2
, pp. 135-138
-
-
Gutterman, S.1
Vanderhoof, I.T.2
-
125
-
-
33745936036
-
Presentation and derivation of a five-parameter survival function intended to model mortality in modern female populations
-
Hannerz H. Presentation and derivation of a five-parameter survival function intended to model mortality in modern female populations. Scandinavian Actuarial Journal 2001 (2001) 176-187
-
(2001)
Scandinavian Actuarial Journal
, vol.2001
, pp. 176-187
-
-
Hannerz, H.1
-
126
-
-
84937333815
-
Manhood trials and the law of mortality
-
Hannerz H. Manhood trials and the law of mortality. Demographic Research 4 (2001) 185-202
-
(2001)
Demographic Research
, vol.4
, pp. 185-202
-
-
Hannerz, H.1
-
127
-
-
84937340470
-
An extension of relational methods in mortality estimation
-
Hannerz H. An extension of relational methods in mortality estimation. Demographic Research 4 (2001) 337-367
-
(2001)
Demographic Research
, vol.4
, pp. 337-367
-
-
Hannerz, H.1
-
128
-
-
0023460319
-
Past and recent attempts to model mortality at all ages
-
Hartmann M. Past and recent attempts to model mortality at all ages. Journal of Official Statistics 3 (1987) 19-36
-
(1987)
Journal of Official Statistics
, vol.3
, pp. 19-36
-
-
Hartmann, M.1
-
129
-
-
34248654674
-
Survey design and methodology in the Health and Retirement Study and the Wisconsin Longitudinal Study
-
Aging, health, and public policy: Demographic and economic perspectives. Waite L.J. (Ed), Population Council, New York
-
Hauser R.M., and Willis R.J. Survey design and methodology in the Health and Retirement Study and the Wisconsin Longitudinal Study. In: Waite L.J. (Ed). Aging, health, and public policy: Demographic and economic perspectives. Supplement to Population and Development Review vol. 30 (2005), Population Council, New York 209-235
-
(2005)
Supplement to Population and Development Review
, vol.30
, pp. 209-235
-
-
Hauser, R.M.1
Willis, R.J.2
-
130
-
-
27844463334
-
Forecasting mortality from regression models: The case of the Netherlands
-
Tabeau E., Van Den Berg Jeths A., and Heathcote C. (Eds), Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht
-
Heathcote C., and Higgins T. Forecasting mortality from regression models: The case of the Netherlands. In: Tabeau E., Van Den Berg Jeths A., and Heathcote C. (Eds). Forecasting mortality in developed countries: Insights from a statistical, demographic and epidemiological perspective (2001), Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht 83-103
-
(2001)
Forecasting mortality in developed countries: Insights from a statistical, demographic and epidemiological perspective
, pp. 83-103
-
-
Heathcote, C.1
Higgins, T.2
-
131
-
-
21244492907
-
A regression model of mortality, with applications to the Netherlands
-
Tabeau E., Van Den Berg Jeths A., and Heathcote C. (Eds), Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht
-
Heathcote C., and Higgins T. A regression model of mortality, with applications to the Netherlands. In: Tabeau E., Van Den Berg Jeths A., and Heathcote C. (Eds). Forecasting mortality in developed countries: Insights from a statistical, demographic and epidemiological perspective (2001), Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht 59-82
-
(2001)
Forecasting mortality in developed countries: Insights from a statistical, demographic and epidemiological perspective
, pp. 59-82
-
-
Heathcote, C.1
Higgins, T.2
-
132
-
-
0024892184
-
Forecasting aggregate period-specific birth rates: The time series properties of a microdynamic neoclassical model of fertility
-
Heckman J.J., and Walker J.R. Forecasting aggregate period-specific birth rates: The time series properties of a microdynamic neoclassical model of fertility. Journal of the American Statistical Association 84 (1989) 958-965
-
(1989)
Journal of the American Statistical Association
, vol.84
, pp. 958-965
-
-
Heckman, J.J.1
Walker, J.R.2
-
135
-
-
24944543678
-
-
(working papers and studies no. 3/2002/E/n17), Eurostat, The Hague
-
Hilderink H., Van der Gaag N., Van Wissen L., Jennissen R., Román A., Salt J., et al. Analysis and forecasting of international migration by major groups. Part III. (working papers and studies no. 3/2002/E/n17) (2002), Eurostat, The Hague
-
(2002)
Analysis and forecasting of international migration by major groups. Part III
-
-
Hilderink, H.1
Van der Gaag, N.2
Van Wissen, L.3
Jennissen, R.4
Román, A.5
Salt, J.6
-
136
-
-
0028551557
-
A relational model of mortality at older ages in low mortality countries
-
Himes C.L., Preston S.H., and Condran G.A. A relational model of mortality at older ages in low mortality countries. Population Studies 48 (1994) 269-291
-
(1994)
Population Studies
, vol.48
, pp. 269-291
-
-
Himes, C.L.1
Preston, S.H.2
Condran, G.A.3
-
137
-
-
0019569636
-
Experiments in modelling in recent Danish fertility curves
-
Hoem J.M., Madsen D., Nielsen J.L., Ohlsen E.M., Hansen H.O., and Rennermalm B. Experiments in modelling in recent Danish fertility curves. Demography 18 (1981) 231-244
-
(1981)
Demography
, vol.18
, pp. 231-244
-
-
Hoem, J.M.1
Madsen, D.2
Nielsen, J.L.3
Ohlsen, E.M.4
Hansen, H.O.5
Rennermalm, B.6
-
139
-
-
33745955411
-
-
Hyndman, R. J., & Ullah, S. (2004). Robust forecasting of mortality and fertility rates: A functional data approach (working paper). Melbourne: Monash University.
-
-
-
-
140
-
-
3042631068
-
Elaboration of the Coale-McNeil nuptiality model as the generalized log gamma distribution: A new identity and empirical enhancements
-
Kaneko R. Elaboration of the Coale-McNeil nuptiality model as the generalized log gamma distribution: A new identity and empirical enhancements. Demographic Research 9 (2003) 223-262
-
(2003)
Demographic Research
, vol.9
, pp. 223-262
-
-
Kaneko, R.1
-
143
-
-
0039814595
-
-
Swets and Zeitlinger, Amsterdam
-
Keilman N. Uncertainty in population forecasting: Issues, backgrounds, analyses, recommendations (1990), Swets and Zeitlinger, Amsterdam
-
(1990)
Uncertainty in population forecasting: Issues, backgrounds, analyses, recommendations
-
-
Keilman, N.1
-
144
-
-
0000496873
-
Ex-post errors in official population forecasts in industrialized countries
-
Keilman N. Ex-post errors in official population forecasts in industrialized countries. Journal of Official Statistics 13 (1997) 245-277
-
(1997)
Journal of Official Statistics
, vol.13
, pp. 245-277
-
-
Keilman, N.1
-
145
-
-
24944553192
-
How accurate are the United Nations world population projections?
-
Frontiers of population forecasting. Lutz W., Vaupel J.W., and Ahlburg D.A. (Eds), Population Council, New York 1998
-
Keilman N. How accurate are the United Nations world population projections?. In: Lutz W., Vaupel J.W., and Ahlburg D.A. (Eds). Frontiers of population forecasting. A supplement to Population and Development Review vol. 24 (1999), Population Council, New York 15-41 1998
-
(1999)
A supplement to Population and Development Review
, vol.24
, pp. 15-41
-
-
Keilman, N.1
-
146
-
-
0035797681
-
Uncertain population forecasts
-
Keilman N. Uncertain population forecasts. Nature 412 (2001) 490-491
-
(2001)
Nature
, vol.412
, pp. 490-491
-
-
Keilman, N.1
-
147
-
-
0034921284
-
Data quality and accuracy of United Nations population projections, 1950-95
-
Keilman N. Data quality and accuracy of United Nations population projections, 1950-95. Population Studies 55 (2001) 149-164
-
(2001)
Population Studies
, vol.55
, pp. 149-164
-
-
Keilman, N.1
-
149
-
-
33745938987
-
-
Keilman N. (Ed), Swedish Social Insurance Agency, Stockholm
-
In: Keilman N. (Ed). Perspectives on mortality forecasting. Probabilistic models vol. II (2005), Swedish Social Insurance Agency, Stockholm
-
(2005)
Probabilistic models
, vol.II
-
-
-
150
-
-
33745957636
-
Erroneous population forecasts
-
Keilman N. (Ed), Swedish Social Insurance Agency, Stockholm
-
Keilman N. Erroneous population forecasts. In: Keilman N. (Ed). Perspectives on mortality forecasting. Probabilistic models vol. II (2005), Swedish Social Insurance Agency, Stockholm 7-26
-
(2005)
Perspectives on mortality forecasting. Probabilistic models
, vol.II
, pp. 7-26
-
-
Keilman, N.1
-
152
-
-
3042646457
-
Time series based errors and empirical errors in fertility forecasts in the Nordic countries
-
Keilman N., and Pham D.Q. Time series based errors and empirical errors in fertility forecasts in the Nordic countries. International Statistical Review 72 (2004) 5-18
-
(2004)
International Statistical Review
, vol.72
, pp. 5-18
-
-
Keilman, N.1
Pham, D.Q.2
-
153
-
-
3042672674
-
Why population forecasts should be probabilistic - Illustrated by the case of Norway
-
Keilman N., Pham D.Q., and Hetland A. Why population forecasts should be probabilistic - Illustrated by the case of Norway. Demographic Research 6 (2002) 409-453
-
(2002)
Demographic Research
, vol.6
, pp. 409-453
-
-
Keilman, N.1
Pham, D.Q.2
Hetland, A.3
-
157
-
-
0000032111
-
Choice of function for mortality analysis: Effective forecasting depends on a minimum parameter representation
-
Keyfitz N. Choice of function for mortality analysis: Effective forecasting depends on a minimum parameter representation. Theoretical Population Biology 21 (1982) 329-352
-
(1982)
Theoretical Population Biology
, vol.21
, pp. 329-352
-
-
Keyfitz, N.1
-
158
-
-
33745939937
-
Demography in the twenty-first century: The uses of forecasting
-
International Union for the Scientific Study of Population, Liège
-
Keyfitz N. Demography in the twenty-first century: The uses of forecasting. International Population Conference, Florence vol. 1 (1985), International Union for the Scientific Study of Population, Liège 59-81
-
(1985)
International Population Conference, Florence
, vol.1
, pp. 59-81
-
-
Keyfitz, N.1
-
159
-
-
0343518587
-
Experiments in the projection of mortality
-
Keyfitz N. Experiments in the projection of mortality. Canadian Studies in Population 18 (1991) 1-17
-
(1991)
Canadian Studies in Population
, vol.18
, pp. 1-17
-
-
Keyfitz, N.1
-
160
-
-
33745959427
-
-
Keyfitz, N. (1996). Foreword. In W. Lutz (Ed.), The future population of the world: What can we assume today? (Revised Edition). London: Earthscan.
-
-
-
-
161
-
-
0342870628
-
Forecasting fertility: An application of time series methods to parameterized model schedules
-
Knudsen C., McNown R., and Rogers A. Forecasting fertility: An application of time series methods to parameterized model schedules. Social Science Research 22 (1993) 1-23
-
(1993)
Social Science Research
, vol.22
, pp. 1-23
-
-
Knudsen, C.1
McNown, R.2
Rogers, A.3
-
162
-
-
0001936413
-
Tempo-adjusted period parity progression measures, fertility postponement and completed cohort fertility
-
Kohler H.-P., and Ortega J.A. Tempo-adjusted period parity progression measures, fertility postponement and completed cohort fertility. Demographic Research 6 (2002) 91-144
-
(2002)
Demographic Research
, vol.6
, pp. 91-144
-
-
Kohler, H.-P.1
Ortega, J.A.2
-
163
-
-
0035257694
-
Variance effects in the Bongaarts-Feeney formula
-
Kohler H.-P., and Philipov D. Variance effects in the Bongaarts-Feeney formula. Demography 38 (2001) 1-16
-
(2001)
Demography
, vol.38
, pp. 1-16
-
-
Kohler, H.-P.1
Philipov, D.2
-
165
-
-
0027007791
-
A nine parameter version of the Heligman-Pollard formula
-
Kostaki A. A nine parameter version of the Heligman-Pollard formula. Mathematical Population Studies 3 (1992) 277-288
-
(1992)
Mathematical Population Studies
, vol.3
, pp. 277-288
-
-
Kostaki, A.1
-
166
-
-
33745953412
-
Gains in life expectancy by eliminating major causes of death: Revised estimates taking into account competing causes of death
-
Wunsch G., Mouchart M., and Duchene J. (Eds), Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht, The Netherlands
-
Kunst A.E., Mackenbach J.P., Lautenbach H., Oei F.B., and Bijlsma F. Gains in life expectancy by eliminating major causes of death: Revised estimates taking into account competing causes of death. In: Wunsch G., Mouchart M., and Duchene J. (Eds). The life table: Modelling survival and death (2002), Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht, The Netherlands 191-207
-
(2002)
The life table: Modelling survival and death
, pp. 191-207
-
-
Kunst, A.E.1
Mackenbach, J.P.2
Lautenbach, H.3
Oei, F.B.4
Bijlsma, F.5
-
168
-
-
29944437125
-
Mortality tempo versus removal of causes of mortality: Opposite views leading to different estimations of life expectancy
-
Le Bras H. Mortality tempo versus removal of causes of mortality: Opposite views leading to different estimations of life expectancy. Demographic Research 13 (2005) 615-640
-
(2005)
Demographic Research
, vol.13
, pp. 615-640
-
-
Le Bras, H.1
-
170
-
-
0016097785
-
Forecasting births in post-transition populations: Stochastic renewal with serially correlated fertility
-
Lee R.D. Forecasting births in post-transition populations: Stochastic renewal with serially correlated fertility. Journal of the American Statistical Association 69 (1974) 607-617
-
(1974)
Journal of the American Statistical Association
, vol.69
, pp. 607-617
-
-
Lee, R.D.1
-
171
-
-
0019181554
-
Aiming at a moving target: Period fertility and changing reproductive goals
-
Lee R.D. Aiming at a moving target: Period fertility and changing reproductive goals. Population Studies 34 (1980) 205-226
-
(1980)
Population Studies
, vol.34
, pp. 205-226
-
-
Lee, R.D.1
-
172
-
-
0342853876
-
A model for forecasting fertility from birth expectations data
-
Hendershot G.E., and Placek P.J. (Eds), Lexington, Lexington, MA
-
Lee R.D. A model for forecasting fertility from birth expectations data. In: Hendershot G.E., and Placek P.J. (Eds). Predicting fertility: Demographic studies of birth expectations (1981), Lexington, Lexington, MA 75-99
-
(1981)
Predicting fertility: Demographic studies of birth expectations
, pp. 75-99
-
-
Lee, R.D.1
-
173
-
-
0009326273
-
Long-run global population forecasts: A critical appraisal
-
Lee R.D. Long-run global population forecasts: A critical appraisal. Population and Development Review 16 (1990) 44-71
-
(1990)
Population and Development Review
, vol.16
, pp. 44-71
-
-
Lee, R.D.1
-
175
-
-
0027652326
-
Modeling and forecasting the time series of US fertility: Age distribution, range, and ultimate level
-
Lee R.D. Modeling and forecasting the time series of US fertility: Age distribution, range, and ultimate level. International Journal of Forecasting 9 (1993) 187-202
-
(1993)
International Journal of Forecasting
, vol.9
, pp. 187-202
-
-
Lee, R.D.1
-
176
-
-
0009394846
-
Probabilistic approaches to population forecasting
-
Frontiers of population forecasting. Lutz W., Vaupel J.W., and Ahlburg D.A. (Eds), Population Council, New York 1998
-
Lee R.D. Probabilistic approaches to population forecasting. In: Lutz W., Vaupel J.W., and Ahlburg D.A. (Eds). Frontiers of population forecasting. A supplement to Population and Development Review vol. 24 (1999), Population Council, New York 156-190 1998
-
(1999)
A supplement to Population and Development Review
, vol.24
, pp. 156-190
-
-
Lee, R.D.1
-
177
-
-
85011210153
-
The Lee-Carter method for forecasting mortality, with various extensions and applications
-
Lee R.D. The Lee-Carter method for forecasting mortality, with various extensions and applications. North American Actuarial Journal 4 (2000) 80-93
-
(2000)
North American Actuarial Journal
, vol.4
, pp. 80-93
-
-
Lee, R.D.1
-
178
-
-
0034033484
-
Long-term population projections and the US social security system
-
Lee R.D. Long-term population projections and the US social security system. Population and Development Review 26 (2000) 137-143
-
(2000)
Population and Development Review
, vol.26
, pp. 137-143
-
-
Lee, R.D.1
-
179
-
-
85048901568
-
Quantifying our ignorance: Stochastic forecasts of population and public budgets
-
Aging, health, and public policy: Demographic and economic perspectives. Waite L.J. (Ed), Population Council, New York 2004
-
Lee R.D. Quantifying our ignorance: Stochastic forecasts of population and public budgets. In: Waite L.J. (Ed). Aging, health, and public policy: Demographic and economic perspectives. Supplement to Population and Development Review vol. 30 (2005), Population Council, New York 153-175 2004
-
(2005)
Supplement to Population and Development Review
, vol.30
, pp. 153-175
-
-
Lee, R.D.1
-
181
-
-
0029544486
-
Disaggregation in population forecasting: Do we need it? And how to do it simply?
-
Lee R.D., Carter L.R., and Tuljapurkar S. Disaggregation in population forecasting: Do we need it? And how to do it simply?. Mathematical Population Studies 5 (1995) 217-234
-
(1995)
Mathematical Population Studies
, vol.5
, pp. 217-234
-
-
Lee, R.D.1
Carter, L.R.2
Tuljapurkar, S.3
-
182
-
-
0035512765
-
Evaluating the performance of the Lee-Carter method for forecasting mortality
-
Lee R.D., and Miller T. Evaluating the performance of the Lee-Carter method for forecasting mortality. Demography 38 (2001) 537-549
-
(2001)
Demography
, vol.38
, pp. 537-549
-
-
Lee, R.D.1
Miller, T.2
-
183
-
-
33745933506
-
-
Lee, R. D., & Nault, F. (1993). Modelling and forecasting provincial mortality in Canada. Paper presented at the World Congress of the International Union of the Scientific Study of Population, Montreal. Unpublished.
-
-
-
-
184
-
-
0028457584
-
Modelacion y proyeccion de la mortalidad en Chile
-
Lee R.D., and Rofman R. Modelacion y proyeccion de la mortalidad en Chile. NOTAS de Poblacion XXII (1994) 183-213
-
(1994)
NOTAS de Poblacion
, vol.XXII
, pp. 183-213
-
-
Lee, R.D.1
Rofman, R.2
-
185
-
-
84950967036
-
Stochastic population forecasts for the United States: Beyond high, medium, and low
-
Lee R.D., and Tuljapurkar S. Stochastic population forecasts for the United States: Beyond high, medium, and low. Journal of the American Statistical Association 89 (1994) 1175-1189
-
(1994)
Journal of the American Statistical Association
, vol.89
, pp. 1175-1189
-
-
Lee, R.D.1
Tuljapurkar, S.2
-
186
-
-
3042856214
-
Population forecasting for fiscal planning: issues and innovations
-
Auerbach A., and Lee R. (Eds), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
-
Lee R.D., and Tuljapurkar S. Population forecasting for fiscal planning: issues and innovations. In: Auerbach A., and Lee R. (Eds). Demography and fiscal policy (2000), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge 7-57
-
(2000)
Demography and fiscal policy
, pp. 7-57
-
-
Lee, R.D.1
Tuljapurkar, S.2
-
187
-
-
26044462015
-
Coherent mortality forecasts for a group of populations: An extension of the Lee-Carter method
-
Li N., and Lee R. Coherent mortality forecasts for a group of populations: An extension of the Lee-Carter method. Demography 42 (2005) 575-594
-
(2005)
Demography
, vol.42
, pp. 575-594
-
-
Li, N.1
Lee, R.2
-
188
-
-
3042635657
-
Using the Lee-Carter method to forecast mortality for populations with limited data
-
Li N., Lee R., and Tuljapurkar S. Using the Lee-Carter method to forecast mortality for populations with limited data. International Statistical Review 72 (2004) 19-36
-
(2004)
International Statistical Review
, vol.72
, pp. 19-36
-
-
Li, N.1
Lee, R.2
Tuljapurkar, S.3
-
189
-
-
0032840618
-
Population momentum for gradual demographic transitions
-
Li N., and Tuljapurkar S. Population momentum for gradual demographic transitions. Population Studies 53 (1999) 255-262
-
(1999)
Population Studies
, vol.53
, pp. 255-262
-
-
Li, N.1
Tuljapurkar, S.2
-
190
-
-
0034082679
-
The solution of time-dependent population models
-
Li N., and Tuljapurkar S. The solution of time-dependent population models. Mathematical Population Studies 7 (2000) 311-329
-
(2000)
Mathematical Population Studies
, vol.7
, pp. 311-329
-
-
Li, N.1
Tuljapurkar, S.2
-
191
-
-
0344552263
-
Forecasting cohort incomplete fertility: A method and an application
-
Li N., and Wu Z. Forecasting cohort incomplete fertility: A method and an application. Population Studies 57 (2003) 303-320
-
(2003)
Population Studies
, vol.57
, pp. 303-320
-
-
Li, N.1
Wu, Z.2
-
192
-
-
33745968437
-
-
Li, S. -H., & Chan, W. -S. (2005). The Lee-Carter model for forecasting mortality revisited. Paper presented at the Living to 100 and Beyond Symposium, Orlando, Florida. Retrieved October 25, 2005 from http://library.soa.org/library-pdf/m-li05-1_XI.pdf.
-
-
-
-
193
-
-
33745958832
-
The utility of birth expectations in population projections
-
Hendershot G.E., and Placek P.J. (Eds), Lexington, Lexington, MA
-
Long J.F. The utility of birth expectations in population projections. In: Hendershot G.E., and Placek P.J. (Eds). Predicting fertility: Demographic studies of birth expectations (1981), Lexington, Lexington, MA 29-50
-
(1981)
Predicting fertility: Demographic studies of birth expectations
, pp. 29-50
-
-
Long, J.F.1
-
194
-
-
3142752120
-
U.S. national population projections methods: A view from four forecasting traditions
-
Long J.F. U.S. national population projections methods: A view from four forecasting traditions. Insurance, Mathematics and Economics 3 (1984) 231-239
-
(1984)
Insurance, Mathematics and Economics
, vol.3
, pp. 231-239
-
-
Long, J.F.1
-
195
-
-
0039814586
-
Accuracy, monitoring, and evaluation of national population projections
-
Keilman N., and Cruijsen H. (Eds), Swets and Zeitlinger, Amsterdam
-
Long J.F. Accuracy, monitoring, and evaluation of national population projections. In: Keilman N., and Cruijsen H. (Eds). National population forecasting in industrialized countries (1993), Swets and Zeitlinger, Amsterdam 129-146
-
(1993)
National population forecasting in industrialized countries
, pp. 129-146
-
-
Long, J.F.1
-
196
-
-
0029544485
-
Complexity, accuracy, and utility of official population projections
-
Long J.F. Complexity, accuracy, and utility of official population projections. Mathematical Population Studies 5 (1995) 203-216
-
(1995)
Mathematical Population Studies
, vol.5
, pp. 203-216
-
-
Long, J.F.1
-
197
-
-
3142724028
-
Developing official stochastic population forecasts at the US Census Bureau
-
Long J.F., and Hollmann F.W. Developing official stochastic population forecasts at the US Census Bureau. International Statistical Review 72 (2004) 201-208
-
(2004)
International Statistical Review
, vol.72
, pp. 201-208
-
-
Long, J.F.1
Hollmann, F.W.2
-
198
-
-
3042633604
-
Mortality forecasting and trend shifts: An application of the Lee-Carter model to Swedish mortality data
-
Lundstrom H., and Qvist J. Mortality forecasting and trend shifts: An application of the Lee-Carter model to Swedish mortality data. International Statistical Review 72 (2004) 37-50
-
(2004)
International Statistical Review
, vol.72
, pp. 37-50
-
-
Lundstrom, H.1
Qvist, J.2
-
199
-
-
33745947732
-
-
Lutz, W. (Ed.) (1996). The future population of the world: What can we assume today? (Revised ed.) London: Earthscan.
-
-
-
-
201
-
-
3042680295
-
Introduction: How to deal with uncertainty in population forecasting?
-
Lutz W., and Goldstein J.R. Introduction: How to deal with uncertainty in population forecasting?. International Statistical Review 72 (2004) 1-4
-
(2004)
International Statistical Review
, vol.72
, pp. 1-4
-
-
Lutz, W.1
Goldstein, J.R.2
-
202
-
-
84925811421
-
Alternative approaches to population projection
-
Lutz W. (Ed), Earthscan, London
-
Lutz W., Goldstein J.R., and Prinz C. Alternative approaches to population projection. In: Lutz W. (Ed). The future population of the world. What can we assume today? (1996), Earthscan, London 14-44
-
(1996)
The future population of the world. What can we assume today?
, pp. 14-44
-
-
Lutz, W.1
Goldstein, J.R.2
Prinz, C.3
-
203
-
-
0004033637
-
Demographic dimensions in forecasting: Adding education to age and sex
-
Frontiers of population forecasting. Lutz W., and Vaupel J.W. (Eds), Population Council, New York 1998
-
Lutz W., Goujon A., and Doblhammer-Reiter G. Demographic dimensions in forecasting: Adding education to age and sex. In: Lutz W., and Vaupel J.W. (Eds). Frontiers of population forecasting. A supplement to Population and Development Review vol. 24 (1999), Population Council, New York 42-58 1998
-
(1999)
A supplement to Population and Development Review
, vol.24
, pp. 42-58
-
-
Lutz, W.1
Goujon, A.2
Doblhammer-Reiter, G.3
-
204
-
-
0010741663
-
Probabilistic population projections based on expert opinion
-
Lutz W. (Ed), Earthscan, London
-
Lutz W., Sanderson W., and Scherbov S. Probabilistic population projections based on expert opinion. In: Lutz W. (Ed). The future population of the world: What can we assume today? (1996), Earthscan, London 13-26
-
(1996)
The future population of the world: What can we assume today?
, pp. 13-26
-
-
Lutz, W.1
Sanderson, W.2
Scherbov, S.3
-
205
-
-
0030619342
-
Doubling of world population unlikely
-
Lutz W., Sanderson W., and Scherbov S. Doubling of world population unlikely. Nature 387 (1997) 803-805
-
(1997)
Nature
, vol.387
, pp. 803-805
-
-
Lutz, W.1
Sanderson, W.2
Scherbov, S.3
-
206
-
-
34548215214
-
Expert-based probabilistic population projections
-
Frontiers of population forecasting. Lutz W., Vaupel J.W., and Ahlburg D.A. (Eds), Population Council, New York 1998
-
Lutz W., Sanderson W., and Scherbov S. Expert-based probabilistic population projections. In: Lutz W., Vaupel J.W., and Ahlburg D.A. (Eds). Frontiers of population forecasting. A supplement to Population and Development Review vol. 24 (1999), Population Council, New York 139-155 1998
-
(1999)
A supplement to Population and Development Review
, vol.24
, pp. 139-155
-
-
Lutz, W.1
Sanderson, W.2
Scherbov, S.3
-
207
-
-
0035797408
-
The end of world population growth
-
Lutz W., Sanderson W., and Scherbov S. The end of world population growth. Nature 412 (2001) 543-545
-
(2001)
Nature
, vol.412
, pp. 543-545
-
-
Lutz, W.1
Sanderson, W.2
Scherbov, S.3
-
208
-
-
84925760495
-
The end of world population growth
-
Lutz W., and Sanderson W. (Eds), Earthscan, London
-
Lutz W., Sanderson W., and Scherbov S. The end of world population growth. In: Lutz W., and Sanderson W. (Eds). The end of world population growth in the 21st century: New challenges for human capital formation and sustainable development (2004), Earthscan, London 17-84
-
(2004)
The end of world population growth in the 21st century: New challenges for human capital formation and sustainable development
, pp. 17-84
-
-
Lutz, W.1
Sanderson, W.2
Scherbov, S.3
-
209
-
-
84925815319
-
World population scenarios for the 21st century
-
Lutz W. (Ed), Earthscan, London
-
Lutz W., Sanderson W., Scherbov S., and Goujon A. World population scenarios for the 21st century. In: Lutz W. (Ed). The future population of the world: What can we assume today? (1996), Earthscan, London 361-396
-
(1996)
The future population of the world: What can we assume today?
, pp. 361-396
-
-
Lutz, W.1
Sanderson, W.2
Scherbov, S.3
Goujon, A.4
-
210
-
-
0031705627
-
An expert-based framework for probabilistic national population projections: The example of Austria
-
Lutz W., and Scherbov S. An expert-based framework for probabilistic national population projections: The example of Austria. European Journal of Population 14 (1998) 1-17
-
(1998)
European Journal of Population
, vol.14
, pp. 1-17
-
-
Lutz, W.1
Scherbov, S.2
-
212
-
-
3042680017
-
Probabilistic population projections for India with explicit consideration of the education-fertility link
-
Lutz W., and Scherbov S. Probabilistic population projections for India with explicit consideration of the education-fertility link. International Statistical Review 72 (2004) 81-92
-
(2004)
International Statistical Review
, vol.72
, pp. 81-92
-
-
Lutz, W.1
Scherbov, S.2
-
213
-
-
33745949375
-
-
Lutz W., Vaupel J.W., and Ahlburg D.A. (Eds), Population Council, New York 1998
-
In: Lutz W., Vaupel J.W., and Ahlburg D.A. (Eds). Frontiers of population forecasting. A supplement to Population and Development Review vol. 24 (1999), Population Council, New York 1998
-
(1999)
A supplement to Population and Development Review
, vol.24
-
-
-
214
-
-
0019086562
-
Mortality model based on delays in progression of chronic diseases: Alternative to cause elimination model
-
Manton K.G., Patrick C.H., and Stallard E. Mortality model based on delays in progression of chronic diseases: Alternative to cause elimination model. Public Health Reports 95 (1980) 580-588
-
(1980)
Public Health Reports
, vol.95
, pp. 580-588
-
-
Manton, K.G.1
Patrick, C.H.2
Stallard, E.3
-
215
-
-
84934452696
-
Limits to human life expectancy: Evidence, prospects, and implications
-
Manton K., Stallard E., and Tolley H.D. Limits to human life expectancy: Evidence, prospects, and implications. Population and Development Review 17 (1991) 603-637
-
(1991)
Population and Development Review
, vol.17
, pp. 603-637
-
-
Manton, K.1
Stallard, E.2
Tolley, H.D.3
-
217
-
-
0027787368
-
The timing of first birth: Analysis and prediction of Swedish first birth rates
-
Martinelle S. The timing of first birth: Analysis and prediction of Swedish first birth rates. European Journal of Population 9 (1993) 265-286
-
(1993)
European Journal of Population
, vol.9
, pp. 265-286
-
-
Martinelle, S.1
-
218
-
-
0018538809
-
A time series approach to forecasting Australian total live-births
-
McDonald J. A time series approach to forecasting Australian total live-births. Demography 16 (1979) 575-601
-
(1979)
Demography
, vol.16
, pp. 575-601
-
-
McDonald, J.1
-
219
-
-
0019734954
-
Modelling demographic relationships: An analysis of forecast functions for Australian births
-
McDonald J. Modelling demographic relationships: An analysis of forecast functions for Australian births. Journal of the American Statistical Association 76 (1981) 782-801
-
(1981)
Journal of the American Statistical Association
, vol.76
, pp. 782-801
-
-
McDonald, J.1
-
220
-
-
0020808894
-
The emergence of countercyclical US fertility: A reassessment of the evidence
-
McDonald J. The emergence of countercyclical US fertility: A reassessment of the evidence. Journal of Macroeconomics 5 (1983) 421-436
-
(1983)
Journal of Macroeconomics
, vol.5
, pp. 421-436
-
-
McDonald, J.1
-
221
-
-
0024856281
-
Forecasting mortality: A parameterized time series approach
-
McNown R., and Rogers A. Forecasting mortality: A parameterized time series approach. Demography 26 (1989) 645-660
-
(1989)
Demography
, vol.26
, pp. 645-660
-
-
McNown, R.1
Rogers, A.2
-
222
-
-
0006993660
-
Forecasting cause-specific mortality using time series methods
-
McNown R., and Rogers A. Forecasting cause-specific mortality using time series methods. International Journal of Forecasting 8 (1992) 413-432
-
(1992)
International Journal of Forecasting
, vol.8
, pp. 413-432
-
-
McNown, R.1
Rogers, A.2
-
223
-
-
0029532454
-
Simplicity and complexity in extrapolative population forecasting models
-
McNown R., Rogers A., and Little J. Simplicity and complexity in extrapolative population forecasting models. Mathematical Population Studies 5 (1995) 235-257
-
(1995)
Mathematical Population Studies
, vol.5
, pp. 235-257
-
-
McNown, R.1
Rogers, A.2
Little, J.3
-
224
-
-
0022691972
-
A bivariate model for total fertility rate and mean age of childbearing
-
Miller R.B. A bivariate model for total fertility rate and mean age of childbearing. Insurance, Mathematics and Economics 5 (1986) 133-140
-
(1986)
Insurance, Mathematics and Economics
, vol.5
, pp. 133-140
-
-
Miller, R.B.1
-
225
-
-
33745961927
-
-
Miller, T. (2002). California's uncertain population future. Technical appendix for R. Lee, T. Miller & R. D. Edwards (2003) "The Growth and Aging of California's Population: Demographic and Fiscal Projections, Characteristics and Service Needs." Available at http://repositories.cdlib.org/iber/ceda/papers/2003-0002CL/.
-
-
-
-
227
-
-
0020433312
-
An eight-parameter model of human mortality - The single decrement case
-
Mode C.J., and Busby R.C. An eight-parameter model of human mortality - The single decrement case. Bulletin of Mathematical Biology 44 (1982) 647-659
-
(1982)
Bulletin of Mathematical Biology
, vol.44
, pp. 647-659
-
-
Mode, C.J.1
Busby, R.C.2
-
228
-
-
0021125187
-
A parametric algorithm for computing model period and cohort human survival functions
-
Mode C.J., and Jacobson M.E. A parametric algorithm for computing model period and cohort human survival functions. International Journal of Biomedical Computing 15 (1984) 341-356
-
(1984)
International Journal of Biomedical Computing
, vol.15
, pp. 341-356
-
-
Mode, C.J.1
Jacobson, M.E.2
-
229
-
-
0019600418
-
Intention and uncertainty at later stages of childbearing: The United States 1965 to 1970
-
Morgan S.P. Intention and uncertainty at later stages of childbearing: The United States 1965 to 1970. Demography 18 (1981) 267-285
-
(1981)
Demography
, vol.18
, pp. 267-285
-
-
Morgan, S.P.1
-
230
-
-
0020171981
-
Parity-specific fertility intentions and uncertainty: The United States 1970 to 1976
-
Morgan S.P. Parity-specific fertility intentions and uncertainty: The United States 1970 to 1976. Demography 19 (1982) 315-334
-
(1982)
Demography
, vol.19
, pp. 315-334
-
-
Morgan, S.P.1
-
232
-
-
0026949433
-
Predicting childlessness for recent cohorts of American women
-
Morgan S.P., and Chen R. Predicting childlessness for recent cohorts of American women. International Journal of Forecasting 8 (1992) 477-493
-
(1992)
International Journal of Forecasting
, vol.8
, pp. 477-493
-
-
Morgan, S.P.1
Chen, R.2
-
233
-
-
33745961360
-
Gompertz and Gompertz relational models for forecasting fertility: An empirical exploration
-
Centre for Population Studies, London
-
Murphy M.J. Gompertz and Gompertz relational models for forecasting fertility: An empirical exploration. London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine (1982), Centre for Population Studies, London
-
(1982)
London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine
-
-
Murphy, M.J.1
-
235
-
-
33745947068
-
Methods of forecasting mortality for population projections
-
Population projections: Trends, methods and uses, OPCS, London
-
Murphy M.J. Methods of forecasting mortality for population projections. Population projections: Trends, methods and uses. Occasional paper vol. 38 (1990), OPCS, London 87-102
-
(1990)
Occasional paper
, vol.38
, pp. 87-102
-
-
Murphy, M.J.1
-
236
-
-
0001445350
-
The prospect of mortality: England and Wales and the United States of America, 1962-1989
-
Murphy M.J. The prospect of mortality: England and Wales and the United States of America, 1962-1989. British Actuarial Journal 1 (1995) 331-350
-
(1995)
British Actuarial Journal
, vol.1
, pp. 331-350
-
-
Murphy, M.J.1
-
238
-
-
0027091674
-
Period paramount? A critique of the cohort approach to fertility
-
Ní Bhrolcháin M. Period paramount? A critique of the cohort approach to fertility. Population and Development Review 18 (1992) 599-629
-
(1992)
Population and Development Review
, vol.18
, pp. 599-629
-
-
Ní Bhrolcháin, M.1
-
239
-
-
33745945112
-
Fertility expectations: A short cut or dead-end in predicting fertility?
-
Proceedings of the seventh Nordic demographic symposium. June 1984, Paimio, Finland, The Scandinavian Demographic Society, Helsinki
-
Noack T., and Østby L. Fertility expectations: A short cut or dead-end in predicting fertility?. Proceedings of the seventh Nordic demographic symposium. June 1984, Paimio, Finland. Scandinavian population studies vol. 7 (1985), The Scandinavian Demographic Society, Helsinki 48-59
-
(1985)
Scandinavian population studies
, vol.7
, pp. 48-59
-
-
Noack, T.1
Østby, L.2
-
240
-
-
33745933699
-
-
North American Actuarial Journal (1999). Special issue on mortality forecasting, 2(4).
-
-
-
-
241
-
-
0742289110
-
AIDS in Portugal: Endemic versus epidemic forecasting scenarios for mortality
-
Oliveira M.M., and Mexia J.T. AIDS in Portugal: Endemic versus epidemic forecasting scenarios for mortality. International Journal of Forecasting 20 (2004) 131-135
-
(2004)
International Journal of Forecasting
, vol.20
, pp. 131-135
-
-
Oliveira, M.M.1
Mexia, J.T.2
-
242
-
-
0023256190
-
Simultaneous/multiple cause-delay (SIMCAD): An epidemiological approach to projecting mortality
-
Olshansky S.J. Simultaneous/multiple cause-delay (SIMCAD): An epidemiological approach to projecting mortality. Journal of Gerontology 42 (1987) 358-365
-
(1987)
Journal of Gerontology
, vol.42
, pp. 358-365
-
-
Olshansky, S.J.1
-
243
-
-
0024253597
-
On forecasting mortality
-
Olshansky S.J. On forecasting mortality. The Milbank Quarterly 66 (1988) 482-530
-
(1988)
The Milbank Quarterly
, vol.66
, pp. 482-530
-
-
Olshansky, S.J.1
-
245
-
-
3042540993
-
Conditional probabilistic population projections: An application to climate change
-
O'Neill B.C. Conditional probabilistic population projections: An application to climate change. International Statistical Review 72 (2004) 167-184
-
(2004)
International Statistical Review
, vol.72
, pp. 167-184
-
-
O'Neill, B.C.1
-
246
-
-
21644448422
-
Joint forecasts of Southern European fertility rates with non-stationary dynamic factor models
-
Ortega J.A., and Poncela P. Joint forecasts of Southern European fertility rates with non-stationary dynamic factor models. International Journal of Forecasting 21 (2005) 539-550
-
(2005)
International Journal of Forecasting
, vol.21
, pp. 539-550
-
-
Ortega, J.A.1
Poncela, P.2
-
247
-
-
0023842446
-
Confidence intervals for population projections based on Monte Carlo methods
-
Pflaumer P. Confidence intervals for population projections based on Monte Carlo methods. International Journal of Forecasting 4 (1988) 135-142
-
(1988)
International Journal of Forecasting
, vol.4
, pp. 135-142
-
-
Pflaumer, P.1
-
248
-
-
0026948777
-
Forecasting US population totals with the Box-Jenkins approach
-
Pflaumer P. Forecasting US population totals with the Box-Jenkins approach. International Journal of Forecasting 8 (1992) 329-338
-
(1992)
International Journal of Forecasting
, vol.8
, pp. 329-338
-
-
Pflaumer, P.1
-
250
-
-
0026894568
-
The Gompertz distribution and its applications
-
Pollard J.H., and Valkovics E.J. The Gompertz distribution and its applications. Genus 48 (1992) 15-27
-
(1992)
Genus
, vol.48
, pp. 15-27
-
-
Pollard, J.H.1
Valkovics, E.J.2
-
252
-
-
1942536505
-
Missing the target? Correspondence of fertility intentions and behavior in the U.S.
-
Quesnel-Vallée A., and Morgan S.P. Missing the target? Correspondence of fertility intentions and behavior in the U.S. Population Research and Policy Review 22 (2003) 497-525
-
(2003)
Population Research and Policy Review
, vol.22
, pp. 497-525
-
-
Quesnel-Vallée, A.1
Morgan, S.P.2
-
253
-
-
0001726096
-
Actuarial graduation practice and generalised linear and non-linear models
-
Renshaw A.E. Actuarial graduation practice and generalised linear and non-linear models. Journal of the Institute of Actuaries 118 (1991) 295-312
-
(1991)
Journal of the Institute of Actuaries
, vol.118
, pp. 295-312
-
-
Renshaw, A.E.1
-
254
-
-
4243451588
-
-
(actuarial research paper no. 127), Department of Actuarial Science and Statistics, City University, London
-
Renshaw A.E., and Haberman S. Modelling for mortality reduction factors. (actuarial research paper no. 127) (2000), Department of Actuarial Science and Statistics, City University, London
-
(2000)
Modelling for mortality reduction factors
-
-
Renshaw, A.E.1
Haberman, S.2
-
255
-
-
0242339726
-
Lee-Carter mortality forecasting with age-specific enhancement
-
Renshaw A.E., and Haberman S. Lee-Carter mortality forecasting with age-specific enhancement. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics 33 (2003) 255-272
-
(2003)
Insurance: Mathematics and Economics
, vol.33
, pp. 255-272
-
-
Renshaw, A.E.1
Haberman, S.2
-
257
-
-
0042907424
-
Lee-Carter mortality forecasting: A parallel generalized linear modelling approach for England and Wales mortality projections
-
Renshaw A.E., and Haberman S. Lee-Carter mortality forecasting: A parallel generalized linear modelling approach for England and Wales mortality projections. Applied Statistics 51 (2003) 119-137
-
(2003)
Applied Statistics
, vol.51
, pp. 119-137
-
-
Renshaw, A.E.1
Haberman, S.2
-
258
-
-
0001340214
-
The modelling of recent mortality trends in United Kingdom male assured lives
-
Renshaw A.E., Haberman S., and Hatzoupoulos P. The modelling of recent mortality trends in United Kingdom male assured lives. British Actuarial Journal 2 (1996) 449-477
-
(1996)
British Actuarial Journal
, vol.2
, pp. 449-477
-
-
Renshaw, A.E.1
Haberman, S.2
Hatzoupoulos, P.3
-
260
-
-
0022672382
-
Parameterized multistate population dynamics and projections
-
Rogers A. Parameterized multistate population dynamics and projections. Journal of the American Statistical Association 81 (1986) 48-61
-
(1986)
Journal of the American Statistical Association
, vol.81
, pp. 48-61
-
-
Rogers, A.1
-
261
-
-
0024164459
-
Age patterns of elderly migration: An international comparison
-
Rogers A. Age patterns of elderly migration: An international comparison. Demography 25 (1988) 355-370
-
(1988)
Demography
, vol.25
, pp. 355-370
-
-
Rogers, A.1
-
264
-
-
0029332127
-
Population forecasting: Do simple models outperform complex models?
-
Rogers A. Population forecasting: Do simple models outperform complex models?. Mathematical Population Studies 5 (1995) 187-202
-
(1995)
Mathematical Population Studies
, vol.5
, pp. 187-202
-
-
Rogers, A.1
-
265
-
-
0003974364
-
Model migration schedules
-
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria
-
Rogers A., and Castro L.J. Model migration schedules. Research report 81-30 (1981), International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria
-
(1981)
Research report 81-30
-
-
Rogers, A.1
Castro, L.J.2
-
266
-
-
27844534031
-
Model migration schedules: Three alternative linear parameter estimation methods
-
Rogers A., Castro L.J., and Lea M. Model migration schedules: Three alternative linear parameter estimation methods. Mathematical Population Studies 12 (2005) 17-38
-
(2005)
Mathematical Population Studies
, vol.12
, pp. 17-38
-
-
Rogers, A.1
Castro, L.J.2
Lea, M.3
-
267
-
-
0025927721
-
Applications of the Heligman/Pollard model mortality schedule
-
Rogers A., and Gard K. Applications of the Heligman/Pollard model mortality schedule. Population Bulletin of the United Nations 30 (1991) 79-105
-
(1991)
Population Bulletin of the United Nations
, vol.30
, pp. 79-105
-
-
Rogers, A.1
Gard, K.2
-
268
-
-
0027986890
-
Parameterizing age patterns of demographic rates with the multiexponential model schedule
-
Rogers A., and Little J.S. Parameterizing age patterns of demographic rates with the multiexponential model schedule. Mathematical Population Studies 4 (1994) 175-195
-
(1994)
Mathematical Population Studies
, vol.4
, pp. 175-195
-
-
Rogers, A.1
Little, J.S.2
-
269
-
-
0006962860
-
-
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria
-
Rogers A., and Planck F. Model: A general program for estimating parameterized model schedules of fertility, mortality, migration, and marital and labor force status transitions (1983), International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria
-
(1983)
Model: A general program for estimating parameterized model schedules of fertility, mortality, migration, and marital and labor force status transitions
-
-
Rogers, A.1
Planck, F.2
-
271
-
-
0023463852
-
General versus elderly interstate migration and population redistribution in the United States
-
Rogers A., and Watkins J. General versus elderly interstate migration and population redistribution in the United States. Research on Aging 9 (1987) 483-529
-
(1987)
Research on Aging
, vol.9
, pp. 483-529
-
-
Rogers, A.1
Watkins, J.2
-
272
-
-
0025944285
-
Assessing state population projections with transparent multiregional demographic models
-
Rogers A., and Woodward J.A. Assessing state population projections with transparent multiregional demographic models. Population Research and Policy Review 10 (1991) 1-26
-
(1991)
Population Research and Policy Review
, vol.10
, pp. 1-26
-
-
Rogers, A.1
Woodward, J.A.2
-
273
-
-
0001622331
-
Cohort and period measures of changing fertility
-
Bulatao R., and Lee R.D. (Eds), Academic Press, New York
-
Ryder N.B. Cohort and period measures of changing fertility. In: Bulatao R., and Lee R.D. (Eds). Determinants of fertility in developing countries vol. 2 (1983), Academic Press, New York 737-756
-
(1983)
Determinants of fertility in developing countries
, vol.2
, pp. 737-756
-
-
Ryder, N.B.1
-
274
-
-
0025634637
-
What is going to happen to American fertility?
-
Ryder N.B. What is going to happen to American fertility?. Population and Development Review 16 (1990) 433-454
-
(1990)
Population and Development Review
, vol.16
, pp. 433-454
-
-
Ryder, N.B.1
-
275
-
-
0029332130
-
Predictability, complexity, and catastrophe in a collapsible model of population, development, and environmental interactions
-
Sanderson W.C. Predictability, complexity, and catastrophe in a collapsible model of population, development, and environmental interactions. Mathematical Population Studies 5 (1995) 259-279
-
(1995)
Mathematical Population Studies
, vol.5
, pp. 259-279
-
-
Sanderson, W.C.1
-
276
-
-
84937260002
-
Knowledge can improve forecasts: A review of selected socioeconomic population projection models
-
Frontiers of population forecasting, Population Council, New York 1998
-
Sanderson W.C. Knowledge can improve forecasts: A review of selected socioeconomic population projection models. Frontiers of population forecasting. Supplement to Population and Development Review vol. 24 (1999), Population Council, New York 88-117 1998
-
(1999)
Supplement to Population and Development Review
, vol.24
, pp. 88-117
-
-
Sanderson, W.C.1
-
277
-
-
20444432306
-
Average remaining lifetimes can increase as human populations age
-
Sanderson W.C., and Scherbov S. Average remaining lifetimes can increase as human populations age. Nature 435 (2005) 811-813
-
(2005)
Nature
, vol.435
, pp. 811-813
-
-
Sanderson, W.C.1
Scherbov, S.2
-
279
-
-
0021066149
-
Parameters of mortality in human populations with widely varying life spans
-
Siler W. Parameters of mortality in human populations with widely varying life spans. Statistics in Medicine 2 (1983) 373-380
-
(1983)
Statistics in Medicine
, vol.2
, pp. 373-380
-
-
Siler, W.1
-
280
-
-
0034649488
-
An investigation into parametric models for mortality projections, with applications to immediate annuitants' and life office pensioners' data
-
Sithole T.Z., Haberman S., and Verrall R.J. An investigation into parametric models for mortality projections, with applications to immediate annuitants' and life office pensioners' data. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics 27 (2000) 285-312
-
(2000)
Insurance: Mathematics and Economics
, vol.27
, pp. 285-312
-
-
Sithole, T.Z.1
Haberman, S.2
Verrall, R.J.3
-
281
-
-
33745952210
-
Principal components representation of ASFR: Model of fertility estimation and projection
-
Cairo Demographic Center
-
Sivamurthy M. Principal components representation of ASFR: Model of fertility estimation and projection. CDC research monograph number 16 (1987), Cairo Demographic Center 655-693
-
(1987)
CDC research monograph number
, vol.16
, pp. 655-693
-
-
Sivamurthy, M.1
-
282
-
-
0023530374
-
Tests of forecast accuracy and bias for county population projections
-
Smith S.K. Tests of forecast accuracy and bias for county population projections. Journal of the American Statistical Association 82 (1987) 991-1003
-
(1987)
Journal of the American Statistical Association
, vol.82
, pp. 991-1003
-
-
Smith, S.K.1
-
283
-
-
0031521402
-
Further thoughts on simplicity and complexity in population projection models
-
Smith S.K. Further thoughts on simplicity and complexity in population projection models. International Journal of Forecasting 13 (1997) 557-565
-
(1997)
International Journal of Forecasting
, vol.13
, pp. 557-565
-
-
Smith, S.K.1
-
284
-
-
0025443997
-
On the relationship between length of base period and population forecast errors
-
Smith S.K., and Sincich T. On the relationship between length of base period and population forecast errors. Journal of the American Statistical Association 85 (1990) 367-375
-
(1990)
Journal of the American Statistical Association
, vol.85
, pp. 367-375
-
-
Smith, S.K.1
Sincich, T.2
-
285
-
-
0026165943
-
An empirical analysis of the effect of length of forecast horizon on population forecast errors
-
Smith S.K., and Sincich T. An empirical analysis of the effect of length of forecast horizon on population forecast errors. Demography 28 (1991) 261-274
-
(1991)
Demography
, vol.28
, pp. 261-274
-
-
Smith, S.K.1
Sincich, T.2
-
286
-
-
0026948888
-
Evaluating the forecast accuracy and bias of alternative population projections for states
-
Smith S.K., and Sincich T. Evaluating the forecast accuracy and bias of alternative population projections for states. International Journal of Forecasting 8 (1992) 495-508
-
(1992)
International Journal of Forecasting
, vol.8
, pp. 495-508
-
-
Smith, S.K.1
Sincich, T.2
-
287
-
-
33745932715
-
-
Sobotka, T. (2005). Childless societies? Trends and projections of childlessness in Europe and the United States. Paper presented at the Eurostat/ECE Joint Work Session on Demographic Projections, Vienna.
-
-
-
-
289
-
-
0024015931
-
Dealing with uncertainty: Statistics for an aging population
-
Stoto M.A. Dealing with uncertainty: Statistics for an aging population. The American Statistician 42 (1988) 103-110
-
(1988)
The American Statistician
, vol.42
, pp. 103-110
-
-
Stoto, M.A.1
-
290
-
-
0027737958
-
Forecasting survival, health, and disability: Report on a workshop
-
Stoto M.A., and Durch J.S. Forecasting survival, health, and disability: Report on a workshop. Population Development and Review 19 (1993) 557-581
-
(1993)
Population Development and Review
, vol.19
, pp. 557-581
-
-
Stoto, M.A.1
Durch, J.S.2
-
291
-
-
0029513896
-
Between a rock and a hard place: The evaluation of demographic forecasts
-
Swanson D.A., and Tayman J. Between a rock and a hard place: The evaluation of demographic forecasts. Population Research and Policy Review 14 (1995) 233-249
-
(1995)
Population Research and Policy Review
, vol.14
, pp. 233-249
-
-
Swanson, D.A.1
Tayman, J.2
-
292
-
-
0002123174
-
Some stochastic versions of the matrix model for population dynamics
-
Sykes Z.M. Some stochastic versions of the matrix model for population dynamics. Journal of the American Statistical Association 44 (1969) 111-130
-
(1969)
Journal of the American Statistical Association
, vol.44
, pp. 111-130
-
-
Sykes, Z.M.1
-
293
-
-
0012322514
-
A review of demographic forecasting models for mortality
-
Tabeau E., Van Den Berg Jeths A., and Heathcote C. (Eds), Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht
-
Tabeau E. A review of demographic forecasting models for mortality. In: Tabeau E., Van Den Berg Jeths A., and Heathcote C. (Eds). Forecasting mortality in developed countries: Insights from a statistical, demographic and epidemiological perspective (2001), Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht 1-32
-
(2001)
Forecasting mortality in developed countries: Insights from a statistical, demographic and epidemiological perspective
, pp. 1-32
-
-
Tabeau, E.1
-
294
-
-
29144454047
-
Predicting mortality from period, cohort or cause-specific trends: A study of four European countries
-
Tabeau E., Van Den Berg Jeths A., and Heathcote C. (Eds), Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht
-
Tabeau E., Ekamper P., Huisman C., and Bosch A. Predicting mortality from period, cohort or cause-specific trends: A study of four European countries. In: Tabeau E., Van Den Berg Jeths A., and Heathcote C. (Eds). Forecasting mortality in developed countries: Insights from a statistical, demographic and epidemiological perspective (2001), Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht 159-187
-
(2001)
Forecasting mortality in developed countries: Insights from a statistical, demographic and epidemiological perspective
, pp. 159-187
-
-
Tabeau, E.1
Ekamper, P.2
Huisman, C.3
Bosch, A.4
-
295
-
-
33745944909
-
Parameterisation as a tool in analysing age, period and cohort effects on mortality: A case study of the Netherlands
-
Wunsch G., Mouchart M., and Duchene J. (Eds), Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht, The Netherlands
-
Tabeau E., Willekens F., and van Poppel F. Parameterisation as a tool in analysing age, period and cohort effects on mortality: A case study of the Netherlands. In: Wunsch G., Mouchart M., and Duchene J. (Eds). The life table: Modelling survival and death (2002), Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht, The Netherlands 141-169
-
(2002)
The life table: Modelling survival and death
, pp. 141-169
-
-
Tabeau, E.1
Willekens, F.2
van Poppel, F.3
-
296
-
-
0031806333
-
The role of population size in the determination and prediction of population forecast errors: An evaluation using confidence intervals for subcounty areas
-
Tayman J., Schafer E., and Carter L. The role of population size in the determination and prediction of population forecast errors: An evaluation using confidence intervals for subcounty areas. Population Research and Policy Review 17 (1998) 1-20
-
(1998)
Population Research and Policy Review
, vol.17
, pp. 1-20
-
-
Tayman, J.1
Schafer, E.2
Carter, L.3
-
297
-
-
0033387907
-
On the validity of MAPE as a measure of population forecast accuracy
-
Tayman J., and Swanson D.A. On the validity of MAPE as a measure of population forecast accuracy. Population Research and Policy Review 18 (1999) 299-322
-
(1999)
Population Research and Policy Review
, vol.18
, pp. 299-322
-
-
Tayman, J.1
Swanson, D.A.2
-
298
-
-
0033503619
-
In search of the ideal measure of accuracy for subnational demographic forecasts
-
Tayman J., Swanson D.A., and Barr C.F. In search of the ideal measure of accuracy for subnational demographic forecasts. Population Research and Policy Review 18 (1999) 387-409
-
(1999)
Population Research and Policy Review
, vol.18
, pp. 387-409
-
-
Tayman, J.1
Swanson, D.A.2
Barr, C.F.3
-
301
-
-
0020874106
-
Estimating the co-variates of age at marriage and first birth
-
Trussell J., and Bloom D.E. Estimating the co-variates of age at marriage and first birth. Population Studies 37 (1983) 403-416
-
(1983)
Population Studies
, vol.37
, pp. 403-416
-
-
Trussell, J.1
Bloom, D.E.2
-
303
-
-
0031578270
-
Taking the measure of uncertainty
-
Tuljapurkar S. Taking the measure of uncertainty. Nature 387 (1997) 760-761
-
(1997)
Nature
, vol.387
, pp. 760-761
-
-
Tuljapurkar, S.1
-
304
-
-
85011186903
-
Forecasting mortality change: Questions and assumptions
-
Tuljapurkar S. Forecasting mortality change: Questions and assumptions. North American Actuarial Journal 2 (1998) 127-134
-
(1998)
North American Actuarial Journal
, vol.2
, pp. 127-134
-
-
Tuljapurkar, S.1
-
305
-
-
33745964195
-
Stochastic forecasts of mortality, population and pension systems
-
Keilman N. (Ed), Swedish Social Insurance Agency, Stockholm
-
Tuljapurkar S. Stochastic forecasts of mortality, population and pension systems. In: Keilman N. (Ed). Perspectives on mortality forecasting. Probabilistic models vol. II (2005), Swedish Social Insurance Agency, Stockholm 65-77
-
(2005)
Perspectives on mortality forecasting. Probabilistic models
, vol.II
, pp. 65-77
-
-
Tuljapurkar, S.1
-
306
-
-
85011229240
-
Mortality change and forecasting: How much and how little do we know?
-
Tuljapurkar S., and Boe C. Mortality change and forecasting: How much and how little do we know?. North American Actuarial Journal 2 (1998) 13-47
-
(1998)
North American Actuarial Journal
, vol.2
, pp. 13-47
-
-
Tuljapurkar, S.1
Boe, C.2
-
307
-
-
0002245207
-
Validation, probability-weighted priors, and information in stochastic forecasts
-
Tuljapurkar S., and Boe C. Validation, probability-weighted priors, and information in stochastic forecasts. International Journal of Forecasting 15 (1999) 259-271
-
(1999)
International Journal of Forecasting
, vol.15
, pp. 259-271
-
-
Tuljapurkar, S.1
Boe, C.2
-
308
-
-
0031237548
-
Demographic uncertainty and the stable equivalent population
-
Tuljapurkar S., and Lee R.D. Demographic uncertainty and the stable equivalent population. Mathematical and Computer Modelling 26 (1997) 39-56
-
(1997)
Mathematical and Computer Modelling
, vol.26
, pp. 39-56
-
-
Tuljapurkar, S.1
Lee, R.D.2
-
310
-
-
0034660649
-
A universal pattern of mortality decline in the G7 countries
-
Tuljapurkar S., Li N., and Boe C. A universal pattern of mortality decline in the G7 countries. Nature 405 (2000) 789-792
-
(2000)
Nature
, vol.405
, pp. 789-792
-
-
Tuljapurkar, S.1
Li, N.2
Boe, C.3
-
311
-
-
33745946097
-
Methodology of the United Nations population estimates and projections
-
World population prospects: The 1998 revision, United Nations, New York
-
United Nations. Methodology of the United Nations population estimates and projections. World population prospects: The 1998 revision. Analytical report vol. III (2000), United Nations, New York 175-188
-
(2000)
Analytical report
, vol.III
, pp. 175-188
-
-
United Nations1
-
314
-
-
1942538079
-
Using birth expectations information in national population forecasts
-
Keilman N., and Cruijsen H. (Eds), Swets and Zeitlinger, Amsterdam
-
Van de Giessen H. Using birth expectations information in national population forecasts. In: Keilman N., and Cruijsen H. (Eds). National population forecasting in industrialized countries (1992), Swets and Zeitlinger, Amsterdam 223-241
-
(1992)
National population forecasting in industrialized countries
, pp. 223-241
-
-
Van de Giessen, H.1
-
315
-
-
33745965494
-
A review of epidemiological approaches to forecasting mortality and morbidity
-
Tabeau E., Van Den Berg Jeths A., and Heathcote C. (Eds), Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht
-
Van Den Berg Jeths A., Hoogenveen R., De Hollander G., and Tabeau E. A review of epidemiological approaches to forecasting mortality and morbidity. In: Tabeau E., Van Den Berg Jeths A., and Heathcote C. (Eds). Forecasting mortality in developed countries: Insights from a statistical, demographic and epidemiological perspective (2001), Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht 33-56
-
(2001)
Forecasting mortality in developed countries: Insights from a statistical, demographic and epidemiological perspective
, pp. 33-56
-
-
Van Den Berg Jeths, A.1
Hoogenveen, R.2
De Hollander, G.3
Tabeau, E.4
-
316
-
-
33745964911
-
-
Van der Gaag, N., De Beer, J., & Willekens, F. (2005). Combining micro and macro approaches in demographic forecasting. Paper presented at the Joint Eurostat-UNECE Work Session on Demographic Projections, Vienna. 21-23 September 2005.
-
-
-
-
317
-
-
4243573469
-
Incorporating risk factor epidemiology in mortality projections
-
Tabeau E., Van Den Berg Jeths A., and Heathcote C. (Eds), Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht
-
Van Genugten M., Hoogenveen R., and De Hollander A. Incorporating risk factor epidemiology in mortality projections. In: Tabeau E., Van Den Berg Jeths A., and Heathcote C. (Eds). Forecasting mortality in developed countries: Insights from a statistical, demographic and epidemiological perspective (2001), Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht 189-204
-
(2001)
Forecasting mortality in developed countries: Insights from a statistical, demographic and epidemiological perspective
, pp. 189-204
-
-
Van Genugten, M.1
Hoogenveen, R.2
De Hollander, A.3
-
318
-
-
29144531527
-
Projecting mortality in population forecasts in the Netherlands
-
Tabeau E., Van Den Berg Jeths A., and Heathcote C. (Eds), Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht
-
Van Hoorn W., and De Beer J. Projecting mortality in population forecasts in the Netherlands. In: Tabeau E., Van Den Berg Jeths A., and Heathcote C. (Eds). Forecasting mortality in developed countries: Insights from a statistical, demographic and epidemiological perspective (2001), Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht 205-226
-
(2001)
Forecasting mortality in developed countries: Insights from a statistical, demographic and epidemiological perspective
, pp. 205-226
-
-
Van Hoorn, W.1
De Beer, J.2
-
319
-
-
33745939730
-
-
Van Hoorn, W., & Keilman, N. (1997). Birth expectations and their use in fertility forecasting (Eurostat Working Paper No. E4/1997-4). Luxemburg: Eurostat.
-
-
-
-
321
-
-
0022105767
-
Heterogeneity's ruses: Some surprising effects of selection on population dynamics
-
Vaupel J.W., and Yashin A.I. Heterogeneity's ruses: Some surprising effects of selection on population dynamics. The American Statistician 39 (1985) 176-185
-
(1985)
The American Statistician
, vol.39
, pp. 176-185
-
-
Vaupel, J.W.1
Yashin, A.I.2
-
322
-
-
0025942110
-
Elusive cycles: Are there dynamically possible Lee-Easterlin models for U.S. births?
-
Wachter K.W. Elusive cycles: Are there dynamically possible Lee-Easterlin models for U.S. births?. Population Studies 45 (1991) 109-135
-
(1991)
Population Studies
, vol.45
, pp. 109-135
-
-
Wachter, K.W.1
-
323
-
-
0040814868
-
The validity of birth intentions: Evidence from US longitudinal studies
-
Hendershot G.E., and Placek P.J. (Eds), Lexington Books, Lexington, MA
-
Westoff C. The validity of birth intentions: Evidence from US longitudinal studies. In: Hendershot G.E., and Placek P.J. (Eds). Predicting fertility (1981), Lexington Books, Lexington, MA 51-59
-
(1981)
Predicting fertility
, pp. 51-59
-
-
Westoff, C.1
-
324
-
-
0025523780
-
Demographic forecasting; state-of-the-art and research needs
-
Hazeu C.A., and Frinking G.A.B. (Eds), Elsevier Science
-
Willekens F.J. Demographic forecasting; state-of-the-art and research needs. In: Hazeu C.A., and Frinking G.A.B. (Eds). Emerging issues in demographic research (1990), Elsevier Science 9-75
-
(1990)
Emerging issues in demographic research
, pp. 9-75
-
-
Willekens, F.J.1
-
325
-
-
0039222688
-
National population forecasting: State-of-the-art and research needs
-
Keilman N., and Cruijsen H. (Eds), Swets and Zeitlinger, Amsterdam
-
Willekens F.J. National population forecasting: State-of-the-art and research needs. In: Keilman N., and Cruijsen H. (Eds). National population forecasting in industrialized countries (1992), Swets and Zeitlinger, Amsterdam 283-322
-
(1992)
National population forecasting in industrialized countries
, pp. 283-322
-
-
Willekens, F.J.1
-
326
-
-
33745937173
-
Gompertz in context: The Gompertz and related distributions
-
Tabeau E., Van Den Berg Jeths A., and Heathcote C. (Eds), Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht
-
Willekens F.J. Gompertz in context: The Gompertz and related distributions. In: Tabeau E., Van Den Berg Jeths A., and Heathcote C. (Eds). Forecasting mortality in developed countries: Insights from a statistical, demographic and epidemiological perspective (2001), Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht 105-126
-
(2001)
Forecasting mortality in developed countries: Insights from a statistical, demographic and epidemiological perspective
, pp. 105-126
-
-
Willekens, F.J.1
-
327
-
-
33745968253
-
Biographic forecasting: Bridging the micro-macro gap in population forecasting
-
Dharmalingam A., and Pool I. (Eds)
-
Willekens F.J. Biographic forecasting: Bridging the micro-macro gap in population forecasting. In: Dharmalingam A., and Pool I. (Eds). New Zealand population review, special issue on stochastic population projections vol. 31 (2005) 77-124
-
(2005)
New Zealand population review, special issue on stochastic population projections
, vol.31
, pp. 77-124
-
-
Willekens, F.J.1
-
329
-
-
33745952831
-
-
Willekens, F.J., De Beer, J., and Van der Gaag, N. (2005). MicMac: from demographic to biographic forecasting. Paper presented at the Joint Eurostat-UNECE Work Session on Demographic projections, Vienna. 21-23 September 2005.
-
-
-
-
330
-
-
0025525128
-
Variation in vital rates by age, period and cohort
-
Wilmoth J.R. Variation in vital rates by age, period and cohort. Sociological Methodology 20 (1990) 295-335
-
(1990)
Sociological Methodology
, vol.20
, pp. 295-335
-
-
Wilmoth, J.R.1
-
332
-
-
0029476742
-
Are mortality projections always more pessimistic when disaggregated by cause of death?
-
Wilmoth J.R. Are mortality projections always more pessimistic when disaggregated by cause of death?. Mathematical Population Studies 5 (1995) 293-319
-
(1995)
Mathematical Population Studies
, vol.5
, pp. 293-319
-
-
Wilmoth, J.R.1
-
333
-
-
0029483839
-
Are mortality rates falling at extremely high ages? An investigation based on a model proposed by Coale and Kisker
-
Wilmoth J.R. Are mortality rates falling at extremely high ages? An investigation based on a model proposed by Coale and Kisker. Population Studies 49 (1995) 281-295
-
(1995)
Population Studies
, vol.49
, pp. 281-295
-
-
Wilmoth, J.R.1
-
334
-
-
0002760777
-
Mortality projections for Japan: A comparison of four methods
-
Caselli G., and Lopez A. (Eds), Oxford University Press, New York
-
Wilmoth J.R. Mortality projections for Japan: A comparison of four methods. In: Caselli G., and Lopez A. (Eds). Health and mortality among elderly populations (1996), Oxford University Press, New York 266-287
-
(1996)
Health and mortality among elderly populations
, pp. 266-287
-
-
Wilmoth, J.R.1
-
335
-
-
33745954005
-
Age-period-cohort models in demography
-
Caselli G., Vallin J., and Wunsch G. (Eds), INED, Paris
-
Wilmoth J.R. Age-period-cohort models in demography. In: Caselli G., Vallin J., and Wunsch G. (Eds). Demographie: Analyse et synthese. La Dynamique des Populations vol. I (2001), INED, Paris 379-397
-
(2001)
Demographie: Analyse et synthese. La Dynamique des Populations
, vol.I
, pp. 379-397
-
-
Wilmoth, J.R.1
-
336
-
-
33745963603
-
Some methodological issues in mortality projection, based on an analysis of the U.S. social security system
-
Wilmoth J.R. Some methodological issues in mortality projection, based on an analysis of the U.S. social security system. Genus LXI (2005) 179-212
-
(2005)
Genus
, vol.LXI
, pp. 179-212
-
-
Wilmoth, J.R.1
-
337
-
-
24944529735
-
Australia's uncertain demographic future
-
Wilson T., and Bell M. Australia's uncertain demographic future. Demographic Research 11 (2004) 195-234
-
(2004)
Demographic Research
, vol.11
, pp. 195-234
-
-
Wilson, T.1
Bell, M.2
-
338
-
-
24944562646
-
Recent developments in population projection methodology: A review
-
Wilson T., and Rees P. Recent developments in population projection methodology: A review. Population, Space and Place II (2005) 337-360
-
(2005)
Population, Space and Place
, vol.II
, pp. 337-360
-
-
Wilson, T.1
Rees, P.2
-
339
-
-
33745940373
-
-
Wolf, D.A. (2004). Another variation on the Lee-Carter model. Paper presented at the Annual meeting of the Population Association of America, Boston.
-
-
-
-
340
-
-
85011124308
-
Projecting mortality trends: Recent developments in the United Kingdom and the United States
-
Wong-Fupuy C., and Haberman S. Projecting mortality trends: Recent developments in the United Kingdom and the United States. North American Actuarial Journal 8 (2004) 56-83
-
(2004)
North American Actuarial Journal
, vol.8
, pp. 56-83
-
-
Wong-Fupuy, C.1
Haberman, S.2
-
341
-
-
33745942158
-
Mortality models incorporating theoretical concepts of ageing
-
Tabeau E., Van Den Berg Jeths A., and Heathcote C. (Eds), Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht
-
Yashin A.I. Mortality models incorporating theoretical concepts of ageing. In: Tabeau E., Van Den Berg Jeths A., and Heathcote C. (Eds). Forecasting mortality in developed countries: Insights from a statistical, demographic and epidemiological perspective (2001), Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht 261-280
-
(2001)
Forecasting mortality in developed countries: Insights from a statistical, demographic and epidemiological perspective
, pp. 261-280
-
-
Yashin, A.I.1
-
343
-
-
0018332013
-
The four-parameter logit life table system
-
Zaba B. The four-parameter logit life table system. Population Studies 33 (1979) 79-100
-
(1979)
Population Studies
, vol.33
, pp. 79-100
-
-
Zaba, B.1
-
344
-
-
6244291957
-
A parameterized procedure for projecting population
-
International Union for the Scientific Study of Population, Liège
-
Zaba B. A parameterized procedure for projecting population. International Population Conference, Florence vol. 4 (1985), International Union for the Scientific Study of Population, Liège 137-150
-
(1985)
International Population Conference, Florence
, vol.4
, pp. 137-150
-
-
Zaba, B.1
-
345
-
-
0023521699
-
The indirect estimation of migration: A critical review
-
Zaba B. The indirect estimation of migration: A critical review. International Migration Review 21 (1987) 1395-1444
-
(1987)
International Migration Review
, vol.21
, pp. 1395-1444
-
-
Zaba, B.1
-
346
-
-
0034440250
-
A simple method for projecting or estimating α and β: An extension of the Brass relational Gompertz fertility model
-
Zeng Y., Zhenglian W., Zhongdong M., and Chunjun C. A simple method for projecting or estimating α and β: An extension of the Brass relational Gompertz fertility model. Population Research and Policy Review 19 (2000) 525-549
-
(2000)
Population Research and Policy Review
, vol.19
, pp. 525-549
-
-
Zeng, Y.1
Zhenglian, W.2
Zhongdong, M.3
Chunjun, C.4
|