Probabilistic Projections of the Total Fertility Rate for All Countries

Demography

Volumn 48, Issue 3, 2011, Pages 815-839

  Alkema, Leontine ^a   Raftery, Adrian E ^b   Gerland, Patrick ^c   Clark, Samuel J ^b,d,e   Pelletier, François ^c   Buettner, Thomas ^c   Heilig, Gerhard K ^c  

^a NATIONAL UNIVERSITY OF SINGAPORE   (Singapore)

^b UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON   (United States)

^c UNITED NATIONS   (United States)

^d UNIVERSITY OF THE WITWATERSRAND   (South Africa)

^e Studies of the Epidemiology of Epilepsy in Demographic Surveillance Systems   (South Africa)

Author keywords

Autoregressive model; Bayesian hierarchical model; Fertility projection methodology; Markov chain Monte Carlo; United Nations World Population Prospects

Indexed keywords

EID: 79960486695     PISSN: 00703370     EISSN: 15337790     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s13524-011-0040-5     Document Type: Article

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