Abrupt climate change: A paleoclimate perspective from the world's highest mountains

Geophysical Monograph Series

Volumn 193, Issue 1, 2011, Pages 215-233

  Thompson, Lonnie G ^a  

^a OHIO STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 84899881471     PISSN: None     EISSN: None     Source Type: Book Series    
DOI: 10.1029/2010GM001023     Document Type: Conference Paper

References (96)

1. Abarzua, A. M., and P. I. Moreno (2008), Changing fire regimes in the temperate rainforest region of southern Chile over the last 16,000 yr, Quat. Res., 69(1), 62-71.
2. Arendt, A. A., K. A. Echelmeyer, W. D. Harrison, C. S. Lingle, and V. B. Valentine (2002), Rapid wastage of Alas glaciers and their contribution to rising sea level, Science, 297, 382-386.
3. Baker, P. A., G. O. Seltzer, S. C. Fritz, R. B. Dunbar, M. J. Grove, P. M. Tapia, S. L. Cross, H. D. Rowe, and J. P. Broda (2001), The history of South American tropical precipitation for the past 25,000 years, Science, 291(5504), 640-643.
4. Bar-Matthews, M., and A. Avalon (2004), Speleothems as paleoclimate indicators, a case study from Soreq Cave located in the Eastern Mediterranean Region, Israel, in Past Climate Variability Through Europe and Africa, edited by R. W. Battarbee et al., pp. 363-391, Springer, Dordrecht, Netherlands.
5. Bar-Matthews, M., A. Ayalon, A. Kaufman, and G. J. Wasserburg (1999), The Eastern Mediterranean paleoclimate as a reflection of regional events: Soreq Cave, Israel, Earth Planet. Sci. Lett., 166(1-2), 85-95.
6. Baroni, C., and G. Orombelli (1996), The Alpine "Iceman" and Holocene climatic change, Quat. Res., 46(1), 78-83.
7. Bradley, R. S., M. Vuille, D. Hardy, and L. G. Thompson (2003), Low latitude ice cores record Pacific sea surface temperatures, Geophys. Res. Lett., 30(4), 1174, doi:10.1029/2002GL016546.
8. Bradley, R. S., M. Vuille, H. F. Diaz, andW. Vergara (2006), Threats to water supplies in the tropical Andes, Science, 312(5781), 1755-1756.
9. Buffen, A. M., L. G. Thompson, E. Mosley-Thompson, and K. I. Huh (2009), Recently exposed vegetation reveals Holocene changes in the extent of the Quelccaya Ice Cap, Peru, Quat. Res., 72(2), 157-163.
10. Butzer, K. W. (1997), Sociopolitical Discontinuity in the Near East C. 2200 B.C.E.: Scenarios from Palestine and Egypt, in Third Millenium BC Climate Change and Old World Collapse, edited by H. N. Dalfes, G. Kukla, and H.Weiss, pp. 245-296, Springer, Berlin.
11. Cardich, A. (1985), The fluctuating upper limits of cultivation in the central Andes and their impact on Peruvian prehistory, Adv. World Archaeol., 4, 293-333.
12. Chalié, F., and F. Gasse (2002), Late Glacial-Holocene diatom record of water chemistry and lake level change from the tropical East African Rift Lake Abiyata (Ethiopia), Palaeogeogr. Palaeoclimatol. Palaeoecol., 187(3-4), 259-283.
13. Chappellaz, J., T. Blunier, S. Kints, A. Dällenbach, J.-M. Barnola, J. Schwander, D. Raynaud, and B. Stauffer (1997), Changes in the atmospheric CH4 gradient between Greenland and Antarctica during the Holocene, J. Geophys. Res., 102(D13), 15,987 - 15,997.
14. Coudrain, A., B. Francou, and Z. W. Kundzewicz (2005), Glacier shrinkage in the Andes and consequences for water resources - Editorial, Hydrol. Sci. J., 50(6), 925-932.
15. Cullen, H. M., P. B. deMenocal, S. Hemming, G. Hemming, F. H. Brown, T. Guilderson, and F. Sirocko (2000), Climate change and the collapse of the Akdian empire: Evidence from the deep sea, Geology, 28(4), 379-382.
16. Davis, M. E., and L. G. Thompson (2006), An Andean ice-core record of a middle Holocene mega-drought in north Africa and Asia, Ann. Glaciol., 43, 34-41.
17. deMenocal, P., J. Ortiz, T. Guilderson, J. Adkins, M. Sarnthein, L. Baker, and M. Yarusinsky 2000 Abrupt onset and termination of the African Humid Period: Rapid climate responses to gradual insolation forcing Quat. Sci. Rev., 19(1-5), 347-361.
18. Eitel, B., S. Hecht, B. Mächtle, G. Schukraft, A. Kadereit, G. A. Wagner, B. Kromer, I. Unkel, and M. Reindel (2005), Geoarchaeological evidence from desert loess in the Nazca-Palpa region, southern Peru: Palaeoenvironmental changes and their impact on pre-Columbian cultures, Archaeometry, 47, 137-158.
19. Elsig, J., J. Schmitt, D. Leuenberger, R. Schneider, M. Eyer, M. Leuenberger, F. Joos, H. Fischer, and T. F. Stocker (2009), Stable isotope constraints on Holocene carbon cycle changes from an Antarctic ice core, Nature, 461, 507-510, doi:10.1038/nature08393.
20. Gasse, F. (1977), Evolution of Lake Abhe (Ethiopia and TFAI), from 70,000 BP, Nature, 265(5589), 42-45.
21. Gasse, F., et al. (1991), A 13,000-year climate record from western Tibet, Nature, 353(6346), 742-745.
22. Gasse, F., J. C. Fontes, E. Van Campo, and K.Wei (1996), Holocene environmental changes in Bangong Co basin (western Tibet). Part 4: Discussion and conclusions, Palaeogeogr. Palaeoclimatol. Palaeoecol., 120(1-2), 79-92.
23. Gillespie, R., F. A. Street-Perrott, and R. Switsur (1983), Postglacial arid episodes in Ethiopia have implications for climate prediction, Nature, 306(5944), 680-683.
24. Giorgi, F., P. H. Whetton, R. G. Jones, J. H. Christensen, L. O. Mearns, B. Hewitson, H. vonStorch, R. Francisco, and C. Jack (2001), Emerging patterns of simulated regional climatic changes for the 21st century due to anthropogenic forcings, Geophys. Res. Lett., 28(17), 3317-3320.
25. Grosjean, M., L. Núñez, I. Cartajena, and B. Messerli (1997), Mid- Holocene climate and culture change in the Atacama Desert, northern Chile, Quat. Res., 48(2), 239-246.
26. Hall, M. H. P., and D. B. Fagre (2003), Modeled climate-induced glacier change in Glacier National Park, 1850-2100, Bioscience, 53(2), 131-140.
27. Hansen, J., M. Sato, R. Ruedy, K. Lo, D. W. Lea, and M. Medina- Elizade (2006), Global temperature change, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U. S. A., 103, 14,288-14,293, doi:10.1073/pnas.0606291103.
28. Hassan, F. A. (1997), Nile floods and political disorder in early Egypt, in Third Millennium BC Climate Change and Old World Collapse, edited by H. N. Dalfes, G. Kukla, and H.Weiss, pp. 1-24, Springer, Berlin.
29. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) (Ed.) (2007), Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis: Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the IPCC, edited by S. Solomon et al., Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge, New York.
30. Jones, P. D., and M. E. Mann (2004), Climate over past millennia, Rev. Geophys., 42, RG2002, doi:10.1029/2003RG000143.
31. Jones, P. D., and A. Moberg (2003), Hemispheric and large-scale surface air temperature variations: An extensive revision and an update to 2001, J. Clim., 16(2), 206-223.
32. Kehrwald, N. M., L. G. Thompson, Y. Tandong, E. Mosley- Thompson, U. Schotterer, V. Alfimov, J. Beer, J. Eikenberg, and M. E. Davis (2008), Mass loss on Himalayan glacier endangers water resources, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L22503, doi:10.1029/2008GL035556.
33. Lindstrom, S. (1990), Submerged tree stumps as indicators of mid- Holocene aridity in the Lake Tahoe Basin, J. Calif. Great Basin Anthropol., 12, 146-157.
34. Liu, X. D., and B. D. Chen (2000), Climatic warming in the Tibetan Plateau during recent decades, Int. J. Climatol., 20(14), 1729-1742.
35. Mächtle, B., B. Eitel, A. Kadereit, and I. Unkel (2006), Holocene environmental changes in the northern Atacama desert, southern Peru (14°30'S) and their impact on the rise and fall of Pre- Columbian cultures, Z. Geomorphol. Suppl., 142, 47-62.
36. Magny, M., and J. N. Haas (2004), A major widespread climatic change around 5300 cal. yr BP at the time of the Alpine Iceman, J. Quat. Sci., 19(5), 423-430.
37. Mann, M. E., and P. D. Jones (2003), Global surface temperatures over the past two millennia, Geophys. Res. Lett., 30(15), 1820, doi:10.1029/ 2003GL017814.
38. Mann, M. E., Z. Zhang, S. Rutherford, R. S. Bradley, M. K. Hughes, D. Shindell, C. Ammann, G. Faluvegi, and F. Ni (2009), Global signatures and dynamical origins of the Little Ice Age and Medieval Climate Anomaly, Science, 326, 1256-1260.
39. Maslin, M. A., et al. (2000), Palaeoreconstruction of the Amazon River freshwater and sediment discharge using sediments recovered at Site 942 on the Amazon Fan, J. Quat. Sci., 15(4), 419-434.
40. Matsuo, K., and K. Heki (2010), Time-variable ice loss in Asian high mountains from satellite gravimetry, Earth Planet. Sci. Lett., 290(1-2), 30-36.
41. Meier, M. F., M. B. Dyurgerov, U. K. Rick, S. O'Neel, W. T. Pfeffer, R. S. Anderson, S. P. Anderson, and A. F. Glazovsky (2007), Glaciers dominate Eustatic sea-level rise in the 21st century, Science, 317(5841), 1064-1067.
42. Molnia, B. F. (2007), Late nineteenth to early twenty-first century behavior of Alaskan glaciers as indicators of changing regional climate, Global Planet. Change, 56(1-2), 23-56.
43. Moy, C. M., G. O. Seltzer, D. T. Rodbell, and D. M. Anderson (2002), Variability of El Niño/Southern Oscillation activity at millennial timescales during the Holocene epoch, Nature, 420(6912), 162-165.
44. Müller, S. A., F. Joos, N. R. Edwards, and T. F. Stocker (2006), Water mass distribution and ventilation time scales in a costefficient, three-dimensional ocean model, J. Clim., 19, 5470-5499.
45. National Research Council (2002), Abrupt Climate Change Inevitable Surprises, 244 pp., Natl. Acad. Press, Washington, D. C.
46. Nissen, H. J. (1988), The Early History of the Ancient Near East, 9000-2000 B.C, 224 pp., Univ. of Chicago Press, Chicago, Ill.
47. Núñez, L., M. Grosjean, and I. Cartajena (2002), Human occupations and climate change in the Puna de Atacama, Chile, Science, 298(5594), 821-824.
48. Paulsen, A. C. (1976), Environment and empire: Climatic factors in prehistoric Andean culture change, World Archaeol., 8(2), 121-132.
49. Pepin, N. C., and J. D. Lundquist (2008), Temperature trends at high elevations: Patterns across the globe, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L14701, doi:10.1029/2008GL034026.
50. Postgate, N. (1986), The transition from Uruk to Early Dynastic: Continuities and discontinuities in the record of settlement, in Gemdet Nasr: Period or Regional Style?, edited by U. Finkbeiner and W. Rollig, pp. 90 - 106, Ludwig Reichert, Wiesbaden, Germany.
51. Qin, J., K. Yang, S. Liang, and X. Guo (2009), The altitudinal dependence of recent rapid warming over the Tibetan Plateau, Clim. Change, 97, 321-327, doi:10.1007/s10584-009-9733-9.
52. Raynaud, D., J.-M. Barnola, J. Chappellaz, T. Blunier, A. Indermühle, and B. Stauffer (2000), The ice record of greenhouse gases: A view in the context of future changes, Quat. Sci. Rev., 19(1-5), 9-17.
53. Rein, B., A. Lückge, and F. Sirocko (2004), A major Holocene ENSO anomaly during the Medieval period, Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L17211, doi:10.1029/2004GL020161.
54. Rein, B., A. Lückge, L. Reinhardt, F. Sirocko, A. Wolf, and W.-C. Dullo (2005), El Niño variability off Peru during the last 20,000 years, Paleoceanography, 20, PA4003, doi:10.1029/2004PA001099.
55. Rodbell, D. T., G. O. Seltzer, D. M. Anderson, M. B. Abbott, D. B. Enfield, and J. H. Newman (1999), An ~15,000-year record of El Niño-driven alluviation in southwestern Ecuador, Science, 283(5410), 516-520.
56. Rothman, M. S. (2004), Studying the development of complex society: Mesopotamia in the late fifth and fourth millennia BC, J. Archaeol. Res., 12, 75-119.
57. Rowe, H. D., R. B. Dunbar, D. A. Mucciarone, G. O. Seltzer, P. A. Baker, and S. Fritz (2002), Insolation, moisture balance and climate change on the South American Altiplano since the Last Glacial Maximum, Clim. Change, 52(1-2), 175-199.
58. Sandweiss, D. H. (2003), Terminal Pleistocene through mid- Holocene archaeological sites as paleoclimatic archives for the Peruvian coast, Palaeogeogr. Palaeoclimatol. Palaeoecol., 194(1-3), 23-40.
59. Seidel, D. J., and W. J. Randel (2007), Recent widening of the tropical belt: Evidence from tropopause observations, J. Geophys. Res., 112, D20113, doi:10.1029/2007JD008861.
60. Seidel, D. J., Q. Fu, W. J. Randel, and T. J. Reichler (2008), Widening of the tropical belt in a changing climate, Nat. Geosci., 1, 21-24.
61. Sellers, W. D. (1965), Physical Climatology, Univ. of Chicago Press, Chicago, Ill.
62. Seltzer, G., D. Rodbell, and S. Burns (2000), Isotopic evidence for late Quaternary climatic change in tropical South America, Geology, 28(1), 35-38.
63. Servant, M., and S. Servant-Vildary (1980), L'environnement quaternaire du bassin du Tchad, in The Sahara and the Nile, edited by M. A. J.Williams and H. Faure, pp. 133-162, A. A. Balkema, Rotterdam, Netherlands.
64. Sobel, A. H. (2002), Water vapor as an active scalar in tropical atmospheric dynamics, Chaos, 2(2), 451-459.
65. Staubwasser, M., and H. Weiss (2006), Holocene climate and cultural evolution in late prehistoric-early historic West Asia, Quat. Res., 66, 372-387.
66. Staubwasser, M., F. Sirocko, P. M. Grootes, and M. Segl (2003), Climate change at the 4.2 ka BP termination of the Indus valley civilization and Holocene south Asian monsoon variability, Geophys. Res. Lett., 30(8), 1425, doi:10.1029/2002GL016822.
67. Swap, R., M. Garstang, S. Greco, R. Talbot, and P. Kållberg (1992), Saharan Dust in the Amazon Basin, Tellus, Ser. B, 44(2), 133-149.
68. Tapia, P. M., S. C. Fritz, P. A. Baker, G. O. Seltzer, and R. B. Dunbar (2003), A Late Quaternary diatom record of tropical climatic history from Lake Titicaca (Peru and Bolivia), Palaeogeogr. Palaeoclimatol. Palaeoecol., 194(1-3), 139-164.
69. Tapley, T. D., and P. R. Waylen (1990), Spatial variability of annual precipitation and ENSO events in western Peru, Hydrol. Sci. J., 35(4), 429-446.
70. Thompson, L. G. (2000), Ice core evidence for climate change in the Tropics: Implications for our future, Quat. Sci. Rev., 19(1-5), 19-35.
71. Thompson, L. G., E. Mosley-Thompson, M. E. Davis, J. F. Bolzan, J. Dai, L. Klein, T. Yao, X. Wu, Z. Xie, and N. Gundestrup (1989), Holocene-late Pleistocene climatic ice core records from Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau, Science, 246(4929), 474-477.
72. Thompson, L. G., M. E. Davis, and E. Mosley-Thompson (1994), Glacial records of global climate: A 1500-year tropical ice core record of climate, Hum. Ecol., 22(1), 83-95.
73. Thompson, L. G., E. Mosley-Thompson, M. E. Davis, P.-N. Lin, K. A. Henderson, J. Cole-Dai, J. F. Bolzan, and K.-B. Liu (1995), Late-Glacial Stage and Holocene tropical ice core records from Huascarán, Peru, Science, 269(5220), 46-50.
74. Thompson, L. G., T. Yao, M. E. Davis, K. A. Henderson, E. Mosley- Thompson, P.-N. Lin, J. Beer, H.-A. Synal, J. Cole-Dai, and J. F. Bolzan (1997), Tropical climate instability: The last glacial cycle from a Qinghai-Tibetan ice core, Science, 276(5320), 1821-1825.
75. Thompson, L. G., et al. (1998), A 25,000 year tropical climate history from Bolivian ice cores, Science, 282(5295), 1858-1864.
76. Thompson, L. G., T. Yao, E. Mosley-Thompson, M. E. Davis, K. A. Henderson, and P.-N. Lin (2000), A high-resolution millennial record of the South Asian Monsoon from Himalayan ice cores, Science, 289(5486), 1916-1919.
77. Thompson, L. G., et al. (2002), Kilimanjaro ice core records: Evidence of Holocene climate change in tropical Africa, Science, 298(5593), 589-593.
78. Thompson, L. G., E. Mosley-Thompson, M. E. Davis, P.-N. Lin, K. Henderson, and T. A. Mashiotta (2003), Tropical glacier and ice core evidence of climate change on annual to millennial time scales, Clim. Change, 59, 137-155.
79. Thompson, L. G., E. Mosley-Thompson, H. Brecher, M. Davis, B. León, D. Les, P.-N. Lin, T. Mashiotta, and K. Mountain (2006a), Abrupt tropical climate change: Past and present, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U. S. A., 103(28), 10,536-10,543.
80. Thompson, L. G., T. Yao, M. E. Davis, E. Mosley-Thompson, T. A. Mashiotta, P.-N. Lin, V. N. Mikhalenko, and V. S. Zagorodnov (2006b), Holocene climate variability archived in the Puruogangri ice cap on the central Tibetan Plateau, Ann. Glaciol., 43, 61-69.
81. Thompson, L. G., H. H. Brecher, E. Mosley-Thompson, D. R. Hardy, and B. G. Mark (2009), Glacier loss on Kilimanjaro continues unabated, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U. S. A., 106(47), 19,770-19,775.
82. Thompson, L. G., H. H. Brecher, E. Mosley-Thompson, D. R. Hardy, and B. G. Mark (2010), Response to Mölg et al.: Glacier loss on Kilimanjaro is consistent with widespread ice loss in low latitudes, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U. S. A., 107(17), E69-E70.
83. Vonmoos, M., J. Beer, and R. Muscheler (2006), Large variations in Holocene solar activity: Constraints from 10Be in the Greenland Ice Core Project ice core, J. Geophys. Res., 111, A10105, doi:10.1029/2005JA011500.
84. Voorhies, B., and S. E. Metcalfe (2007), Culture and climate in Mesoamerica during the middle Holocene, in Climate Change and Cultural Dynamics: A Global Perspective on Mid-Holocene Transitions, edited by D. G. Anderson, K. A. Maasch, and D. H. Sandweiss, pp. 157-188, Elsevier, Amsterdam.
85. Wanner, H., et al. (2008), Mid- to late Holocene climate change: An overview, Quat. Sci. Rev., 27, 1791-1828.
86. Wang, Y. J., H. Cheng, R. L. Edwards, Y. He, X. Kong, Z. An, J. Wu, M. J. Kelly, C. A. Dykoski, and X. Li (2005), The Holocene Asian monsoon: Links to solar changes and North Atlantic climate, Science, 308(5723), 854-857.
87. Webster, P. J. (2004), The Elementary Hadley Circulation, in The Hadley Circulation: Past, Present and Future, edited by H. F. Diaz and R. Bradley, pp. 9-60, Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge, U. K.
88. Webster, P. J., V. O. Magaña, T. N. Palmer, J. Shukla, R. A. Tomas, M. Yanai, and T. Yasunari (1998), Monsoons: Processes, predictability, and the prospects for prediction, J. Geophys. Res., 103(C7), 14,451-14,510.
89. Weiss, H. (2003), Ninevite Periods and Processes, in The Origins of North Mesopotamian Civilization: Ninevite 5 Chronology, Economy, Society, edited by E. Rova and H. Weiss, pp. 593-624, Brepols, Turnhout, Belgium.
90. Weiss, H., and R. S. Bradley (2001), What drives societal collapse?, Science, 291(5504), 609-610.
91. Weiss, H., M.-A. Courty,W.Wetterstrom, F. Guichard, L. Senior, R. Meadow, and A. Curnow (1993), The genesis and collapse of third millennium North Mesopotamian civilization, Science, 261(5124), 995-1004.
92. Wu, W. X., and T. S. Liu (2004), Possible role of the "Holocene Event 3" on the collapse of Neolithic Cultures around the central Plain of China, Quat. Int., 117, 153-166.
93. Xiao, J. L., Q. Xu, T. Nakamura, X. Yang,W. Liang, and Y. Inouchi (2004), Holocene vegetation variation in the Daihai Lake region of north-central China: A direct indication of the Asian monsoon climatic history, Quat. Sci. Rev., 23(14-15), 1669-1679.
94. Yao, T., J. Pu, A. Lu, Y. Wang, and W. Yu (2007), Recent glacial retreat and its impact on hydrological processes on the Tibetan Plateau, China, and surrounding regions, Arct. Antarct. Alp. Res., 39(4), 642-650.
95. Ye, Q., T. Yao, S. Kang, F. Chen, and J. Wang (2006), Glacier variations in the Naimona'nyi region, western Himalaya, in the last three decades, Ann. Glaciol., 43, 385-389.
96. You, Q., S. Kang, N. Pepin, and Y. Yan (2008), Relationship between trends in temperature extremes and elevation in the eastern and central Tibetan Plateau, 1961-2005, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L04704, doi:10.1029/2007GL032669.