How Robust Are Probabilistic Models of Higher-Level Cognition?

Psychological Science

Volumn 24, Issue 12, 2013, Pages 2351-2360

  Marcus, Gary F ^a   Davis, Ernest ^a  

^a NEW YORK UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

Bayesian models; cognition(s); optimality

Indexed keywords

COGNITION; EXECUTIVE FUNCTION; HUMAN; PHYSIOLOGY; PSYCHOLOGICAL MODEL; STATISTICAL MODEL;

COGNITION; EXECUTIVE FUNCTION; HUMANS; MODELS, PSYCHOLOGICAL; MODELS, STATISTICAL;

EID: 84890369284     PISSN: 09567976     EISSN: 14679280     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1177/0956797613495418     Document Type: Article

References (46)

1. American Academy of Poets. (1997-2013). Life/Lines. Retrieved from http://www.poets.org/page.php/prmID/339.
2. Anderson J. R.,Schooler L. J.Reflections of the environment in memory.Psychological Science. 1991;2:396-408.
3. Battaglia, P., Hamrick, J., & Tenenbaum, J. B. (in press). Simulation as an engine of physical scene understanding. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, USA.
4. Boseovski J. J.,Lee K.Children's use of frequency information for trait categorization and behavioral prediction.Developmental Psychology. 2006;42:500-513.
5. Bowers J. S.,Davis C. J.Bayesian just-so stories in psychology and neuroscience.Psychological Bulletin. 2012;138:389-414.
6. Caramazza A.,McCloskey M.,Green B.Naive beliefs in "sophisticated" subjects: Misconceptions about trajectories of objects.Cognition. 1981;9:117-123.
7. Eberhardt F.,Danks D.Confirmation in the cognitive sciences: The problematic case of Bayesian models.Minds and Machines. 2011;21:389-410.
8. Evans J. S. B. T.Bias in human reasoning: Causes and consequences. Mahwah, NJ: Erlbaum; 1989:.
9. Frank M. C.,Goodman N. D.Predicting pragmatic reasoning in language games.Science. 2012;336:998.
10. Gigerenzer G.,Hoffrage U.How to improve Bayesian reasoning without instruction: Frequency formats.Psychological Review. 1995;102:684-704.
11. Gopnik A.Scientific thinking in young children: Theoretical advances, empirical research, and policy implications.Science. 2012;337:1623-1627.
12. Griffiths T. L.,Tenenbaum J. B.Optimal predictions in everyday cognition.Psychological Science. 2006;17:767-773.
13. Griffiths T. L.,Vul E.,Sanborn A. N.Bridging levels of analysis for probabilistic models of cognition.Current Directions in Psychological Science. 2012;21:263-268.
14. Gutheil G.,Gelman S. A.Children's use of sample size and diversity information within basic-level categories.Journal of Experimental Child Psychology. 1997;64:159-174.
15. Gweon H.,Tenenbaum J. B.,Schulz I. E.Infants consider both the sample and the sampling process in inductive generalization.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, USA. 2011;107:9066-9071.
16. Jacob F.Evolution and tinkering.Science. 1977;196:1161-1166.
17. Jacobs R. A.,Kruschke J. K.Bayesian learning theory applied to human cognition.Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Cognitive Science. 2011;2:8-21.
18. Jones M.,Love B. C.Bayesian fundamentalism or enlightenment? On the explanatory status and theoretical contributions of Bayesian models of cognition [Target article and commentaries].Behavioral & Brain Sciences. 2011;34:169-231.
19. Kahneman D.Maps of bounded rationality: Psychology for behavioral economics.American Economic Review. 2003;93:1449-1475.
20. Kahneman D.,Tversky A.On the psychology of prediction.Psychological Review. 1973;80:237-251.
21. KhemlaniS. S.LotsteinM.Johnson-LairdP. (2012). The probabilities of unique events. PLoS ONE, 7(10), e45975. Retrieved from http://dx.doi.org/10.1371%2Fjournal.pone.0045975.
22. Körding K. P.,Wolpert D. M.Bayesian integration in sensorimotor learning.Nature. 2004;427:244-247.
23. Leary M. R.,Forsyth D. R.Attributions of responsibility for collective endeavors.Review of Personality and Social Psychology. 1987;8:167-188.
24. Loftus E. F.Eyewitness testimony. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press; 1996:.
25. Marcus G. F.Kluge: The haphazard construction of the human mind. Boston, MA: Houghton Mifflin; 2008:.
26. McCloskey M.Intuitive physics.Scientific American. 1983;248 (4): 114-122.
27. McNamara J. M.,Green R. F.,Olsson O.Bayes' theorem and its applications in animal behaviour.Oikos. 2006;112:243-251.
28. Oaksford M.,Chater N.Précis of Bayesian rationality: The probabilistic approach to human reasoning [Target article and commentaries].Behavioral & Brain Sciences. 2009;32:69-120.
29. Ramarajan D.,Vohnoutka R.,Kalish C.,Rhodes M.Does preschoolers' evidence selection support word learning?. 2012;:.
30. Rosenthal R.The file drawer problem and tolerance for null results.Psychological Bulletin. 1979;86:638-641.
31. Ross L.Advances in experimental social psychology. Berkowitz L., ed. New York, NY: Academic Press; 1977:173-220.
32. Siegler R. S.Three aspects of cognitive development.Cognitive Psychology. 1976;8:481-520.
33. Téglás E.,Vul E.,Girotto V.,Gonzalez M.,Tenenbaum J. B.,Bonatti L. L.Pure reasoning in 12-month-old infants as probabilistic inference.Science. 2011;332:1054-1059.
34. Tenenbaum J. B.,Griffiths T. L.Generalization, similarity, and Bayesian inference [Target article and commentaries].Behavioral & Brain Sciences. 2001a;24:629-791.
35. Tenenbaum J. B.,Griffiths T. L.Proceedings of the 23rd Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society. Moore J. D.Stenning K., ed. Mahwah, NJ: Erlbaum; 2001b:1036-1041.
36. Tenenbaum J. B.,Kemp C.,Griffiths T. L.,Goodman N. D.How to grow a mind: Statistics, structure, and abstraction.Science. 2011;331:1279-1285.
37. Timmers H.,Wagenaar W. A.Inverse statistics and misperception of exponential growth.Attention, Perception, & Psychophysics. 1977;21:558-562.
38. Trommershäuser J.,Landy M. S.,Maloney L. T.Humans rapidly estimate expected gain in movement planning.Psychological Science. 2006;17:981-988.
39. Tversky A.,Kahneman D.Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases.Science. 1974;185:1124-1131.
40. Tversky A.,Kahneman D.Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: The conjunction fallacy in probability judgment.Psychological Review. 1983;90:293-315.
41. West R. F.,Stanovich K. E.Is probability matching smart? Associations between probabilistic choices and cognitive ability.Memory & Cognition. 2003;31:243-251.
42. Wickens D. D.,Born D. G.,Allen C. K.Proactive inhibition and item similarity in short-term memory.Journal of Verbal Learning and Verbal Behavior. 1963;2:440-445.
43. Wikipedia. (2013). The Dark Knight (film). Retrieved from http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Dark_Knight_(film).
44. Xu F.,Garcia V.Intuitive statistics by 8-month-old infants.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, USA. 2008;105:5012-5015.
45. Xu F.,Kushnir T.Infants are rational constructivist learners.Current Directions in Psychological Science. 2013;22:28-32.
46. Xu F.,Tenenbaum J. B.Word learning as Bayesian inference.Psychological Review. 2007;114:245-272.