메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 57, Issue 1, 2013, Pages 51-60

A new methodology for weighting high-resolution model simulations to project future rainfall in the Middle East

Author keywords

Middle East rainfall; RCM; Weighted ensemble

Indexed keywords

CENTRAL STATIONS; CLIMATIC GRADIENTS; HIGH-RESOLUTION CLIMATE MODELS; HIGH-RESOLUTION MODELS; HISTORICAL DATA; MIDDLE EAST; RCM; WEIGHTED ENSEMBLE;

EID: 84880870514     PISSN: 0936577X     EISSN: 16161572     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.3354/cr01147     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (8)

References (37)
  • 1
    • 0036624136 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The paradoxical increase of mediterranean ex-treme daily rainfall in spite of decrease in total values
    • doi:10.1029/2001GL013554
    • Alpert P, Ben-Gai T, Baharad A, Benjamini Y and others (2002) The paradoxical increase of Mediterranean ex-treme daily rainfall in spite of decrease in total values. Geophys Res Lett 29:31-1-31-4, doi:10.1029/2001GL 013554
    • (2002) Geophys Res Lett , vol.29 , pp. 311-314
    • Alpert, P.1    Ben-Gai, T.2    Baharad, A.3    Benjamini, Y.4
  • 2
    • 51649098348 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climatic trends to extremes: Employing regional modeling and statistical interpretation over the e. Mediterranean
    • Alpert P, Krichak SO, Shafir H, Haim D, Osetinsky I (2008) Climatic trends to extremes: employing regional modeling and statistical interpretation over the E. Mediterranean. Global Planet Change 63:163-170
    • (2008) Global Planet Change , vol.63 , pp. 163-170
    • Alpert, P.1    Krichak, S.O.2    Shafir, H.3    Haim, D.4    Osetinsky, I.5
  • 3
    • 0032429704 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Spatial and temporal changes in annual rainfall frequency distribution patterns in israel
    • Ben-Gai T, Bitan A, Manes A, Alpert P, Rubin S (1998) Spatial and temporal changes in annual rainfall frequency distribution patterns in Israel. Theor Appl Climatol 61: 177-190
    • (1998) Theor Appl Climatol , vol.61 , pp. 177-190
    • Ben-Gai, T.1    Bitan, A.2    Manes, A.3    Alpert, P.4    Rubin, S.5
  • 4
    • 64049103482 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Long range nino3.4 predictions using pair wise dynamic combinations of multiple models
    • Chowdhury S, Sharma A (2009) Long range NINO3.4 predictions using pair wise dynamic combinations of multiple models. J Clim 22:793-805
    • (2009) J Clim , vol.22 , pp. 793-805
    • Chowdhury, S.1    Sharma, A.2
  • 5
    • 34547225982 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ensembles and probabilities: A new era in the prediction of climate change
    • Collins M (2007) Ensembles and probabilities: a new era in the prediction of climate change. Philos Transact A Math Phys Eng Sci 365:1957-1970
    • (2007) Philos Transact A Math Phys Eng Sci , vol.365 , pp. 1957-1970
    • Collins, M.1
  • 6
    • 84873321859 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Is unequal weighting significantly better than equal weighting for multi-model forecasting?
    • DelSole T, Yang X, Tippett M (2013) Is unequal weighting significantly better than equal weighting for multi-model forecasting? Q J R Meteorol Soc 139:176-183
    • (2013) Q J R Meteorol Soc , vol.139 , pp. 176-183
    • DelSole, T.1    Yang, X.2    Tippett, M.3
  • 7
    • 0033844059 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Multimodel spread and probabilistic seasonal forecasts in provost
    • Doblas-Reyes FJ, Deque M, Piedelievre JP (2000) Multimodel spread and probabilistic seasonal forecasts in PROVOST. Q J R Meteorol Soc 126:2069-2088
    • (2000) Q J R Meteorol Soc , vol.126 , pp. 2069-2088
    • Doblas-Reyes, F.J.1    Deque, M.2    Piedelievre, J.P.3
  • 8
    • 33745456749 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change hot-spots
    • doi:10.1029/2006GL025734
    • Giorgi F (2006) Climate change hot-spots. Geophys Res Lett 33:L08707, doi:10.1029/2006GL025734
    • (2006) Geophys Res Lett , vol.33
    • Giorgi, F.1
  • 9
    • 51449087133 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change projections for the mediterranean region
    • Giorgi F, Lionello P (2008) Climate change projections for the Mediterranean region. Global Planet Change 63: 90-104
    • (2008) Global Planet Change , vol.63 , pp. 90-104
    • Giorgi, F.1    Lionello, P.2
  • 10
    • 22144463015 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Water resources of israel
    • Jerusalem
    • Gvirtsman C (2002) Water resources of Israel. Yad Ben Tsvi, Jerusalem
    • (2002) Yad Ben Tsvi
    • Gvirtsman, C.1
  • 11
    • 77958082013 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Overlapping codes within protein-coding sequences
    • Itzkovitz S, Hodis E, Segal E (2010) Overlapping codes within protein-coding sequences. Genome Res 20: 1582-1589
    • (2010) Genome Res , vol.20 , pp. 1582-1589
    • Itzkovitz, S.1    Hodis, E.2    Segal, E.3
  • 12
    • 80055106022 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Water cycle changes over the mediterranean: A comparison study of a super-high-resolution global model with cmip3. Philos transact a math phys
    • Jin F, Kitoh A, Alpert P (2009) Water cycle changes over the Mediterranean: a comparison study of a super-high-resolution global model with CMIP3. Philos Transact A Math Phys Eng Sci 368:1-13
    • (2009) Eng Sci , vol.368 , pp. 1-13
    • Jin, F.1    Kitoh, A.2    Alpert, P.3
  • 13
    • 58049185765 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • First super-high-resolution model projection that the ancient fertile crescent will disappear in this century
    • Kitoh A, Yatagai A, Alpert P (2008) First super-high-resolution model projection that the ancient Fertile Crescent will disappear in this century. Hydrolog Res Lett 2:1-4
    • (2008) Hydrolog Res Lett , vol.2 , pp. 1-4
    • Kitoh, A.1    Yatagai, A.2    Alpert, P.3
  • 14
    • 72049106921 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Numerical simulation of seasonal distribution of precipitation over the eastern mediterranean with a rcm
    • Krichak SO, Alpert P, Kunin P (2010) Numerical simulation of seasonal distribution of precipitation over the eastern Mediterranean with a RCM. Clim Dyn 34:47-59
    • (2010) Clim Dyn , vol.34 , pp. 47-59
    • Krichak, S.O.1    Alpert, P.2    Kunin, P.3
  • 15
    • 79951557077 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A doubleresolution transient rcm climate change simulation experiment for near-coastal eastern zone of the eastern mediterranean region
    • Krichak S, Breitgand J, Samuels R, Alpert P (2011) A doubleresolution transient RCM climate change simulation experiment for near-coastal eastern zone of the eastern Mediterranean region. Theor Appl Climatol 103:167-195
    • (2011) Theor Appl Climatol , vol.103 , pp. 167-195
    • Krichak, S.1    Breitgand, J.2    Samuels, R.3    Alpert, P.4
  • 16
    • 0025952277 scopus 로고
    • Divergence measures based on the shannon entropy
    • Lin J (1991) Divergence measures based on the Shannon entropy. IEEE Trans Inf Theory 37:145-151
    • (1991) IEEE Trans Inf Theory , vol.37 , pp. 145-151
    • Lin, J.1
  • 17
    • 70349539141 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • From climate model ensembles to climate change impacts and adaptation: A case study of water resource management in the southwest of england
    • doi:10.1029/2008WR007499
    • Lopez A, Fung F, New M, Watts G, Weston A, Wilby RL (2009) From climate model ensembles to climate change impacts and adaptation: a case study of water resource management in the southwest of England. Water Resour Res 45:W08419, doi:10.1029/2008WR007499
    • (2009) Water Resour Res , vol.45
    • Lopez, A.1    Fung, F.2    New, M.3    Watts, G.4    Weston, A.5    Wilby, R.L.6
  • 18
    • 69949157333 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A probabilistic multimodel ensemble approach to seasonal prediction
    • Min YM, Kryjov VN, Park CK (2009) A probabilistic multimodel ensemble approach to seasonal prediction. Weather Forecast 24:812-828
    • (2009) Weather Forecast , vol.24 , pp. 812-828
    • Min, Y.M.1    Kryjov, V.N.2    Park, C.K.3
  • 19
    • 33646431158 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • 20-kmmesh global climate simulations using JMA-GSM model-mean climate states
    • Mizuta R, Oouchi K, Yoshimura H and others (2006) 20-kmmesh global climate simulations using JMA-GSM model-mean climate states. J Meteorol Soc Jpn 84: 165-185
    • (2006) J Meteorol Soc Jpn , vol.84 , pp. 165-185
    • Mizuta, R.1    Oouchi, K.2    Yoshimura, H.3
  • 20
    • 0037229456 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Analysing six types of protein-protein interfaces
    • Ofran Y, Rost B (2003) Analysing six types of protein-protein interfaces. J Mol Biol 325:377-387
    • (2003) J Mol Biol , vol.325 , pp. 377-387
    • Ofran, Y.1    Rost, B.2
  • 21
    • 84861386891 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Can model weighting improve probabilistic projections of climate change?
    • Räisänen J, Ylhäisi JS (2011) Can model weighting improve probabilistic projections of climate change? Clim Dyn 39:1981-1998
    • (2011) Clim Dyn , vol.39 , pp. 1981-1998
    • Räisänen, J.1    Ylhäisi, J.S.2
  • 22
    • 77953023527 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Weighting of model results for improving best estimates of climate change
    • Räisänen J, Ruokolainen L, Ylhäisi J (2010) Weighting of model results for improving best estimates of climate change. Clim Dyn 35:407-422
    • (2010) Clim Dyn , vol.35 , pp. 407-422
    • Räisänen, J.1    Ruokolainen, L.2    Ylhäisi, J.3
  • 23
    • 80055118575 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Using ensemble of climate models to evaluate future water and solutes budgets in lake kinneret, israel
    • Rimmer A, Givati A, Samuels R, Alpert P (2011) Using ensemble of climate models to evaluate future water and solutes budgets in Lake Kinneret, Israel. J Hydrol (Amst) 410:248-259
    • (2011) J Hydrol (Amst) , vol.410 , pp. 248-259
    • Rimmer, A.1    Givati, A.2    Samuels, R.3    Alpert, P.4
  • 24
    • 11844296090 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Im proved combination of multiple atmospheric GCM en sembles for seasonal prediction
    • Robertson AW, Lall U, Zebiak SE, Goddard L (2004) Im proved combination of multiple atmospheric GCM en sembles for seasonal prediction. Mon Weather Rev 132: 2732-2744
    • (2004) Mon Weather Rev , vol.132 , pp. 2732-2744
    • Robertson, A.W.1    Lall, U.2    Zebiak, S.E.3    Goddard, L.4
  • 25
    • 77958548493 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change impacts on jordan river flow: Downscaling application from a regional climate model
    • Samuels R, Rimmer A, Hartmann A, Krichak S, Alpert P (2010) Climate change impacts on Jordan River flow: downscaling application from a regional climate model. J Hydrometeorol 11:860-879
    • (2010) J Hydrometeorol , vol.11 , pp. 860-879
    • Samuels, R.1    Rimmer, A.2    Hartmann, A.3    Krichak, S.4    Alpert, P.5
  • 26
    • 84855430022 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Extreme value indicators in highly resolved climate change simulations for the jordan river area
    • doi:10.1029/2011 JD 016322
    • Samuels R, Smiatek G, Krichak S, Kunstmann H, Alpert P (2011) Extreme value indicators in highly resolved climate change simulations for the Jordan River area. J Geophys Res 116:D2412, doi:10.1029/2011 JD 016322
    • (2011) J Geophys Res , vol.116
    • Samuels, R.1    Smiatek, G.2    Krichak, S.3    Kunstmann, H.4    Alpert, P.5
  • 27
    • 57849156930 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Joint projections of temperature and precipitation change from multiple climate models: A hierarchical bayesian approach
    • Sanso TCB (2008) Joint projections of temperature and precipitation change from multiple climate models: a hierarchical Bayesian approach. J R Stat Soc A 172: 83-106
    • (2008) J R Stat Soc A , vol.172 , pp. 83-106
    • Sanso, T.C.B.1
  • 28
    • 35948946930 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimating the potential for twenty-first century sudden climate change. Philos transact a math phys
    • Shindell D (2007) Estimating the potential for twenty-first century sudden climate change. Philos Transact A Math Phys Eng Sci 365:2675-2694
    • (2007) Eng Sci , vol.365 , pp. 2675-2694
    • Shindell, D.1
  • 29
    • 62449130191 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Alignment-free genome comparison with feature frequency profiles (ffp) and optimal resolutions
    • Sims GE, Jun SR, Wu G, Kim SH (2009) Alignment-free genome comparison with feature frequency profiles (FFP) and optimal resolutions. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 106:2677-2682
    • (2009) Proc Natl Acad Sci USA , vol.106 , pp. 2677-2682
    • Sims, G.E.1    Jun, S.R.2    Wu, G.3    Kim, S.H.4
  • 30
    • 84880906882 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • High resolution climate change simulations for eastern mediterranean and jordan river region
    • EGU 2010-EGU11251
    • Smiatek G, Kunstmann H, Heckl A (2010) High resolution climate change simulations for eastern Mediterranean and Jordan River region. Geophys Res Abstr 12: EGU 2010-EGU11251
    • (2010) Geophys Res Abstr , vol.12
    • Smiatek, G.1    Kunstmann, H.2    Heckl, A.3
  • 31
    • 80052314271 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • High resolution climate change simulations for the jordan river area
    • doi:10.1029/2010JD015313
    • Smiatek G, Kunstmann H, Heckl A (2011) High resolution climate change simulations for the Jordan River Area. J Geophys Res 116:D16111, doi:10.1029/2010JD015313
    • (2011) J Geophys Res , vol.116
    • Smiatek, G.1    Kunstmann, H.2    Heckl, A.3
  • 32
    • 34547198775 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ensemble climate predictions using climate models and observational constraints. Philos transact a math phys
    • Stott PA, Forest CE (2007) Ensemble climate predictions using climate models and observational constraints. Philos Transact A Math Phys Eng Sci 365:2029-2052
    • (2007) Eng Sci , vol.365 , pp. 2029-2052
    • Stott, P.A.1    Forest, C.E.2
  • 33
    • 33748082695 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Seeking sustainability: Israel's evolving water management strategy
    • Tal A (2006) Seeking sustainability: Israel's evolving water management strategy. Science 313:1081-1084
    • (2006) Science , vol.313 , pp. 1081-1084
    • Tal, A.1
  • 34
    • 31844441325 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Malaria early warnings based on seasonal climate forecasts from multi-model ensembles
    • Thomson MC, Doblas-Reyes FJ, Mason SJ, Hagedorn R and others (2006) Malaria early warnings based on seasonal climate forecasts from multi-model ensembles. Nature 439: 576-579
    • (2006) Nature , vol.439 , pp. 576-579
    • Thomson, M.C.1    Doblas-Reyes, F.J.2    Mason, S.J.3    Hagedorn, R.4
  • 35
    • 77955603386 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Risks of model weighting in multimodel climate projections
    • Weigel AP, Knutti R, Liniger MA, Appenzeller C (2010) Risks of model weighting in multimodel climate projections. J Clim 23:4175-4191
    • (2010) J Clim , vol.23 , pp. 4175-4191
    • Weigel, A.P.1    Knutti, R.2    Liniger, M.A.3    Appenzeller, C.4
  • 36
    • 72049088496 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ensembles: A new multi-model ensemble for seasonal-to-annual predictions: Skill and progress beyond demeter in forecasting tropical pacific ssts
    • doi: 10.1029/2009GL040896
    • Weisheimer A, Doblas-Reyes FJ, Palmer TN, Alessandri A and others (2009) ENSEMBLES: a new multi-model ensemble for seasonal-to-annual predictions: skill and progress beyond DEMETER in forecasting tropical Pacific SSTs. Geophys Res Lett 36:L21711, doi: 10.1029/2009GL040896
    • (2009) Geophys Res Lett , vol.36
    • Weisheimer, A.1    Doblas-Reyes, F.J.2    Palmer, T.N.3    Alessandri, A.4
  • 37
    • 34548597161 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessment of the use of current climate patterns to evaluate regional enhanced greenhouse response patterns of climate models
    • doi: 10.1029/2007GL030025
    • Whetton P, Macadam I, Bathols J, O'Grady J (2007) Assessment of the use of current climate patterns to evaluate regional enhanced greenhouse response patterns of climate models. Geophys Res Lett 34:L14701, doi: 10.1029/2007GL030025
    • (2007) Geophys Res Lett , vol.34
    • Whetton, P.1    Macadam, I.2    Bathols, J.3    O'Grady, J.4


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.