A double-resolution transient RCM climate change simulation experiment for near-coastal eastern zone of the Eastern Mediterranean region

Theoretical and Applied Climatology

Volumn 103, Issue 1, 2011, Pages 167-195

  Krichak, S O ^a   Breitgand, J S ^a   Samuels, R ^a   Alpert, P ^a  

^a TEL AVIV UNIVERSITY   (Israel)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

AIR TEMPERATURE; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATIC REGION; COASTAL ZONE; COMPUTER SIMULATION; GREENHOUSE GAS; LEAST SQUARES METHOD; LINEARITY; NONLINEARITY; NUMERICAL MODEL; REGIONAL CLIMATE; SCALE EFFECT; SPATIAL RESOLUTION; TEMPORAL VARIATION; TREND ANALYSIS;

MEDITERRANEAN REGION;

EID: 79951557077     PISSN: 0177798X     EISSN: 14344483     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00704-010-0279-6     Document Type: Article

References (38)

1. Caya D, Biner S (2004) Internal variability of RCM simulations over an annual cycle. Climate Dynamics 22: 33-46.
2. Christensen JH, Christensen OB (2003) Climate modelling: severe summertime flooding in Europe. Nature 421: 805-806.
3. Evans JP, Smith RB, Oglesby RJ (2004) Middle East climate simulation and dominant precipitation processes. Int J Climatol 24: 1671-1694.
4. Giorgi F (2005) Interdecadal variability of regional climate change: implications for the development of regional climate change scenarios. Meteorol Atmos Phys 89: 1-15. doi: 10. 1007/s00703-005-0118-y.
5. Giorgi F, Bi X, Pal JS (2004a) Mean, interannual variability and trends in a regional climate change experiment over Europe. I. Present-day climate (1961-1990). Clim Dyn 22: 733-756.
6. Giorgi F, Bi X, Pal JS (2004b) Mean, interannual variability and trends in a regional climate change experiment over Europe. II. climate change scenarios (2071-2100). Clim Dyn 23: 839-858.
7. Gubasch U (2001) Simulations of regional climate change. In: Lozan JL, Grassl H, Hupfer P (eds) Climate of 21st century: changes and risks. Scientific facts. ISBN 3-00-006227-0, 448pp.
8. Hagemann S, Göttel H, Jacob D, Lorenz P, Roeckner E (2008) Projected changes of the hydrological cycle over large European catchments as simulated by the MPI-M global and regional climate models, Geophysical Research Abstracts, 10, EGU2008-A-01136, SRef-ID: 1607-7962/gra/EGU2008-A-01136.
9. Heckl A, Kunstmann H (2009) High resolution transient regional climate simulations for the Eastern Mediterranean, Geophysical Research Abstracts, 11, EGU2009-10230.
10. IPCC (2001) Climate change 2001: the scientific basis, contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. In: Houghton JT et al (eds). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, pp 881.
11. IPCC (2007) Climate change - the physical science basis. In: Solomon S, Qin D, Manning M, Chen Z, Marquis M, Averyt KB, Tignor M, Miller HL (eds) Contribution of working group I to the fourth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, p 996.
12. Jones RG, Murphy JM, Noguer M (1995) Simulation of climate change over Europe using a nested regional climate model I: assessment of control climate, including sensitivity to location of lateral boundary conditions. Q J R Meteorol Soc 121: 1413-1449.
13. Jones RG, Murphy JM, Noguer M, Keen M (1997) Simulation of climate change over Europe using a nested regional climate model II: comparison of driving and regional model responses to a doubling of carbon dioxide. Q J R Meteorol Soc 123: 265-292.
14. Kendall MG, Dickinson Gribbons J (1990) Rank correlation methods (Charles Griffin Book Series), 5th edn, 272 p.
15. Köppen W, Geiger R (1936) Das geographische system der klimate. In: Köppen W, Geiger R (eds) Handbuch der klimatologie. Bd 1, Teil C, Verlag Gebrüder Bornträger, Berlin, p 44.
16. Krichak SO (2008) Regional climate model simulation of present-day regional climate over the European part of Russia with RegCM3, Russian Meteorology and Hydrology, 2008, Vol. 33, No. 1, pp. 20-26. _ Allerton Press, Inc., (Original Russian Text _ S. O. Krichak, 2008, published in Meteorologiya i Gidrologiya, 2008, No. 1, pp. 31-41).
17. Krichak SO, Alpert P (2010) Projection of climate change during first half of twenty-first century over the Easter Mediterranean region according to results of a transient RCM experiment with 25 km resolution. Geophysical Research Abstracts, 12, EGU2010.
18. Krichak SO, Alpert P, Krishnamurti TN (1997) Interaction of topography and tropospheric flow-a possible generator for the red sea trough? Meteorol Atmosph Phys 63(3-4): 149-158.
19. Krichak SO, Alpert P, Dayan M (2004) The role of atmospheric processes associated with hurricane Olga in the December 2001. J Hydrometeorology 5(6): 1259-1270.
20. Krichak SO, Alpert P, Bassat K, Kunin P (2007) The surface climatology of the eastern Mediterranean region obtained in a three-member ensemble climate change simulation experiment. Advances in Geosciences Adv Geosci 12: 67-80. www. adv-geosci. net/12/67/2007.
21. Krichak SO, Alpert P, Kunin P (2009a) Projections of climate change over non-boreal east Europe during first half of twenty-first century according to results of a transient RCM experiment. In: Groisman PYa, Ivanov SV (eds) Regional aspects of climate-terrestrial-hydrologic interactions in non-boreal eastern Europe. Springer, NATO Science for Peace and Security Series, Series C: Environmental Security, pp 55-62.
22. Krichak SO, Alpert P, Kunin P (2009b) Numerical simulation of seasonal distribution of precipitation over the Eastern Mediterranean with a RCM. Climate Dynamics. doi: 10. 1007/s00382-009-0649-x.
23. Leckebusch CC, Ulbrich U (2004) On the relationship between cyclones and extreme windstorm evens over Europe under climate change. Global Planet Change 44: 181-193.
24. Mann HB (1945) Nonparametric tests against trend. Econometrica 13: 245-259.
25. Meehl GA, Washington WM, Arblaster JM, Bettge TW, Strand WG (2000) Anthropogenic forcing and decadal climate variability in sensitivity experiments of twentieth- and twenty-first century climate. J Clim 13(21): 3728-3744.
26. Mitchell TD, Carter TR, Jones PD, Hulme M, New M (2004) A comprehensive set of high-resolution grids of monthly climate for Europe and the globe: the observed record (1901-2000) and 16 scenarios (2001-2100), Tyndall Centre Working Paper No. 55, Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research. University of East Anglia, Norwich.
27. Muller WA, Roeckner E (2008) ENSO teleconnections in projections of future climate in ECHAM5/MPI-OM. Clim Dyn. doi: 10. 1007/s00382-007-0357-3.
28. Onol B (2008) Examining future climatic impact over Eastern Mediterranean using a regional climate model ESF-MedCLIVAR Workshop on Climate Change Modelling for the Mediterranean Region. Trieste, Italy.
29. Pal JS, Giorgi F, Bi X, Elguindi N, Solmon F, Gao X, Rauscher SA, Francisco R, Zakey A, Winter J, Ashfaq M, Syed FS, Bell JL, Diffenbaugh NS, Karmacharya J, Konaré A, Martinez D, da Rocha RP, Sloan LC, Steiner AL (2007) Regional climate modeling for the developing world: The ICTP RegCM3 and RegCNET. Bull Amer Meteor Soc 88: 1395-1409.
30. 2 emissions. Proc of the Nat Acad Sci USA. doi: 10. 1073/pnas. 0700609104.
31. Rial JA, Pielke RA Sr, Beniston M, Claussen M, Canadell J, Cox P, Held H, De Noblet-Ducoudre N, Prinn R, Reynolds JF, Salas JD (2004) Nonlinearities, feedbacks, and critical thresholds within the Earth's climate system. Clim Change 65: 11-38.
32. Rodwell MJ, Hoskins B (1996) Monsoons and the dynamic of deserts. Q J Roy Meteorol Soc 122: 1385-1404.
33. Samuels R, Rimmer A, Krichak SO, Alpert P (2009) Climate change impacts on the Jordan River, Israel: downscaling application from a regional climate model. J Hydrometeorology (in press).
34. Takle ES, Roads J, Rockel B, Gutowski WJ, Arritt R, Menke I, Jones CG, Zadra A (2007) Transferability intercomparison: an opportunity for new insight on the global water cycle and energy budget. Bull Amer Meteorol Soc 88: 375-384.
35. Ulbrich U, Christoph M (1999) A shift of the NAO and increasing storm track activity over Europe due to anthropogenic greenhouse gas forcing. Climate Dynamics 15: 551-559.
36. Wang Y, Leung LR, McGregor JL, Lee DK, Wang W-C, Ding Y, Kimura F (2004) Regional climate modeling: progress, challenges, and prospects. J Meteorol Soc Japan 82(6): 1599-1628.
37. Ziv B, Dayan U, Sharon D (2005) A mid-winter, tropical extreme flood-producing storm in southern Israel: synoptic scale analysis. Meteorol Atmos Phys 88(1-2): 53-63.
38. Ziv B, Saaroni H, Romem M, Heifetz E, Harnik N, Baharad A (2010) Analysis of conveyor belts in winter Mediterranean cyclones. Theor Appl Climatol 99: 441-455. doi: 10. 1007/s00704-009-0150-9.