Evolutionary and ecological responses to anthropogenic climate change

Plant Physiology

Volumn 160, Issue 4, 2012, Pages 1728-1740

  Anderson, Jill T ^a,b   Panetta, Anne Marie ^b,c   Mitchell Olds, Thomas ^d  

^a UNIVERSITY OF SOUTH CAROLINA   (United States)

^b ROCKY MOUNTAIN BIOLOGICAL LABORATORY   (United States)

^c UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA   (United States)

^d DUKE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 84870791673     PISSN: 00320889     EISSN: 15322548     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1104/pp.112.206219     Document Type: Article

References (115)

1. Aguilar R, Quesada M, Ashworth L, Herrerias-Diego Y, Lobo J (2008) Genetic consequences of habitat fragmentation in plant populations: susceptible signals in plant traits and methodological approaches. Mol Ecol 17: 5177-5188
2. Ainsworth EA, Long SP (2005) What have we learned from 15 years of free-air CO2 enrichment (FACE)? A meta-analytic review of the responses of photosynthesis, canopy properties and plant production to rising CO2. New Phytol 165: 351-371
3. Aitken SN, Yeaman S, Holliday JA, Wang T, Curtis-McLane S (2008) Adaptation, migration or extirpation: climate change outcomes for tree populations. Evolutionary Applications 1: 95-111
4. Allendorf FW, Hohenlohe PA, Luikart G (2010) Genomics and the future of conservation genetics. Nat Rev Genet 11: 697-709
5. Alsos IG, Ehrich D, Thuiller W, Bronken Eidesen P, Tribsch A, Schonswetter P, Lagaye C, Taberlet P, Brochmann C (2012) Genetic consequences of climate change for northern plants. Proc R Soc B Biol Sci 279: 2042-2051
6. Anderson JT, Inouye DW, McKinney AM, Colautti RI, Mitchell-Olds T (2012) Phenotypic plasticity and adaptive evolution contribute to advancing flowering phenology in response to climate change. Proc Biol Sci 279: 3843-3852
7. Angert AL, Crozier LG, Rissler LJ, Gilman SE, Tewksbury JJ, Chunco AJ (2011) Do species' traits predict recent shifts at expanding range edges? Ecol Lett 14: 677-689
8. Arnold SJ, Bürger R, Hohenlohe PA, Ajie BC, Jones AG (2008) Understanding the evolution and stability of the G-matrix. Evolution 62: 2451-2461
9. Ashley MV (2010) Plant parentage, pollination and dispersal: how DNA microsatellites have altered the landscape. Crit Rev Plant Sci 29: 148-161
10. Balanyá J, Oller JM, Huey RB, Gilchrist GW, Serra L (2006) Global genetic change tracks global climate warming in Drosophila subobscura. Science 313: 1773-1775
11. Banta JA, Ehrenreich IM, Gerard S, Chou L, Wilczek AM, Schmitt J, Kover PX, Purugganan MD (2012) Climate envelope modelling reveals intraspecific relationships among flowering phenology, niche breadth and potential range size in Arabidopsis thaliana. Ecol Lett 15: 769-777
12. Barnosky AD, Hadly EA, Bascompte J, Berlow EL, Brown JH, Fortelius M, Getz WM, Harte J, Hastings A, Marquet PA, et al (2012) Approaching a state shift in Earth's biosphere. Nature 486: 52-58
13. Bastow R, Mylne JS, Lister C, Lippman Z, Martienssen RA, Dean C (2004) Vernalization requires epigenetic silencing of FLC by histone methylation. Nature 427: 164-167
14. Battisti DS, Naylor RL (2009) Historical warnings of future food insecurity with unprecedented seasonal heat. Science 323: 240-244
15. Becker C, Hagmann J, Müller J, Koenig D, Stegle O, Borgwardt K, Weigel D (2011) Spontaneous epigenetic variation in the Arabidopsis thaliana methylome. Nature 480: 245-249
16. Becker C, Weigel D (2012) Epigenetic variation: origin and transgenerational inheritance. Curr Opin Plant Biol (in press)
17. Blödner C, Goebel C, Feussner I, Gatz C, Polle A (2007) Warm and cold parental reproductive environments affect seed properties, fitness, and cold responsiveness in Arabidopsis thaliana progenies. Plant Cell Environ 30: 165-175
18. Böhlenius H, Huang T, Charbonnel-Campaa L, Brunner AM, Jansson S, Strauss SH, Nilsson O (2006) CO/FT regulatory module controls timing of flowering and seasonal growth cessation in trees. Science 312: 1040-1043
19. Bonduriansky R, Crean AJ, Day T (2012) The implications of nongenetic inheritance for evolution in changing environments. Evolutionary Applications 5: 192-201
20. Bossdorf O, Richards CL, Pigliucci M (2008) Epigenetics for ecologists. Ecol Lett 11: 106-115
21. Bossdorf O, Zhang YY (2011) A truly ecological epigenetics study. Mol Ecol 20: 1572-1574
22. Burger R, Lynch M (1995) Evolution and extinction in a changing environment: a quantitative-genetic analysis. Evolution 49: 151-163
23. Byars SG, Papst W, Hoffmann AA (2007) Local adaptation and cogradient selection in the alpine plant, Poa hiemata, along a narrow altitudinal gradient. Evolution 61: 2925-2941
24. Carvajal-Rodriguez A, Rolan-Alvarez E, Caballero A (2005) Quantitative variation as a tool for detecting human-induced impacts on genetic diversity. Biol Conserv 124: 1-13
25. Chen I-C, Hill JK, Ohlemüller R, Roy DB, Thomas CD (2011) Rapid range shifts of species associated with high levels of climate warming. Science 333: 1024-1026
26. Cook LM, Grant BS, Saccheri IJ, Mallet J (2012) Selective bird predation on the peppered moth: the last experiment of Michael Majerus. Biol Lett 8: 609-612
27. Crozier LG, Hendry AP, Lawson PW, Quinn TP, Mantua NJ, Battin J, Shaw RG, Huey RB (2008) Potential responses to climate change in organisms with complex life histories: evolution and plasticity in Pacific salmon. Evolutionary Applications 1: 252-270
28. Davis MB, Shaw RG (2001) Range shifts and adaptive responses to quaternary climate change. Science 292: 673-679
29. Davis MB, Shaw RG, Etterson JR (2005) Evolutionary responses to changing climate. Ecology 86: 1704-1714
30. Donohue K, Rubio de Casas R, Burghardt LT, Kovach K, Willis CG (2010) Germination, postgermination adaptation, and species ecological ranges. Annu Rev Ecol Syst 41: 293-319
31. Dunne JA, Harte J, Taylor KJ (2003) Subalpine meadow flowering phenology responses to climate change: integrating experimental and gradient methods. Ecol Monogr 73: 69-86
32. Dunne JA, Saleska SR, Fischer ML, Harte J (2004) Integrating experimental and gradient methods in ecological climate change research. Ecology 85: 904-916
33. Eckert AJ, van Heerwaarden J, Wegrzyn JL, Nelson CD, Ross-Ibarra J, González-Martínez SC, Neale DB (2010a) Patterns of population structure and environmental associations to aridity across the range of loblolly pine (Pinus taeda L., Pinaceae). Genetics 185: 969-982
34. Eckert CG, Kalisz S, Geber MA, Sargent R, Elle E, Cheptou PO, Goodwillie C, Johnston MO, Kelly JK, Moeller DA, et al (2010b) Plant mating systems in a changing world. Trends Ecol Evol 25: 35-43
35. Edwards CE, Ewers BE, McClung CR, Lou P, Weinig C (2012) Quantitative variation in water-use efficiency across water regimes and its relationship with circadian, vegetative, reproductive, and leaf gas-exchange traits. Mol Plant 5: 653-668
36. Etterson JR (2004) Evolutionary potential of Chamaecrista fasciculata in relation to climate change. I. Clinal patterns of selection along an environmental gradient in the great plains. Evolution 58: 1446-1458
37. Etterson JR (2008) Evolution in response to climate change. In C Fox, SP Carroll, eds, Conservation Biology: Evolution in Action. Oxford University Press, New York, pp 145-163
38. Etterson JR, Shaw RG (2001) Constraint to adaptive evolution in response to global warming. Science 294: 151-154
39. Feeley KJ, Rehm EM, Machovina B (2012) The responses of tropical forest species to global climate change: acclimate, adapt, migrate or go extinct. Frontiers of Biogeography 4: 69-84
40. Forrest J, Thomson JD (2011) An examination of synchrony between insect emergence and flowering in Rocky Mountain meadows. Ecol Monogr 81: 469-491
41. Fournier-Level A, Korte A, Cooper MD, Nordborg M, Schmitt J, Wilczek AM (2011) A map of local adaptation in Arabidopsis thaliana. Science 334: 86-89
42. Franks SJ, Sim S, Weis AE (2007) Rapid evolution of flowering time by an annual plant in response to a climate fluctuation. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 104: 1278-1282
43. Garrido E, Andraca-Gómez G, Fornoni J (2012) Local adaptation: simultaneously considering herbivores and their host plants. New Phytol 193: 445-453
44. Gienapp P, Teplitsky C, Alho JS, Mills JA, Merilä J (2008) Climate change and evolution: disentangling environmental and genetic responses. Mol Ecol 17: 167-178
45. Glémin S, Bazin E, Charlesworth D (2006) Impact of mating systems on patterns of sequence polymorphism in flowering plants. Proc Biol Sci 273: 3011-3019
46. Grant PR, Grant BR (2002) Unpredictable evolution in a 30-year study of Darwin's finches. Science 296: 707-711
47. Hairston N Jr, Ellner S, Geber M, Yoshida T, Fox J (2005) Rapid evolution and the convergence of ecological and evolutionary time. Ecol Lett 8: 1114-1127
48. Hancock AM, Brachi B, Faure N, Horton MW, Jarymowycz LB, Sperone FG, Toomajian C, Roux F, Bergelson J (2011) Adaptation to climate across the Arabidopsis thaliana genome. Science 334: 83-86
49. Hansen MM, Olivieri I, Waller DM, Nielsen EE (2012) Monitoring adaptive genetic responses to environmental change. Mol Ecol 21: 1311-1329
50. Harte J, Saleska SR, Shih T (2006) Shifts in plant dominance control carbon-cycle responses to experimental and widespread drought. Environ Res Lett 1: 1-4
51. Hereford J (2009) A quantitative survey of local adaptation and fitness trade-offs. Am Nat 173: 579-588
52. Hereford J (2010) Does selfing or outcrossing promote local adaptation? Am J Bot 97: 298-302
53. Herrera CM, Bazaga P (2011) Untangling individual variation in natural populations: ecological, genetic and epigenetic correlates of long-term inequality in herbivory. Mol Ecol 20: 1675-1688
54. Hickling R, Roy D, Hill J, Fox R, Thomas C (2006) The distributions of a wide range of taxonomic groups are expanding polewards. Glob Change Biol 12: 450-455
55. Hoffmann AA, Sgrò CM (2011) Climate change and evolutionary adaptation. Nature 470: 479-485
56. Holliday JA, Suren H, Aitken SN (2012) Divergent selection and heterogeneous migration rates across the range of Sitka spruce (Picea sitchensis). Proc Biol Sci 279: 1675-1683
57. Howe GT, Aitken SN, Neale DB, Jermstad KD, Wheeler NC, Chen THH (2003) From genotype to phenotype: unraveling the complexities of cold adaptation in forest trees. Can J Bot 81: 1247-1266
58. Inouye DW (2008) Effects of climate change on phenology, frost damage, and floral abundance of montane wildflowers. Ecology 89: 353-362
59. IPCC (2007) Climate change 2007: the physical science basis. In S Solomon, D Qin, M Manning, Z Chen, M Marquis, KB Averyt, M Tignor, HL Miller, eds, Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, New York
60. Jablonka E, Raz G (2009) Transgenerational epigenetic inheritance: prevalence, mechanisms, and implications for the study of heredity and evolution. Q Rev Biol 84: 131-176
61. Jump AS, Peñuelas J (2006) Genetic effects of chronic habitat fragmentation in a wind-pollinated tree. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 103: 8096-8100
62. Kardol P, Campany CE, Souza L, Norby RJ, Weltzin JF, Classen AT (2010) Climate change effects on plant biomass alter dominance patterns and community evenness in an experimental old-field ecosystem. Glob Change Biol 16: 2676-2687
63. Kelly MW, Sanford E, Grosberg RK (2012) Limited potential for adaptation to climate change in a broadly distributed marine crustacean. Proc Biol Sci 279: 349-356
64. Kirkpatrick M, Barton NH (1997) Evolution of a species' range. Am Nat 150: 1-23
65. Kremer A, Ronce O, Robledo-Arnuncio JJ, Guillaume F, Bohrer G, Nathan R, Bridle JR, Gomulkiewicz R, Klein EK, Ritland K, et al (2012) Long-distance gene flow and adaptation of forest trees to rapid climate change. Ecol Lett 15: 378-392
66. Kruuk LEB (2004) Estimating genetic parameters in natural populations using the "animal model." Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci 359: 873-890
67. Kuparinen A, Savolainen O, Schurr FM (2010) Increased mortality can promote evolutionary adaptation of forest trees to climate change. For Ecol Manage 259: 1003-1008
68. Lacey EP, Lovin ME, Richter SJ (2012) Fitness effects of floral plasticity and thermoregulation in a thermally changing environment. Am Nat 180: 342-353
69. Leakey ADB, Lau JA (2012) Evolutionary context for understanding and manipulating plant responses to past, present and future atmospheric [CO2]. Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci 367: 612-629
70. Leimu R, Fischer M (2008) A meta-analysis of local adaptation in plants. PLoS ONE 3: e4010
71. th century. Science 320: 1768-1771
72. Loarie SR, Duffy PB, Hamilton H, Asner GP, Field CB, Ackerly DD (2009) The velocity of climate change. Nature 462: 1052-1055
73. Long SP, Ainsworth EA, Leakey ADB, Nösberger J, Ort DR (2006) Food for thought: lower-than-expected crop yield stimulation with rising CO2 concentrations. Science 312: 1918-1921
74. Loss SR, Terwilliger LA, Peterson AC (2011) Assisted colonization: integrating conservation strategies in the face of climate change. Biol Conserv 144: 92-100
75. Lowry DB, Hall MC, Salt DE, Willis JH (2009) Genetic and physiological basis of adaptive salt tolerance divergence between coastal and inland Mimulus guttatus. New Phytol 183: 776-788
76. Magri D, Vendramin GG, Comps B, Dupanloup I, Geburek T, Gömöry D, Latałowa M, Litt T, Paule L, Roure JM, et al (2006) A new scenario for the quaternary history of European beech populations: palaeobotanical evidence and genetic consequences. New Phytol 171: 199-221
77. Maynard Smith J, Haigh J (1974) The hitch-hiking effect of a favourable gene. Genet Res 23: 23-35
78. McLachlan J, Clark JS, Manos PS (2005) Molecular indicators of tree migration capacity under rapid climate change. Ecology 86: 2088-2098
79. Moczek AP, Sultan SE, Foster S, Ledón-Rettig C, Dworkin I, Nijhout HF, Abouheif E, Pfennig DW (2011) The role of developmental plasticity in evolutionary innovation. Proc Biol Sci 278: 2705-2713
80. Nakamura I, Onoda Y, Matsushima N, Yokoyama J, Kawata M, Hikosaka K (2011) Phenotypic and genetic differences in a perennial herb across a natural gradient of CO2 concentration. Oecologia 165: 809-818
81. Nevo E, Fu Y-B, Pavlicek T, Khalifa S, Tavasi M, Beiles A (2012) Evolution of wild cereals during 28 years of global warming in Israel. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 109: 3412-3415
82. Nicotra AB, Atkin OK, Bonser SP, Davidson AM, Finnegan EJ, Mathesius U, Poot P, Purugganan MD, Richards CL, Valladares F, et al (2010) Plant phenotypic plasticity in a changing climate. Trends Plant Sci 15: 684-692
83. Nussey DH, Postma E, Gienapp P, Visser ME (2005) Selection on heritable phenotypic plasticity in a wild bird population. Science 310: 304-306
84. Ozgul A, Tuljapurkar S, Benton TG, Pemberton JM, Clutton-Brock TH, Coulson T (2009) The dynamics of phenotypic change and the shrinking sheep of St. Kilda. Science 325: 464-467
85. Pál C, Miklós I (1999) Epigenetic inheritance, genetic assimilation and speciation. J Theor Biol 200: 19-37
86. Parmesan C (2006) Ecological and evolutionary responses to recent climate change. Annu Rev Ecol Evol Syst 37: 637-669
87. Parmesan C, Yohe G (2003) A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems. Nature 421: 37-42
88. Paul JR, Sheth SN, Angert AL (2011) Quantifying the impact of gene flow on phenotype-environment mismatch: a demonstration with the scarlet monkeyflower Mimulus cardinalis. Am Nat (Suppl 1) 178: S62-S79
89. Petit RJ, Hampe A (2006) Some evolutionary consequences of being a tree. Annu Rev Ecol Evol Syst 37: 187-214
90. Richards CL, Bossdorf O, Muth NZ, Gurevitch J, Pigliucci M (2006) Jack of all trades, master of some? On the role of phenotypic plasticity in plant invasions. Ecol Lett 9: 981-993
91. Richards EJ (2006) Inherited epigenetic variation: revisiting soft inheritance. Nat Rev Genet 7: 395-401
92. Robinson EA, Ryan GD, Newman JA (2012) A meta-analytical review of the effects of elevated CO2 on plant-arthropod interactions highlights the importance of interacting environmental and biological variables. New Phytol 194: 321-336
93. Rockman MV (2012) The QTN program and the alleles that matter for evolution: all that's gold does not glitter. Evolution 66: 1-17
94. Savolainen O, Pyhajarvi T, Knurr T (2007) Gene flow and local adaptation in trees. Annu Rev Ecol Evol Syst 38: 595-619
95. Schmitz RJ, Ecker JR (2012) Epigenetic and epigenomic variation in Arabidopsis thaliana. Trends Plant Sci 17: 149-154
96. Shaw RG, Etterson JR (2012) Rapid climate change and the rate of adaptation: insight from experimental quantitative genetics. New Phytol 195: 752-765
97. Skoglund P, Malmström H, Raghavan M, Storå J, Hall P, Willerslev E, Gilbert MTP, Götherström A, Jakobsson M (2012) Origins and genetic legacy of Neolithic farmers and hunter-gatherers in Europe. Science 336: 466-469
98. Springer CJ, Ward JK (2007) Flowering time and elevated atmospheric CO2. New Phytol 176: 243-255
99. Stinchcombe JR, Hoekstra HE (2008) Combining population genomics and quantitative genetics: finding the genes underlying ecologically important traits. Heredity (Edinb) 100: 158-170
100. Teplitsky C, Mills JA, Alho JS, Yarrall JW, Merilä J (2008) Bergmann's rule and climate change revisited: disentangling environmental and genetic responses in a wild bird population. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 105: 13492-13496
101. Turchin MC, Chiang CWK, Palmer CD, Sankararaman S, Reich D, Hirschhorn JN (2012) Evidence of widespread selection on standing variation in Europe at height-associated SNPs. Nat Genet 44: 1015-1019
102. Umina PA, Weeks AR, Kearney MR, McKechnie SW, Hoffmann AA (2005) A rapid shift in a classic clinal pattern in Drosophila reflecting climate change. Science 308: 691-693
103. Verhoeven KJF, van Gurp TP (2012) Transgenerational effects of stress exposure on offspring phenotypes in apomictic dandelion. PLoS ONE 7: e38605
104. Wang T, Hamann A, Yanchuk A, O'Neill GA, Aitken SN (2006) Use of response functions in selecting lodgepole pine plantations for future climates. Glob Change Biol 12: 2404-2416
105. Wang T, O'Neill GA, Aitken SN (2010) Integrating environmental and genetic effects to predict responses of tree populations to climate. Ecol Appl 20: 153-163
106. Ward JK, Kelly JK (2004) Scaling up evolutionary response to elevated CO2: lessons from Arabidopsis. Ecol Lett 7: 427-440
107. Wellmer F, Riechmann JL (2010) Gene networks controlling the initiation of flower development. Trends Genet 26: 519-527
108. Willi Y, Van Buskirk J, Schmid B, Fischer M (2007) Genetic isolation of fragmented populations is exacerbated by drift and selection. J Evol Biol 20: 534-542
109. Williams JW, Jackson ST, Kutzbach JE (2007) Projected distributions of novel and disappearing climates by 2100 AD. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 104: 5738-5742
110. Willis CG, Ruhfel B, Primack RB, Miller-Rushing AJ, Davis CC (2008) Phylogenetic patterns of species loss in Thoreau's woods are driven by climate change. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 105: 17029-17033
111. Willis KJ, MacDonald GM (2011) Long-term ecological records and their relevance to climate change predictions for a warmer world. Annu Rev Ecol Evol Syst 42: 267-287
112. Wolkovich EM, Cook BI, Allen JM, Crimmins TM, Betancourt JL, Travers SE, Pau S, Regetz J, Davies TJ, Kraft NJB, et al (2012) Warming experiments underpredict plant phenological responses to climate change. Nature 485: 494-497
113. Yeaman S, Jarvis A (2006) Regional heterogeneity and gene flow maintain variance in a quantitative trait within populations of lodgepole pine. Proc Biol Sci 273: 1587-1593
114. Zhen Y, Ungerer MC (2008) Clinal variation in freezing tolerance among natural accessions of Arabidopsis thaliana. New Phytol 177: 419-427
115. Ziska LH, Bunce JA, Shimono H, Gealy DR, Baker JT, Newton PCD, Reynolds MP, Jagadish KS, Zhu C, Howden M, et al (2012) Food security and climate change: on the potential to adapt global crop production by active selection to rising atmospheric carbon dioxide. Proc Biol Sci 279: 4097-4105