Quantitative estimates of temperature and precipitation changes over the last millennium from pollen and lake-level data at Lake Joux, Swiss Jura Mountains

Quaternary Research

Volumn 75, Issue 1, 2011, Pages 45-54

  Magny, Michel ^a   Peyron, Odile ^a   Gauthier, Emilie ^a   Vannière, Boris ^a   Millet, Laurent ^a   Vermot Desroches, Bruno ^b  

^a université Bourgogne Franche Comté   (France)

^b MÉTÉO FRANCE   (France)

Author keywords

Last millennium; LIA; Modern Analogue Technique; MWP; NAO; Precipitation; Solar forcing; Temperature; West central Europe

Indexed keywords

CENTRAL EUROPE; LAST MILLENNIUM; LIA; MODERN ANALOGUE TECHNIQUES; MWP; NAO; PRECIPITATION; SOLAR FORCING;

CLIMATE CHANGE; FORESTRY; LANDFORMS;

LAKES;

AIR TEMPERATURE; HUMID ENVIRONMENT; LAKE LEVEL; LITTLE ICE AGE; MAUNDER MINIMUM; MEDIEVAL WARM PERIOD; MERIDIONAL CIRCULATION; NORTH ATLANTIC OSCILLATION; OVERTURN; PALEOCLIMATE; POLLEN; PRECIPITATION (CLIMATOLOGY); QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS; SOLAR RADIATION;

ATLANTIC OCEAN; JURA MOUNTAINS; LAKE JOUX; SWITZERLAND; VAUD;

EID: 78751585001     PISSN: 00335894     EISSN: 10960287     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.yqres.2010.11.001     Document Type: Article

References (61)

1. Aubert S. Considérations sur le climat de la vallée de Joux. Bulletin de la Société Vaudoise des Sciences Naturelles 1932, 57:493-524.
2. Bard E., Raisbeck G., Yiou F., Jouzel J. Solar irradiance during the last 1200years based on cosmogenic nuclides. Tellus 2000, 52B:985-992.
3. Boberg F., Lundstedt H. Solar wind variations related to fluctuations of the North Atlantic Oscillation. Geophysical Research Letters 2002, 29. NO.15, 10.1029/2002GL014903.
4. Bordon A., Peyron O., Lézine A.M., Brewer S., Fouache E. Pollen-inferred Late-Glacial and Holocene climate in southern Balkans (Lake Maliq). Quaternary International 2009, 200:19-30.
5. Büntgen U., Esper J., Frank D.C., Nicolussi K., Schmidhalter M. A 1052-year tree-ring proxy for Alpine summer temperatures. Climate Dynamics 2005, 25:141-153.
6. Büntgen U., Frank D.C., Nievergelt D., Esper J. Summer temperature variations in the European Alps, A.D. 755-2004. Journal of Climate 2006, 19:5606-5623.
7. Casty C., Wanner H., Luterbacher J., Esper J., Boehm R. Temperature and precipitation variability in the European Alps since AD 1500. International Journal of Climatology 2005, 25:1855-1880.
8. Cheddadi R., Yu G., Guiot J., Harrison S.P., Prentice I.C. The climate of Europe 6000years ago. Climate Dynamics 1997, 13:1-9.
9. Cook E.R., d'Arrigo R.D., Mann M.E. A well-verified multiproxy reconstruction of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation index since AD 1400. Journal of Climate 2002, 15:1754-1764.
10. Crowley T.J. Causes of climate change over the past 1000years. Science 2000, 289:270-277.
11. Davis B.A.S., Brewer S., Stevenson A.C., Guiot J. The temperature of Europe during the Holocene reconstructed from pollen data. Quaternary Science Reviews 2003, 22:1701-1716.
12. de Beaulieu J.-L., Richard H., Ruffaldi P., Clerc J. History of vegetation, climate and human action in the French Alps and the Jura over the last 15,000years. Dissertationes Botanicae 1994, 234:253-276.
13. Etien N., Daux V., Masson-Delmotte V., Stievenard M., Bernard V., Durost S., Guillemin M.T., Mestre O., Pierre M. A bi-proxy reconstruction of Fontainebleau (France) growing season temperature from AD 1596 to 2000. Climate of the Past 2008, 4:1-16.
14. Etien N., Daux V., Masson-Delmotte V., Mestre O., Stievenard M., Guillemin M.T., Boettger T., Breda N., Haupt M., Perraud P.P. Summer maximum temperature in northern France over the past century: instrumental data versus multiple proxies (tree-ring isotopes, grape harvest dates and forest fires). Climatic Change 2009, 94:429-456.
15. Gauthier, E., 2004. Forêts et agriculteurs du Jura. Les quatre derniers millénaires. Presses Universitaires de Franche-Comté 6, 197pp.
16. Gimeno L., dela Torre L., Nieto R., Garcia R., Hernandez E., Ribera P. Changes in the relationship NAO-Northern hemisphere temperature due to solar activity. Earth and Planetary Science Letters 2003, 206:15-20.
17. Gimmi U., Luterbacher J., Pfister C., Wanner H. A method to reconstruct long precipitation series using systematic descriptive observations in weather diaries: the example of the precipitation series for Bern, Switzerland (1760-2003). Theoretical and Applied Climatology 2007, 87:185-199.
18. Goosse H., Renssen H., Timmermann A., Bradley R.S. Internal and forced climate variability during the last millennium: a model-data comparison using ensemble simulations. Quaternary Science Reviews 2005, 24:1345-1360.
19. Guiot J. Methodology of the last climatic cycle reconstruction in France from pollen data. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology 1990, 80:49-69.
20. Guiot J., Harrison S.P., Prentice I.C. Reconstruction of Holocene pattern of moisture in Europe using pollen and lake-level data. Quaternary Research 1993, 40:139-149.
21. Guiot J., Nicault A., Rathgeber C., Edouard J.L., Guibal F., Pichard G., Till C. Last-millennium summer-temperature variations in western Europe based on proxy data. The Holocene 2005, 15:489-500.
22. Guiot J., Wu H.B., Garreta V., Hatté C., Magny M. A few propsective ideas on climate reconstruction: from a statistical single proxy approach towards a multi-proxy and dynamical approach. Climate of the Past 2009, 5:571-583.
23. Guiot J., Corona C. Growing season temperature in Europe and climate forcings for the last 1400years. PLOS-ONE 2010, 5(4):e9972. ESCARSEL members. 10.1371/journal.pone.0009972?.
24. Holzhauser H., Magny M., Zumbühl H. Glacier and lake- level variations in west-central Europe over the last 3500 years. The Holocene 2005, 15:789-801.
25. Jones P.D., et al. High-resolution palaeoclimatology of the last millennium: a review of current status and future prospects. The Holocene 2009, 19:3-49.
26. Kodera K. Solar cycle modulation of the North Atlantic Oscillation. Implication in the spatial structure of the NAO. Geophysical Research Letters 2002, 29:14557-14560.
27. Kotthoff U., Pross J., Müller U.C., Peyron O., Schmiedle G., Schulz H., Bordon A. Climate dynamics in the borderlands of the Aegean Sea during formation of sapropel 1 deduced from a marine pollen record. Quaternary Science Reviews 2008, 27:832-845.
28. Lund D.C., Lynch-Stieglitz J.L., Curry J.L. Gulf Stream density structure and transport during the past millennium. Nature 2006, 444:601-604.
29. Luoto T.P., Helama S. Paleoclimatological and paleolimnological records from fossil midges and tree-rings: the role of the North Atlantic Oscillation in eastern Finland through the Medieval Climate Anomaly and Little Ice Age. Quaternary Science Reviews 2010, 29:2411-2423.
30. Luterbacher J., Dietrich D., Xoplaki E., Grosjean M., Wanner H. European seasonal and annual temperature variability, trends and extremes since 1500. Science 2004, 303:1499-1503.
31. Magny M. Holocene fluctuations of lake levels in west-central Europe: methods of reconstruction, regional pattern, palaeoclimatic significance and forcing factors. Encyclopedia of Quaternary Science 2006, Vol. 2:1389-1399. Elsevier.
32. Magny M., Guiot J., Schoellammer P. Quantitative reconstruction of Younger Dryas to mid-Holocene paleoclimates at Le Locle, Swiss Jura, using pollen and lake-level data. Quaternary Research 2001, 56:170-180.
33. Magny M., Gauthier E., Vanniere B., Peyron O. Palaeohydrological changes and human-impact history over the last millennium recorded at Lake Joux in the Jura Mountains, Switzerland. The Holocene 2008, 18:255-265.
34. Magny M., Arnaud F., Holzhauser H., Chapron E., Debret M., Desmet M., Leroux A., Millet L., Revel M., Vannière B. Solar and proxy-sensitivity imprints on palaeohydrological records for the last millennium in west-central Europe. Quaternary Research 2010, 73:173-179.
35. 18O stalagmite record. Earth and Planetary Science Letters 2005, 235:741-751.
36. Mangini A., Blumbach P., Verdes P., Spötle C., Scholz D., Machel H., Mahon S. Combined records from a stalagmite from Barbados and from lake sediments in Haiti reveal variable seasonality in the Caribbean between 6.7 and 3ka BP. Quaternary Science Reviews 2007, 26:1352-1343.
37. Mann M.E., Bradley R.S., Hughes M.K. Northern Hemisphere temperatures during the past millennium: inferences, uncertainties and limitations. Geophysical Research Letters 1999, 26:759-762.
38. Mann M.E., Zhang Z., Hughes M.K., Bradley R.S., Miller S.K., Rutherford S., Ni F. Proxy-based reconstructions of hemispheric and global surface temperature variations over the last two millennia. Proceedings of the National Academy of Science 2008, 105:13252-13257.
39. Millet L., Arnaud F., Heiri O., Magny M., Verneaux V., Desmet M. Late Holocene summer temperature reconstruction from chironomid assemblages of Lake Anterne, northern French Alps. The Holocene 2009, 19:317-328.
40. New M., Lister D., Hulme M., Makin I. A high resolution dataset of surface climate over global land areas. Climate Research 2002, 21:1-25.
41. Overpeck J.T., Webb T.I.I.I., Prentice I.C. Quantitative interpretation of fossil pollen spectra: dissimilarity coefficients and the method of modern analogs. Quaternary Research 1985, 23:87-108.
42. Pauling A., Luterbacher J., Casty C., Wanner H. Five hundred years of gridded high-resolution precipitation reconstructions over Europe and the connection to large-scale circulation. Climate Dynammics 2006, 26:387-405.
43. Peyron O., Bégeot C., Brewer S., Heiri O., Millet L., Ruffaldi P., Van Campo E., Yu G. Late-Glacial climatic changes in Eastern France (Lake Lautrey) from pollen, lake-levels, and chironomids. Quaternary Research 2005, 64:197-211.
44. Peyron, O., Goring, S., Dormoy, I, Kotthoff, U., Pross, J., Beaulieu, J.L. de, Drescher-Schneider, R., Vannière, B., Magny, M., in press. Holocene seasonality changes in central Mediterranean reconstructed from Lake Accesa and Tenaghi Philippon pollen sequences. The Holocene. doi:10.1177/0959683610384162.
45. Pfister C. Monthly temperature and precipitation in central Europe from 1529-1979: quantifying documentary evidence on weather and its effects. Climate since AD 1500 1995, 118-142. London and New York. R.S. Bradley, P.D. Jones (Eds.).
46. Proctor C.J., Baker A., Barnes W.L. A three thousand year record of North Atlantic climate. Climate Dynamics 2002, 19:449-459.
47. Pross J., Kotthoff U., Müler U.C., Peyron O., Dormoy I., Schmiedle G., Kalaitzidis S., Smith A.M. Massive perturbation in terrestrial ecosystems of the Eastern Mediterranean region associated with the 8.2 kyr climatic event. Geology 2009, 37:887-890.
48. Raible C.C., Yoshimori M., Stocker T.F., Casty C. Extreme midlatitude cyclones and their implications for precipitation and wind speed extremes in simulations of the Maunder Minimum versus present day conditions. Climate Dynamics 2007, 28:409-423.
49. Schmidt G., Masson-Delmotte V. The PAGES-CLIVAR Intersection Panel. Vision Document revised 2009 2009.
50. Schulte L., Veit H., Burjachs F., Julià R. Lütschine fan delta response to climate variability and land use in the Bernese Alps during the last 2400years. Geomorphology 2009, 108:107-121.
51. Shindell D.T., Schmidt G.A., Mann M.E., Rind D., Waple A. Solar forcing of regional climate change during the Maunder minimum. Science 2001, 294:2149-2152.
52. Shindell D.T., Schmidt G.A., Miller R.L., Mann M.E. Volcanic and solar forcing climate change during the preindustrial era. Journal of Climate 2003, 16:4094-4107.
53. Sicre M.A., Jacob J., Ezat U., Rousse S., Kissel C., Yiou P., Eiriksson J., Knudsen M.L., Jansen E., Turon J.L. Decadal variability of sea surface temperatures off North Iceland over the last 2000years. Earth and Planetary Science Letters 2008, 268:137-142.
54. Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 2007, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. S. Solomon, D. Qin, M. Manning, M. Marquis, K. Averyt, M.M.B. Tignor, H. Miller, Z. Chen (Eds.).
55. Stoffel M., Luetscher M., Bollschweiler M., Schlatter F. Evidence of NAO control on subsurface ice accumulation in a 1200yr old cave-ice sequence, St. Livres ice cave, Switzerland. Quaternary Research 2009, 72:16-26.
56. Stuiver M., Reimer P.J., Bard E., Beck J.W., Burr G.S., Hughen K.A., Kromer B., McCormac G., van der Plicht J., Spurk M. Intcal98 radiocarbon age calibration, 24 000-0cal BP. Radiocarbon 1998, 40:1041-1083.
57. Trachsel M., Eggenberger U., Grosjean M., Blass A., Sturm M. Mineralogy-based quantitative precipitation and temperature reconstructions from annually laminated lake sediments (Swiss Alps) since AD 1580. Geophysical Research Letters 2008, 35:L13707. 10.1029/2008GL034121.
58. Trouet V., Esper J., Graham N.E., Baker A., Scourse J.D., Frank D.C. Persistent positive North Atlantic Oscillation mode dominated the Medieval Climate Anomaly. Science 2009, 324:78-80.
59. von Storch H., Zorita E., Jones J., Dimitriev Y., Gonzales-Rouco F., Tett S. Reconstructing past climate from noisy data. Science 2004, 306:679-682.
60. Wanner H., Holzhauser H., Pfister C., Zumbühl H. Interannual to century scale climate variability in the European Alps. Erdkunde 2000, 54:62-69.
61. Wanner H., Brönnimann S., Casty C., Gyalistras D., Luterbacher J., Schwutz C., Stephenson D.B., Xoplaki E. North Atlantic Oscillation - Concepts and Studies. Surveys in Geophysics 2001, 22:322-382.