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Christopher Layne, "The Unipolar Illusion Revisited: The Coming End of the United States' Unipolar Moment," International Security, Vol. 31, No. 2 (Fall 2006), pp. 7-41.
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For theoretical works that treat China and Russia as separate from the Western security community, see Rosecrance, The New Great Power Coalition.
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Robert Jervis, "Theories of War in an Era of Leading-Power Peace," American Political Science Review, Vol. 96, No. 1 (March 2002), pp. 1-14.
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Thomas J. Christensen, "Fostering Stability or Creating a Monster? The Rise of China and U.S. Policy toward East Asia," International Security, Vol. 31, No. 1 (Summer 2006), pp. 81-126.
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China's relations with Taiwan have improved significantly since the election of the Kuomintang chairman, Ma Ying-jeou, as president on March 22, 2008, as illustrated by a historic November 2008 agreement whereby China and Taiwan agreed to direct shipping and air service across the Taiwan Strait for the first time in more than half a century.
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These included U.S. sponsorship of a resolution at the UN Commission on Human Rights critical of China's human rights record, the Clinton administration's rejection of Chinese Premier Zhu Rongji's impressive list of painful (and secret) Chinese concessions on China's entry into the World Trade Organization followed by their leaking to the U.S. media, and the U.S. intervention in Kosovo.
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For an important statement of the "peaceful rise" line, see Zheng Bijian, "China's 'Peaceful Rise' to Great-Power Status," Foreign Affairs, Vol. 84, No. 5 (September/October 2005), pp. 18-24.
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The Chinese leadership formally disavowed the term "peaceful rise" in 2004, but the term is still used by Chinese academics and government officials.
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remarks to the National Committee on U.S.-China Relations, New York City, New York, September 21
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The April 2007 Council on Foreign Relations-sponsored Independent Task Force found that looking ahead as far as 2030, there is "no evidence to support the notion that China will become a peer military competitor of the United States.".
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According to Grigory Yavlinsky, of twenty-one members of Russia's political elite who were summoned to a secret meeting at the Kremlin, only two favored supporting the United States.
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See a transcript of his speech at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, Washington, D.C., January 31
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See a transcript of his speech at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, Washington, D.C., January 31, 2002, http://www.cdi.org/russia/johnson/6061.txt.
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This was the term used by President Dmitri Medvedev in the aftermath of Russia's war with Georgia.
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