메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 86, Issue 1, 2017, Pages 108-116

Sensitivity of UK butterflies to local climatic extremes: which life stages are most at risk?

Author keywords

butterfly population changes; climate change; life history traits; linear mixed effects model; sensitivity

Indexed keywords

BUTTERFLY; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE CONDITIONS; DEVELOPMENTAL STAGE; EXTREME EVENT; GENERALIST; LIFE HISTORY TRAIT; NUMERICAL MODEL; OVERWINTERING; POPULATION DYNAMICS; SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS; SEVERE WEATHER; SPECIALIST; TEMPERATURE EFFECT; VULNERABILITY;

EID: 84999622369     PISSN: 00218790     EISSN: 13652656     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/1365-2656.12594     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (72)

References (65)
  • 2
    • 0028163421 scopus 로고
    • Local adaptation to regional climates in Papilio canadensis (Lepidoptera: Papilionidae)
    • Ayres, M.P. & Scriber, J.M. (1994) Local adaptation to regional climates in Papilio canadensis (Lepidoptera: Papilionidae). Ecological Monographs, 64, 465–482.
    • (1994) Ecological Monographs , vol.64 , pp. 465-482
    • Ayres, M.P.1    Scriber, J.M.2
  • 3
    • 84969155468 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • R package version, R package version 1.15.1
    • Bartoń, K. (2013) MuMIn: multi-model inference. R package version, R package version 1.15.1. https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=MuMIn
    • (2013) MuMIn: multi-model inference
    • Bartoń, K.1
  • 4
    • 84890877237 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Simulating climate change: temperature extremes but not means diminish performance in a widespread butterfly
    • Bauerfeind, S.S. & Fischer, K. (2014) Simulating climate change: temperature extremes but not means diminish performance in a widespread butterfly. Population Ecology, 56, 239–250.
    • (2014) Population Ecology , vol.56 , pp. 239-250
    • Bauerfeind, S.S.1    Fischer, K.2
  • 7
    • 81855170241 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Changes in plant community composition lag behind climate warming in lowland forests
    • Bertrand, R., Lenoir, J., Piedallu, C. et al. (2011) Changes in plant community composition lag behind climate warming in lowland forests. Nature, 479, 517–520.
    • (2011) Nature , vol.479 , pp. 517-520
    • Bertrand, R.1    Lenoir, J.2    Piedallu, C.3
  • 9
    • 0020859303 scopus 로고
    • The effect of rain, snow and freezing temperatures on overwintering monarch butterflies in Mexico
    • Calvert, W., Zuchowski, W. & Brower, L. (1983) The effect of rain, snow and freezing temperatures on overwintering monarch butterflies in Mexico. Biotropica, 15, 42–47.
    • (1983) Biotropica , vol.15 , pp. 42-47
    • Calvert, W.1    Zuchowski, W.2    Brower, L.3
  • 10
    • 80051873100 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Rapid range shifts of species of climate warming
    • Chen, I., Hill, J.K., Ohlemüller, R., Roy, D.B. & Thomas, C.D. (2011) Rapid range shifts of species of climate warming. Science, 333, 1024–1026.
    • (2011) Science , vol.333 , pp. 1024-1026
    • Chen, I.1    Hill, J.K.2    Ohlemüller, R.3    Roy, D.B.4    Thomas, C.D.5
  • 13
    • 84857484164 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Differences in the climatic debts of birds and butterflies at a continental scale
    • Devictor, V., van Swaay, C., Brereton, T. et al. (2012) Differences in the climatic debts of birds and butterflies at a continental scale. Nature Climate Change, 2, 121–124.
    • (2012) Nature Climate Change , vol.2 , pp. 121-124
    • Devictor, V.1    van Swaay, C.2    Brereton, T.3
  • 14
    • 79955889325 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Species' traits predict phenological responses to climate change in butterflies
    • Diamond, S., Frame, A., Martin, R. & Buckley, L. (2011) Species' traits predict phenological responses to climate change in butterflies. Ecology, 92, 1005–1012.
    • (2011) Ecology , vol.92 , pp. 1005-1012
    • Diamond, S.1    Frame, A.2    Martin, R.3    Buckley, L.4
  • 18
    • 85003288908 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • (accessed 4 February 2015)
    • Eeles, P. (2014) UK Butterflies – phenologies. Available at: http://www.ukbutterflies.co.uk/species_phenologies.php (accessed 4 February 2015).
    • (2014) UK Butterflies – phenologies
    • Eeles, P.1
  • 19
    • 84923082669 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Strong negative effects of simulated heat waves in a tropical butterfly
    • Fischer, K., Klockmann, M. & Reim, E. (2014) Strong negative effects of simulated heat waves in a tropical butterfly. The Journal of Experimental Biology, 217, 2892–2898.
    • (2014) The Journal of Experimental Biology , vol.217 , pp. 2892-2898
    • Fischer, K.1    Klockmann, M.2    Reim, E.3
  • 20
    • 34547915573 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A changing climate is eroding the geographical range of the Namib Desert tree Aloe through population declines and dispersal lags
    • Foden, W., Midgley, G.F., Hughes, G. et al. (2007) A changing climate is eroding the geographical range of the Namib Desert tree Aloe through population declines and dispersal lags. Diversity and Distributions, 13, 645–653.
    • (2007) Diversity and Distributions , vol.13 , pp. 645-653
    • Foden, W.1    Midgley, G.F.2    Hughes, G.3
  • 21
    • 84878951319 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Identifying the world's most climate change vulnerable species: a systematic trait-based assessment of all birds, amphibians and corals
    • Foden, W.B., Butchart, S.H.M., Stuart, S.N. et al. (2013) Identifying the world's most climate change vulnerable species: a systematic trait-based assessment of all birds, amphibians and corals. PLoS ONE, 8, e65427.
    • (2013) PLoS ONE , vol.8
    • Foden, W.B.1    Butchart, S.H.M.2    Stuart, S.N.3
  • 22
    • 33745852766 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Impacts of climate warming and habitat loss on extinctions at species' low-latitude range boundaries
    • Franco, A.M.A., Hill, J.K., Kitschke, C. et al. (2006) Impacts of climate warming and habitat loss on extinctions at species' low-latitude range boundaries. Global Change Biology, 12, 1545–1553.
    • (2006) Global Change Biology , vol.12 , pp. 1545-1553
    • Franco, A.M.A.1    Hill, J.K.2    Kitschke, C.3
  • 24
    • 33750228994 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Relative importance for linear regression in R : the package relaimpo
    • Grömping, U. (2006) Relative importance for linear regression in R : the package relaimpo. Journal of Statistical Software, 17, 1–27.
    • (2006) Journal of Statistical Software , vol.17 , pp. 1-27
    • Grömping, U.1
  • 25
    • 0037150708 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate warming and disease risks for terrestrial and marine biota
    • Harvell, C.D. (2002) Climate warming and disease risks for terrestrial and marine biota. Science, 296, 2158–2162.
    • (2002) Science , vol.296 , pp. 2158-2162
    • Harvell, C.D.1
  • 27
    • 51749118477 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The response of two butterfly species to climatic variation at the edge of their range and the implications for poleward range shifts
    • Hellmann, J.J., Pelini, S.L., Prior, K.M. & Dzurisin, J.D.K. (2008) The response of two butterfly species to climatic variation at the edge of their range and the implications for poleward range shifts. Oecologia, 157, 583–592.
    • (2008) Oecologia , vol.157 , pp. 583-592
    • Hellmann, J.J.1    Pelini, S.L.2    Prior, K.M.3    Dzurisin, J.D.K.4
  • 28
    • 0037266577 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Rainfall but not selective logging affect changes in abundance of a tropical forest butterfly in Sabah, Borneo
    • Hill, J.K., Hamer, K.C., Dawood, M.M., Tangah, J. & Chey, V.K. (2003) Rainfall but not selective logging affect changes in abundance of a tropical forest butterfly in Sabah, Borneo. Journal of Tropical Ecology, 19, 35–42.
    • (2003) Journal of Tropical Ecology , vol.19 , pp. 35-42
    • Hill, J.K.1    Hamer, K.C.2    Dawood, M.M.3    Tangah, J.4    Chey, V.K.5
  • 32
    • 52949107526 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Research frontiers in climate change: effects of extreme meteorological events on ecosystems
    • Jentsch, A. & Beierkuhnlein, C. (2008) Research frontiers in climate change: effects of extreme meteorological events on ecosystems. Comptes Rendus Geoscience, 340, 621–628.
    • (2008) Comptes Rendus Geoscience , vol.340 , pp. 621-628
    • Jentsch, A.1    Beierkuhnlein, C.2
  • 33
    • 79955550639 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Community responses to extreme climatic conditions
    • Jiguet, F., Brotons, L. & Devictor, V. (2011) Community responses to extreme climatic conditions. Current Zoology, 57, 406–413.
    • (2011) Current Zoology , vol.57 , pp. 406-413
    • Jiguet, F.1    Brotons, L.2    Devictor, V.3
  • 34
    • 84896689654 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Objective classification of extreme rainfall regions for the UK and updated estimates of trends in regional extreme rainfall
    • Jones, M.R., Blenkinsop, S., Fowler, H.J. & Kilsby, C.G. (2014) Objective classification of extreme rainfall regions for the UK and updated estimates of trends in regional extreme rainfall. International Journal of Climatology, 34, 751–765.
    • (2014) International Journal of Climatology , vol.34 , pp. 751-765
    • Jones, M.R.1    Blenkinsop, S.2    Fowler, H.J.3    Kilsby, C.G.4
  • 36
    • 84896864724 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Abundance changes and habitat availability drive species' responses to climate change
    • Mair, L., Hill, J.K., Fox, R., Botham, M., Brereton, T. & Thomas, C.D. (2014) Abundance changes and habitat availability drive species' responses to climate change. Nature Climate Change, 4, 127–131.
    • (2014) Nature Climate Change , vol.4 , pp. 127-131
    • Mair, L.1    Hill, J.K.2    Fox, R.3    Botham, M.4    Brereton, T.5    Thomas, C.D.6
  • 39
    • 84906794207 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Can site and landscape-scale environmental attributes buffer bird populations against weather events?
    • Newson, S.E., Oliver, T.H., Gillings, S., Crick, H.Q.P., Morecroft, M.D., Duffield, S.J., et al. (2014) Can site and landscape-scale environmental attributes buffer bird populations against weather events? Ecography, 37, 872–882.
    • (2014) Ecography , vol.37 , pp. 872-882
    • Newson, S.E.1    Oliver, T.H.2    Gillings, S.3    Crick, H.Q.P.4    Morecroft, M.D.5    Duffield, S.J.6
  • 40
    • 84876807095 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Population resilience to an extreme drought is influenced by habitat area and fragmentation in the local landscape
    • Oliver, T.H., Brereton, T. & Roy, D.B. (2013) Population resilience to an extreme drought is influenced by habitat area and fragmentation in the local landscape. Ecography, 36, 579–586.
    • (2013) Ecography , vol.36 , pp. 579-586
    • Oliver, T.H.1    Brereton, T.2    Roy, D.B.3
  • 42
    • 84923930501 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessing species vulnerability to climate change
    • Pacifici, M., Foden, W.B., Visconti, P. et al. (2015) Assessing species vulnerability to climate change. Nature Climate Change, 5, 215–225.
    • (2015) Nature Climate Change , vol.5 , pp. 215-225
    • Pacifici, M.1    Foden, W.B.2    Visconti, P.3
  • 44
    • 0033542411 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Poleward shifts in geographical ranges of butterfly species associated with regional warming
    • Parmesan, C., Ryrholm, N., Stefanescu, C., et al. (1999) Poleward shifts in geographical ranges of butterfly species associated with regional warming. Nature, 399, 579–583.
    • (1999) Nature , vol.399 , pp. 579-583
    • Parmesan, C.1    Ryrholm, N.2    Stefanescu, C.3
  • 45
    • 79952722883 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling conservation management options for a southern range-margin population of Golden Plover Pluvialis apricaria vulnerable to climate change
    • Pearce-Higgins, J.W. (2011) Modelling conservation management options for a southern range-margin population of Golden Plover Pluvialis apricaria vulnerable to climate change. Ibis, 153, 345–356.
    • (2011) Ibis , vol.153 , pp. 345-356
    • Pearce-Higgins, J.W.1
  • 46
    • 78650171292 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Scenarios for global biodiversity in the 21st century
    • Pereira, H.M., Leadley, P.W., Proença, V. et al. (2010) Scenarios for global biodiversity in the 21st century. Science, 330, 1496–1501.
    • (2010) Science , vol.330 , pp. 1496-1501
    • Pereira, H.M.1    Leadley, P.W.2    Proença, V.3
  • 47
    • 0024249889 scopus 로고
    • Temperature, rainfall and butterfly numbers
    • Pollard, E. (1988) Temperature, rainfall and butterfly numbers. Journal of Applied Ecology, 25, 819–828.
    • (1988) Journal of Applied Ecology , vol.25 , pp. 819-828
    • Pollard, E.1
  • 51
    • 84872553388 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Each life stage matters: the importance of assessing the response to climate change over the complete life cycle in butterflies
    • Radchuk, V., Turlure, C. & Schtickzelle, N. (2013) Each life stage matters: the importance of assessing the response to climate change over the complete life cycle in butterflies. Journal of Animal Ecology, 82, 275–285.
    • (2013) Journal of Animal Ecology , vol.82 , pp. 275-285
    • Radchuk, V.1    Turlure, C.2    Schtickzelle, N.3
  • 54
    • 0035033279 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Butterfly numbers and weather: predicting historical trends in abundance and the future effects of climate change
    • Roy, D.B., Rothery, P., Moss, D., Pollard, E. & Thomas, J.A. (2001) Butterfly numbers and weather: predicting historical trends in abundance and the future effects of climate change. Journal of Animal Ecology, 70, 201–217.
    • (2001) Journal of Animal Ecology , vol.70 , pp. 201-217
    • Roy, D.B.1    Rothery, P.2    Moss, D.3    Pollard, E.4    Thomas, J.A.5
  • 55
    • 79954486849 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An ecological perspective on extreme climatic events: a synthetic definition and framework to guide future research
    • Smith, M.D. (2011) An ecological perspective on extreme climatic events: a synthetic definition and framework to guide future research. Journal of Ecology, 99, 656–663.
    • (2011) Journal of Ecology , vol.99 , pp. 656-663
    • Smith, M.D.1
  • 57
  • 59
    • 80052656343 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Beyond climate envelopes: effects of weather on regional population trends in butterflies
    • WallisDeVries, M.F., Baxter, W. & van Vliet, A.J.H. (2011) Beyond climate envelopes: effects of weather on regional population trends in butterflies. Oecologia, 167, 559–571.
    • (2011) Oecologia , vol.167 , pp. 559-571
    • WallisDeVries, M.F.1    Baxter, W.2    van Vliet, A.J.H.3
  • 61
    • 0035499806 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Rapid responses of British butterflies to opposing forces of climate and habitat change
    • Warren, M., Hill, J.K., Thomas, J.A. et al. (2001) Rapid responses of British butterflies to opposing forces of climate and habitat change. Nature, 414, 65–69.
    • (2001) Nature , vol.414 , pp. 65-69
    • Warren, M.1    Hill, J.K.2    Thomas, J.A.3
  • 62
    • 84879777383 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Quantifying the benefit of early climate change mitigation in avoiding biodiversity loss
    • Warren, R., VanDerWal, J., Price, J. et al. (2013) Quantifying the benefit of early climate change mitigation in avoiding biodiversity loss. Nature Climate Change, 3, 1–5.
    • (2013) Nature Climate Change , vol.3 , pp. 1-5
    • Warren, R.1    VanDerWal, J.2    Price, J.3
  • 63
    • 0029750361 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Early male emergence and reproductive phenology of the adult overwintering butterfly Gonepteryx rhamni in Sweden
    • Wiklund, C., Lindfors, V. & Forsberg, J. (1996) Early male emergence and reproductive phenology of the adult overwintering butterfly Gonepteryx rhamni in Sweden. Oikos, 75, 227–240.
    • (1996) Oikos , vol.75 , pp. 227-240
    • Wiklund, C.1    Lindfors, V.2    Forsberg, J.3
  • 64
    • 0032741097 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global change in local places: how scale matters
    • Wilbanks, T.J. & Kates, R.W. (1999) Global change in local places: how scale matters. Climatic Change, 43, 601–628.
    • (1999) Climatic Change , vol.43 , pp. 601-628
    • Wilbanks, T.J.1    Kates, R.W.2
  • 65


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.