메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 6, Issue 11, 2016, Pages 986-991

Observed heavy precipitation increase confirms theory and early models

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE MODELING; CLIMATE PREDICTION; HIERARCHICAL SYSTEM; HUMAN ACTIVITY; PRECIPITATION INTENSITY;

EID: 84992643566     PISSN: 1758678X     EISSN: 17586798     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1038/nclimate3110     Document Type: Review
Times cited : (471)

References (104)
  • 1
    • 0032775782 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Conceptual framework for changes of extremes of the hydrological cycle with climate change
    • Trenberth, K. E. Conceptual framework for changes of extremes of the hydrological cycle with climate change. Climatic Change 42, 327-339 (1999
    • (1999) Climatic Change , vol.42 , pp. 327-339
    • Trenberth, K.E.1
  • 2
    • 0031395665 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Changes in daily precipitation under enhanced greenhouse conditions
    • Hennessy, K. J., Gregory, J. M., & Mitchell, J. F. B. Changes in daily precipitation under enhanced greenhouse conditions. Clim. Dynam. 13, 667-680 (1997
    • (1997) Clim. Dynam , vol.13 , pp. 667-680
    • Hennessy, K.J.1    Gregory, J.M.2    Mitchell, J.F.B.3
  • 4
    • 84906837999 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Natural variability, radiative forcing and climate response in the recent hiatus reconciled
    • Huber, M., & Knutti, R. Natural variability, radiative forcing and climate response in the recent hiatus reconciled. Nat. Geosci. 7, 651-656 (2014
    • (2014) Nat. Geosci , vol.7 , pp. 651-656
    • Huber, M.1    Knutti, R.2
  • 6
    • 84980057780 scopus 로고
    • Über die bewegende kraft der wärme und die gesetze, welche sich daraus für die wärmelehre selbst ableiten lassen
    • Clausius, R. Über die bewegende kraft Der wärme und die gesetze, welche sich daraus für die wärmelehre selbst ableiten lassen. Ann. Phys. (Berlin) 155, 368-397 (1850
    • (1850) Ann. Phys. (Berlin , vol.155 , pp. 368-397
    • Clausius, R.1
  • 7
    • 0016444903 scopus 로고
    • The effects of doubling the CO2 concentration on the climate of a General Circulation Model
    • Manabe, S., & Wetherald, R. T. The effects of doubling the CO2 concentration on the climate of a General Circulation Model. J. Atmos. Sci. 32, 3-15 (1975
    • (1975) J. Atmos. Sci , vol.32 , pp. 3-15
    • Manabe, S.1    Wetherald, R.T.2
  • 8
    • 85017613273 scopus 로고
    • The effect of doubling the CO2 concentration on convective and non-convective precipitation in a general-circulation model coupled with a simple mixed layer ocean model
    • Noda, A., & Tokioka, T. The effect of doubling the CO2 concentration on convective and non-convective precipitation in a general-circulation model coupled with a simple mixed layer ocean model. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan 67, 1057-1069 (1989
    • (1989) J. Meteor. Soc. Japan , vol.67 , pp. 1057-1069
    • Noda, A.1    Tokioka, T.2
  • 9
    • 0028981337 scopus 로고
    • Potential impacts of global warming on the frequency and magnitude of heavy precipitation
    • Fowler, A. M., & Hennessy, K. J. Potential impacts of global warming on the frequency and magnitude of heavy precipitation. Natural Hazards 11, 283-303 (1995
    • (1995) Natural Hazards , vol.11 , pp. 283-303
    • Fowler, A.M.1    Hennessy, K.J.2
  • 10
    • 0027086193 scopus 로고
    • Simulated changes in daily rainfall intensity due to the enhanced greenhouse effect: Implications for extreme rainfall events
    • Gordon, H. B., Whetton, P. H., Pittock, A. B., Fowler, A. M., & Haylock, M. R. Simulated changes in daily rainfall intensity due to the enhanced greenhouse effect: implications for extreme rainfall events. Clim. Dynam. 8, 83-102 (1992
    • (1992) Clim. Dynam , vol.8 , pp. 83-102
    • Gordon, H.B.1    Whetton, P.H.2    Pittock, A.B.3    Fowler, A.M.4    Haylock, M.R.5
  • 11
    • 0027130150 scopus 로고
    • Implications of climate change due to the enhanced greenhouse effect on floods and droughts in Australia
    • Whetton, P. H., Fowler, A. M., Haylock, M. R., & Pittock, A. B. Implications of climate change due to the enhanced greenhouse effect on floods and droughts in Australia. Climatic Change 25, 289-317 (1993
    • (1993) Climatic Change , vol.25 , pp. 289-317
    • Whetton, P.H.1    Fowler, A.M.2    Haylock, M.R.3    Pittock, A.B.4
  • 13
    • 0024260456 scopus 로고
    • Global climate changes as forecast by Goddard Institute for space studies 3-dimensional model
    • Hansen. J., et al. Global climate changes as forecast by Goddard Institute for space studies 3-dimensional model. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos. 93, 9341-9364 (1988
    • (1988) J. Geophys. Res. Atmos , vol.93 , pp. 9341-9364
    • Hansen, J.1
  • 14
    • 0024221323 scopus 로고
    • Cloud feedback processes in a general-circulation model
    • Wetherald, R. T., & Manabe, S. Cloud feedback processes in a general-circulation model. J. Atmos. Sci. 45, 1397-1415 (1988
    • (1988) J. Atmos. Sci , vol.45 , pp. 1397-1415
    • Wetherald, R.T.1    Manabe, S.2
  • 15
    • 0001601925 scopus 로고
    • A statistical analysis of the extreme events: Long-term trend of heavy daily precipitation
    • Iwashima, T., & Yamamoto, R. A statistical analysis of the extreme events: long-term trend of heavy daily precipitation. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan. 71, 637-640 (1993
    • (1993) J. Meteor. Soc. Japan , vol.71 , pp. 637-640
    • Iwashima, T.1    Yamamoto, R.2
  • 18
    • 84960208601 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global observed long-term changes in temperature and precipitation extremes: A review of progress and limitations in IPCC assessments and beyond
    • Alexander, L. V. Global observed long-term changes in temperature and precipitation extremes: a review of progress and limitations in IPCC assessments and beyond. Weather Clim. Extremes 11, 4-16 (2016
    • (2016) Weather Clim. Extremes , vol.11 , pp. 4-16
    • Alexander, L.V.1
  • 19
    • 84960342212 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global land surface extremes of precipitation: Data limitations and trends
    • Kunkel, K. E., & Frankson, R. M. Global land surface extremes of precipitation: data limitations and trends. J. Extreme Events 2, 1550004 (2015
    • (2015) J. Extreme Events , vol.2 , pp. 1550004
    • Kunkel, K.E.1    Frankson, R.M.2
  • 20
    • 84878976915 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global increasing trends in annual maximum daily precipitation
    • Westra. S., Alexander, L. V., & Zwiers, F. W. Global increasing trends in annual maximum daily precipitation. J. Clim. 26, 3904-3918 (2013
    • (2013) J. Clim , vol.26 , pp. 3904-3918
    • Westra, S.1    Alexander, L.V.2    Zwiers, F.W.3
  • 22
    • 58149250231 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A European daily high-resolution gridded data set of surface temperature and precipitation for 1950-2006
    • Haylock, M. R., et al. A European daily high-resolution gridded data set of surface temperature and precipitation for 1950-2006. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos. 113, D20119 (2008
    • (2008) J. Geophys. Res. Atmos , vol.113 , pp. D20119
    • Haylock, M.R.1
  • 23
    • 84929728390 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Anthropogenic contribution to global occurrence of heavy-precipitation and high-temperature extremes
    • Fischer, E. M., & Knutti, R. Anthropogenic contribution to global occurrence of heavy-precipitation and high-temperature extremes. Nat. Clim. Change 5, 560-564 (2015
    • (2015) Nat. Clim. Change , vol.5 , pp. 560-564
    • Fischer, E.M.1    Knutti, R.2
  • 24
    • 84860687058 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The coordinated regional downscaling experiment: CORDEX-an international downscaling link to CMIP5
    • Jones, C., Giorgi, F., & Asrar, G. The coordinated regional downscaling experiment: CORDEX-an international downscaling link to CMIP5. Clivar Exchanges 16, 34-40 (2011
    • (2011) Clivar Exchanges , vol.16 , pp. 34-40
    • Jones, C.1    Giorgi, F.2    Asrar, G.3
  • 25
    • 84898822917 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Regional climate modeling on European scales: A joint standard evaluation of the EURO-CORDEX RCM ensemble
    • Kotlarski, S., et al. Regional climate modeling on European scales: a joint standard evaluation of the EURO-CORDEX RCM ensemble. Geosci. Model Dev. 7, 1297-1333 (2014
    • (2014) Geosci. Model Dev , vol.7 , pp. 1297-1333
    • Kotlarski, S.1
  • 26
    • 79951778538 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Human contribution to more-intense precipitation extremes
    • Min, S.-K., Zhang, X., Zwiers, F. W., & Hegerl, G. C. Human contribution to more-intense precipitation extremes. Nature 470, 378-381 (2011
    • (2011) Nature , vol.470 , pp. 378-381
    • Min, S.-K.1    Zhang, X.2    Zwiers, F.W.3    Hegerl, G.C.4
  • 27
    • 84885350520 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Attributing intensification of precipitation extremes to human influence
    • Zhang, X., Wan, H., Zwiers, F. W., Hegerl, G. C., & Min, S.-K. Attributing intensification of precipitation extremes to human influence. Geophys. Res. Lett. 40, 5252-5257 (2013
    • (2013) Geophys. Res. Lett , vol.40 , pp. 5252-5257
    • Zhang, X.1    Wan, H.2    Zwiers, F.W.3    Hegerl, G.C.4    Min, S.-K.5
  • 28
    • 84892889029 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Detection of spatially aggregated changes in temperature and precipitation extremes
    • Fischer, E. M., & Knutti, R. Detection of spatially aggregated changes in temperature and precipitation extremes. Geophys. Res. Lett. 41, 547-554 (2014
    • (2014) Geophys. Res. Lett , vol.41 , pp. 547-554
    • Fischer, E.M.1    Knutti, R.2
  • 29
    • 84887510487 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Improved simulation of extreme precipitation in a high-resolution atmosphere model
    • Kopparla, P., Fischer, E. M., Hannay, C., & Knutti, R. Improved simulation of extreme precipitation in a high-resolution atmosphere model. Geophys. Res. Lett. 40, 5803-5808 (2013
    • (2013) Geophys. Res. Lett , vol.40 , pp. 5803-5808
    • Kopparla, P.1    Fischer, E.M.2    Hannay, C.3    Knutti, R.4
  • 30
    • 84880881867 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Projections of extreme precipitation events in regional climate simulations for Europe and the Alpine region
    • Rajczak, J., Pall, P., & Schär, C. Projections of extreme precipitation events in regional climate simulations for Europe and the Alpine region. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos. 118, 3610-3626 (2013
    • (2013) J. Geophys. Res. Atmos , vol.118 , pp. 3610-3626
    • Rajczak, J.1    Pall, P.2    Schär, C.3
  • 31
    • 84980411158 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Enhanced summer convective rainfall at Alpine high elevations in response to climate warming
    • Giorgi, F., et al. Enhanced summer convective rainfall at Alpine high elevations in response to climate warming. Nat. Geosci. 9, 584-589 (2016
    • (2016) Nat. Geosci , vol.9 , pp. 584-589
    • Giorgi, F.1
  • 32
    • 79961027722 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Detection of non-stationarity in precipitation extremes using a max-stable process model
    • Westra, S., & Sisson, S. A. Detection of non-stationarity in precipitation extremes using a max-stable process model. J. Hydrol. 406, 119-128 (2011
    • (2011) J. Hydrol , vol.406 , pp. 119-128
    • Westra, S.1    Sisson, S.A.2
  • 33
    • 80052237525 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Does higher surface temperature intensify extreme precipitation?
    • Utsumi, N., Seto, S., Kanae, S., Maeda, E. E., & Oki, T. Does higher surface temperature intensify extreme precipitation? Geophys. Res. Lett. 38, L16708 (2011
    • (2011) Geophys. Res. Lett , vol.38 , pp. L16708
    • Utsumi, N.1    Seto, S.2    Kanae, S.3    Maeda, E.E.4    Oki, T.5
  • 34
    • 84867023704 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sensitivity of tropical precipitation extremes to climate change
    • O'Gorman, P. A. Sensitivity of tropical precipitation extremes to climate change. Nat. Geosci. 5, 697-700 (2012
    • (2012) Nat. Geosci , vol.5 , pp. 697-700
    • O'Gorman, P.A.1
  • 35
    • 84887182984 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The importance of fronts for extreme precipitation
    • Catto, J. L., & Pfahl, S. The importance of fronts for extreme precipitation. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos. 118, 10791-10801 (2013
    • (2013) J. Geophys. Res. Atmos , vol.118 , pp. 10791-10801
    • Catto, J.L.1    Pfahl, S.2
  • 36
    • 84863312397 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Quantifying the relevance of cyclones for precipitation extremes
    • Pfahl, S., & Wernli, H. Quantifying the relevance of cyclones for precipitation extremes. J. Clim. 25, 6770-6780 (2012
    • (2012) J. Clim , vol.25 , pp. 6770-6780
    • Pfahl, S.1    Wernli, H.2
  • 37
    • 84971216352 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Human influence on climate in the 2014 southern England winter floods and their impacts
    • Schaller, N., et al. Human influence on climate in the 2014 southern England winter floods and their impacts. Nat. Clim. Change 6, 627-634 (2016
    • (2016) Nat. Clim. Change , vol.6 , pp. 627-634
    • Schaller, N.1
  • 38
    • 84909607963 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Two modes of change of the distribution of rain
    • Pendergrass, A. G., & Hartmann, D. L. Two modes of change of the distribution of rain. J. Clim. 27, 8357-8371 (2014
    • (2014) J. Clim , vol.27 , pp. 8357-8371
    • Pendergrass, A.G.1    Hartmann, D.L.2
  • 39
    • 84909642998 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Changes in the distribution of rain frequency and intensity in response to global warming
    • Pendergrass, A. G., & Hartmann, D. L. Changes in the distribution of rain frequency and intensity in response to global warming. J. Clim. 27, 8372-8383 (2014
    • (2014) J. Clim , vol.27 , pp. 8372-8383
    • Pendergrass, A.G.1    Hartmann, D.L.2
  • 40
    • 70349267603 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The physical basis for increases in precipitation extremes in simulations of 21st- century climate change
    • O'Gorman, P. A., & Schneider, T. The physical basis for increases in precipitation extremes in simulations of 21st-century climate change. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 106, 14773-14777 (2009
    • (2009) Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA , vol.106 , pp. 14773-14777
    • O'Gorman, P.A.1    Schneider, T.2
  • 41
    • 84879189415 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Changes in temperature and precipitation extremes in the CMIP5 ensemble
    • Kharin, V., Zwiers, F., Zhang, X., & Wehner, M. Changes in temperature and precipitation extremes in the CMIP5 ensemble. Climatic Change 119, 345-357 (2013
    • (2013) Climatic Change , vol.119 , pp. 345-357
    • Kharin, V.1    Zwiers, F.2    Zhang, X.3    Wehner, M.4
  • 42
    • 84921606688 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Models agree on forced response pattern of precipitation and temperature extremes
    • Fischer, E. M., Sedlacek, J., Hawkins, E., & Knutti, R. Models agree on forced response pattern of precipitation and temperature extremes. Geophys. Res. Lett. 41, 8554-8562 (2014
    • (2014) Geophys. Res. Lett , vol.41 , pp. 8554-8562
    • Fischer, E.M.1    Sedlacek, J.2    Hawkins, E.3    Knutti, R.4
  • 43
    • 70349283749 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Scaling of precipitation extremes over a wide range of climates simulated with an idealized GCM
    • O'Gorman, P. A., & Schneider, T. Scaling of precipitation extremes over a wide range of climates simulated with an idealized GCM. J. Clim. 22, 5676-5685 (2009
    • (2009) J. Clim , vol.22 , pp. 5676-5685
    • O'Gorman, P.A.1    Schneider, T.2
  • 44
    • 84989851610 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Precipitation extremes under climate change
    • O'Gorman, P. A. Precipitation extremes under climate change. Curr. Clim. Change Rep. 1, 49-59 (2015
    • (2015) Curr. Clim. Change Rep , vol.1 , pp. 49-59
    • O'Gorman, P.A.1
  • 46
    • 51749092642 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Atmospheric warming and the amplification of precipitation extremes
    • Allan, R., & Soden, B. Atmospheric warming and the amplification of precipitation extremes. Science 321, 1481-1484 (2008
    • (2008) Science , vol.321 , pp. 1481-1484
    • Allan, R.1    Soden, B.2
  • 47
    • 0032075897 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Heavy precipitation processes in a warmer climate
    • Frei, C., Schär, C., Lüthi, D., & Davies, H. C. Heavy precipitation processes in a warmer climate. Geophys. Res. Lett. 25, 1431-1434 (1998
    • (1998) Geophys. Res. Lett , vol.25 , pp. 1431-1434
    • Frei, C.1    Schär, C.2    Lüthi, D.3    Davies, H.C.4
  • 48
    • 84945309266 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Spatial stabilization and intensification of moistening and drying rate patterns under future climate change
    • Chavaillaz, Y., Joussaume, S., Bony, S., & Braconnot, P. Spatial stabilization and intensification of moistening and drying rate patterns under future climate change. Clim. Dynam. 47, 951-965 (2015
    • (2015) Clim. Dynam , vol.47 , pp. 951-965
    • Chavaillaz, Y.1    Joussaume, S.2    Bony, S.3    Braconnot, P.4
  • 49
    • 84946600986 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Does extreme precipitation intensity depend on the emissions scenario?
    • Pendergrass, A. G., Lehner, F., Sanderson, B. M., & Xu, Y. Does extreme precipitation intensity depend on the emissions scenario? Geophys. Res. Lett. 42, 8767-8774 (2015
    • (2015) Geophys. Res. Lett , vol.42 , pp. 8767-8774
    • Pendergrass, A.G.1    Lehner, F.2    Sanderson, B.M.3    Xu, Y.4
  • 50
    • 84938813013 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A simple scaling approach to produce climate scenarios of local precipitation extremes for the Netherlands
    • 085001
    • Lenderink, G., & Attema, J. A simple scaling approach to produce climate scenarios of local precipitation extremes for the Netherlands. Environ. Res. Lett. 085001 (2015
    • (2015) Environ. Res. Lett
    • Lenderink, G.1    Attema, J.2
  • 51
    • 84880881867 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Projections of extreme precipitation events in regional climate simulations for Europe and the Alpine Region
    • Rajczak. J., Pall, P., & Schär, C. Projections of extreme precipitation events in regional climate simulations for Europe and the Alpine Region. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos. 118, 3610-3626 (2013
    • (2013) J. Geophys. Res. Atmos , vol.118 , pp. 3610-3626
    • Rajczak, J.1    Pall, P.2    Schär, C.3
  • 52
    • 84903462099 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Heavier summer downpours with climate change revealed by weather forecast resolution model
    • Kendon, E. J., et al. Heavier summer downpours with climate change revealed by weather forecast resolution model. Nat. Clim. Change 4, 570-576 (2014
    • (2014) Nat. Clim. Change , vol.4 , pp. 570-576
    • Kendon, E.J.1
  • 53
    • 65349177124 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Increase in hourly precipitation extremes beyond expectations from temperature changes
    • Lenderink, G., & van Meijgaard, E. Increase in hourly precipitation extremes beyond expectations from temperature changes. Nat. Geosci. 1, 511-514 (2008
    • (2008) Nat. Geosci , vol.1 , pp. 511-514
    • Lenderink, G.1    Van Meijgaard, E.2
  • 54
    • 84906439589 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Future changes to the intensity and frequency of short-duration extreme rainfall
    • Westra, S., et al. Future changes to the intensity and frequency of short-duration extreme rainfall. Rev. Geophys. 52, 522-555 (2014
    • (2014) Rev. Geophys , vol.52 , pp. 522-555
    • Westra, S.1
  • 55
    • 84874591425 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Strong increase in convective precipitation in response to higher temperatures
    • Berg, P., Moseley, C., & Haerter, J. O. Strong increase in convective precipitation in response to higher temperatures. Nat. Geosci. 6, 181-185 (2013
    • (2013) Nat. Geosci , vol.6 , pp. 181-185
    • Berg, P.1    Moseley, C.2    Haerter, J.O.3
  • 56
    • 84925382857 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Preparing local climate change scenarios for the Netherlands using resampling of climate model output
    • Lenderink, G., et al. Preparing local climate change scenarios for the Netherlands using resampling of climate model output. Environ. Res. Lett. 115008 (2014
    • (2014) Environ. Res. Lett , pp. 115008
    • Lenderink, G.1
  • 57
    • 84887302694 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • eds Asrar, Grfsti R., & Hurrell, J. W. Ch. 13 Springer
    • Zwiers, F. W., et al. in Climate Science for Serving Society (eds Asrar, G. R., & Hurrell, J. W.) Ch. 13, 339-389 (Springer, 2013
    • (2013) Climate Science for Serving Society , pp. 339-389
    • Zwiers, F.W.1
  • 58
    • 84983542964 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A common framework for approaches to extreme event attribution
    • Shepherd, T. G. A common framework for approaches to extreme event attribution. Curr. Clim. Change Rep. 2, 28-38 (2016
    • (2016) Curr. Clim. Change Rep , vol.2 , pp. 28-38
    • Shepherd, T.G.1
  • 60
    • 84886243921 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The role of upper-level dynamics and surface processes for the Pakistan flood of July 2010
    • Martius, O., et al. The role of upper-level dynamics and surface processes for the Pakistan flood of July 2010. Q. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc. 139, 1780-1797 (2013
    • (2013) Q. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc , vol.139 , pp. 1780-1797
    • Martius, O.1
  • 61
    • 84937516623 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A review on regional convection-permitting climate modeling: Demonstrations, prospects, and challenges
    • Prein, A. F., et al. A review on regional convection-permitting climate modeling: demonstrations, prospects, and challenges. Rev. Geophys. 53, 323-361 (2015
    • (2015) Rev. Geophys , vol.53 , pp. 323-361
    • Prein, A.F.1
  • 62
    • 84928748321 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Projected increases in summer and winter UK sub-daily precipitation extremes from high-resolution regional climate models
    • Chan, S. C., Kendon, E. J., Fowler, H. J., Blenkinsop, S., & Roberts, N. M. Projected increases in summer and winter UK sub-daily precipitation extremes from high-resolution regional climate models. Environ. Res. Lett. 9, 084019 (2014
    • (2014) Environ. Res. Lett , vol.9 , pp. 084019
    • Chan, S.C.1    Kendon, E.J.2    Fowler, H.J.3    Blenkinsop, S.4    Roberts, N.M.5
  • 63
    • 84951833435 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Downturn in scaling of UK extreme rainfall with temperature for future hottest days
    • Chan, S. C., Kendon, E. J., Roberts, N. M., Fowler, H. J., & Blenkinsop, S. Downturn in scaling of UK extreme rainfall with temperature for future hottest days. Nat. Geosci. 9, 24-28 (2015
    • (2015) Nat. Geosci , vol.9 , pp. 24-28
    • Chan, S.C.1    Kendon, E.J.2    Roberts, N.M.3    Fowler, H.J.4    Blenkinsop, S.5
  • 64
    • 84924904841 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Heavy precipitation in a changing climate: Does short-term summer precipitation increase faster?
    • Ban, N., Schmidli, J., & Schär, C. Heavy precipitation in a changing climate: does short-term summer precipitation increase faster? Geophys. Res. Lett. 42, 1165-1172 (2015
    • (2015) Geophys. Res. Lett , vol.42 , pp. 1165-1172
    • Ban, N.1    Schmidli, J.2    Schär, C.3
  • 66
    • 84876947207 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate model genealogy: Generation CMIP5 and how we got there
    • Knutti, R., Masson, D., & Gettelman, A. Climate model genealogy: generation CMIP5 and how we got there. Geophys. Res. Lett. 40, 1194-1199 (2013
    • (2013) Geophys. Res. Lett , vol.40 , pp. 1194-1199
    • Knutti, R.1    Masson, D.2    Gettelman, A.3
  • 67
    • 84875747385 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Robustness and uncertainties in the new CMIP5 climate model projections
    • Knutti, R., & Sedlacek, J. Robustness and uncertainties in the new CMIP5 climate model projections. Nat. Clim. Change 3, 369-373 (2013
    • (2013) Nat. Clim. Change , vol.3 , pp. 369-373
    • Knutti, R.1    Sedlacek, J.2
  • 68
    • 77957165673 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The end of model democracy?
    • Knutti, R. The end of model democracy? Climatic Change 102, 395-404 (2010
    • (2010) Climatic Change , vol.102 , pp. 395-404
    • Knutti, R.1
  • 69
    • 0000978392 scopus 로고
    • On the influence of carbonic acid in the air upon the temperature of the ground
    • Arrhenius, S. On the influence of carbonic acid in the air upon the temperature of the ground. London Edinburgh Dublin Phil. Mag. J. Sci. 41, 237-276 (1896
    • (1896) London Edinburgh Dublin Phil. Mag. J. Sci , vol.41 , pp. 237-276
    • Arrhenius, S.1
  • 70
    • 0021571496 scopus 로고
    • eds Hansen, J. E., & Takahash, T. AGU Geophysical Monograph
    • Hansen, J., et al. in Climate Processes and Climate Sensitivity (eds Hansen, J. E., & Takahash, T.) 130-163 (AGU Geophysical Monograph, 1984
    • (1984) Climate Processes and Climate Sensitivity , pp. 130-163
    • Hansen, J.1
  • 72
    • 0019704847 scopus 로고
    • Climate impact of increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide
    • Hansen, J., et al. Climate impact of increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide. Science 213, 957-966 (1981
    • (1981) Science , vol.213 , pp. 957-966
    • Hansen, J.1
  • 73
    • 0022193918 scopus 로고
    • Climate response times: Dependence on climate sensitivity and ocean mixing
    • Hansen, J., et al. Climate response times: dependence on climate sensitivity and ocean mixing. Science 229, 857-859 (1985
    • (1985) Science , vol.229 , pp. 857-859
    • Hansen, J.1
  • 74
    • 0021551323 scopus 로고
    • Transient temperature changes due to increasing CO2 using simple models
    • Siegenthaler, U., & Oeschger, H. Transient temperature changes due to increasing CO2 using simple models. Ann. Glaciol. 5, 153-159 (1984
    • (1984) Ann. Glaciol , vol.5 , pp. 153-159
    • Siegenthaler, U.1    Oeschger, H.2
  • 75
    • 0019377891 scopus 로고
    • The effect of ocean heat capacity upon global warming due to increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide
    • Cess, R. D., & Goldenberg, S. D. The effect of ocean heat capacity upon global warming due to increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide. J. Geophys. Res. Oceans 86, 498-502 (1981
    • (1981) J. Geophys. Res. Oceans , vol.86 , pp. 498-502
    • Cess, R.D.1    Goldenberg, S.D.2
  • 76
    • 0022856343 scopus 로고
    • Equilibrium and transient climatic warming induced by increased atmospheric CO2
    • Schlesinger, M. E. Equilibrium and transient climatic warming induced by increased atmospheric CO2. Clim. Dynam. 1, 35-51 (1986
    • (1986) Clim. Dynam , vol.1 , pp. 35-51
    • Schlesinger, M.E.1
  • 78
    • 0035853529 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Detection of anthropogenic climate change in the world?s oceans
    • Barnett, T.P., Pierce, D. W., & Schnur, R. Detection of anthropogenic climate change in the world?s oceans. Science 292, 270-274 (2001
    • (2001) Science , vol.292 , pp. 270-274
    • Barnett, T.P.1    Pierce, D.W.2    Schnur, R.3
  • 79
    • 0035853544 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Anthropogenic warming of earth?s climate system
    • Levitus, S., et al. Anthropogenic warming of Earth?s climate system. Science 292, 267-270 (2001
    • (2001) Science , vol.292 , pp. 267-270
    • Levitus, S.1
  • 81
    • 33745863806 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Variability of ocean heat uptake: Reconciling observations and models
    • C05019
    • AchutaRao, K. M., et al. Variability of ocean heat uptake: reconciling observations and models. J. Geophys. Res. Oceans C05019 (2006
    • (2006) J. Geophys. Res. Oceans
    • AchutaRao, K.M.1
  • 84
    • 42049086218 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Changing expendable bathythermograph fall rates and their impact on estimates of thermosteric sea level rise
    • Wijffels, S. E., et al. Changing expendable bathythermograph fall rates and their impact on estimates of thermosteric sea level rise. J. Clim. 21, 5657-5672 (2008
    • (2008) J. Clim , vol.21 , pp. 5657-5672
    • Wijffels, S.E.1
  • 85
    • 45749146649 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Improved estimates of upper-ocean warming and multi-decadal sea-level rise
    • Domingues, C. M., et al. Improved estimates of upper-ocean warming and multi-decadal sea-level rise. Nature 453, 1090-1096 (2008
    • (2008) Nature , vol.453 , pp. 1090-1096
    • Domingues, C.M.1
  • 86
    • 80053000047 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Revisiting the Earth?s sea-level and energy budgets from 1961 to 2008
    • L18601
    • Church, J. A., et al. Revisiting the Earth?s sea-level and energy budgets from 1961 to 2008. Geophys. Res. Lett. L18601 (2011
    • (2011) Geophys. Res. Lett
    • Church, J.A.1
  • 87
    • 77952694836 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Robust warming of the global upper ocean
    • Lyman, J. M., et al. Robust warming of the global upper ocean. Nature 465, 334-337 (2010
    • (2010) Nature , vol.465 , pp. 334-337
    • Lyman, J.M.1
  • 88
    • 84884383193 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A review of global ocean temperature observations: Implications for ocean heat content estimates and climate change
    • Abraham, J. P., et al. A review of global ocean temperature observations: implications for ocean heat content estimates and climate change. Rev. Geophys. 51, 450-483 (2013
    • (2013) Rev. Geophys , vol.51 , pp. 450-483
    • Abraham, J.P.1
  • 89
    • 77957114318 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An abrupt drop in Northern Hemisphere sea surface temperature around 1970
    • Thompson, D. W. J., Wallace, J. M., Kennedy, J. J., & Jones, P. D. An abrupt drop in Northern Hemisphere sea surface temperature around 1970. Nature 467, 444-447 (2010
    • (2010) Nature , vol.467 , pp. 444-447
    • Thompson, D.W.J.1    Wallace, J.M.2    Kennedy, J.J.3    Jones, P.D.4
  • 90
    • 24644467695 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The effect of diurnal correction on satellite-derived lower tropospheric temperature
    • Mears, C. A., & Wentz, F. J. The effect of diurnal correction on satellite-derived lower tropospheric temperature. Science 309, 1548-1551 (2005
    • (2005) Science , vol.309 , pp. 1548-1551
    • Mears, C.A.1    Wentz, F.J.2
  • 91
    • 24644486491 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Amplification of surface temperature trends and variability in the tropical atmosphere
    • Santer, B. D., et al. Amplification of surface temperature trends and variability in the tropical atmosphere. Science 309, 1551-1556 (2005
    • (2005) Science , vol.309 , pp. 1551-1556
    • Santer, B.D.1
  • 92
    • 56349099609 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Warming maximum in the tropical upper troposphere deduced from thermal winds
    • Allen, R. J., & Sherwood, S. C. Warming maximum in the tropical upper troposphere deduced from thermal winds. Nat. Geosci. 1, 399-403 (2008
    • (2008) Nat. Geosci , vol.1 , pp. 399-403
    • Allen, R.J.1    Sherwood, S.C.2
  • 93
    • 24644515835 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Radiosonde daytime biases and late-20th century warming
    • Sherwood, S. C., Lanzante, J. R., & Meyer, C. L. Radiosonde daytime biases and late-20th century warming. Science 309, 1556-1559 (2005
    • (2005) Science , vol.309 , pp. 1556-1559
    • Sherwood, S.C.1    Lanzante, J.R.2    Meyer, C.L.3
  • 95
    • 84938379381 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Rethinking the default construction of multi-model climate ensembles
    • Rauser, F., Gleckler, P., & Marotzke, J. Rethinking the default construction of multi-model climate ensembles. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 96, 911-919 (2014
    • (2014) Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc , vol.96 , pp. 911-919
    • Rauser, F.1    Gleckler, P.2    Marotzke, J.3
  • 96
    • 33645816549 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Using the current seasonal cycle to constrain snow albedo feedback in future climate change
    • L03502
    • Hall, A., & Qu, X. Using the current seasonal cycle to constrain snow albedo feedback in future climate change. Geophys. Res. Lett. L03502 (2006
    • (2006) Geophys. Res. Lett
    • Hall, A.1    Qu, X.2
  • 97
    • 51649088894 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Arctic warming aloft is data set dependent
    • Bitz, C., & Fu, Q. Arctic warming aloft is data set dependent. Nature 455, E3-E4 (2008
    • (2008) Nature , vol.455 , pp. E3-E4
    • Bitz, C.1    Fu, Q.2
  • 98
    • 44449086846 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Toward seamless prediction: Calibration of climate change projections using seasonal forecasts
    • Palmer, T., Doblas-Reyes, F., Weisheimer, A., & Rodwell, M. Toward seamless prediction: calibration of climate change projections using seasonal forecasts. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 89, 459-470 (2008
    • (2008) Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc , vol.89 , pp. 459-470
    • Palmer, T.1    Doblas-Reyes, F.2    Weisheimer, A.3    Rodwell, M.4
  • 99
    • 84896031659 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Simplicity amid Complexity
    • Held, I. Simplicity amid Complexity. Science 343, 1206-1207 (2014
    • (2014) Science , vol.343 , pp. 1206-1207
    • Held, I.1
  • 100
    • 84962653815 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Percentile indices for assessing changes in heavy precipitation events
    • Schär, C., et al. Percentile indices for assessing changes in heavy precipitation events. Climatic Change 137, 201-216 (2016
    • (2016) Climatic Change , vol.137 , pp. 201-216
    • Schär, C.1
  • 101
    • 20444487052 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Avoiding inhomogeneity in percentile-based indices of temperature extremes
    • Zhang, X. B., Hegerl, G., Zwiers, F. W., & Kenyon, J. Avoiding inhomogeneity in percentile-based indices of temperature extremes. J. Clim. 18, 1641-1651 (2005
    • (2005) J. Clim , vol.18 , pp. 1641-1651
    • Zhang, X.B.1    Hegerl, G.2    Zwiers, F.W.3    Kenyon, J.4
  • 102
    • 77957018042 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The influence of interpolation and station network density on the distributions and trends of climate variables in gridded daily data
    • Hofstra, N., New, M., & McSweeney, C. The influence of interpolation and station network density on the distributions and trends of climate variables in gridded daily data. Clim. Dynam. 35, 841-858 (2010
    • (2010) Clim. Dynam , vol.35 , pp. 841-858
    • Hofstra, N.1    New, M.2    McSweeney, C.3
  • 103
    • 66449093845 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Regions of Focus: North America, Hawaii, Caribbean, and U.S. Pacific Islands (CCSP
    • Thomas R., et al. (eds) Weather and Climate Extremes in a Changing Climate. Regions of Focus: North America, Hawaii, Caribbean, and U.S. Pacific Islands (CCSP, 2008
    • (2008) Weather and Climate Extremes in A Changing Climate
    • Thomas, R.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.