-
1
-
-
0000433525
-
Available potential energy and the maintenance of the general circulation
-
Lorenz EN. Available potential energy and the maintenance of the general circulation. Tellus. 1955;7:157–67
-
(1955)
Tellus
, vol.7
, pp. 157-167
-
-
Lorenz, E.N.1
-
2
-
-
84895461097
-
Arctic amplification dominated by temperature feedbacks in contemporary climate models
-
COI: 1:CAS:528:DC%2BC2cXhs1Slurc%3D
-
Pithan F, Mauritsen T. Arctic amplification dominated by temperature feedbacks in contemporary climate models. Nat Geosci. 2014;7:181–4
-
(2014)
Nat Geosci
, vol.7
, pp. 181-184
-
-
Pithan, F.1
Mauritsen, T.2
-
3
-
-
84933054767
-
Dynamics of temperature extremes
-
COI: 1:CAS:528:DC%2BC2MXhtFaitbrP
-
Shepherd TG. Dynamics of temperature extremes. Nature. 2015;522:425–7
-
(2015)
Nature
, vol.522
, pp. 425-427
-
-
Shepherd, T.G.1
-
4
-
-
84878365524
-
Global increase in record-breaking monthly-mean temperatures
-
Coumou D, Robinson A, Rahmstorf S. Global increase in record-breaking monthly-mean temperatures. Clim Chang. 2013;118:771–82
-
(2013)
Clim Chang
, vol.118
, pp. 771-782
-
-
Coumou, D.1
Robinson, A.2
Rahmstorf, S.3
-
5
-
-
84956964216
-
Quantifying changes in climate variability and extremes: pitfalls and their overcoming
-
Sippel S, Zscheischler J, Heimann M, Otto FEL, Peters J, Mahecha MD. Quantifying changes in climate variability and extremes: pitfalls and their overcoming. Geophys Res Lett. 2015;42:1–9
-
(2015)
Geophys Res Lett
, vol.42
, pp. 1-9
-
-
Sippel, S.1
Zscheischler, J.2
Heimann, M.3
Otto, F.E.L.4
Peters, J.5
Mahecha, M.D.6
-
7
-
-
80052777347
-
Good practice guidance paper on detection and attribution related to anthropogenic climate change
-
In: Stocker T, Field F, Dahe Q, Barros V, Plattner G-K, Tignor M, Midgley P, Ebi K, Geneva, Switzerland
-
Hegerl GC, Hoegh-Guldberg O, Casassa G, Hoerling M, Kovats S, Parmesan C, Pierce D, Stott P. Good practice guidance paper on detection and attribution related to anthropogenic climate change. In: Stocker T, Field F, Dahe Q, Barros V, Plattner G-K, Tignor M, Midgley P, Ebi K. Report of the IPCC Expert Meeting on Detection and Attribution Related to Anthropogenic Climate Change. 2010 Geneva, Switzerland
-
(2010)
Report of the IPCC Expert Meeting on Detection and Attribution Related to Anthropogenic Climate Change
-
-
Hegerl, G.C.1
Hoegh-Guldberg, O.2
Casassa, G.3
Hoerling, M.4
Kovats, S.5
Parmesan, C.6
Pierce, D.7
Stott, P.8
-
8
-
-
84863229771
-
Reconciling two approaches to attribution of the 2010 Russian heat wave
-
A landmark paper which resolved the apparent discrepancy between two published studies of the 2010 Russian heat wave, one of which focused on changes frequency of occurrence and found an anthropogenic effect, the other which focused on effect magnitude and found natural variability to be the dominant driver. Should be required reading because recent studies of extreme events still seem to fall into this trap
-
Otto FEL, Massey N, van Oldenborgh GJ, Jones RG, Allen MR. Reconciling two approaches to attribution of the 2010 Russian heat wave. Geophys Res Lett. 2012;39:L04702. A landmark paper which resolved the apparent discrepancy between two published studies of the 2010 Russian heat wave, one of which focused on changes in frequency of occurrence and found an anthropogenic effect, the other which focused on effect magnitude and found natural variability to be the dominant driver. Should be required reading because recent studies of extreme events still seem to fall into this trap
-
(2012)
Geophys Res Lett
, vol.39
, pp. L04702
-
-
Otto, F.E.L.1
Massey, N.2
van Oldenborgh, G.J.3
Jones, R.G.4
Allen, M.R.5
-
10
-
-
3142560082
-
Updated precipitation series for the UK and discussion of recent extremes
-
Alexander LV, Jones PD. Updated precipitation series for the UK and discussion of recent extremes. Atmos Sci Lett. 2001. doi:10.1006/asle.2001.0025
-
(2001)
Atmos Sci Lett
-
-
Alexander, L.V.1
Jones, P.D.2
-
11
-
-
0037468186
-
Liability for climate change
-
COI: 1:CAS:528:DC%2BD3sXhsVKgtr8%3D
-
Allen MR. Liability for climate change. Nature. 2003;421:891–2
-
(2003)
Nature
, vol.421
, pp. 891-892
-
-
Allen, M.R.1
-
12
-
-
10344259103
-
Human contribution to the European heatwave of 2003
-
COI: 1:CAS:528:DC%2BD2cXhtVeht7rM
-
Stott PA, Stone DA, Allen MR. Human contribution to the European heatwave of 2003. Nature. 2004;432:610–4
-
(2004)
Nature
, vol.432
, pp. 610-614
-
-
Stott, P.A.1
Stone, D.A.2
Allen, M.R.3
-
13
-
-
84877660631
-
Anatomy of an extreme event
-
A pioneering study which is an exemplar of the storyline approach applied to extreme meteorological events, here the 2011 Texas drought/heat wave. Although the authors emphasize the role of natural variability, they also make plausible estimates of the anthropogenic contribution
-
Hoerling M, Kumar A, Dole R, Nielsen-Gammon JW, Eischeid J, Perlwitz J, et al. Anatomy of an extreme event. J Clim. 2013;26:2811–32. A pioneering study which is an exemplar of the storyline approach applied to extreme meteorological events, here the 2011 Texas drought/heat wave. Although the authors emphasize the role of natural variability, they also make plausible estimates of the anthropogenic contribution
-
(2013)
J Clim
, vol.26
, pp. 2811-2832
-
-
Hoerling, M.1
Kumar, A.2
Dole, R.3
Nielsen-Gammon, J.W.4
Eischeid, J.5
Perlwitz, J.6
-
14
-
-
84914150985
-
Atmospheric circulation as a source of uncertainty in climate change projections
-
COI: 1:CAS:528:DC%2BC2cXhsFyhsrnJ, An exposition of the basic reasons why dynamic aspects of climate change are so much more uncertain than thermodynamic aspects
-
Shepherd TG. Atmospheric circulation as a source of uncertainty in climate change projections. Nat Geosci. 2014;7:703–8. An exposition of the basic reasons why dynamic aspects of climate change are so much more uncertain than thermodynamic aspects
-
(2014)
Nat Geosci
, vol.7
, pp. 703-708
-
-
Shepherd, T.G.1
-
15
-
-
79960661709
-
-
The Physical Basis, Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge: As with all IPCC Reports, this represents the latest scientific consensus on the level of confidence that can be expressed concerning the various aspects of climate change, past and future, and is thus a key reference point
-
Stocker TF, Qin D, Plattner G-K, Tignor M, Allen SK, Boschung J, et al. Climate change 2013. Cambridge: The Physical Basis, Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change; 2014. As with all IPCC Reports, this represents the latest scientific consensus on the level of confidence that can be expressed concerning the various aspects of climate change, past and future, and is thus a key reference point
-
(2014)
Climate change 2013
-
-
Stocker, T.F.1
Qin, D.2
Plattner, G.-K.3
Tignor, M.4
Allen, S.K.5
Boschung, J.6
-
16
-
-
84937826016
-
Attribution of climate extreme events
-
Argues that the risk-based approach to extreme event attribution is prone to type II errors of inference (i.e. false negatives) and thus that the null hypothesis should instead be known thermodynamic aspects of climate change. Thereby argues for the storyline approach as the most effective way to quantify the climate-change contribution to particular meteorological extreme events
-
Trenberth KE, Fasullo JT, Shepherd TG. Attribution of climate extreme events. Nat Clim Chang. 2015;5:725–30. Argues that the risk-based approach to extreme event attribution is prone to type II errors of inference (i.e. false negatives) and thus that the null hypothesis should instead be known thermodynamic aspects of climate change. Thereby argues for the storyline approach as the most effective way to quantify the climate-change contribution to particular meteorological extreme events
-
(2015)
Nat Clim Chang
, vol.5
, pp. 725-730
-
-
Trenberth, K.E.1
Fasullo, J.T.2
Shepherd, T.G.3
-
17
-
-
84942505437
-
Attribution of extreme weather events in Africa: a preliminary exploration of the science and policy implications
-
Argues that the user perspective should drive the framing of event attribution studies, since different framings can lead to very different framings of the change risk. Although their focus is on Africa, the findings are of course more general
-
Otto FEL, Boyd E, Jones RG, Cornforth RJ, James R, Parker HR, et al. Attribution of extreme weather events in Africa: a preliminary exploration of the science and policy implications. Clim Chang. 2015. doi:10.1007/s10584-015-1432-0. Argues that the user perspective should drive the framing of event attribution studies, since different framings can lead to very different framings of the change in risk. Although their focus is on Africa, the findings are of course more general
-
(2015)
Clim Chang
-
-
Otto, F.E.L.1
Boyd, E.2
Jones, R.G.3
Cornforth, R.J.4
James, R.5
Parker, H.R.6
-
18
-
-
84897576658
-
The role of horizontal resolution in simulating drivers of the global hydrological cycle
-
Demory ME, Vidale PL, Roberts MJ, Berrisford P, Stachan J, Schiemann R, et al. The role of horizontal resolution in simulating drivers of the global hydrological cycle. Clim Dyn. 2014;42:2201–25
-
(2014)
Clim Dyn
, vol.42
, pp. 2201-2225
-
-
Demory, M.E.1
Vidale, P.L.2
Roberts, M.J.3
Berrisford, P.4
Stachan, J.5
Schiemann, R.6
-
19
-
-
84930225577
-
Attribution of the record high Central England temperature of 2014 to anthropogenic influences
-
King AD, van Oldenborgh GJ, Karoly DJ, Lewis SC, Cullen H. Attribution of the record high Central England temperature of 2014 to anthropogenic influences. Environ Res Lett. 2015;10:054002
-
(2015)
Environ Res Lett
, vol.10
, pp. 054002
-
-
King, A.D.1
van Oldenborgh, G.J.2
Karoly, D.J.3
Lewis, S.C.4
Cullen, H.5
-
21
-
-
79953814612
-
The hot summer of 2010: redrawing the temperature record map of Europe
-
COI: 1:CAS:528:DC%2BC3MXksV2qt7o%3D
-
Barriopedro D, Fischer EM, Luterbacher J, Trigo RM, García-Herrera R. The hot summer of 2010: redrawing the temperature record map of Europe. Science. 2011;332:220–4
-
(2011)
Science
, vol.332
, pp. 220-224
-
-
Barriopedro, D.1
Fischer, E.M.2
Luterbacher, J.3
Trigo, R.M.4
García-Herrera, R.5
-
22
-
-
84959077765
-
Causal counterfactual theory for the attribution of weather and climate-related events
-
A lucid explanation of how Pearl’s theory of causal inference is relevant to extreme event attribution, with the commonly used FAR approach being a special case within a more general framework. Emphasizes the crucial distinction between necessary and sufficient causation, and particular that several causal factors can have a FAR approaching unity (thus, a FAR approaching unity should not be interpreted as sufficient causation). Applies the concepts to the 2003 European heat wave
-
Hannart A, Pearl J, Otto FEL, Naveau P, Ghil M. Causal counterfactual theory for the attribution of weather and climate-related events. Bull Am Meteorol Soc. 2015. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00034.1. A lucid explanation of how Pearl’s theory of causal inference is relevant to extreme event attribution, with the commonly used FAR approach being a special case within a more general framework. Emphasizes the crucial distinction between necessary and sufficient causation, and in particular that several causal factors can have a FAR approaching unity (thus, a FAR approaching unity should not be interpreted as sufficient causation). Applies the concepts to the 2003 European heat wave
-
(2015)
Bull Am Meteorol Soc
-
-
Hannart, A.1
Pearl, J.2
Otto, F.E.L.3
Naveau, P.4
Ghil, M.5
-
23
-
-
84856237422
-
Uncertainty in climate change projections: the role of internal variability
-
A landmark paper which emphasized the potentially enormous role of natural variability for regional aspects of climate change even over multi-decadal timescales, and the generally small signal-to-noise ratio of dynamically driven changes. This implies that the understanding of any dynamically driven extreme must take into account the role of natural variability
-
Deser C, Phillips A, Bourdette V, Teng HY. Uncertainty in climate change projections: the role of internal variability. Clim Dyn. 2012;38:527–46. A landmark paper which emphasized the potentially enormous role of natural variability for regional aspects of climate change even over multi-decadal timescales, and the generally small signal-to-noise ratio of dynamically driven changes. This implies that the understanding of any dynamically driven extreme must take into account the role of natural variability
-
(2012)
Clim Dyn
, vol.38
, pp. 527-546
-
-
Deser, C.1
Phillips, A.2
Bourdette, V.3
Teng, H.Y.4
-
24
-
-
84942923225
-
Improving climate change detection through optimal seasonal averaging: the case of the North Atlantic jet and European precipitation
-
Zappa G, Hoskins BJ, Shepherd TG. Improving climate change detection through optimal seasonal averaging: the case of the North Atlantic jet and European precipitation. J Clim. 2015;28:6381–97
-
(2015)
J Clim
, vol.28
, pp. 6381-6397
-
-
Zappa, G.1
Hoskins, B.J.2
Shepherd, T.G.3
-
25
-
-
84942020501
-
CMIP5 projections of Arctic amplification, of the North America/North Atlantic circulation, and of their relationship
-
Barnes EA, Polvani LM. CMIP5 projections of Arctic amplification, of the North America/North Atlantic circulation, and of their relationship. J Clim. 2015;28:5254–71
-
(2015)
J Clim
, vol.28
, pp. 5254-5271
-
-
Barnes, E.A.1
Polvani, L.M.2
-
26
-
-
1842740336
-
The effects of North Atlantic SST and sea ice anomalies on the winter circulation in CCM3. Part II: direct and indirect components of the response
-
Deser C, Magnusdottir G, Saravanan R, Phillips A. The effects of North Atlantic SST and sea ice anomalies on the winter circulation in CCM3. Part II: direct and indirect components of the response. J Clim. 2004;17:877–89
-
(2004)
J Clim
, vol.17
, pp. 877-889
-
-
Deser, C.1
Magnusdottir, G.2
Saravanan, R.3
Phillips, A.4
-
27
-
-
84984918039
-
Persistent extratropical regimes and climate extremes
-
Hoskins BJ, Woollings T. Persistent extratropical regimes and climate extremes. Curr Clim Change Rep. 2015;1:115–24
-
(2015)
Curr Clim Change Rep
, vol.1
, pp. 115-124
-
-
Hoskins, B.J.1
Woollings, T.2
-
28
-
-
78049343123
-
Winter 2010 in Europe: a cold extreme in a warming climate
-
A landmark paper which used a ‘circulation analogue’ approach to condition observed temperature variations on the atmospheric circulation, thereby greatly increasing the signal-to-noise of detected warming. particular, they showed that the cold European winter of 2010 was warmer than it would have been without climate change. Thus an early example of the storyline approach to extreme event attribution
-
Cattiaux J, Vautard R, Cassou C, Yiou P, Masson-Delmotte V, Codron F. Winter 2010 in Europe: a cold extreme in a warming climate. Geophys Res Lett. 2010;37:L20704. A landmark paper which used a ‘circulation analogue’ approach to condition observed temperature variations on the atmospheric circulation, thereby greatly increasing the signal-to-noise of detected warming. In particular, they showed that the cold European winter of 2010 was warmer than it would have been without climate change. Thus an early example of the storyline approach to extreme event attribution
-
(2010)
Geophys Res Lett
, vol.37
, pp. L20704
-
-
Cattiaux, J.1
Vautard, R.2
Cassou, C.3
Yiou, P.4
Masson-Delmotte, V.5
Codron, F.6
-
29
-
-
84961288987
-
Anthropogenic warming has increased drought risk in California
-
COI: 1:CAS:528:DC%2BC2MXjs1Grurs%3D, A nice study of the recent California drought, which argues from a risk perspective based on the relatively certain nature of thermodynamic aspects of climate change, and the relatively uncertain nature of the dynamic aspects
-
Diffenbaugh NS, Swain DL, Touma D. Anthropogenic warming has increased drought risk in California. Proc Natl Acad Sci. 2015;112:3931–6. A nice study of the recent California drought, which argues from a risk perspective based on the relatively certain nature of thermodynamic aspects of climate change, and the relatively uncertain nature of the dynamic aspects
-
(2015)
Proc Natl Acad Sci
, vol.112
, pp. 3931-3936
-
-
Diffenbaugh, N.S.1
Swain, D.L.2
Touma, D.3
-
30
-
-
84938981726
-
Significant modulation of variability and projected change in California winter precipitation by extratropical cyclone activity
-
Chang EKM, Zheng C, Lanigan P, Yau AMW, Neelin JD. Significant modulation of variability and projected change in California winter precipitation by extratropical cyclone activity. Geophys Res Lett. 2015;42:5983–91
-
(2015)
Geophys Res Lett
, vol.42
, pp. 5983-5991
-
-
Chang, E.K.M.1
Zheng, C.2
Lanigan, P.3
Yau, A.M.W.4
Neelin, J.D.5
-
31
-
-
84885226725
-
Explaining extreme events of 2014 from a climate perspective
-
Herring SC, Hoerling MP, Kossin JP, Peterson TC, Stott PA. Explaining extreme events of 2014 from a climate perspective. Bull Am Meteorol Soc. 2015;96(12):S1–172
-
(2015)
Bull Am Meteorol Soc
, vol.96
, Issue.12
, pp. S1-S172
-
-
Herring, S.C.1
Hoerling, M.P.2
Kossin, J.P.3
Peterson, T.C.4
Stott, P.A.5
-
32
-
-
0043029132
-
The insignificance of significance testing
-
Nicholls N. The insignificance of significance testing. Bull Am Meteorol Soc. 2001;81:981–6
-
(2001)
Bull Am Meteorol Soc
, vol.81
, pp. 981-986
-
-
Nicholls, N.1
-
33
-
-
84901708107
-
Reconciliation of halogen-induced ozone loss with the total-column ozone record
-
COI: 1:CAS:528:DC%2BC2cXnslGksLo%3D
-
Shepherd TG, Plummer DA, Scinocca JF, Hegglin MI, Fioletov VE, Reader MC, et al. Reconciliation of halogen-induced ozone loss with the total-column ozone record. Nat Geosci. 2014;7:443–9
-
(2014)
Nat Geosci
, vol.7
, pp. 443-449
-
-
Shepherd, T.G.1
Plummer, D.A.2
Scinocca, J.F.3
Hegglin, M.I.4
Fioletov, V.E.5
Reader, M.C.6
-
34
-
-
84899869484
-
Evaluation of medium-range forecasts for Hurricane Sandy
-
Magnusson L, Bidlot J-R, Lang STK, Thorpe A, Wedi N. Evaluation of medium-range forecasts for Hurricane Sandy. Mon Weather Rev. 2014;142:1962–81
-
(2014)
Mon Weather Rev
, vol.142
, pp. 1962-1981
-
-
Magnusson, L.1
Bidlot, J.-R.2
Lang, S.T.K.3
Thorpe, A.4
Wedi, N.5
-
35
-
-
84930450772
-
Hurricane Sandy before 1900 and after 2100
-
Lackmann GM. Hurricane Sandy before 1900 and after 2100. Bull Am Meteorol Soc. 2015;96:547–59
-
(2015)
Bull Am Meteorol Soc
, vol.96
, pp. 547-559
-
-
Lackmann, G.M.1
-
36
-
-
84938603992
-
Crucial role of Black Sea warming in amplifying the 2012 Krymsk precipitation extreme
-
COI: 1:CAS:528:DC%2BC2MXhtFKgsLfM, An interesting study of an intense rainfall event, which uses a weather model conditioned on the large-scale circulation to argue that warming of the Black Sea has revealed a tipping point the local mesoscale meteorology. Whether or not the study stands up, it shows the powerful potential of this kind of approach
-
Meredith EP, Semenov VA, Maraun D, Park W, Chernokulsky AV. Crucial role of Black Sea warming in amplifying the 2012 Krymsk precipitation extreme. Nat Geosci. 2015;8:615–20. An interesting study of an intense rainfall event, which uses a weather model conditioned on the large-scale circulation to argue that warming of the Black Sea has revealed a tipping point in the local mesoscale meteorology. Whether or not the study stands up, it shows the powerful potential of this kind of approach
-
(2015)
Nat Geosci
, vol.8
, pp. 615-620
-
-
Meredith, E.P.1
Semenov, V.A.2
Maraun, D.3
Park, W.4
Chernokulsky, A.V.5
-
37
-
-
38549175762
-
Inconsistency between atmospheric dynamics and temperatures during the exceptional 2006/2007 fall/winter and recent warming in Europe
-
Yiou P, Vautard R, Naveau P, Cassou C. Inconsistency between atmospheric dynamics and temperatures during the exceptional 2006/2007 fall/winter and recent warming in Europe. Geophys Res Lett. 2007;34:L21808
-
(2007)
Geophys Res Lett
, vol.34
, pp. L21808
-
-
Yiou, P.1
Vautard, R.2
Naveau, P.3
Cassou, C.4
-
38
-
-
84949252066
-
The dependence of wintertime Mediterranean precipitation on the atmospheric circulation response to climate change
-
Zappa G, Hoskins BJ, Shepherd TG. The dependence of wintertime Mediterranean precipitation on the atmospheric circulation response to climate change. Environ Res Lett. 2015;10:104012
-
(2015)
Environ Res Lett
, vol.10
, pp. 104012
-
-
Zappa, G.1
Hoskins, B.J.2
Shepherd, T.G.3
-
40
-
-
82455205810
-
Uncertainty in science and its role in climate policy
-
Smith LA, Stern N. Uncertainty in science and its role in climate policy. Phil Trans R Soc A. 2011;369:1–24
-
(2011)
Phil Trans R Soc A
, vol.369
, pp. 1-24
-
-
Smith, L.A.1
Stern, N.2
-
41
-
-
84876947207
-
Climate model genealogy: generation CMIP5 and how we got there
-
Knutti R, Masson D, Gettelman A. Climate model genealogy: generation CMIP5 and how we got there. Geophys Res Lett. 2013;40:1194–9
-
(2013)
Geophys Res Lett
, vol.40
, pp. 1194-1199
-
-
Knutti, R.1
Masson, D.2
Gettelman, A.3
-
42
-
-
34547165887
-
Confidence, uncertainty and decision-support relevance in climate predictions
-
COI: 1:STN:280:DC%2BD2svptlymug%3D%3D
-
Stainforth DA, Allen MR, Tredger ER, Smith LA. Confidence, uncertainty and decision-support relevance in climate predictions. Phil Trans R Soc A. 2007;365:2145–61
-
(2007)
Phil Trans R Soc A
, vol.365
, pp. 2145-2161
-
-
Stainforth, D.A.1
Allen, M.R.2
Tredger, E.R.3
Smith, L.A.4
-
43
-
-
70449383691
-
Do we need better predictions to adapt to a changing climate?
-
Dessai S, Hulme M, Lempert R, Pielke Jr R. Do we need better predictions to adapt to a changing climate? Eos. 2009;90:111–2
-
(2009)
Eos
, vol.90
, pp. 111-112
-
-
Dessai, S.1
Hulme, M.2
Lempert, R.3
Pielke, R.4
-
44
-
-
84908510763
-
Characterizing loss and damage from climate change
-
James R, Otto F, Parker H, Boyd E, Cornforth R, Mitchell D, et al. Characterizing loss and damage from climate change. Nat Clim Chang. 2014;4:938–9
-
(2014)
Nat Clim Chang
, vol.4
, pp. 938-939
-
-
James, R.1
Otto, F.2
Parker, H.3
Boyd, E.4
Cornforth, R.5
Mitchell, D.6
-
45
-
-
84855454549
-
-
Farrar, Straus and Giroux, New York: 512
-
Kahneman D. Thinking, fast and slow. New York: Farrar, Straus and Giroux; 2011. 512 pp
-
(2011)
Thinking, fast and slow
-
-
Kahneman, D.1
-
46
-
-
84923003942
-
Tales of future weather
-
Makes the case for a storyline approach to future weather (which they call ‘Tales’), light of the manifold uncertainties which severely challenge a probabilistic approach, but also discusses its possible application to past events. Further argues for a transdisciplinary dialogue concerning weather events, since different users may have very different perspectives on what is ‘extreme’
-
Hazeleger W, van den Hurk BJJM, Min E, van Oldenborgh GJ, Petersen AC, Stainforth DA, et al. Tales of future weather. Nat Clim Chang. 2015;5:107–13. Makes the case for a storyline approach to future weather (which they call ‘Tales’), in light of the manifold uncertainties which severely challenge a probabilistic approach, but also discusses its possible application to past events. Further argues for a transdisciplinary dialogue concerning weather events, since different users may have very different perspectives on what is ‘extreme’
-
(2015)
Nat Clim Chang
, vol.5
, pp. 107-113
-
-
Hazeleger, W.1
van den Hurk, B.J.J.M.2
Min, E.3
van Oldenborgh, G.J.4
Petersen, A.C.5
Stainforth, D.A.6
|