Two modes of change of the distribution of rain

Journal of Climate

Volumn 27, Issue 22, 2014, Pages 8357-8371

  Pendergrass, Angeline G ^a   Hartmann, Dennis L ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON   (United States)

Author keywords

Climate change; ENSO; Hydrologic cycle; Precipitation; Rainfall

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATOLOGY; GLOBAL WARMING; NICKEL; PRECIPITATION (CHEMICAL); RAIN;

COUPLED MODEL INTERCOMPARISON PROJECT; DAILY RAINFALL; ENSO; HYDROLOGIC CYCLES; LARGE SHIFTS; MODE RESPONSE; MULTI-MODEL; RAIN RATES;

PRECIPITATION (METEOROLOGY);

CLIMATE CHANGE; EL NINO-SOUTHERN OSCILLATION; HYDROLOGICAL CYCLE; PRECIPITATION INTENSITY; RAINFALL; TROPICAL ENVIRONMENT;

EID: 84909607963     PISSN: 08948755     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00182.1     Document Type: Article

References (34)

1. Allan, R. P., and B. J. Soden, 2008: Atmospheric warming and the amplification of precipitation extremes. Science, 321, 1481-1484, doi:10.1126/science.1160787.
2. Allan, R. P., and B. J. Soden, C. Liu, M. Zahn, D. A. Lavers, E. Koukouvagias, and A. Bodas-Salcedo, 2013: Physically consistent responses of the global atmospheric hydrological cycle in models and observations. Surv. Geophys., 35, 533-552, doi:10.1007/s10712-012-9213-z.
3. Allen, M. R., and W. J. Ingram, 2002: Constraints on future changes in climate and the hydrologic cycle. Nature, 419, 224-232, doi:10.1038/nature01092.
4. Chen, C.-T., and T. Knutson, 2008: On the verification and comparison of extreme rainfall indices from climate models. J. Climate, 21, 1605-1621, doi:10.1175/2007JCLI1494.1.
5. Chou, C., C.-A. Chen, P.-H. Tan, and K. T. Chen, 2012: Mechanisms for global warming impacts on precipitation frequency and intensity. J. Climate, 25, 3291-3306, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00239.1.
6. Huffman, G. J., R. F. Adler, M. M. Morrissey, D. T. Bolvin, S. Curtis, R. Joyce, B. McGavock, and J. Susskind, 2001: Global precipitation at one-degree daily resolution from multisatellite observations. J. Hydrometeor., 2, 36-50, doi:10.1175/1525-7541(2001)002,0036:GPAODD.2.0.CO;2.
7. Huffman, G. J., and Coauthors, 2007: The TRMM Multisatellite Precipitation Analysis (TMPA): Quasi-global, multiyear, combined-sensor precipitation estimates at fine scales. J. Hydrometeor., 8, 38-55, doi:10.1175/JHM560.1.
8. Jones, P. D., D. H. Lister, T. J. Osborn, C. Harpham, M. Salmon, and C. P. Morice, 2012: Hemispheric and large-scale landsurface air temperature variations: An extensive revision and an update to 2010. J. Geophys. Res., 117, D05127, doi:10.1029/2011JD017139.
9. Jones, P. W., 1999: First-and second-order conservative remapping schemes for grids in spherical coordinates. Mon. Wea. Rev., 127, 2204-2210, doi:10.1175/1520-0493(1999)127,2204:FASOCR.2.0.CO;2.
10. Klein Tank, A. M. G., F. W. Zwiers, and X. Zhang, 2009: Guidelines on analysis of extremes in a changing climate in support of informed decisions for adaptation. World Climate Data and Monitoring Programme Rep. 72 and WMO Tech. Doc. 1500, 56 pp.
11. Kopparla, P., E. Fischer, C. Hannay, and R. Knutti, 2013: Improved simulation of extreme precipitation in a high resolution atmosphere model. Geophys. Res. Lett., 40, 5803-5808, doi:10.1002/2013GL057866.
12. Lau, W. K.-M., H.-T. Wu, and K.-M. Kim, 2013: A canonical response of precipitation characteristics to global warming from CMIP5 models. Geophys. Res. Lett., 40, 3163-3169, doi:10.1002/grl.50420.
13. Liu, C., and R. P. Allan, 2012: Multisatellite observed responses of precipitation and its extremes to interannual climate variability. J. Geophys. Res., 117, D03101, doi:10.1029/2011JD016568.
14. Liu, C., and R. P. Allan, and G. J. Huffman, 2012: Co-variation of temperature and precipitation in CMIP5 models and satellite observations. Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L13803, doi:10.1029/2012GL052093.
15. Masson, D., and R. Knutti, 2011: Climate model genealogy. Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L08703, doi:10.1029/2011GL046864.
16. Mauritsen, T., and Coauthors, 2012: Tuning the climate of a global model. J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 4, M00A01, doi:10.1029/2012MS000154.
17. O'Gorman, P. A., 2012: Sensitivity of tropical precipitation extremes to climate change. Nat. Geosci., 5, 697-700, doi:10.1038/ngeo1568.
18. O'Gorman, P. A., and T. Schneider, 2009: The physical basis for increases in precipitation extremes in simulations of 21st-century climate change. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 106, 14 773-14 777, doi:10.1073/pnas.0907610106.
19. Pall, P., M. Allen, and D. Stone, 2007: Testing the Clausius-Clapeyron constraint on changes in extreme precipitation under CO2 warming. Climate Dyn., 28, 351-363, doi:10.1007/s00382-006-0180-2.
20. Pendergrass, A., 2013: The atmospheric energy constraint on precipitation change. Ph.D. dissertation, University of Washington, 134 pp.
21. Pendergrass, A., and D. Hartmann, 2014a: The atmospheric energy constraint on global-mean precipitation change. J. Climate, 27, 757-768, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00163.1.
22. Pendergrass, A., and D. Hartmann, 2014b: Changes in the distribution of rain frequency and intensity in response to warming. J. Climate, 27, 8372-8383, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00183.1.
23. Pennell, C., and T. Reichler, 2011: On the effective number of climate models. J. Climate, 24, 2358-2367, doi:10.1175/2010JCLI3814.1.
24. Stephens, G. L., and Coauthors, 2010: Dreary state of precipitation in global models. J. Geophys. Res., 115, D24211, doi:10.1029/2010JD014532.
25. Stephens, G. L., and Coauthors, 2012: An update on Earth's energy balance in light of the latest global observations. Nat. Geosci., 5, 691-696, doi:10.1038/ngeo1580.
26. Su, H., and J. D. Neelin, 2003: The scatter in tropical average precipitation anomalies. J. Climate, 16, 3966-3977, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2003)016,3966:TSITAP.2.0.CO;2.
27. Sun, Y., S. Solomon, A. Dai, and R. W. Portmann, 2006: How often does it rain? J. Climate, 19, 916-934, doi:10.1175/JCLI3672.1.
28. Sun, Y., S. Solomon, A. Dai, 2007: How often will it rain? J. Climate, 20, 4801-4818, doi:10.1175/JCLI4263.1.
29. Taylor, K. E., R. J. Stouffer, and G. A. Meehl, 2012: An overview of CMIP5 and the experiment design. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 93, 485-498, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00094.1.
30. Trenberth, K. E., 1997: The definition of ElNiño.Bull.Amer.Meteor. Soc., 78, 2771-2777, doi:10.1175/1520-0477(1997)078,2771:TDOENO.2.0.CO;2.
31. Trenberth, K. E., 1999: Conceptual framework for changes of extremes of the hydrological cycle with climate change. Climatic Change, 42, 327-339, doi:10.1023/A:1005488920935.
32. Trenberth, K. E., 2011: Changes in precipitation with climate change. Climate Res., 47, 123-138, doi:10.3354/cr00953.
33. Trenberth, K. E., A. Dai, R. M. Rasmussen, and D. B. Parsons, 2003: The changing character of precipitation. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 84, 1205-1217, doi:10.1175/BAMS-84-9-1205.
34. Watterson, I., and M. Dix, 2003: Simulated changes due to global warming in daily precipitation means and extremes and their interpretation using the gamma distribution. J. Geophys. Res., 108, 4379, doi:10.1029/2002JD002928.