-
1
-
-
0033368923
-
The skill of ensemble prediction systems
-
Atger F. 1999. The skill of ensemble prediction systems. Mon. Weather Rev. 127: 1941-1953.
-
(1999)
Mon. Weather Rev.
, vol.127
, pp. 1941-1953
-
-
Atger, F.1
-
2
-
-
84925991639
-
Predictability and forecast skill in NMME
-
Becker E, van den Dool H, Zhang Q. 2014. Predictability and forecast skill in NMME. J. Clim. 27: 5891-5906.
-
(2014)
J. Clim.
, vol.27
, pp. 5891-5906
-
-
Becker, E.1
van den Dool, H.2
Zhang, Q.3
-
3
-
-
33947280610
-
Impacts of initial condition errors on mesoscale predictability of heavy precipitation along the Mei-Yu front of China
-
Bei N, Zhang F. 2007. Impacts of initial condition errors on mesoscale predictability of heavy precipitation along the Mei-Yu front of China. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 133: 83-99.
-
(2007)
Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc.
, vol.133
, pp. 83-99
-
-
Bei, N.1
Zhang, F.2
-
4
-
-
33744490657
-
The community climate system model version 3 (CCSM3)
-
Collins WD, Bitz CM, Blackmon ML, Bonan GB, Bretherton CS, Carton JA, Chang P, Doney SC, Hack JJ, Henderson TB, Kiehl JT, Large WG, McKenna DS, Santer BD, Smith RD. 2006. The community climate system model version 3 (CCSM3). J. Clim. 19: 2122-2143.
-
(2006)
J. Clim.
, vol.19
, pp. 2122-2143
-
-
Collins, W.D.1
Bitz, C.M.2
Blackmon, M.L.3
Bonan, G.B.4
Bretherton, C.S.5
Carton, J.A.6
Chang, P.7
Doney, S.C.8
Hack, J.J.9
Henderson, T.B.10
Kiehl, J.T.11
Large, W.G.12
McKenna, D.S.13
Santer, B.D.14
Smith, R.D.15
-
5
-
-
0002629270
-
Maximum likelihood from incomplete data via the EM algorithm
-
Dempster A, Laird N, Rubin D. 1977. Maximum likelihood from incomplete data via the EM algorithm. J. R. Stat. Soc. 39: 1-38.
-
(1977)
J. R. Stat. Soc.
, vol.39
, pp. 1-38
-
-
Dempster, A.1
Laird, N.2
Rubin, D.3
-
6
-
-
27744475624
-
Retrospective forecasts of interannual sea surface temperature anomalies from 1982 to present using a directly Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean General Circulation Model
-
DeWitt DG. 2005. Retrospective forecasts of interannual sea surface temperature anomalies from 1982 to present using a directly Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean General Circulation Model. Mon. Weather Rev. 133: 2972, doi: 10.1175/MWR3016.1.
-
(2005)
Mon. Weather Rev.
, vol.133
, pp. 2972
-
-
DeWitt, D.G.1
-
7
-
-
18544362809
-
The rationale behind the success of multi-model ensembles in seasonal forecasting - II. Calibration and combination
-
Doblas-Reyes FJ, Hagedorn R, Palmer TN. 2005. The rationale behind the success of multi-model ensembles in seasonal forecasting - II. Calibration and combination. Tellus A 57: 234-252.
-
(2005)
Tellus A
, vol.57
, pp. 234-252
-
-
Doblas-Reyes, F.J.1
Hagedorn, R.2
Palmer, T.N.3
-
8
-
-
77957560934
-
Bayesian estimation of local signal and noise in multimodel simulations of climate change
-
Duan Q, Phillips TJ. 2010. Bayesian estimation of local signal and noise in multimodel simulations of climate change. J. Geophys. Res. 115: D18, doi: 10.1029/2009JD013654.
-
(2010)
J. Geophys. Res.
, vol.115
, pp. D18
-
-
Duan, Q.1
Phillips, T.J.2
-
9
-
-
33847274843
-
Multi-model ensemble hydrologic prediction using Bayesian model averaging
-
Duan Q, Ajami NK, Gao X, Sorooshian S. 2007. Multi-model ensemble hydrologic prediction using Bayesian model averaging. Adv. Water Resour. 30: 1371-1386.
-
(2007)
Adv. Water Resour.
, vol.30
, pp. 1371-1386
-
-
Duan, Q.1
Ajami, N.K.2
Gao, X.3
Sorooshian, S.4
-
10
-
-
77953220812
-
Calibrating multimodel forecast ensembles with exchangeable and missing members using Bayesian model averaging
-
Fraley C, Rafery AE, Gneiting T. 2010. Calibrating multimodel forecast ensembles with exchangeable and missing members using Bayesian model averaging. Mon. Weather Rev. 138: 190-202.
-
(2010)
Mon. Weather Rev.
, vol.138
, pp. 190-202
-
-
Fraley, C.1
Rafery, A.E.2
Gneiting, T.3
-
11
-
-
18544371178
-
The rationale behind the success of multi-model ensembles in seasonal forecasting - I. Basic concept
-
Hagedorn R, Doblas-Reyes FJ, Palmer TN. 2005. The rationale behind the success of multi-model ensembles in seasonal forecasting - I. Basic concept. Tellus A 57: 219-233.
-
(2005)
Tellus A
, vol.57
, pp. 219-233
-
-
Hagedorn, R.1
Doblas-Reyes, F.J.2
Palmer, T.N.3
-
12
-
-
0035270069
-
Interpretation of rank histograms for verifying ensemble forecasts
-
Hamill TM. 2001. Interpretation of rank histograms for verifying ensemble forecasts. Mon. Weather Rev. 129: 550-560.
-
(2001)
Mon. Weather Rev.
, vol.129
, pp. 550-560
-
-
Hamill, T.M.1
-
13
-
-
77954297616
-
Ensemble forecasting using TIGGE for the July-September 2008 floods in the Upper Huai catchment: a case study
-
He Y, Wetterhall F, Bao H, Cloke H, Li Z, Pappenberger F, Hu Y, Manful D, Huang Y. 2010. Ensemble forecasting using TIGGE for the July-September 2008 floods in the Upper Huai catchment: a case study. Atmos. Sci. Lett. 11: 132-138.
-
(2010)
Atmos. Sci. Lett.
, vol.11
, pp. 132-138
-
-
He, Y.1
Wetterhall, F.2
Bao, H.3
Cloke, H.4
Li, Z.5
Pappenberger, F.6
Hu, Y.7
Manful, D.8
Huang, Y.9
-
14
-
-
0034292468
-
Decomposition of the continuous ranked probability score for ensemble prediction systems
-
Hersbach H. 2000. Decomposition of the continuous ranked probability score for ensemble prediction systems. Weather Forecast. 15: 559-570.
-
(2000)
Weather Forecast.
, vol.15
, pp. 559-570
-
-
Hersbach, H.1
-
15
-
-
84892459361
-
Inclusion of linearized moist physics in NASA's Goddard Earth Observing System Data Assimilation Tools
-
Holdaway D, Errico R, Gelaro R, Kim JG. 2014. Inclusion of linearized moist physics in NASA's Goddard Earth Observing System Data Assimilation Tools. Mon. Weather Rev. 142: 414-433.
-
(2014)
Mon. Weather Rev.
, vol.142
, pp. 414-433
-
-
Holdaway, D.1
Errico, R.2
Gelaro, R.3
Kim, J.G.4
-
16
-
-
84898014782
-
Southeastern U.S. rainfall prediction in the North American Multi-Model Ensemble
-
Infanti JM, Kirtman BP. 2014. Southeastern U.S. rainfall prediction in the North American Multi-Model Ensemble. J. Hydrometeor. 15: 529-550.
-
(2014)
J. Hydrometeor.
, vol.15
, pp. 529-550
-
-
Infanti, J.M.1
Kirtman, B.P.2
-
17
-
-
1842481194
-
Potential predictability of summer mean precipitation in a dynamical seasonal prediction system with systematic error correction
-
Kang IS, Lee JY, Park CK. 2003. Potential predictability of summer mean precipitation in a dynamical seasonal prediction system with systematic error correction. J. Clim. 17: 834-844.
-
(2003)
J. Clim.
, vol.17
, pp. 834-844
-
-
Kang, I.S.1
Lee, J.Y.2
Park, C.K.3
-
18
-
-
33646432233
-
Bayesian approach to decision making using ensemble weather forecasts
-
Katz R, Ehrendorfer M. 2006. Bayesian approach to decision making using ensemble weather forecasts. Weather Forecast. 21: 220-231.
-
(2006)
Weather Forecast.
, vol.21
, pp. 220-231
-
-
Katz, R.1
Ehrendorfer, M.2
-
19
-
-
70350780686
-
Multimodel ensemble ENSO prediction with CCSM and CFS
-
Kirtman BP, Min D. 2009. Multimodel ensemble ENSO prediction with CCSM and CFS. Mon. Weather Rev. 137: 2908-2930.
-
(2009)
Mon. Weather Rev.
, vol.137
, pp. 2908-2930
-
-
Kirtman, B.P.1
Min, D.2
-
20
-
-
84928617872
-
Climate change 2013: the physical science basis
-
In, Stocker TF, Qin D, Plattner G-K, Tignor M, Allen SK, Boschung J, Nauels A, Xia Y, Bex V, Midgley PM (eds). Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, UK and New York, NY
-
Kirtman B, Power SB, Adedoyin JA, Boer GJ, Bojariu R, Camilloni I, Doblas-Reyes FJ, Fiore AM, Kimoto M, Meehl GA, Prather M, Sarr A, Schär C, Sutton R, van Oldenborgh GJ, Vecchi G, Wang HJ. 2013. Climate change 2013: the physical science basis. In Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Stocker TF, Qin D, Plattner G-K, Tignor M, Allen SK, Boschung J, Nauels A, Xia Y, Bex V, Midgley PM (eds). Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, 953-1028.
-
(2013)
Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
, pp. 953-1028
-
-
Kirtman, B.1
Power, S.B.2
Adedoyin, J.A.3
Boer, G.J.4
Bojariu, R.5
Camilloni, I.6
Doblas-Reyes, F.J.7
Fiore, A.M.8
Kimoto, M.9
Meehl, G.A.10
Prather, M.11
Sarr, A.12
Schär, C.13
Sutton, R.14
van Oldenborgh, G.J.15
Vecchi, G.16
Wang, H.J.17
-
21
-
-
84885653293
-
The North American multimodel ensemble: phase-1 seasonal-to-interannual prediction; phase-2 toward developing intra-seasonal prediction
-
Kirtman BP, Min D, Infanti JM, Kinter JL, Paolino DA, Zhang Q, van den Dool H, Saha S, Mendez MP, Becker E, Peng P, Tripp P, Huang J, DeWitt DG, Tippett MK, Barnston AG, Li S, Rosati A, Schubert SD, Rienecker M, Suarez M, Li ZE, Marshak J, Lim YK, Tribbia J, Pegion K, Merryfield WJ, Denis B, Wood EF. 2014. The North American multimodel ensemble: phase-1 seasonal-to-interannual prediction; phase-2 toward developing intra-seasonal prediction. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 95: 585-601.
-
(2014)
Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc.
, vol.95
, pp. 585-601
-
-
Kirtman, B.P.1
Min, D.2
Infanti, J.M.3
Kinter, J.L.4
Paolino, D.A.5
Zhang, Q.6
van den Dool, H.7
Saha, S.8
Mendez, M.P.9
Becker, E.10
Peng, P.11
Tripp, P.12
Huang, J.13
DeWitt, D.G.14
Tippett, M.K.15
Barnston, A.G.16
Li, S.17
Rosati, A.18
Schubert, S.D.19
Rienecker, M.20
Suarez, M.21
Li, Z.E.22
Marshak, J.23
Lim, Y.K.24
Tribbia, J.25
Pegion, K.26
Merryfield, W.J.27
Denis, B.28
Wood, E.F.29
more..
-
22
-
-
33847388090
-
Predictability of June-September rainfall in Ethiopia
-
Korecha D, Barnston AG. 2007. Predictability of June-September rainfall in Ethiopia. Mon. Weather Rev. 135: 628-650.
-
(2007)
Mon. Weather Rev.
, vol.135
, pp. 628-650
-
-
Korecha, D.1
Barnston, A.G.2
-
23
-
-
84934446298
-
Evaluating skill of seasonal precipitation and temperature predictions of NCEP CFSv2 forecasts over 17 hydroclimatic regions in China
-
Lang Y, Ye A, Gong W, Miao C, Di Z, Xu J, Liu Y, Luo L, Duan Q. 2014. Evaluating skill of seasonal precipitation and temperature predictions of NCEP CFSv2 forecasts over 17 hydroclimatic regions in China. J. Hydrometeor. 15: 1546-1559.
-
(2014)
J. Hydrometeor.
, vol.15
, pp. 1546-1559
-
-
Lang, Y.1
Ye, A.2
Gong, W.3
Miao, C.4
Di, Z.5
Xu, J.6
Liu, Y.7
Luo, L.8
Duan, Q.9
-
24
-
-
79959947137
-
A multiple model assessment of seasonal climate forecast skill for applications
-
Lavers D, Luo L, Wood EF. 2009. A multiple model assessment of seasonal climate forecast skill for applications. Geophys. Res. Lett. 36: L23711, doi: 10.1029/2009GL041365.
-
(2009)
Geophys. Res. Lett.
, vol.36
-
-
Lavers, D.1
Luo, L.2
Wood, E.F.3
-
25
-
-
24144454647
-
Roots of ensemble forecasting
-
Lewis JM. 2005. Roots of ensemble forecasting. Mon. Weather Rev. 133: 1865-1885.
-
(2005)
Mon. Weather Rev.
, vol.133
, pp. 1865-1885
-
-
Lewis, J.M.1
-
26
-
-
0033823811
-
Potential predictability of monthly precipitation over China
-
Liu Y, Ma K, Lin Z. 2000. Potential predictability of monthly precipitation over China. J. Meteor. Res. 14: 316-329.
-
(2000)
J. Meteor. Res.
, vol.14
, pp. 316-329
-
-
Liu, Y.1
Ma, K.2
Lin, Z.3
-
27
-
-
84871400489
-
Evaluating the predictive skill of post-processed NCEP GFS ensemble precipitation forecasts in China's Huai river basin
-
Liu Y, Duan Q, Zhao L, Ye A, Tao Y, Miao C, Mu X, Schaake JC. 2013. Evaluating the predictive skill of post-processed NCEP GFS ensemble precipitation forecasts in China's Huai river basin. Hydrol. Processes 27: 57-74.
-
(2013)
Hydrol. Processes
, vol.27
, pp. 57-74
-
-
Liu, Y.1
Duan, Q.2
Zhao, L.3
Ye, A.4
Tao, Y.5
Miao, C.6
Mu, X.7
Schaake, J.C.8
-
28
-
-
79960956028
-
Predictability of the spring rainfall in Northwestern Iberian Peninsula from sea surfaces temperature of ENSO areas
-
Lorenzo MN, Taboada JJ, Iglesias I, Gómez-Gesteira M. 2011. Predictability of the spring rainfall in Northwestern Iberian Peninsula from sea surfaces temperature of ENSO areas. Clim. Change 107: 329-341.
-
(2011)
Clim. Change
, vol.107
, pp. 329-341
-
-
Lorenzo, M.N.1
Taboada, J.J.2
Iglesias, I.3
Gómez-Gesteira, M.4
-
29
-
-
58049125782
-
Use of Bayesian merging techniques in a multi model seasonal hydrologic ensemble prediction system for the eastern United States
-
Luo L, Wood EF. 2008. Use of Bayesian merging techniques in a multi model seasonal hydrologic ensemble prediction system for the eastern United States. J. Hydrometeor. 9: 866-884.
-
(2008)
J. Hydrometeor.
, vol.9
, pp. 866-884
-
-
Luo, L.1
Wood, E.F.2
-
30
-
-
0000192909
-
Estimates of the natural variability of time-averaged temperatures over the United States
-
Madden RA, Shea DJ. 1978. Estimates of the natural variability of time-averaged temperatures over the United States. Mon. Weather Rev. 106: 1695-1703.
-
(1978)
Mon. Weather Rev.
, vol.106
, pp. 1695-1703
-
-
Madden, R.A.1
Shea, D.J.2
-
32
-
-
84877985960
-
The Canadian seasonal to interannual prediction system. Part I: models and initialization
-
Merryfield WJ, Lee WS, Boer GJ, Kharin VV, Scinocca JF, Flato GM, Ajayamohan RS, Fyfe JC, Tang Y, Polavarapu S. 2013. The Canadian seasonal to interannual prediction system. Part I: models and initialization. Mon. Weather Rev. 141: 2910-2945.
-
(2013)
Mon. Weather Rev.
, vol.141
, pp. 2910-2945
-
-
Merryfield, W.J.1
Lee, W.S.2
Boer, G.J.3
Kharin, V.V.4
Scinocca, J.F.5
Flato, G.M.6
Ajayamohan, R.S.7
Fyfe, J.C.8
Tang, Y.9
Polavarapu, S.10
-
33
-
-
84887426576
-
Evaluation and application of Bayesian multi-model estimation in temperature simulations
-
Miao C, Duan Q, Sun Q, Li J. 2013. Evaluation and application of Bayesian multi-model estimation in temperature simulations. Prog. Phys. Geogr. 37: 727-744.
-
(2013)
Prog. Phys. Geogr.
, vol.37
, pp. 727-744
-
-
Miao, C.1
Duan, Q.2
Sun, Q.3
Li, J.4
-
34
-
-
84892449186
-
The seasonal climate predictability of the Atlantic Warm Pool and its teleconnections
-
Misra V, Li H. 2014. The seasonal climate predictability of the Atlantic Warm Pool and its teleconnections. Geophys. Res. Lett. 41: 661-666.
-
(2014)
Geophys. Res. Lett.
, vol.41
, pp. 661-666
-
-
Misra, V.1
Li, H.2
-
35
-
-
84901916156
-
The predictability of rainfall over the Greater Horn of Africa. Part I. Prediction of seasonal rainfall
-
Nicholson SK. 2014. The predictability of rainfall over the Greater Horn of Africa. Part I. Prediction of seasonal rainfall. J. Hdrometeor. 15: 1011-1027.
-
(2014)
J. Hdrometeor.
, vol.15
, pp. 1011-1027
-
-
Nicholson, S.K.1
-
36
-
-
3543083343
-
Development of a European multimodel ensemble system for seasonal-to-interannual prediction (Demeter)
-
Palmer TN, Doblas-Reyes FJ, Hagedorn R, Alessandri A, Gualdi S, Andersen U, Feddersen H, Cantelaube P, Terres JM, Davey M, Graham R, Délécluse P, Lazar A, Déqué M, Guérémy JF, Díez E, Orfila B, Hoshen M, Morse AP, Keenlyside N, Latif M, Maisonnave E, Rogel P, Marletto V, Thomson MC. 2004. Development of a European multimodel ensemble system for seasonal-to-interannual prediction (Demeter). Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 85: 853-872.
-
(2004)
Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc.
, vol.85
, pp. 853-872
-
-
Palmer, T.N.1
Doblas-Reyes, F.J.2
Hagedorn, R.3
Alessandri, A.4
Gualdi, S.5
Andersen, U.6
Feddersen, H.7
Cantelaube, P.8
Terres, J.M.9
Davey, M.10
Graham, R.11
Délécluse, P.12
Lazar, A.13
Déqué, M.14
Guérémy, J.F.15
Díez, E.16
Orfila, B.17
Hoshen, M.18
Morse, A.P.19
Keenlyside, N.20
Latif, M.21
Maisonnave, E.22
Rogel, P.23
Marletto, V.24
Thomson, M.C.25
more..
-
38
-
-
79952659522
-
The impact of weather forecast improvements on large scale hydrology: analysing a decade of forecasts of the European flood alert system
-
Pappenberger F, Thielen J, Medico MD. 2011. The impact of weather forecast improvements on large scale hydrology: analysing a decade of forecasts of the European flood alert system. Hydrol. Processes 25: 1091-1113.
-
(2011)
Hydrol. Processes
, vol.25
, pp. 1091-1113
-
-
Pappenberger, F.1
Thielen, J.2
Medico, M.D.3
-
39
-
-
58049196895
-
Tigge: preliminary results on comparing and combining ensembles
-
Park YY, Buizza R, Leutbecher M. 2008. Tigge: preliminary results on comparing and combining ensembles. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 134: 2029-2050.
-
(2008)
Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc.
, vol.134
, pp. 2029-2050
-
-
Park, Y.Y.1
Buizza, R.2
Leutbecher, M.3
-
41
-
-
85080838118
-
An analysis of multimodel ensemble predictions for seasonal climate anomalies
-
18-1-18-2
-
Peng P, Kumar A, van den Dool H, Barnston AG. 2002. An analysis of multimodel ensemble predictions for seasonal climate anomalies. J. Geophys. Res. 107: 18-1-18-2, doi: 10.1029/2002JD002712.
-
(2002)
J. Geophys. Res.
, vol.107
-
-
Peng, P.1
Kumar, A.2
van den Dool, H.3
Barnston, A.G.4
-
42
-
-
33646497243
-
Evaluation of continental precipitation in 20th century climate simulations: the utility of multimodel statistics
-
Phillips TJ, Gleckler PJ. 2006. Evaluation of continental precipitation in 20th century climate simulations: the utility of multimodel statistics. Water Resour. Res. 42: W03202, doi: 10.1029/2005WR004313.
-
(2006)
Water Resour. Res.
, vol.42
-
-
Phillips, T.J.1
Gleckler, P.J.2
-
43
-
-
33645633207
-
The NCEP climate forecast system
-
Saha S, Nadiga S, Thiaw C, Wang J, Wang W, Zhang Q, Van den Dool HM, Pan HL, Moorthi S, Behringer D, Stokes D, Peña M, Lord S, White G, Ebisuzaki W, Peng P, Xie P. 2006. The NCEP climate forecast system. J. Clim. 19: 3483-3517.
-
(2006)
J. Clim.
, vol.19
, pp. 3483-3517
-
-
Saha, S.1
Nadiga, S.2
Thiaw, C.3
Wang, J.4
Wang, W.5
Zhang, Q.6
Van den Dool, H.M.7
Pan, H.L.8
Moorthi, S.9
Behringer, D.10
Stokes, D.11
Peña, M.12
Lord, S.13
White, G.14
Ebisuzaki, W.15
Peng, P.16
Xie, P.17
-
44
-
-
84896093136
-
The NCEP climate forecast system version 2
-
Saha S, Moorthi S, Wu X, Wang J, Nadiga S, Tripp P, Behringer D, Hou Y-T, H-Y C, Iredell M, Ek M, Meng J, Yang R, Mendez MP, van den Dool H, Zhang Q, Wang W, Chen M, Becker E. 2014. The NCEP climate forecast system version 2. J. Clim. 27: 2185-2208.
-
(2014)
J. Clim.
, vol.27
, pp. 2185-2208
-
-
Saha, S.1
Moorthi, S.2
Wu, X.3
Wang, J.4
Nadiga, S.5
Tripp, P.6
Behringer, D.7
Hou, Y.-T.8
H-Y, C.9
Iredell, M.10
Ek, M.11
Meng, J.12
Yang, R.13
Mendez, M.P.14
van den Dool, H.15
Zhang, Q.16
Wang, W.17
Chen, M.18
Becker, E.19
-
45
-
-
84856590322
-
Precipitation and temperature ensemble forecasts from single-value forecasts
-
Schaake J, Demargne J, Hartman R, Mullusky M, Welles E, Wu L, Herr H, Fan X, Seo DJ. 2007. Precipitation and temperature ensemble forecasts from single-value forecasts. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss. 4: 655-717.
-
(2007)
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss.
, vol.4
, pp. 655-717
-
-
Schaake, J.1
Demargne, J.2
Hartman, R.3
Mullusky, M.4
Welles, E.5
Wu, L.6
Herr, H.7
Fan, X.8
Seo, D.J.9
-
46
-
-
0141612676
-
Climate characteristics in the source regions of the Yangtze River and Yellow River
-
in Chinese).
-
Shao Y, Zhang H. 1998. Climate characteristics in the source regions of the Yangtze River and Yellow River. J. Qinghai Environ. 2: 68-72 (in Chinese).
-
(1998)
J. Qinghai Environ.
, vol.2
, pp. 68-72
-
-
Shao, Y.1
Zhang, H.2
-
47
-
-
34248354794
-
Probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecasting using Bayesian model averaging
-
Sloughter JML, Raftery AE, Gneiting T, Fraley C. 2007. Probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecasting using Bayesian model averaging. Mon. Weather Rev. 135: 3209-3220.
-
(2007)
Mon. Weather Rev.
, vol.135
, pp. 3209-3220
-
-
Sloughter, J.M.L.1
Raftery, A.E.2
Gneiting, T.3
Fraley, C.4
-
48
-
-
84880176182
-
Probabilistic wind vector forecasting using ensembles and Bayesian model averaging
-
Sloughter JM, Gneiting T, Raftery AE. 2013. Probabilistic wind vector forecasting using ensembles and Bayesian model averaging. Mon. Weather Rev. 141: 2107-2119.
-
(2013)
Mon. Weather Rev.
, vol.141
, pp. 2107-2119
-
-
Sloughter, J.M.1
Gneiting, T.2
Raftery, A.E.3
-
49
-
-
84893180140
-
Would the 'real' observed dataset stand up? A critical examination of eight observed gridded climate datasets for China
-
Sun Q, Miao C, Duan Q, Kong D, Ye A, Di Z, Gong W. 2014. Would the 'real' observed dataset stand up? A critical examination of eight observed gridded climate datasets for China. Environ. Res. Lett. 9: 015001, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/9/1/015001.
-
(2014)
Environ. Res. Lett.
, vol.9
-
-
Sun, Q.1
Miao, C.2
Duan, Q.3
Kong, D.4
Ye, A.5
Di, Z.6
Gong, W.7
-
50
-
-
0034962651
-
Summarizing multiple aspects of model performance in a single diagram
-
Taylor KE. 2001. Summarizing multiple aspects of model performance in a single diagram. J. Geophys. Res. 106: 7183-7192, doi: 10.1029/2000JD900719.
-
(2001)
J. Geophys. Res.
, vol.106
, pp. 7183-7192
-
-
Taylor, K.E.1
-
51
-
-
34547177691
-
The use of the multi-model ensemble in probabilistic climate projections
-
Tebaldi C, Knutti R. 2007. The use of the multi-model ensemble in probabilistic climate projections. Philos. Trans. R. Soc. A 365: 2053-2075.
-
(2007)
Philos. Trans. R. Soc. A
, vol.365
, pp. 2053-2075
-
-
Tebaldi, C.1
Knutti, R.2
-
52
-
-
84958061264
-
A new method for solving the Bayesian model average
-
in Chinese).
-
Tian X, Xie Z, Wang A, Yang X. 2011. A new method for solving the Bayesian model average. Sci China Press 41: 1679-1687 (in Chinese).
-
(2011)
Sci China Press
, vol.41
, pp. 1679-1687
-
-
Tian, X.1
Xie, Z.2
Wang, A.3
Yang, X.4
-
53
-
-
0036646744
-
Long-range predictability of Zimbabwe summer rainfall
-
Unganai LS, Mason SJ. 2002. Long-range predictability of Zimbabwe summer rainfall. Int. J. Climatol. 22: 1091-1103.
-
(2002)
Int. J. Climatol.
, vol.22
, pp. 1091-1103
-
-
Unganai, L.S.1
Mason, S.J.2
-
54
-
-
77957743202
-
Seasonal predictability of daily rainfall characteristics in central Northern Chile for dry-land management
-
Verbist K, Robertson AW, Cornelis WM, Gabriels D. 2010. Seasonal predictability of daily rainfall characteristics in central Northern Chile for dry-land management. J. Appl. Meteorol. Climatol. 49: 1938-1955.
-
(2010)
J. Appl. Meteorol. Climatol.
, vol.49
, pp. 1938-1955
-
-
Verbist, K.1
Robertson, A.W.2
Cornelis, W.M.3
Gabriels, D.4
-
55
-
-
41449088188
-
How accurately do coupled climate models predict the leading modes of Asian-Australian monsoon interannual variability?
-
Wang B, Lee JY, Kang IS, Shukla SJ, Kug JS, Kumar A, Schemm J, Luo JJ, Yamagata T, Park CK. 2007. How accurately do coupled climate models predict the leading modes of Asian-Australian monsoon interannual variability? Clim. Dyn. 30: 605-619.
-
(2007)
Clim. Dyn.
, vol.30
, pp. 605-619
-
-
Wang, B.1
Lee, J.Y.2
Kang, I.S.3
Shukla, S.J.4
Kug, J.S.5
Kumar, A.6
Schemm, J.7
Luo, J.J.8
Yamagata, T.9
Park, C.K.10
-
56
-
-
72049088496
-
ENSEMBLES: a new multi-model ensemble for seasonal-to-annual predictions-skill and progress beyond DEMETER in forecasting tropical Pacific SSTs
-
Weisheimer A, Doblas-Reyes FJ, Palmer TN, Alessandri A, Arribas A, Déqué M, Keenlyside N, Mac Vean M, Navarra A, Rogel P. 2009. ENSEMBLES: a new multi-model ensemble for seasonal-to-annual predictions-skill and progress beyond DEMETER in forecasting tropical Pacific SSTs. Geophys. Res. Lett. 36: L21711, doi: 10.1029/2009GL040896.
-
(2009)
Geophys. Res. Lett.
, vol.36
-
-
Weisheimer, A.1
Doblas-Reyes, F.J.2
Palmer, T.N.3
Alessandri, A.4
Arribas, A.5
Déqué, M.6
Keenlyside, N.7
Mac Vean, M.8
Navarra, A.9
Rogel, P.10
-
58
-
-
34447629733
-
A gauge-based analysis of daily precipitation over East Asia
-
Xie P, Chen M, Yang S, Yatagai A, Hayasaka T, Fukushima Y, Liu C. 2007. A gauge-based analysis of daily precipitation over East Asia. J. Hydrometeor. 8: 607-626.
-
(2007)
J. Hydrometeor.
, vol.8
, pp. 607-626
-
-
Xie, P.1
Chen, M.2
Yang, S.3
Yatagai, A.4
Hayasaka, T.5
Fukushima, Y.6
Liu, C.7
-
59
-
-
79959219941
-
Experiment of ensemble forecast of heavy rainfall in the Huaihe River during rainy season of 2003 (in Chinese)
-
Xu G, Zhao S, Wang Y, Yang Y. 2007. Experiment of ensemble forecast of heavy rainfall in the Huaihe River during rainy season of 2003 (in Chinese). Climatic Environ. Res. 12: 481-488.
-
(2007)
Climatic Environ. Res.
, vol.12
, pp. 481-488
-
-
Xu, G.1
Zhao, S.2
Wang, Y.3
Yang, Y.4
-
60
-
-
84901350517
-
Predictability of winter rainfall in South China as demonstrated by the coupled models of ensembles
-
Yang S, Li C, Lu R. 2014. Predictability of winter rainfall in South China as demonstrated by the coupled models of ensembles. Adv. Atmos. Sci. 31: 779-786.
-
(2014)
Adv. Atmos. Sci.
, vol.31
, pp. 779-786
-
-
Yang, S.1
Li, C.2
Lu, R.3
-
61
-
-
84887617971
-
Predictable signals of seasonal precipitation in the Yangtze-Huaihe River Valley
-
Ying K, Zheng X, Quan X, Frederiksen CS. 2013. Predictable signals of seasonal precipitation in the Yangtze-Huaihe River Valley. Int. J. Climatol. 33: 3002-3015.
-
(2013)
Int. J. Climatol.
, vol.33
, pp. 3002-3015
-
-
Ying, K.1
Zheng, X.2
Quan, X.3
Frederiksen, C.S.4
-
62
-
-
84884179958
-
Multimodel seasonal forecasting of global drought onset
-
Yuan X, Wood EF. 2013. Multimodel seasonal forecasting of global drought onset. Geophys. Res. Lett. 40: 4900-4905.
-
(2013)
Geophys. Res. Lett.
, vol.40
, pp. 4900-4905
-
-
Yuan, X.1
Wood, E.F.2
-
63
-
-
79960010906
-
A first look at Climate Forecast System version 2 (CFSv2) for hydrological seasonal prediction
-
Yuan X, Wood EF, Luo L, Pan M. 2011. A first look at Climate Forecast System version 2 (CFSv2) for hydrological seasonal prediction. Geophys. Res. Lett. 38: L13402, doi: 10.1029/2011GL047792.
-
(2011)
Geophys. Res. Lett.
, vol.38
-
-
Yuan, X.1
Wood, E.F.2
Luo, L.3
Pan, M.4
-
64
-
-
35748930572
-
System design and evaluation of coupled ensemble data assimilation for global oceanic climate studies
-
Zhang S, Harrison MJ, Rosati A, Wittenberg A. 2007. System design and evaluation of coupled ensemble data assimilation for global oceanic climate studies. Mon. Weather Rev. 135: 3541-3564.
-
(2007)
Mon. Weather Rev.
, vol.135
, pp. 3541-3564
-
-
Zhang, S.1
Harrison, M.J.2
Rosati, A.3
Wittenberg, A.4
-
65
-
-
84958034681
-
Preliminary evaluation of multi-model ensemble system for monthly and seasonal prediction
-
In . NOAA: Silver Spring, MD
-
Zhang Q, Dool H, Saha S, Mendez M, Becker E, Peng P, Huang J. 2011. Preliminary evaluation of multi-model ensemble system for monthly and seasonal prediction. In the 36th NOAA Annual Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop. NOAA: Silver Spring, MD, 124-131.
-
(2011)
the 36th NOAA Annual Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop
, pp. 124-131
-
-
Zhang, Q.1
Dool, H.2
Saha, S.3
Mendez, M.4
Becker, E.5
Peng, P.6
Huang, J.7
-
66
-
-
84874966568
-
Estimate of climatic noise and potential predictability of seasonal precipitation in China
-
Zhao X, Wu H, He L. 2008. Estimate of climatic noise and potential predictability of seasonal precipitation in China. J. Nanjing Inst. Meteor. 31: 819-827.
-
(2008)
J. Nanjing Inst. Meteor.
, vol.31
, pp. 819-827
-
-
Zhao, X.1
Wu, H.2
He, L.3
-
67
-
-
84958063500
-
-
In 28th Meteorological Conference on S3 Weather Prediction, Meteorological Society China, Xiamen
-
Zhao L, Liang L, Cheng C, Zhang Y, Liu Y. 2011. Bias correction for ensemble predictions of precipitation based on Bayesian model averaging. In 28th Meteorological Conference on S3 Weather Prediction, Meteorological Society China, Xiamen, 14 pp.
-
(2011)
Bias correction for ensemble predictions of precipitation based on Bayesian model averaging.
, pp. 14
-
-
Zhao, L.1
Liang, L.2
Cheng, C.3
Zhang, Y.4
Liu, Y.5
-
68
-
-
0034233184
-
Potential predictability of seasonal means based on monthly time series of meteorological variables
-
Zheng X, Nakamura H, Renwick JA. 2000. Potential predictability of seasonal means based on monthly time series of meteorological variables. J. Clim. 13: 2591-2604.
-
(2000)
J. Clim.
, vol.13
, pp. 2591-2604
-
-
Zheng, X.1
Nakamura, H.2
Renwick, J.A.3
-
69
-
-
2942525333
-
Interannual variability and predictability in an ensemble of climate simulations with the MRI-JMA AGCM
-
Zheng X, Sugi M, Frederiksen CS. 2004. Interannual variability and predictability in an ensemble of climate simulations with the MRI-JMA AGCM. J. Meteor. Soc. Jpn. Ser. II 82: 1-18.
-
(2004)
J. Meteor. Soc. Jpn. Ser. II
, vol.82
, pp. 1-18
-
-
Zheng, X.1
Sugi, M.2
Frederiksen, C.S.3
|