A framework for the science contribution in climate adaptation: Experiences from science-policy processes in the Andes

Environmental Science and Policy

Volumn 47, Issue , 2015, Pages 80-94

  Huggel, Christian ^a   Scheel, Marlene ^a   Albrecht, Franziska ^b,c   Andres, Norina ^d   Calanca, Pierluigi ^e   Jurt, Christine ^a,e   Khabarov, Nikolay ^b   Mira Salama, Daniel ^f   Rohrer, Mario ^g   Salzmann, Nadine ^a,h   Silva, Yamina ⁱ   Silvestre, Elizabeth ^j   Vicuña, Luis ^a   Zappa, Massimiliano ^d  

^a UNIVERSITY OF ZURICH   (Switzerland)

^b INTERNATIONAL INSTITUTE FOR APPLIED SYSTEMS ANALYSIS   (Austria)

^c UNIVERSITY OF VIENNA   (Austria)

^d SWISS FEDERAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE WSL   (Switzerland)

^e AGROSCOPE RECKENHOLZ TÄNIKON RESEARCH STATION ART   (Switzerland)

^f WORLD BANK   (United States)

^g METEODAT GMBH   (Switzerland)

^h UNIVERSITY OF FRIBOURG   (Switzerland)

ⁱ INSTITUTO GEOFÍSICO DEL PERÚ   (Peru)

^j INCLIMA Pueblo Libre ^*  (Peru)

more..

Author keywords

Climate adaptation; Joint knowledge production; Science policy process; Tropical Andes

Indexed keywords

ADAPTATION; AGRICULTURE; ARTICLE; CLIMATE; CLIMATE CHANGE; ECONOMIC ASPECT; ECOSYSTEM; ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING; ENVIRONMENTAL PLANNING; EXPERIENCE; FOOD SECURITY; GOVERNMENT; HAZARD; POLITICS; RISK; SCIENCE; SOCIAL ASPECT; WATER SUPPLY;

EID: 84919820359     PISSN: 14629011     EISSN: 18736416     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2014.11.007     Document Type: Article

References (108)

1. Adger W.N., Barnett J., Brown K., Marshall N., O'Brien K. Cultural dimensions of climate change impacts and adaptation. Nat. Clim. Change 2013, 3:112-117. 10. 1038/nclimate1666.
2. Anderson E.P., Marengo J., Villalba R., Halloy S., Young B., Cordero D., Gast F., Jaimes E., Ruiz D. Consequences of climate change for ecosystems and ecosystem services in the Tropical Andes. Climate Change and Biodiversity in the Tropical Andes 2011, 1-5. MacArthur Foundation, Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research (IAI), Scientific Committee on Problems of the Environment (SCOPE).
3. AndesPlus Metodologías para la formulación de Líneas de Base y Medidas de Adaptación al Cambio Climático en Ecosistemas de Alta Montaña 2013, University of Zurich, Andean Community of Nations, Zurich/Lima.
4. Andrade A., Córdoba R., Dave R., Girot P., Herrera-F B., Munroe R., Oglethorpe J., Pramova E., Watson J., Vergara W. Draft Principles and Guidelines for Integrating Ecosystem-Based Approaches to Adaptation in Project and Policy Design: A Discussion Document 2011, Tropical Agricultural Research and Higher Education Center (CATIE), International Union for the Conservation of Nature (IUCN), Turrialba, Costa Rica.
5. Andres N., Vegas Galdos F., Lavado Casimiro W.S., Zappa M. Water resources and climate change impact modelling on a daily time scale in the Peruvian Andes. Hydrol. Sci. J. 2014, 0. (in press). 10. 1080/02626667.2013.862336.
6. Baraer M., Mark B.G., McKenzie J.M., Condom T., Bury J., Huh K.-I., Portocarrero C., Gómez J., Rathay S. Glacier recession and water resources in Peru's Cordillera Blanca. J. Glaciol. 2012, 58:134-150.
7. Barnes J., Dove M., Lahsen M., Mathews A., McElwee P., McIntosh R., Moore F., O'Reilly J., Orlove B., Puri R., Weiss H., Yager K. Contribution of anthropology to the study of climate change. Nat. Clim. Change 2013, 3:541-544. 10. 1038/nclimate1775.
8. Bebbington A.J., Bury J.T. Institutional challenges for mining and sustainability in Peru. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. 2009, 106:17296.
9. Bhave A.G., Mishra A., Raghuwanshi N.S. A combined bottom-up and top-down approach for assessment of climate change adaptation options. J. Hydrol. 2014, 518:150-161. 10. 1016/j.jhydrol.2013.08.039.
10. Bielak A.T., Campbell A., Pope S., Schaefer K., Shaxson L. From science communication to knowledge brokering: the shift from science push to policy pull. Communicating Science in Social Contexts 2008, 201-226. Springer, The Netherlands. D. Cheng, M. Claessens, T. Gascoigne, J. Metcalfe, B. Schiele, S. Shi (Eds.).
11. Biesbroek G.R., Swart R.J., Carter T.R., Cowan C., Henrichs T., Mela H., Morecroft M.D., Rey D. Europe adapts to climate change: comparing national adaptation strategies. Global Environ. Change 2010, 20:440-450. 10. 1016/j.gloenvcha.2010.03.005.
12. Botzen W.J.W., Van Den Bergh J. Insurance against climate change and flooding in the Netherlands: present, future, and comparison with other countries. Risk Anal. 2008, 28:413-426.
13. Brown C., Wilby R.L. An alternate approach to assessing climate risks. EOS Trans. Am. Geophys. Union 2012, 93:401.
14. Bury J.T., Mark B.G., McKenzie J.M., French A., Baraer M., Huh K.I., Zapata Luyo M.A., Gómez López R.J. Glacier recession and human vulnerability in the Yanamarey watershed of the cordillera Blanca, Peru. Clim. Change 2011, 105:179-206.
15. Buytaert W., Beven K. Models as multiple working hypotheses: hydrological simulation of tropical alpine wetlands. Hydrol. Process. 2011, 25:1784-1799. 10. 1002/hyp.7936.
16. Buytaert W., Célleri R., Timbe L. Predicting climate change impacts on water resources in the tropical Andes: effects of GCM uncertainty. Geophys. Res. Lett. 2009, 36:L07406.
17. Buytaert W., Cuesta-Camacho F., Tobón C., Buytaert W., Cuesta-Camacho F., Tobón C. Potential impacts of climate change on the environmental services of humid tropical alpine regions, Potential impacts of climate change on the environmental services of humid tropical alpine regions. Global Ecol. Biogeogr. 2011, 20:19-33. 10. 1111/j. 1466-8238.2010.00585.x.
18. CAN El cambio climático no tiene fronteras. Impacto del cambio climático en la Comunidad Andina. Secretaria General de la Comunidad Andina 2008.
19. Cardona O.D., Carreño M.L. Updating the indicators for disaster risk and risk management for the Americas. IDRiM J. 2011, 1. 10. 5595/idrim.2011.0014.
20. Carey M., Baraer M., Mark B.G., French A., Bury J., Young K.R., McKenzie J.M. Toward hydro-social modeling: merging human variables and the social sciences with climate-glacier runoff models (Santa River, Peru). J. Hydrol. 2014, 518(Part A):60-70. 10. 1016/j.jhydrol.2013.11.006.
21. Carey M., French A., O'Brien E. Unintended effects of technology on climate change adaptation: an historical analysis of water conflicts below Andean Glaciers. J. Hist. Geogr. 2012, 38:181-191. 10. 1016/j.jhg.2011.12.002.
22. Carey M., Huggel C., Bury J., Portocarrero C., Haeberli W. An integrated socio-environmental framework for climate change adaptation and glacier hazard management: lessons from Lake 513, Cordillera Blanca, Peru. Clim. Change 2012, 112:733-767.
23. Carpenter S.R., Mooney H.A., Agard J., Capistrano D., DeFries R.S., Díaz S., Dietz T., Duraiappah A.K., Oteng-Yeboah A., Pereira H.M., Perrings C., Reid W.V., Sarukhan J., Scholes R.J., Whyte A. Science for managing ecosystem services: beyond the millennium ecosystem assessment. Proc Natl Acad Sci 2009, 106:1305-1312. 10. 1073/pnas.0808772106.
24. Cash D.W., Borck J.C., Patt A.G. Countering the loading-dock approach to linking science and decision making comparative analysis of El Niño/southern oscillation (ENSO) forecasting systems. Sci. Technol. Human Values 2006, 31:465-494. 10. 1177/0162243906287547.
25. Cash D.W., Clark W.C., Alcock F., Dickson N.M., Eckley N., Guston D.H., Jäger J., Mitchell R.B. Knowledge systems for sustainable development. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. 2003, 100:8086-8091. 10. 1073/pnas.1231332100.
26. Ceballos J.L., Euscategui C., Ramirez J., Canon M., Huggel C., Haeberli W., Machguth H. Fast shrinkage of tropical glaciers in Colombia. Ann. Glaciol. 2006, 43:194-201.
27. Chevallier P., Pouyaud B., Suarez W., Condom T. Climate change threats to environment in the tropical Andes: glaciers and water resources. Reg. Environ. Change 2011, 11:179-187. 10. 1007/s10113-010-0177-6.
28. Condom T., Escobar M., Purkey D., Pouget J.C., Suarez W., Ramos C., Apaestegui J., Tacsi A., Gomez J. Simulating the implications of glaciers' retreat for water management: a case study in the Rio Santa basin, Peru. Water Int. 2012, 37:442-459. 10. 1080/02508060.2012.706773.
29. Dazé A., Ambrose K., Erhart C. Climate Vulnerability and Capacity Analysis Handbook 2009, CARE International.
30. DesInventar DesInventar - Inventory System of the Effects of Disasters 2013, Corporación OSSA, Cali, Colombia.
31. Dewulf A. Contrasting frames in policy debates on climate change adaptation. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews. Clim. Change 2013, 4:321-330. 10. 1002/wcc.227.
32. Dilling L., Lemos M.C. Creating usable science: opportunities and constraints for climate knowledge use and their implications for science policy. Global Environ. Change 2011, 21:680-689. 10. 1016/j.gloenvcha.2010.11.006.
33. Evans S.G., Bishop N.F., Smoll L.F., Murillo P.V., Delaney K.B., Oliver-Smith A. A re-examination of the mechanism and human impact of catastrophic mass flows originating on Nevado Huascarán, Cordillera Blanca, Peru in 1962 and 1970. Eng. Geol. 2009, 108:96-118. 10. 1016/j.enggeo.2009.06.020.
34. Favier V., Wagnon P., Ribstein P. Glaciers of the outer and inner tropics: a different behaviour but a common response to climatic forcing. Geophys. Res. Lett. 2004, 31:16.
35. Fischlin A., Midgley G., Price J., Leemans R., Gopal B., Turley C., Rounsevell M., Dube O., Tarazona J., Velichko A. Ecosystems, their properties, goods, and services. Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 2007, 211-272. M.L. Parry, O.F. Canziani, J.P. Palutikof, P.J. van der Linden, C.E. Hanson (Eds.).
36. Ford J.D., Vanderbilt W., Berrang-Ford L. Authorship in IPCC AR5 and its implications for content: climate change and indigenous populations in WGII. Clim. Change 2012, 113:201-213. 10. 1007/s10584-011-0350-z.
37. Francou B., Ribstein P., Wagnon P., Pouyaud B. Annual cycle of energy balance of Zongo glacier, Cordillera Real, Bolivia. J. Geophys. Res. 1995, 104:3907-3923.
38. Geerts S., Raes D., Garcia M., Condori O., Mamani J., Miranda R., Cusicanqui J., Taboada C., Yucra E., Vacher J. Could deficit irrigation be a sustainable practice for quinoa (Chenopodium quinoa Willd.) in the Southern Bolivian Altiplano?. Agric. Water Manag. 2008, 95:909-917.
39. Geerts S., Raes D., Garcia M., Del Castillo C., Buytaert W. Agro-climatic suitability mapping for crop production in the Bolivian Altiplano: a case study for quinoa. Agric. For. Meteorol. 2006, 139:399-412.
40. Gentle P., Maraseni T.N. Climate change, poverty and livelihoods: adaptation practices by rural mountain communities in Nepal. Environ. Sci. Policy 2012, 21:24-34. 10. 1016/j.envsci.2012.03.007.
41. Gersonius B., Ashley R., Pathirana A., Zevenbergen C. Climate change uncertainty: building flexibility into water and flood risk infrastructure. Clim. Change 2013, 116:411-423. 10. 1007/s10584-012-0494-5.
42. Gregory P.J., Johnson S.N., Newton A.C., Ingram J.S.I. Integrating pests and pathogens into the climate change/food security debate. J. Exp. Bot. 2009, 60:2827-2838. 10. 1093/jxb/erp080.
43. Hallegatte S. Strategies to adapt to an uncertain climate change. Global Environ. Change 2009, 19:240-247.
44. Harriman L. Where will the water go? Impacts of accelerated glacier melt in the Tropical Andes: Article reproduced from United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) Global Environmental Alert Service (GEAS). Environ. Dev. 2014, (in press). 10. 1016/j.envdev.2013.10.001.
45. Havlík P., Schneider U.A., Schmid E., Böttcher H., Fritz S., Skalský R., Aoki K., Cara S.D., Kindermann G., Kraxner F., Leduc S., McCallum I., Mosnier A., Sauer T., Obersteiner M. Global land-use implications of first and second generation biofuel targets. Energy Policy 2011, 39:5690-5702. 10. 1016/j.enpol.2010.03.030.
46. Hegger D., Dieperink C. Toward successful joint knowledge production for climate change adaptation: lessons from six regional projects in the Netherlands. Ecol. Soc. 2014, 19:34. 10. 5751/ES-06453-190234.
47. Hegger D., Lamers M., Van Zeijl-Rozema A., Dieperink C. Conceptualising joint knowledge production in regional climate change adaptation projects: success conditions and levers for action. Environ. Sci. Policy 2012, 18:52-65. 10. 1016/j.envsci.2012.01.002.
48. Hofer M., Mölg T., Marzeion B., Kaser G. Empirical-statistical downscaling of reanalysis data to high-resolution air temperature and specific humidity above a glacier surface (Cordillera Blanca, Peru). J. Geophys. Res.: Atmos. 2010, 115. (n/a-n/a). 10. 1029/2009JD012556.
49. Huggel C., Khabarov N., Obersteiner M., Ramírez J.M. Implementation and integrated numerical modeling of a landslide early warning system: a pilot study in Colombia. Nat. Hazards 2010, 52:501-518. 10. 1007/s11069-009-9393-0.
50. Huggel C., Raissig A., Rohrer M., Romero G., Diaz A., Salzmann N. How useful and reliable are disaster databases in the context of climate and global change? A comparative case study analysis in Peru. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss. 2014, 2:4331-4362. 10. 5194/nhessd-2-4331-2014.
51. Huggel C., Rohrer M., Calanca P., Salzmann N., Vergara W., Quispe N., Ceballos J.L. Early warning systems: the last mile of adaptation. Eos Trans. AGU 2012, 93:209. 10. 1029/2012EO220001.
52. IISD Community Based Risk Screening Tool - Adaptation and Livelihoods. CRISTAL User Manual Version 5 2012, The International Institute for Sustainable Development, Winnipeg, MB, Canada.
53. IPCC Summary for Policymakers. Working Group II Contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability 2014, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.
54. Juen I., Kaser G., Georges C. Modelling observed and future runoff from a glacierized tropical catchment (Cordillera Blanca, Peru). Global Planet. Change 2007, 59:37-48. 10. 1016/j.gloplacha.2006.11.038.
55. Kaser G., Juen I., Georges C., Gómez J., Tamayo W. The impact of glaciers on the runoff and the reconstruction of mass balance history from hydrological data in the tropical Cordillera Blanca, Peru. J. Hydrol. 2003, 282:130-144.
56. Khan M.R., Roberts J.T. Adaptation and international climate policy 2013, 4:171-189. Clim. Change. 10. 1002/wcc.212.
57. Kriegler E., O'Neill B.C., Hallegatte S., Kram T., Lempert R.J., Moss R.H., Wilbanks T. The need for and use of socio-economic scenarios for climate change analysis: a new approach based on shared socio-economic pathways. Global Environ. Change 2012, 22:807-822. 10. 1016/j.gloenvcha.2012.05.005.
58. Künzler M., Huggel C., Ramírez J.M. A risk analysis for floods and lahars: case study in the Cordillera Central of Colombia. Nat. Hazards 2012, 64:767-796. 10. 1007/s11069-012-0271-9.
59. Lavado W.S., Labat D., Guyot J.L., Ardoin-Bardin S. Assessment of climate change impacts on the hydrology of the Peruvian Amazon - Andes basin. Hydrol. Process. 2011, 25:3721-3734. 10. 1002/hyp.8097.
60. Lavado W.S., Labat D., Guyot J.L., Ronchail J., Ordonez J.J. TRMM rainfall data estimation over the Peruvian Amazon-Andes basin and its assimilation into a monthly water balance model, in: New Approaches to Hydrological Prediction in Data-Sparse Regions. Proceedings of Symposium HS. 2 at the Joint Convention of the International Association of Hydrological Sciences (IAHS) and the International Association of Hydrogeologists (IAH) 2009, 245-252. Hyderabad, (6-12 September 2009).
61. Lemos M.C., Morehouse B.J. The co-production of science and policy in integrated climate assessments. Global Environ. Change 2005, 15:57-68. 10. 1016/j.gloenvcha.2004.09.004.
62. Lynch B.D. Vulnerabilities, competition and rights in a context of climate change toward equitable water governance in Peru's Rio Santa Valley. Global Environ. Change 2012, 22:364-373. 10. 1016/j.gloenvcha.2012.02.002.
63. Magrin G., Marengo J., Boulanger J.-P., Buckeridge M.S., Castellanos E., Poveda G., Sacarano F.R., Vicuña S. Central and South America. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 2014, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK. C. Field, V. Barrrios, M. Mastrandrea, K. Mach (Eds.).
64. Marulanda M.C., Cardona O.D., Barbat A.H. Revealing the socioeconomic impact of small disasters in Colombia using the DesInventar database. Disasters 2010, 34:552-570. 10. 1111/j. 1467-7717.2009.01143.x.
65. McDowell J.Z., Hess J.J. Accessing adaptation: multiple stressors on livelihoods in the Bolivian highlands under a changing climate. Global Environ. Change 2012, 22:342-352. 10. 1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.11.002.
66. McNie E.C. Reconciling the supply of scientific information with user demands: an analysis of the problem and review of the literature. Environ. Sci. Policy 2007, 10:17-38.
67. Minvielle M., Garreaud R.D. Projecting rainfall changes over the South American Altiplano. J. Clim. 2011, 24:4577-4583. 10. 1175/JCLI-D-11-00051.1.
68. Moser S.C., Ekstrom J.A. A framework to diagnose barriers to climate change adaptation. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. 2010, 107:22026-22031. 10. 1073/pnas.1007887107.
69. Nathan F. Risk perception, risk management and vulnerability to landslides in the hill slopes in the city of La Paz, Bolivia. A preliminary statement. Disasters 2008, 32:337-357. 10. 1111/j. 1467-7717.2008.01043.x.
70. O'Neill B.C., Kriegler E., Riahi K., Ebi K.L., Hallegatte S., Carter T.R., Mathur R., Vuuren D.P.van A new scenario framework for climate change research: the concept of shared socioeconomic pathways. Clim. Change 2014, 122:387-400. 10. 1007/s10584-013-0905-2.
71. Paavola J. Science and social justice in the governance of adaptation to climate change. Environ. Polit. 2008, 17:644-659. 10. 1080/09644010802193609.
72. Perez A.A., Gatti R.C., Fernandez B.H. Building Resilience to Climate Change: Ecosystem-Based Adaptation and Lessons from the Field 2011, World Conservation Union, (concept).
73. Pierson T.C., Janda R.J., Thouret J.C., Borrero C.A. Perturbation and melting of snow and ice by the 13 November 1985 eruption of Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia, and consequent mobilization, flow and deposition of lahars. J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res. 1990, 41:17-66.
74. PNUD Tras las huellas del cambio climático en Bolivia - Estado del arte del conocimiento sobre adaptación al cambio climático Agua y seguridad alimentaria. Bolivia 2011.
75. Pohl C., Rist S., Zimmermann A., Fry P., Gurung G.S., Schneider F., Speranza C.I., Kiteme B., Boillat S., Serrano E., Hadorn G.H., Wiesmann U. Researchers' roles in knowledge co-production: experience from sustainability research in Kenya, Switzerland, Bolivia and Nepal. Sci. Public Policy 2010, 37:267-281. 10. 3152/030234210X496628.
76. Poussin J.K., Bubeck P., Aerts J., Ward P.J. Potential of semi-structural and non-structural adaptation strategies to reduce future flood risk: case study for the Meuse. Natl. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. 2012, 12:3455-3471.
77. Rosenzweig C., Jones J.W., Hatfield J.L., Ruane A.C., Boote K.J., Thorburn P., Antle J.M., Nelson G.C., Porter C., Janssen S., Asseng S., Basso B., Ewert F., Wallach D., Baigorria G., Winter J.M. The agricultural model intercomparison and improvement project (AgMIP): protocols and pilot studies. Agric. For. Meteorol. 2013, 170:166-182. 10. 1016/j.agrformet.2012.09.011.
78. Salzmann N., Huggel C., Calanca P., Díaz A., Jonas T., Jurt C., Konzelmann T., Lagos P., Rohrer M., Silverio W. Integrated assessment and adaptation to climate change impacts in the Peruvian Andes. Adv. Geosci. 2009, 22:35-39. others.
79. Salzmann N., Huggel C., Rohrer M., Silverio W., Mark B.G., Burns P., Portocarrero C. Glacier changes and climate trends derived from multiple sources in the data scarce Cordillera Vilcanota region, Southern Peruvian Andes. Cryosphere 2013, 7:103-118. 10. 5194/tcd-6-387-2012.
80. Salzmann N., Huggel C., Rohrer M., Stoffel M. Data and knowledge gaps in glacier, snow and related runoff research - a climate change adaptation perspective. J. Hydrol. 2014, 518(Part B):225-234. 10. 1016/j.jhydrol.2014.05.058.
81. Sanabria J., Marengo J., Valverde M. Escenarios de Cambio Climático con modelos regionales sobre el Altiplano Peruano (Departamento de Puno). Revista Peruana Geo-Atmosférica 2009, 1:134-149.
82. Sarewitz D., Pielke R.A. The neglected heart of science policy: reconciling supply of and demand for science. Environ. Sci. Policy 2007, 10:5-16. 10. 1016/j.envsci.2006.10.001.
83. Scheel M., Rohrer M., Huggel C., Santos D., Silvestre E., Huffman G.J. Evaluation of TRMM multi-satellite precipitation analysis (TMPA) performance in the Central Andes region and its dependency on spatial and temporal resolution. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 2011, 15:2649-2663.
84. Schneider D., Huggel C., Cochachin A., Guillén S., García J. Mapping hazards from glacier lake outburst floods based on modelling of process cascades at Lake 513, Carhuaz, Peru. Adv. Geosci. 2014, 35:145-155. 10. 5194/adgeo-35-145-2014.
85. Schwarb M., Acuña D., Konzelmann T., Rohrer M., Salzmann N., Lopez B.S., Silvestre E. A data portal for regional climatic trend analysis in a Peruvian High Andes region. Adv. Sci. Res. 2011, 6:219-226.
86. Sietz D., Choque S.E.M., Lüdeke M.K.B. Typical patterns of smallholder vulnerability to weather extremes with regard to food security in the Peruvian Altiplano. Reg. Environ. Change 2012, 12:489-505. 10. 1007/s10113-011-0246-5.
87. Silverio W., Jaquet J.M. Glacial cover mapping (1987-1996) of the Cordillera Blanca (Peru) using satellite imagery. Remote Sens. Environ. 2005, 95:342-350.
88. Skansi M., de los M., Brunet M., Sigró J., Aguilar E., Arevalo Groening J.A., Bentancur O.J., Castellón Geier Y.R., Correa Amaya R.L., Jácome H., Malheiros Ramos A., Oria Rojas C., Pasten A.M., Sallons Mitro S., Villaroel Jiménez C., Martínez R., Alexander L.V., Jones P.D. Warming and wetting signals emerging from analysis of changes in climate extreme indices over South America. Global Planet. Change 2013, 100:295-307. 10. 1016/j.gloplacha.2012.11.004.
89. Smith J.B., Vogel J.M., Iii J.E.C. An architecture for government action on adaptation to climate change. An editorial comment. Clim. Change 2009, 95:53-61. 10. 1007/s10584-009-9623-1.
90. Soruco A., Vincent C., Francou B., Gonzalez J.F. Glacier decline between 1963 and 2006 in the Cordillera Real, Bolivia. Geophys. Res. Lett. 2009, 3:6. 10. 1029/2008GL036238.
91. Steduto P., Hsiao T.C., Raes D., Fereres E. AquaCrop - the FAO crop model to simulate yield response to water: I. Concepts and underlying principles. Agron. J. 2009, 101:426-437.
92. Stocker T.F. The closing door of climate targets. Science 2013, 339:280-282.
93. Strassburg B.B.N., Rodrigues A.S.L., Gusti M., Balmford A., Fritz S., Obersteiner M., Kerry Turner R., Brooks T.M. Impacts of incentives to reduce emissions from deforestation on global species extinctions. Nat. Clim. Change 2012, 2:350-355. 10. 1038/nclimate1375.
94. Terlien M.T.J. Hydrological landslide triggering in ash-covered slopes of Manizales (Columbia). Geomorphology 1997, 20:165-175.
95. Thouret J.-C., Enjolras G., Martelli K., Santoni O., Luque J.A., Nagata M., Arguedas A., Macedo L. Combining criteria for delineating lahar- and flash-flood-prone hazard and risk zones for the city of Arequipa, Peru. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. 2013, 13:339-360. 10. 5194/nhess-13-339-2013.
96. Thouret J.C., Salinas R., Murcia A. Eruption and mass-wasting-induced processes during the late Holocene destructive phase of Nevado del Ruiz volcano. Colombia. J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res. 1990, 41:203-224.
97. Urrutia R., Vuille M. Climate change projections for the tropical Andes using a regional climate model: temperature and precipitation simulations for the end of the 21st century. J. Geophys. Res. 2009, 114:D02108.
98. Valdivia C., Seth A., Gilles J.L., García M., Jiménez E., Cusicanqui J., Navia F., Yucra E. Adapting to climate change in Andean Ecosystems: landscapes, capitals, and perceptions shaping rural livelihood strategies and linking knowledge systems. Ann. Assoc. Am. Geogr. 2010, 100:818-834. 10. 1080/00045608.2010.500198.
99. Vergara W., Deeb A.M., Valencia A.M., Bradley R.S., Francou B., Zarzar A., Grünwaldt A., Haeussling S.M. Economic impacts of rapid glacier retreat in the Andes. Eos 2007, 88:261-264.
100. Vilimek V., Zapata M.L., Klimeš J., Patzelt Z., Santillán N. Influence of glacial retreat on natural hazards of the Palcacocha Lake area, Peru. Landslides 2005, 2:107-115.
101. Vogel C., Moser S.C., Kasperson R.E., Dabelko G.D. Linking vulnerability, adaptation, and resilience science to practice: pathways, players, and partnerships. Global Environ. Change 2007, 17:349-364. 10. 1016/j.gloenvcha.2007.05.002.
102. Wagnon P., Ribstein P., Kaser G., Berton P. Energy balance and runoff seasonality of a Bolivian glacier. Global Planet. Change 1999, 22:49-58.
103. Webster P.J., Jian J. Environmental prediction, risk assessment and extreme events: adaptation strategies for the developing world. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A 2011, 369:4768-4797. 10. 1098/rsta.2011.0160.
104. Weichselgartner J., Kasperson R. Barriers in the science-policy-practice interface: toward a knowledge-action-system in global environmental change research. Global Environ. Change 2010, 20:266-277. 10. 1016/j.gloenvcha.2009.11.006.
105. Wilby R.L., Dessai S. Robust adaptation to climate change. Weather 2010, 65:180-185. 10. 1002/wea.543.
106. Winkler M., Juen I., Mölg T., Wagnon P., Gómez J., Kaser G. Measured and modelled sublimation on the tropical Glaciar Artesonraju, Perú. Cryosphere 2009, 3:21-30.
107. Young K.R., Lipton J.K. Adaptive governance and climate change in the tropical highlands of western South America. Clim. Change 2006, 78:63-102.
108. Zulkafli Z., Buytaert W., Onof C., Manz B., Tarnavsky E., Lavado W., Guyot J.-L. A comparative performance analysis of TRMM 3B42 (TMPA) versions 6 and 7 for hydrological applications over Andean-Amazon river basins. J. Hydrometeorol. 2013, 10.1175/JHM-D-13-094.1.