Mapping hazards from glacier lake outburst floods based on modelling of process cascades at Lake 513, Carhuaz, Peru

Advances in Geosciences

Volumn 35, Issue , 2014, Pages 145-155

  Schneider, D ^a   Huggel, C ^a   Cochachin, A ^b   Guillen S ^c   Garcia J ^c  

^a UNIVERSITY OF ZURICH   (Switzerland)

^b Division of Glaciers and Water Resources   (Peru)

^c EPFL   (Switzerland)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

FLOOD; GLACIAL LAKE; HAZARD ASSESSMENT; MAPPING; NUMERICAL MODEL; OUTBURST;

ANCASH; ANDES; CARHUAZ; CORDILLERA BLANCA; CORDILLERA OCCIDENTAL [PERU]; PERU;

EID: 84892967483     PISSN: 16807340     EISSN: 16807359     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.5194/adgeo-35-145-2014     Document Type: Article

References (39)

1. Allen, S. K., Schneider, D., and Owens, I. F.: First approaches towards modelling glacial hazards in the Mount Cook region of New Zealand's Southern Alps, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 9, 481-499, doi:10.5194/nhess-9-481-2009, 2009.
2. Ames, A.: A documentation of glacier tongue variations and lake development in the Cordillera Blanca, Peru, Z. Gletscherk. Glazialgeol., 34, 1-26, 1998.
3. Baraer, M., Mark, B. G., McKenzie, J. M., Condom, T., Bury, J., Huh, K.-I., Portocarrero, C., Gómez, J., and Rathay, S.: Glacier recession and water resources in Peru's Cordillera Blanca, J. Glaciol., 58, 134-150, 2012.
4. Bartelt, P., Salm, B., and Gruber, U.: Calculating dense snow avalanche runout using a Voellmy-fluid model with active/ passive longitudinal straining, J. Glaciol., 45, 242-254, 1999.
5. Bury, J. T., Mark, B. G., McKenzie, J. M., French, A., Baraer, M., Huh, K. I., Zapata Luyo, M. A., and Gómez López, R. J.: Glacier recession and human vulnerability in the Yanamarey watershed of the cordillera Blanca, Peru, Climatic Change, 105, 179-206, 2011.
6. Carey, M.: Living and dying with glaciers: people's historical vulnerability to avalanches and outburst floods in Peru, Global Planet. Change, 47, 122-134, 2005. (Pubitemid 41166529)
7. Carey, M., Huggel, C., Bury, J., Portocarrero, C., and Haeberli, W.: An integrated socio-environmental framework for climate change adaptation and glacier hazard management: Lessons from Lake 513, Cordillera Blanca, Peru, Climatic Change, 112, 733-767, 2012.
8. Christen, M., Kowalski, J., and Bartelt, P.: RAMMS: numerical simulation of dense snow avalanches in three-dimensional terrain, Cold Reg. Sci. Technol., 63, 1-14, 2010.
9. Cochachin, A.: Batimetría de la Laguna 513, Estudio y monitoreo de las lagunas altoandinas., Unidad de Glaciología y Recursos Hídricos, Autoridad Nacional del Perú, Huaraz, Peru, 2011.
10. Evans, S. G., Bishop, N. F., Smoll, L. F., Murillo, P. V., Delaney, K. B., and Oliver-Smith, A.: A re-examination of the mechanism and human impact of catastrophic mass flows originating on Nevado Huascarán, Cordillera Blanca, Peru in 1962 and 1970, Eng. Geol., 108, 96-118, doi:10.1016/j.enggeo. 2009.06.020, 2009.
11. Haeberli, W. and Beniston, M.: Climate change and its impacts on glaciers and permafrost in the Alps, Ambio, 27, 258-265, 1998. (Pubitemid 28338433)
12. Haeberli,W., Clague, J. J., Huggel, C., and Kääb, A.: Hazards from lakes in high-mountain glacier and permafrost regions: climate change effects and process interactions, in Avances de la geomorfología en España 2008-2010, Proceedings XI Reunión Nacional de Geomorfología, Solsana, Spain., 2010.
13. Heller, V., Hager,W. H., and Minor, H.-E.: Landslide generated impulse waves in reservoirs -basics and computation, in: Mitteilungen, 211, edited by: Boes, R., ETH Zurich, Versuchsanstalt für Wasserbau, Hydrologie und Glaziologie (VAW), Zurich, 2009.
14. Huggel, C., Zgraggen-Oswald, S., Haeberli, W., Kääb, A., Polkvoj, A., Galushkin, I., and Evans, S. G.: The 2002 rock/ice avalanche at Kolka/Karmadon, Russian Caucasus: assessment of extraordinary avalanche formation and mobility, and application of Quick-Bird satellite imagery, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 5, 173-187, doi:10.5194/nhess-5-173-2005, 2005. (Pubitemid 40560430)
15. Huggel, C., Schneider, D., Miranda, P. J., Delgado Granados, H., and Kääb, A.: Evaluation of ASTER and SRTM DEM data for lahar modeling: A case study on lahars from Popocatépetl Volcano, Mexico, J. Volcanol. Geoth. Res., 170, 99-110, 2008. (Pubitemid 351343637)
16. Hürlimann, M., Copons, R., and Altimir, J.: Detailed debris flow hazard assessment in Andorra: a multidisciplinary approach, Geomorphology, 78, 359-372, 2006. (Pubitemid 44207890)
17. IBER: Two-dimensional modeling of free surface shallow water flow, Hydraulic reference manual, IBER v1.0., available at: http://www.iberaula.es/ web/index.php (last access: December 2013), 2010.
18. Kaser, G. and Osmaston, H.: Tropical glaciers, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 2002.
19. Kershaw, J. A., Clague, J. J., and Evans, S. G.: Geomorphic and sedimentological signature of a two-phase outburst flood from moraine-dammed Queen Bess Lake, British Columbia, Canada, Earth Surf. Proc. Land., 30, 1-25, 2005. (Pubitemid 40191328)
20. Lemke, P., Ren, J., Alley, R. B., Allison, I., Carrasco, J., Flato, G., Fujii, Y., Kaser, G., Mote, P., Thomas, R. H., and Zhang, T.: Observations: Changes in Snow, Ice and Frozen Ground, in Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis, Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, edited by: Solomon, S., Qin, D., Manning, M., Chen, Z., Marquis, M., Averyt, K. B., Tignor, M., and Miller, H. L., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA, 337-383, 2007.
21. Lliboutry, L., Morales Arnao, B., Pautre, A., and Schneider, B.: Glaciological problems set by the control of dangerous lakes in Cordillera Blanca, Peru, J. Glaciol., 18, 239-290, 1977.
22. Mergili, M., Schneider, D., Worni, R., and Schneider, J. F.: Glacial lake outburst floods in the Pamir of Tajikistan: challenges in prediction and modeling, in: 5th International Conference on Debris-Flow Hazards Mitigation: Mechanics, Prediction and Assessment, 14-17 June, University of Padua, Italy, 973-982, 2011.
23. Moors, E. J., Groot, A., Biemans, H., van Scheltinga, C. T., Siderius, C., Stoffel, M., Huggel, C., Wiltshire, A., Mathison, C., Ridley, J., Jacob, D., Kumar, P., Bhadwal, S., Gosain, A., and Collins, D. N.: Adaptation to changing water resources in the Ganges basin, northern India, Environ. Sci. Policy, 14, 758-769, doi:16/j.envsci.2011.03.005, 2011.
24. Osti, R. and Egashira, S.: Hydrodynamic characteristics of the Tam Pokhari glacial lake outburst flood in the Mt. Everest region, Nepal, Hydrol. Process., 23, 2943-2955, 2009.
25. Petrakov, D. A., Chernomorets, S. S., Evans, S. G., and Tutubalina, O. V.: Catastrophic glacial multi-phase mass movements: a special type of glacial hazard, Adv. Geosci., 14, 211-218, doi:10.5194/adgeo-14-211-2008, 2008.
26. Plafker, G. and Ericksen, G. E.: Nevados huascarán avalanches, Peru, Rockslides Avalanches, 1, 277-314, 1978.
27. PMA-GCA -Proyecto Multinacional Andino: Geociencias para las Comunidades Andinas: Movimientos en masa en la región andina: una guía para la evaluación de amenazas, Servicio Nacional de Geología y Minería, Publicación Geológica Multinacional, 4, Proyecto Multinacional Andino, Geociencias para las Comunidades Andinas, Canada, 2007.
28. Raetzo, H., Lateltin, O., Bollinger, D., and Tripet, J.: Hazard assessment in Switzerland -Codes of Practice for mass movements, Bull. Eng. Geol. Environ., 61, 263-268, doi:10.1007/s10064-002-0163-4, 2002. (Pubitemid 36017539)
29. Scheuner, T., Keusen, H. R., McArdell, B. W., and Huggel, C.: Murgangmodellierung mit dynamisch-physikalischem und GISbasiertem Fliessmodell, Wasser Energie Luft, 101, 15-21, 2009.
30. Schneider, D., Bartelt, P., Caplan-Auerbach, J., Christen, M., Huggel, C., and McArdell, B.: Insights into rock-ice avalanche dynamics by combined analysis of seismic recordings and a numerical avalanche model, J. Geophys. Res., 115, F04026, doi:10.1029/2010JF001734, 2010.
31. Schneider, D., Huggel, C., Haeberli,W., and Kaitna, R.: Unraveling driving factors for large rock-ice avalanche mobility, Earth Surf. Proc. Land., 36, 1948-1966, doi:10.1002/esp.2218, 2011.
32. Sosio, R., Crosta, G. B., and Hungr, O.: Complete dynamic modeling calibration for the Thurwieser rock avalanche (Italian Central Alps), Eng. Geol., 100, 11-26, 2008.
33. Stricker, B.: Murgänge im Torrente Riascio (TI): Ereignisanalyse, Auslösungsfaktoren und Simulation von Ereignissen mit RAMMS, Masterarbeit, Geographisches Institut, Universität Zürich, Zürich, 2010.
34. Valderrama, P. and Vilca, O.: Dinamica del aluvión de la Laguna 513, Cordillera Blanca, Ancash, Perú, Primeros alcances, in: XV Congreso Peruano de Geología, Resúmenes Extendidos, Volume Pub. Esp. No. 9, Sociedad Geológica del Perú, Cusco, Perú, 336-341, 2010.
35. Vázquez-Cendón, M. E.: Improved treatment of source terms in upwind schemes for the shallow water equations in channels with irregular geometry, Int. J. Comput. Phys., 199, 357-372, 1999.
36. Voigt, T., Füssel, H.-M., Gärtner-Roer, I., Huggel, C., Marty, C., and Zemp, M.: Impacts of climate change on snow, ice, and permafrost in Europe: Observed trends, future projections, and socio-economic relevance, European Environment Agency, Copenhagen, 2011.
37. Worni, R., Stoffel, M., Huggel, C., Volz, C., Casteller, A., and Luckman, B.: Analysis and dynamic modeling of a moraine failure and glacier lake outburst flood at Ventisquero Negro, Patagonian Andes (Argentina), J. Hydrol., 444-445, 134-145, 2012a.
38. Worni, R., Huggel, C., Stoffel, M., and Pulgarín, B.: Challenges of modeling current very large lahars at Nevado del Huila Volcano, Colombia, Bull. Volcanol., 74, 309-324, 2012b.
39. Worni, R., Huggel, C., Dorren, L. K. A., and Jaboyedoff, M.: Numerical Modeling of Flows and Falls, in Treatise on Geomorphology, vol. 7, edited by: Shroder, J. F., Academic Press, San Diego, 273-283, 2013.