메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 63, Issue 2, 2014, Pages 603-619

Uncertainty quantification in remaining useful life prediction using first-order reliability methods

Author keywords

Analytical algorithms; first order reliability method; ithium ion battery; model based prognostics; probability distribution; remaining useful life; uncertainty

Indexed keywords

APPROXIMATION ALGORITHMS; DECISION MAKING; FORECASTING; METHOD OF MOMENTS; PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS; RISK ASSESSMENT; STRUCTURAL ANALYSIS; UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS;

EID: 84902109793     PISSN: 00189529     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1109/TR.2014.2313801     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (107)

References (54)
  • 4
    • 84892388842 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A model-based prognostics approach applied to pneumatic valves
    • M. Daigle and K. Goebel, "A model-based prognostics approach applied to pneumatic valves," Int. J. Prognostics Health Manag., vol. 2, no. 2, 2011.
    • (2011) Int. J. Prognostics Health Manag. , vol.2 , Issue.2
    • Daigle, M.1    Goebel, K.2
  • 6
    • 82955207719 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uncertainty quantification in structural damage diagnosis
    • S. Sankararaman and S. Mahadevan, "Uncertainty quantification in structural damage diagnosis," Structural Contr. Health Monitoring, vol. 18, no. 8, pp. 807-824, 2011.
    • (2011) Structural Contr. Health Monitoring , vol.18 , Issue.8 , pp. 807-824
    • Sankararaman, S.1    Mahadevan, S.2
  • 7
    • 84878701880 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian methodology for diagnosis uncertainty quantification and health monitoring
    • to be published
    • S. Sankararaman and S. Mahadevan, "Bayesian methodology for diagnosis uncertainty quantification and health monitoring," Structural Contr. Health Monitoring, 2011, to be published.
    • (2011) Structural Contr. Health Monitoring
    • Sankararaman, S.1    Mahadevan, S.2
  • 8
    • 84861897467 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Benefits and challenges of system prognostics
    • Jun
    • B. Sun, S. Zeng, R. Kang, and M. G. Pecht, "Benefits and challenges of system prognostics," IEEE Trans. Rel., vol. 61, no. 2, pp. 323-335, Jun. 2012.
    • (2012) IEEE Trans. Rel. , vol.61 , Issue.2 , pp. 323-335
    • Sun, B.1    Zeng, S.2    Kang, R.3    Pecht, M.G.4
  • 9
    • 80051916612 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Remaining useful life, technical health, and life extension
    • P. Vaidya and M. Rausand, "Remaining useful life, technical health, and life extension," in Proc. Inst. Mech. Eng., Part O: J. Risk Rel., 2011, vol. 225, pp. 219-231, 2.
    • (2011) Proc. Inst. Mech. Eng., Part O: J. Risk Rel. , vol.225 , Issue.2 , pp. 219-231
    • Vaidya, P.1    Rausand, M.2
  • 10
    • 84874978107 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Multi-sensor information based remaining useful life prediction with anticipated performance
    • Mar
    • M. Wei, M. Chen, and D. Zhou, "Multi-sensor information based remaining useful life prediction with anticipated performance," IEEE Trans. Rel., vol. 62, no. 1, pp. 183-198, Mar. 2013.
    • (2013) IEEE Trans. Rel. , vol.62 , Issue.1 , pp. 183-198
    • Wei, M.1    Chen, M.2    Zhou, D.3
  • 11
    • 84878697615 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Condition monitoring and remaining useful life prediction using degradation signals: Revisited
    • N. Chen and K. L. Tsui, "Condition monitoring and remaining useful life prediction using degradation signals: Revisited," IIE Trans., vol. 45, no. 9, pp. 939-952, 2013.
    • (2013) IIE Trans. , vol.45 , Issue.9 , pp. 939-952
    • Chen, N.1    Tsui, K.L.2
  • 12
    • 84862827161 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Remaining useful life estimation based on a nonlinear diffusion degradation process
    • X.-S. Si, W. Wang, C.-H. Hu, D.-H. Zhou, and M. G. Pecht, "Remaining useful life estimation based on a nonlinear diffusion degradation process," IEEE Trans. Rel., vol. 61, no. 1, pp. 50-67, 2012.
    • (2012) IEEE Trans. Rel. , vol.61 , Issue.1 , pp. 50-67
    • Si, X.-S.1    Wang, W.2    Hu, C.-H.3    Zhou, D.-H.4    Pecht, M.G.5
  • 13
    • 84902090165 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Remaining useful life estimation based on stochastic deterioration models: A comparative study
    • K. Le Son, M. Fouladirad, A. Barros, E. Levrat, and B. Iung, "Remaining useful life estimation based on stochastic deterioration models: A comparative study," Rel. Eng. Syst. Safety, 2012.
    • (2012) Rel. Eng. Syst. Safety
    • Le Son, K.1    Fouladirad, M.2    Barros, A.3    Levrat, E.4    Iung, B.5
  • 14
    • 84920514415 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An efficient deterministic approach to model-based prediction uncertainty estimation
    • Sep.
    • M. Daigle, A. Saxena, and K. Goebel, "An efficient deterministic approach to model-based prediction uncertainty estimation," in Proc. Annu. Conf. the Prognost. Health Manag. Soc., Sep. 2012, pp. 326-335.
    • (2012) Proc. Annu. Conf. The Prognost. Health Manag. Soc. , pp. 326-335
    • Daigle, M.1    Saxena, A.2    Goebel, K.3
  • 15
    • 84860375483 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ensemble of datadriven prognostic algorithms for robust prediction of remaining useful life
    • C. Hu, B. D. Youn, P. Wang, and J. Taek Yoon, "Ensemble of datadriven prognostic algorithms for robust prediction of remaining useful life," Rel. Eng. Syst. Safety, vol. 103, pp. 120-135, 2012.
    • (2012) Rel. Eng. Syst. Safety , vol.103 , pp. 120-135
    • Hu, C.1    Youn, B.D.2    Wang, P.3    Taek Yoon, J.4
  • 16
    • 84902090166 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Investigation of uncertainty treatment capability of model-based and data-driven prognostic methods using simulated data
    • P. Baraldi, F. Mangili, and E. Zio, "Investigation of uncertainty treatment capability of model-based and data-driven prognostic methods using simulated data," Rel. Eng. Syst. Safety, 2012.
    • (2012) Rel. Eng. Syst. Safety
    • Baraldi, P.1    Mangili, F.2    Zio, E.3
  • 17
    • 79955584653 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Remaining useful life estimation-A review on the statistical data driven approaches
    • X.-S. Si, W. Wang, C.-H. Hu, and D.-H. Zhou, "Remaining useful life estimation-A review on the statistical data driven approaches," Eur. J. Operational Res., vol. 213, no. 1, pp. 1-14, 2011.
    • (2011) Eur. J. Operational Res. , vol.213 , Issue.1 , pp. 1-14
    • Si, X.-S.1    Wang, W.2    Hu, C.-H.3    Zhou, D.-H.4
  • 18
    • 84861911833 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Remaining useful life estimation of critical components with application to bearings
    • Jun
    • K. Medjaher, D. A. Tobon-Mejia, and N. Zerhouni, "Remaining useful life estimation of critical components with application to bearings," IEEE Trans. Rel., vol. 61, no. 2, pp. 292-302, Jun. 2012.
    • (2012) IEEE Trans. Rel. , vol.61 , Issue.2 , pp. 292-302
    • Medjaher, K.1    Tobon-Mejia, D.A.2    Zerhouni, N.3
  • 19
    • 84874982656 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uncertainty quantification in gear remaining useful life prediction through an integrated prognostics method
    • Mar
    • F. Zhao, Z. Tian, and Y. Zeng, "Uncertainty quantification in gear remaining useful life prediction through an integrated prognostics method," IEEE Trans. Rel. , vol. 62, no. 1, pp. 146-159, Mar. 2013.
    • (2013) IEEE Trans. Rel. , vol.62 , Issue.1 , pp. 146-159
    • Zhao, F.1    Tian, Z.2    Zeng, Y.3
  • 20
    • 84878712666 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Analytical algorithms to quantify the uncertainty in remaining useful life prediction
    • S. Sankararaman, M. Daigle, A. Saxena, and K. Goebel, "Analytical algorithms to quantify the uncertainty in remaining useful life prediction," in Proc. IEEE Aerospace Conf., 2013, pp. 1-11.
    • (2013) Proc. IEEE Aerospace Conf. , pp. 1-11
    • Sankararaman, S.1    Daigle, M.2    Saxena, A.3    Goebel, K.4
  • 24
    • 33846984939 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Damage prognosis: The future of structural health monitoring
    • C. Farrar and N. Lieven, "Damage prognosis: The future of structural health monitoring," Philos. Trans. Roy. Soc. A: Math., Phys. Eng. Sci., vol. 365, no. 1851, pp. 623-632, 2007.
    • (2007) Philos. Trans. Roy. Soc. A: Math., Phys. Eng. Sci. , vol.365 , Issue.1851 , pp. 623-632
    • Farrar, C.1    Lieven, N.2
  • 27
    • 58349098139 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uncertainty assessment of prognostics of electronics subject to random vibration
    • J. Gu, D. Barker, andM. Pecht, "Uncertainty assessment of prognostics of electronics subject to random vibration," in Proc. AAAI Fall Symp. Artif. Intell. Prognostics, 2007, pp. 50-57.
    • (2007) Proc. AAAI Fall Symp. Artif. Intell. Prognostics , pp. 50-57
    • Gu, J.1    Barker, D.2    Pecht, M.3
  • 30
    • 60149085988 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Prognostics methods for battery health monitoring using a Bayesian framework
    • Feb.
    • B. Saha, K. Goebel, S. Poll, and J. Christophersen, "Prognostics methods for battery health monitoring using a Bayesian framework," IEEE Trans. Instrum. Measur., vol. 58, no. 2, pp. 291-296, Feb. 2009.
    • (2009) IEEE Trans. Instrum. Measur. , vol.58 , Issue.2 , pp. 291-296
    • Saha, B.1    Goebel, K.2    Poll, S.3    Christophersen, J.4
  • 31
    • 49349095077 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uncertainty management for diagnostics and prognostics of batteries using Bayesian techniques
    • Mar.
    • B. Saha and K. Goebel, "Uncertainty management for diagnostics and prognostics of batteries using Bayesian techniques," in Proc. IEEE Aerospace Conf., Mar. 2008, pp. 1-8.
    • (2008) Proc. IEEE Aerospace Conf. , pp. 1-8
    • Saha, B.1    Goebel, K.2
  • 33
    • 84878682978 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A framework for predicting the remaining useful life of a single unit under time-varying operating conditions
    • H. Liao and Z. Tian, "A framework for predicting the remaining useful life of a single unit under time-varying operating conditions," IIE Trans., vol. 45, no. 9, pp. 964-980, 2013.
    • (2013) IIE Trans. , vol.45 , Issue.9 , pp. 964-980
    • Liao, H.1    Tian, Z.2
  • 34
    • 84878725491 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Comparison of two probabilistic fatigue damage assessment approaches using prognostic performance metrics
    • X.Guan, Y. Liu, R. Jha, A. Saxena, J.Celaya, andK.Geobel, "Comparison of two probabilistic fatigue damage assessment approaches using prognostic performance metrics," Int. J. Prognostics Health Manag., vol. 1, p. 005, 2011.
    • (2011) Int. J. Prognostics Health Manag. , vol.1 , pp. 005
    • Guan, X.1    Liu, Y.2    Jha, R.3    Saxena, A.4    Celaya, J.5    Geobel, K.6
  • 35
    • 0018033230 scopus 로고
    • Structural reliability under combined random load sequences
    • DOI 10.1016/0045-7949(78)90046-9
    • R. Rackwitz and B. Flessler, "Structural reliability under combined random load sequences," Comput. Structures, vol. 9, no. 5, pp. 489-494, 1978. (Pubitemid 9397943)
    • (1978) Computers and Structures , vol.9 , Issue.5 , pp. 489-494
    • Rackwitz Ruediger1    Fiessler Bernd2
  • 36
    • 0006227079 scopus 로고
    • A reliability-based optimal design using advanced first order second moment method
    • T. W. Lee and B. M. Kwak, "A reliability-based optimal design using advanced first order second moment method," J. Structural Mechan., vol. 15, no. 4, pp. 523-542, 1987.
    • (1987) J. Structural Mechan. , vol.15 , Issue.4 , pp. 523-542
    • Lee, T.W.1    Kwak, B.M.2
  • 37
    • 0023399739 scopus 로고
    • Second-order reliability approximations
    • A. Der Kiureghian, H.-Z. Lin, and S.-J. Hwang, "Second-order reliability approximations," J. Eng. Mechanics, vol. 113, no. 8, pp. 1208-1225, 1987.
    • (1987) J. Eng. Mechanics , vol.113 , Issue.8 , pp. 1208-1225
    • Der Kiureghian, A.1    Lin, H.-Z.2    Hwang, S.-J.3
  • 38
    • 0032874461 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A general procedure for first/second-order reliability method (FORM/SORM)
    • DOI 10.1016/S0167-4730(99)00008-9, PII S0167473099000089
    • Y.-G. Zhao and T. Ono, "A general procedure for first/second-order reliability method (FORM/SORM)," Structural Safety, vol. 21, no. 2, pp. 95-112, 1999. (Pubitemid 29432899)
    • (1999) Structural Safety , vol.21 , Issue.2 , pp. 95-112
    • Zhao, Y.-G.1    Ono, T.2
  • 40
    • 0025262998 scopus 로고
    • Reliability of laminated plates via the first-order second-moment method
    • DOI 10.1016/0263-8223(90)90005-Y
    • G. Cederbaum, I. Elishakoff, and L. Librescu, "Reliability of laminated plates via the first-order second-moment method," Composite Structures, vol. 15, no. 2, pp. 161-167, 1990. (Pubitemid 20718073)
    • (1990) Composite Structures , vol.15 , Issue.2 , pp. 161-167
    • Cederbaum, G.1    Elishakoff, I.2    Librescu, L.3
  • 41
    • 0020732732 scopus 로고
    • First-order concepts in system reliability
    • M. Hohenbichler and R. Rackwitz, "First-order concepts in system reliability," Structural Safety, vol. 1, no. 3, pp. 177-188, 1983.
    • (1983) Structural Safety , vol.1 , Issue.3 , pp. 177-188
    • Hohenbichler, M.1    Rackwitz, R.2
  • 43
    • 84861134313 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A comparison of filter-based approaches for model-based prognostics
    • M. Daigle, B. Saha, and K. Goebel, "A comparison of filter-based approaches for model-based prognostics," in Proc. IEEE Aerospace Conf., 2012, pp. 1-10.
    • (2012) Proc. IEEE Aerospace Conf. , pp. 1-10
    • Daigle, M.1    Saha, B.2    Goebel, K.3
  • 44
    • 84887081561 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Model-based prognostics with concurrent damage progression processes
    • M. Daigle and K. Goebel, "Model-based prognostics with concurrent damage progression processes," IEEE Transa. Syst., Man, Cybern.: Syst., , vol. PP, pp. 1-12, 2013.
    • (2013) IEEE Transa. Syst., Man, Cybern.: Syst. , vol.PP , pp. 1-12
    • Daigle, M.1    Goebel, K.2
  • 45
    • 21244437999 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Unscented filtering and nonlinear estimation
    • DOI 10.1109/JPROC.2003.823141, Sequential State Estimation: From Kalman Filters to Particles Filters
    • S. J. Julier and J. K. Uhlmann, "Unscented filtering and nonlinear estimation," Pro. IEEE, vol. 92, no. 3, pp. 401-422, Mar. 2004. (Pubitemid 40890750)
    • (2004) Proceedings of the IEEE , vol.92 , Issue.3 , pp. 401-422
    • Julier, S.J.1    Uhlmann, J.K.2
  • 46
    • 0020733494 scopus 로고
    • First-order second-moment approximation in reliability of structural systems: Critical review and alternative approach
    • DOI 10.1016/0167-4730(82)90027-3
    • K. Dolinski, "First-order second-moment approximation in reliability of structural systems: Critical review and alternative approach," Structural Safety, vol. 1, no. 3, pp. 211-231, 1983. (Pubitemid 15438620)
    • (1983) Structural Safety , vol.1 , Issue.3 , pp. 211-231
    • Dolinski Krzysztof1
  • 47
    • 0023399813 scopus 로고
    • New light on first- and second-order reliability methods
    • DOI 10.1016/0167-4730(87)90002-6
    • M. Hohenbichler, S. Gollwitzer, W. Kruse, and R. Rackwitz, "New light on first-and second-order reliability methods," Structural Safety, vol. 4, no. 4, pp. 267-284, 1987. (Pubitemid 17633321)
    • (1987) Structural Safety , vol.4 , Issue.4 , pp. 267-284
    • Hohenbichler, M.1    Gollwitzer, S.2    Kruse, W.3    Rackwitz, R.4
  • 48
    • 0023524349 scopus 로고
    • First-order reliability approach to stochastic analysis of subsurface flow and contaminant transport
    • N. Sitar, J. D. Cawlfield, and A. Der Kiureghian, "First-order reliability approach to stochastic analysis of subsurface flow and contaminant transport," Water Resources Res., vol. 23, no. 5, pp. 794-804, 1987. (Pubitemid 17603489)
    • (1987) Water Resources Research , vol.23 , Issue.5 , pp. 794-804
    • Sitar Nicholas1    Cawlfield Jeffrey, D.2    Der Kiureghian Armen3
  • 49
  • 50
    • 0028746131 scopus 로고
    • The probability integral transform and related results
    • J. E. Angus, "The probability integral transform and related results," SIAM Rev., vol. 36, no. 4, pp. 652-654, 1994.
    • (1994) SIAM Rev. , vol.36 , Issue.4 , pp. 652-654
    • Angus, J.E.1
  • 51
    • 0020812988 scopus 로고
    • Fast probability integration by three-parameter normal tail approximation
    • DOI 10.1016/0167-4730(82)90003-0
    • X. Chen and N. Lind, "Fast probability integration by three-parameter normal tail approximation," Structural Safety, vol. 1, no. 4, pp. 269-276, 1983. (Pubitemid 15438624)
    • (1983) Structural Safety , vol.1 , Issue.4 , pp. 269-276
    • Chen, X.1    Lind, N.C.2
  • 52
    • 79955521321 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Likelihood-based representation of epistemic uncertainty due to sparse point data and/or interval data
    • S. Sankararaman and S. Mahadevan, "Likelihood-based representation of epistemic uncertainty due to sparse point data and/or interval data," Rel. Eng. Syst. Safety, vol. 96, no. 7, pp. 814-824, 2011.
    • (2011) Rel. Eng. Syst. Safety , vol.96 , Issue.7 , pp. 814-824
    • Sankararaman, S.1    Mahadevan, S.2
  • 54
    • 33744765213 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Accurate electrical battery model capable of predicting runtime and I-V performance
    • DOI 10.1109/TEC.2006.874229
    • M. Chen and G. A. Rincon-Mora, "Accurate electrical battery model capable of predicting runtime and I-V performance," IEEE Trans. Energy Convers., vol. 21, no. 2, pp. 504-511, Jun. 2006.
    • (2006) IEEE Transactions on Energy Conversion , vol.21 , Issue.2 , pp. 504-511
    • Chen, M.1    Rincon-Mora, G.A.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.