메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 19, Issue 1, 2014, Pages

Integrative scenario development

Author keywords

Interdisciplinary research; Participatory process; Quality control; Regional scale; Transdisciplinary research

Indexed keywords

DECISION MAKING; INTERDISCIPLINARY APPROACH; LAND USE; PARTICIPATORY APPROACH; QUALITY CONTROL; STAKEHOLDER;

EID: 84897558580     PISSN: None     EISSN: 17083087     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.5751/ES-06168-190112     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (49)

References (50)
  • 1
    • 4444379723 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Linking science and decision-making: Features and experience from environmental river flow setting
    • Acreman, M. 2005. Linking science and decision-making: features and experience from environmental river flow setting. Environmental Modelling and Software 20(2):99-109.
    • (2005) Environmental Modelling and Software , vol.20 , Issue.2 , pp. 99-109
    • Acreman, M.1
  • 2
    • 0012994539 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Environmental Issue Report no. 24. European Environment Agency, Copenhagen, Denmark. [online]
    • Alcamo, J. 2001. Scenarios as tools for international environmental assessments. Environmental Issue Report no. 24. European Environment Agency, Copenhagen, Denmark. [online] URL: http://www.eea.europa.eu/publications/environmental_issue_report_2001_24
    • (2001) Scenarios as tools for international environmental assessments.
    • Alcamo, J.1
  • 3
    • 47949086838 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Towards guidelines for environmental scenario analysis
    • in J. Alcamo, editor, Elsevier, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
    • Alcamo, J., and T. Henrichs. 2008. Towards guidelines for environmental scenario analysis. Pages 13-35 in J. Alcamo, editor. Environmental futures: the practice of environmental scenario analysis. Elsevier, Amsterdam, the Netherlands. http://dx.doi. org/10.1016/S1574-101X(08)00402-X
    • (2008) Environmental futures: The practice of environmental scenario analysis. , pp. 13-35
    • Alcamo, J.1    Henrichs, T.2
  • 4
    • 47949120032 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Searching for the future of land: Scenarios from the local to global scale
    • in J. Alcamo, editor, Elsevier, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
    • Alcamo, J., K. Kok, G. Busch, and J. Priess. 2008. Searching for the future of land: scenarios from the local to global scale. Pages 67-103 in J. Alcamo, editor. Environmental futures: the practice of environmental scenario analysis. Elsevier, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
    • (2008) Environmental futures: The practice of environmental scenario analysis. , pp. 67-103
    • Alcamo, J.1    Kok, K.2    Busch, G.3    Priess, J.4
  • 5
    • 0024155562 scopus 로고
    • Delphi-and Delphi like approaches with special regard to environmental standard setting
    • Bernarie, M. 1988. Delphi-and Delphi like approaches with special regard to environmental standard setting. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 33(2):149-158. http://dx.doi. org/10.1016/0040-1625(88)90078-9
    • (1988) Technological Forecasting and Social Change , vol.33 , Issue.2 , pp. 149-158
    • Bernarie, M.1
  • 7
    • 33847170364 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The current state of scenario development: An overview of techniques
    • Bishop, P., A. Hines, and T. Collins. 2007. The current state of scenario development: an overview of techniques. Foresight 9 (1):5-25. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/14636680710727516
    • (2007) Foresight , vol.9 , Issue.1 , pp. 5-25
    • Bishop, P.1    Hines, A.2    Collins, T.3
  • 8
    • 79958061882 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Participatory scenario development for integrated sustainability assessment
    • Bohunovsky, L., J. Jäger, and I. Omann. 2011. Participatory scenario development for integrated sustainability assessment. Regional Environmental Change 11(2):271-284. http://dx.doi. org/10.1007/s10113-010-0143-3
    • (2011) Regional Environmental Change , vol.11 , Issue.2 , pp. 271-284
    • Bohunovsky, L.1    Jäger, J.2    Omann, I.3
  • 9
    • 65749120540 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Deliberative and participatory approaches in environmental geography
    • in N. Castree, D. Demeritt, D. Liverman, and B. Rhoads, editors, Wiley-Blackwell, Chichester, West Sussex, UK
    • Chilvers, J. 2009. Deliberative and participatory approaches in environmental geography. Pages 400-417 in N. Castree, D. Demeritt, D. Liverman, and B. Rhoads, editors. A companion to environmental geography. Wiley-Blackwell, Chichester, West Sussex, UK. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/9781444305722.ch24
    • (2009) A companion to environmental geography , pp. 400-417
    • Chilvers, J.1
  • 10
    • 72049123470 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Q methodology to select participants for a stakeholder dialogue on energy options from biomass in the Netherlands
    • Cuppen, E., S. Breukers, M. Hisschemöller, and E. Bergsma. 2010. Q methodology to select participants for a stakeholder dialogue on energy options from biomass in the Netherlands. Ecological Economics 69(3):579-591. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2009.09.005
    • (2010) Ecological Economics , vol.69 , Issue.3 , pp. 579-591
    • Cuppen, E.1    Breukers, S.2    Hisschemöller, M.3    Bergsma, E.4
  • 11
    • 3342913228 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Constructing land-use maps of the Netherlands in 2030
    • de Nijs, T. C. M., R. de Niet, and L. Crommentuijn. 2004. Constructing land-use maps of the Netherlands in 2030. Journal of Environmental Management 72(1-2):35-42. http://dx.doi. org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2004.03.015
    • (2004) Journal of Environmental Management , vol.72 , Issue.1-2 , pp. 35-42
    • de Nijs, T.C.M.1    de Niet, R.2    Crommentuijn, L.3
  • 12
    • 70449452908 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • European Environment Agency (EEA)., EEA Technical Report No 3/2009, European Environment Agency, Copenhagen, Denmark. [online]
    • European Environment Agency (EEA). 2009. Looking back on looking forward: a review of evaluative scenario literature. EEA Technical Report No 3/2009, European Environment Agency, Copenhagen, Denmark. [online] URL: http://www.eea.europa. eu/publications/looking-back-on-looking-forward-a-review-of-evaluativescenario-literature
    • (2009) Looking back on looking forward: A review of evaluative scenario literature.
  • 13
    • 42149188817 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling scenarios towards a sustainable use of natural resources in Europe
    • Giljum, S., A. Behrens, F. Hinterberger, C. Lutz, and B. Meyer. 2008. Modelling scenarios towards a sustainable use of natural resources in Europe. Environmental Science and Policy 11 (3):204-216. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2007.07.005
    • (2008) Environmental Science and Policy , vol.11 , Issue.3 , pp. 204-216
    • Giljum, S.1    Behrens, A.2    Hinterberger, F.3    Lutz, C.4    Meyer, B.5
  • 14
    • 84860607930 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A history of futures: A review of scenario use in water policy studies in the Netherlands
    • Haasnoot, M., and H. Middelkoop. 2012. A history of futures: a review of scenario use in water policy studies in the Netherlands. Environmental Science and Policy 19-20:108-120. http://dx.doi. org/10.1016/j.envsci.2012.03.002
    • (2012) Environmental Science and Policy , vol.19-20 , pp. 108-120
    • Haasnoot, M.1    Middelkoop, H.2
  • 15
    • 0041922547 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Correspondence to what? Coherence to what? What is good scenario-based decision making?
    • Harries, C. 2003. Correspondence to what? Coherence to what? What is good scenario-based decision making? Technological Forecasting and Social Change 70(8):797-817. http://dx.doi. org/10.1016/S0040-1625(03)00023-4
    • (2003) Technological Forecasting and Social Change , vol.70 , Issue.8 , pp. 797-817
    • Harries, C.1
  • 16
    • 84860180528 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Scenario development and analysis for forward-looking ecosystem assessments
    • in N. Ash, H. Blanco, C. Brown, K. Garcia, T. Henrichs, N. Lucas, C. Raudsepp-Hearne, R. D. Simpson, R. Scholes, T. P. Tomich, B. Vira, and M. Zurek, editors, Island, Washington, D.C., USA. [online]
    • Henrichs, T., M. Zurek, B. Eickhout, K. Kok, C. Raudsepp-Hearne, T. Ribeiro, D. van Vuuren, and A. Volkery. 2010. Scenario development and analysis for forward-looking ecosystem assessments. Pages 151-220 in N. Ash, H. Blanco, C. Brown, K. Garcia, T. Henrichs, N. Lucas, C. Raudsepp-Hearne, R. D. Simpson, R. Scholes, T. P. Tomich, B. Vira, and M. Zurek, editors. Ecosystems and human well-being-a manual for assessment practitioners, Island, Washington, D.C., USA. [online] URL: http://www.unep-wcmc.org/medialibrary/2010/10/31/90af3045/ EcosystemsHumanWellbeing.pdf
    • (2010) Ecosystems and human well-being-a manual for assessment practitioners , pp. 151-220
    • Henrichs, T.1    Zurek, M.2    Eickhout, B.3    Kok, K.4    Raudsepp-Hearne, C.5    Ribeiro, T.6    van Vuuren, D.7    Volkery, A.8
  • 17
    • 80051502600 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures, Josef Korbel School of International Studies, University of Denver, Denver, Colorado, USA. [online]
    • Hughes, B. B. 2009. Forecasting long-term global change: introduction to international futures (IFs). Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures, Josef Korbel School of International Studies, University of Denver, Denver, Colorado, USA. [online] URL: http://www.ifs.du.edu/assets/documents/ IntroductiontoIFsv5_04.pdf
    • (2009) Forecasting long-term global change: Introduction to international futures (IFs).
    • Hughes, B.B.1
  • 18
    • 62749091614 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting, deciding, learning: Can one evaluate the "success" of national climate scenarios?
    • Hulme, M., and S. Dessai. 2008. Predicting, deciding, learning: can one evaluate the "success" of national climate scenarios? Environmental Research Letters 3:045013. http://dx.doi. org/10.1088/1748-9326/3/4/045013
    • (2008) Environmental Research Letters , vol.3 , pp. 045013
    • Hulme, M.1    Dessai, S.2
  • 19
    • 27644553921 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • More than just talk: Connecting science and decisionmaking
    • Jacobs, K., G. Garfin, and M. Lenart. 2005. More than just talk: connecting science and decisionmaking. Environment 47(9):6-21. http://dx.doi.org/10.3200/ENVT.47.9.6-21
    • (2005) Environment , vol.47 , Issue.9 , pp. 6-21
    • Jacobs, K.1    Garfin, G.2    Lenart, M.3
  • 23
    • 81255184304 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Seeking policy-relevant knowledge: A comparative study of the contextualisation of participatory scenarios for Narew River and Lake Peipsi
    • Kaljonen, M., R. Varjopuro, M. Gieczewski, and A. Iital. 2012. Seeking policy-relevant knowledge: a comparative study of the contextualisation of participatory scenarios for Narew River and Lake Peipsi. Environmental Science and Policy 15(1):72-81. http:// dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2011.10.006
    • (2012) Environmental Science and Policy , vol.15 , Issue.1 , pp. 72-81
    • Kaljonen, M.1    Varjopuro, R.2    Gieczewski, M.3    Iital, A.4
  • 24
    • 60549086768 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The potential of fuzzy cognitive maps for semiquantitative scenario development, with an example from Brazil
    • Kok, K. 2009. The potential of fuzzy cognitive maps for semiquantitative scenario development, with an example from Brazil. Global Environmental Change 19(1):122-133. http://dx.doi. org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2008.08.003
    • (2009) Global Environmental Change , vol.19 , Issue.1 , pp. 122-133
    • Kok, K.1
  • 25
    • 31344465410 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Multiscale narratives from an IA perspective: Part II. Participatory local scenario development
    • Kok, K., M. Patel, D. S. Rothman, and G. Quaranta. 2006. Multiscale narratives from an IA perspective: part II. Participatory local scenario development. Futures 38(3):285-311. http://dx.doi. org/10.1016/j.futures.2005.07.006
    • (2006) Futures , vol.38 , Issue.3 , pp. 285-311
    • Kok, K.1    Patel, M.2    Rothman, D.S.3    Quaranta, G.4
  • 26
    • 79955483759 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Combining participative backcasting and exploratory scenario development: Experiences from the SCENES project
    • Kok, K., M. van Vliet, I. Bärlund, A. Dubel, and J. Sendzimir. 2011. Combining participative backcasting and exploratory scenario development: experiences from the SCENES project. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 78(5):835-851. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2011.01.004
    • (2011) Technological Forecasting and Social Change , vol.78 , Issue.5 , pp. 835-851
    • Kok, K.1    van Vliet, M.2    Bärlund, I.3    Dubel, A.4    Sendzimir, J.5
  • 27
    • 84874778536 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Studies no 39. Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik, Bonn, Germany. [online]
    • Kosow, H., and R. Gaßner. 2008. Methods of future and scenario analysis: overview, assessment, and selection criteria. Studies no 39. Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik, Bonn, Germany. [online] URL: http://dspace.cigilibrary.org/jspui/ bitstream/123456789/26008/1/Methods%20of%20future%20and% 20scenario%20analysis%20-%20overview,%20assessment,%20and% 20selection%20criteria.pdf?1
    • (2008) Methods of future and scenario analysis: Overview, assessment, and selection criteria.
    • Kosow, H.1    Gaßner, R.2
  • 28
    • 40849089386 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Linking science with environmental decision making: Experiences from an integrated modeling approach to supporting sustainable water resources management
    • Liu, Y., H. Gupta, E. Springer, and T. Wagener. 2008. Linking science with environmental decision making: experiences from an integrated modeling approach to supporting sustainable water resources management. Environmental Modelling and Software 23 (7):846-858. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2007.10.007
    • (2008) Environmental Modelling and Software , vol.23 , Issue.7 , pp. 846-858
    • Liu, Y.1    Gupta, H.2    Springer, E.3    Wagener, T.4
  • 29
    • 79958205299 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A democracy paradox in studies of science and technology
    • Lövbrand, E., R. Pielke, Jr., and S. Beck. 2011. A democracy paradox in studies of science and technology. Science, Technology, and Human Values 36(4):474-496. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0162243910366154
    • (2011) Science, Technology, and Human Values , vol.36 , Issue.4 , pp. 474-496
    • Lövbrand, E.1    Pielke Jr., R.2    Beck, S.3
  • 31
    • 0010409328 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Scenarios as seen from a human and social perspective
    • Masini, E. B., and J. M. Vasquez. 2000. Scenarios as seen from a human and social perspective. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 65(1):49-66. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0040-1625 (99)00127-4
    • (2000) Technological Forecasting and Social Change , vol.65 , Issue.1 , pp. 49-66
    • Masini, E.B.1    Vasquez, J.M.2
  • 32
    • 77954470104 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • How personal judgment influences scenario development: An example for future rural development in Europe
    • [online]
    • Metzger, M. J., M. D. A. Rounsevell, H. Van den Heiligenberg, M. Pérez-Soba, and P. Soto Hardiman. 2010. How personal judgment influences scenario development: an example for future rural development in Europe. Ecology and Society 15(2): 5. [online] URL: http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol15/iss2/art5/
    • (2010) Ecology and Society , vol.15 , Issue.2 , pp. 5
    • Metzger, M.J.1    Rounsevell, M.D.A.2    Van den Heiligenberg, H.3    Pérez-Soba, M.4    Soto Hardiman, P.5
  • 33
    • 34247331365 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Integrated assessment of water policy strategies in the context of global change: The integrative methodological approach and its application in the Spree and Schwarze Elster river basins
    • in J. D. Erickson, F. Messner, and I. Ring, editors, (Advances in the economics of environmental resources). Elsevier, Amsterdam, Netherlands
    • Messner, F. 2007. Integrated assessment of water policy strategies in the context of global change: the integrative methodological approach and its application in the Spree and Schwarze Elster river basins. Pages 265-303 in J. D. Erickson, F. Messner, and I. Ring, editors. Ecological economics of sustainable watershed management. (Advances in the economics of environmental resources, Volume 7). Elsevier, Amsterdam, Netherlands. http:// dx.doi.org/10.1016/S1569-3740(07)07012-5
    • (2007) Ecological economics of sustainable watershed management. , vol.7 , pp. 265-303
    • Messner, F.1
  • 34
    • 0041425303 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The challenge of public participation
    • Mostert, E. 2003. The challenge of public participation. Water Policy 5(2):179-197.
    • (2003) Water Policy , vol.5 , Issue.2 , pp. 179-197
    • Mostert, E.1
  • 36
    • 79954470573 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Participatory scenario planning for protected areas management under the ecosystem services framework: The Doñana social-ecological system in southwestern Spain
    • [online]
    • Palomo, I., B. Martín-López, C. López-Santiago, and C. Montes. 2011. Participatory scenario planning for protected areas management under the ecosystem services framework: the Doñana social-ecological system in southwestern Spain. Ecology and Society 16(1): 23. [online] URL: http://www.ecologyandsociety. org/vol16/iss1/art23/
    • (2011) Ecology and Society , vol.16 , Issue.1 , pp. 23
    • Palomo, I.1    Martín-López, B.2    López-Santiago, C.3    Montes, C.4
  • 37
    • 33947503309 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Participatory planning in land use analysis: An insight into the experiences created by stakeholder involvement in the northern Mediterranean
    • Patel, M., K. Kok, and D. S. Rothman. 2007. Participatory planning in land use analysis: an insight into the experiences created by stakeholder involvement in the northern Mediterranean. Land Use Policy 24(3):546-561. http://dx.doi. org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2006.02.005
    • (2007) Land Use Policy , vol.24 , Issue.3 , pp. 546-561
    • Patel, M.1    Kok, K.2    Rothman, D.S.3
  • 38
    • 79952694964 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Developing qualitative scenario storylines for environmental change assessment
    • Rounsevell, M. D. A., and M. J. Metzger. 2010. Developing qualitative scenario storylines for environmental change assessment. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change 1 (4):606-619. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/wcc.63
    • (2010) Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change , vol.1 , Issue.4 , pp. 606-619
    • Rounsevell, M.D.A.1    Metzger, M.J.2
  • 40
    • 62949244108 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Land use options-strategies and adaptation to global change. Terrestrial environmental research
    • Seppelt, R., I. Kühn, S. Klotz, K. Frank, M. Schloter, H. Auge, S. Kabisch, C. Görg, and K. Jax. 2009. Land use options-strategies and adaptation to global change. Terrestrial environmental research. Gaia 18(1):77-80.
    • (2009) Gaia , vol.18 , Issue.1 , pp. 77-80
    • Seppelt, R.1    Kühn, I.2    Klotz, S.3    Frank, K.4    Schloter, M.5    Auge, H.6    Kabisch, S.7    Görg, C.8    Jax, K.9
  • 41
    • 84897539292 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Statistische Ämter des Bundes und der Länder, Statistische Ämter des Bundes und der Länder, Wiesbaden, Germany. [online]
    • Statistische Ämter des Bundes und der Länder. 2010. Regionalstatistik. Statistische Ämter des Bundes und der Länder, Wiesbaden, Germany. [online] URL: https://www.regionalstatistik. de
    • (2010) Regionalstatistik
  • 42
    • 84897557180 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Statistisches Bundesamt, Wiesbaden, Germany. [online]
    • Statistisches Bundesamt. 2010. Bevölkerungsvorausberechnungen. Statistisches Bundesamt, Wiesbaden, Germany. [online] URL: http://www-genesis.destatis.de
    • (2010) Bevölkerungsvorausberechnungen
    • Bundesamt, S.1
  • 43
    • 34547417707 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Combining social learning with agro-ecological research practice for more effective management of nitrate pollution
    • Toderi, M., N. Powell, G. Seddaiu, P. P. Roggero, and D. Gibbon. 2007. Combining social learning with agro-ecological research practice for more effective management of nitrate pollution. Environmental Science and Policy 10(6):551-563. http://dx.doi. org/10.1016/j.envsci.2007.02.006
    • (2007) Environmental Science and Policy , vol.10 , Issue.6 , pp. 551-563
    • Toderi, M.1    Powell, N.2    Seddaiu, G.3    Roggero, P.P.4    Gibbon, D.5
  • 44
    • 0037599598 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Scenario visualisation for participatory landscape planning-a study from Denmark
    • Tress, B., and G. Tress. 2003. Scenario visualisation for participatory landscape planning-a study from Denmark. Landscape and Urban Planning 64(3):161-178. http://dx.doi. org/10.1016/S0169-2046(02)00219-0
    • (2003) Landscape and Urban Planning , vol.64 , Issue.3 , pp. 161-178
    • Tress, B.1    Tress, G.2
  • 45
    • 45749118294 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • United Nations Environmental Programme (UNEP)., UNEP, Nairobi, Kenya. [online]
    • United Nations Environmental Programme (UNEP). 2007. Global environment outlook 4. Environment for development. UNEP, Nairobi, Kenya. [online] URL: http://www.unep.org/geo/ geo4.asp
    • (2007) Global environment outlook 4. Environment for development.
  • 50
    • 34447338434 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Linking scenarios across geographical scales in international environmental assessments
    • Zurek, M. B., and T. Henrichs. 2007. Linking scenarios across geographical scales in international environmental assessments. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 74(8):1282-1295. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2006.11.005
    • (2007) Technological Forecasting and Social Change , vol.74 , Issue.8 , pp. 1282-1295
    • Zurek, M.B.1    Henrichs, T.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.