Modelling the impacts of reforestation on the projected hydroclimatology of Niger River Basin, West Africa

Ecohydrology

Volumn 7, Issue 1, 2014, Pages 163-176

  Oguntunde, Philip G ^a,c   Abiodun, Babatunde J ^b   Lischeid, Gunnar ^a   Merz, Christoph ^a  

^a LEIBNIZ CENTRE FOR AGRICULTURAL LANDSCAPE RESEARCH ZALF   (Germany)

^b UNIVERSITY OF CAPE TOWN   (South Africa)

^c FEDERAL UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY   (Nigeria)

Author keywords

Climate change; Hydroclimatology; Mitigation; Niger River Basin; Reforestation

Indexed keywords

EVAPORATION COEFFICIENTS; FUTURE CLIMATE SCENARIOS; HYDRO CLIMATOLOGIES; MITIGATION; REGIONAL CLIMATE MODELS (REGCM3); RIVER BASINS; SEASONAL EVAPOTRANSPIRATIONS; WATER BALANCE COMPONENTS;

ATMOSPHERIC THERMODYNAMICS; CARBON DIOXIDE; CLIMATE CHANGE; EVAPOTRANSPIRATION; GREENHOUSE GASES; MOISTURE; RAIN; WATER RECYCLING; WATERSHEDS;

REFORESTATION;

CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE MODELING; CLIMATOLOGY; DRY SEASON; EVAPOTRANSPIRATION; FUTURE PROSPECT; HYDROMETEOROLOGY; REFORESTATION; WATER BUDGET;

NIGER BASIN;

EID: 84892479381     PISSN: 19360584     EISSN: 19360592     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/eco.1343     Document Type: Article

References (63)

1. Abiodun BJ, Pal JS, Afiesimama EA, Gutowski WJ, Adedoyin A. 2008. Simulation of West African monsoon using RegCM3 Part II: impacts of deforestation and desertification. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 93: 245-261.
2. Abiodun BJ, Adeyewa ZD, Oguntunde PG, Salami, A, Ajayi V. 2012. Modelling the impacts of reforestation on future climate in West Africa. Theoretical and Applied Climatology. DOI: 10.1007/s00704-012-0614-1.
3. Afiesimama EA, Pal JS, Abiodun BJ, Gutowski WJ, Adedoyin A. 2006. Simulation of West African monsoon using the RegCM3. Part I: model validation and inter-annual variability. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 86: 23-37.
4. Alo CA, Wang G. 2010. Role of dynamic vegetation in regional climate predictions. Climate Dynamics 35: 907-922.
5. Andersen I, Dione O, Jarosewich-Holder M, Olivry JC. 2005. The Niger River Basin: a vision for sustainable management, World Bank-Washington, DC. Available at www.worldbank.org
6. Anderson RG, Canadell JG, Randerson JT, Jackson RB, Hungate BA, Baldocchi DD, Ban-Weiss GA, Bonan GB, Caldeira K, Cao L, Diffenbaugh NS, Gurney KR, Kueppers LM, Law BE, Luyssaert S, O'Halloran TL. 2010. Biophysical considerations in forestry for climate protection. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 9: 174-182, DOI: 10.1890/090179.
7. Andreassian V. 2004. Waters and forests: from historical controversy to scientific debate. Journal of Hydrology 291: 1-27.
8. Arora VK, Montenegro A. 2011. Small temperature benefits provided by realistic afforestation efforts. Nature Geoscience 4(8): 514-518.
9. Ayer GR. 1968. Reforestation with conifers: its effects on stream flow in central New York. Water Resources Bulletin 4: 13-24.
10. Black PE. 1968. Streamflow increases following farm abandonment on eastern New York watershed. Water Resources Research 4: 1171-1178.
11. Bosch JM, Hewlett JD. 1982. A review of catchment experiments to determine the effect of vegetation changes on water yield and evapotranspiration. Journal of Hydrology 55 (1-4): 3-23.
12. Brooks CEP. 1928. The influence of forests on rainfall and runoff. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 54: 1-7.
13. Bruijnzeel LA. 2004. Hydrological functions of tropical forests: not seeing the soil for the trees?. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 104: 185-228.
14. Buttle JM. 2011. Streamflow response to headwater reforestation in the Ganaraska River basin, Southern Ontario, Canada. Hydrological Processes 25: 3030-3041.
15. Calder IR. 2002. Forests and hydrological services: reconciling public and science perceptions. Land Use and Water Resources Research 2: 2.1-2.12.
16. Calder IR. 2004. Forests and water - closing the gap between public and science perceptions. Water Science and Technology 49(7): 39-53.
17. Charney JG. 1975. Dynamics of deserts and drought in the Sahel. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 101: 193-202.
18. Chen GS, Notaro M, Liu Z, Liu Y. 2012. Simulated local and remote biophysical effects of afforestation over the Southeast United States in boreal summer. Journal of Climate 25: 4511-4522.
19. Cosbey A, Parry JE, Browne J, Babu YD, Bandachari P, Drexhage J, Murpey D. 2005. Realizing the development dividend: making the CDM work for developing countries. International Institute for Sustainable Development. 72.
20. Dickinson RE, Henderson-Sellers A, Kennedy PJ. 1993. Biosphere-atmosphere transfer scheme (BATS) version 1 as coupled to the NCAR Community Climate Model. NCARTech. Note NCAR=TN-3871STR, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO. 72.
21. Enger L, Tjernstrom M. 1991. Estimating the effects on the precipitation climate in a semiarid region caused by an artificial lake using a mesoscale model. Journal of Applied Meteorology 30: 227-250.
22. Fritsch JM, Chappell CF. 1980. Numerical prediction of convectively driven mesoscale pressure systems. Part 1: convective parameterisation. Journal of Atmospheric Science 37: 1722-1733.
23. Gálos B, Mátyás C, Jacob D. 2011. Regional characteristics of climate change altering effects of afforestation. Environmental Research Letters 6(9): 044010, DOI: 10.1088/17489326/6/4/044010.
24. Gedney N, Cox PM, Betts RA, Boucher O, Huntingford C, Stott PA. 2006. Detection of a carbon dioxide effect in continental river runoff records. Nature 439: 835-838.
25. Gerten D, Rost S, von Bloh W, Lucht W. 2008. Causes of change in 20th century global river discharge. Geophysical Research Letters 35: L20405. DOI: 10.1029/2008GL035258.
26. Grell GA. 1993. Prognostic evaluation of assumptions used by cumulus parameterizations. Monthly Weather Review 121(3): 764-787.
27. Holtslag AAM, De Bruijn EIF, Pan H-L. 1990. A high resolution air mass transformation model for short-range weather forecasting. Monthly Weather Review 118(8): 1561-1575.
28. IPCC. 2000. Intergovernmental panel on climate change, special report on land use, land-use change and forestry. A Special Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Approved at IPCC Plenary XVI (Montreal, 1-8 May, 2000). IPCC Secretariat, c/o World Meteorological Organization, Geneva, Switzerland (at http://www.ipcc.ch/)
29. IPCC. 2007. Climate change 2007: the physical science basis. In Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Solomon S, Qin D, Manning M, Chen Z, Marquis M, Averyt KB, Tignor M, Miller HL (eds). Cambridge University Press: Cambridge; pp 996.
30. Jungclaus JH, Botzet M, Haak H, Keenlyside N, Luo JJ, Latif M, Marotzke J, Mikolajewicz U, Roeckner E. 2006. Ocean circulation and tropical variability in the coupled model ECHAM5/MPI-OM. Journal of Climate 19: 3952-3972.
31. Kaufmann RK, Zhou L, Myneri RB, Tucker CJ, Slayback D, Shabanov NV, Pinzon J. 2003. The effect of vegetation on surface temperature: a statistical analysis of NDVI and climate data. Geophysical Research Letters 30: 2147, DOI: 10.1029/2003GL018251.
32. KfW. 2010. Adaptation to climate change in the upper and middle Niger River Basin. River Basin snapshot, draft for discussion, Entwicklungsbank, May 2010. 41.
33. Kiehl JT, Hack JJ, Bonan GB, Boville BA, Breigleb BP, Williamson DL, Rasch PJ. 1996. Description of the NCAR community climate Model (CCM3). NCAR Tech. Note, NCAR=TN-420{thorn}STR, Boulder, Colorado. 152.
34. Lenton TM, Vaughan NE. 2009. The radiative forcing potential of different climate geo-engineering options. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions 9: 2559-2608.
35. Levis S. 2010. Modeling vegetation and land use in models of the Earth System. WIRES Climate Change Review 1: 840-856.
36. Liu Z, Notaro M, Kutzbach J, Liu N. 2006. Assessing global vegetation - climate feedback from observations. Journal of Climate 19: 787-814.
37. McCarthy JJ, Canziani O, Leary NA, Dokken DJ, White KS. 2001. Climate Change 2001: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, UK; 1032.
38. Mohamed YA, van de Hurk BJJM, Savenije HHG, Bastiaansen WGM. 2005. Impact of Sudd wetland on the Nile hydroclimatology. Water Resourses Research 41: W08420, DOI: 10.1029/2003WR003792.
39. Nakicenovic N, Alcamo J, Davis G, de Vries B, Fenhann J, Gaffin S, Gregory K, Grubler A, Jung TY, Kram T, La Rovere EL, Michaelis L, Mori S, Morita T, Pepper W, Pitcher H, Price L, Raihi K, Roehrl A, Rogner H-H, Sankovski A, Schlesinger M, Shukla P, Smith S, Swart R, van Rooijen S, Victor N, Dadi Z. 2000. Emissions Scenarios: A Special Report of Working Group III of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.
40. Notaro M, Liu Z. 2006. Observed vegetation - climate feedbacks in the United States. Journal of Climate 19: 763-786.
41. Notaro M, Liu Z. 2008. Statistical and dynamical assessment of vegetation feedbacks on climate over the boreal forests. Climate Dynamics 31: 691-712.
42. Oguntunde PG, Abiodun BJ, Lischeid G. 2012. High-resolution simulation of Niger River Basin hydroclimatology using a regional climate model. Journal of Hydrology (submitted).
43. Omotosho J, Abiodun BJ. 2007. A numerical study of moisture build-up and rainfall over West Africa. Meteorological Applications 14: 209-225.
44. Oyama MD, Nobre CA. 2004. Climatic consequences of a large-scale desertification in northeast Brazil: a GCM simulation study. Journal of Climate 17: 3203-3213.
45. Pal JS, Small EE, Eltahir EAB. 2000. Simulation of regional-scale water and energy budgets: representation of sub-grid cloud and precipitation processes within RegCM. Journal of Geophysical Research 105: 29579-29594.
46. Pal JS, Giorgi F, Bi X, Elguindi N, Solomon F, Gao X, Francisco R, Zakey A, Winter J, Ashfaq M, Syed F, Bell JL, Diffanbaugh NS, Kamacharya J, Konare A, Martinez D, da Rocha RP, Sloan LC, Steiner A. 2007. The ICTP RegCM3 and RegCNET: regional climate modeling for the developing world. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 88: 1395-1409.
47. Perry A. 2010. Land of Hope. TIME Asia Magazine, Dec. 13, 2010. http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0, 9171, 2034507, 00.html
48. Roeckner E, Bäuml G, Bonaventura L, Brokopf R, Esch M, Giorgetta M, Hagemann S, Kirchner I, Kornblueh L, Manzini E, Rhodin A, Schlese U, Schulzweida U, Tompkins A. 2003. The Atmospheric General Circulation Model ECHAM5. Part I: Model Description. Report no. 349, Max-Planck-Institut für Meteorologie: Hamburg, Germany; 127.
49. Schär C, Luthi D, Beyerle U, Heise E. 1999. The soil precipitation feedback: a process study with a regional climate model. Journal of Climate 12(3): 722-741.
50. Schwaiger HP, Bird DN. 2009. Integration of albedo effects caused by land use change into the climate balance: Should we still account in greenhouse gas units? Forest Ecology and Management 260: 278-286.
51. Scott DF, Bruijnzeel LA, Vertessy RA, Calder IR. 2004. Impacts of forest plantations on streamflow hydrology. Encyclopaedia of Forest Sciences. DOI: 10.1016/B0-12-145160-7/00209-X.
52. Shukla J, Mintz Y. 1982. Influence of land-surface evaporation on earth's climate. Science 215: 1498-1501.
53. Stebbings EP. 1935. The encroaching Sahara. The Geographical Journal 86: 509-510.
54. Sud YC, Shukla J, Mintz Y. 1988. Influence of land surface roughness on atmospheric circulation and precipitation: a sensitivity study with a general circulation model. Journal of Applied Meteorology 27: 1036-1054.
55. Sylla MB, Gaye AT, Pal JS, Jenkins GS, Bi X. 2009. High resolution simulations of West African climate using Regional Climate Model (RegCM3) with different lateral boundary conditions. Theor Appl Climatol 98: 293-314.
56. Sylla MB, Dell'Aquila A, Ruti PM, Giorgi F. 2010a. Simulation of the intra-seasonal and the inter-annual variability of rainfall over West Africa with RegCM3 during the monsoon period. International Journal of Climatology 30: 1865-1883.
57. Sylla MB, Gaye AT, Jenkins GS, Pal JS, Giorgi F. 2010b. Consistency of projected drought over the Sahel with changes in the monsoon circulation and extremes in a regional climate model projection. J Geophys Res 115: D16108. DOI: 10.1029/2009JD012983
58. Time. 2010. Climate change: Africa's quest to beat the desert. Time Magazine, Dec 13, 2010.
59. Trabucco A, Zomer RJ, Bossio DA, van Straaten O, Vercot LV. 2008. Climate change mitigation through afforestation/reforestation: a global analysis of hydrologic impacts with four case studies. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 126(1-2): 81-97.
60. Trenberth KE. 1999. Atmospheric moisture recycling: role of advection and local evaporation. Journal of Climate 12: 1368-1381.
61. Zhang L, Dawes WR, Walker GR. 1999. Predicting the effect of vegetation changes on catchment average water balance. Centre for Catchment Hydrology Technical Report 99/12. 1-35.
62. Zheng XY, Eltahir EAB. 1998. The role of vegetation in the dynamics of West African monsoons. J. Climate 12: 1368-1381.
63. Zomer RJ, Trabucco A, Bossio DA, Vercot LV. 2008. Climate change mitigation: a spatial analysis of global land suitability for clean development mechanism afforestation and reforestation. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 126(1-2): 67-80.