Climatic consequences of a large-scale desertification in northeast Brazil: A GCM simulation study

Journal of Climate

Volumn 17, Issue 16, 2004, Pages 3203-3213

  Oyama, Marcos Daisuke ^a   Nobre, Carlos Afonso ^a  

^a INSTITUTO NACIONAL DE PESQUISAS ESPACIAIS   (Brazil)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

HEAT FLUX; MOISTURE; PRECIPITATION (METEOROLOGY); SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS; TRANSPIRATION;

DESERTIFICATION; MOISTURE CONVERGENCE;

CLIMATOLOGY;

ATMOSPHERIC GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL; CLIMATE MODELING; DESERTIFICATION; ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT; HYDROLOGICAL REGIME; VEGETATION COVER;

EID: 4444257338     PISSN: 08948755     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/1520-0442(2004)017<3203:CCOALD>2.0.CO;2     Document Type: Article

References (36)

1. Cavalcanti, I. F. A., and Coauthors, 2002: Global climatological features in a simulation using the CPTEC-COLA AGCM. J. Climate, 15, 2965-2988.
2. Charney, J. G., 1975: Dynamics of deserts and drought in the Sahel. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 101, 193-202.
3. Charney, J. G., W. J. Quirk, S. H. Chow, and J. Kornfield, 1977: A comparative study of the effects of albedo change on drought in semi-arid regions. J. Atmos. Sci., 34, 1366-1385.
4. CONAMA, cited 1997: Resolução no 238, de 22 de dezembro de 1997-Política Nacional de Controle da Desertificaçāo (in Portuguese). [Available online at http://www.mma.gov.br/port/conama/ res/res97/res23897.html.]
5. Dickinson, R. E., 1992: Changes in land use. Climate System Modeling, K. E. Trenberth, Ed., Cambridge University Press, 689-701.
6. Dirmeyer, P A., and J. Shukla, 1996: The effect on regional and global climate of expansion of the world's deserts. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 122, 451-482.
7. Dorman, J. L., and P. J. Sellers, 1989: A global climatology of albedo, roughness length and stomatal resistance for atmospheric general circulation models as represented by the Simple Biosphere model (SiB). J. Appl. Meteor., 28, 833-855.
8. Ferreira, D. G., H. P. Melo, F. R. Rodrigues Neto, P. J. S. Nascimento, and V. Rodrigues, 1994: Avaliação do quadro de desertificação no Nordeste do Brasil: Diagnósticos e perspectivas (in Portuguese). Proc. National Conf. on Desertification, Fortaleza, Brazil, Fundação Grupo Esquel Brasil, 7-55. [Available from Fundação Grupo Esquel Brasil, SAS Quadra 06 Block "K" - Ed. Belvedere - Sala 801-A, 70070-915, Brasília, DE Brazil.]
9. Gill, A. E., 1980: Some simple solutions for heat-induced tropical circulation. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 106, 447-462.
10. Hastenrath, S., and L. Heller, 1977: Dynamics of climatic hazards in northeast Brazil. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 103, 77-92.
11. Holton, J. R., 1992: An Introduction to Dynamic Meteorology. Academic Press, 511 pp.
12. Kinter, J. L., III, and Coauthors, 1997: The COLA atmosphere-biosphere general circulation model. Vol. 1: Formulation. COLA Tech. Rep. 51, Calverton, MD, 46 pp.
13. Lau, K. M., J. H. Kim, and Y. Sud, 1996: Intercomparison of hydrologic processes in AMIP GCMs. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 77, 2209-2227.
14. Marengo, J. A., and Coauthors, 2003: Assessment of regional seasonal rainfall predictability using the CPTEC/COLA atmospheric GCM. Climate Dyn., 21, 459-475.
15. McGuffie, K., and A. Henderson-Sellers, 2001: Forty years of numerical climate modelling. Int. J. Climatol., 21, 1067-1109.
16. MMA, 2000: Desertification. Ministry of the Environment National Rep., Brasília, Brazil, 20 pp. [Available from Ministério do Meio Ambiente, Secretaria de Recursos Hídricos, SGAN Q 601 Lote 01 - Ed. Sede CODEVASF - 40 andar - Sala 417, 70830-901, Brasília, DF, Brazil.]
17. Nobre, C. A., and L. C. B. Molion, 1988: The effects of climatic variations on agriculture in Northeast Brazil: the climatology of droughts and drought prediction. The Impact of Climatic Variations on Agriculture: Assessments in Semi-Arid Regions, M. L. Parry, T R. Carter, and N. T. Konijin, Eds., Kluwer Academic, 305-323.
18. Nobre, C. A., P. J. Sellers, and J. Shukla, 1991: Amazonian deforestation and regional climate change. J. Climate, 4, 957-988.
19. Oyama, M. D., and C. A. Nobre, 2003: A new climate-vegetation equilibrium state for Tropical South America. Geophys. Res. Lett., 30, 2199, doi: 10.1029/2003GLO18600.
20. Oyama, M. D., E. J. P. Rocha, and C. A. Nobre, 2000: Estudo preliminar sobre o tempo de "spin-up" da umidade do solo no Modelo Climático do CPTEC (in Portuguese). Proc. 11th Brazilian Congress of Meteorology, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Sociedade Brasileira de Meteorologia, 1085-1094. [Available from Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais, Centro de Previsão de Tempo e Estudos Climáticos, Rod. Presidente Dutra, km 40, 12630-000, Cachoeira Paulista, SP, Brazil.]
21. Rosenfeld, D., Y. Rudich, and R. Lahav, 2001: Desert dust suppressing precipitation: A possible desertification feedback loop. PNAS, 98, 5975-5980.
22. Sá, I. B., G. A. Fotius, and G. R. Riché, 1994: Degradação ambiental e reabilitaçāo natural no trópico semi-árido brasileiro (in Portuguese). Proc. National Conf. on Desertification, Fortaleza, Brazil, Fundação Grupo Esquel Brasil, 310-331. [Available from Fundação Grupo Esquel Brasil, SAS Quadra 06 Bloco "K" - Ed. Belvedere - Sala 801-A, 70070-915, Brasília, DE Brazil.]
23. Sato, N., P. J. Sellers, D. A. Randall, E. K. Schneider, J. Shukla, J. L. Kinter III, Y. Y. Hou, and E. Albertazzi, 1989: Implementing the Simple Biosphere model (SiB) in a General Circulation Model: Methodology and results. NASA Contractor Rep. 185509, 76 pp.
24. Sellers, P. J., 1992: Changes in land use. Climate System Modeling, K. E. Trenberth, Ed., Cambridge University Press, 451-490.
25. Shukla, J., and Y. Mintz, 1982: Influence of land-surface evaporation on Earth's climate. Science, 215, 1498-1501.
26. Silva, V. P. R., A. A. Correia, and M. S. Coelho, 1998: Time trend analysis of the rainfall series in the Northeast Brazil (in Portuguese). Rev. Bras. Eng. Agríc. Ambiental, 2, 111-114.
27. Skidmore, E. L., 1986: Soil erosion by wind: An overview. Physics of Desertification, F. El-Baz and M. H. A. Hassan, Eds., Martinus Nijhoff, 261-273.
28. Stull, R. B., 1988: An Introduction to Boundary Layer Meteorology. Kluwer Academic, 666 pp.
29. Sud, Y. C., and M. Fennessy, 1982: A study of the influence of surface albedo on July circulation in semi-arid regions using the GLAS GCM. J. Climatol., 2, 105-125.
30. Sud, Y. C., and M. Fennessy, 1984: Influence of evaporation in semi-arid regions on the July circulation: A numerical study. J. Climatol., 4, 383-398.
31. Sud, Y. C., J. Shukla, and Y. Mintz, 1988: Influence of land surface roughness on atmospheric circulation and precipitation: A sensitivity study with a general circulation model. J. Appl. Meteor., 27, 1036-1054.
32. Sud, Y. C., W. C. Chao, and G. K. Walker, 1993: Dependence of rainfall on vegetation: Theoretical considerations, simulation experiments, observations and inferences from simulated atmospheric sounding. J. Arid Environ., 25, 5-18.
33. Sud, Y. C., G. K. Walker, J.-H. Kim, G. E. Liston, P. J. Sellers, and W. K.-M. Lau, 1996: Biogeophysical consequences of a tropical deforestation scenario: A GCM simulation study. J. Climate, 9, 3225-3247.
34. Xue, Y., and J. Shukla, 1993: The influence of land surface properties on Sahel climate. Part 1: Desertification. J. Climate, 6, 2232-2245.
35. Xue, Y., P J. Sellers, J. L. Kinter, and J. Shukla, 1991: A simplified biosphere model for global climate studies. J. Climate, 4, 345-364.
36. Zeng, N., R. E. Dickinson, and X. Zeng, 1996: Climatic impact of Amazon deforestation-A mechanistic model study. J. Climate, 9, 859-883.