Modeling the impacts of reforestation on future climate in West Africa

Theoretical and Applied Climatology

Volumn 110, Issue 1-2, 2012, Pages 77-96

  Abiodun, Babatunde J ^a   Adeyewa, Zachariah D ^b   Oguntunde, Philip G ^b   Salami, Ayobami T ^c   Ajayi, Vincent O ^b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF CAPE TOWN   (South Africa)

^b FEDERAL UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY   (Nigeria)

^c OBAFEMI AWOLOWO UNIVERSITY   (Nigeria)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

AIR TEMPERATURE; ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE MODELING; GREENHOUSE GAS; MONSOON; REFORESTATION; REGIONAL CLIMATE; TEMPERATURE GRADIENT;

CAMEROON; CHAD; GUINEA; NIGERIA; SAHEL [SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA]; TOGO;

EID: 84867099092     PISSN: 0177798X     EISSN: 14344483     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00704-012-0614-1     Document Type: Article

References (38)

1. Abiodun BJ, Pal JS, Afiesimama EA, Gutowski WJ, Adedoyin A (2008) Simulation of West African monsoon using RegCM3 part II: impacts of deforestation and desertification. Theor Appl Climatol 93: 245-261. doi: 10. 1007/s00704-007-0333-1.
2. Afiesimama EA, Pal JS, Abiodun BJ, Gutowski WJ, Adedoyin A (2006) Simulation of West African monsoon using the RegCM3. Part I: model validation and interannual variability. Theor Appl Climatol 86: 23-37.
3. Alo CA, Wang G (2010) Role of dynamic vegetation in regional climate predictions. Clim Dyn 35: 907-922. doi: 10. 1007/s00382-010-0744-z.
4. Berrisford P, Dee D, Fielding K, Fuentes M, Kallberg P, Kobayashi S, Uppala S (2009) The ERA-Interim archive. ERA Report Series, 1, ECMWF, 16 pp.
5. Brooks CEP (1928) The influence of forests on rainfall and runoff. Quart J Roy Meteor Soc 54: 1-7.
6. Chung CE, Ramanathan V (2006) Weakening of North Indian SST gradients and the monsoon rainfall in India and the Sahel. J Clim 19(10): 2036-2045.
7. Dickinson RE, Henderson-Sellers A, Kennedy PJ (1993) Biosphere-atmosphere transfer scheme (BATS) version 1 as coupled to the NCAR Community Climate Model. NCARTech. Note NCAR = TN-3871STR, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, 72 pp.
8. Enger L, Tjernstrom M (1991) Estimating the effects on the precipitation climate in a semiarid region caused by an artificial lake using a mesoscale model. J Appl Meteor 30: 227-250.
9. Fritsch JM, Chappell CF (1980) Numerical prediction of convectively driven mesoscale pressure systems. Part 1: convective parameterisation. J Atmos Sci 37: 1722-1733.
10. Giannini A, Saravanan R, Chang PO (2003) Oceanic forcing of Sahel rainfall on interannual to interdecadal time scales. Science 302(5647): 1027-1030.
11. Grell GA (1993) Prognostic evaluation of assumptions used by cumulus parameterizations. Mon Wea Rev 121(3): 764-787.
12. Holtslag AAM, De Bruijn EIF, Pan H-L (1990) A high resolution air mass transformation model for short-range weather forecasting. Mon Wea Rev 118(8): 1561-1575.
13. IPCC (2007a) Climate change 2007: the physical science basis. In: Solomon S, Qin D, Manning M, Chen Z, Marquis M, Averyt KB, Tignor M, Miller HL (eds) Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp 996.
14. IPCC (2007b) Climate change 2007: impacts, adaptation and vulnerability. In: Parry ML, Canziani OF, Palutikof JP, van der Linden PJ, Hanson CE (eds) Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp 976.
15. IPCC (2007c) Climate change 2007: mitigation of climate change. In: Metz B, Davidson OR, Bosch PR, Dave R, Meyer LA (eds) Contribution of Working Group III to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp 760.
16. Janicot S (1997) Impact of warm ENSO events on atmospheric circulation and convection over the tropical Atlantic and West Africa. Ann Geophys 15: 471-475. doi: 10. 1007/s00585-997-0471-x.
17. Jungclaus JH, Botzet M, Haak H, Keenlyside N, Luo JJ, Latif M, Marotzke J, Mikolajewicz U, Roeckner E (2006) Ocean circulation and tropical variability in the coupled model ECHAM5/MPI-OM. J Clim 19: 3952-3972. doi: 10. 1175/JCLI3827. 1.
18. Kiehl JT, Hack JJ, Bonan GB, Boville BA, Breigleb BP, Williamson DL, Rasch PJ (1996) Description of the NCAR community climate Model (CCM3). NCAR Tech. Note, NCAR = TN-420{thorn}STR, 152 pp, Natl. Cent. For Atmos. Res; Boulder, Colorado.
19. Lau KM, Shen SSP, Kim K-M, Wang H (2006) A multimodel study of the twentieth-century simulations of Sahel drought from the 1970s to 1990s. J Geophys Res 111: D07111. doi: 10. 1029/2005JD006281.
20. Le Barbe L, Lebel T, Tapsoba D (2002) Rainfall variability in West Africa during the years 19501990. J Climate 15(2): 187-202.
21. Lenton TM, Vaughan NE (2009) The radiative forcing potential of different climate geoengineering options. Atmos Chem Phys Discuss 9: 2559-2608, 2009 www. atmos-chem-phys-discuss. net/9/2559/2009/.
22. Lu J (2009) The dynamics of the Indian Ocean Sea surface temperature forcing of Sahel drought. Clim Dyn 33: 445-460.
23. Lu J, Delworth TL (2005) Oceanic forcing of the late 20th century Sahel drought. Geophys Res Lett 32: L22706. doi: 10. 1029/2005GL023316.
24. Lu J, Vecchi GA, Reichler T (2007) Expansion of the Hadley cell under global warming. Geophys Res Lett 34: L06805. doi: 10. 1029/2006GL028443.
25. Mitchell TD, Jones PD (2005) An improved method of constructing a database of monthly climate observations and associated high-resolution grids. Int J Climatol 25: 693-712.
26. NAS (1992) Policy implications of greenhouse warming: mitigation, adaptation, and the science base. Washington, DC, 918 pp., 1992.
27. Nicholson SE (1980) The nature of rainfall fluctuations in subtropical West Africa. Mon Weather Rev 108: 473-487.
28. Nicholson SE (2008) The intensity, location and structure of the tropical rainbelt over West Africa as factors in interannual variability. Int J Climatol 28: 1775-1785. doi: 10. 1002/joc. 1507.
29. Omotosho J, Abiodun BJ (2007) A numerical study of moisture buildup and rainfall over West Africa. Meteorol Appl 14: 209-225.
30. Pal JS, Small EE, Eltahir EAB (2000) Simulation of regional-scale water and energy budgets: representation of subgrid cloud and precipitation processes within RegCM. J Geophys Res 105: 29579-29594.
31. Pal JS, Giorgi F, Bi X, Elguindi N, Solmon F, Gao XJ, Francisco R, Zakey A, Winter J, Ashfaq M, Syed F, Bell J, Diffenbaugh N, Karmacharya J, Konare A, Martinez-Castro D, Porfirio da Rocha R, Sloan L, Steiner A, (2007) Regional climate modeling for the developing world: The ICTP RegCM3 and RegCNET. B Am Meteorol Soc 88: 1395-1409.
32. Roeckner E et al (2003) The atmospheric general circulation model ECHAM5. Part I: model description, Rep. 349, Max-Planck-Inst. Für Meteorol., Hamburg, Germany.
33. Rowell DP (2003) The impact of Mediterranean SSTs on the Sahelian rainfall season. J Clim 16: 849-862.
34. Stebbings EP (1935) The encroaching Sahara. Geogr J 86: 509-510.
35. Sylla MB, Dell'Aquila A, Ruti PM, Giorgi F (2010a) Simulation of the intraseasonal and the interannual variability of rainfall over West Africa with RegCM3 during the monsoon period. Int J Climatol 30: 1865-1883. doi: 10. 1002/joc. 2029.
36. Sylla MB, Gaye AT, Jenkins GS, Pal JS, Giorgi F (2010b) Consistency of projected drought over the Sahel with changes in the monsoon circulation and extremes in a regional climate model projections. J Geophys Res 115: D16108. doi: 10. 1029/2009JD012983.
37. Taylor CM, Lambin EF, Stephenne N, Harding RJ, Essery RLH (2002) The influence of land use change on climate in the Sahel. J Climate 15(24): 3615-3629.
38. Ward MN (1998) Diagnosis and short-lead time prediction of summer rainfall in Tropical North Africa at interannual and multidecadal timescales. J Clim 11: 3167-3191.